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Archives for July 2016

Atlantic Notes: Boston, Brassard, Stamkos

July 19, 2016 at 3:48 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee Leave a Comment

Yesterday, Boston completed an under-the-radar coaching move, promoting Kevin Dean to head coach with the Providence Bruins.  Dean has been part of the Bruins organization for a long time now, including spending the last five seasons as an assistant in Providence.

With his promotion, current NHL bench boss Claude Julien’s rear-end is now squarely on the hot seat (if it wasn’t already, after missing the playoffs for two straight seasons), and another disappointing year may cause the loyal Dean to make another jump. The 47-year old’s best skill may be his ability to develop young defensemen, and will have a strong group to work with in the AHL this season.

  • Ken Warren of the Ottawa Citzen writes that experience was a big factor in the Senators’ decision to trade for Derick Brassard yesterday. The team had to give up 23-year old Mika Zibanejad to do it, but they feel that the veteran Brassard was worth the loss. With 563 NHL games under his belt, the 28-year old has established himself as a legitimate second-line center in the NHL, capable of playing in both ends of the rink.  He and Zibanejad will try to build on 2015-16 with their new clubs, after each scored 50+ points last year.
  • Yesterday agent Pat Morris was on TSN 1050 discussing the interview window that Steven Stamkos experienced before ultimately re-signing with Tampa Bay this year, and (via Chris Nichols of Today’s Slapshot) confirmed that a team could have sponsorship representatives in the meeting with the player to entice him somewhat. When asked if the Canadian Tire CEO was in the Maple Leafs meeting, Morris was a little diplomatic in his answer: “If there were any meetings, and if Canadian Tire was there, Canadian Tire owns Sport Chek, and Steven Stamkos has an existing deal with that company.”  

AHL| Boston Bruins| Ottawa Senators| Toronto Maple Leafs Derick Brassard| Mika Zibanejad| Steven Stamkos

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Current Status Of Top-Ten Draft Picks

July 19, 2016 at 2:20 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee Leave a Comment

As we approach a month since the NHL Entry Draft took place, teams have started to lock up their newest talents to lucrative deals and will soon begin the process of determining where they’ll play next season (if they haven’t already). For some, the contract seemed a mere formality and was signed within days of the draft; for others, their continuing negotiations are like torture for the fans that have already put in a pre-order for a dozen jerseys, and promised to name their next child Auston, Clayton, or Tyson.

Here is the current status of each of the top ten picks of the 2016 NHL draft:

(Annual average value (AAV) includes potential performance bonuses.)

  1. Auston Matthews (TOR) – Unsigned – Matthews continues to negotiate with the Maple Leafs on his entry-level deal, though all signs point to an amiable discussion so far. With GM Lou Lamoriello’s known opposition to incentive-laden contracts, perhaps the Maple Leafs and first-overall pick are working out something a little more creative to reward Matthews.
  2. Patrik Laine (WPG) – Signed, July 3rd: Three years, $3.575MM AAV – After moving up four spots in the draft lottery, Winnipeg was given the chance to draft a potential franchise-altering player in Laine, and they didn’t take long to lock him up.  The Finnish winger is an elite goal scoring talent that should step into the NHL right away and be a threat for the Calder trophy.  He came in just $200K under the maximum allowed for players signing their ELC.
  3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (CBJ) – Signed, June 29th: Three years, $3.425MM AAV – The Blue Jackets also moved up after winning a lottery spot, and were expected by many to pick Jesse Puljujarvi, the other Finnish winger who had long been a top choice by scouts.  Instead, the team looked down the middle and took the second ranked center in Dubois. Though he’ll probably head back to the QMJHL for another season, Dubois has an extremely high ceiling capable of being a number one center – Columbus will give him every chance to reach it.
  4. Jesse Puljujarvi (EDM) – Signed, July 13th: Three years, $3.425MM AAV – Even with the glut of young forwards Edmonton already had, they couldn’t pass up a chance at Puljujarvi after he fell to four.  They tried to trade the pick but couldn’t find fair value for it, and so added the young Finn to their group.  Perhaps that led them to the decision that Taylor Hall was expendable, as they have another elite talent on the wing (though he and Hall normally play opposite sides) that could jump to the NHL right away.
  5. Olli Juolevi (VAN) – Unsigned – The first defenseman taken in this year’s draft, Juolevi was a rising talent after his Memorial Cup victory with the London Knights. Capable of playing in any situation, Juolevi is as good of a defensive prospect as you can expect to get with the fifth overall pick. Perhaps not a franchise player, he’ll be a big part of Vancouver’s blueline for years to come – that is, whenever he signs his first contract.
  6. Matthew Tkachuk (CGY) – Signed, July 7th: Three years, $1.775MM AAV – The Flames’ front office must have been ecstatic when Tkachuk was still available when their turn came, as he’s exactly the type of player that President Brian Burke loves. Tkachuck, son of former NHL great Keith, agreed to a deal that will max-out under $2MM even if he hits all of his bonuses. If he turns into the player many believe him to be, at some point skating alongside new Flames’ right-winger Troy Brouwer would be an imposing sight to be sure.
  7. Clayton Keller (ARZ) – Unsigned – The Arizona Coyotes followed Columbus’ lead and took a center with their first pick of the round (they would later trade for the 16th overall pick to select D Jakob Chychrun) but haven’t signed the USA standout. As we reported yesterday, Keller is standing by his commitment to head to Boston University next season, though the Windsor Spitfires are doing everything they can to bring him to the OHL. He likely won’t sign with the Coyotes until he’s ready to make the jump from the NCAA.
  8. Alexander Nylander (BUF) – Signed, July 15th: Three years, $1.775MM AAV – The younger brother of Toronto Maple Leafs center William and son of former NHLer Michael, Nylander is expected to play a big part in the re-build for Buffalo over the next few seasons. With the team hitting rock bottom last year, they are on a steady climb upwards and have perhaps turned a corner with the huge signing of Kyle Okposo this summer. Nylander has impressed many at camp with his blend of skating ability and hard shot.
  9. Mikhail Sergachev (MTL) – Signed, July 1st: Three years, $1.775MM AAV – Sergachev is an interesting case, as he came over in the OHL’s import draft and made an impact in his rookie season, winning the Max Kaminsky trophy as the league’s top blueliner. Many think he’ll head back to Windsor for another season, but there has been rumbling that he could crack the Canadiens roster as soon as this year. The left-handed shooting Russian is a born powerplay quarterback, and may eventually slide in next to Shea Weber on the top unit.
  10. Tyson Jost (COL) – Unsigned – Colorado reached into the BCHL to select Jost, an elite offensive talent out of Penticton, if a little undersized. He’ll be heading to the NCAA this year as well, as he’s committed to the University of North Dakota for 2016-17. This is the usual route for players out of Penticton, as since the CHL is deemed a professional league by the NCAA, the BCHL is the highest level of hockey in North America allowed before heading to college. Like Keller, don’t expect Jost to sign anytime soon.

For the other twenty picks of the first round, only Jake Bean and Julien Gauthier have signed as of yet. Many of the players selected here won’t sign a contract until their 2016-17 assignment/league has been decided. Keep an eye on PHR and Roster Resource to track when they sign and where they’re headed next season.

CHL| Calgary Flames| Columbus Blue Jackets| Montreal Canadiens| Players| Toronto Maple Leafs| Utah Mammoth Alexander Nylander| Auston Matthews| Clayton Keller| Jesse Puljujarvi| Kyle Okposo| Matthew Tkachuk| Mikhail Sergachev| NHL Entry Draft| Olli Juolevi| Patrik Laine| Pierre-Luc Dubois

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Free Agent Profile: Brad Richards

July 19, 2016 at 12:01 pm CDT | by natebrown Leave a Comment

Brad Richards is one of several free agent forwards still available to sign. PHR ranked Richards #43 out of the top 50 available free agents. Richards inked a one-year, $3MM deal with the Detroit Red Wings for the 2015-16 season. While the deal looked good on paper, Richards and the Red Wings never really worked together. Instead, Richards noted that “the season didn’t go the way I wanted it to or the team wanted it to.”

Richards lack of production didn’t help matters, as he recorded 28 points (10-18), hardly what the Wings expected. It was the second consecutive season of declining performance for Richards, who acknowledged that after playing for three teams in three seasons, he would have to “recharge his batteries” before making his next move.

Potential Suitors

This is where it gets dicey. As the free agent market dries out and younger forwards like Jiri Hudler or Kris Versteeg haven’t be re-signed, Richards doesn’t look to have a lot of suitors lining up. That isn’t to say he couldn’t produce for the right team. Richards failure with the Red Wings was two sided; Richards didn’t fit the system as well as he did in Chicago and the Red Wings are more of a team in transition than a contender. Richards would be best suited on a team making a run for the Cup. Los Angeles is one potential fit if he’d agree to a cheaper deal, but their lack of cap room would make it difficult. The St. Louis Blues could also be another option. The New York Islanders and Buffalo Sabres could add him for depth at a discounted price; the Sabres could also benefit greatly by adding his leadership. Finally, if he was really looking for another Cup and willing to take a significant pay cut, the Chicago Blackhawks could be an ideal fit. Stan Bowman is creative enough to make an interesting and cap friendly pitch.

Projected Contract

PHR guessed that Richards would fetch a one-year, $2MM deal from the Colorado Avalanche. As the summer drags on and a deal doesn’t happen, don’t be surprised if Richards seriously considers retirement. Richards mentioned how the retirement of Vincent Lecavalier causes retirement to “creep into your mind.” After winning two Cups, most recently with Chicago in 2015, odds on Richards hanging up his skates might not be too far off.

If Richards is offered a deal, expect it to be something between $1.5MM and $2MM. With declining production, any team looking for a depth move probably wouldn’t offer much more.

Uncategorized Brad Richards

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Minor Transactions: 7/19/16

July 19, 2016 at 10:31 am CDT | by natebrown Leave a Comment

Here is where we will keep track of any minor transactions through today:

  • The Columbus Blue Jackets have announced  the re-signing of Lake Erie Monsters head coach Jared Bednar. The deal is through the 2018-19 season. Bednar led the Monsters to their first ever Calder Cup Championship as the team went 15-2 through the playoffs. In addition to Bednar’s re-signing, the Monsters added assistant coach Steve McCarthy, and assistant general manager Blake Geoffrion. Goalie coach Manny Legace was also brought back for another year.
  • Goaltender Kent Simpson has signed with the San Antonio Rampage, AHL affiliate for the Colorado Avalanche. In addition to Simpson, the Rampage also inked netminder Nathan Lieuwen to a one-year deal.
  • Forward Nico Hischier has committed to the Halifax Mooseheads. Hischier was the sixth overall pick in the CHL import draft and is considered one of the top prospects for the 2017 NHL Draft. He played for SC Bern last season in the NLA and also for the Bern U20 team.
  • The Wild placed Jordan Schroeder on waivers.  Schroeder is a restricted free agent awaiting an arbitration ruling. Schroeder had four points (2-2) in 26 games with the Wild while having 34 points (14-20) in 40 games with the Iowa Wild.
  • Former NHL goaltender Jason LaBarbera has been hired by the Calgary Hitmen as a goalie coach for the upcoming season.  LaBarbera played last season for the Lehigh Valley Phantoms of the AHL, notching a 3.02 GAA with an .899 save percentage.  The veteran of 187 NHL games is 36-years old.

AHL| CHL| Colorado Avalanche| Columbus Blue Jackets| Transactions

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Snapshots: Nashville’s Expectations, Weber

July 19, 2016 at 9:45 am CDT | by natebrown Leave a Comment

Nashville finds itself in some unfamiliar territory writes NHL.com’s Cutler Klein. Expectations are high after the Preds’ trade for P.K. Subban, which ratcheted up Nashville’s chances of competing for the Stanley Cup. Add in a young nucleus of players, and the Preds could be staring contention in the face. Klein reports that while the Preds boast some formidable young players, it will be crucial that they step up to their projected ceilings. Klein believes that despite having Filip Forsberg, and Ryan Johansen among others, the Preds still need depth scoring to break through to the next leve.

The departures of Eric Nystrom and Paul Gaustad will give some of the younger players the chance to step up and contribute. Klein also adds that Preds reaching the next level is contingent on Pekka Rinne’s performance between the pipes. Klein writes that should Rinne return to the elite status that buoyed the Predators for many seasons, they will certainly be in the running for a Stanley Cup. Klein notes that while Rinne slipped a bit in performance last season, he is still one of the best in the league.

In other NHL news:

  • Puck Daddy’s Greg Wyshynski wades into the great Shea Weber for Subban trade debate after yesterday’s news that former Canadiens analyst Matt Pfeffer called Weber “average.” Wyshynski brought visuals in, as well as the written word, to break down the trade even further. Employing graphs from Micah Blake McCurdy, McCurdy indicates (via Twitter) that while calling Weber average may be too simplified, Weber has certainly reached his ceiling in terms of performance. Further on in the article, Wyshynski addressed Pfeffer’s claim that analytics are being scared off in NHL circles. Wyshynski concludes, after speaking with other analytic consultants in the league, that this is a subjective in nature. Some organizations are more comfortable with an integration of analytics while others prefer and old schools approach. What Wyshynski did find was an “ideological gap” between general managers and coaches regarding analytics. Regardless, Wyshynski believes that Weber is more than “average” in 2016-17 and that analytics are an organizational preference.

Nashville Predators Filip Forsberg| P.K. Subban

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Calgary Notes: Monahan And Gaudreau

July 18, 2016 at 9:03 pm CDT | by Brett Barrett Leave a Comment

Restricted free agent (RFA) center Sean Monahan says contract talks with Calgary are “getting there”.

Monahan told TSN’s Gino Reda “I definitely want to be there for a long time”, adding he wants to play in Calgary for the rest of his career. He said his preference is a long-term deal, but noted that’s not up to him. The Flames are currently in negotiations with both Monahan and fellow RFA (and leading scorer) Johnny Gaudreau, but will need to be careful with regards to the salary cap.

Currently, the Flames have over $14MM in cap space before signing Gaudreau and Monahan. They should get some relief next summer, with pending UFAs Dennis Wideman, Ladislav Smid, and Deryk Engelland freeing up $11.66MM. However, newly-acquired starting goalie Brian Elliott and young forward Sam Bennett will need new contracts. The Flames also need to improve their team, following their fifth place finish in the Pacific Division.

When asked about the possibility of taking a hometown discount to help build a contender, Monahan agreed that it was part of his thought process, saying “if you’re a high-end player and you’re playing somewhere at a young age, that’s where your heart is and where you want to win.”

Monahan says he’s been in contact with Gaudreau and was scheduled to meet with him Monday night to “have a little chat”. The two are good friends and not battling about salary negotiations, according to Monahan.

“Our goal is to bring the Stanley Cup to Calgary… if we can bring other players in and have a little extra money… to help us be a better team, that’s the idea.

Monahan is coming off back to back 60-plus point seasons, while Gaudreau has scored 64 and 78 points in his first two NHL seasons.

Calgary Flames| Free Agency| RFA Johnny Gaudreau| Sean Monahan

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Subban “Head-Over-Heels Excited” To Play In Nashville

July 18, 2016 at 8:21 pm CDT | by Brett Barrett Leave a Comment

The Nashville Predators unveiled newly-acquired superstar defenseman P.K. Subban to their fans and local media on Monday. According to the Canadian Press, Subban had lunch with new teammates Mike Fisher and Ryan Ellis as part of his tour of the city prior to the press conference, where he sang Johnny Cash’s “Folsom Prison Blues”.

Subban told reporters he will always have fond memories of and connections to Montreal, but that he’s ready to move on, saying “coming here [Nashville] is not a popularity contest. Coming here is about helping this team to win and win a championship”.

Predators General Manager David Poile called his new acquisition a “superstar, game-changing defenseman and one of the most electrifying players in the game”. Poile was hopeful that the trade would help his team score more goals and spend less time in the defensive zone.

The Predators paid a big price to acquire the former Norris trophy winner, trading their captain Shea Weber to Montreal in a rare one-for-one trade. The June 29 trade is still a highly controversial topic; the Canadiens recently let go analytics consultant Matt Pfeffer after he submitted a “passionate” report in defence of Subban prior to the trade, in which he reportedly called Weber an “average player”. Earlier this afternoon, Pfeffer tweeted some context to the “average” remark, saying it was specifically with regards to one advanced stat category.

Subban and Weber each put up 51 points last season, however Weber scored more goals (20-6) in 10 more games (78-68). However, Subban has outscored Weber by 22 points (202-180) since 2012-13. Subban drives the play more than Weber, who is a more steady defensive defenseman. According to an analysis by Jonathan Willis, Weber relied on partner Roman Josi to make outlet passes, something that Subban excels at. Subban is also four year younger than Weber and just reaching the prime of his career.

Contract-wise, Subban is the highest-paid defenseman in the NHL. He earns an average of $9MM per year until 2022, while Weber’s cap hit is slightly lower at $7.86MM but doesn’t expire until 2026. Subban will be just 32 when his deal is up, only two years older than Weber is today. Weber will be 41 when his contract expires, which could lead to some nasty cap-recapture penalties for Nashville if he retires before then. Poile obviously feels the risk is worth it to acquire Subban, giving them possibly the best top four defense in the league with Subban, Josi, Ellis, and Mattias Ekholm.

Montreal Canadiens| Nashville Predators P.K. Subban| Shea Weber

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Capology Recap

July 18, 2016 at 6:52 pm CDT | by Mike Furlano Leave a Comment

ProHockeyRumors occasionally delves into the inner workings of the CBA to explain concepts crucial to modern NHL deals. Check out our past Capology posts and be on the lookout for future ones.

Capology 101 Posts

Buyouts: Explaining how NHL buyouts work and how to calculate a buyout’s cap hit.
Player Contracts: Outlining the limitations imposed by the CBA on player contracts.
NTCs and NMCs: Defining and explaining no-trade clauses and no-movement clauses.
RFA (Part One): Exploring what it means to be a restricted free agent.
Salary Arbitration (Part One and Two): Examining salary arbitration eligibility and the hearing process.

CBA

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Columbus Notes: Harrington; Tynan; Broadhurst

July 18, 2016 at 6:01 pm CDT | by Mike Furlano Leave a Comment

Aaron Portzline of the Columbus Dispatch reports that the Columbus Blue Jackets are close to new deals with three RFAs: Scott Harrington, T.J. Tynan, and Alex Broadhurst. Those three are Columbus’s only remaining RFAs.

  • Harrington remains the biggest name of the bunch. Columbus acquired the big defenseman from Toronto for Kerby Rychel on June 26, 2016. Toronto initially received Harrington in the Phil Kessel trade with Pittsburgh. He tallied only one assist in 15 games with the Leafs while scoring 1G and 2A with the AHL Toronto Marlies. Harrington is expected to battle for the 5/6 defensive slots in camp this fall as the Blue Jackets only have six experienced defensemen on the roster.
  • Tynan racked up 6G and 40A last year with the AHL Lake Erie Monsters, and is looking to make the jump to the NHL. The small forward—listed at 5’8″—has to compensate for his lack of size, but the Blue Jackets are familiar with the potential skill set from smaller players. Top-line forward Cam Atkinson is also listed at 5’8″, and he’s scored at least 20 goals in the last three seasons.
  • Alex Broadhurst came over from the Chicago Blackhawks in the deal for Brandon Saad. The center tallied 10G and 26A with the Lake Erie Monsters last season, and 3G and 9A in the Monsters’ Calder Cup-winning run.

We’ve previously reported that Columbus has been quiet this off-season, and these signings do little to quell the notion that they will be a lottery team come 2017. Fans can take solace in the fact that the Blue Jackets’ AHL affiliate are Calder Cup champions, something that bodes well for the future of the big league team.

[Columbus Blue Jackets Depth Chart]

 

Columbus Blue Jackets| RFA

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Free Agent Profile: Alex Tanguay

July 18, 2016 at 4:45 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

Alex Tanguay is one of the top remaining point producers left on the open market but more than two weeks into the free agency period, he hasn’t received much interest around the league.  Here is a closer look at his situation.

Tanguay is one of the oldest forwards still available but has a proven track record of producing, even as he gets older.  Last year with Colorado and Arizona, Tanguay recorded eight goals and 27 assists in 70 games including 13 points in 18 games with the Coyotes after being acquired.  Over the past three years, he has averaged 0.61 points per game which is still above average and is even more impressive when you consider that most of those points came at even strength.  In his career, he has 283 goals and 580 assists in 1,088 NHL games between Colorado, Calgary, Montreal, Tampa Bay, and Arizona.

So why is he still unsigned?  For starters, his age (36) works against him, as does the fact he plays smaller than his size and is showing signs of slowing down.  Tanguay also isn’t the best of players in his own end which limits the type of role he can succeed in down to a second or third line with some other two-way players.

Potential Suitors

At this point, Tanguay would fit somewhere on a team that has a short-term vacancy in an offensive role where he could serve as a placeholder for another player or prospect later on in the season or on a team that is lacking in forward depth.  Teams that fit one of those criteria include Ottawa, Montreal, Arizona (where we originally predicted he’d sign), Anaheim, and Minnesota.

Projected Contract

Tanguay ranked 33rd on our Top 50 UFA list and we had originally projected that he wouldn’t have as much difficulty getting a contract as he has and that he’d stay with the Coyotes as a veteran mentor for $2.5MM.  At this stage of free agency, where teams tend to wait out the remaining UFA’s, it’s highly unlikely he will be able to get that much.  A one year pact closer to $1MM even is looking more likely at this point considering who else is still available and that some teams have filled out their rosters.

Free Agency Alex Tanguay

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