Poll: Which 2017 Draft Pick Will Make The Biggest Impact In 2017-18?
It’s a difficult thing to ask a draft pick to jump straight from junior hockey to the NHL, and only a select few are able to do it with any success. Last season saw Auston Matthews, Patrik Laine, Matthew Tkachuk and Jakob Chychrun play the whole season for their respective clubs, while six others including Jesse Puljujarvi made their debuts at some point. Each found various levels of success but most were either in the running for this year’s Calder Trophy or are among those expected to compete for next year’s. 
This year, Nico Hischier and Nolan Patrick were the consensus top-2 picks heading into the draft and ended up going to two Metropolitan Division teams who could use their help. New Jersey and Philadelphia will both provide ample opportunity for the youngsters to make an impact, but there are some others that could make the difficult jump.
Florida has been clear that they’ll give Owen Tippett the chance to break camp with the team, and the 10th-overall pick already possesses an NHL-level shot that could provide some immediate success. Tippett was injured in the World Junior Summer Showcase and didn’t play today for Canada, but doesn’t expect to miss much time. Lias Andersson impressed the New York Rangers organization at development camp, and already has experience playing in a professional league in Sweden. He showed off today in a loss to Team USA at the Showcase, scoring two goals and generally looking a step ahead of his competition despite being one of the younger players on the ice. Andersson was selected seventh overall and could make the jump to help New York’s center depth right away.
Even the last pick of the first round, Klim Kostin has a shot of playing in the NHL this season after he’s told the St. Louis Blues that he doesn’t want to play in the WHL where his junior rights are owned. Kostin turned just about every head in the building during development camp with a game that seemed ready to not only keep up but dominate at the professional level. After losing his entire season to injury in 2016-17, Kostin already looks like one of the steals of the draft and St. Louis took no time in signing him to his entry-level contract.
So who will make the biggest impact from this draft class in 2017-18? Will it be one of the top two star prospects, or a surprise in training camp? If Tkachuk had been in most other years, his 48 point 18-year old season would have been viewed as an outstanding accomplishment (it still was, even if overshadowed by Matthews and Laine). Vote below on who you think will have the biggest season, and leave why in the comments!
Included are all the first-round picks, but be sure to mention any middle round players you think could make the jump. Remember, even those who are headed for junior or college could make an impact at the end of the year or in the playoffs like Charlie McAvoy this season.
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Filip Zadina Will Play For Halifax In 2017-18
Though it’s been expected since being selected 11th-overall in the CHL import draft, the Halifax Mooseheads confirmed today that Filip Zadina would be coming to North America to suit up for the junior club this season. Zadina is primed to be a top-10 selection in the 2018 draft, and will help replace the hole left on Halifax if Nico Hischier does indeed jump right to the NHL.
Halifax is attempting to secure the 2019 Memorial Cup, and Zadina would help them immensely in the tournament should he stay for a second season. Despite pedestrian totals playing in the Czech leagues last season, the 17-year old is an incredible offensive player that is dangerous from anywhere in the offensive zone. His shot is advanced for his age and he has top-level creativity on both the rush and cycle.
At his international tournaments he’s already played extremely well for the Czech Republic and will be in the U20 World Junior tournament this season. With a big year for Halifax in the QMJHL, Zadina could climb up into the top-5 in the draft and be considered among the best prospects available. In what should be a solid draft class, he’s one of the more interesting prospects to keep an eye on. Halifax is full of 2018 draft-eligible players and could easily improve from their relatively poor 2016-17 season.
OHL Trade Notes: Rippon, Stanley, Lodnia
Every summer top prospects in the CHL are moved around to various teams as the franchises work in a dance of preparing for Memorial Cup hosting opportunities while trying to maintain relevancy in the interim. Timing your team to be a powerhouse when the tournament is coming to your city is a big part of junior hockey, and can help build your fan base. Since the home team gets automatic admission to the tournament regardless of their season record, fans don’t want to see their home squad get pummeled by the other powerhouses of the leagues.
This year, Windsor loaded up for the tournament and despite not doing well in the OHL playoffs, won the Memorial Cup with a rested and exciting squad. They took down an Erie Otters team that was widely considered the favorite, boasting a top line of Taylor Raddysh, Dylan Strome and Alex DeBrincat. Now, as Jeff Marek of Sportsnet reports several moves are being made to prepare teams for the upcoming season and beyond.
- The Kitchener Rangers have traded Merrick Rippon to the Mississauga Steelheads for two seconds (2018, 2021) and one conditional third-round pick (2023) in the bantam draft. Rippon has already committed to Providence College for 2018-19, so it’s unclear if he’ll now suit up for the Steelheads instead. The NCAA considers the CHL a “pro” league because some of its players have already signed NHL contracts, meaning if Rippon suited up for even a single game he would lose college eligibility. The smooth skating defenseman is eligible for the 2018 NHL draft.
- The Windsor Spitfires are likely moving top Winnipeg Jets prospect Logan Stanley after he returned just in time from injury to help the team win the Memorial Cup. Stanley was selected 18th-overall by the Jets in 2016, but missed most of the season to a knee injury and will return to junior hockey to continue to develop his 6’7″ frame. Marek believes Stanley is heading to Kitchener, a place where he could immediately be inserted on the top pairing.
- Ivan Lodnia may be on the move from Erie, where he had been stuck in a shutdown role behind the older offensive weapons. Lodnia dropped to the Minnesota Wild in the fourth round this draft after disappearing in the OHL playoffs and Memorial Cup, but still has tremendous talent and could break out this season if given a larger role.
- The Sudbury Wolves are expected to trade Owen Lalonde, a 17-year old defenseman who already has a chance to go in the late first/early second round at next year’s draft. Lalonde was picked second-overall in the 2016 bantam draft, but was a little over-matched in his first season in the league. That should change this year as his body grows and he’s given a bigger opportunity, as he possesses some incredible offensive instincts and could be a powerplay quarterback as soon as this year.
Snapshots: Pastrnak, Walker, Coyotes
David Pastrnak remains one of the top unsigned restricted free agents in the league, and looks like he’s due for a huge raise from the Boston Bruins when a contract is finally hammered out. That doesn’t seem any closer today than it has been, as GM Don Sweeney told Ty Anderson of WEEI the negotiations are in a “holding pattern” but that there is plenty of time to get something done. Pastrnak scored 34 goals and 70 points last season, and though he’s still ineligible for arbitration is set to command quite the price on a long-term deal.
Despite only turning 21 a few months ago, Pastrnak has already completed three seasons in the NHL and is on track to become an unrestricted free agent at the age of 25. That means any deal longer than four seasons will be buying out UFA years at a premium, pushing any cap hit up and up as the length increases. Obviously, the Bruins would like to keep him around as long as possible but they’ll have to make a decision on whether to lock him into a seven or eight year deal right away, or offer him a bridge contract and revisit the negotiations in a few years. With just over $10.1MM in cap space, the team could go either route to keep their star winger in town.
- According to Michael Russo of the Star Tribune, Jack Walker has signed an AHL deal with the Minnesota Wild organization after impressing in development camp. Walker was actually a draft pick of the Toronto Maple Leafs as recently as 2016, but was not extended a “Bona Fide Offer” by the team and became an unrestricted free agent. That likely had to do with the combination of Walker being too old to return to junior and the Maple Leafs not having enough contract slots left—the team is currently at 49/50 with Connor Brown still to sign. Walker was a solid scoring threat in the WHL, and will try to improve his all-around game in the minor leagues.
- The Arizona Coyotes have announced a one-year affiliation with the Fort Wayne Komets of the ECHL, replacing the Rapid City Rush who have moved on to partner with the Wild. The Komets operated independently last season after ending a partnership with the Colorado Avalanche a year early, but will now house the lower Arizona prospects. Even without a parent organization the Komets reached the postseason for the fourth straight year, and will try to get back there this season. Interestingly, Brett Perlini, the older brother of Coyotes’ forward Brendan Perlini was traded to the Komets mid-season last year, where he scored 26 points in 33 games.
Snapshots: Malgin, Sheary, Walker
The Florida Panthers are a team looking for a reboot after a disappointing campaign. GM Dale Tallon seems to have adopted a total shift in philosophy after buying out Jussi Jokinen and passing on re-signing Jaromir Jagr. The team is opting for a more total youth movement, particularly on offense. In an article with NHL.com’s Alain Poupart, the undersized Denis Malgin spoke about his hopes for the 2017-18 campaign.
Malgin only scored 6 goals and 4 assists in his 47 contest in the NHL last season, but undoubtedly has skill. The former Zurich SC (Swiss A) prospect is known for his craftiness with the puck and his vision for making plays. As any 5’9 player will attest, physicality will be a huge hurdle for him going forward. Still, he only needs to look to recently-ex Panther Jonathan Marchessault to realize that solid offensive instincts can trump a small stature. Malgin, a center, will look to make a more permanent home in Florida this season, although training camp will determine where he begins the year. At only 20 years old, he has plenty of time to improve and bulk up physically.
- The Conor Sheary contract announced earlier today could turn out to be quite the bargain for the Penguins. The miniature winger’s chemistry with captain Sidney Crosby is undeniable, and he exploded with offensive production alongside him. With 53 points in only 61 games, if Sheary can maintain that sort of productive pace, he will be one of the more cost-effective wingers over the course of his contract. Speaking with the Post-Gazette’s Jason Mackey, Sheary said he hoped to prove that this past season wasn’t merely a “one-time thing”. If he can put 3 more campaigns anywhere near as successful as 2016-17, he’s assured to be paid quite a bit more on his next contract. Durability is a concern, but he did appear to absorb harder impacts less regularly as the year progressed.
- Nathan Walker of the Washington Capitals re-signed with the organization at the beginning of the month, after playing the past two seasons in Hershey. As the Capitals are in a bit of a cap crunch, they will be relying on younger, cheaper players like Walker to fill holes, especially on the third and fourth lines. Walker, like the other two players in these snapshots, needs to prove that he can overcome his short height. At only 5’8, Walker plays a game well above his size. He can handle physicality and his energy can jump-start a shift in a pinch. He also has some level of offensive capability – he’s netted 64 points through 131 AHL contests in the last two seasons. Walker is particularly interesting to trivia buffs, because were he to make an NHL appearance (as seems likely), he would be the first Australian-born player to do so, as noted by Adam Gretz of NBC Sports. Walker’s competition in camp, as of now, isn’t too intimidating. Assuming Jakub Vrana makes the lineup, Walker will only need to beat out the likes of Travis Boyd, Wayne Simpson, Riley Barber and a host of AHL journeymen and minor prospects to cement his playing time.
St. Louis Re-Signs Jordan Binnington
July 28th: The team has officially announced the contract.
July 22nd: While an official announcement from the team is still forthcoming, CapFriendly revealed last night that the St. Louis Blues have come to terms with goaltender Jordan Binnington on a new contract. It is expected that Binnington will sign a one-year, two-way deal worth $660K, just a tad over the minimum, at the NHL level.
When Binnington, a restricted free agent, chose not to file for arbitration despite being eligible to do so, it seemed that there was a mutual understanding between both sides and a new contract was just a matter of time. The 24-year-old has shown promise in short spurts, but really lacks the NHL experience or stretches of AHL dominance to have much leverage in negotiations. A third-round pick out of the OHL’s Owen Sound Attack in 2011, Binnington was named the OHL Goaltender of the Year in 2012-13 and expectations were high for his pro future. However, heading into his fifth pro season, Binnington has seemingly been progressing backwards. After posting a .916 save percentage and 2.35 GAA in 45 appearances in his first full season with the AHL’s Chicago Wolves in 2014-15, Binnington’s stats dropped sharply in 2015-16 and he ended up with just 32 appearances in 2016-17, having to share the net with Pheonix Copley (until he was traded) and Ville Husso. Both of those other goalies played significantly better than Binnington as well, with Copley earning an NHL call-up instead of Binnington. His lone NHL appearance remains a debut in relief of Brian Elliott at the end of a 2015 game, in which Binnington allowed a goal on four shots in the final 13 minutes.
As if Binnington’s NHL future and role for the Blues wasn’t unclear enough, St. Louis’ AHL situation further muddies the waters. It was announced in May that the Chicago Wolves would become the AHL affiliate of the expansion Vegas Golden Knights and then just recently, the AHL stated that it would be expanding to match the NHL’s new 31-team format, but not until the 2018-19 season. Unfortunately for the Blues, until then they will have to share the Wolves with Vegas, who needs the depth, but will surely favor their own prospects over a conference rival’s. This is especially true in net, where there are only so many starts to go around. The Knights have signed Maxime Lagace and Oscar Dansk this off-season as AHL depth behind Expansion Draft selections Marc-Andre Fleury and Calvin Pickard. That pair will likely get the lion’s share of minutes in net this season for the Wolves, with the Blues’ keepers as an afterthought. Given the solid tandem of Jake Allen and Carter Hutton in St. Louis and Husso essentially passing up Binnington on the organizational depth chart, it seems that Binnington will not only be fourth string for his NHL team, but also for his AHL team as well. It could be a long year for the former highly-touted prospect.
Red Wings Notes: Cholowski, Svechnikov, Daley
The Detroit News’ Gregg Krupa ranks the Red Wings prospects, indicating that the franchise objective right now is to stockpile young talent. Krupa goes by position, placing defenseman Dennis Cholowski as his #1 defensive prospect and Evgeny Svechnikov as his #1 forward prospect. Though he expects Cholowski to be slow to develop, he writes that the wait could be well worth it as the slick skating, puck moving defenseman could be a top pairing for the Wings in a few seasons, something the team hasn’t boasted since Nicklas Lidstrom‘s retirement in 2012. Svechnikov is the prospect many Red Wings fans are desperately waiting for in Detroit, especially after he scored an electrifying shootout goal back in April. Krupa predicts the 20-year-old Russian to see close to a full season in the NHL, especially if the Red Wings struggle to put up points and choose to hand the team over to the kids.
- Fan Rag’s Franklin Steele believes that Trevor Daley will be an “invaluable” pickup for the goal-scoring starved blue line. While Steele doesn’t see Daley producing more than twenty points, it’s his value on the ice with skating and production as well as his value within the locker room that justifies his signing. Daley is expected to mentor several of the younger players on the team, including Cholowski, who was told by Wings brass to “watch” Daley’s every move. The Daley signing, however, is still a curious one as the Red Wings are in quite the roster flux. Steele points out that between a myriad of bad contracts, Petr Mrazek‘s inability to be the #1 goalie, and the Wings hope that Dylan Larkin can play well at center, Daley is about the only certainty in terms of what he’s bringing to the roster–leadership and speed. If that doesn’t work out, Steele offers advice to the organization as to how to proceed next.
Draft Capital: The Path To Success For Vegas
Recently we looked at how the Vegas Golden Knights could still hold court at the 2018 trade deadline, a roster filled with pieces on short term deals that could be attractive to teams for the stretch run. The team has burdened itself with so few long-term commitments that it can move salary in and out as it tries to slowly bring it self into contention. 
As with any build (re or otherwise) in the NHL, the best players on your team must come through the draft. Bringing a core group through together is the key for any dominant team, with examples like Sidney Crosby–Evgeni Malkin–Kris Letang, Jonathan Toews–Patrick Kane–Duncan Keith or Anze Kopitar–Drew Doughty–Jonathan Quick winning several Stanley Cups as young players together. The Golden Knights are hoping their first draft group can replicate that success.
When the Golden Knights secured three first-round picks in this year, selecting Cody Glass, Nick Suzuki and Erik Brannstrom (6th, 13th and 15th-overall) they pumped an incredible amount of high-end talent into their system in one day. Those three could easily become the backbone of a competitive team, but it was the other work they’ve done that will really result in some success in the future. On day two of the draft, Vegas selected nine more players including Nicolas Hague who was expected to go in the late first round and Jake Leschyshyn who has NHL pedigree (father Curtis Leschyshyn played over 1,000 games and won the Stanley Cup with Colorado in 1996) and took a huge step forward in the WHL this season.
It’s the sheer amount of lottery tickets they’ve purchased that is sure to pay off for the Golden Knights. Over the next three drafts they have ten selections in the first two rounds, and as noted earlier could gather even more this season. Not only would that allow them to pump their system full of a huge number of prospects, but should also let them move up to get the specific players they want to target. Though 2018 picks are hard to come by, as teams are viewing the first round as one of the deepest in recent memory, it’s harder to project the talent further down the line. Vegas is set up to compete for the very best players available those years, just through sheer draft capital.
So when you look at the Vegas roster, and don’t see a ton of youth and upside (outside of a select few like Shea Theodore) remember that they’ve just started to build a pipeline that should be among the league’s best in just a few years. With a bottom five finish the most likely outcome of this season, they’ll be in the lottery conversation again to select at the top of the draft, and perhaps pull in Andrei Svechnikov, Joe Veleno, Rasmus Dahlin or one of the other elite prospects available next year. That slow build to contention might not take nearly as long as you think.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images
Colorado Has Room To Fill Out Organization, Take Risks
The Colorado Avalanche are at a bit of a crossroads, one that could play out in a number of different ways. As of this date in late July, the Avs only have 35 players locked into organizational contracts, with only 3 RFAs left to sign. Those players are Matt Nieto (who filed for arbitration, scheduled on July 31), Nikita Zadorov, and Rocco Grimaldi. Assuming they do sign all three, they are 12 players beneath the maximum 50 allowable contracts. For a team that completely lost the rails last season in the worst post-lockout season yet, this might be a cause for alarm. But it’s also an opportunity.
GM Joe Sakic has drawn lots of fire from around the league on his handling of the Matt Duchene trade sweepstakes. Many believe he has asked for too much in return or has been unrealistic about the player’s worth. That said, he still has a highly dynamic center on a reasonable contract who has every possibility of recouping some of his value come September. Ultimately, however, we might judge Sakic by his reluctance to re-sign aging players and to move on from veteran names. Although scoring will almost certainly take a hit, when in the midst of a dismal rebuild, it’s generally unwise to block roster positions from prospects.
Sakic let Francois Beauchemin (37), Rene Bourque (35), Fedor Tyutin (34), and John Mitchell (32) all walk, in addition to 8 other players. He unloaded Jarome Iginla (40) at the trade deadline for a pick, and sniped up David Warsofsky, Jonathan Bernier, and Nail Yakupov to relatively cheap deals this off-season. While none of these moves is particularly shocking, it shows that management is on the correct page when it comes to getting younger and embracing the inevitable tank. It will undoubtedly be a tough season again in Denver, but there does seem to be a plan starting to finally coalesce.
Perhaps what is most imperative from here forward, is that after figuratively clearing the deck, the organization fills the gaps with players that make long-term sense. Sakic should make a serious endeavor to fill remaining roster contracts to players on the right side of 30, preferably those who will provide solid production at the AHL level, who might have some chance of eventually becoming contributors. If he’s particularly sensible, Sakic would seek out as many young, undrafted college and overseas players with upside as he can. Conor Sheary type players are difficult to find, but every season it seems one or two players comes out of nowhere. Sakic should be beating the bushes for unknown quantities to fill out San Antonio. The Rampage finished with only 27 wins last season, which only made the defeated fanbase’s outlook bleaker. With the Avalanche looking primed to find themselves in the Central’s basement once again, it would be wise to build a competent squad down in the minors and hope that a winning mindset floats upward.
Notably, the Avalanche are thin on defense. They’ll need to rely upon unproven youngsters on the bottom pairing, as Zadorov, Erik Johnson, Tyson Barrie, and Mark Barberio, and Warsofsky are the only players with over 100 NHL games played. None inspires a ton of confidence. Anton Lindholm has 12 games experience, Duncan Siemens has 4, and Chris Bigras has 31. Andrei Mironov, 22 and coming over from Dynamo Moscow, will have a solid crack at a spot, but it’s too early to tell how well he’ll adapt to the North American game. If Sakic were to add another NHL body, it would almost surely be on the left side.
An important component of any franchise which can go unnoticed is the depth signings at the AHL level, in addition to drafting and scouting. Sakic has given himself the leeway to build a supporting cast as he sees fit, and now we will merely need to wait and see what path he decides to take.
Blackhawks Notes: Sharp, Saad, DeBrincat
The Chicago Sun-Times’ Mark Lazerus (along with various Chicago media) tweeted quite a bit from the beginning of the Blackhawks Fan Convention as players and personnel were available to the media. It was a reunion of sorts as two former players returned to field questions. Patrick Sharp returns to the place where he saw much success, saying that he had some of his “best years” playing for Joel Quenneville in Chicago. Lazerus tweets that Quenneville could use Sharp with Jonathan Toews, and to expect the veteran winger to see top six minutes, which may not thrill some fans. Brandon Saad confirmed that he would be on a line with Toews, which was the belief of many after Stan Bowman swung a deal to re-acquire the forward. The Athletic’s Scott Powers tweeted video of different interviews which included Quenneville, Patrick Kane talking about the Panarin trade, and Sharp’s return to Chicago.
- Several hockey analysts are “tapping the brakes” when declaring Blackhawks prospect Alex DeBrincat as the next big thing. The Hockey News’ Jared Clinton and Chicago SportsNet’s Tracey Myers both covered this, with Clinton adding onto Myers’ analysis. First, the salary cap limits who the Hawks can add to the roster, and the only player as of now who can shuffle to the AHL without passing through waivers is Nick Schmaltz. Should Marian Hossa go onto the LTIR, more than enough money would be available for many in Rockford to go onto the roster. Second, head coach Joel Quenneville isn’t exactly one to hand out ice time to kids. Clinton notes that DeBrincat is only 19, and the only players under 21 to see significant ice time during Quenneville’s tenure were Kane and Toews. Of course, Clinton notes, Toews was the captain and Kane was a budding superstar. Further, Clinton writes that Schmaltz, considered one of Chicago’s best prospects, struggled to stay in the lineup last season, showing that cracking the NHL lineup and then staying on it is far more difficult than it appears. Realistically, Clinton believes that the Hawks have the luxury to “over-season” players and allow them time to grow into a role–something that DeBrincat may very well do.