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Archives for August 2017

Poll: Which 2017 Draft Pick Will Make The Biggest Impact In 2017-18?

August 2, 2017 at 7:17 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee Leave a Comment

It’s a difficult thing to ask a draft pick to jump straight from junior hockey to the NHL, and only a select few are able to do it with any success. Last season saw Auston Matthews, Patrik Laine, Matthew Tkachuk and Jakob Chychrun play the whole season for their respective clubs, while six others including Jesse Puljujarvi made their debuts at some point. Each found various levels of success but most were either in the running for this year’s Calder Trophy or are among those expected to compete for next year’s.  Auston Matthews

This year, Nico Hischier and Nolan Patrick were the consensus top-2 picks heading into the draft and ended up going to two Metropolitan Division teams who could use their help. New Jersey and Philadelphia will both provide ample opportunity for the youngsters to make an impact, but there are some others that could make the difficult jump.

Florida has been clear that they’ll give Owen Tippett the chance to break camp with the team, and the 10th-overall pick already possesses an NHL-level shot that could provide some immediate success. Tippett was injured in the World Junior Summer Showcase and didn’t play today for Canada, but doesn’t expect to miss much time. Lias Andersson impressed the New York Rangers organization at development camp, and already has experience playing in a professional league in Sweden. He showed off today in a loss to Team USA at the Showcase, scoring two goals and generally looking a step ahead of his competition despite being one of the younger players on the ice. Andersson was selected seventh overall and could make the jump to help New York’s center depth right away.

Even the last pick of the first round, Klim Kostin has a shot of playing in the NHL this season after he’s told the St. Louis Blues that he doesn’t want to play in the WHL where his junior rights are owned. Kostin turned just about every head in the building during development camp with a game that seemed ready to not only keep up but dominate at the professional level. After losing his entire season to injury in 2016-17, Kostin already looks like one of the steals of the draft and St. Louis took no time in signing him to his entry-level contract.

So who will make the biggest impact from this draft class in 2017-18? Will it be one of the top two star prospects, or a surprise in training camp? If Tkachuk had been in most other years, his 48 point 18-year old season would have been viewed as an outstanding accomplishment (it still was, even if overshadowed by Matthews and Laine). Vote below on who you think will have the biggest season, and leave why in the comments!

Included are all the first-round picks, but be sure to mention any middle round players you think could make the jump. Remember, even those who are headed for junior or college could make an impact at the end of the year or in the playoffs like Charlie McAvoy this season.

[Mobile users click here to vote!]

Prospects Klim Kostin| Lias Andersson| Nico Hischier| Nolan Patrick| Owen Tippett

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Filip Zadina Will Play For Halifax In 2017-18

August 2, 2017 at 5:20 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee Leave a Comment

Though it’s been expected since being selected 11th-overall in the CHL import draft, the Halifax Mooseheads confirmed today that Filip Zadina would be coming to North America to suit up for the junior club this season. Zadina is primed to be a top-10 selection in the 2018 draft, and will help replace the hole left on Halifax if Nico Hischier does indeed jump right to the NHL.

Halifax is attempting to secure the 2019 Memorial Cup, and Zadina would help them immensely in the tournament should he stay for a second season. Despite pedestrian totals playing in the Czech leagues last season, the 17-year old is an incredible offensive player that is dangerous from anywhere in the offensive zone. His shot is advanced for his age and he has top-level creativity on both the rush and cycle.

At his international tournaments he’s already played extremely well for the Czech Republic and will be in the U20 World Junior tournament this season. With a big year for Halifax in the QMJHL, Zadina could climb up into the top-5 in the draft and be considered among the best prospects available. In what should be a solid draft class, he’s one of the more interesting prospects to keep an eye on. Halifax is full of 2018 draft-eligible players and could easily improve from their relatively poor 2016-17 season.

CHL| Prospects| QMJHL Memorial Cup| Nico Hischier

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Matt Duchene Speaks About Future Team

August 2, 2017 at 3:25 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee 2 Comments

Matt Duchene has been the center of trade speculation for nearly six months already, and it doesn’t seem like it is stopping anytime soon. He remains one of the prizes of the offseason if anyone can meet Colorado Avalanche GM Joe Sakic’s high price. In perhaps what is a telling answer, Duchene spoke about his future with Dan Rosen of NHL.com.

My identity will be with a team come training camp. I don’t know what team that is yet.

It’s hard to believe that Sakic wouldn’t have made it clear to Duchene that he was going to be an Avalanche next season if he was off the market, which means many will continue to speculate on which team could land the star forward before the start of the season. Even after a down year when he scored just 41 points, he remains a game-changing talent that can use his speed to create offense all on his own.

The New York Islanders, Montreal Canadiens, Columbus Blue Jackets and Carolina Hurricanes have all been linked to Duchene at various times, with others like Pittsburgh being listed as dark horse candidates to acquire his services. That will only happen if Sakic gets what he wants though, as there have been reports of frustration from around the league that he won’t accept what would be considered an “even” trade. Sakic needs to score a big win in any deal for Duchene after some disappointing results from the Ryan O’Reilly package and a terrible drop off in on-ice performance by the whole team.

Colorado Avalanche Matt Duchene

2 comments

Jack Eichel, Sabres Discussing Eight-Year Contract Extension

August 2, 2017 at 2:53 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee Leave a Comment

According to the Associated Press, Jack Eichel and the Buffalo Sabres are negotiating on an eight-year contract extension. While it’s no surprise that the team wants to get an extension done this summer, the report indicates that talks have been ongoing for over a month and now concern a max-length deal. Like Connor McDavid, who signed an eight-year extension earlier this summer, Eichel has one year remaining on his entry-level contract before becoming a restricted free agent in the summer of 2018. Jack Eichel

While McDavid will be the first player that jumps to mind as a measuring stick because of their connection through the draft, Eichel isn’t really in the same class as the $100MM man. McDavid’s $12.5MM average salary is out of reach, but an eight-year deal should still be quite pricey for the Sabres. Despite being only 20, Eichel is just five years away from unrestricted free agency meaning an eight-year extension would buy out four UFA seasons.

An interesting comparable would be Nathan MacKinnon, who last summer signed a seven-year deal that bought out three free agent years. Like Eichel, MacKinnon was a top draft pick (first-overall in 2013) who had found success as an 18-year old in the league. MacKinnon had played three seasons and held a .70 points-per-game rate, while Eichel eclipses that at .80 so far in his short career. Taking into account the increase in salary cap, extra UFA year and increased production you can start to see how Eichel’s extension will easily exceed the $6.3MM average salary that MacKinnon signed for.

The other thing in Eichel’s favor is how clearly he is the face of the franchise going forward. While Ryan O’Reilly and Evander Kane are both excellent (if not elite) players, and Rasmus Ristolainen is the core of the defense, Buffalo knows that their hopes rely on Eichel turning into the superstar he has shown flashes of. That should bode well in his negotiations as he tries to push his total closer to $80MM and a $10MM cap hit. Actually breaking the double digit barrier seems far-fetched, as it would put him among the leagues highest-paid players directly out of his entry-level contract, but something comparable to or even exceeding Ryan Johansen’s recent $64MM extension isn’t actually out of the question.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Buffalo Sabres Jack Eichel

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Alex Kerfoot Listening To All Teams

August 2, 2017 at 12:43 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee 3 Comments

While Will Butcher has dominated many of the headlines lately as the top NCAA prospect closes in on free agency later this month, there is another name that should draw quite a bit of interest. Alex Kerfoot took over from Jimmy Vesey as captain of the Harvard team this season, and is poised to follow in another way in two weeks. Kerfoot, a New Jersey Devils draft pick will not sign before the deadline and is set to become a free agent on August 16th. Rick Dhaliwal of NEWS 1130 in Vancouver spoke with Kerfoot’s agent JP Barry who told him no one had been ruled out just yet. There should be several teams after him, though he’s not a blue-chip name like many considered Vesey to be last year.

Kerfoot had an interesting college career, playing in Vesey’s shadow for several years. Until this season he was a pure playmaker, racking up assists but not cracking 10 goals in a single year. That all changed when Vesey moved on and more offensive responsibility was heaped on Kerfoot, as his goal total spiked to 16 and he registered 45 points in just 34 games. While he always had incredible creativity and vision once inside the zone, he was often pushed off the puck or lacked the straight line speed to create off the rush.

Those weaknesses may be behind him, as he’s increased his physical edge despite still being undersized, and has improved his skating to a point where it’s now a positive for him. It will be tough—but not impossible—to continue in his natural center position, but like many other college and junior players before him he could crack into the league as a winger instead.

Kerfoot is from Vancouver and has been tied to the Canucks in the past, though there will likely be many of the usual suspects trying to go after him. Chicago, Pittsburgh and Detroit have all been linked to Butcher, and could easily pop up in negotiations with Kerfoot as well. It’s hard to handicap where he’ll end up, as it’s not clear if many teams see the 22-year old as a contributor in 2017-18, or more of a long-term depth piece. He’ll have to sign a two-year entry-level contract, but performance and signing bonuses can vary slightly from team to team. Like Butcher, it’s more about opportunity than salary and he’ll find that somewhere in two weeks.

Free Agency| NCAA| New Jersey Devils| Vancouver Canucks Jimmy Vesey

3 comments

Overpriced: The Worst Contracts Of 2016-17

August 2, 2017 at 11:14 am CDT | by Gavin Lee 5 Comments

Recently we took a look at some of the best contracts in the league based on cost-per-point, and which off-season contract would hold that title this year. Patrick Sharp easily won the poll, and could provide great value on his $800K contract ($1MM with performance bonus). Among players still signed, excluding entry-level deals, Jon Marchessault has a good chance to repeat if he’s given the opportunity in Vegas. He was one of the brightest spots for Florida last year, after agreeing to a two-year deal that pays him just $750K per season. Patrick Sharp

So what about the other side of the spectrum? Who are the most expensive players relative to their performance in the NHL? Luckily CapFriendly has a helpful tool that not only lists the per-point cost, but can standardize it to what it would have cost had the player spent 82 games in the NHL. That way a player like Milan Michalek who scored just one point won’t be penalized for the fact that he was buried in the minors all year.

As one would expect, this list is led by a glut of defensive defensemen who are paid more for what they do in their own end than their offense. Still, you can see how teams can get in trouble with players like Josh Gorges and Marc Staal costing more than $500K per point this season. The two combined for 16 on the year.

Interestingly another Buffalo defender is high on the list, as Dmitry Kulikov recorded just five points all season. Despite that $497K cost-per-point rate, he still locked down a deal that will continue to pay him $4.33MM for the next several years. He’s a bounce-back candidate for sure, but it was surprising to see his terrible year not affect his price tag.

If you eliminate defensemen, the picture becomes even uglier. Regardless of role, forwards are still expected to contribute at least somewhat on offense, especially those who earn hefty contracts. Andrew Desjardins leads the pack among players who spent the majority of the season in the NHL, scoring just a single point in his 46 games. He only cost the team $800K though, which means Carl Soderberg takes the cake as the worst contract in the league*.

Carl SoderbergSoderberg was paid $4.75MM last season and recorded just 14 points. He’s not expected to be a huge offensive producer, but the fact that Colorado had to pay more than $330K per point this season was ridiculous. His fall off was immediate and precipitous, as he’s just a year removed from a 51-point year, but if he can’t climb back up the three remaining years on his contract look about as bad as they come. His no-trade clause has dropped to just a list of 10 teams he can’t be traded to, but if his production continues he’s more likely a buyout candidate than anything else.

Interestingly, not too far down the list is Bobby Ryan who at $7.8MM is one of the highest-paid players in the league. His 25-point season is completely unacceptable, though many will forget it due to his postseason performance. Ryan recorded 15 points in 19 playoff contests, but is now entering his thirties with five more years on his deal. Perhaps he was playing with an injury, or it’s just an aberration, but Ryan is expected to post nearly double his regular season performance. While he’s clearly not a 30-goal scorer any longer, 13 is just not acceptable.

So who will lead the list this year? Well, early favorites may be Tomas Plekanec in Montreal, who still has a cap-hit of $6MM this season and will play the year at age-35, and Marian Gaborik coming off an injury and turning 36 during the year. Even the new signing of Patrick Marleau to a $6.25MM cap hit could easily backfire for the Maple Leafs, and end up being the most expensive per-point forward in the league.

*Bryan Bickell’s $4MM deal could have been listed as the worst contract, though he was omitted due to his diagnosis of multiple sclerosis. Had Bickell been healthy enough to play he likely still could have ended up at the top, but that is far from certain.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Uncategorized Andrew Desjardins| Bobby Ryan| Dmitry Kulikov| Josh Gorges| Marc Staal| Marian Gaborik| Patrick Marleau| Patrick Sharp

5 comments

Calvin de Haan Signs With New York Islanders

August 2, 2017 at 8:28 am CDT | by Gavin Lee Leave a Comment

Calvin de Haan was one of two remaining players scheduled for arbitration, and was set to have a hearing this morning in Toronto to decide his fate. Just before that happened, the two sides have agreed upon a new one-year deal worth $3.3MM. The two sides had been more than $3MM apart in their arbitration figures, but met somewhere in the middle for de Haan’s final season before unrestricted free agency. "<strong

Now 26-years old, de Haan is coming off the best statistical season of his career. Registering 25 points, he played in all 82 games for the Islanders and averaged almost 20 minutes a night. Though his role is likely unchanged with the trade of Travis Hamonic, he could see a slight bump in special teams time as the Islanders will likely be icing a pair of youngsters at some point throughout the year in Ryan Pulock and Adam Pelech.

de Haan really impressed at the recent World Championships for Team Canada and will now immediately jump to near the top of both a trade candidate and potential free agent list. If the Islanders are out of the playoff race by February, you’ll surely hear his name in rumors to add to a Cup contender. He’ll also be an interesting option on the free agent market, with his combination of youth and two-way play. With many players already starting to sign extensions, he could be one of the top options and earn a contract similar to Karl Alzner on the open market, if not even bigger.

That’s not to say that the Islanders can’t re-sign him, as he’s never shown any indication he doesn’t want to play for them. This agreement could be just a way to avoid the sometimes painful process of arbitration, which can be detrimental to a professional relationship. The two sides can work with the $3.3MM amount, which represents a slight raise on the $2.9MM he earned last year, but fits into the Islanders’ salary structure well. Signing him any longer may have never been an option for the club, as they have a huge offseason coming up next summer.

John Tavares, Josh Bailey, Nikolai Kulemin, Brock Nelson, Shane Prince, Alan Quine, Thomas Hickey, Ryan Pulock and now de Haan are all free agents of one sort or another, giving the team the option to go in one direction or another. That decision likely depends on Tavares’ decision on whether or not to stay long-term. If he doesn’t, the team has an easy tear down to try and rebuild around their young players like Josh Ho-Sang and Mathew Barzal, and de Haan could be more valuable on a cheap one-year deal at the deadline than a long-term contract with a much higher cap-hit. This will be a very important first half of the season for the Islanders, as their franchise could go in very different directions at mid-season.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Arbitration| New York Islanders| Schedule Calvin de Haan

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Is Andrei Svechnikov The Next Generational Prospect?

August 1, 2017 at 8:57 pm CDT | by natebrown 4 Comments

It’s never too far to look ahead to the draft and as the offseason enters the dog days of summer, Russian prospect Andrei Svechnikov is already projecting to be the top pick in the 2018 NHL draft. The question, before the season even begins, is if Svechnikov is a generational talent in the mold of Connor McDavid, or Auston Matthews. Taken first overall in the CHL Import Draft by the Barrie Colts, the upcoming season will reveal if Svechnikov is the high end prospect many believe he’s developing into. Svechnikov will sign with the Colts prior to training camp, and could even push the words “generational” into the conversation.

Svechnikov’s older brother Evgeny plays in the Detroit Red Wings system and though an exciting prospect Wings fans are waiting to see, Andrei looks to be even better. MLive’s Mark Opfermann penned a piece on Svechnikov back in March when the ’18 class was in the shadow of the soon-to-be-drafted ’17 class. Opfermann wrote this about him:

“For his age, and you don’t even have to look at his age, let’s just say he’s a first-year player in the league, whatever age he is,” Muskegon Lumberjacks coach John LaFontaine said. “He doesn’t get pushed off the puck, he outmuscles guys to the net, his shot is deceptive and his ability to create plays is high end no matter what level you’re playing at. There’s no question, if he was a ’99 (birth year) and on the list this year, they’d be talking about him this year.”

The Hockey News’ Daniel Nugent-Bowman wrote back in December that Svechnikov has the potential to be the “next big thing” out of Russia. The big bodied, goal scorer has excelled on both the world stage and the amateur stage, taking USHL Rookie of the Year honors with Muskegon–playing in the league primarily as a 16-year-old. It’s expected that he’ll take the OHL by storm, cementing his status as the #1 overall pick.

But does it make him generational?

If looking strictly at points, McDavid put up 120 the year he was drafted by the Oilers first overall. Matthews, while playing for ZSC had 46 points in 36 games, but that was also in a professional league. Patrik Laine and Jack Eichel have put up elite numbers in the NHL, and also showed the same flash while playing prior to the NHL.

Jan 1, 2017; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs center Auston Matthews (34) controls the puck against the Detroit Red Wings during the Centennial Classic ice hockey game at BMO Field. Mandatory Credit: Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports

Svechnikov tore up the USHL with 58 points in just 48 games, with 29 of those points being goals. Measuring him against McDavid in the OHL at the same age, (albeit a much different measuring stick), McDavid had 99 points in 56 games, though he did spend the 2012-13 season with the Otters as well–turning 16 during the middle of that season. McDavid also showed a high IQ on the ice from a very early age and also drew comparisons to Crosby and Gretzky as well.

Svechnikov, from scouts, to coaches, to teammates, and backed by statistics, looks like the real deal. A season with Barrie will be the best indicator of whether or not he’s generational. Barring significant injury, Svechnikov is shaping up to be a prize for the team that selects him.

AHL| Detroit Red Wings| NHL Andrei Svechnikov| Auston Matthews| Connor McDavid

4 comments

Evening Snapshots: Babcock, Matthews, Bridge Deals

August 1, 2017 at 7:28 pm CDT | by natebrown Leave a Comment

Toronto Maple Leafs coach Mike Babcock praised the performance of Auston Matthews, but believes there’s always room for improvement writes NHL.com’s Adam Kimelman. Matthews, who registered 40 goals and 69 points en route to a playoff appearance and Calder Award, will be expected to build on his performance last season as the Leafs look to take the next step in their rebuild. Babcock says that he isn’t one to “measure by points” but instead looks at how they “play” and “compete.” The young Leafs took a huge step forward, pushing the “painful rebuild” that Babcock once called it into a quicker ascent. But in true Babcockian form, he sprinkles praise while expecting more:

Obviously we have good young players,” Babcock said. “We have a lot of them. It’s kind of a group that’s growing up together. But it’s one year and one year doesn’t make a career. You have to do it again and again and again. We’re excited about our opportunities.

  • Puck Daddy’s Ryan Lambert writes about how Ryan Johansen’s deal certainly challenges the old guard way of thinking when it comes to bridge contracts. Rewarding Johansen with an eight-year deal instead of a one-two year contract.  Lambert points out that going with the longer deal instead of a bridge and then the long deal seems like the better bet. The logic here would be getting the player through his prime instead of playing a “wait and see” game and then locking him up long after his prime has expired. There are a litany of examples of this in the NHL, but in an age of cost certainty and public outcry at what’s deemed a bad deal, general managers are often in a tight spot when it comes to choosing a bridge deal or a long-term contract.

Mike Babcock| Mike Babcock| NHL| Players| Snapshots| Toronto Maple Leafs Auston Matthews

0 comments

Panthers Notes: Tippett, Tallon

August 1, 2017 at 6:08 pm CDT | by natebrown 1 Comment

Breathe easy, Panthers fans. Tenth overall pick Owen Tippett was hit hard (gif via Twitter) during today’s game against the United States during the World Junior Summer Showcase. NHL.com’s Mike Morreale tweeted that it didn’t look good after the hit, but Tippett was able to leave the ice under his own power. Morreale tweeted later that he observed Tippett with his teammates, going through exercises and appearing just fine.  An injury scare for the high scoring winger would have been a difficult blow for Florida. Tippett has a chance to make the roster right out of training camp, and if the skills transfer over, can be a major contributor in the scoring column. The Sun-Sentinel’s Harvey Fialkov wrote about how general manager Dale Tallon believes Tippett to have the makeup of a player who is mature beyond his years. Today’s hit appears to be just a minor incident, and one that shouldn’t stunt Tippett’s chance at making the NHL roster.

  • Tallon was featured in an Athletic article by Scott Powers, who wrote how Tallon holds a special place in his heart for Chicago. Tallon was responsible for the bulk of the drafting and free agent signings that turned the Blackhawks into a model franchise after being a league doormat for nearly a decade. Powers asked Tallon about his thoughts on the Panthers offseason, and he responded as such:

    We had to rework it a little bit. We’re going younger, we’re going faster. We like what we’ve done. We’ve gotten quicker and faster, a little more depth. We added some grit, we added some speed and we added some skill. We got a lot of good young players that we still have coming in our organization that we really like, and we have a real strong core of young players that were injured last year. I think our team is going to be faster and younger and play with a little more energy than we did last year. The new coaches to our coaching staff are really good. I’m excited to work with them and get rolling here.

Tallon admitted that he wasn’t happy about last season and that it was a difficult decision not bringing Jaromir Jagr back, noting that he was great for leadership and exemplifying a strong work ethic. But like many executives in the NHL, Tallon felt it was time to get younger and faster.

 

 

Chicago Blackhawks| Coaches| Dale Tallon| Florida Panthers| Injury| NHL| Players Jaromir Jagr| Owen Tippett

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