Morning Notes: Parayko, Dotchin, Kings
Colton Parayko will be heading to Europe to join Team Canada for the remainder of the World Championships, marking the end of a breakout season for the 23-year old. Though he scored just two more points than last season, Parayko firmly entrenched himself as the future on the blueline in St. Louis and skated more than 21 minutes a night for the team. When the Blues were forced to move on from Kevin Shattenkirk, Parayko received more time on the powerplay and showed off his incredible skill down the stretch and into the playoffs.
This summer, Parayko will be at the top of the to-do list for the Blues as he will become a restricted free agent on July 1st. A long-term extension is obviously what the team would prefer, but with such little cap space it will be difficult to accomplish. The team already has more than $68MM dedicated to players next season, and will need to move out some money if they want to buy out any free agent years from Parayko. Otherwise they could do a shorter-term bridge deal with him and revisit the issue after veterans like Jay Bouwmeester and Paul Stastny are off the books or retained at a lower price.
- Jake Dotchin has received a three-game AHL suspension for his latest attack on a Maple Leafs player. Dotchin was called for interference on Frederik Gauthier for a hit that will cause the Maple Leafs’ prospect to miss at least six months. Dotchin had a really solid season with the Lightning during his first stint in the NHL, but these plays may jeopardize his future should they become habit. At just 23, the Lightning will hope he can learn to play just up to the line instead of over it.
- The Los Angeles Kings are working hard on extensions for Tanner Pearson and Tyler Toffoli according to Jon Rosen of LA Kings Insider. The pair of restricted free agents both have promising futures though Toffoli did take a slight step backwards this season. With the Kings installing new management, a focus on the youth movement will likely follow and Pearson and Toffoli embody it perfectly.
- While the Columbus Blue Jackets hope to land Vladislav Gavrikov at some point this summer, the defender won’t make his decision until after the World Championships. Aaron Portzline of the Columbus Dispatch reports that Blue Jackets GM Jarmo Kekalainen will be attending the tournament personally, and perhaps could get an answer directly while he’s there. Gavrikov received accolades from the KHL this year and saw his role on Yaroslavl increase significantly, leading many to believe he could step directly into an NHL role very soon. Should the Blue Jackets succeed in bringing him over, they will have a log jam of defenders without enough ice time to go around.
Mike Futa Unlikely To Take Buffalo Sabres GM Job
According to Jon Rosen of LA Kings Insider, Mike Futa was in the running for the Buffalo Sabres GM job, but will be “no longer under heavy consideration”. Futa always seemed like a long-shot because of the recent promotion he’d received from the Kings to the position of assistant general manager. Rosen reports that he’s “excited” to continue with the Kings.
So, with one more out of the way for Buffalo the search narrows even further. Jason Botterill, Penguins’ associate general manager still appears to be the favorite, though the team is obviously weighing its options very carefully. Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet reported this morning that the team had asked at least one candidate if they were comfortable being hired before a President of Hockey Operations was brought in, making it sound like they’ll take even more time to make that decision, should they go that direction.
Futa would have been an excellent choice, though he hasn’t been in charge of a team since his days with the Oshawa Generals. Botterill comes with almost as little time in the GM chair, only serving on an interim basis between Ray Shero and Jim Rutherford in Pittsburgh. Should the Sabres go with an assistant GM, it would be interesting to see if they bring in a more experienced manager in a senior role.
Snapshots: GM Report Cards, Rangers, Nashville’s Defense
Hockey Graphs takes an in-depth look at the 31 general managers in the NHL (including Vegas and those who were recently let go–Dean Lombardi and Tim Murray) using a variety of different metrics. Leading the pack is Nashville’s Dave Poile, while the Canucks’ Jim Benning rounds out the list at number thirty-one. It’s a list that relies heavily on advanced metrics and other measurements, staying in line with Hockey Graph’s dedication to taking the emotion out of hockey analysis and instead, using the quantitative side (with a smattering of qualitative analysis) to create the list. Part one of the article helps make sense of how they came up with their rankings while giving a background to the metrics used.
- Newsday’s Steve Zipay reports that the Rangers aren’t looking too far ahead as they try to even up their series against Ottawa tomorrow night. After drubbing the Sens 4-1, the Rangers have an advantage as Bobby Ryan and Zack Smith are both injured, and the Sens will have to “alter” lines. Several Rangers were adamant that while falling into a 3-1 hole would be difficult to overcome, netminder Henrik Lundqvist said they must take it one game at a time. Zipay adds that though Rick Nash didn’t practice, he will absolutely be playing in Game 4.
- ESPN’s Chuck Gormley writes that its the Nashville blueline is wreaking havoc through these playoffs, pacing the Preds’ strong play and making a case for the organization’s first Stanley Cup. The team’s defenseman has eight goals and fourteen assists in just eight games, and according to Gormley, it’s looking more and more like the trade for P.K. Subban will tilt heavily in Nashville’s favor as the victor of the deal. Gormley highlights each player on the blueline, and writing that should the Predators continue on the path they are, it could be an epic matchup in the next round should Edmonton continue its ascent through the playoffs.
Los Angeles Kings Officially Sign Oscar Fantenberg
The Los Angeles Kings have officially announced a signing that has been expected for weeks, inking Oscar Fantenberg to a one-year entry-level contract. The details of the contract were not announced. Fantenberg will become a restricted free agent at the conclusion of the one-year deal.
After playing for years in the Swedish professional leagues, Fantenberg tried his hand in the KHL last season and was an immediate success. Named to the league’s all-star team, Fantenberg was actually replaced in the game by Montreal Canadiens recent free agent signing Jakub Jerabek when he had to pull out due to injury. Regardless, his play was good enough for all-star consideration as he scored 23 points in 44 games while logging over 22 minutes a game for Sochi. Jon Rosen for LA Kings Insider recently released a scouting report on Fantenberg, which includes thoughts from Director of Scouting Mark Yannetti:
“One of the overlooked assets of speed is actually how you get the puck up the ice,” Yannetti said. Speed is obviously important in today’s game, but moving the puck quickly is more important than simply possessing speed, according to many in the Kings organization and elsewhere.
Indeed Fantenberg will impress mostly with his smooth exits and quick decisions, and not his physical play. This year for Sochi he recorded just 45 hits in 44 games, but was still relied upon in all situations. Easily producing the most points among defenders for the team, he has an interesting comparable in Nikita Zaitsev who came over from the KHL last season at the same age. Zaitsev easily adapted to life on the Maple Leafs’ blueline, and earned himself a seven-year contract extension after just a single season with the team. While Fantenberg won’t be relied upon in quite the same way—the Maple Leafs don’t have a Drew Doughty to gobble up all the minutes—he could be a big part of the team as they start to transition towards youth and the future.
The Kings may lose a defender through the expansion draft since it currently looks like Brayden McNabb will be left unprotected despite elite underlying analytical numbers. Bringing in Fantenberg should provide some level of comfort to Kings’ fans wondering what the blueline will look like should McNabb head to Vegas. While he’s not the same player by any means, he could have a similar effect on puck possession while providing even more offence.
Teams Asking About Ben Bishop’s Rights
Pierre LeBrun of TSN is reporting that teams have been asking the Los Angeles Kings about the rights to Ben Bishop, in order to try and get a chance to sign the goaltender before he hits free agency. Like Carolina with Scott Darling, a team would be giving up an asset—likely a draft pick—just for the chance to speak with him, with no guarantee of a contract.
Bishop is one of the more polarizing figures on the market this summer, as some believe he still can be an elite goaltender while others wonder if he hasn’t already seen his best years pass by. The fact remains that at 30-years old he’ll head into the summer as one the best options on the market, especially if Darling indeed signs with Carolina. The other top goaltenders on the market include a 36-year old Ryan Miller, a resurgent Jonathan Bernier and the extremely unpredictable Steve Mason. Bishop was a Vezina finalist as recently as 2016, but wasn’t off to a good start in Tampa Bay even before being injured this season.
Calgary, Winnipeg, Philadelphia and Carolina (should they not sign Darling) and many other teams will have some interest in the free agent if he makes it to July 1st, and Vegas has been considered a landing spot since their announcement. The Golden Knights may not need him though, depending on who they select in the expansion draft. They could acquire several young goaltenders to develop, while offering Bishop a big deal to be one of the core members of their first few years but it will require them fighting off several other interested teams. Bishop also currently has an eight-team no-trade list, though it’s unclear which teams appear on it.
NHL Draft Lottery Notes: Odds, History, Viewing
For the fourteen teams that missed the playoffs and the expansion Vegas Golden Knights, they have one thing in common: they’re hoping Bill Daly is holding a card with their logo on it, announcing that they have the first overall pick.
At 7pm central, NBC, CBC, and Sportsnet will show the NHL Draft Lottery as the Colorado Avalanche lead all teams in terms of percentage for receiving the #1 pick. Below are the odds:
Colorado Avalanche — 18.0%
Vancouver Canucks — 12.1%
Vegas Golden Knights — 10.3%
Arizona Coyotes — 10.3%
New Jersey Devils — 8.5%
Buffalo Sabres — 7.6%
Detroit Red Wings — 6.7%
Dallas Stars — 5.8%
Florida Panthers — 5.4%
Los Angeles Kings — 4.5%
Carolina Hurricanes — 3.2%
Winnipeg Jets — 2.7%
Philadelphia Flyers — 2.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning 1.8%
New York Islanders — 0.9%
TSN has a lengthy writeup on the history of the lottery and how the current format differs from other versions. The biggest change for the draft is that instead of the worst team being guaranteed, at worst, a second overall pick, they are only promised a top four pick. This was placed to discourage teams from “tanking” to draft top-end talent, which hasn’t completely negated the idea of tanking as Toronto won the right to draft Auston Matthews last season with the #1 pick while securing the worst record in the NHL.
What’s new to 2017? From Sportsnet:
For just the second time in NHL draft lottery history, the top three picks are in play. This rule was implemented by the league in 2016 to dull incentive for any team to finish lower in the standings (i.e., tanking).
The odds of winning the second and third draws increases on a proportional basis depending on which team claimed the previous draw.
The addition of a 15th lottery team, Vegas, into the mix also affects the winning percentages.
This draft is different too, since the top two picks for the first time in three seasons are not considered the “generational talent” that Connor McDavid, Jack Eichel, Matthews or Patrik Laine were when looking back at the one and two overall picks respectively.
This isn’t to besmirch the top two candidates, Nolan Patrick or Nico Hischier. After all, “can’t miss” prospects have fooled scouts and analysts before while prospects that scouts didn’t think were as good sometimes exceeded expectations.
But before the talent can be chosen, there needs to be an order. Tonight will determine that.
Specifics:
Time: 7pm CST
Where to watch: CBC, Sportsnet, NBC
Snapshots: Futa, Fiala, Vesalainen
The Buffalo Sabres have a confirmed interest in Mike Futa of the Los Angeles Kings as a candidate for their next GM, and were granted permission to talk to him about the position. John Vogl of the Buffalo News clarifies the situation, reporting that they have not asked for any discussion with Dean Lombardi. Futa was just promoted to assistant GM a few weeks ago after working as the team’s director of player personnel under Lombardi. He also was a finalist for the Buffalo job that eventually went to Murray back in 2014, along with Jason Botterill who was also confirmed in the running this time around.
Futa has been rumored to be in the mix for GM openings around the league for the past few years, but had been previously unsuccessful and deemed too important in Los Angeles. While the new regime—Rob Blake and Luc Robitaille—clearly value his position in the front office, they likely wouldn’t stop him from taking the step up to be “the man” in Buffalo.
- Kevin Fiala is on his way home from the hospital according to Cassie Campbell of Hockey Night in Canada. The Predators forward is actually walking already on the advice of doctors, and will now face a four to six month recovery time after fracturing his left femur. That injury is extremely dangerous, and Fiala was rushed into surgery immediately after sustaining it on Wednesday. He’ll be lucky to be ready for the start of training camp, but the Predators will have him back in the lineup next year.
- Ryan Kennedy of The Hockey News reports that Kristian Vesalainen, a top prospect in the upcoming entry draft, has signed a one-year contract with HPK of the Finnish Liiga. The last few seasons Vesalainen had been playing in Sweden for Frolunda, but spent some time with HPK on loan near the end of the year. The Finnish winger recently was awarded MVP honors at the U18 Worlds, scoring 13 points in 7 games and leading Finland to a silver medal. He was ranked seventh among European skaters in the latest list from NHL Central Scouting, but may rise as high as the top-10 by draft day. He’ll stay in Finland next season before discussing with whichever team drafts him where he should continue his development.
Snapshots: OHL Lawsuit, Sutter, Alzner
In the second piece of legal hockey news today, an Ontario judge has certified the former players’ lawsuit against the OHL as class action. Rick Westhead of TSN provides the specifics on the news, explaining that it now makes every player who played in the OHL from 2012 to the present an automatic plaintiff in the lawsuit, though they can opt-out if they so choose.
The lawsuit could apparently cost the league as much as $30MM, something that according to the league would “bring on the even of destruction for the players.” Similar lawsuits are being brought before the courts for both the WHL and QMJHL, with the decision on whether the WHL case will be certified as class action coming down within the next month.
- Darryl Sutter isn’t done just yet, as he told Gary Lawless of TSN. The former Los Angeles Kings coach who was fired earlier this month will be “picky” about his next situation, but won’t rule out heading to a re-building squad. Sutter has coached over 1200 games in the NHL and won two Stanley Cups, giving credence to the idea that he can be picky and wait for the perfect opportunity.
- The Chicago Blackhawks have signed Nathan Noel to a three-year entry-level deal. Noel, 19, played this season for the Saint John’s Sea Dogs of the QMJHL, scoring 50 points in 52 games. Turning 20 in June, Noel will likely head to the AHL next season and try to continue his development for the Rockford IceHogs.
- Karl Alzner won’t be available again tonight for the Washington Capitals, his fifth straight game out of the lineup with an upper-body injury. As Tom Gulitti of NHL.com writes, Alzner had skated in 599 consecutive games before missing game 3 against the Maple Leafs, and is an important part of the Capitals defense. Alzner is an unrestricted free agent this summer, and the Capitals will have a tough time affording him while also giving raises to their many RFAs, meaning this is likely his last run with the team for a while. Even though he may not get another chance to play in the postseason with the Capitals, he makes his team-first attitude clear: “I’d sit out the rest of the playoffs if we can win the Cup.”
Latest On Buffalo Sabres’ GM Search
The Buffalo Sabres have been without a General Manager for nearly a week now, and owner Kim Pegula told John Vogl of the Buffalo News that they have already “put a lot of work” into the search for a replacement. The team has started holding interviews according to John Shannon of Sportsnet, though he has been told that they’ve not yet asked permission to speak with Dean Lombardi. The Sabres would need to get the Los Angeles Kings’ permission, because of the way firings work in the NHL.
“Relieved of their duties” is the term teams use when coaches and executives are still under contract—which Lombardi was—are fired, retaining their rights around the league. It’s why often teams like Columbus and Edmonton had to give up draft pick compensation even though John Tortorella and Peter Chiarelli had both been fired by their teams. While the compensation aspect was eliminated last year, the fact that you still need to ask for permission to speak with them remains. It would be unlikely that the Kings would deny the Sabres access to Lombardi, but perhaps it signals that he isn’t on their list.
Instead, Craig Custance of ESPN and Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet made an interesting connection to Arizona’s John Chayka, who does have ties to the Niagara area after going to school at Brock University in Saint Catharines, Ontario. The Canadian college town sits about 35 minutes away from Buffalo, and is still the home of Stathletes, the advanced analytics company that Chayka founded before being plucked away by the Coyotes. The Pegulas claimed that they wanted experience in the role, and even though he’s just 27 Chayka now has a full year operating in the league.
Friedman also lists Julien BriseBois (Lightning), Chris Drury (Rangers) and Mark Hunter (Maple Leafs) as possibilities, while several other names have been floated in various reports. Our own poll here on PHR ended with Lombardi as the overwhelming favorite for the job, with former Sabres’ President of Hockey Ops Pat LaFontaine as the runner up.
It will be interesting to follow over the next week or so who Buffalo eventually installs in the position, and if he will get to pick in the top-3 during his first entry draft. On Saturday, the Draft Lottery will be held to determine the order of selections, with Buffalo holding a 7.6% chance at the top selection. Even if they were to secure another top-five pick like they have in the past, another excellent player would be added to a young stable that still has the potential to grow into a contender.
Injury Notes: Gaborik, Thornton, Bergeron
The Los Angeles Kings released a list of players who went through medical procedures following the year, and while Tyler Toffoli, Alec Martinez and Derek Forbort all underwent minor procedures that shouldn’t take long to heal, Marian Gaborik is said to be “questionable” for training camp. Gaborik had an “in-depth” procedure on his left knee, likely the same one that GM Rob Blake announced just yesterday. That announcement came with the addendum that the team would not buyout the declining star, and perhaps we now know why.
Teams cannot buy out injured players, and with the first window to perform such a transaction opening in less than a month, Gaborik clearly won’t be healthy. The Kings will likely receive a second window after their arbitration cases are resolved—there is no guarantee they get this window, but with 11 players currently eligible for arbitration are good candidates for it—but that will likely still be much too soon for Gaborik’s health.
- When it was reported yesterday that Joe Thornton had been playing on one knee and would need surgery, it threw his free agency into question. If the 37-year old was headed for major knee surgery, which team would be willing to spend a hefty amount of money to add him to their team. Well, the Sharks announced today that Thornton underwent successful surgery and is expected to be ready for the start of the 2017-18 season, at least assuaging those reservations somewhat. His market value will still be contingent on medical results of his recovery, but he should be expected to garner quite a bit of interest.
- Patrice Bergeron told media today that he had been dealing with a sports hernia all year, and that he and the medical staff are considering surgery to fix the problem. While it’s extremely impressive that Bergeron put up 53 points and another Selke-worthy season with a hernia, surgery shouldn’t be considered just an off-season clean up. Often players take quite a bit of time to recover fully from hernia procedures, even when they’re able to get back into games. His performance at the beginning of next season will be interesting to watch as he heads into his age-32 season.