2007 NHL Draft Take Two: Nineteenth Overall Pick

Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.”  Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended.  For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.

We’re looking back at the 2007 NHL Entry Draft and asking how it would shake out knowing what we do now.  Will the first round remain the same, or will some late-round picks jump up to the top of the board?

Here are the results of the redraft so far, with their original draft position in parentheses:

1st OverallPatrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks (1)
2nd OverallJamie Benn, Philadelphia Flyers (129)
3rd OverallP.K. Subban, Phoenix Coyotes (43)
4th OverallLogan Couture, Los Angeles Kings (9)
5th OverallMax Pacioretty, Washington Capitals (22)
6th OverallJakub Voracek, Edmonton Oilers (7)
7th OverallRyan McDonagh, Columbus Blue Jackets (12)
8th OverallJames van Riemsdyk, Boston Bruins (2)
9th OverallWayne Simmonds, San Jose Sharks (61)
10th OverallKevin Shattenkirk, Florida Panthers (14)
11th Overall: Jake Muzzin, Carolina Hurricanes (141)
12th OverallKyle Turris, Montreal Canadiens (3)
13th OverallDavid Perron, St. Louis Blues (26)
14th OverallMikael Backlund, Colorado Avalanche (24)
15th OverallEvgenii Dadonov, Edmonton Oilers (71)
16th OverallAlec Martinez, Minnesota Wild (95)
17th Overall: Carl Hagelin, New York Rangers (168)
18th Overall: Lars Eller, St. Louis Blues (13)

Eller winds up dipping five spots from his initial selection but still winds going to the team that actually drafted him.  His career can be viewed through a glass half full or half empty lens which is why he slots in here despite having the eighth-most games played of anyone in this draft class.

The Blues selected him out the Swedish junior league where he tied for the league lead in scoring.  Coincidentally, the player he tied with was the 17th pick in this redraft.  He then split the following season between their top two pro leagues before moving up to the SEL (now SHL) on a full-time basis in 2008-09.

Along the way, he produced enough to give St. Louis hope that they had a capable two-way center on their hands.  He impressed in his first season in North America, collecting 57 points in 70 AHL games plus a pair of goals in seven contests with the Blues.

That was enough to garner the attention of Montreal, who made him the centerpiece of the return that saw the Blues pick up goaltender Jaroslav Halak.  The Canadiens hoped that he’d be a core center for them, a position that turned out to be a long-term area of weakness.

However, while Eller showed flashes of his offensive upside, he wasn’t able to put it together on a consistent basis and never surpassed the 30-point mark over his six seasons with the team.  Oddly enough, his best season offensively with them came in the lockout-shortened 2012-13 campaign.

Convinced that he had reached his ceiling with Montreal, the team turned around and traded him to Washington for a pair of second-round picks at the 2016 draft.  The change of scenery has done him some good as despite playing almost exclusively on the third line with the Capitals, Eller has set new career bests in points in each of the last two seasons.  He’s signed through 2022-23 so if he stays healthy throughout that time, he’ll have a chance to reach the 1,000 games played mark by the end of his contract.

Now we move on to the 19th pick that was held by the Anaheim Ducks after trading down from 16 in a deal that needed them a second-round pick.  They selected forward Logan MacMillan out of Halifax of the QMJHL following a strong showing in the postseason.  Unfortunately for them, that performance wasn’t a sign of things to come.  Following his junior career, he spent his first pro season in the ECHL before being dealt to Calgary for veteran AHL forward Jason Jaffray.  The change of scenery didn’t help as he spent the next two seasons in the minors with the Flames before being non-tendered.  MacMillan then began an international hockey nomadic journey with stints in Austria, Kazakhstan, Russia, England, and Romania.

Needless to say, they’ll wind up with a better pick this time around.  With the nineteenth pick of the 2007 NHL Entry Draft, who should the Anaheim Ducks select?  Cast your vote below!

2007 Redraft: Nineteenth Overall

  • Alex Killorn 20% (77)
  • Patrick Maroon 18% (67)
  • Nick Bonino 9% (34)
  • Justin Braun 8% (31)
  • Sam Gagner 7% (27)
  • Ian Cole 7% (25)
  • Karl Alzner 7% (25)
  • Paul Byron 6% (22)
  • Brandon Sutter 5% (20)
  • Riley Nash 4% (17)
  • Carl Gunnarsson 4% (14)
  • Robert Bortuzzo 2% (9)
  • Thomas Hickey 2% (6)
  • Brendan Smith 1% (5)
  • Colton Sceviour 0% (1)

Total votes: 380

Mobile users, click here to vote.

*Tragically, 17th overall pick Alexei Cherepanov died at the age of 19 and would never get a chance to suit up in the NHL. He has not been included in this vote.

2007 NHL Draft Take Two: Eighteenth Overall Pick

Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.”  Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended.  For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.

We’re looking back at the 2007 NHL Entry Draft and asking how it would shake out knowing what we do now.  Will the first round remain the same, or will some late-round picks jump up to the top of the board?

Here are the results of the redraft so far, with their original draft position in parentheses:

1st OverallPatrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks (1)
2nd OverallJamie Benn, Philadelphia Flyers (129)
3rd OverallP.K. Subban, Phoenix Coyotes (43)
4th OverallLogan Couture, Los Angeles Kings (9)
5th OverallMax Pacioretty, Washington Capitals (22)
6th OverallJakub Voracek, Edmonton Oilers (7)
7th OverallRyan McDonagh, Columbus Blue Jackets (12)
8th OverallJames van Riemsdyk, Boston Bruins (2)
9th OverallWayne Simmonds, San Jose Sharks (61)
10th OverallKevin Shattenkirk, Florida Panthers (14)
11th Overall: Jake Muzzin, Carolina Hurricanes (141)
12th OverallKyle Turris, Montreal Canadiens (3)
13th OverallDavid Perron, St. Louis Blues (26)
14th OverallMikael Backlund, Colorado Avalanche (24)
15th OverallEvgenii Dadonov, Edmonton Oilers (71)
16th OverallAlec Martinez, Minnesota Wild (95)
17th Overall: Carl Hagelin, New York Rangers (168)

At this point in the draft, you can start to see exactly why teams are starting to realize that late first-round picks aren’t quite as valuable as they appear. Even when picking from the entire draft class, a forward that still hasn’t cracked 100 NHL goals is the 17th-best selection. That’s not to say that Hagelin hasn’t had a successful career, but simply landing a full-time NHL player in the second half of the round should be considered a win.

When the draft rolled around in 2007, Hagelin had already been passed over entirely in his first year of eligibility and didn’t even land on the NHL Central Scouting list. After getting grabbed by the Rangers late in the draft, the young Swede would make history by heading to the University of Michigan. Hagelin became only the second European player to suit up for the Wolverines, and then even became the team’s (co-)captain in his senior season, a tremendous honor for a player that was such an outsider when he began his time there. Scoring 152 points in four years, Hagelin would make the jump to the NHL for the Rangers in 2011 and become an impact player immediately because of his blazing speed.

As a rookie, Hagelin would play in 17 playoff games for the Rangers, something that would become routine for him throughout his career. An incredible 19% of all the games he’s ever played in the NHL have come in the postseason, suiting up 128 times over the years with various teams. Hagelin won the Stanley Cup in back-to-back years with the Pittsburgh Penguins, and won an Olympic silver medal in 2014.

Never a top offensive option in the NHL, Hagelin has 241 points in his 546 regular season contests and never did crack the 40-point barrier in a single season. Last year he totaled just 18 points while wearing three different uniforms, but with his speed and penalty killing ability is going to stick around for quite some time.

Back in 2007, the St. Louis Blues held the 18th pick after a trade with the Calgary Flames, and they wouldn’t whiff like some of the others before them. Even though some of the higher ranked names like Angelo Esposito and Stefan Legein were still on the board, the Blues reached all the way down for USNTDP defenseman Ian Cole. Cole had been ranked 81st among North American skaters despite showing well for the development program and at the U18 World Juniors, and the Blues’ confidence in him would pay off. After three seasons at Notre Dame, Cole would make the jump to the professional level and end up in 26 games for the Blues in his first full year.

Cole continued to find playing time for St. Louis, but really took his game to the next level following a trade to the Pittsburgh Penguins (one that included fellow 2007 draftee Robert Bortuzzo). After winning two Stanley Cups with the Penguins he’s bounced around, but is an important part of the Colorado blueline for the upcoming season. He ranks ninth among all 2007 defensemen in games played and tenth in points. Still available in our redraft, is Cole still the right choice for St. Louis?

With the eighteenth pick of the 2007 NHL Entry Draft, who should the St. Louis Blues select?  Cast your vote below!

2007 Redraft: Eighteenth Overall

  • Lars Eller 21% (130)
  • Alex Killorn 15% (93)
  • Patrick Maroon 14% (85)
  • Nick Bonino 8% (53)
  • Ian Cole 8% (48)
  • Justin Braun 7% (44)
  • Sam Gagner 6% (40)
  • Karl Alzner 6% (36)
  • Brandon Sutter 3% (20)
  • Paul Byron 3% (18)
  • Carl Gunnarsson 3% (16)
  • Thomas Hickey 2% (12)
  • Riley Nash 2% (12)
  • Robert Bortuzzo 2% (10)
  • Colton Sceviour 1% (6)
  • Brendan Smith 0% (3)

Total votes: 626

[Mobile users click here to vote]

2007 NHL Draft Take Two: Seventeenth Overall Pick

Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.”  Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended.  For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.

We’re looking back at the 2007 NHL Entry Draft and asking how it would shake out knowing what we do now.  Will the first round remain the same, or will some late-round picks jump up to the top of the board?

Here are the results of the redraft so far, with their original draft position in parentheses:

1st OverallPatrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks (1)
2nd OverallJamie Benn, Philadelphia Flyers (129)
3rd OverallP.K. Subban, Phoenix Coyotes (43)
4th OverallLogan Couture, Los Angeles Kings (9)
5th OverallMax Pacioretty, Washington Capitals (22)
6th OverallJakub Voracek, Edmonton Oilers (7)
7th OverallRyan McDonagh, Columbus Blue Jackets (12)
8th OverallJames van Riemsdyk, Boston Bruins (2)
9th OverallWayne Simmonds, San Jose Sharks (61)
10th OverallKevin Shattenkirk, Florida Panthers (14)
11th Overall: Jake Muzzin, Carolina Hurricanes (141)
12th OverallKyle Turris, Montreal Canadiens (3)
13th OverallDavid Perron, St. Louis Blues (26)
14th OverallMikael Backlund, Colorado Avalanche (24)
15th OverallEvgenii Dadonov, Edmonton Oilers (71)
16th Overall: Alec Martinez, Minnesota Wild (95)

As the back half of the first round gets underway, the Wild snatch up a solid and perhaps underrated defenseman in Martinez. That’s a huge raise for a player who wasn’t even selected in his first two years of eligibility or ranked at all by NHL Central Scouting. Martinez, who was set to turn 20 the month following the draft, had already played two seasons at Miami University (Ohio) and showed he could be a reliable two-way presence. Though there is obviously risk in drafting a player already deep into his college years—the Kings could have lost him to unrestricted free agency just two summers later—they ended up convincing him to sign in 2008 and he quickly became a rising star in the organization.

Making his debut during the 2009-10 season, it would be just a couple of years before he was a huge part of the team’s 2012 Stanley Cup championship. A few years after that he would scoring the Cup-winning goal in the Kings’ second title—in double overtime to boot—cementing him in franchise lore. Jumping up into the rush wasn’t something Martinez made a habit of, but it is well within his capabilities. Through a decade with the Kings he has played 556 regular season games, scoring 61 goals and 190 points. That puts him fifth among all defensemen selected in the 2007 draft, despite almost slipping out of the top-100 picks.

The New York Rangers, who selected 17th in 2007, will never know if they made the right choice. Only one player to that point—Lars Eller at 13th—had been selected from outside of North America, so the Rangers decided to test their luck with the supremely skilled Russian forward Alexei Cherepanov. The young winger had just recorded 36 points in 57 games at the highest level of Russian hockey, won gold at the U18 and silver at the U20 World Juniors while being named the tournament’s best forward. Cherepanov was the highest ranked international skater by NHL Central Scouting, and looked like a lock to be a top-line player in the NHL if the Rangers could convince him to come over.

Tragically however, just 16 months later in the first official KHL season, Cherepanov would collapse on the bench. He was pronounced dead at hospital later that day while he was still just 19 years old. Playing on a team with Jaromir Jagr, Cherepanov was off to a blazing start with eight goals and 13 points in 15 games. His potential seemed boundless, but the Rangers never got to find out what he could do at the highest level of hockey. The KHL has since named their Rookie of the Year trophy after Cherepanov, while Avangard retired his jersey number.

If you gave the Rangers front office the pick over again, you can bet they would select Cherepanov again. We have chosen to exclude him from this exercise, meaning someone else will have to take his place on the list.

With the seventeenth pick of the 2007 NHL Entry Draft, who should the New York Rangers select?  Cast your vote below!

2007 Redraft: Seventeenth Overall

  • Carl Hagelin 18% (127)
  • Lars Eller 16% (115)
  • Alex Killorn 14% (97)
  • Patrick Maroon 9% (64)
  • Sam Gagner 8% (58)
  • Nick Bonino 8% (58)
  • Justin Braun 5% (32)
  • Brandon Sutter 4% (27)
  • Karl Alzner 4% (25)
  • Ian Cole 4% (25)
  • Paul Byron 3% (19)
  • Carl Gunnarsson 2% (14)
  • Thomas Hickey 2% (13)
  • Robert Bortuzzo 2% (12)
  • Riley Nash 2% (11)
  • Brendan Smith 1% (5)
  • Colton Sceviour 1% (4)

Total votes: 706

[Mobile users click here to vote]

2007 NHL Draft Take Two: Sixteenth Overall Pick

Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.”  Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended.  For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.

We’re looking back at the 2007 NHL Entry Draft and asking how it would shake out knowing what we do now.  Will the first round remain the same, or will some late-round picks jump up to the top of the board?

Here are the results of the redraft so far, with their original draft position in parentheses:

1st OverallPatrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks (1)
2nd OverallJamie Benn, Philadelphia Flyers (129)
3rd OverallP.K. Subban, Phoenix Coyotes (43)
4th OverallLogan Couture, Los Angeles Kings (9)
5th OverallMax Pacioretty, Washington Capitals (22)
6th OverallJakub Voracek, Edmonton Oilers (7)
7th OverallRyan McDonagh, Columbus Blue Jackets (12)
8th OverallJames van Riemsdyk, Boston Bruins (2)
9th OverallWayne Simmonds, San Jose Sharks (61)
10th OverallKevin Shattenkirk, Florida Panthers (14)
11th Overall: Jake Muzzin, Carolina Hurricanes (141)
12th OverallKyle Turris, Montreal Canadiens (3)
13th OverallDavid Perron, St. Louis Blues (26)
14th OverallMikael Backlund, Colorado Avalanche (24)
15th Overall: Evgenii Dadonov, Edmonton Oilers (71)

Another mid-round pick jumps into the top half of our first round as Dadonov is the Oilers selection. They would certainly like him more than Alex Plante who they actually took in that spot 12 years ago, but Dadonov comes with his fair share of frustrations as well. Picked out of Russia after making his debut at the highest level there, Dadonov wouldn’t suit up for a North American team until 2009. That year he showed exactly why the Florida Panthers spent the 71st pick on him by scoring 40 points in 76 games at the AHL level and making his NHL debut, but it wasn’t all followed by roses.

After bouncing back and forth between the two leagues for most of the next two seasons, Dadonov was actually traded to the Carolina Hurricanes in a minor deal in January of 2012. He would never suit up for the Hurricanes, instead spending the rest of the season with the Charlotte Checkers, before deciding the minor leagues weren’t for him. Dadonov returned to Russia and the KHL where he would spend the next five seasons, eventually becoming one of the league’s most consistent offensive producers. After a 66-point season with St. Petersburg in 2016-17, the Panthers decided to pursue their old flame once again and brought him back to North America. This time, there would be no minors.

Over the last two seasons Dadonov has proven to be one of the increasingly rare success stories to come back from the KHL and produce, scoring 56 goals and 135 points in 156 games. Finding immediate chemistry with some of the other talented forwards in Florida, he’s now actually closing in on a potentially large contract in free agency. Dadonov’s current deal expires after this season and if he decides to stay in North America there will be plenty of suitors who believe he could give their team an offensive punch.

It is interesting though that the 30-year old winger comes in this high. Because of his time away from the NHL he ranks 24th in points among players selected in 2007, and has still only played 211 games in the league. Obviously his skill and production over the last two seasons have swayed voters enough to believe he was the right choice at 15th overall.

He certainly could have been the right pick for the Minnesota Wild, who held selected 16. After the Carolina Hurricanes wagered on NHL bloodlines by picking Brandon Sutter earlier in the round, the Wild followed suit by snapping up Colton Gillies, a big winger out of the Western Hockey League. Gillies had only scored 13 goals and 30 points that season for the Saksatoon Blades, but he was the nephew of Hall of Fame forward Clarke Gillies who had won four Stanley Cups with the New York Islanders. The younger Gillies had shown his physicality even as a young player in the WHL, and the Wild must have hoped they could pull out some of his family’s offensive history.

Unfortunately, that never happened. In 154 NHL contests, Gillies recorded just six goals and 18 points. He left for the Slovakian league in 2015 and ended up in the KHL where he plays to this day. The 16th overall pick is still not much of a scorer, making him another first-round bust from 2007. If Minnesota had the chance again they may have taken someone else, but who?

With the sixteenth pick of the 2007 NHL Entry Draft, who should the Minnesota Wild select?  Cast your vote below!

2007 Redraft: Sixteenth Overall

  • Alec Martinez 25% (108)
  • Carl Hagelin 13% (57)
  • Lars Eller 11% (49)
  • Alex Killorn 9% (38)
  • Patrick Maroon 8% (35)
  • Sam Gagner 7% (31)
  • Nick Bonino 5% (20)
  • Justin Braun 4% (19)
  • Karl Alzner 3% (15)
  • Paul Byron 3% (15)
  • Brandon Sutter 3% (11)
  • Carl Gunnarsson 2% (10)
  • Thomas Hickey 2% (8)
  • Riley Nash 2% (7)
  • Ian Cole 1% (6)
  • Brendan Smith 1% (5)
  • Colton Sceviour 0% (2)

Total votes: 436

[Mobile users click here to vote!]

*Tragically, 17th overall pick Alexei Cherepanov died at the age of 19 and would never get a chance to suit up in the NHL.  He has not been included in this vote.

2007 NHL Draft Take Two: Fifteenth Overall Pick

Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.”  Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended.  For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.

We’re looking back at the 2007 NHL Entry Draft and asking how it would shake out knowing what we do now.  Will the first round remain the same, or will some late-round picks jump up to the top of the board?

Here are the results of the redraft so far, with their original draft position in parentheses:

1st OverallPatrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks (1)
2nd OverallJamie Benn, Philadelphia Flyers (129)
3rd OverallP.K. Subban, Phoenix Coyotes (43)
4th OverallLogan Couture, Los Angeles Kings (9)
5th OverallMax Pacioretty, Washington Capitals (22)
6th OverallJakub Voracek, Edmonton Oilers (7)
7th OverallRyan McDonagh, Columbus Blue Jackets (12)
8th OverallJames van Riemsdyk, Boston Bruins (2)
9th OverallWayne Simmonds, San Jose Sharks (61)
10th OverallKevin Shattenkirk, Florida Panthers (14)
11th Overall: Jake Muzzin, Carolina Hurricanes (141)
12th OverallKyle Turris, Montreal Canadiens (3)
13th OverallDavid Perron, St. Louis Blues (26)
14th Overall: Mikael Backlund, Colorado Avalanche (24)

Narrowly edging out the competition for 14th is Mikael Backlund, who jumps up ten spots from his original draft position with the Calgary Flames. In 2007 he had just been ranked the second best European skater by NHL Central Scouting, but given his three-point draft year output in the Swedish second league there was a level of unfamiliarity with Backlund at the time. For fans in Western Canada that unfamiliarity would quickly disappear. In 2008-09 after starting the year in Sweden, Backlund would attend the World Juniors in Ottawa and dominate en route to a silver medal. He would then play a single game with the Flames before joining the Kelown Rockets of the WHL, where he put up 53 points in 47 games and won a league championship.

Unfortunately through the first few seasons of his NHL career, it appeared as though his offense would never materialize. Recording just 62 points through his first 170 games, Backlund finally broke out in 2013-14 with a strong 18-goal campaign. That offense would continue to pour out of the forward to the point where he is now an integral part of the team’s attack and locked in as their second-line center. In 2018, Calgary signed Backlund to a six-year extension worth a total of $32.1MM, showing just how important they believe him to be.

Even with the slow start, Backlund ranks 13th in points among all players drafted in 2007 (11th among forwards) and seems to be just getting stronger as a two-way option for the Flames. On a list that doesn’t include many players who have spent their whole careers with the team that drafted them, he clearly deserves to be in the top half of the first round.

When the Edmonton Oilers strode to the podium in 2007 with the 15th pick, they should have taken Backlund or any of the other players who have jumped up our board. Instead, with the second of three first round picks (Sam Gagner went sixth overall), they decided to take Alex Plante. Perhaps it was because they held so many picks, but Plante was a reach of immense proportion. The 6’3″ defenseman had been ranked 72nd among North American skaters by NHL Central Scouting but a strong playoff with the Calgary Hitmen of the WHL had turned some heads. Unfortunately, things quickly went downhill.

In his first year after being drafted, Plante dealt with injuries and tried to force his way out of the Hitmen organization—a move that would ultimately backfire—while recording just six points in 51 games. Upon turning pro it was obvious that Plante would never be able to contribute offensively, and his footspeed was questioned at every level. He did end up playing in ten games over three years with the Oilers, but parted ways with the organization in 2013 before playing in Austria and South Korea (in fact, he played for South Korea at the Olympics and World Championship in 2018 after getting his citizenship.)

Plante was not the right pick at the time and comes in as the second real bust of the draft so far. If given the chance to do it again, the Oilers would certainly pick someone else.

With the fifteenth pick of the 2007 NHL Entry Draft, who should the Edmonton Oilers select?  Cast your vote below!

2007 Redraft: Fifteenth Overall

  • Evgenii Dadonov 23% (177)
  • Alec Martinez 19% (146)
  • Carl Hagelin 12% (92)
  • Patrick Maroon 7% (56)
  • Lars Eller 7% (51)
  • Alex Killorn 6% (48)
  • Sam Gagner 5% (39)
  • Nick Bonino 3% (26)
  • Karl Alzner 3% (26)
  • Justin Braun 3% (21)
  • Brandon Sutter 3% (20)
  • Paul Byron 3% (20)
  • Ian Cole 2% (15)
  • Carl Gunnarsson 2% (14)
  • Riley Nash 1% (10)
  • Thomas Hickey 1% (10)
  • Brendan Smith 0% (3)
  • Colton Sceviour 0% (1)

Total votes: 775

[Mobile users click here to vote]

*Tragically, 17th overall pick Alexei Cherepanov died at the age of 19 and would never get a chance to suit up in the NHL.  He has not been included in this vote.

PHR Originals: 9/2/19 – 9/8/19

Here’s a rundown of the original content at PHR over the past seven days.

Our trip around the salary cap situation for the Central Division continues.  I took a look at the situations for Colorado and Dallas while Holger did the same for Minnesota and Nashville.  Two of those teams project to be pretty tight to the $81.5MM Upper Limit for the upcoming season while Minnesota has some cap space but some expensive veteran contracts on the books.  Meanwhile, the picture for the Avalanche is pretty good right now though a big chunk of their cap room will be eaten when Mikko Rantanen signs his next deal.

Speaking of next contracts, that’s something that quite a few others need to get done in the coming weeks as well.  Among those are a pair of blueliners which we gave a closer look to.  Zach provided Rangers rearguard Anthony DeAngelo while I did the same for Flyers defenseman Ivan Provorov.  Both players present interesting cases.  DeAngelo is coming off of his best season but New York, pressured by cap constraints, is trying to force him to accept his qualifying offer despite the comparable contracts being in his favor.  Meanwhile, Provorov is coming off a poorer performance and while that would seemingly make him a candidate for a bridge contract, there aren’t many good equivalents for him to compare to.

Colorado is on the clock in our 2007 redraft series with the 14th selection.  They did pretty well with their initial selection with defenseman Kevin Shattenkirk although he hardly played for them as he was shipped to St. Louis in his rookie season.  The Avalanche won’t be able to get him here but there is still some quality talent on the board.  It’s nearly a dead heat as things stand but there is still time to make your pick.

The back half of our mailbag was released as I tackled questions about Jesse Puljujarvi, the Rangers’ backup goalie situation, David Backes’ contract and what Boston could do about it, players that could be on the rebound and decline, and how Seattle’s looming debut in 2021 could impact activity around the NHL this season.

2007 NHL Draft Take Two: Fourteenth Overall Pick

Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.”  Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended.  For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.

We’re looking back at the 2007 NHL Entry Draft and asking how it would shake out knowing what we do now.  Will the first round remain the same, or will some late-round picks jump up to the top of the board?

Here are the results of the redraft so far, with their original draft position in parentheses:

1st OverallPatrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks (1)
2nd OverallJamie Benn, Philadelphia Flyers (129)
3rd OverallP.K. Subban, Phoenix Coyotes (43)
4th OverallLogan Couture, Los Angeles Kings (9)
5th OverallMax Pacioretty, Washington Capitals (22)
6th OverallJakub Voracek, Edmonton Oilers (7)
7th OverallRyan McDonagh, Columbus Blue Jackets (12)
8th OverallJames van Riemsdyk, Boston Bruins (2)
9th OverallWayne Simmonds, San Jose Sharks (61)
10th OverallKevin Shattenkirk, Florida Panthers (14)
11th Overall: Jake Muzzin, Carolina Hurricanes (141)
12th OverallKyle Turris, Montreal Canadiens (3)
13th Overall: David Perron, St. Louis Blues (26)

It always comes back to the Blues for David Perron. Now 12 years removed from being selected with the team’s third pick of the first round, Perron has played for five different NHL organizations. Amazingly, during all that time he has never signed a contract with anyone but St. Louis. Jumping right to the NHL after being drafted, Perron showed exactly why he was ranked as the tenth best among all North American skaters by NHL Central Scouting, despite teams letting him fall almost out of the first round entirely. The young forward put up 27 points in 62 games during that rookie season as a teenager, showing a glimpse of the incredibly consistent offensive player he would become.

In his sophomore season, Perron shot up the scoring list for St. Louis by becoming a catalyst on the powerplay and showing off his playmaking skills at even-strength. His 35 assists put him behind only Brad Boyes for the team lead, and his 50 points trailed only Boyes and David Backes. Not bad for a 20-year old still finding his footing at the professional level. After several injury-riddled seasons with the Blues, he ended up traded to the Edmonton Oilers for a package of picks and prospects (one of which ended up turning into Ivan Barbashev), before being flipped a couple of years later to the Pittsburgh Penguins for a first-round pick (which ended up turning into Mathew Barzal). His journey around the league wouldn’t end there as a year later he would go to the Anaheim Ducks, before signing back with the Blues that summer.

That homecoming was cut short when he was picked in the expansion draft by the Vegas Golden Knights, who promptly went all the way to the Stanley Cup Final on the back of Perron’s best offensive season. It always comes back to the Blues though, and Perron would sign again with St. Louis in the summer of 2018 only to win a Stanley Cup.

It makes sense then that the Blues would move Perron up their board and take him with the 13th overall pick. In fact, he’s probably a steal even there. The 31-year old ranks fifth in points among all players selected in 2007 but seems to have been continually overlooked throughout his career. While most players hit their peak in their mid-twenties, it almost seems as though Perron is getting better with age. He has 112 points in his last 127 regular season games and is an important part of the Blues forward group.

In 2007 it was Colorado that picked 14th after St. Louis, coming off their first season missing the playoffs in more than a decade. The team had still gone 44-31-7 under Joel Quenneville, but finished fourth in the extremely competitive Northwest Division. Joe Sakic had just put up 100 points as a 37-year old, and still looked like he had plenty left in the tank. Unfortunately Sakic wouldn’t play another full season, suiting up just 59 times over his last two seasons in uniform. Perhaps if they knew that they would have gone after a forward in the middle of the first round, but instead the team chose Kevin Shattenkirk.

That definitely worked out for Colorado, as shown by Shattenkirk’s spot in our redraft. He moved up into the top-10 after an excellent career, and will be unavailable this time around. So who could the team choose?

With the fourteenth pick of the 2007 NHL Entry Draft, who should the Colorado Avalanche select?  Cast your vote below!

2007 Redraft: Fourteenth Overall

  • Mikael Backlund 17% (124)
  • Evgenii Dadonov 16% (120)
  • Alec Martinez 14% (105)
  • Carl Hagelin 9% (67)
  • Lars Eller 6% (48)
  • Alex Killorn 6% (44)
  • Patrick Maroon 5% (39)
  • Sam Gagner 5% (36)
  • Nick Bonino 5% (35)
  • Justin Braun 3% (23)
  • Karl Alzner 3% (21)
  • Ian Cole 2% (18)
  • Brandon Sutter 2% (16)
  • Paul Byron 2% (13)
  • Carl Gunnarsson 2% (12)
  • Riley Nash 1% (10)
  • Thomas Hickey 1% (10)
  • Colton Sceviour 1% (5)
  • Brendan Smith 0% (2)

Total votes: 748

[Mobile users click here to vote]

*Tragically, 17th overall pick Alexei Cherepanov died at the age of 19 and would never get a chance to suit up in the NHL.  He has not been included in this vote.

PHR Originals: 8/25/19 – 9/1/19

Here’s a rundown of the original content at PHR over the past week.

Our 2007 redraft series has now gone past the top ten.  Jake Muzzin was selected as the 11th pick to Carolina while Kyle Turris went one spot later to Montreal.  Who should St. Louis take at 13th overall?  Make your choice here.

It has been a rapid fall from grace for goaltender Scott Darling.  Two years ago, the Hurricanes acquired him with an eye on making him their new starter.  That didn’t go so well and back in June, he was traded to Florida and immediately bought out.  Zach looked at his potential market to see who the best fits for him on a possible PTO are.

Our look at the salary cap situation for each team in the Metropolitan Division has come to an end.  I took a look at the Flyers and Penguins while Holger did the same for the Capitals before beginning to assess the Central Division by breaking down the Blackhawks.  Pittsburgh and Washington will be teams to watch for in the coming weeks as they look to free up some wiggle room under the Upper Limit.

The next edition of our mailbag is now available.  Topics I tackled included the lack of offer sheets on the RFA market, what impact the next US TV deal could have on the salary cap, the futures for a pair of key Washington pending free agents, what Minnesota could do with some of their high-priced veterans, and what Pittsburgh will need to do in order to get RFA defenseman Marcus Pettersson re-signed.

Our top player poll series wraps up with the goaltenders.  Currently, Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay) and Carey Price (Montreal) are neck-and-neck for the top spot while Sergei Bobrovsky (Florida) holds down the number three spot.  There’s still time to make your picks

Kyle Connor isn’t getting as much attention as his teammate in Patrik Laine when it comes to their respective restricted free agent cases.  Of the two, his potential contract is a little easier to peg although Connor’s situation does have a wrinkle compared to most of the other notable RFAs.  I examined some of the potential comparable players and took a stab at what his next deal could cost.

2007 NHL Draft Take Two: Thirteenth Overall Pick

Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.”  Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended.  For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.

We’re looking back at the 2007 NHL Entry Draft and asking how it would shake out knowing what we do now.  Will the first round remain the same, or will some late-round picks jump up to the top of the board?

Here are the results of the redraft so far, with their original draft position in parentheses:

1st OverallPatrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks (1)
2nd OverallJamie Benn, Philadelphia Flyers (129)
3rd OverallP.K. Subban, Phoenix Coyotes (43)
4th OverallLogan Couture, Los Angeles Kings (9)
5th OverallMax Pacioretty, Washington Capitals (22)
6th OverallJakub Voracek, Edmonton Oilers (7)
7th OverallRyan McDonagh, Columbus Blue Jackets (12)
8th OverallJames van Riemsdyk, Boston Bruins (2)
9th OverallWayne Simmonds, San Jose Sharks (61)
10th OverallKevin Shattenkirk, Florida Panthers (14)
11th Overall: Jake Muzzin, Carolina Hurricanes (141)
12th Overall: Kyle Turris, Montreal Canadiens (3)

With so many players jumping into the top-ten that weren’t originally selected there, some players had to drop and Turris is one of them as he slips down nine spots.  Interestingly enough, he goes to a Montreal team that has spent the better part of the last decade looking for center help so this would have been a good fit for them.

Unfortunately for the Coyotes who originally drafted him, he wasn’t a great fit with them.  After being a one-and-done player at Notre Dame, he was pencilled in as a regular for 2008-09.  He spent most of the season in Phoenix but had a limited impact.  As a result, Turris spent most of the following season in the minors which is where things started to go off the rails.

While he rebounded with 25 points in 65 games the following year, it was evident that things weren’t particularly rosy between the two sides.  Turris ultimately held out at the start of 2011-12 in the hopes of forcing a trade.  He ultimately signed in late November but before long, he got his wish and was on his way to Ottawa for defenseman David Rundblad (still considered a quality prospect at the time) and a second-rounder that eventually was flipped as part of a package to pick up Antoine Vermette.

Turris didn’t exactly light it up right away with the Senators as his first two seasons with the team saw him pick up 29 points each time.  However, the switch flipped in time for the 2013-14 campaign which saw him basically double his output from the previous year, finally establishing himself as a legitimate top-six center in the process.  He was able to maintain that for several more seasons before being part of the Matt Duchene three-way trade back in 2017, a swap that didn’t go as well for Ottawa as they’d have liked.

The move ultimately landed Turris with Nashville along with a freshly-signed six-year, $36MM contract extension that still has five years left on it.  His first season with the Predators wasn’t too bad but the veteran struggled last season and had just seven goals in 55 games.  In response, the Predators went out and signed a replacement for him in the top six this summer and it just so happened to be the player he had been traded for in Duchene.  Turris may have lots of job security but as things stand, he’s going to be back in the limited role that he struggled with at the beginning of his career.

We now turn our focus to the team with the 13th pick in the draft, the St. Louis Blues.  They used that pick on Lars Eller, a Danish center developing in Sweden in the Frolunda system.  They didn’t have him for very long though as just three years later, he was traded to Montreal in exchange for goaltender Jaroslav Halak.

Eller spent six seasons with the Canadiens where he showed flashes of offensive upside but ultimately was only able to produce in a limited capacity, ranging from 26-30 points over his final five seasons with the team.  Back at the 2016 draft, he was shipped to Washington for a pair of second-round picks.

Since then, Eller has been a bit more productive offensively while filling an important spot on the third line.  The team was pleased enough with him that they gave him a five-year, $17.5MM extension back in 2018, a deal that has four years remaining on it.

While Eller has nearly 700 career NHL games under his belt (eighth-most amongst players from this draft class) which is a solid return on a pick at this stage of the first round, it’s hard not to wonder what if when it comes to St. Louis.  San Jose initially acquired this pick from Toronto at the draft for goalie Vesa Toskala and winger Mark Bell, then used it in a trade to move up to the number nine slot where St. Louis originally sat.  The Sharks wound up with Logan Couture and looking back in hindsight, the Blues would probably like a do-over on that one.  Couture is obviously off the board now but Eller is still available.  Is he the right fit for them at this spot in the redraft?

With the thirteenth pick of the 2007 NHL Entry Draft, who should the St. Louis Blues select?  Cast your vote below!

2007 Redraft: Thirteenth Overall

  • David Perron 32% (222)
  • Mikael Backlund 12% (80)
  • Evgenii Dadonov 11% (73)
  • Alec Martinez 8% (57)
  • Carl Hagelin 7% (48)
  • Patrick Maroon 5% (32)
  • Lars Eller 4% (31)
  • Sam Gagner 4% (25)
  • Alex Killorn 3% (22)
  • Karl Alzner 3% (18)
  • Nick Bonino 2% (17)
  • Justin Braun 2% (13)
  • Brandon Sutter 2% (12)
  • Paul Byron 2% (11)
  • Carl Gunnarsson 1% (7)
  • Riley Nash 1% (6)
  • Robert Bortuzzo 1% (5)
  • Ian Cole 1% (5)
  • Brendan Smith 1% (4)
  • Thomas Hickey 1% (4)
  • Colton Sceviour 0% (3)

Total votes: 695

Mobile users, click here to vote.

*Tragically, 17th overall pick Alexei Cherepanov died at the age of 19 and would never get a chance to suit up in the NHL.  He has not been included in this vote.

Submit Your Questions For The #PHRMailbag

The NHL offseason is almost over and preseason games are just a few weeks away. Even so, the restricted free agent market has yet to thaw and there are still unsigned free agent names out there like Jake Gardiner and Ben Hutton. It seems unlikely that these situations will continue through September, but neither show any signs of change in the coming days.

With the offseason moving at a snail’s pace it’s time to run another edition of our mailbag. You can submit your query by using #PHRMailbag on Twitter or by leaving a comment down below. Make sure you get your questions in early and we’ll try to get through as many as possible when the mailbag runs on the weekend.

If you missed our last edition it was split into two parts you can read here and here. In the first, Brian tackled questions regarding Kevin Shattenkirk‘s fit in Tampa Bay, the early extension of Samuel Girard in Colorado and predicted what contracts the top restricted free agents would eventually get. The second part took a look at the possible next moves for the New York Rangers, David Backes‘ future in Boston and speculated on some trade candidates that may be brought up in the future.

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