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Anze Kopitar

Salary Cap Deep Dive: Los Angeles Kings

September 23, 2017 at 8:41 pm CDT | by Holger Stolzenberg 1 Comment

Navigating the Salary Cap is probably one of the more important tasks for any general manager to have. Teams that can avert total cap chaos by walking the tightrope of inking players to deals that match their value (or compensate for future value without breaking the bank) remain successful. Those that don’t see struggles and front office changes.

PHR will look at every NHL team and give a thorough look at their cap situation heading into the 2017-18 season. This will focus more on those players who are integral parts of the roster versus those who may find themselves shuttling between the AHL and NHL. All cap figures are courtesy of CapFriendly.

Los Angeles Kings

Current Cap Hit: $68,168,560 (under the $75MM Upper Limit)

Entry-Level Contracts

D Oscar Fantenberg (One year remaining, $925K)

Potential Bonuses

None

This is not a very young team and the only player to have an entry-level deal is Fantenberg, who is the 25-year-old blueliner, who signed a one-year, two-way deal earlier this year. The defenseman has never played in the U.S. before, but he opened some eyes recently when he found himself on the Kings’ roster to travel to Japan for some exhibition games, suggesting he has a legitimate chance to earn a starting job on the team’s defense.

One Year Remaining, Non-Entry-Level

F Mike Cammalleri ($1MM, UFA)
F Jordan Nolan ($950K, UFA)
F Nick Shore ($925K, RFA)
D Christian Folin ($800K, UFA)
D Derek Forbort ($650K, RFA)
D Kevin Gravel ($650K, RFA)
G Darcy Kuemper ($650K, UFA)
F Nic Dowd ($640K, UFA)

Have originally started his career in L.A., Cammalleri returns to his former team after a three-year stint in New Jersey, which came after a three-year stint in Calgary and after a three-year stint in Montreal. The 35-year-old wing isn’t the same guy who put up many 20-plus goal seasons, but the hope is he can fill a back-six line for the coming season at a low price. Nolan will fight for a fourth-line role, while Gravel may also have to fight for a bottom pairing on defense, especially since he is still waiver-exempt.

Shore is one of those young players the Kings hope will have a breakout year. The 24-year-old wing has not been able to put it all together yet. He finished last year with six goals and 11 assists for 17 points, but is capable of more if he can put it all together.

Forbert played on the first line a year ago and managed to play in all 82 games. The team now hopes the 25-year-old starts to cash in on the team’s promise when they drafted him in the first round back in 2010. His defensive proficiency is designed to allow others to focus on offense more. The team also hopes Folin, signed away from Minnesota this offseason, will grab one of the last couple of defensive openings. The 26-year-old played 51 games for the Wild last season, but has had trouble getting a full-time role.

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Two Years Remaining

D Drew Doughty ($7MM, UFA)
F Andy Andreoff ($678K, UFA)

Just as there were few key one-year deals, the same holds true at tw0-year deals. Doughty is a key piece for the Kings. The 27-year-old defenseman is a great two-way player and finished with 12 goals and 44 points, a slight down year for the defenseman. The franchise blueliner has been mentioned in trade rumors, but is staying put for now and the team hopes it can eventually lock him up long-term.

Three Years Remaining

F Tyler Toffoli ($4.6MM, UFA)
D Jake Muzzin ($4MM, UFA)
F Trevor Lewis ($2MM, UFA)
F Kyle Clifford ($1.6MM, UFA)

Toffoli, the 25-year-old center, had established himself as a potential franchise player after increasing his goal totals every year, including a 31-goal performance in the 2015-16 season. However, like most Kings last year, Toffoli suffered a down year, finishing the season with 16 goals and 18 assists in 63 games and should bounce back in his fifth season with the franchise. Muzzin, a key defender, also saw his stats slip last year. After two 40-point seasons, his numbers dropped to 28 points. Lewis and Clifford are bottom line forwards who will have to fight for a chance to play on the team’s third line.

Four Or More Years Remaining

F Anze Kopitar ($10MM through 2023-24)
F Dustin Brown ($5.88MM through 2021-22)
G Jonathan Quick ($5.8MM through 2022-23)
F Jeff Carter ($5.27MM through 2021-22)
F Marian Gaborik ($4.88MM through 2020-21)
D Alec Martinez ($4MM through 2020-21)
F Tanner Pearson ($3.75MM through 2020-21)

It looks like the team invested all of their money on locking up their core players to long-term deals. However, many of those players have aged quickly and aren’t the franchise players they should be. Kopitar is still a very productive player, but should he be paid $10MM per year for the next seven years. He’s already 30, so that’s a contract that could hamper them for years. His 12 goals and 40 assists aren’t too impressive when you look at his contract. The 32-year-old Brown is in a similar situation. Despite having five years left, Brown’s game has slipped over the past few years. No longer the 20-goal scorer he was in his prime, the veteran wing actually had an improved year, putting up 14 goals and 36 points, which is the best year he’s had since 2011-12. Gaborik is entering a season in which has not been medically cleared to play yet after offseason knee surgery to correct two problems. At age 35, his time is running out, but the knee problems have forced him to miss 54 games over the past two years.

Quick is still considered a top-notch goalie, but the team lost him to injury for much of the season last year. His numbers are still good, but how long can he continue to do that with a depleted defense and an aging frontline? As for Carter, he was well worth the money the Kings spent for him. Even at age 32, Carter put up 32 goals and 34 assists for a big season. Martinez is also a defenseman who is trending in the right direction. The top-four defenseman is coming off a career-high in points with 39 and continues to improve.

Buyouts

D Matt Greene ($833K in 2017-18, $833K in 2018-19)
F Mike Richards ($1.32MM for a recapture penalty through 2019-20)

Retained Salary Transactions

None

Still To Sign

None

Best Value: Doughty
Worst Value: Brown

Looking Ahead

The Kings have themselves a lot of problems as the franchise is saddled with numerous long-term deals to players who are near 30 or have already crossed over that 30-year line. With a new coach and general manger in tow, the team must figure out how they are going to add some young players to mix in with the veterans they already have who aren’t going anywhere. Perhaps a buyout or two in the future will ease the cap problems this franchise will deal with, but it may be a while before this franchise returns to its former glory.

Los Angeles Kings Alec Martinez| Andy Andreoff| Anze Kopitar| Christian Folin| Darcy Kuemper| Derek Forbort| Drew Doughty| Dustin Brown| Jake Muzzin| Jonathan Quick| Jordan Nolan| Kevin Gravel| Marian Gaborik| Matt Greene| Mike Cammalleri| Mike Richards| Nick Shore| Oscar Fantenberg| Salary Cap Deep Dive| Tanner Pearson| Tyler Toffoli

1 comment

Kings Looking To Shift Course

July 3, 2017 at 8:10 pm CDT | by Seth Lawrence 9 Comments

After missing the playoffs two seasons in a row, the L.A. Kings have fallen pretty hard from grace. After winning the cup twice in three years, it’s been one bad story after another for the team from Hollywood. Dustin Brown was stripped of the captaincy and relegated to bottom-six duties, not long after former key contributor Mike Richards found himself terminated due to a combination of on-ice, off-ice, and salary issues. Matt Greene had to be bought out entirely. Marian Gaborik is 35, signed for four more seasons, and just put together two underwhelming performances back-t0-back. The defense has gotten more top-heavy, and after losing Brayden McNabb to Vegas in the expansion draft, is set to lose another valuable piece. The head coach who earned the franchise its two rings was fired and a re-tread coach from Philadelphia will get his opportunity in 2017-18.

In an article with the L.A. Times written by Helene Elliotts, GM Rob Blake details the change in philosophy the Kings will need to adopt if they are going to find success in the near future. Ultimately, he wants to predicate the team’s identity more on speed, while staying true to their defensive style. Los Angeles has played a heavy, physical, stifling game to get their championships, and it appears that Blake is shifting away from that mantra next season. He isolated the “core” of the team as Anze Kopitar, Tanner Pearson, Jeff Carter, Tyler Toffoli, Drew Doughty, Jake Muzzin, and Jonathan Quick. It might be drawn from his sentiment thatt other, more expendable pieces that may be available if the Kings continue to merely tread water.

Los Angeles did make a decent bargain-bin signing in Mike Cammalleri, who was sunk by a capsized New Jersey Devils squad last season. The potential for him to rebound and be productive is quite high, but it may not be nearly enough. The Kings beat out only Philadelphia, Colorado, New Jersey and Vancouver in terms of fewest goals scored. Carter and Pearson were the only twenty-goal scorers on the team. Guaranteed offense is an absolute need, and although former coach Darryl Sutter’s systems were a component of the struggles, the team needs more reliable production. Their defense is still the team’s greatest organizational strength, but it does strike some as odd that a player like McNabb wasn’t shuffled elsewhere for scoring help rather than being sacrificed for nothing to expansion.

If the Kings decide at this late stage to go the free agency route, their options are solid if a bit older. If speed is the determinant factor, that may seem to rule out the likes of Jaromir Jagr and Jarome Iginla, while leaving the possibility of a Thomas Vanek signing open. More likely, however, the Blake and the Kings will need to probe the trade market. From there, the team will likely need to surrender future assets if they hope to receive solid scoring in a returning package. The team could take a lot of offensive pressure off of Kopitar (who himself is more of a two-way player) if they could swing a trade for a solid center. Matt Duchene is likely out of their price range, and Alex Galchenyuk’s value just skyrocketed. The bottom-six wingers are dreadfully lacking in experience, so an upgrade to the third line couldn’t hurt. Cap space is tight, however, as the team will only have over $5.5 MM after re-signing RFAs Nick Shore and Kevin Gravel. It may take outside-the-box thinking to bring the Kings back into contender status, but Blake seems primed to make moves, albeit on his own timeline.

Darryl Sutter| Expansion| Free Agency| Los Angeles Kings| NLA| New Jersey Devils| RFA| RIP| Rob Blake Alex Galchenyuk| Anze Kopitar| Dustin Brown| Dustin Brown| Jarome Iginla| Jaromir Jagr| Jeff Carter| Jonathan Quick| Kevin Gravel| Marian Gaborik| Matt Duchene| Mike Cammalleri| Mike Richards| Nick Shore| Tanner Pearson| Thomas Vanek| Tyler Toffoli

9 comments

Early Expansion Protection News: Capitals, Kings, Flames, Predators, And More

June 17, 2017 at 7:58 pm CDT | by Zach Leach 4 Comments

The 2017 NHL Expansion Draft is an exciting process. If you’re too riled up to wait until the lists are officially submitted in the morning, you’re in luck. As could be expected, information leaks are flooding in on who was and wasn’t protected by their teams ahead of the deadline this afternoon. This list will be updated all night long as more news comes in:

  • Isabelle Khurshudyan of the Washington Post was the first reputable source to release her team’s protection list, as she  confirmed the Washington Capitals’ names not long after the 5:00 PM ET deadline. The lists includes the expected names: Alex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom, Evgeny Kuznetsov, Andre Burakovsky, Marcus Johansson, Lars Eller, Tom Wilson, Matt Niskanen, John Carlson, Dmitry Orlov, and Braden Holtby. While not surprising, the list does not include long-time Jay Beagle, promising young players Nate Schmidt and Brett Connolly, and a oft-rumored target of the Golden Knights, backup goaltender Philipp Grubauer. 
  • L.A.-based hockey writer John Hoven got the list of protected players for the Los Angeles Kings, which confirms that they will indeed protect eight-skaters, including four defenseman, rather than the 7/3 protection scheme. Among the safe are Anze Kopitar, Jeff Carter, Tyler Toffoli, Tanner Pearson, Drew Doughty, Jake Muzzin, Alec Martinez, and the key decision, Derek Forbort. Star goalie Jonathan Quick was also obviously protected. While the Kings succeeded in protecting the most valuable players on the roster, they still have left defenseman Brayden McNabb and a large assortment of forwards including Trevor Lewis, Nic Dowd, and Nick Shore open to selection.
  • Sportsnet’s Eric Francis, who covers the Calgary Flames, has some key names for his team as well. Francis confirmed that the Flames did not protect 2016 free agent acquisition Troy Brouwer, but did opt to save younger assets like Sam Bennett, Micheal Ferland, and Curtis Lazar. Although Francis stops there, the rest of Calgary’s list is somewhat self explanatory with newly-acquired goalie Mike Smith, defensive core of Mark Giordano, T.J. Brodie, and Dougie Hamilton, and cornerstone forwards Johnny Gaudreau, Sean Monahan, Michael Frolik, and Mikael Backlund as obvious choices.
  • One not so obvious choice has been made in Nashville. Adam Vingan of The Tennessean answered a question on the minds of many, reporting that the Predators did in fact protect forward Calle Jarnkrok. With the rest of the eight-skater list all but set in stone with goalie Pekka Rinne, defensemen Roman Josi, P.K. Subban, Ryan Ellis, and Mattias Ekholm, and star forwards Filip Forsberg, Ryan Johansen, and Viktor Arvidsson, the final forward spot came down to Jarnkrok, signed long-term, or James Neal, an elite scorer with just one year remaining on his contract. It seems that Neal will be open for selection, alongside names like Colton Sissons, Colin Wilson, and Craig Smith. Vignan adds that no deal has been struck between Vegas and the Predators to protect any of those players, with Nashville especially liking to retain Neal and Sissons.
  • Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman reported that, interestingly enough, young Detroit Red Wings defenseman Xavier Ouellet was not protected by his team. This is the first real surprise of the expansion process and the first protection news that doesn’t match up with PHR’s Expansion Primer projections. The 23-year-old skated in 66 games this season for Detroit, third most among defenseman, and his 12 points tied that of top-pair man Danny DeKeyser. Yet, Ouellett will not join DeKeyser and Mike Green in protection, instead beaten out by another teammate. GM Ken Holland, who has gotten the reputation of perhaps being too loyal, possibly chose aging veteran Niklas Kronwall over Ouellet. Hopefully that doesn’t come back to bite the rebuilding Red Wings.
  • Another name confirmed to be unprotected is young Vancouver Canucks center Brendan Gaunce. Vancouver sports anchor Rick Dhaliwal was told that that Gaunce, a 2012 first-round pick, did not make the protection list for the Canucks, expected to be a 7/3 format, meaning that the team saw him as outside the top seven forwards on the team. The 23-year-old two-way specialist has upside, but after registering just five points in 57 games last season, no one will blame Vancouver for that choice.

Calgary Flames| Detroit Red Wings| Expansion| Los Angeles Kings| Nashville Predators| Players| Vancouver Canucks| Vegas Golden Knights| Washington Capitals Alex Ovechkin| Andre Burakovsky| Anze Kopitar| Braden Holtby| Brendan Gaunce| Brett Connolly| Calle Jarnkrok| Colin Wilson| Colton Sissons| Curtis Lazar| Danny DeKeyser| Derek Forbort| Dmitry Orlov| Dougie Hamilton| Elliotte Friedman| Evgeny Kuznetsov| Expansion Primer| Filip Forsberg| James Neal| Jay Beagle| Jeff Carter| John Carlson| Johnny Gaudreau| Jonathan Quick| Lars Eller| Marcus Johansson| Mark Giordano| Matt Niskanen| Michael Frolik| Micheal Ferland| Mikael Backlund| Mike Green| Mike Smith| Nick Shore| Nicklas Backstrom| Niklas Kronwall| P.K. Subban| Pekka Rinne| Philipp Grubauer| Roman Josi| Ryan Ellis| Ryan Johansen| Sam Bennett| Sean Monahan| Tanner Pearson| Tom Wilson| Troy Brouwer| Tyler Toffoli| Viktor Arvidsson| Xavier Ouellet

4 comments

Deadline Approaches To Ask Players To Waive No-Movement Clauses

June 12, 2017 at 11:57 am CDT | by Gavin Lee 2 Comments

On the heels of yesterday’s report that both Keith Yandle and Dion Phaneuf had been asked to waive their no-movement clauses in order to be exposed for the upcoming expansion draft, speculation is running rampant around the league on who else will be asked. Below is the full list of players who currently require protection due to their clauses. The deadline to submit a request to a player is 4pm CDT today, while the player must inform the team of his decision by the same time on Friday June 16th. Because the Stanley Cup Finals ended last night, Nashville and Pittsburgh will not receive an extension and will need to submit their requests at the same time as every other team.

Elliotte Friedman was on Sportsnet radio today and mentioned that the Anaheim Ducks have spoken with Kevin Bieksa about possibly waiving his clause, something examined at length in our recent Ducks Expansion Primer.

Anaheim (4)
Kevin Bieksa — Expected to be asked.
Ryan Getzlaf
Ryan Kesler
Corey Perry

Arizona (1)
Alex Goligoski

Boston (4)
David Backes
Patrice Bergeron
Zdeno Chara
David Krejci

Read more

Buffalo (1)
Kyle Okposo

Carolina (1)
Jordan Staal

Columbus (4)
Sergei Bobrovsky
Brandon Dubinsky
Nick Foligno
Scott Hartnell — Was not asked to waive.

Chicago (8)
Artem Anisimov
Corey Crawford
Niklas Hjalmarsson
Marian Hossa
Patrick Kane
Duncan Keith
Brent Seabrook
Jonathan Toews

Colorado (2)
Francois Beauchemin
Erik Johnson

Dallas (3)
Jamie Benn
Jason Spezza
Ben Bishop

Detroit (1)
Frans Nielsen

Edmonton (3)
Milan Lucic
Andrej Sekera
Cam Talbot

Florida (1)
Keith Yandle — Conflicting reports. George Richards of Miami Herald reports that he has not been asked.

Los Angeles (1)
Anze Kopitar

Minnesota (4)
Mikko Koivu
Zach Parise
Jason Pominville
Ryan Suter

Montreal (2)
Jeff Petry
Carey Price

Nashville (1)
Pekka Rinne

N.Y. Islanders (3)
Johnny Boychuk
Andrew Ladd
John Tavares

N.Y. Rangers (4)
Dan Girardi
Henrik Lundqvist
Rick Nash
Marc Staal

Ottawa (1)
Dion Phaneuf — Asked to waive.

Philadelphia (2)
Claude Giroux
Valtteri Filppula

Pittsburgh (5)
Sidney Crosby
Marc-Andre Fleury — Waived.
Phil Kessel
Kris Letang
Evgeni Malkin

Tampa Bay (3)
Ryan Callahan — Not expected to be asked.
Victor Hedman
Steven Stamkos

Vancouver (3)
Loui Eriksson
Daniel Sedin
Henrik Sedin

Winnipeg (2)
Dustin Byfuglien
Toby Enstrom

Expansion Alex Goligoski| Andrej Sekera| Andrew Ladd| Anze Kopitar| Artem Anisimov| Brandon Dubinsky| Brent Seabrook| Cam Talbot| Carey Price| Claude Giroux| Corey Crawford| Corey Perry| Dan Girardi| Daniel Sedin| David Backes| David Krejci| Dion Phaneuf| Duncan Keith| Dustin Byfuglien| Elliotte Friedman| Erik Johnson| Evgeni Malkin| Francois Beauchemin| Frans Nielsen| Henrik Lundqvist| Henrik Sedin| Jamie Benn| Jason Pominville| Jason Spezza| Jeff Petry| John Tavares| Johnny Boychuk| Jonathan Toews| Jordan Staal| Keith Yandle| Kevin Bieksa| Kris Letang| Kyle Okposo| Loui Eriksson| Marc Staal| Marc-Andre Fleury| Marian Hossa| Mikko Koivu| Milan Lucic| Niklas Hjalmarsson| Patrice Bergeron| Patrick Kane| Pekka Rinne| Phil Kessel

2 comments

Kings Fire Head Coach Darryl Sutter And GM Dean Lombardi

April 10, 2017 at 7:40 pm CDT | by Zach Leach 6 Comments

In a massive overhaul of their front office, Los Angeles Kings ownership group AEG announced that head coach Darryl Sutter and General Manager Dean Lombardi have been relieved of their positions. A pair of former players and current executives have been promoted with Luc Robitaille named President and Rob Blake named the new General Manager and Vice President. The duo will oversee all of hockey operations which now includes finding a new coach. The Kings will hold an official press conference tomorrow to introduce Robitaille and Blake in their new capacities.

The sweeping changes come after a disappointing season that saw the perennial contenders miss the playoffs entirely. Despite a long-term injury to starting goalie Jonathan Quick, it was instead the offense that struggled for much of the season. Anemic at times, the offense finished 24th in the league with 2.4 goals per game behind poor production from Anze Kopitar, Marian Gaborik, and Dustin Brown and a step backward in development for Tyler Toffoli. Much of the blame for the goal-scoring struggles fell on Sutter’s dated style and slow-paced structure and Lomdardi’s inability to add scoring via trade. Lombardi likely sealed his fate with a strange deadline deal to acquire Tampa Bay Lightning starting goaltender Ben Bishop in exchange for expectation-shattering veteran backup Peter Budaj and other pieces just as Quick had finally gotten healthy. The move did little to help the Kings down the stretch, whereas those same pieces or others could have been used to acquire a scorer instead. Los Angeles finished in tenth in the Western Conference, eight points behind the Nashville Predators and Calgary Flames for a playoff berth.

AEG CEO Dan Beckerman called the move “an extremely difficult decision… made with an enormous amount of consideration”, but in the end they felt that it was the best for the team. Beckerman expressed his gratitude to both Sutter and Lombardi in the company’s statement, as the pair did build and operate a Kings team that won two Stanley Cups in a five-year span, but simply felt it was time to move on. Sutter joins a growing list of highly decorated  veteran coaches available on the open market, but only time will tell if his old-school style is appealing to one of the teams in the hunt for a new bench boss. Sutter is a Hall of Famer, but his NHL future is currently in doubt. Lombardi meanwhile is not long removed from being considered a top team builder in the NHL. Lombardi built a winner in L.A., but simply forgot to keep building. Nevertheless, he will find a job in a front office sooner rather than later. The new team of Robitaille and Blake have their work cut out for them this off-season, as the Kings faces a difficult Expansion Draft scenario, likely a middling first-round pick unable to contribute next season, several contracts that should be shed if possible, and, of course, a desperate need for scoring help up front.

 

Coaches| Darryl Sutter| Los Angeles Kings| Newsstand Anze Kopitar| Ben Bishop| Dustin Brown| Jonathan Quick| Marian Gaborik| Peter Budaj

6 comments

NHL Comparables For Top Draft Propects

April 1, 2017 at 10:35 am CDT | by Glen Miller 1 Comment

While free agency and trades tend to grab most of the offseason headlines, the annual entry draft is generally far more important to NHL teams. Controllable young talent is the life blood of any successful organization and the best way to secure that talent is through the draft. While this year’s draft crop perhaps lacks the “generational” type of player that we’ve seen in each of the two previous years (Connor McDavid and Auston Matthews), there is no shortage of young players who will be selected this June who will go on to have successful NHL careers.

A common approach when discussing 17 and 18-year-old draft prospects is to compare their potential upsides to those of present day or past NHL stars. Sidney Crosby was often compared to a young Wayne Gretzky, not solely due to possessing similar, elite offensive abilities, but also because he exuded the traits of a player that could be one of the game’s great ambassadors. McDavid, in turn was compared to a young Crosby for many of those same reasons.

In an interesting piece appearing on NHL.com, Mike Morreale takes a stab at comparing a handful of the top 2017 draft prospects to some of the day’s top NHL stars using analysis from NHL Central Scouting. Among them is potential #1 overall pick Nolan Patrick, who the scribe compares to Los Angeles Kings center Anze Kopitar, citing the former’s hockey sense and vision as the youngster’s best assets. Like the 6-foot-3, 224-pound Kopitar, Patrick has great size (6-foot-3, 198-pounds) and according to Central Scouting, his “playmaking ability with the size and reach is tremendous.”

If Patrick is not chosen first overall then that honor may well go to Nico Hischier of the QMJHL’s Halifax Mooseheads. Morreale cites Washington pivot Nicklas Backstrom as Hischier’s possible NHL comparable, identifying the latter’s hockey sense and skating ability as his top attributes. Central Scouting says “he plays a complete game but is very good offensively.”

Other prospects to make an appearance are Gabriel Vilardi and Owen Tippett, from Windsor and Mississauga of the OHL respectively, as well as USHL stars Casey Mittelstadt and Kevin Petruzzelli.

While it’s natural to project young players into some of the stars of today’s game, it’s important to note that these comparisons essentially represent the bast case scenarios for each of the prospect’s in their long term development. The words prospect and suspect are sometimes used interchangeably, reminding us that no matter how talented the prospect may be, any number of factors can prevent him from reaching his full potential. Every team hopes their top draft pick turns into a Crosby, Backstrom or Kopitar but the possibility remains that instead they end up with the next Patrik Stefan, Rostislav Klesla or Pavel Vorobiev. That same fate could befall any, or all of 2017’s top draft prospects.

Los Angeles Kings| Players| QMJHL Anze Kopitar| Auston Matthews| Connor McDavid| Nicklas Backstrom| Nico Hischier| Wayne Gretzky

1 comment

Forgotten Futures: Checking In On Picks 3-5

March 3, 2017 at 4:42 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee 1 Comment

While Auston Matthews and Patrik Laine have dominated many of the headlines around the NHL since the moment they put on their respective sweaters on June 24th, 2016 there were other names picked that day that have received much less attention. Matthew Tkachuk has burst onto the scene in Calgary, recording an incredible 41 points in his rookie season (including more assists than either of the top 2) while Jakob Chychrun has steadily improved in the desert and is now logging 20 minutes a night as an 18-year old.

There were three other names taken between Laine and Tkachuk, and though their respective fan bases surely haven’t forgotten about their prized assets, drooling over the potential they bring while combing through box scores—that is if anyone combs through box scores anymore—the rest of the league might have. As we head past the trade deadline many teams look towards the future, hoping for a brighter sunrise next season and looking at comparables for their expected draft position this summer.

5th Overall Pick – Olli Juolevi (VAN)

The first defenseman picked in the draft was Olli Juolevi from the London Knights. The smooth skating defender that was heralded as a future #1 who could play in any situation has had an excellent, if a little underwhelming season for the Knights in 2016-17. Playing on a great team in front of a great goaltender, Juolevi has continued to rack up assists while being a main part of one of the stingiest defensive teams in the OHL. The Knights have allowed just 165 goals this season and Juolevi is one of the reasons why.

With 39 points in 49 games, he continues to produce in junior hockey, though a little less can be said about his performance at the World Juniors. Captaining a Finnish squad that was without almost all of their key players—including one we will speak of later—Juolevi didn’t impress much through the preliminary round. After his coach got fired midway through the tournament, Juolevi stepped up a bit but still finished with just two points in six games.

It’s hardly enough to judge him on, but Vancouver Canucks fans were likely hoping to see him take over the tournament all by himself and drag the Finnish team to the medal round. They should however be excited about the prospect that London will be in the OHL playoffs starting later this month, where Juolevi will try for a second crack at the Memorial Cup.

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4th Overall Pick – Jesse Puljujarvi (EDM)

One of those missing Finnish forwards was none other than Jesse Puljujarvi, who missed the tournament because he was in the NHL at the time. The Oilers couldn’t believe it when the second-best Finnish draftee fell into their laps at fourth overall, as he was expected to go one spot higher. The big (big) winger is expected to turn into a dominant power forward in the NHL capable of playing an elite two-way game and helping the Oilers round out their top-six. Jesse Puljujarvi

When Edmonton broke camp with Puljujarvi in tow, it was an interesting decision to keep him and not give him the icetime that Laine and Matthews immediately received. While not as polished as those two, putting him on the ice for 10-12 minutes a game seemed like a waste of his talent and something that couldn’t last. Well it did, until just after the World Juniors completed, amazingly playing Puljujarvi in his final game in Edmonton the same day as the gold medal match. In that final contest, he saw just over three minutes of ice time.

Since then, Puljujarvi has adapted to the AHL quite well scoring 16 points in 20 games and starting to get his confidence back. The winger is the youngest player on the team, only able to play in the professional ranks before the age of 20 because he was drafted out of a European league. Puljujarvi may even return to the NHL this season should the Oilers feel he’s ready, but it looks like next year (or later) will be the time when he makes his mark at this level.

3rd Overall Pick – Pierre-Luc Dubois (CBJ)

Oh Pierre-Luc Dubois, the player who will always have more pressure on him because the Columbus Blue Jackets shocked everyone by picking him ahead of Puljujarvi. When Jarmo Kekalainen read out Dubois’ name, it was a surprise to much of the draft room—but maybe it shouldn’t have been.

In the inevitable arguments about who is better between Laine and Matthews, many defenders of the Toronto center point to his position as the determining factor. That’s the same argument that Columbus used on Dubois, though Blue Jackets fans might need to scream it to make it count. He’s had a fine season, scoring 49 points in 41 games split between the Cape Breton Screaming Eagles and Blainville-Boisbriand Armada of the QMJHL but it hasn’t quite lived up to the hype he created last year when he scored 99 in 62.

Add in the fact that he didn’t impress during the World Juniors (though his team still won a silver medal) and it’s been a rough year for Blue Jackets fans hoping to have another top center as soon as 2018. Dubois is a dominant physical presence in the Q, a league known for skill and offense more than two-way strength. A down year doesn’t mean he still won’t develop into that Anze Kopitar-like presence, but it doesn’t help fans who expected him to lead the junior league in scoring after coming in third last season.

AHL| Columbus Blue Jackets| Edmonton Oilers| Jarmo Kekalainen| London Knights| NHL| OHL| Players| QMJHL| Vancouver Canucks Anze Kopitar| Auston Matthews| Jakob Chychrun| Jesse Puljujarvi| Matthew Tkachuk| Olli Juolevi| Patrik Laine| Pierre-Luc Dubois| World Juniors

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Trade Candidate: P.A. Parenteau

January 29, 2017 at 5:00 pm CDT | by Glen Miller 1 Comment

With the trade deadline quickly approaching, we will be profiling several players in the weeks ahead that are likely to be dealt by March 1st.

Now that the New Jersey Devils are all but eliminated from playoff contention – they are part of a four-way tie for fewest points in the Eastern Conference but have played more games than the three other clubs – it’s likely they will begin to market veteran players on expiring contracts, or other assets that can help speed up their roster rebuild. One player that fits the former mold, P.A. Parenteau, may well be on the move again, set to possibly join the seventh different NHL team since debuting in the league 10 years ago if the Devils decide a trade is worthwhile.

Parenteau broke into the league during the 2006-07 campaign with the Chicago Blackhawks, appearing in five games. The winger was traded to the New York Rangers where he didn’t see any NHL action until the 2009-10 season, getting into 22 contests with the Blueshirts. He finally secured a full time role in the NHL in 2010-11 at the age of 27 as a member of the New York Islanders, for whom he would record his first 20-goal season. Parenteau has bounced around the last four seasons, spending time with Colorado, Montreal, Toronto and now the Devils, who acquired the nine-year vet via waivers just prior to the start of the 2016-17 campaign.

Contract

On July 2nd, Parenteau inked a one-year, $1.25MM deal to return to the Islanders where it was expected he would have a chance to earn a spot playing on John Tavares’ wing following the departure of Kyle Okposo. Instead, Parenteau failed to make the team out of camp and was placed on waivers where he was claimed by New Jersey. He will again be an unrestricted free agent this summer upon the expiration of his current agreement.

2016-17

Parenteau has earned a top-six role with the Devils, seeing extensive action at both even strength and on the power play. He is averaging better than 15 1/2 minutes per game and has tallied 12 goals with 11 assists in 48 games this season. The 6-foot, 200-pound winger is tied for second on the team in man-advantage goals with four and his eight even strength markers rank third.

Potential Suitors

Any team looking for cheap secondary scoring might take a hard look at Parenteau. Most clubs in the league would easily be able to accommodate his minimal cap charge and his production this year has been solid. He’s probably not a top-six winger on a Stanley Cup contender but with everyone looking for scoring from all four forward lines, Parenteau should be able to slide in on a team’s bottom-six and produce.

Anaheim presently resides in third place in the Pacific and in possession of the guaranteed playoff spot that represents. However, just three forwards are currently on pace to net 20 or more goals this season and just six have registered at least 20 points. Granted, both Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry are not producing up to their lofty standards but the team could use an offensive boost.

Los Angeles ranks 22nd in goals scored this season while Anze Kopitar and Marian Gaborik each have just five goals on the season. Kings GM Dean Lombardi likely doesn’t want to deal prospects or draft picks for a quick fix but Parenteau likely wouldn’t cost an acquiring team much more than a mid-round choice.

Chicago is thought to be on the lookout for someone to ride shotgun on Jonathan Toews’ line and if they strike out on preferred options such as Thomas Vanek and Patrick Sharp, Parenteau could represent a nice low-risk investment for the team.

Likelihood of a Trade

Parenteau is almost a lock to be traded unless the Devils see value in extending the 33-year-old winger. He has a solid pedigree of success and his contract can be absorbed into any payroll situation. Additionally, the low acquisition cost would appeal to any team unwilling to mortgage a significant part of their future for a trade deadline move.

Chicago Blackhawks| Los Angeles Kings| NHL| New Jersey Devils| New York Islanders| New York Rangers| Players| St. Louis Blues| Uncategorized| Waivers Anze Kopitar| Corey Perry| John Tavares| Jonathan Toews| Kyle Okposo| Marian Gaborik| Patrick Sharp

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Projecting John Tavares’ Next Contract

January 29, 2017 at 2:00 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee 3 Comments

True superstars don’t hit the open market very often. When Steven Stamkos got close enough to talk to other teams in the negotiating window last summer, it was as close as you’d ever expect a player of that caliber in his prime to get to unrestricted free agency. Stamkos eventually signed on June 29th, a day that will live in hockey infamy (due to the massive trades that also happened within minutes of the Lightning re-signing). Thus, it was technically an extension that Stamkos signed, as he’d not yet become a free agent.

This weekend at the all-star game, a player who has been linked to Stamkos for a long time made his feelings clear about a possible extension. John Tavares, the superstar center that has been mired in New York (and not that New York) for the first part of his career told the media that he’d be open to an extension come July 1st, and that he liked the direction the organization was heading. Now, whether or not you agree with him on liking the direction GM Garth Snow and company are headed in, it’s a big deal that Tavares would come out so publicly in support of at least a negotiation.

So the question now becomes what would an extension look like. Tavares has one more season on his current deal, which will pay him $6MM (with a $5.5MM cap hit) and contains a full no-movement clause. He signed that deal back in 2011, before he’d even turned 21. Now 26, any extension he signs will start when he’s heading into his age-28 season almost two years older than Stamkos was.

It’s with Stamkos that the comparison has to begin. The two were the first overall selections in back to back years, and faced each other countless times in junior. They were even teammates at 17 for Canada at the World Juniors, while battling near the top of the OHL scoring charts (with another future first-overall selection in Taylor Hall). Stamkos’ deal then is a good starting point for projecting what Tavares will get.

It’s that though that poses so much difficulty, because of their distinct situations. As mentioned, Tavares is due to hit free agency later than Stamkos and doesn’t quite have the resume of the Lightning sniper. As surprising as it may be, Tavares lags behind in most categories including individual awards and team success. The Lightning have been players deep into the playoffs, while the Islanders have won just a single playoff round with Tavares. Stamkos has two Maurice Richard trophies for the league’s top goal scorer, while amazingly Tavares has only come relatively close to an award during the lockout-shortened season.

Stamkos received an eight-year deal from the Lightning, with an average annual value of $8.5MM. Many saw this as a steal for Tampa Bay, as there were numbers bandied about as high as $12MM from the Toronto Maple Leafs. With the blue-and-white shadow looming over Tavares as well (another home-town boy) $8.5 is an interesting starting point for an extension. Even if Stamkos did take a bit off to stay in Tampa, there are only seven forwards who earn more on a per-year basis than him in the league, and four of them were just named to the NHL’s top-100 players of all time (and another should have been, but I digress).  While Tavares simply doesn’t have the numbers to approach Stamkos – he has scored .92 points per game to Stamkos’ .99 – many believe he is the better defensive player and doesn’t have the injury history that the Lightning forward does.

Anze Kopitar, a center who lags behind Tavares offensively but is considered among the best defensive forwards in the game just got $10MM per season for the next eight years, and it seems like that may actually be closer to what the Islanders will have to dish out. While the real number will likely fall somewhere in between, it’s not out of the question that Tavares could get the largest annual value ever should he wait to hit the open market. Like Stamkos before him a bidding war would likely open, and with the loss of that eighth year possibility (contracts are capped at seven years once a player hits unrestricted free agency), the AAV would likely go up.

For the Islanders, signing Tavares is obviously a huge priority. But after committing long term to Andrew Ladd and having $6MM tied up in an under-performing and rapidly aging Johnny Boychuk it won’t be an easy task. The team has a lot of money tied up in players that aren’t giving them a chance at the Stanley Cup, meaning this superstar may just hold out a little longer to really see what direction the team is headed in for the next eight years.

Dallas Stars| Free Agency| Garth Snow| Injury| NHL| New York Islanders| OHL| Players| Tampa Bay Lightning| Toronto Maple Leafs Andrew Ladd| Anze Kopitar| John Tavares| World Juniors

3 comments

Pacific Notes: Arizona Rentals, Burrows, DeMelo, Kopitar

January 13, 2017 at 1:29 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

While many teams have hoped Arizona’s asking price regarding center Martin Hanzal would have come down by now, Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman told 630 CHED in Edmonton that the price remains the same and that the team is still looking for someone who can play right away as part of the return (transcription via Fan Rag’s Chris Nichols):

“John Chayka has held steadfast that Hanzal is going to have to get them a young player who can play in the NHL right now – preferably a center. So I think teams have balked at that.”

Friedman adds that Los Angeles, St. Louis, and San Jose are among the Western Conference teams that have inquired about Hanzal’s availability.

There are teams also showing an interest in pending UFA blueliner Michael Stone (who ranks 15th in our Midseason UFA Power Rankings), Tampa Bay among them, but like Hanzal, the price is too steep for anyone to meet just yet.

Of course, the salary cap may be playing a role in these two not getting moved yet as both players have sizable cap hits; Hanzal comes in at $3.1MM while Stone is earning $4MM this season and most teams don’t have the ability to absorb those hits in their entirety at the moment.

More from the Pacific:

  • Teams have started to call Vancouver to inquire about the availability of pending UFA winger Alex Burrows, reports Jim Matheson of the Edmonton Sun. While Burrows has no-trade protection, it has long been speculated that he would be a candidate to move by the trade deadline if the Canucks fall out of the playoff picture.  However, with a cap hit of $4.5MM, it’s likely that any move involving him would occur closer to the deadline to make it easier for the acquiring team to fit him in on their payroll.
  • Sharks defenseman Dylan DeMelo underwent surgery to repair a broken right wrist today, the team announced. The injury was originally sustained on Tuesday against the Oilers.  He’s expected to miss roughly eight weeks.  DeMelo has spent the season primarily as San Jose’s seventh blueliner as he has played in just 14 games this year, recording four points (1-3-4) while averaging 15:04 per night.
  • The Kings are at a loss when it comes to trying to figure out what has caused center Anze Kopitar to struggle as much as he has offensively this season, writes Elliott Teaford of the LA Daily News. Kopitar has just 21 points in 37 games this year and has had just three multi-point games.  That’s hardly the level of production they were expecting when they handed him an eight year, $80MM extension last January, even if his defensive game is still strong.  Head coach Darryl Sutter ruled out the possibility that Kopitar’s wrist/hand issue has crept back up, nor does he believe assuming the captaincy has created any extra pressure on the 29 year old Slovenian.

Injury| Utah Mammoth Alex Burrows| Anze Kopitar| Dylan DeMelo| Martin Hanzal| Michael Stone

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