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Poll: Who Will Win The Pacific Division In 2018-19?

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We’re just over a month away from the 2018-19 NHL season, and players are hitting the ice with teammates to start forming chemistry. All over the league there are individual workouts underway, and rookie tournament rosters being announced. The excitement for the upcoming season is starting to bubble up to the surface, and even the smallest NHL news has fans in a frenzy.

Recently, Bovada released their over/under numbers for each team’s point totals and there are some interesting results. Though these aren’t to be taken exactly as predictions for the upcoming season—since betting odds also take into account popularity trends and other factors—fans of the Tampa Bay Lightning should still be extremely satisfied to see their club at the very top with an over/under of 107.5 points. The Lightning are expected to be Stanley Cup contenders once again in 2018-19, and have brought back nearly their entire roster.

We ran a poll asking the PHR community to decide who will win the Atlantic Division last week, and the Lightning came out on top with nearly 37% of the vote. The Toronto Maple Leafs finished in second place, but the big surprise was the Detroit Red Wings in third with 15% of all voters. While our readers have more confidence in the Red Wings than the odds makers, we’ve seen stranger things in the past.

The odds though tell an interesting story in the Pacific Division.

The Vegas Golden Knights won the division easily last season with 109 points, finishing at 51-24-7 in their inaugural season. They rode that dominance all the way to the Stanley Cup Finals, and yet aren’t the clear leader this time around. Vegas is tied with the Anaheim Ducks at a 96.5 point over/under, but actually a point behind the San Jose Sharks who come in at 97.5. Los Angeles, Calgary and Edmonton don’t lag far behind, making this one of the most interesting divisions in hockey to watch this season.

Who do you think will come out on top of the Pacific Division this year? Can Edmonton bounce back from a disastrous 2017-18? Will Marc-Andre Fleury lead the Golden Knights back to the top? Can the Coyotes go from worst to first in one season? Cast your vote below and explain how you think the season will play out in the comments!

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Noah Hanifin Re-Signs With Calgary Flames

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Late last night after a long negotiation the Calgary Flames announced a new contract for young defenseman Noah Hanifin. The restricted free agent will earn an average of $4.95MM for the next six seasons, carrying him through the 2023-24 season. Hanifin will be an unrestricted free agent at the conclusion of the contract. The deal includes an eight-team no-trade clause in the final two seasons.

After finishing last season out of the playoffs for the third year in a row, Hanifin has had quite the offseason. As his entry-level contract expired, it looked like he would be negotiating with Carolina Hurricanes GM Ron Francis on a new deal to make him one of their key defensemen for some time. Unfortunately at the end of April, Francis’ was terminated as GM of the team and Don Waddell took over the front office. Hanifin would have to negotiate with a different group, but still looked like he was a key part of the future. That lasted less than two months, as during the NHL Entry Draft in Dallas, Hanifin and teammate Elias Lindholm were dealt to the Flames in a blockbuster deal that brought back Dougie Hamilton.

Hanifin is now with a new organization but is still clearly expected to be a key member of the Flames for quite some time. The fifth pick of the 2015 draft immediately leapfrogs T.J. Brodie and Travis Hamonic in salary on the blue line and is signed longer than anyone on the team other than Lindholm and Mikael Backlund. The 21-year old will get to experience some familiarity this season though, as former Carolina head coach Bill Peters has been brought in to turn things around in Calgary. The Flames missed the playoffs last season despite trading away their first-round pick, but have done even more to revamp their roster for 2018-19.

Along with Hanifin and Lindholm, the team has brought in James Neal, Derek Ryan and Austin Czarnik to give them some more punch up front and still have more than $2.5MM in cap space to make an additional move. Hanifin’s deal compares quite nicely to some of his contemporaries around the league, given that the Flames bought out two years of unrestricted free agency. The most straightforward comparable according to CapFriendly is Morgan Rielly’s six-year pact with the Toronto Maple Leafs, which will pay him $5MM for another four seasons. While Hanifin hasn’t yet had the sort of responsibility Rielly experiences in Toronto, their draft pedigree and offensive impact through three seasons are almost identical.

For Calgary, the contract doesn’t come without risk. Even with all the supposed defensive depth in Carolina the last few years, the team has still struggled to keep the puck out of their own net and never really pushed to be Stanley Cup contenders. While a big reason for that is the sub-par goaltending they’ve received, some of it also has to fall on the shoulders of the defensive unit. Hanifin especially hasn’t proven himself as a top pairing defender yet, and even with his obvious skills at both ends of the ice only posted positive possession statistics for the first time last season. That came in really sheltered minutes, as Brett Pesce and Jaccob Slavin took the brunt of the difficult matchups.

Still, there is obviously a lot to like in Hanifin. For one thing he already has 239 games under his belt before he turns 22, and can be expected to take another few steps forward in his development. Being able to learn on a daily basis from a seasoned professional like Mark Giordano can only help his career, and there is reason to believe that he can breakout offensively if given the opportunity. Calgary certainly believes in his progression, and have rewarded him as such.

Noah Hanifin Close To Signing With Calgary

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August 30: The Flames and Hanifin are putting the final touches on a new deal, TSN’s Darren Dreger reports (Twitter link).

August 25: Flames offseason acquisition Noah Hanifin is one of 14 remaining restricted free agents this summer.  That’s not likely to be the case much longer as the defenseman told NHL.com’s Dan Rosen that he is “super close” to getting a deal done and has no worries that something won’t be in place by the time players report to camp on September 9th.  Calgary GM Brad Treliving also expressed optimism to Rosen that a deal would be reached in the near future.

Hanifin indicated that he’s hoping to sign a contract that is at least five years in length which would seemingly take a short-term bridge deal off the table while Treliving declined to comment on what type of term they are discussing.  The Flames opened up the salary cap space to give him a long-term pact after they bought out winger Troy Brouwer in their post-arbitration window and currently sit with a little over $7.5MM in room to work with per CapFriendly.

A five-year deal for the 21-year-old would take him to unrestricted free agency at its conclusion; although he’d still be below the usual UFA age of 27, he will have reached the seven years of service time mark to get there.  With that in mind, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Calgary push for a contract that’s at least a little bit longer even though the AAV will be higher as a result.

Interestingly enough, one of the potential comparables for Hanifin is the player he was traded for in Dougie Hamilton who has a cap hit of $5.75MM.  While Hamilton has the better offensive numbers, the Upper Limit has gone up since then which offsets that somewhat so an AAV around that range wouldn’t be too shocking for Hanifin when all is said and done.

Troy Brouwer Signs With Florida Panthers

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The Florida Panthers have announced the signing of Troy Brouwer to a one-year one-way contract, bringing in the veteran forward after he was bought out by the Calgary Flames. Brouwer will earn $1.5MM from the Flames in each of the next four seasons, and now add another $850K from the Panthers in 20181-19. Florida GM Dale Tallon had this to say about his new forward:

Troy is a skilled veteran forward with championship experience. He adds depth to our forward group and his leadership will help our developing young core take the next step this season.

Brouwer, 33, comes to the Panthers fresh off the worst offensive season of his career, in which he recorded just six goals and 22 points in 76 games with the Flames. That was the first time he didn’t hit at least double digits in goals, and a substantial drop off from his career-high of 25 just a few years ago with the Washington Capitals. Brouwer doesn’t appear to have a ton of upside left, but could easily find himself a regular on the Florida fourth line this season. He’ll have to fight for that spot though, as the Panthers already have 12 other forwards on one-way deals and other players like Henrik Borgstrom, Owen Tippett, Denis Malgin and Maxim Mamin who could compete for a spot in the NHL.

The contract also leaves the Panthers with just under $2MM in cap space for the upcoming season, though that will increase when they decide to send down some of their excess forwards. They also currently have three goaltenders earning at least $1.3MM this season after signing Michael Hutchinson, and unless they are planning on carry all three when healthy his assignment to the minor leagues will free up some space. Given those pending transactions, signing a veteran option like Brouwer came with little risk for the Panthers and could provide some invaluable leadership as the group tries to make it back to the playoffs. Led by some underrated stars in Aleksander Barkov, Vincent Trocheck and Aaron Ekblad, the Panthers could surprise other teams in the Atlantic Division this season and put themselves in a position to compete for the Stanley Cup. Brouwer will be able to share some knowledge with the younger players, given that he won a championship in 2010 with the Chicago Blackhawks and has played in more than 100 postseason contests.

Pacific Notes: Treliving, Pavelski, Bear, Sautner

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The Calgary Flames seem to gamble on their success every season lately when it comes to their offseason moves. This year, attempting to address their second-half collapse, general manager Brad Treliving made several key moves to revitalize the franchise, including trading away defenseman Dougie Hamilton, Micheal  Ferland and collegeiate defenseman Adam Fox for youngsters Noah Hanifin and Elias Lindholm. The team also went out and signed a 30-year-old James Neal to a five-year, $28.75MM deal as well as signing veteran bottom-six center to three-year, $9.38MM contract. Many of those moves will turn out to be quite a gamble.

The Athletic’s Kent Wilson (subscription required) wonders whether this might be the last year for Treliving if the team doesn’t show immediate improvement and return to respectability. Several of his gambles from previous seasons have failed, most especially last year’s trade for Travis Hamonic for a slew of draft picks. While the trade made sense at the time, the deal looks worse and worse as time passes.

Treliving also has used his draft assets to add players over the last two years as he has had just one pick in the top 105 over those two seasons to acquire players like Hamonic, Curtis Lazar, Michael Stone and veteran goaltender Mike Smith, most of which have made few contributions so far to the team. Throw in the team’s lack of uncertainty in net in the future and one has to wonder whether Treliving will survive the next season if the team doesn’t make immediate improvements.

  • The San Jose Sharks have done an impressive job of combining veteran talent with an infusion of youth over the years and none more than last year when several of their young players really stepped up, including Tomas Hertl, Chris Tierney, Timo Meier, Joonas Donskoi and Kevin Labanc. Even on defense, their youth took another step. However, how long can the veterans hold out? The Athletic’s Kevin Kurz (subscription required) wonders how much Joe Pavelski has left in the tank and how much the team depends on him? Despite missing just one game in the last five season, the 34-year-old veteran’s production dropped to just 22 goals last year, his worst season since the strike-shortened 2012-13 season. One of the reasons for his decline was that he was banged up early in the season with a wrist injury, a broken finger and some lower-body injuries. Although Pavelski’s days of scoring 40 goals is likely over, the team hopes they can count on Pavelski’s experience and skills to help lead the team on the top-six as there is no doubt the veteran will get the lion’s share of minutes on the team again this year.
  • The Athletic’s Allan Mitchell (subscription required) looks at the play of Edmonton Oilers defenseman Ethan Bear, who has been one of Edmonton’s top propsects. The 21-year-old played most of the season with the Bakersfield Condors of the AHL, but finally broke into the NHL in March, playing in 18 total games. However, Mitchell writes that while Bear showed some offensive prowess, he struggled in coverage and gap control and likely needs more time in the AHL to be successful. With the injury to Andrej Sekera, Bear could get another chance to make the Oilers out of training camp.
  • With few changes in their defensive personnel, the Vancouver Canucks have to look at as many internal defensive options if they want to get better. One option is Ashton Sautner, according to Ben Kuzma of the Vancouver Sun. The 24-year-old agitator finally got recalled last season by Vancouver in hopes of providing the team with an energy presence. He played five games on an emergency recall and had an impressive showing. Unfortunately, Kuzma doesn’t think he has much of a chance to make the team out of training camp this season as the team has nine defenseman under contract, including 2016 first-round pick Olli Juolevi, giving him little to no chance in making the NHL squad.

Fourteen Restricted Free Agents Remain Unsigned

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We’re now just a few weeks away from the start of training camp, and there are still 14 restricted free agents without contracts. Many of those who remain unsigned are key players for their teams, and starting training camp without them isn’t a desired situation for either side. That means early September should be filled with new contracts, including several that should be quite substantial.

The full list of unsigned RFAs, thanks to CapFriendly:

Nick Ritchie (ANA)
Marek Langhamer (ARZ)
Sam Reinhart (BUF)
Noah Hanifin (CGY)
Matt Puempel (DET)
Darnell Nurse (EDM)
Michael McCarron (MTL)
Miles Wood (NJD)
Jordan Schmaltz (STL)
William Nylander (TOR)
Shea Theodore (VGK)
Eric Comrie (WPG)
J.C. Lipon (WPG)
Josh Morrissey (WPG)

As CapFriendly points out, there is still technically a possibility of an offer sheet for these players given their status as restricted free agents but it seems extremely unlikely at this point. Offer sheets are so rarely used in today’s NHL and would require a team to have ample cap space this late in the summer. Remember too that an offer sheet is not something a team can do without the player’s consent, and none of these situations seem contentious currently.

Instead, these contracts are taking a long time because they have real impact on their team’s cap situations going forward. William Nylander wants a long-term deal from the Toronto Maple Leafs, but with Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, Jake Gardiner and others needing new contracts within the next year there are plenty of reasons to think a bridge deal could be more beneficial. Nylander’s cap hit is extremely important for the Maple Leafs going forward, and given that it will likely fall somewhere around Dylan Larkin’s $6.1MM and David Pastrnak’s $6.67MM it takes time to work out.

For a team like Edmonton, locking up Darnell Nurse provides perhaps even more challenges. The team needs Nurse desperately this season given their already ailing blue line, but also has to worry about how they’ll add to the team down the line if they buy out any of his free agent years. That would send his cap hit skyrocketing, and the team has just $3.9MM left for this season and more than $62MM already committed for 2019-20. A bridge deal in Edmonton might be the only possible contract, but it might not be what Nurse is looking for.

The same could be said in Calgary, where the Flames can’t be exactly sure what they have in Noah Hanifin. While he has a high draft pedigree and has been a fine player in Carolina through the early part of his career, there’s no indication yet that he can be a franchise defenseman capable of leading their blue line down the road. With many of their other defensemen closing in on unrestricted free agency and the back half of their careers, the Flames have to be careful where they commit the most dollars.

Overall, this is a very talented group that is still unsigned as we inch closer to September and should make for some fireworks just before camp. In the worst case scenario some of them will miss camp and perhaps even hold out into the season, at which point we’ll be looking at a December 1st deadline instead of mid-September. That’s when every RFA needs a contract by or else they forfeit the entire 2018-19 season.

Calgary Flames Sign Anthony Peluso

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According to CapFriendly, the Calgary Flames have signed Anthony Peluso to a one-year two-way contract worth $650K at the NHL level. Peluso was an unrestricted free agent after spending last season with the Washington Capitals organization.

Peluso, 29, spent most of the season with the Hershey Bears of the AHL in 2017-18 despite plenty of experience at the NHL level. In 144 games, almost all of which came with the Winnipeg Jets, the big winger has registered 14 points and 281 hits. Not known for his offensive talents, he has been known to drop the gloves and has 20 fighting majors in his NHL career. Though he likely won’t be a full-time member of the Flames next season, they’ve decided his toughness is a worthwhile addition to the organization.

The Flames will need to put Peluso through waivers prior to the start of the season in order to send him to the minor leagues, but that shouldn’t be much of a risk given his lack of upside. The team already has several forwards battling for the last few NHL roster spots, and head coach Bill Peters has never really kept an enforcer-type with Carolina in the past. The Stockton Heat will be the landing spot for Peluso, who recorded a career-high of 11 points in 38 games for Hershey last year.

Snapshots: Hanifin, McCarron, Leivo

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Kristen Anderson of Postmedia spoke with Calgary Flames GM Brad Treliving today, who explained that he’s confident a contract will be worked out with Noah Hanifin before training camp starts in a few weeks. Hanifin is the team’s final unsigned restricted free agent after trading away Hunter Shinkaruk and signing Kerby Rychel earlier today, and could be in line for a long-term deal.

Acquired in the Dougie Hamilton trade earlier this year, Hanifin could be a key part of the Flames rebounding to the playoffs this season. The team is hoping that a shake up on defense as well as several new faces up front and behind the bench will allow a talented group to get back into the postseason hunt. Treliving doesn’t seem concerned about a potential hold out, telling Anderson the contract “will get done, but it’s just not done yet.”

  • While the Montreal Canadiens signed Shinkaruk quickly after acquiring him from the Flames today, they have another outstanding restricted free agent left to sign as well. Michael McCarron still doesn’t have a contract for the 2017-18 season, but Marc Antoine Godin of The Athletic believes it will be resolved in one way or another soon. Godin didn’t elaborate on whether that meant a contract or a trade, but we’ll likely soon find out. McCarron was a first round pick of the Canadiens in 2013, but to this point has shown almost no offensive ability at the NHL level and has struggled to even stay in the lineup. With just eight points in 70 career NHL contests, the 23-year old may be running out of time in Montreal to make an impact.
  • It was recently reported by James Mirtle of The Athletic that Calvin Pickard has been shopped by the Toronto Maple Leafs, and he doubled down today in his “State of the Franchise” column (subscription required) saying the goaltender is “being offered around the league” currently. That’s not the only Maple Leafs player available though, as Mirtle also states that depth forward Josh Leivo is “available on the trade market.” That shouldn’t come as much of a surprise given that Leivo asked for a trade earlier this year due to his lack of playing time, but some believed that the new front office would push to have him inserted into the lineup on a more regular basis. Leivo has produced 22 points in 57 NHL games during his short career, and has done that with extremely limited minutes. If someone does want to take a shot on his offensive upside, the Maple Leafs may be listening.

Montreal Canadiens Trade Kerby Rychel To Calgary Flames

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Kerby Rychel is off to another organization, this time traded from the Montreal Canadiens to the Calgary Flames in exchange for Hunter Shinkaruk. Interestingly, both players were unsigned restricted free agents and needed new contracts for the season. The Canadiens wasted no time getting Shinkaruk signed, inking him to a one-year two-way contract worth $650K at the NHL level. The Flames followed suit soon after by signing Rychel to a one-year two-way deal worth $725K. Rychel is now on his fourth NHL organization, after being traded by the Columbus Blue Jackets and Toronto Maple Leafs previously.

It’s been a tough road for Rychel since he was selected 19th overall in the 2013 draft. After the draft he returned to captain his Windsor Spitfires in the OHL only to be traded by his father, GM and former NHL player Warren Rychel, during the season to the Guelph Storm. Guelph would ultimately win an OHL Championship with the power winger in the fold, as Rychel lead the way with 32 points in 20 playoff games. After that final season in junior he would join the Springfield Falcons of the AHL for the 2014-15 season where he would find some success, and even make his NHL debut with the Blue Jackets just after his 20th birthday.

After 32 more games with the Blue Jackets in the 2015-16 season he was traded to the Maple Leafs in exchange for Scott Harrington, a talented prospect in his own right who hadn’t been able to find full-time NHL work. Rychel never did suit up for the Maple Leafs, instead playing parts of two seasons with the Toronto Marlies but missing out on their Calder Cup-winning performance after being shipped off to Montreal at the deadline.

Shinkaruk has a similar story, after being selected just five spots after Rychel in 2003 by the Vancouver Canucks. The winger would only play a single game for the Canucks before being shipped to Calgary in exchange for Markus Granlund, and he hasn’t found much success in the Flames organization either. Though Shinkaruk is a fine minor league player, he has just 15 NHL games under his belt and has barely shown any reason to think he’ll become an NHL regular going forward. That next step is certainly possible for both players, but this could easily be a swap of minor league talent when all is said and done.

Rychel and Shinkaruk will both require waivers to be assigned to the minor leagues this season, a process they already went through last year.

Free Agent Profile: Troy Brouwer

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Entering the free agent market late is never an enviable position. Hitting the market in August coming off the worst season of your pro career? That’s a really tough spot and the one facing down veteran forward Troy Brouwer this summer.

Brouwer became the latest addition to the unrestricted free agent market on August 3rd, after the Calgary Flames bought out the remaining two years of his contract in the second buyout window awarded in consideration of the team’s salary arbitration status. As if becoming a free agent more than one month after the signing period began wasn’t enough of a difficult situation, Brouwer also entered a quiet market that had seen just two impact UFA signings – Brooks Orpik and Dan Hamhuis – in the previous two weeks. Now two weeks later, there has still not been another major addition and that includes a lack of interest in Brouwer.

Brouwer, who just turned 33, has begun to show his age. While physicality and two-way play have always been hallmarks of his game, Brouwer also did well for himself earlier in his career with seven straight seasons of 33 points or more while playing for three different clubs. He cashed in on that consistency two years ago, inking a four-year, $18MM contract with the Flames as a free agent – the most lucrative deal of his career. The situation in Calgary turned sour quickly, as Brouwer’s speed and production took a noticeable dip in his first campaign. The reliable forward only managed 25 points and, to add insult to injury, struggled on the defensive side of the game as well. Last season, Brouwer’s even strength ice time was cut to a career low and his production dropped again to a career-worst six goals and 22 points.

At $4.5MM per year, Brouwer’s play last season showed the Flames that he was simply a burden they could no longer shoulder moving forward, even if his buyout meant adding a $1.5MM penalty for each of the next four years. Now, the question is whether he can bounce back from a disappointing tenure in Calgary? And will any team even give him that chance?

Potential Suitors

If the offense is really gone from Brouwer’s game, then he is more of your typical fourth-line grinder at this point in his career. He still plays a very solid short-handed game, has always had a knack for stripping the puck, and can check and win battles along the boards with the best. Brouwer has even been known to excel at the occasional face-off in the past. In an energy role where he would be specifically tasked with bothering the opposition and focused more on preventing goals than scoring them, Brouwer could still thrive, maybe even for a few years.

A versatile, two-way right winger could be in demand with several squads. Especially given the fact that Brouwer’s buyout payments should drive the price of his next contract down, he could be a good value pick up for whichever team lands him. The Colorado Avalanche may be the best fit for Brouwer. The Avs’ forward corps is very young and not very deep in two-way players. The roster is also completely devoid of natural right wingers. The veteran grinder could also serve as a good mentor to young Avalanche forward A.J. Greer. There is a clear fit for Brouwer on the Colorado roster more so than any other team in the league.

The Buffalo Sabres also stick out as a prime candidate to give Brouwer a shot. The team’s off-season indicates that they are all-in and looking to do more than just rebuild this season. While the Sabres are actually deep up front, they lack many players that fit nicely into a fourth-line, penalty-killing role. They also don’t have many right-shot players who are true two-way assets. Brouwer could fill that niche role. However, Brouwer would have to win a job against one of Buffalo’s younger fringe forwards.

Don’t rule out a return to the Chicago Blackhawks either. The team has shown a tendency to be interested in former players and with the likes of Matthew Highmore, John Hayden, and Jacob Nilsson currently penciled in to compete for jobs on the right side, there is a lot of reason to think that Brouwer could make a difference in Chicago. The team does have Marcus Kruger back and signed Chris Kunitz, but Brouwer on that line would make for an intriguing veteran shutdown unit.

Projected Contract

Despite some good hypothetical landing spots, the reality is that if there was demand for Brouwer, he would have signed by now. Some expected the veteran forward to be scooped up off the market as soon as he was bought out, but the interest just hasn’t developed. There is no reason to think that it suddenly will either; grit and character are not exactly traits that teams scramble to replace after injuries or realize they desperately need in training camp. Brouwer could still end up with any number of NHL teams and can still be an effective two-way forward for multiple years. However, in all likelihood he will have to earn that next contract on a PTO . He may even be looking at a mid-season contract situation for a contender to add a locker room presence and depth defensive forward with experience like a Brian Gionta or Ryan Carter in recent years. That is the ceiling for Brouwer after a ruinous time in Calgary.

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