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Archives for September 2018

Atlantic Notes: Krug, Zaitsev, Formenton

September 15, 2018 at 8:54 pm CDT | by Holger Stolzenberg 1 Comment

Throughout the offseason, there have been lots of rumors surrounding the Boston Bruins, including many names that had been bandied about, including their top defenseman Torey Krug, whose name came up on several occasions while Boston was looking for a top-six winger. It wasn’t that they wanted to get rid of him, but logically, Krug would have made the most sense to move with the emergence of Charlie McAvoy. The crowded defense probably could survive without him and with his cap hit of $5.25MM AAV, the team could use the cap relief. Not to mention the fact that he’s posted 110 points over the course of the last two seasons.

In the end, the team never moved Krug or even came that close to moving him. Regardless, Krug laughed off the trade rumors, according to Joe Haggerty of NBC Sports.

“I don’t really see anybody doing my job here. I just have to make sure I show up every day and do the job the best that I can,” said Krug, who remained behind in Boston while rehabbing a fractured ankle as the bulk of the team trains in China. “You can’t really worry about too many things that people are saying. You go back to that famous line that it’s the nature of the business. So I’m still here and ready to do my job.”

  • Kristen Shilton of TSN writes that Toronto Maple Leafs defenseman Nikita Zaitsev took it hard last season when he struggled after returning from injury last season. The 26-year-old was coming off an impressive rookie season in which he four goals and 36 points, but after breaking his foot, while blocking a shot on Dec. 15, his season took a turn for the worse. He came back after missing 17 games, but never was the same. “[You’re] not confident in yourself,” Zaitsev said on Saturday, reflecting on his return during Toronto’s training camp session at Gale Centre Arena. “Missing six weeks, it was [really hard]. It’s not an excuse, though. I started the season really good and I was confident in every minute what I did on the ice. After [getting hurt] I just couldn’t keep myself on the same level.” He hopes that now, finally healthy, he should be able to bounce back next season.
  • The Ottawa Senators might be heading for a full-blown rebuild, but that’s just fine for 19-year-old Alex Formenton, who has impressed the coaching staff after a couple days of training camp, according to Ken Warren of the Ottawa Citizen. The 2017 second-rounder made the team as an 18-year-old out of training camp last season, but was sent back after playing just two games before being sent back to his junior team. However, it’s his speed that has really impressed the staff this year as he has been already teamed with Matt Duchene and Ryan Dzingel in practice. “He makes a few guys look like cones out there,” Ottawa Senators coach Guy Boucher said of Formenton, who scored during Saturday’s intrasquad scrimmage. “It’s not the guys’ fault. It’s just that he’s so impressive. If you give this guy a bit of room and you didn’t gap up well, goodbye. A few of our older guys are finding that out.”

Boston Bruins| Guy Boucher| Ottawa Senators| Toronto Maple Leafs Charlie McAvoy| Matt Duchene| Nikita Zaitsev| Ryan Dzingel| Torey Krug

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Salary Cap Deep Dive: Minnesota Wild

September 15, 2018 at 8:05 pm CDT | by Holger Stolzenberg Leave a Comment

Navigating the Salary Cap is probably one of the more important tasks for any general manager to have. Teams that can avert total cap chaos by walking the tightrope of inking players to deals that match their value (or compensate for future value without breaking the bank) remain successful. Those that don’t see struggles and front office changes.

PHR will look at every NHL team and give a thorough look at their cap situation heading into the 2018-19 season. This will focus more on those players who are integral parts of the roster versus those who may find themselves shuttling between the AHL and NHL. All cap figures are courtesy of CapFriendly.

Minnesota Wild

Current Cap Hit: $77,729,424 (under the $79.5MM Upper Limit)

Entry-Level Contracts

F Luke Kunin (two years, $925K)
F Jordan Greenway (two years, $917K)
F Joel Eriksson Ek (one year, $894K)

Potential Bonuses:

Kunin: $500K
Eriksson Ek: $425K
Greenway: $400K

Total: $1.35MM

The team has just three entry-level players and all three will be critical to the team over the next couple of years. Their 2016 first-rounder, Kunin, suffered an ACL injury in April that required surgery. While he is close to be ready to return, he’s still being held out to allow his knee to fully heal. Regardless, the team has high expectations for him. He struggled to capture a full-time role with Minnesota last year, but scored 10 goals in the AHL in just 36 appearances there, while getting 19 games in with the NHL club. The team will need him to step into a full-time role as soon as he’s healthy. Eriksson Ek, the team’s 2015 first-rounder, got himself a full-time role, but struggled to put up points in the bottom-six, posting six goals in 75 games. A bigger role could allow him to take that next step.

The team also has big hopes for Greenway, who the team pried away from Boston University this spring. The 6-foot-6, 226-pound winger should provide the team with a solid power forward, who could jump into the team’s top-six immediately.

One Year Remaining, Non-Entry-Level

F Eric Staal ($3.5MM, UFA)
F Eric Fehr ($1MM, UFA)
D Gustav Olofsson ($725K, RFA)
F Matt Hendricks ($700K, UFA)
F Matt Read ($650K, UFA)
D Nate Prosser ($650K, UFA)
G Alex Stalock ($650K, UFA)
G Andrew Hammond ($650K, UFA)

The team will have an interesting decision to make on Staal at the end of this season. Staal, who was coming off a disappointing 13-goal season a few years ago, signed a three-year, $10.5MM deal, which has been one of the team’s best signings in their history. Staal, who many thought might be slowing down, responded with 28 goals in 2016-17 and followed that up with a 42-goal season last year. Now at age 33, what will Minnesota do in a year when he’s 34 and in need of another deal? If he posts another impressive season, the Wild will have to pay up to keep his services. A disappointing year could mean the end of a thrilling ride.

The rest of the group are full of one-year deals in which the players must prove their worth. The team brought in Fehr, Hendricks and Read to shore up their fourth line, which struggled at times last year, while the team also has a pair of veteran netminders fighting for the backup goalie spot in Stalock and Hammond.

Two Years Remaining

F Mikael Granlund ($5.75MM, UFA)
F Mikko Koivu ($5.5MM, UFA)
D Jared Spurgeon ($5.18MM, UFA)
F Charlie Coyle ($3.2MM, UFA)
F J.T. Brown ($688K, UFA)

The team gave Koivu a two-year extension a year ago, but the 35-year-old is starting to fade after a 14-goal, 31-point performance last season and could be moved down a line, especially if Eriksson Ek continues to improve. Koivu still remains the all-time leader in both games played and points, however, but this could very likely be his last contract.

Granlund could also be an interesting situation. The 26-year-old has improved his game over the last two season, posting a combined 47 goals and he had a career-high in assists last year with 46. His second half was also a big success as he posted 45 points in 46 games, almost a point a game. If he can keep that production up, the Wild should look good. Fortunately, the team has two more years to monitor his success before they have to offer him a new contract. Coyle is another player, who has the ability to put up big points, yet Coyle has struggled more recently, posting just 11 goals and 37 points in 66 games. However, a broken fibula could have been a cause of his on-ice struggles. The team hopes that he can bounce back and prove he belongs in the team’s top-six.

Spurgeon has been perhaps the team’s best defenseman this season. The 28-year-old missed 21 games with a partially torn hamstring and rushed back for the playoffs, but wasn’t 100 percent. Already injury-prone, the team still has the veteran for another couple of years before they have to decide on another long-term contract.Read more

Three Years Remaining

G Devan Dubnyk ($4.33MM, UFA)
D Jonas Brodin ($4.17MM, UFA)
F Marcus Foligno ($2.88MM, UFA)
D Greg Pateryn ($2.25MM, UFA)
D Nick Seeler ($725K, UFA)

Dubnyk has been solid for the team even though plenty have their doubts about the goalie. Regardless, he has played 60 or more games for three straight years and hasn’t had a save percentage lower than .918 in any of those year. The 32-year-old is locked up for three years, so the team will have to look into a long-term replacement soon as the years will eventually add up on Dubnyk. While his 2.52 GAA last year was the worst in several years, the veteran still posted 35 wins.

Brodin will likely end up playing alongside Spurgeon this season and should be able to complement them well. He adds a highly-regarded defensive presence to the team’s top-four. Both Pateryn and Seeler could conceivably fill out the team’s third pairing. Pateryn may be one of the team’s more underrated signings this offseason, while Seeler impressed with his toughness and mobility in a 22-game limited viewing at the end of the year.

Foligno struggled early on last year after coming over from Buffalo, but started to figure out the Wild’s system by the end of the year and was impressive in the playoffs. If he continues on that same course, he should provide the team’s fourth line with some much-needed hard-hitting.

Four Or More Years Remaining

F Zach Parise ($7.54MM through 2024-25)
D Ryan Suter ($7.54MM through 2024-25)
D Mathew Dumba ($6MM through 2022-23)
F Jason Zucker ($5.5MM through 2022-23)
F Nino Niederreiter ($5.25MM through 2021-22)

The team’s toughest contracts are the ones that will be held over the team for another seven seasons, but it’s Parise’s deal that will prove truly costly. The Wild signed both Suter and Parise to matching 13-year, $98MM contracts back in 2012. While Suter is still providing solid value (albeit his recent injury), Parise has struggled with injuries. The 34-year-old sat out most of the first half due to back surgery, the veteran came back and performed quite well during a 16-game stretch when he scored 12 goals. However, a broken sternum at the end of the year, knocked him out of the playoffs. The team hopes he can bounce back this year, while Suter also suffered a broken fibula which could have ended his career. However, he has fought back from that injury and is expected to be ready for the start of the season. Suter had 51-point season before going down with his injury.

The team locked up both Dumba and Zucker in the offseason as they both received five-year deals. Dumba provides offense as he’s scored double-digit goals in three straight seasons and could find himself playing next to Suter this year if coach Bruce Boudreau gets what he wants. The 24-year-old had a breakout season as he posted a career-high 50 points. Zucker was handed a two-year “prove it” bridge deal two years ago and he responded with a  combined 55 goals, and was rewarded for that with a five-year, $27.5MM contract and will stay on the team’s top line.

The big unknown is Niederreiter, who had three straight 20-goal seasons, but struggled with injuries all season. If he can bounce back, his contract may not look too bad, but the team had high hopes he might take that next step and develop into a 30-goal scorer, which he has so far failed to do. The team really needs Niederreiter to show that he is as good as his contract if the Wild want to return to the playoffs for a seventh straight year.

Buyouts

F Tyler Ennis ($2.17MM in 2018-19; $1.22MM in 2019-20)

Retained Salary Transactions

None

Still To Sign

None

Best Value: Staal
Worst Value: Parise

(Excluding entry-level contracts)

Looking Ahead

The Wild have a new general manager in Paul Fenton, but so far there has been little change. Whether he’s waiting to see if some of his players have bounce-back seasons before shipping some of them off or whether the team has too much money invested in its veterans, the team is at a crossroads. If players like Coyle, Niederreiter, Parise and Granlund can return to form, the team may be able to take that next step in the playoffs. However, the team just as easily could go the other way and start a rebuilding project around players like Zucker, Dumba and Greenway and do a proper rebuild. This will be the year that will determine which direction the team intends to go.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Bruce Boudreau| Minnesota Wild| Salary Cap Deep Dive 2018 Alex Stalock| Andrew Hammond| Charlie Coyle| Devan Dubnyk| Eric Fehr| Eric Staal| Greg Pateryn| Gustav Olofsson| J.T. Brown| Jared Spurgeon| Jason Zucker| Joel Eriksson Ek| Jonas Brodin| Jordan Greenway| Luke Kunin| Marcus Foligno| Matt Hendricks| Matt Read| Mikael Granlund| Mikko Koivu| Nate Prosser| Nino Niederreiter| Salary Cap

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Metropolitan Notes: Kuznetsov, Shumakov, Domoulin, Sullivan, Stolarz

September 15, 2018 at 6:55 pm CDT | by Holger Stolzenberg 1 Comment

The Washington Capitals can’t be happier with one of their top players in Evgeny Kuznetsov, who took that next step last year when the won the Stanley Cup, putting up career highs in goals scored and points with 27 goals and 83 points. However, general manager Brian MacLellan feels that he can do even more this year — help out on the penalty kill, according to the Washington Post’s Isabelle Khurshudyan.

That’s not a role that Kuznetsov has played much of over the course of his career. The 26-year-old has played a grand total of just 11 minutes over the last four years, which averages out to two seconds per game. However, while new head coach Todd Reirden probably won’t make too many changes to the team’s lineup after last year’s success, he has made it clear that he wants to make changes to their penalty kill, which was 15th in the league last year at 80.8 percent. One way to do that would be to inject more speed into it. That’s where Kuznetsov comes in, who could add a new element to their shorthanded line and perhaps improve his own defensive play at the same time.

“It’s a situation where we are going to try any option we can,” Reirden said. “We want to get better in that area, we need to get better in that area, and we’re going to be more aggressive, and if we’re going to be more aggressive then we have to have guys that can skate and think the game at a high level. He’s certainly one of many options we’re considering right now and he certainly seems to be up to the challenge.”

  • The Capitals are without recent signee Sergei Shumakov so far in training camp, according to NHL.com’s Tom Gulitti. The 26-year-old winger who has spent his entire career in the KHL, signed a one-year, entry-level contract worth $925K. Shumakov posted 17 goals and a career-high 40 points last year for CSKA Moscow. He is expected to arrive from Russia today.
  • Josh Yohe of The Athletic (subscription required) analyzes the play of Pittsburgh Penguins defenseman Brian Dumoulin, who had a breakout season for Pittsburgh and who was arguably the team’s best player in their five-game series against the Washington Capitals in the playoffs last year. Domoulin, who partners with oft-injured Kris Letang, seemed to take off last year. Always a top defender, he even has started to show a little offense as he scored five goals. That may not sound like much, but considering his career-high had previously been one goal, that’s a big improvement. The team hopes he continues to get more involved in the offense this season.
  • In the same article, Yohe reports that head coach Mike Sullivan will miss a few days after the death of his father, George Sullivan. Assistant coach Jacques Martin will take over for Sullivan until he returns.
  • Sam Donnellon of Philly.com examines Philadelphia Flyers goaltender Anthony Stolarz, who just two years ago was looked at as a big part of the Flyers future. Fast forward to today and Stolarz is the fifth wheel in a goaltending system that already has too many goaltenders. Assuming things go as expected, the Flyers will be keeping Brian Elliott and Michal Neuvirth on their big-league club and will send Alex Lyon and top prospect Carter Hart to the AHL’s Lehigh Valley Phantoms. That leaves Stolarz, who missed most of last year after undergoing a second knee surgery. Donnellon writes while injuries are an issue amongst the veteran goalies, the likelihood that Lehigh Valley will institute a three-goalie system is unlikely, especially considering that the team needs to further develop Hart, their goalie of the future.

AHL| Mike Sullivan| Philadelphia Flyers| Pittsburgh Penguins| Washington Capitals Alex Lyon| Anthony Stolarz| Brian Dumoulin| Brian Elliott| Evgeny Kuznetsov| Kris Letang| Michal Neuvirth| Sergei Shumakov

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Central Notes: Allen, Parayko, Jokiharju, Honka, Girard

September 15, 2018 at 5:30 pm CDT | by Holger Stolzenberg 2 Comments

The St. Louis Blues got some good news today as goaltender Jake Allen, who has been out with back spasms and was expected to miss the first 10-14 days of training camp, said that he’s already feeling better and could return to the ice ahead of schedule, according to Tom Timmermann of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.

“It’s progressed way better than when it first happened,” he said. “It’s a lot better than I thought it was and I’m feeling really good right now. I’ve made some significant progress the last couple days. It looks like I’ll be on the ice earlier than that.”

The team needs a big season from the 28-year-old after a rough season last year. The veteran posted a career-low 2.75 GAA and a poor .906 save percentage as the Blues missed the playoffs. Allen changed his training routine this summer and was primed for a big year as the Blues redesigned their roster this offseason.

  • St. Louis Blues defenseman Colton Parayko has been a solid defenseman in St. Louis for years, but after agreeing to a five-year, $27.5MM contract a year ago, the team was hoping that he might have a breakout season last year. While that didn’t happen, Parayko might get that opportunity this year, according to Fox Sports’ Andy Strickland, who reports that Parayko has come to camp in great shape, finishing near the top in off-ice testing. If he’s in the best shape of his career, a big year could follow.
  • Scott Powers of The Athletic (subscription required) writes that Chicago Blackhawks defenseman Henri Jokiharju has looked good early in training camp. The 2016 first-rounder played alongside veteran Duncan Keith and was both aggressive and helped create chances on offense. The team, desperately in need of defense, could get a huge boost if the 19-year-old proves that he’s indeed ready for the NHL. He scored 71 points in 63 games with the Portland Winterhawks of the WHL last season.
  • Sean Shapiro of The Athletic writes that one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Stars’ addition of new head coach Jim Montgomery will likely be young defenseman Julius Honka. The 22-year-old has regained his confidence after losing last season and has already impressed his new head coach, who hopes the 2014 first-rounder might be ready to make a significant impact in the Stars’ defense.
  • BSN Denver’s AJ Haefele writes that Colorado Avalanche head coach Jared Bednar said Saturday that he wants defenseman Samuel Girard to start this season with veteran Erik Johnson after the way Girard finished the season last year. The 20-year-old finished the season with four goals and 23 points between Nashville and Colorado and showed the ability to develop into a top-four defenseman. However, there is still a lot of time in camp before that decision becomes permanent.

Chicago Blackhawks| Colorado Avalanche| Dallas Stars| Jared Bednar| Jim Montgomery| St. Louis Blues Colton Parayko| Duncan Keith| Erik Johnson| Jake Allen| Julius Honka| Samuel Girard

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Pacific Notes: Carter, Monahan, Karlsson, Reaves

September 15, 2018 at 3:58 pm CDT | by Holger Stolzenberg 1 Comment

The Los Angeles Kings were expecting to have a lot of healthy players returning to the fold this season, most especially Jeff Carter, who went down after six games last season when he was cut with a skate across his left leg, cutting tendons and requiring surgery. The 33-year-old finally returned for a 21-games stint at the end of the season and performed well.

However, Josh Cooper of The Athletic (subscription required) writes that Carter admitted Friday that he’s still not 100 percent and still needs more time to get his ankle back in shape. Coach John Stevens said that it’s not likely Carter’s ankle will ever return to normal.

“I think he really made good progress in terms of getting back to a state of normalcy with his leg. I don’t think it’s ever going to be like it was, but I think he put a lot of work in this summer,” Stevens said. “I think he made big strides in getting closer back to where he was – a little more explosive out of the hole. He didn’t have as much irritation around the joint that he had before. I think he’s a lot further ahead now than he was when he came back last year and played.”

After returning for 21 regular season games, Carter later admitted that his ankle wasn’t truly ready and needed more rehab. Although he scored 12 goals in that span, he struggled with his ankle and was held scoreless in the four-game playoff series against the Golden Knights. Carter’s success is critical for the team’s playoff run as Carter was coming off a 32-goal season the previous year and the team hopes he can duplicate that this year, which might be more difficult for Carter now.

  • After four surgeries this summer, there were a lot of questions whether Calgary Flames center Sean Monahan would truly be healthy at the start of the season. However, the Calgary Sun’s Wes Gilbertson writes that Monahan looked good to go as Monahan potted a goal in their preseason opener Saturday morning against Boston. Despite struggling through a season with numerous nagging injuries, including issues with his wrist, Monahan still managed to post 31 goals last season. Now with a healthy wrist, among other things, he looks ready to improve on that. “I liked his game. I really liked it,” said teammate Mark Giordano. “He had a deadly shot with a half a wrist. So now that he’s fully healed, his hips are good, his groins are good, his wrist is good … I’m excited.”
  • While there was never any rumors surrounding Erik Karlsson and the Edmonton Oilers, many fans around the league were quite outraged when they saw Karlsson headed to division-foe San Jose instead. Considering their desperate need for a dominant defenseman and the fact that the Sharks didn’t give up any significant roster players in the trade, the Oilers were never in any negotiations, because Karlsson had no interest in going there, according to the Edmonton Journal’s David Staples. “You know, he’d be nice to have here,” said Chiarelli. “We weren’t on his list. It was really a non-starter from the beginning. But they got one puck over there, they got a lot of good defenceman. So we’ll see what happens there. But that’s a heckuva ‘d’ over there now.”
  • Las Vegas Sun’s Jesse Granger reports that Vegas Golden Knights’ bruiser Ryan Reaves suffered a skate to the face Friday near his left eye, requiring 20 stitches. The injury was very close to his left eye, making him a lucky man. The 31-year-old winger was signed to a two-year deal this offseason at $2.78MM AAV despite only posting four goals and 10 points between Pittsburgh and Vegas last season. Reaves, however, blended well into Vegas’ locker room and provided an impact on the team’s energy line. He was already back on the ice Saturday.

 

Calgary Flames| Edmonton Oilers| Injury| John Stevens| Los Angeles Kings| Vegas Golden Knights Erik Karlsson| Jeff Carter| Mark Giordano

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Toronto’s Dubas Isn’t Budging On Contract Standoff With William Nylander

September 15, 2018 at 2:29 pm CDT | by Holger Stolzenberg 7 Comments

With still a number of restricted free agents around the league opting not to attend training camp, many people find themselves looking at the most prominent of them in Toronto Maple Leafs’ William Nylander, who still hasn’t come to an agreement with Toronto and rumor have the two sides being far apart. The 22-year-old winger, who was the eighth-overall selection back in 2014, has put up two solid 20-goal, 60-point campaigns and could be ready for a breakout season.

Regardless, negotiations seem to be at a standstill. Maple Leafs’ general manager Kyle Dubas did a Q&A with students from his alma mater, Brock University this morning and had an interesting response when asked when the team was going to sign Nylander.

“As soon as possible,” said Dubas. “If we want to sustain success here we can’t be setting any marketplace records.”

According to Kevin McGran of the Star, Dubas made it clear that the team wasn’t budging on its offer to Nylander, who is rumored to be seeking $8MM per season, while the Maple Leafs are offering around $6.5MM. Dubas also said he isn’t worried if Nylander misses some of training camp. Due to all its salary cap issues over the next several years, Dubas has to make sure not to overpay any one player, considering he still has to sign Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner to extensions as well.

While there is no confirmation of the $8MM salary demand from Nylander, Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman, in his most recent 31 Thoughts column, writes that he believes that Nylander is asking for Leon Draisaitl money at $8.5MM per season and is likely accurate for several reasons. He writes that agents are always high, but they are using the Draisaitl comparison since Draisaitl posted 129 points in his first two seasons, while Nylander has posted 122. Throw in the fact that Connor McDavid new contract last season pushed Draisaitl’s pricetag up, the same is likely to happen as Nylander will want to be near the salaries that Matthews and Marner will eventually get (not to mention the money that Tavares got this offseason).

Dubas and the Maple Leafs are hoping that Nylander will take a little less money being on a deep, dominant playoff team, something that other players have already done such as Tavares, Nazem Kadri and Morgan Rielly already have.

Toronto Maple Leafs Auston Matthews| Connor McDavid| Elliotte Friedman| Leon Draisaitl| Mitch Marner| Morgan Rielly| Nazem Kadri

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PHR Mailbag: McQuaid, Calder Candidates, Panarin, Chicago Prospects, Vegas, Dotchin

September 15, 2018 at 12:52 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 2 Comments

Topics in this edition of the mailbag include the Adam McQuaid deal, Calder contenders, Artemi Panarin’s situation, rookies in Chicago, the latest big move in Vegas, and the odd situation surrounding defenseman Jake Dotchin.

acarneglia: Why would the Rangers part with Kampfer, a 4th, and a 7th to land McQuaid?

On the surface, a team that’s firmly in a rebuild parting with a pair of draft picks plus Steven Kampfer to land a one-year rental in McQuaid seems a little iffy.  I was a bit surprised at the move myself at first but I think I have an idea about the logic.

For starters, if Brendan Smith ultimately winds up back in the minors, the Rangers would have had just two defenders over the age of 25.  I know youth movements are all about playing the younger players but a veteran supporting cast is still needed.  McQuaid is someone that will be comfortable in a supporting role and won’t have to play every game.  They’ll get a chance to determine if he’s a fit in that type of role beyond this season.

If not, they can turn around and deal him before the trade deadline.  There are always contending teams looking to add depth defenders and it’s quite reasonable to think that they can at least get the fourth-rounder back, if not beat it depending on how McQuaid fares.  With that in mind, consider that Kampfer likely would have been waiver-bound anyway (meaning they would have run the risk of losing him for free), so how much did they really give up in the end?

It’s a low-risk move overall.  They’ll get a look at him to see if he’s a fit beyond 2018-19 and if not, they’ll flip him and recover a good chunk back of what they gave up.

Pawtucket: Who are the sleeper rookies/sophomores that may have big years this year? So rookies not picked in the top 5 and sophomores that were not considered for the Calder.

Technically, Filip Zadina (sixth overall back in June) qualifies but he’s a bit of an obvious choice so I won’t pick him.  Instead, here are five other players to ponder.

While everyone talks about Rasmus Dahlin in Buffalo, I think their top pick from 2017 in center Casey Mittelstadt (seventh overall) could be poised for a big role right off the bat.  He impressed late last season and if they opt to put Sam Reinhart as a winger, Mittelstadt could have a top-six role before too long which should have him in line for a very productive season.

A little more under the radar would be Carolina center Martin Necas.  The injury to Victor Rask paves the way for the 12th pick in 2017 to play a top-six role to start the season.  He’s coming off of a nice season in the Czech League, was dominant at the World Juniors, and played quite well at the Worlds back in May as well and if he carries that over, he could hold down that top-six spot even when the team is fully healthy.

In terms of true dark horses, I’d suggest Bruins forward Ryan Donato.  Boston didn’t hesitate to use him down the stretch last season and he played quite well.  With a vacancy in their top-six up for grabs, he could have a shot at landing it or at least a third line role to start.  I think Florida center Henrik Borgstrom (23rd overall in 2016) could have a big year but playing behind Aleksander Barkov and Vincent Trocheck, he’ll probably be too far under the radar to be a Calder contender.  Even so, he should have a big impact for the Panthers.  Then there’s winger Kristian Vesalainen (24th in 2017) in Winnipeg.  The Jets haven’t hesitated to put key rookies in crucial roles and if Vesalainen cracks the roster, he could follow suit.

The likes of Dahlin, Andrei Svechnikov, Zadina, and Elias Pettersson appear to be the early favorites to take home the Calder but some of these players should be in the mix as well.

@MexiCaliBlue19: What’s the deal with Artemi Panarin?

Based on comments his agent made, it sounds like Panarin does like Columbus but just not enough to commit to spending the next eight years there as things currently stand.  Unless something changes (such as the Blue Jackets becoming a top-flight contender or Panarin being willing to sign another short-term deal), there appears to be a stalemate.  Given that he is pegged to be one of the top unrestricted free agents next summer, he has little motivation to accept a short-term deal when he can command a max-term deal in free agency.

At this point, what GM Jarmo Kekalainen will need to decide is whether or not they’re better off dealing him (for what would likely be a futures-based return) or to use him as an ‘internal rental’ in the hopes of making a long postseason run.  Of course, the latter route means that there’s a very good chance that they would lose him for nothing come July but their playoff hopes are a lot better with him than without.

Earlier this week, Panarin ruled out having any further discussions regarding a contract extension so he appears intent to hit the open market one way or another.  With that in mind, a parting of the ways seems inevitable at this point.

Gerald Arrington: As an avid Chicago Blackhawks fan, I am interested in projections for rookies Dominik Kahun, Victor Ejdsell, Dylan Sikura, Jacob Nilsson. How will they fit in with the core players and which rookie will have the biggest impact for the team?

I’d peg Sikura as the likeliest one to have a notable impact.  He’s a skilled but small forward that is probably best suited to play in the top-six (or an offensive-minded third line).  He acquitted himself well in a limited sample size last season and he should be able to lock down a regular role.

I liked the addition of Ejdsell back at the trade deadline.  He can play both center and the left wing and it was on the wing that he showed some offensive upside with Rockford in the playoffs.  That said, I’m not sold that it will translate into consistent NHL production.  He’s a bottom-six player in the NHL and while he could hold down a fourth line spot right away, I could see them starting him in the minors instead to give him more development time.

I’ve liked Kahun’s play internationally for Germany going back to the World Juniors but I’m not sure it will translate to the NHL.  I have some doubts about his offensive game but his two-way game is good enough to give him a chance to maybe play on a third line.  His European Assignment Clause could help him stick around to start the season but I don’t think he’ll have the same impact as Sikura.

As for Nilsson, I suspect he’ll start in Rockford with the hopes of playing his way into a call-up midseason.  There’s a connection with head coach Jeremy Colliton from his days with Mora which likely played a role in him choosing to sign with the Blackhawks.  He may see some action on injury recall but I don’t think his NHL impact will be too substantial this coming season.

Other than Sikura, I don’t there will be much of an impact with their core.  The other players project to be cheaper roster fillers than ones that will see much time with Chicago’s top players.  Sikura, if all goes well, can get to that level and it wouldn’t be shocking to see him alongside one of Jonathan Toews or Artem Anisimov at times in 2018-19.

Zack35: Even though Vegas made it to the Cup Final, does it make sense to just switch gears from trying to build through the draft, to now trading a bunch of picks for Tatar, and then Suzuki in the deal for Pacioretty? It just doesn’t make sense to me. After Glass and Brannstrom they don’t have a lot coming.

@KylePickering4: How good is the second line in Vegas going to be now that they have Pacioretty and Stastny?

To be fair, has anything really made sense with Vegas over their first year of existence?  They weren’t supposed to be more than maybe somewhat competitive early on but after a trip to the Stanley Cup Final, it certainly seems like they’re in their window to contend now.  Those windows don’t come around too often so I understand why they’re taking their big swing even though it goes against all traditional logic of a new team in the league.

Their move to acquire Tomas Tatar didn’t make much sense at the time and looks even worse now but Max Pacioretty is a different class of player.  He’s still a legitimate top liner and should be able to replace (and probably improve upon) James Neal’s output from last year.  They gave up a lot in Nick Suzuki but getting a core player for five years makes that justifiable even though they don’t yet have the deepest of prospect pools.  That said, they shouldn’t be making too many more of these types of trades.

I’m not convinced that everything is going to go as well as it did last year.  A lot of players vastly outperformed expectations and some regression is to be expected.  However, adding Pacioretty and Paul Stastny to the mix should help offset some of that regression.

If the two close friends (and teammates internationally) wind up playing together, that will be a very strong second line.  I think someone like Alex Tuch would be a nice complementary piece for that unit as he has the skill to keep up and make teams pay if they focus their attention on the other two.  Assuming the top line can produce at a somewhat comparable rate as last season, the Golden Knights shouldn’t have too many issues getting production up front.

Connorsoxfan: What the heck is going on with Jake Dotchin?

Does anyone else feel like there’s more going on than what’s currently out there?  I get that his conditioning is poor and that it’s the second straight year that it has happened.  Conditioning can be improved though.  With that in mind, how did he clear waivers?  A young, right-shot defenseman with NHL experience on a good team that has a cap hit that’s cheaper than some minor league call-up options should not be going through unclaimed based on what’s out there publicly.

What’s really intriguing about this is the possibility of other teams following suit and trying to terminate contracts based on poor conditioning.  (We’ve already seen that happen once earlier today.)  Not many are going to bat an eye for a depth player like Dotchin but what if a team tries it with a more significant player on a bigger contract?  What level of poor conditioning constitutes a “material breach” of a contract?  Are teams going to try to put in specific conditioning standards into writing now with the idea that if they’re not met, they have an easy out?

Even if Dotchin finds another team, I wonder if the NHLPA still looks to grieve this if for no other reason than to try to prevent this from becoming a more frequent occurrence.  One agent told Joe Smith of The Athletic (Twitter link) that this could be the beginning of the proverbial Pandora’s Box and I’m inclined to agree.  Dotchin’s case is fairly notable in itself in my opinion but the long-term effects of this, if it stands, could be quite significant.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Uncategorized PHR Mailbag

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Jake Dotchin Clears Unconditional Waivers

September 15, 2018 at 11:00 am CDT | by Gavin Lee 8 Comments

Saturday, 11:00am: Dotchin has cleared waivers, Smith reports.

Friday, 4:15pm: Smith reports this afternoon that the agent for Dotchin will look at any available option to appeal the decision to terminate his contract. Dotchin’s camp apparently “respectfully disagree” with the decision. There is definitely more to come in this story.

11:11am: It wasn’t so long ago that Jake Dotchin was an up and coming young defender for the Tampa Bay Lightning, with high hopes given the lack of options on the right side. Today, according to Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet, Dotchin has been placed on unconditional waivers for the purpose of terminating his contract. Joe Smith of The Athletic reports the transaction has been made due to a “material breach” of Dotchin’s contract, though doesn’t go into specifics on what has occurred. The Lightning will not comment further, though Friedman adds that the team was “unhappy with Dotchin’s conditioning at arrival” for their training camp.

Dotchin, 24, looked like he might solidify himself as Victor Hedman’s partner at the end of 2016-17, when he played 35 games in the second half of the season and saw his ice time increase to over 20 minutes a night at times. That number dropped back down last year in just 48 contests, and now Dotchin will have to find himself another job in another organization. If his contract is terminated tomorrow as expected, he will be an unrestricted free agent and able to sign with any team in the league.

There was just one year remaining on Dotchin’s contract that would have paid him $925K this season, but there wasn’t even a guaranteed role on the blue line given the additions Tampa Bay has made over the last year. Mikhail Sergachev and Ryan McDonagh are both set to eat up huge minutes this season while Dan Girardi will still be a full-time option for the club.

Tampa Bay Lightning| Waivers Elliotte Friedman| Jake Dotchin

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Minor Transactions: 9/15/18

September 15, 2018 at 10:48 am CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

With training camps now underway, there should be an uptick of smaller signings in the days to come as those without a contract quickly look to find a place to play.  Here’s a rundown of today’s minor moves.

  • Coyotes RFA goaltender Marek Langhamer has signed a one-year deal with HC Kometa Brno of the Czech Extraliga, CapFriendly reports (Twitter link). This was the expected outcome considering that Arizona is presently at the 50 contract limit and he had already been loaned to them last season.  Langhamer will be a restricted free agent again next summer and a strong showing back home could help his fortunes of landing another NHL contract.
  • Predators UFA netminder Anders Lindback has signed a one-year deal with HC Davos, the Swiss NLA team announced (link in German). The 30-year-old spent all of last season with Nashville’s AHL affiliate in Milwaukee last season and led the league in both games played and saves.  Overall, he had a 31-20-5 record with a 2.83 GAA and a .908 SV%.  Lindback last played in the NHL in 2015-16 with the Coyotes and has a total of 130 career NHL appearances over six seasons.

Transactions| Utah Mammoth Anders Lindback| Marek Langhamer

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2018-19 Season Primer: Philadelphia Flyers

September 15, 2018 at 9:42 am CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

With the NHL season now just a month away, it’s time to look at what each team has done this summer and what to watch for in the year to come. Today, we focus on the Philadelphia Flyers.

Last Season: 42-26-14 record (98 points), third in the Metropolitan Division (lost Pittsburgh in the first round of the playoffs)

Remaining Cap Space: $10.28MM per CapFriendly

Key Additions: D Christian Folin (free agent, Los Angeles), F James van Riemsdyk (free agent, Toronto)

Key Departures: F Valtteri Filppula (free agent, NY Islanders), D Brandon Manning (free agent, Chicago), G Petr Mrazek (free agent, Carolina), D Johnny Oduya (free agent, unsigned), F Matt Read (free agent, Minnesota)

[Related: Flyers Depth Chart From Roster Resource]

Player To Watch: F Wayne Simmonds – Simmonds has long been viewed as one of the premier power forwards in the league and he has a couple of things going for him.  For starters, he’s fully healthy after playing through a long list of injuries last season.  He also happens to be entering the final year of his contract and currently projects to be one of the more sought-after free agents if he makes it to the open market.

Simmonds is hoping that a healthy season should allow him to get back to the 50-point plateau, a mark he had hit for four straight seasons before 2017-18 (where he had 46 in 75 games).  It will be interesting to see how the return of van Riemsdyk affects things, however.  While the two play on opposite wings, they’re both big producers with the man advantage.  Does van Riemsdyk cut into Simmonds’ production then?

It will be quite interesting to see what type of deal Simmonds ultimately gets.  The Flyers have engaged in preliminary discussions regarding an extension but obviously, nothing has been done yet.  He has been on a very team-friendly contract with a cap hit just shy of $4MM (although his salary for 2018-19 checks in at $5MM) and he’ll undoubtedly be looking for a significant increase.  However, he’ll be 31 when 2019-20 begins and players that play a rugged style like he does tend to become injury prone as they get older.  How will that ultimately affect the offers he receives?

At the end of the day, Simmonds can sit back and just focus on playing with the hopes of having a big year but this looming contract situation makes him an intriguing player to keep tabs on in the coming weeks.

Key Storyline: Goaltending has been a question mark in Philadelphia for a long time and this coming season projects to be no exception.  Veterans Brian Elliott and Michal Neuvirth both return and are viewed as short-term stopgaps and not core pieces of the future.  Will they be good enough to get the job done after struggling both in terms of performance and staying healthy last season?

Youngster Alex Lyon could make a push for a roster spot in camp and needs to go through waivers to get back to the minors.  If management believes that he could be claimed, that could force their hand with Neuvirth so their tandem isn’t quite set yet.  (Anthony Stolarz is also in the mix but after missing all of last season with an injury, he’s a fairly safe bet to pass through waivers.)

The development of Carter Hart is going to be worth monitoring as well.  The 20-year-old is entering his first professional season and is widely viewed as Philadelphia’s goalie of the future.  If he gets off to a good start and the Flyers are struggling between the pipes, could he play his way into the mix for a late-season recall?

There are still questions when it comes to goaltending in Philly but there could be some internal answers on the horizon at the very least.

Overall Outlook: The majority of the core is returning and van Riemsdyk should really bolster their attack.  Despite that, it’s difficult to peg them as a sure-fire top-three team in the Metropolitan, especially given the questions in goal and their general streakiness they’ve shown in recent years.  That said, they are still one of the better teams in the East and should be viewed as a top contender for a Wild Card spot as things currently stand.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Philadelphia Flyers| Season Previews 2018-19

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