2007 NHL Draft Take Two: Twenty-Second Overall Pick
Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.” Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended. For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.
We’re looking back at the 2007 NHL Entry Draft and asking how it would shake out knowing what we do now. Will the first round remain the same, or will some late-round picks jump up to the top of the board?
Here are the results of the redraft so far, with their original draft position in parentheses:
1st Overall: Patrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks (1)
2nd Overall: Jamie Benn, Philadelphia Flyers (129)
3rd Overall: P.K. Subban, Phoenix Coyotes (43)
4th Overall: Logan Couture, Los Angeles Kings (9)
5th Overall: Max Pacioretty, Washington Capitals (22)
6th Overall: Jakub Voracek, Edmonton Oilers (7)
7th Overall: Ryan McDonagh, Columbus Blue Jackets (12)
8th Overall: James van Riemsdyk, Boston Bruins (2)
9th Overall: Wayne Simmonds, San Jose Sharks (61)
10th Overall: Kevin Shattenkirk, Florida Panthers (14)
11th Overall: Jake Muzzin, Carolina Hurricanes (141)
12th Overall: Kyle Turris, Montreal Canadiens (3)
13th Overall: David Perron, St. Louis Blues (26)
14th Overall: Mikael Backlund, Colorado Avalanche (24)
15th Overall: Evgenii Dadonov, Edmonton Oilers (71)
16th Overall: Alec Martinez, Minnesota Wild (95)
17th Overall: Carl Hagelin, New York Rangers (168)
18th Overall: Lars Eller, St. Louis Blues (13)
19th Overall: Alex Killorn, Anaheim Ducks (77)
20th Overall: Nick Bonino, Pittsburgh Penguins (173)
21st Overall: Pat Maroon, Edmonton Oilers (161)
Another sixth-round pick jumps up to the first, showing just how much of a lottery the NHL Entry Draft really is. Perhaps if Maroon started his career in Edmonton it would look even better than it does now, given the success he experienced once he finally did land there.
In 2007, Maroon was already 6’4″ 225-lbs, but concerns about his conditioning and level of competition dropped him to 208th overall among North American skaters on the NHL Central Scouting rankings. He had just played two years in the NAHL, most recently scoring 95 points in 57 games with the St. Louis Bandits to lead the league and earn a Most Valuable Player award. When he left the Bandits for the London Knights the following year and topped all OHL rookies with 90 points, the Philadelphia Flyers got an inkling that they might have a late-round steal on their hands.
In 2008, when Maroon started his pro career with the Philadelphia Phantoms, he was a monstrous winger that could push around even grown men. He scored 23 goals and 54 points in his rookie AHL season, and proved any doubters wrong about his ability to contribute at a high level. In 2010, after he failed to make the leap to the NHL for a second year, Maroon was traded to the Anaheim Ducks where he would once again dominate for their AHL affiliate. Though it took him a while, he would eventually get to the NHL as a full-time option for the Ducks in 2013, where he started what has been a successful career.
Setting a career-high with 27 goals in 2016-17 with the Edmonton Oilers, Maroon eventually found himself back in his hometown of St. Louis just in time to participate in their Stanley Cup run. Though his regular season wasn’t anything to write home about, the “Big Rig” would score one of the most memorable goals in the 2019 playoffs when he ended game seven against the Dallas Stars in double overtime. He’s now with the Tampa Bay Lightning where he’ll try for a repeat performance. In 452 career regular season games Maroon has 208 points, putting him 21st among all players drafted in 2007.
Finally, we get back to a pick that was well worth it back in 2007. The 22nd overall selection belonged to the Montreal Canadiens back then, and with it they would pick future captain and All-Star Max Pacioretty. Looking back, Pacioretty should have been off the board well before Montreal walked up to the podium for their second pick of the night (Ryan McDonagh at No. 12 wasn’t too shabby either). This time around he won’t be, as our community selected him in the top-five.
Without Pacioretty on the board, who will Montreal go after? Cast your vote below!
2007 Redraft: Twenty-Second Overall
-
Paul Byron 20% (108)
-
Sam Gagner 15% (80)
-
Justin Braun 12% (62)
-
Karl Alzner 11% (56)
-
Ian Cole 10% (55)
-
Brandon Sutter 9% (47)
-
Carl Gunnarsson 6% (33)
-
Riley Nash 5% (29)
-
Thomas Hickey 5% (26)
-
Robert Bortuzzo 4% (22)
-
Brendan Smith 3% (14)
-
Colton Sceviour 0% (1)
Total votes: 533
[Mobile users click here to vote]
*Tragically, 17th overall pick Alexei Cherepanov died at the age of 19 and would never get a chance to suit up in the NHL. He has not been included in this vote.
PHR Originals: 9/30/19 – 10/6/19
Here’s a rundown of the original content here at PHR over the past seven days.
The Oilers are on the clock in our 2007 redraft series with the 21st selection, their third of the first round. Their first two (Sam Gagner and Alex Plante) didn’t exactly work out as well as they hoped for while Riley Nash, their initial pick here, was traded away before he turned pro. They’ve done a lot better in our redraft and you can make their final first-round selection for them here.
The NCAA season is now underway. Zach took a look at some of the notable names to watch for among the top drafted prospects and those that are likely to hear their name called early in June. He also examined some of the players that are slated to hit the UFA market in March or April depending on when their respective seasons come to an end.
With the puck dropping on the 2019-20 season, it’s prediction time. Who will come out as the winners in the Atlantic, Metropolitan, Central, and Pacific divisions? The current leaders are the Lightning, Capitals, Blues, and Golden Knights. Click the respective links to make your predictions.
The Maple Leafs are the final team to be featured in our Salary Cap Deep Dive series. They’re using plenty of LTIR to stay in compliance and with so much money tied up in their core four up front, it will be interesting to see who they’re able to retain between the pipes and on the back end over the next few seasons as the deals for several key players expire.
California recently passed a bill allowing NCAA student-athletes to profit from their name, image, and likeness. College hockey isn’t exactly prominent there but Zach provided an overview of how this could wind up eventually affecting players in states that do have a significant college hockey presence as similar bills have been discussed elsewhere. This doesn’t come into effect until January 2023 so there will undoubtedly be some legal challenges between now and then but it certainly could affect collegiate sports, including hockey, over the next few years.
Poll: Who Will Win The Pacific Division In 2019-20?
We’ve finally reached the end of the offseason and things kick off tonight in the NHL. The regular season begins in Toronto with a matchup between the Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators, while the St. Louis Blues will hang their banner against the 2018 champion Washington Capitals. The excitement for the upcoming season is palpable, with even the most minor transactions generating plenty of interest among hockey fans.
With that in mind we’ve been asking you, the PHR reader, to give us your thoughts on the upcoming season. We started with the Atlantic Division, which seemed an easy choice for a good chunk of our community. The Tampa Bay Lightning ran away with the poll, earning a whopping 46% of all votes. Next was the Metropolitan Division, which wasn’t quite as lopsided. The Washington Capitals were picked by 31% of the voters to take home their fifth consecutive division title, but the Pittsburgh Penguins, Carolina Hurricanes and New York Islanders all got at least 10%.
The closest so far though goes to the Central Division, which is almost a dead heat between the Blues and Colorado Avalanche. Five teams received at least 10% of the vote, with only the Winnipeg Jets and Minnesota Wild falling below that threshold. The Central looks like it will be a meat grinder right to the end, but the reigning Stanley Cup champions are at least slightly ahead right now.
Lastly we’ll look at the Pacific Division, which was filled with disappointment in 2018-19. Just three Western Conference playoff spots came out of the group, with the other five teams all recording 86 or fewer points in the regular season. This time around things might be different, but will the upstart Arizona Coyotes, Connor McDavid-led Edmonton Oilers or rebuilt Vancouver Canucks really be able to challenge for the top spot? Cast your vote below and explain how you think the season will play out!
Who will win the Pacific Division in 2019-20?
-
Vegas Golden Knights 42% (498)
-
Calgary Flames 20% (231)
-
San Jose Sharks 15% (177)
-
Los Angeles Kings 7% (82)
-
Anaheim Ducks 5% (63)
-
Edmonton Oilers 4% (50)
-
Vancouver Canucks 4% (44)
-
Arizona Coyotes 3% (31)
Total votes: 1,176
[Mobile users click here to vote!]
Poll: Who Will Win The Central Division In 2019-20
We’ve finally reached the end of the offseason and things kick off this week around the NHL. Exhibition games are underway in Europe and final cuts have come down all around the league. The excitement for the upcoming season is palpable, with even the most minor transactions generating plenty of interest among hockey fans.
With that in mind we’re going to ask you, the PHR reader, to give us your thoughts on the upcoming season. We started with the Atlantic Division, which seemed an easy choice for a good chunk of our community. The Tampa Bay Lightning ran away with the poll, earning a whopping 46% of all votes. Next was the Metropolitan Division earlier today, which doesn’t look quite as lopsided. The Washington Capitals have been picked by 32% of the voters to take home their fifth consecutive division title, but the Pittsburgh Penguins, Carolina Hurricanes, New York Islanders and New Jersey Devils each currently carry more than 10%.
After finishing up the Eastern Conference we’ll now move west into the Central Division, where the Nashville Predators finished just a single point ahead of both the Winnipeg Jets and St. Louis Blues last season. In fact, Nashville’s 100 points were the lowest by any division winner and wouldn’t have even placed second in any of the other three groups. It didn’t do them much good either, as the Predators would fall in the first round to the Dallas Stars and have to watch their division rivals from St. Louis take home the Stanley Cup.
With that in mind, the Central might be the hardest division in the league to predict for 2019-20. All seven teams finished with at least 83 points last season and a similar thing might happen this year as they beat up on each other all year long. The Chicago Blackhawks, Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche should all be improved, while the Jets still have a star-studded forward group even if their defense did take a hit in the offseason.
Who do you think will come out on top of the Central Division? Will Matt Duchene‘s arrival make up for the loss of P.K. Subban from the back-end in Nashville? Can the young core in Colorado take them all the way to the top? Will the Blues continue to ride a breakout Jordan Binnington all year long? Cast your vote below and explain how you think the season will play out!
Who will win the Central Division in 2019-20?
-
St. Louis Blues 25% (493)
-
Colorado Avalanche 24% (460)
-
Nashville Predators 14% (280)
-
Dallas Stars 12% (239)
-
Chicago Blackhawks 11% (215)
-
Winnipeg Jets 7% (141)
-
Minnesota Wild 6% (119)
Total votes: 1,947
[Mobile users click here to vote!]
Poll: Who Will Win The Metropolitan Division In 2019-20?
We’ve finally reached the end of the offseason and things kick off this week around the NHL. Exhibition games are underway in Europe and final cuts have come down all around the league. The excitement for the upcoming season is palpable, with even the most minor transactions generating plenty of interest among hockey fans.
With that in mind we’re going to ask you, the PHR reader, to give us your thoughts on the upcoming season. We started with the Atlantic Division, which seemed an easy choice for a good chunk of our community. The Tampa Bay Lightning ran away with the poll, earning a whopping 46% of all votes. With the Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins firmly in the second and third spots, it may be another difficult year for Atlantic teams trying to crack those divisional playoff spots.
We’ll now move on to the Metropolitan Division, which has been dominated by one team for the last several years. The Washington Capitals have taken home the divisional crown for the past four consecutive seasons, posting at least 104 points in each. Even after losing head coach Barry Trotz to the rival New York Islanders, Alex Ovechkin and the Capitals were able to fend off the rest of the group for the top spot. It didn’t do them much good as they ended up kicked out of the first round by the hard-charging Carolina Hurricanes, who should be in contention for the division lead after going all the way to the Eastern Conference Final.
It certainly won’t be easy to capture though, as the division had five playoff teams last season and could potentially be a battle between all eight clubs this time around. The New York Rangers and New Jersey Devils both underwent huge changes in the offseason, while the Pittsburgh Penguins are still led by the Hall of Fame duo down the middle.
Who do you think will come out on top of the Metropolitan Division in the regular season? Can the Capitals make it five in a row? Will the Islanders complete the transformation to defensive powerhouse? Will Carter Hart‘s goaltending be the missing ingredient for the Philadelphia Flyers? Cast your vote below and explain how you think the season will play out!
Who will win the Metropolitan Division?
-
Washington Capitals 29% (527)
-
Pittsburgh Penguins 16% (285)
-
Philadelphia Flyers 13% (237)
-
Carolina Hurricanes 11% (203)
-
New York Islanders 10% (172)
-
New York Rangers 8% (148)
-
New Jersey Devils 8% (143)
-
Columbus Blue Jackets 4% (72)
Total votes: 1,787
[Mobile users click here to vote!]
Poll: Who Will Win The Atlantic Division In 2019-20?
We’ve finally reached the end of the offseason and things kick off this week around the NHL. Exhibition games are underway in Europe and final cuts have come down all around the league. The excitement for the upcoming season is palpable, with even the most minor transactions generating plenty of interest among hockey fans.
With that in mind we’re going to ask you, the PHR reader, to give us your thoughts on the upcoming season. We start with the Atlantic Division, which last season gave us just three playoff teams but each of them recorded at least 100 points. The Tampa Bay Lightning led the way—just as our community predicted at this time last year—taking home the Presidents Trophy as the league’s best regular season team. Tampa Bay recorded 128 points but were stunned in the first round by the Columbus Blue Jackets and will be looking for revenge.
Tampa Bay is the odds-on favorite to win the division once again in 2019-20, but both the Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins don’t trail far behind. Not only will those three powerhouses battle it out for positioning at the top of the group, but the Montreal Canadiens and Florida Panthers are both expected to compete for playoff spots and potentially improve on their respective 96 and 86-point seasons. The Buffalo Sabres, Detroit Red Wings and Ottawa Senators will all have to make large improvements to get into that playoff race, but as we saw last season with the St. Louis Blues, nothing is impossible in the NHL.
Who do you think will come out on top of the Atlantic Division in the regular season? Can Toronto really come out on top after handing so much of their salary cap to a handful of forwards? Will Boston reach the same level even with Zdeno Chara and Patrice Bergeron another year older? Does the feisty young forward group in Montreal have what it takes to dethrone one of the top three? Cast your vote below and explain how you think the season will play out in the comments!
Who will win the Atlantic Division?
-
Tampa Bay Lightning 44% (738)
-
Boston Bruins 18% (293)
-
Toronto Maple Leafs 17% (282)
-
Montreal Canadiens 6% (92)
-
Detroit Red Wings 5% (80)
-
Buffalo Sabres 5% (79)
-
Florida Panthers 4% (61)
-
Ottawa Senators 2% (34)
Total votes: 1,659
[Mobile users click here to vote!]
PHR Originals: 9/23/19 – 9/29/19
Here is a rundown of the original content over the past seven days here at PHR.
Our look around the Atlantic Division salary cap situations continued as I took a look at the situations in Montreal and Ottawa while Holger did the same for Tampa Bay. While the Canadiens and Senators sit well below the Upper Limit, the Lightning had to make cost-cutting moves this summer, a trend that is likely to continue over the next couple of offseasons as well.
At the start of every season, there are some coaches who are believed to be in danger of losing their job if their team gets off to a slow start. We saw quite a few changes made last season and with a lot of teams expected to be tight in the standings due to increased parity around the league, there could be some quick changes made. Which coaches are most in jeopardy? Click here to make your prediction.
Gavin held his weekly Thursday chat. Topics included the future of Jonathan Quick and Jeff Carter in Los Angeles, his take on the Justin Faulk trade, predictions of what teams could be making trades in the coming days, Philadelphia’s postseason changes, what type of new contracts Alex Pietrangelo and Brayden Schenn may try to get, and more.
The Penguins are on the clock in our 2007 redraft series. They initially took Angelo Esposito who failed to make it into an NHL game and will certainly wind up with a better player in this exercise. Make their selection here.
Our latest mailbag is now available. Topics I tackled in this edition included waiver candidates, Toronto’s salary cap situation, the Faulk trade, forecasting the Metropolitan Division standings, and more.
Submit Your Questions For The #PHRMailbag
The 2019-20 NHL regular season is just over a week away and there are still several top restricted free agents unsigned. Even without those players in camp however, teams are completing their final preparations for what should be an extremely exciting year. Teams like the New York Rangers and Arizona Coyotes have big aspirations as they try to get back to the playoffs, while perennial contenders like the Boston Bruins and Nashville Predators will try to overcome that final hurdle.
With that in mind, it’s time to run another edition of our mailbag. You can submit your query by using #PHRMailbag on Twitter or by leaving a comment down below. Make sure you get your questions in early and we’ll try to get through as many as possible when the mailbag runs on the weekend.
If you missed our last edition it was split into two parts you can read here and here. In the first part, Brian tackled questions regarding salary cap projections, the Washington Capitals pending free agents and of course touched on the RFA situations. In the second, he speculated on where he thought Jesse Puljujarvi would fit and gave some predictions on potential surprise playoff teams.
2007 NHL Draft Take Two: Twentieth Overall Pick
Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.” Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended. For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.
We’re looking back at the 2007 NHL Entry Draft and asking how it would shake out knowing what we do now. Will the first round remain the same, or will some late-round picks jump up to the top of the board?
Here are the results of the redraft so far, with their original draft position in parentheses:
1st Overall: Patrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks (1)
2nd Overall: Jamie Benn, Philadelphia Flyers (129)
3rd Overall: P.K. Subban, Phoenix Coyotes (43)
4th Overall: Logan Couture, Los Angeles Kings (9)
5th Overall: Max Pacioretty, Washington Capitals (22)
6th Overall: Jakub Voracek, Edmonton Oilers (7)
7th Overall: Ryan McDonagh, Columbus Blue Jackets (12)
8th Overall: James van Riemsdyk, Boston Bruins (2)
9th Overall: Wayne Simmonds, San Jose Sharks (61)
10th Overall: Kevin Shattenkirk, Florida Panthers (14)
11th Overall: Jake Muzzin, Carolina Hurricanes (141)
12th Overall: Kyle Turris, Montreal Canadiens (3)
13th Overall: David Perron, St. Louis Blues (26)
14th Overall: Mikael Backlund, Colorado Avalanche (24)
15th Overall: Evgenii Dadonov, Edmonton Oilers (71)
16th Overall: Alec Martinez, Minnesota Wild (95)
17th Overall: Carl Hagelin, New York Rangers (168)
18th Overall: Lars Eller, St. Louis Blues (13)
19th Overall: Alex Killorn, Anaheim Ducks (77)
Another mid-round pick jumps up in Killorn, showing just how hard it is to predict the outcome of an 17-year old prospect at the time of the draft. Born just before the cutoff that would have made Killorn a 2008 draft eligible player, he was one of the youngest available at the time and had only played 25 games of high school hockey in Massachusetts. Still, the Tampa Bay Lightning saw something in the young forward and he ended up being easily their best selection that year. His eventual NHL success wouldn’t come for quite some time however, as Killorn took a long path to the professional ranks.
After spending another year playing high school hockey, the Halifax native ended up heading to Harvard to play for one of the most prestigious and successful programs in the NCAA. By senior year Killorn was a dominant offensive presence for the school, scoring 23 goals and 46 points in 34 games and being named an All-Ivy Leaguer and All-American. That 2011-12 season was already a success, but Killorn jumped into the AHL at the end of the year and helped the Norfolk Admirals all the way to a Calder Cup, scoring 12 points in 17 playoff games. It was clear then that he wouldn’t be long for the minor leagues, and by the end of the following season Killorn was a regular in the Tampa Bay lineup.
In the time since, Killorn has put up consistent offensive production while being a physical presence and moving up and down the roster. It’s his impact in the playoffs that has never wavered from that first season in Norfolk. Through 68 NHL playoff contests, the 30-year old winger has scored 21 goals and 41 points, while being a grinding, frustrating presence for Tampa Bay. Though it hasn’t yet resulted in a Stanley Cup, he’s still an important part of a unit that is one of the best in the NHL.
Back in 2007, the Pittsburgh Penguins were next on the board and had just watched Angelo Esposito drop to them. The QMJHL star had long been a top prospect for the NHL draft and was even ranked the eighth best North American skater by NHL Central Scouting. Still, there were questions about Esposito after he had taken a slight step backwards in his second year of junior hockey (though he still put up 79 points in 60 games for the Quebec Remparts) and those doubts proved correct in the long run, though it wasn’t exactly for reasons within his control.
Two major knee surgeries and several other injuries derailed a promising career, and Esposito barely even played professional hockey, never even sniffing the NHL. His best pro season came in 2011-12 when he recorded 21 points in the AHL, but after bouncing around Europe his playing career ended in 2016. A pick that they would like back, there was still a lot of talent left on the board.
Needless to say, they’ll wind up with a better pick this time around. With the twentieth pick of the 2007 NHL Entry Draft, who should the Pittsburgh Penguins select? Cast your vote below!
2007 Redraft: Twentieth Overall
-
Nick Bonino 19% (179)
-
Patrick Maroon 16% (154)
-
Robert Bortuzzo 15% (144)
-
Justin Braun 9% (82)
-
Sam Gagner 7% (69)
-
Ian Cole 7% (65)
-
Karl Alzner 7% (64)
-
Brandon Sutter 7% (64)
-
Paul Byron 5% (46)
-
Carl Gunnarsson 3% (26)
-
Riley Nash 3% (25)
-
Thomas Hickey 2% (19)
-
Brendan Smith 1% (9)
-
Colton Sceviour 0% (4)
Total votes: 950
[Mobile users click here to vote]
*Tragically, 17th overall pick Alexei Cherepanov died at the age of 19 and would never get a chance to suit up in the NHL. He has not been included in this vote.
PHR Originals: 9/16/19 – 9/22/19
Here is a rundown of the original content over the past seven days here at PHR.
Our look around the salary cap situation continues as we started our look at the Atlantic Division. Zach broke down the situation for Boston while I did the same for Buffalo, Detroit, and Florida. Despite missing the playoffs last year, both the Sabres and Panthers find themselves fairly close to the Upper Limit heading into the season.
There are five high-quality remaining restricted free agents around the league in Brayden Point (Tampa Bay), Mikko Rantanen (Colorado), Matthew Tkachuk (Calgary), plus Kyle Connor and Patrik Laine (Winnipeg). At this point, it’s starting to look likely that at least one of these will carry over into the season. Which player is most likely to remain unsigned when the puck gets dropped to start the regular season? Make your prediction here.
Gavin held his weekly Thursday chat. Topics included Jared Spurgeon’s long-term extension, the Dustin Byfuglien situation in Winnipeg, a prediction on Chris Kreider’s future with the Rangers, a projection for what top pick Jack Hughes does this season, a discussion on Carolina’s stockpiling of defensemen, and more.
Our 2007 redraft series continues as we wrap up the selections in the teens. Winger Carl Hagelin went to the Rangers with the 17th selection while Lars Eller dropped five spots from his original draft slot but still wound up with the team that initially drafted him in St. Louis. Anaheim is now on the clock and will undoubtedly wind up with a pick that had more NHL success than their actual selection. Make your pick for them here.
