Atlantic Notes: Zaitsev, Baptiste, Ekblad
When all was said and done in game 2 of the Maple Leafs-Capitals series, Toronto had watched their top two defensmen play 40 minutes each and seen another right-handed shot go down early. They were desperate for some good news on Nikita Zaitsev, and he may have shared it himself. “Skating. See you soon Toronto!” he tweeted Sunday, accompanied by a video of him skating hard in practice by himself. He has since deleted the tweet and video but as Kristen Shilton of TSN reports, will play tonight.
The Leafs could use him back after losing Roman Polak to a season-ending leg injury on Saturday night. The coaching staff clearly doesn’t trust Connor Carrick in the advanced role—he played just under 19 minutes, more than ten less than Martin Marincin despite being the only right-handed shot left in the game—and did not have good early results from Alexey Marchenko in the regular season.
- As the Rochester Americans season comes to an end, one player believes it will be his last stint with the club. John Vogl of the Buffalo News reports that Nicholas Baptiste believes he can make the jump to the Buffalo Sabres next year, and provide a similar role as a goal-scoring forward. Baptiste had 25 goals for the Amerks this season, and actually contributed four points in his 14 games with the big club. The 21-year old was a big point producer in junior, and will try to continue that at the highest level in the world next year.
- After an ugly end to his season that saw Aaron Ekblad return too early from a head injury, he’s already looking forward to next year. Ekblad admitted to Henry Fialkov of the Sun Sentinel that early in the season he was afraid of being hit, his mind racing back to the Leo Komarov hit in the World Cup that had left him with whiplash. He had just turned things around when he suffered the second head injury, this time keeping him out for 13 of the final 14 games—the one being a misguided attempt at a return. He’ll head into next year at just 21-years of age and already a superstar in the league, should he get back to his puck-carrying self. The Panthers will welcome his return, as their team somewhat mirrors his results.
How Has Toronto Frustrated Washington?
Upsets aren’t unheard of during NHL playoffs, yet the Capitals’ struggles against a young Toronto Maple Leafs’ team that squeaked into the playoffs (after missing out since 2012-13) has turned some heads. ESPN’s Pierre LeBrun writes that he interviewed several head coaches for their analysis as to how the Maple Leafs have threatened the top-ranked team in the NHL.
Most coaches believe it’s Toronto’s speed and quickness that has frustrated Washington so much. That quickness has disrupted their game since the Capitals are not considered to be the fastest team in the league.
“Listen, Washington is a great hockey club, but they’re not the quickest team in the league,” a Western Conference coach said. “And the Maple Leafs are using the quickness they have, they have a lot of foot speed and they’re using it. They’re constantly putting pressure on Washington all over the ice. Toronto is so well-coached as far as puck support that Washington can’t get it stopped in the offensive zone — Toronto exits too quickly. Everything they’re doing, from play without the puck and play with the puck; it’s got quickness in it and it’s really giving Washington a challenge.”
In fact, according to another Eastern Conference coach, it’s Washington’s lack of speed that may be making the difference. “[The Caps are] a structured team, they’re experienced, they’ve got moxie, and I think they’re heavy, probably the heaviest team in the East,” said the coach over the phone. “But the speed factor has given them problems, like it did with Pittsburgh last year, where there’s no time and space.”
LeBrun writes another Eastern Conference coach suggests that Toronto is doing a “disciplined job of getting pucks in and making Wash’s D have to go back for pucks. They are dumping intelligently to areas where their speed is forechecking! Using five guys on the forecheck [their weak-side D is going down the wall hard] creates o-zone time, makes Washington’s studs play in their zone. Which sucks for them.”
Yet, another major factor to Toronto’s success is the play of Frederik Andersen. LeBrun said a Western Conference GM told him that Andersen would need a 94 percent save percentage to pull off an upset of the Capitals. After two games and 88 saves of 94 shots, Anderson is sporting a .936 save percentage. “The scary thing is in the 3rd and OT of Game 2, he was getting better and better, and it looked easier,” the second Eastern Conference coach said via text. “He has been the best player in the series — not even close.”
It was also suggested that the Capitals have failed to dominate in the offensive zone and haven’t been able to capitalize on the Leafs’ main weakness, which is their defense.
“We haven’t really seen Washington hem the Leafs into their zone that much,” said the first Eastern Conference coach, “like, make Toronto defend for a long period of time. I’ve been surprised so far that we haven’t seen Washington possess the puck more and make Toronto defend. It’s almost been like a track meet. A lot of Washington’s offense so far has been [power play] or rush plays as opposed to long, strong, heavy shifts that probably I think would give Toronto trouble.”
Talent may also be a factor says a third Eastern conference coach. Toronto may be young, but they may be one of the most talented teams out there. It just took them a while to figure it out. “I think Toronto right now is the third-most talented team in the East,” the coach said Sunday over the phone. “Now, they’re young, but who cares? That was a tough draw for Washington. Outside of Pittsburgh and Washington, to me the Leafs are the third-most talented group in the East.”
Toronto’s Roman Polak Out For Playoffs
Toronto’s Roman Polak suffered a brutal hit at the hands of Washington’s Brooks Orpik. Polak attempted to sidestep the brunt of the hit and ended up with severe knee-on-knee contact. Worse, when Polak landed, his stricken right knee buckled and caught under the weight of his body. Polak remained down on the ice in gut-wrenching pain for well over a minute before being helped off the ice by players. TSN reports that Polak will no longer be available for Toronto in these playoffs, which throws a massive question mark onto the team’s backend.
Polak has not been a particularly phenomenal defenseman in terms of analytics this season. His physical play and ability to stay healthy have arguably been his greatest assets to the team. His Corsi For % – simply, shot attempts for versus against when he is on the ice – is an abysmal 41% on the season. For reference, Jake Gardiner‘s is 52.6%, Morgan Rielly‘s is 50.4%, the injured Nikita Zaitsev‘s is 49.4%, and Matt Hunwick‘s is 49.1%. Each of the aforementioned Leafs have definitely contributed to leading the team back into the post-season. Toronto was a dismal 23rd in Goals Allowed this season, but notably better than the previous, where they were 28th, surpassed only by Calgary (who inexplicably made the playoffs that year) and Edmonton who were McDavid-less for a long stretch of time.
Toronto needs to keep pucks out of the net against the high-octane offense of Washington if they are to win this series. So far in the series, Babcock’s defensive strategies have been relatively effective. They held even in hits with Washington through a double overtime game – 50 a piece. They blocked 35 shots in Game 2, and forced plays to the outside whenever possible. And when the chances became glorious, Frederik Andersen was there to shut the play down. Although they surrendered 44 shots and 50 shots in each respective game, many of these chances did not come from high-scoring areas. In a series where Toronto’s defense was expected to be overwhelmed, they have held fast in the absence of Zaitsev. Still, Leafs’ fans are longing for his quick return to play in hopes of taking advantage of the next two raucous home games at the Air Canada Centre. The 23-year-old Connor Carrick and 25-year-old Martin Marincin both look capable of filling some of the void left by Polak – they each averaged over 16 minutes per game in the regular season.
Washington-Toronto Playoff Notes: Zaitsev, Shattenkirk, Matthews
Nikita Zaitsev (upper body injury) has been ruled out for Game 2 in the Maple Leafs’ series with the Capitals today. Toronto coach Mike Babcock said he got excited when he saw him at the morning skate. However, the right-handed defenseman was ruled out instead, dealing a critical blow against the top-seeded Capitals after the team lost in overtime in game one.
“I saw him out there today, I got very excited, and they shut me down very fast,” Babcock said.
The loss is considered by many to be devastating as the series is expected to come down to the strength of each teams’ defensive depth. Washington general manager Brian MacLellan looks more and more like a genius for his deadline trade to acquire Kevin Shattenkirk. The veteran blueliner was acquired along with Pheonix Copley in a package that included Washington’s 2017 first-rounder, 2019 second-round pick, Bradley Malone, Zach Sanford and a conditional pick. The depth that he provides suddenly gives the Capitals a strong advantage against the young up-and-coming Maple Leafs.
Washington Post’s Isabelle Khurshudyan writes that Shattenkirk’s presence is not only enough to avoid concerns of a potential defensive injury, but the way in coach Barry Trotz managed his blueliners minutes in Game 1. Despite the game going into overtime, no defenseman played more than 25:22 or less than 16:32. Trotz’ ability to depend on his defensive depth is critical as it allows his defenders to get more involved in the offense. Shattenkirk showed that Thursday night when he put a game-high nine shots on goal.
“I think both teams and in this day and age in the game, you want to have the ability to be active,” Trotz said. “It’s so hard to score three-on-three, two-on-two, so you’ve got to create the next race, who’s going to create an odd-man rush, and if you can execute, you’re going to get a good look. That’s where the game is, that’s where you’re going to have some success, but you’ve got to jump at the right time.
“If you don’t have the legs to get up ice, you’re not going to have that opportunity. I think when you’re able to spread the minutes over, it does help. There’s a couple elite skaters in this league that can seem to go forever like a Drew Doughty or Brent Burns. They just don’t run out of gas, it seems, but for the rest of us mortals I think spreading the minutes is really helpful.”
Getting any offense out of their defensive pairings would only add a new element in their attempt to finally gain that Stanley Cup that has eluded the Capitals so far. Defensively, they were ranked fourth in the NHL during the regular season with a 2.16 goals against. “When we were able to acquire Shattenkirk, it even took it to a different level of being able to spread out our top guy and our bottom guy, minutes-wise,” associate coach Todd Reirden said. “In the Eastern Conference, we have the lowest differential between our highest-minute defenseman and our lowest-minute defenseman, so that’s been an important thing for me this year. I think keeping our players fresh for a long run and also I think it correlated with the few number of man-games we lost. It’s definitely a strategy and something we were able to really see through this year.”
Other series notes:
- The Capitals look at Thursday’s game as a wake-up call. However, they have won six of the last eight Game 2 playoff series and are now more focused than ever. “To me, it’s a really good wake-up call for us,” Trotz said of Game 1. “You get in the playoffs, and there are no easy games. The Leafs were well prepared, they’re a good hockey team, their kids are exceptional talents, and they can play. And you’ve got to play them hard.”
- Babcock praised the play of rookie sensation Auston Matthews, saying the 2016 first overall pick reminds him of former Detroit Red Wings’ Pavel Datsyuk. The veteran was well known for his elite defensive skills and his game-changing offensive abilities. “When you think you’re out of his range, he’s able to get a puck,” Trotz said.
- Speaking of Matthews, the youngster has preached patience after his quiet playoff debut. Babcock’s message: “Keep on keepin’ on.” What Babcock would like to see is Matthews and the Maple Leafs get more shots on goal in Game 2. They were outshot 19-9 in the third period and overtime and were outshot 44-37 overall. Matthews only managed one shot on goal.
Morning Notes: Calvert, Zaitsev, Blue Jackets
When Matt Calvert decided to crosscheck Tom Kuhnhackl across the back last night, he put himself at risk of a suspension according to many around the game. When he then knocked down the defenseless Kuhnhackl seconds later, he may have crossed the line entirely. That’s what many are saying today, though there has yet to be a word from the Department of Player Safety. A suspension would definitely be a strong message, as playoff games are usually considered twice as valuable as regular season contests.
Last year, Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, Andrew Shaw, Brayden Schenn, Brooks Orpik and Kris Letang all received bans during the postseason (though Schenn served his the next season). We’ll see if Calvert gets any discipline, or if the Penguins have to take it into their own hands next game. For what it’s worth, Pierre LeBrun of ESPN gets the feeling that he’ll avoid missing any games and just receive a suspension.
- Nikita Zaitsev was back on the ice before the Maple Leafs’ morning skate according to Kristen Shilton of TSN, his first time skating since his upper-body injury in the last game of the regular season. The young Russian defender is an important part of the Maple Leafs blue line, and would be welcomed back for game 3 should he be medically cleared. For now, the team won’t change their defense group from the first game; Martin Marincin stays in, while Matt Hunwick remains paired with Morgan Rielly.
- The Columbus Blue Jackets have called up both Anton Forsberg and Sonny Milano while sending Oscar Dansk back to the Cleveland Monsters. Down 2-0 in their series against the Pittsburgh Penguins, the Blue Jackets have to find a way to insert some more offense into their lineup and perhaps Milano is the answer. It also could easily be a precautionary action for any incoming Calvert discipline. The Monsters ended their season yesterday, but will have to wait to see whether they make the playoffs. Should the Charlotte Checkers lose their final game in regulation today against the Chicago Wolves, the Monsters would make it. Otherwise, Milano and Forsberg will likely remain with the team and be joined by other AHLers.
Playoff Notes: Zaitsev, Benning, Sanford
The Toronto Maple Leafs will be without Nikita Zaitsev again on Saturday night when they try to even up their series against the Washington Capitals. As Kristen Shilton of TSN reports, Zaitsev missed practice again despite Babcock lobbying for his return. All season the Maple Leafs have kept clear boundaries between the coaching staff and the medical staff, taking any decision out of the player or coach’s hands.
Zaitsev’s absence was noticeable for the Leafs, who were forced to use Matt Hunwick for over 26 minutes, often on his wrong side. As we wrote yesterday, an impressive performance from Hunwick in the first round could be very impactful for his career in the NHL, and he actually showed fairly well. While he’ll never be an elite defender, the Leafs held their own against the powerful Capitals, even holding a 2-0 lead at one point in the first period.
- Ryan Rishaug of TSN reports that Matt Benning will likely make his playoff debut tonight, inserted into the lineup for the struggling Eric Gryba. Gryba played a key role in two of the San Jose Sharks goals, and the young Benning will try to fix those weaknesses as the Oilers try to get back even in the series. The 22-year old was quite a find for Edmonton this year, coming straight out of Northeastern and at times looking like a solid NHL piece. Gryba had 16 minutes of ice time in game 1; expect a similar amount for Benning tonight.
- Robert Bortuzzo and Zach Sanford will both be in the St. Louis Blues lineup tonight according to Jeremy Rutherford of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, with Jordan Schmaltz and Jori Lehtera coming out. Sanford will likely skate alongside Alex Steen and Vladimir Sobotka, though Steen did miss practice today. Bortuzzo fits in beside Carl Gunnarsson on the third pairing. The Blues will have to try and reduce the number of chances they allow to the Wild, as it took an outstanding game from Jake Allen to give them the victory. Sanford was a big part of the Kevin Shattenkirk deal, and could make fans forget all about their traded all-star if he plays a big role tonight.
Injury Updates: Zaitsev, Carlson, Jarnkrok
News and notes from around the NHL this evening:
- The Toronto Maple Leafs will be without rookie defenseman Nikita Zaitsev tonight in Game 1 against the Washington Capitals, reports Rogers Sportsnet. Zaitsev suffered an upper body injury in the Maple Leafs’ final regular season game on Sunday when he was hit into the boards by Columbus Blue Jackets captain Nick Foligno. The Maple Leafs will miss Zaitsev’s presence on the blue line as Zaitsev was second in team ice time behind Morgan Rielly.
- Staying with the Capitals vs. Maple Leafs series, Washington Capitals defenseman John Carlson will return tonight after missing the Capitals’ last four games. Carlson missed those games with a lower body injury, but told reporters yesterday that he “felt good.” The Capitals will breathe a sigh of relief when Carlson returns as he is the team’s leader in average time on ice. Losing a first-pair defenseman ripples throughout the lineup no matter how much depth a team has.
- The Nashville Predators should have center Calle Jarnkrok tonight, reports Adam Vingan of the Tennessean. Jarnkrok missed the Predators’ final game against the Winnipeg Jets with a lower body injury. Nashville takes on the Chicago Blackhawks in their first-round playoff matchup, and they will need all the center depth they can muster against the top team in the Western Conference.
Snapshots: Babcock, Fehr, Diaby
As always with Alex Prewitt of Sports Illustrated, his latest piece is an outstanding example of storytelling and should be required reading for most hockey fans. In it, he chronicles the ’93-94 Lethbridge University championship hockey season and their young head coach Mike Babcock. Even now, after so many years in the NHL and victories everywhere he goes, Babcock maintains his proudest moment as a coach was turning the Pronghorns into a championship squad.
Babcock now helms a Toronto Maple Leafs team as they head back into the playoffs for the first time in a non-lockout shortened season since 2003-04. His squad, who finished dead last in 2015-16, would love to remind Babcock a little more of the Cinderella-like run the Pronghorns took to the number one spot. They’ll take on the powerhouse Washington Capitals tonight.
- Those Maple Leafs did get some good news on the injury front today, as Eric Fehr rejoined the team at practice. The forward was acquired by the Leafs at the trade deadline from the Pittsburgh Penguins, but broke his hand blocking a shot in his first game for the squad. While he won’t figure into the lineup right away, he’s getting close according to Kristen Shilton of TSN, who Babcock told “[the medical staff] let him out of jail today. Looks like the science project’s almost over.” Fehr could provide the Maple Leafs with some size for the fourth line should they feel like Kasperi Kapanen isn’t cutting it.
- James Mirtle of The Athletic reports that the Nashville Predators have placed Jonathan-Ismael Diaby on unconditional waivers. This likely means that his release will soon follow, as the team clears contract spots for next year. Though the Predators are only at 46 currently, they have recently promised one of those spots to Tyler Moy, and have four draft picks that will become free agents if not signed by June 1st. Diaby was a third-round pick in 2013, but hasn’t quite turned out the way they’d hoped when they saw his 6’5″ frame. He’ll become a free agent should the team release him after clearing.
Coaching Notes: Hitchcock, Montgomery, Hunter
In Elliotte Friedman’s latest “30 Thoughts” column for Sportsnet, the venerable hockey insider goes into all the coaching movement around the NHL and lends his opinions and insight onto some of the still unresolved situations. In Dallas, where the team is set to announce the hiring of Ken Hitchcock tomorrow, Friedman notes that it will be a one-year deal—as is Hitchcock’s preference—with a possible transition into consulting thereafter.
Hitchcock isn’t really an answer long-term for any franchise, as at 65 he’s dabbled with the idea of retirement lately. The idea of him sticking around in a system and being just one phone call away from taking over would be a difficult one to accept for the new coach if they do go in a different direction a year from now. It’s hard to coach in the NHL, and much more so when the team has a legend sitting in the press box “consulting” on whether you’re doing a good job.
- Friedman again mentions Jim Montgomery from the University of Denver, who is likely on a list of candidates for the Florida Panthers job. Dallas Eakins and Phil Housley are other names to watch, with all three looking like they’ll deserve a shot (or a second shot in Eakins’ case) sooner than later.
- Dale Hunter is one of the people that the Vegas Golden Knights have reached out to, though he declined the opportunity to return to the NHL. Hunter quit his job with the Washington Capitals back in 2012 to return to London, where he and his brother Mark Hunter—who works as an assistant GM of the Toronto Maple Leafs—own one of the top franchises in the OHL.
- Sabres’ GM Tim Murray met with the media today to discuss the underwhelming 2016-17 season, and reiterated that he doesn’t intend to fire Dan Bylsma as head coach. According to Bill Hoppe of the Times Herald, Murray puts this season on himself. He will have to work to better the roster, not just lay it all at the feet of his coach after another disappointing season.
- While not a coach, Mike Futa of the Los Angeles Kings has been promoted to assistant GM. Futa has been with the club for a decade as a VP of Hockey Operations and Director of Player Personnel. He’ll work with the new management team made up of Rob Blake and Luc Robitaille to try and bring the Kings back to the playoffs in a short turnaround.
Maple Leafs Notes: Zaitsev, Engvall, Laich
The Maple Leafs will officially be without Nikita Zaitsev for game one of their playoff series against the Washington Capitals on Thursday night, and it doesn’t bode well for their chances. Though Zaitsev was a rookie this season, his experience in the KHL let him step into a top-pairing role on the Maple Leafs where he logged the most minutes among any defender. Playing on the penalty kill and quarterbacking the second powerplay unit, he is an important player all over the ice.
Instead, Toronto will welcome Martin Marincin back into the fold, according to Kristin Shilton of TSN. The 25-year old has played just 25 games for the Leafs this season, though he was a regular last year and put up excellent shot suppression numbers. If there was ever a time for him to get back to those numbers, it’s right now against the Capitals. Leafs’ coach Mike Babcock agrees, telling Mark Masters of TSN “he’s just got to decide if he wants to play in the 2nd game.”
- The Maple Leafs have signed Pierre Engvall to an amateur tryout for their AHL affiliate Toronto Marlies. The Swedish forward was the Leafs’ seventh-round pick in 2014, and broke out this year in the Swedish Allsvenskan (their version of the AHL). His 40 points in 50 games was easily a career high, and he’ll now try to carry that over to the North American game.
- Brooks Laich‘s tenure with the Maple Leafs comes to a disappointing end, as play-by-play man Todd Crocker reports that Laich underwent elbow surgery and will rehab away from the team. After being acquired in the Daniel Winnik trade last season, Laich played just 21 games for the club before being buried in the minors this year. The three-time 20-goal scorer will be 34 next season and an unrestricted free agent this summer.