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Matt Duchene

Dallas Stars Expected To Re-Sign Matt Duchene

June 29, 2024 at 7:48 pm CDT | by Brennan McClain 7 Comments

Per Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman, forward Matt Duchene is not expected to reach unrestricted free agency on Monday as he and the Dallas Stars are making significant process on a contract extension. The news comes shortly after the Stars organization made a hard pivot away from pending UFA Chris Tanev as they traded his signing rights to the Toronto Maple Leafs earlier this afternoon.

Last offseason, Duchene had the final three years and $24MM of his contract with the Nashville Predators bought out shortly before the start of free agency. The Stars organization quickly pounced as they signed Duchene to a one-year, $3MM contract. As a rare low-risk, high-reward move; Duchene promptly became one of the better value contracts from last summer’s offseason.

One season removed from scoring 22 goals and 56 points for Nashville in 71 games, Duchene got out to a scorching start in the Lone Star State that lasted nearly two-thirds of the season. Through his first 55 games in Dallas, Duchene put up 22 goals and 55 points while averaging less than 17 minutes of ice time per game. Not only was Duchene strong on the puck’s offensive side, but he also put up quality defensive and possession metrics as evidenced by his 92.1% on-ice save percentage in all situations and 54.0% CorsiFor%.

Unfortunately, Duchene could not keep the good times rolling down the stretch as he managed only three goals and 10 points over his last 25 games of the regular season. Despite the slow ending to the season for Duchene personally; Dallas still managed to capture the best record in the Western Conference and guaranteed home ice through the Conference Finals.

Through Round One of the 2024 Stanley Cup playoffs, Duchene was held to two points in total in seven games as the Stars knocked out the defending Stanley Cup Champions Vegas Golden Knights. Duchene appeared to pick up some steam in Round Two as he scored one goal and four points in six games against Dallas’ Central Division rival — the Colorado Avalanche. The fire that Duchene may have caught during Round Two was quickly extinguished in the Western Conference Finals against the Edmonton Oilers as Duchene failed to put up any points and was limited to only nine shots in six games.

Regardless of some slight inconsistency towards the end of the season and the Stanley Cup playoffs, it was clear that Duchene blended well on and off the ice with the Stars organization. With the team expected to lose out on veteran Joe Pavelski to retirement at some point this offseason, Duchene might have access to a larger opportunity in Dallas for the next several years.

Dallas Stars Matt Duchene

7 comments

Stars, Matt Duchene Have Mutual Interest In Extension

June 10, 2024 at 12:42 pm CDT | by Josh Erickson 9 Comments

Matt Duchene wants to remain in the Lone Star State next season, he recently said on The Sweep Spot on Sportsradio 96.7FM/1310 the Ticket. The veteran forward said that “money is definitely not the No. 1 bucket,” implying he’d take a discount to sign an extension with the Stars.

That follows a report from Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman last week that Dallas is hoping to bring back both Duchene and defenseman Chris Tanev, who are slated to become unrestricted free agents next month.

Duchene, 33, had 25 goals and 65 points in 80 games for the Stars last season after signing a one-year, $3MM pact in free agency. He was an unexpected addition to the open market after the Predators bought out the final three seasons of his seven-year, $56MM contract.

The 2009 third-overall pick will be getting a decent paycheck from Nashville through 2029, so it’s foreseeable why he’d be especially willing to take a discount at this stage in his career. Duchene hit the 1,000-game plateau this past season but failed to reach his first Stanley Cup Final when Dallas lost to Edmonton in this year’s Western Conference Final.

Still, even a discounted raise on Duchene’s previous $3MM cap hit may be tough for Dallas to swallow. They enter the summer with $16.25MM in projected cap space but have 10 open roster spots, per CapFriendly.

He’s still an important piece that should be retained if possible. Duchene has hit 50 points in each of the past three seasons and would be an important factor in shouldering the loss of Joe Pavelski, who’s expected to retire and not return to the club. Slightly increased minutes for Duchene, as well as the continued development of youngsters Wyatt Johnston and Logan Stankoven, should help replace Pavelski’s 67 points last season by committee.

Dallas Stars Matt Duchene

9 comments

Stars Want To Re-Sign Matt Duchene, Chris Tanev

June 3, 2024 at 10:45 am CDT | by Josh Erickson 6 Comments

The Stars are expected to try to extend veteran center Matt Duchene and trade deadline pickup Chris Tanev before they reach unrestricted free agency on July 1, Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet said on Monday’s “32 Thoughts” podcast.

Duchene, 33, was an unexpected latecomer to the free agent market last summer after the Predators bought out the final three seasons of his seven-year, $56MM contract. He landed with Dallas on a one-year, $3MM pact, a decision that paid dividends for both teams.

[RELATED: The Matt Duchene Buyout Was A Win-Win]

The 2009 third-overall pick continued his standard production level in a slightly limited role in the Lone Star State, putting up 25 goals and 65 points in 80 games while serving in a complementary role to other Stars talents like Roope Hintz, Wyatt Johnston and Jason Robertson. He was limited to two goals and six points in 19 postseason games, but one of his snipes was a double-overtime winner against Colorado that sent Dallas to its second straight Western Conference Final.

Duchene would still have a home in Dallas’ top six next season, especially with the future another pending UFA, 39-year-old Joe Pavelski, hanging in the balance. Pavelski likely wouldn’t sign anywhere else this summer, but whether he returns for a 19th NHL season or heads for retirement is uncertain, Friedman said.

Tanev was also an invaluable piece for the Stars and was relied upon heavily by head coach Peter DeBoer after his acquisition from the Flames at the end of February. The 34-year-old scored seven points and a +13 rating in 38 regular-season and playoff games and averaged over 22 minutes per night in the postseason.

His return would firm up Dallas’ top four on defense next season with Thomas Harley, Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell. Veteran Ryan Suter also remains under contract for one more year at a $3.95MM cap hit, and 2022 first-round pick Lian Bichsel is expected to compete for a spot on the opening night roster after nearly making his NHL debut during the Western Conference Final.

Evolving Hockey’s contract projections yield a three-year, $7MM AAV deal for Duchene and a two-year, $3.9MM AAV deal for Tanev if they were both to remain in Dallas. That won’t be affordable for a team with just under $16MM in projected cap space with only 13 players on the roster, per CapFriendly, especially considering the 22-year-old Harley needs a new deal after his breakout 15-goal, 47-point season playing top-pairing duties alongside Heiskanen. Perennial GM of the year candidate Jim Nill would need to get creative with some cap-clearing trades or convince Duchene to take a significant discount to stay, something that may be feasible considering he’s still being paid $1.56MM by the Preds through 2029.

Dallas Stars Chris Tanev| Matt Duchene

6 comments

Nominees Announced For 2024 Bill Masterton Memorial Trophy

April 5, 2024 at 11:38 am CDT | by Gabriel Foley 4 Comments

The Bill Masterton Trophy is awarded annually to the player who best exemplifies perseverance, sportsmanship, and dedication to hockey. Nominees are selected by members of the Professional Hockey Writer’s Association, with finalists being named near the end of the regular season. Previous winners include Kris Letang (2023), Carey Price (2022), and Oskar Lindblom (2021).  Today, a new list of 32 nominees has been named.

Below are the nominees from each team:

Anaheim Ducks – Urho Vaakanainen

Arizona Coyotes – Connor Ingram

Boston Bruins – Danton Heinen

Buffalo Sabres – Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Calgary Flames – Oliver Kylington

Carolina Hurricanes – Frederik Andersen

Chicago Blackhawks – Colin Blackwell

Colorado Avalanche – Jonathan Drouin

Columbus Blue Jackets – Zach Werenski

Dallas Stars – Matt Duchene

Detroit Red Wings – Alex Lyon

Edmonton Oilers – Vincent Desharnais

Florida Panthers – Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Los Angeles Kings – Viktor Arvidsson

Minnesota Wild – Marco Rossi

Montreal Canadiens – Joel Armia

Nashville Predators – Michael McCarron

New Jersey Devils – Curtis Lazar

New York Islanders – Cal Clutterbuck

New York Rangers – Jonathan Quick

Ottawa Senators – Claude Giroux

Philadelphia Flyers – Sean Couturier

Pittsburgh Penguins – Sidney Crosby

San Jose Sharks – Justin Bailey

Seattle Kraken – Joey Daccord

St. Louis Blues – Nathan Walker

Tampa Bay Lightning – Michael Eyssimont

Toronto Maple Leafs – Ilya Samsonov

Vancouver Canucks – Noah Juulsen

Vegas Golden Knights – Alex Pietrangelo

Washington Capitals – T.J. Oshie

Winnipeg Jets – Laurent Brossoit

NHL| Vegas Golden Knights Alex Lyon| Alex Pietrangelo| Cal Clutterbuck| Claude Giroux| Colin Blackwell| Connor Ingram| Danton Heinen| Frederik Andersen| Ilya Samsonov| Joel Armia| Jonathan Drouin| Jonathan Quick| Justin Bailey| Laurent Brossoit| Marco Rossi| Matt Duchene| Michael Eyssimont| Michael McCarron| Nathan Walker| Noah Juulsen| Oliver Ekman-Larsson| Oliver Kylington| Sean Couturier| Sidney Crosby| T.J. Oshie| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen| Urho Vaakanainen| Viktor Arvidsson| Vincent Desharnais| Zach Werenski

4 comments

The Matt Duchene Buyout Was A Win-Win

March 22, 2024 at 9:58 am CDT | by Josh Erickson 7 Comments

A year ago, the 2024 free agent class had the potential to be one of the most star-studded in a long time, especially compared to 2023’s unusually weak class that allowed players like Alex Killorn and Dmitry Orlov to receive well above standard market value. While superstars like Auston Matthews and William Nylander have signed extensions and are off the market, there are still multiple impact forwards with point-per-game upside slated to be available, namely longtime Lightning captain Steven Stamkos and Panthers breakout performer Sam Reinhart. The defense market is significantly less appealing, although Noah Hanifin will get a payday somewhere if he doesn’t extend with the Golden Knights, although Vegas will surely attempt to lock in the blue-liner after making a splash for him at the trade deadline.

However, Stars forward Matt Duchene is also quietly producing among the top echelon of pending UFAs. Sitting in the top six in points-per-game alongside Reinhart, Stamkos, Jake Guentzel, Patrick Kane, and Jonathan Marchessault, the 33-year-old has proved to be the best value pickup of last season’s UFA period after the Predators executed a surprising last-minute buyout of the final three seasons of his seven-year, $56MM contract. The one-year, $3MM pact he signed to continue his NHL career in Texas was a mid-tier contract compared to others handed out on July 1. Yet, he’s second among all 2023 UFA signees in scoring, trailing Nashville’s Gustav Nyquist.

It’s been a remarkable return to form over the past few years for a player who, shortly after signing his big payday with the Preds in free agency in 2019, looked to be on one of the worst contracts in the league. An injury-plagued and COVID-laced 2020-21 campaign was easily Duchene’s most disappointing outing in just the second year of his megadeal, missing significant time with lower-body issues and recording career-lows across the board with six goals, seven assists and 13 points while averaging 15:50 per game over 34 contests. In 2019-20, the first season of his contract, he scored only 13 goals in 66 games after crossing the 30-goal mark with Ottawa and Columbus the year prior.

The next two seasons were much more fruitful for the 2009 third-overall pick, who broke out for a career-high 43 goals the following season and put up 142 points in 149 games between 2021 and 2023 while returning to first-line minutes. The stink of the first few seasons of Duchene’s deal had soured the reputation of his contract, though, and with incoming GM Barry Trotz looking to infuse a youth movement into a squad that was stuck in wild-card territory, the team unexpectedly made him one of the top UFAs on the market the day before free agency opened.

Despite Duchene’s success with a divisional rival this year, it’s hard to criticize the decision from Nashville’s perspective. They’ve replaced his production with a cheaper UFA pickup in Nyquist, and freeing up his roster spot has allowed players like Luke Evangelista and Thomas Novak to make more of an impact. That, plus a rebounding Juuse Saros after an unusually slow start, has the Predators cooking with a 14-0-2 record in their last 16 games and the first wild-card spot in the Western Conference all but guaranteed. Much-improved depth scoring has been the Predators’ calling card this year, something that decidedly wouldn’t have occurred without the Duchene buyout.

The buyout will carry some short-term pain, though. Duchene’s cap penalty is a reasonable $2.6MM this season, but it jumps to $5.6MM in 2024-25 and $6.6MM in 2025-26. It’ll coast at $1.6MM from 2026 to 2029, though, almost a non-factor with the salary cap’s projected increase over that period. A retooled prospect pool should allow the Preds to staff some important roles with entry-level contracts over the next few years, however, so the buyout shouldn’t be too severe of an obstacle.

In any event, the Preds are rolling into the playoffs at an incredible pace that routinely proves advantageous to wild-card or lower-seeded teams’ chances of a first-round upset (or further, if you ask last year’s Panthers). No regrets in Smashville, at least not yet.

And the Stars, a potential first-round opponent for the Predators, are thrilled Duchene fell into their lap. With the 15-year veteran set to earn a significant amount of money from his buyout as well, he was more incentivized to settle for a bargain deal on a contender. He’s played a crucial part in Dallas having one of the deepest forward groups in the league, flip-flopping between first- and second-line duties. He’s posted 23 goals and 59 points in 68 games, slightly up from last season’s pace in Nashville despite averaging almost 90 fewer seconds per game. His presence has also helped revitalize Mason Marchment, who, alongside Duchene, has rebounded for a career-high 19 goals and 50 points after a tough first season in the Lone Star State last year.

He’s also straight-up Dallas’ second-leading scorer, ranking second on the team in points per game at 0.87 behind the point-per-game Jason Robertson. After the induction of rookie Logan Stankoven into the major league ranks over the past few weeks, every player in the Stars’ top nine has produced over 0.65 points per game this season. Only one player – captain Jamie Benn – has produced under 0.70.

The only two teams that have scored more per game this season than the Stars are the Avalanche and Maple Leafs. Both have been buoyed by MVP-level seasons from their star first-line centers. Their depth attacks simply don’t compare – Colorado only has one player producing over half a point per game in its entire bottom six (Ross Colton), while the Maple Leafs have none.

With $18.3MM in projected cap space with a roster size of only 12 next season, per CapFriendly, it’s unlikely the Stars will be able to bring Duchene back without him taking a significant discount. Otherwise, Duchene is poised to be the third major beneficiary of the Predators’ decision to buy him out by landing a lucrative short-term deal on the open market this summer. This season, however, he’s helped give Dallas their best chance at a Stanley Cup since 1999’s victory.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports.

Dallas Stars| Nashville Predators| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals Matt Duchene

7 comments

Snapshots: Heiskanen, Duchene, Andersen, Siegenthaler

February 19, 2024 at 1:26 pm CDT | by Brennan McClain Leave a Comment

Already without defensemen Nils Lundkvist and Jani Hakanpaa due to injury, the Dallas Stars are also absent defenseman Miro Heiskanen today, as he will miss the action due to the birth of his child (X Link). Calling up defensemen Alex Petrovic and Derrick Pouliot this morning, Dallas’ depth on the blue line will be tested even further.

To add insult to injury, the team also announced that forward Matt Duchene would miss today’s game against the Boston Bruins due to a lower-body injury. In a hotly contested Central Division playoff race, the Stars have lost five regular players in a matter of days.

Playing well over their last 10 games with a 7-1-2 record, Dallas will look to keep that successful stretch going as they look to retain their throne at the top of the Central Division. With a three-point cushion, the Stars are currently on a four-game road trip against Eastern Conference opponents before finally returning to Central Division action on February 27th.

Other snapshots:

  • Working his way back from a blood clot scare that has kept him out of the lineup since early November, Carolina Hurricanes goaltender Frederik Andersen was able to see shots today in practice. According to Walt Ruff of the Hurricanes, Andersen is not quite ready to return, but it was undoubtedly positive that he was able to participate in practice. With the team now less desperate for goaltending help with a strong stretch from Pyotr Kochetkov, it will nevertheless be a positive to see Andersen make his return to the ice.
  • The New Jersey Devils may be getting some reinforcements on their blue line soon, as team reporter Amanda Stein mentioned today that Jonas Siegenthaler has fully recovered from a broken foot that has kept him out of the lineup since January 2nd. Now only two points back of the final wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference, a clean bill of health moving forward puts the Devils in an advantageous position to build some momentum towards the 2024 Stanley Cup playoffs.

Carolina Hurricanes| Dallas Stars| Injury| New Jersey Devils| Snapshots Frederik Andersen| Jonas Siegenthaler| Matt Duchene| Miro Heiskanen

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Central Notes: Spurgeon, Duchene, Faksa, Olofsson

November 6, 2023 at 7:14 pm CDT | by Brennan McClain Leave a Comment

Having already satisfied his long-term injured reserve requirements, Minnesota Wild captain, Jared Spurgeon, was eligible to return to the team’s game against the New York Rangers, but was still not fully available. Speaking with head coach Dean Evason today, Dylan Loucks of The Hockey News reports that Spurgeon may return to the lineup on the team’s current road trip.

Because there has been no official word up to this point, it is unlikely that Spurgeon will be back in the lineup tomorrow as the Wild take on the New York Islanders, but with games against the Buffalo Sabres and Rangers at the end of the weeks, it wouldn’t be unreasonable to see Spurgeon back at that point.

Minnesota could certainly use the help, as the team has allowed an average amount of high-danger scoring chances for the opposing team, but the conversion rate of 11.2% for the other team is the sixth worst in the NHL up to this point. Playing in 79 games for the team last year, Spurgeon scored 11 goals and 23 assists, keeping pace with his usual production over his career, all while averaging over 21 minutes of ice time per game.

Other notes:

  • In what is expected to be one of the more competitive games of the week, the Dallas Stars will take on the Boston Bruins tonight but will be without two forwards. Lia Assimakopoulos of the Dallas Morning News reports that forwards Matt Duchene (day-to-day) and Radek Faksa (day-to-day) will not be in the lineup tonight. This will likely be the only game Duchene misses due to his injury and will be Faksa’s third straight missed game.
  • Colorado Avalanche depth forward, Fredrik Olofsson is considered day-to-day with an upper-body injury according to Evan Rawal of Colorado Hockey Now. In his first season in Colorado, Olofsson has played in 10 games, scoring one goal while averaging just over 11 minutes of ice time per night. It remains to be seen whether or not he will be in the lineup for the team’s game tomorrow night against the New Jersey Devils.

Colorado Avalanche| Dallas Stars| Injury| Minnesota Wild Fredrik Olofsson| Jared Spurgeon| Matt Duchene| Radek Faksa

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Edmonton Oilers Make Changes To Scouting Staff

August 22, 2023 at 4:11 pm CDT | by Josh Cybulski 1 Comment

The Edmonton Oilers announced today that they have made several changes to their scouting staff as the team gears up for training camp. The club has named Rick Pracey as Director of Amateur Scouting while mutually parting ways with Tyler Wright.

The 52-year-old Pracey has been an amateur scout with the Philadelphia Flyers since 2014 and brings over 20 years of scouting experience to Edmonton. He has previously worked as a Director of Amateur Scouting with the Colorado Avalanche, a role he served in from 2008-14 during which time the team selected Tyson Barrie, Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog, Ryan O’Reilly, and Matt Duchene.

A native of Hamilton, Ontario, Pracey’s professional playing career was short-lived as he played college hockey in Canada for both the University of Windsor and Wilfrid Laurier University, as well as a one-year stint in the UHL. After his playing career was over, Pracey joined the Avalanche in 2001 in an amateur scouting role and built his career from there.

For Tyler Wright, he moves on after just over four years with the Oilers. The 50-year-old came over to Edmonton in July 2019 along with Ken Holland after working alongside Holland with the Detroit Red Wings for six seasons. He served as Director of Amateur Scouting for all four years and was in the same role with the Red Wings for over six years.

It will be interesting to see where he lands given that the move was a mutual one for Wright and the Oilers. Wright’s work likely went by the wayside this year as the Oilers drafted just three players in June’s NHL entry draft after trading away picks in the Mattias Ekholm and Kailer Yamamoto trades.

Edmonton Oilers| NHL Gabriel Landeskog| Kailer Yamamoto| Matt Duchene| Mattias Ekholm| NHL Entry Draft| Nathan MacKinnon| Ryan O'Reilly| Tyson Barrie

1 comment

Can The Pittsburgh Penguins Actually Sign Tomas Tatar?

August 21, 2023 at 9:43 pm CDT | by Josh Cybulski 16 Comments

There aren’t many impact unsigned free agents remaining at this point in the offseason, but one name of note is forward Tomas Tatar. Tatar has been linked to several teams, including the Buffalo Sabres as an inexpensive replacement for the injured Jack Quinn. One team that popped up in the rumor mill last week was the Pittsburgh Penguins. Rob Rossi of The Athletic wrote that the Penguins were keenly interested but it all came down to whether Tatar would get a guaranteed contract offer elsewhere as the Penguins appeared to be offering a PTO for training camp in Pittsburgh with the expectation of a contract after. But can the Penguins realistically fit in another contract for a player coming off a season in which he scored 20 goals and 28 assists in 82 games?

In most off-seasons, the answer to that question would be an emphatic no. But the summer of 2023 has been unlike any other offseason. Players like Blake Wheeler have signed for less than $1MM annually. Matt Duchene took a one-year contract for $3MM despite being a year removed from topping 80 points, and Tatar remains unsigned despite providing consistent secondary scoring.

But all of this doesn’t necessarily mean the answer is a resounding yes, the Penguins would need to do some cap gymnastics to fit Tatar into the sliver of room they have under the salary cap ceiling. Currently, the Penguins have just north of $220K, which is obviously well below the NHL minimum.

Penguins general manager Kyle Dubas has said previously that he would use waivers as a means of becoming cap compliant, and the Penguins have plenty of players who could be placed on waivers to open up room for Tatar. Alexander Nylander and Rem Pitlick are two players that could be exposed and sent to the AHL to open up the room, but would that be enough to sign Tatar? The answer is a giant unknown at this time, but as we inch closer to training camp it becomes more and more possible.

Dan Kingerski of Pittsburgh Hockey Now explored another idea in an article as he wondered if a potential Jeff Carter trade would be possible. The 38-year-old London, Ontario native is in the final year of his contract with a cap hit of $3.125MM and is coming off a season in which he scored just 13 goals and 16 assists in 79 games and looked lost at times both offensively and defensively. Kingerski provides options in the article, the most interesting of which would have the Penguins retain 50% of Carter’s contract and staple a second-round pick to him to facilitate a move. While this scenario seems possible, the biggest caveat to a potential deal would be Carter’s full no-movement clause. Given all these moving parts, it seems unlikely any contending team would have room to take on even half of Carter’s cap hit and even less likely that Carter would waive his no-move to make it happen. Kyle Dubas has worked one miracle this summer in moving out Jeff Petry and Mikael Granlund for Erik Karlsson, but can he make another one happen?

Much like the Karlsson situation it feels like the longer this drags out the likelier it becomes the player ends up with the Penguins. But to make it happen Tatar is going to have to take a massive pay cut and perhaps accept just a one-year contract. A far cry from the $3.3MM annually that Daily Faceoff projected he would get on a three-year deal when free agency opened.

Free Agency| Kyle Dubas| Pittsburgh Penguins Blake Wheeler| Erik Karlsson| Free Agency| Jack Quinn| Jeff Carter| Jeff Petry| Matt Duchene| Mikael Granlund| Rem Pitlick| Salary Cap| Tomas Tatar

16 comments

2009 NHL Draft Take Two: Third Overall Pick

August 12, 2023 at 7:00 pm CDT | by Josh Erickson 2 Comments

Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.”  Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended.  For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.

We’re looking back at the 2009 NHL Entry Draft and asking how it would shake out knowing what we do now.  Will the first round remain the same, or will some late-round picks jump up to the top of the board?

The results of our redraft so far are as follows, with their original draft position in parentheses:

1st Overall: Victor Hedman, New York Islanders (2)
2nd Overall: John Tavares, Tampa Bay Lightning (1)

Unsurprisingly, the top two selections from the 2009 crop are gone by the time we reach third overall. However, Hedman did leapfrog Tavares for the number one spot in our PHR polling, although it was much closer than in years past, with Hedman capturing just 53% of the vote. Tavares’ win was much more squarely in landslide territory at second overall, however, earning over 75% of the vote with no real challengers other than Ryan O’Reilly, who received 8%. With Tavares producing at one of the more consistent clips over the past decade and a half, it’s no surprise he didn’t fall any further than he did.

Now on the clock at third overall is the Colorado Avalanche, who are coming off their worst season in 15 years and look to be entering a full-scale rebuild with longtime captain Joe Sakic announcing his retirement shortly after the 2009 Draft.

This was a rather consequential pick for the Avs franchise, who hadn’t picked in the top ten since the Quebec Nordiques took netminder Jocelyn Thibault at tenth overall in 1993 (followed by future Avalanche cult legend Adam Deadmarsh at #14). With it, they selected the second center (and second OHLer) of the top three in Matt Duchene, coming off a 79-point season with the Brampton Battalion. He immediately looked like an incredible selection – Duchene stepped into a top-six role as a 19-year-old the following season, scoring 55 points in 81 games and helping the Avalanche return to a playoff spot in 2010. After building on it with 27 goals and 67 points in his sophomore season, Duchene looked like a potential Sakic replacement if his development stayed linear.

It wasn’t to be, however. His third season was a write-off, partially thanks to knee and ankle injuries which cost him 24 games. He quickly rebounded, though, clicking near a point per game in 2012-13 and 2013-14, but his offense soon fell to second-line caliber numbers, and he was eventually dealt to the Ottawa Senators early in the 2017-18 campaign. It started a run of four teams in three seasons for Duchene, who also had a brief pit stop with the Columbus Blue Jackets before signing a massive seven-year, $56MM contract with the Nashville Predators in free agency after he rebounded for 70 points in 73 games in 2018-19.

His tenure in Nashville was equally inconsistent. While he did have a career season in 2021-22, scoring 43 goals and 86 points, both his offense and defense took a step back last season, and the Predators bought out the final three seasons of his contract. Set to suit up for the Dallas Stars next season, Duchene does remain a serviceable (at worst) top-six piece as he enters his early/mid-30s.

While he wasn’t the standout, everyday first-liner he looked to be during his early days with Colorado, Duchene has still had quite a fruitful career. He hasn’t won any major awards but sits second in goals and points among the 2009 class behind Tavares. However, Colorado’s second-round pick this year, O’Reilly, has finished in the first spot behind Hedman and Tavares in both of our polls so far.

Given the polling and career resume, one of Duchene or O’Reilly will likely remain with the Avs in our Take Two series. Was Duchene the better Av out of this class, or has O’Reilly’s career (or someone else) eclipsed him? Make your voice heard in the poll below:

2009 Redraft: Third Overall
Ryan O'Reilly 47.95% (644 votes)
Matt Duchene 12.81% (172 votes)
Chris Kreider 9.38% (126 votes)
Mattias Ekholm 6.63% (89 votes)
Nazem Kadri 6.25% (84 votes)
Evander Kane 3.50% (47 votes)
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 3.13% (42 votes)
Ryan Ellis 2.23% (30 votes)
Dmitry Orlov 1.56% (21 votes)
Anders Lee 1.34% (18 votes)
Brayden Schenn 1.12% (15 votes)
Tomas Tatar 0.74% (10 votes)
Reilly Smith 0.67% (9 votes)
Tyson Barrie 0.52% (7 votes)
Calvin de Haan 0.30% (4 votes)
Kyle Palmieri 0.30% (4 votes)
Craig Smith 0.30% (4 votes)
Darcy Kuemper 0.22% (3 votes)
Brayden McNabb 0.22% (3 votes)
Jakob Silfverberg 0.22% (3 votes)
Nick Leddy 0.15% (2 votes)
Robin Lehner 0.15% (2 votes)
David Savard 0.15% (2 votes)
Mike Hoffman 0.07% (1 votes)
Marcus Johansson 0.07% (1 votes)
Dmitry Kulikov 0.00% (0 votes)
Total Votes: 1,343

If you can’t access the poll above, click here to vote.

Colorado Avalanche| Polls| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals Matt Duchene

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