NHL Announces 2022 Draft Lottery Odds
With the conclusion of the 2022 regular season coming this afternoon after the Winnipeg Jets defeated the Seattle Kraken 4-3 in regulation, the entire league standings are finally settled, and so are the odds for the 2022 NHL Draft Lottery, which will take place on Tuesday, May 10th, at 6:30 pm ET. The odds, which increase in reverse order of the NHL standings, are as follows (link):
Montreal Canadiens – 18.5%
Arizona Coyotes – 13.5%
Seattle Kraken – 11.5%
Philadelphia Flyers – 9.5%
New Jersey Devils – 8.5%
Chicago Blackhawks* – 7.5%
Ottawa Senators – 6.5%
Detroit Red Wings – 6.0%
Buffalo Sabres – 5.0%
Anaheim Ducks – 3.5%
San Jose Sharks – 3.0%
Columbus Blue Jackets – 2.5%
New York Islanders – 2.0%
Winnipeg Jets – 1.5%
Vancouver Canucks – 0.5%
Vegas Golden Knights** – 0.5%
* As a result of the Seth Jones trade on July 23, 2021, Chicago will transfer their 2022 first-round pick to Columbus, unless it is a top-two pick, at which point they will transfer their 2023 first-round pick instead.
** As a result of the Jack Eichel trade on November 4, 2021, Vegas will transfer its 2022 first-round pick to Buffalo, unless it is a top-ten pick, at which point they will transfer their 2023 first-round pick instead.
As a reminder, the NHL announced changes to the rules for the operation of the draft lottery on March 23, 2021, which in effect limits the amount of spots certain teams may move up. Teams are not eligible to move up more than 10 spots in the lottery; so, only the eleven teams with the highest odds can receive the first-overall pick. For example, the San Jose Sharks have the potential to receive the first overall selection, however the Columbus Blue Jackets, who have the next-highest odds, cannot select any higher than second overall. In previous years, any team in the lottery was eligible to move up to the first, second, or third position.
Another change to the lottery this year will be that only two teams will be chosen in the lottery, unlike previous years when three were selected. Then, like previous years, the remaining teams will be awarded their selection in reverse order of the NHL standings. This change means that a team with the highest odds, this year Montreal, will be guaranteed a top-three selection, whereas they could drop to as low as fourth in previous lotteries.
Although the odds drop off steeply as the list goes on, the lottery is still worth paying attention to for fans of the lower teams. Sure, Montreal is much more likely to win one of the two lotteries than the Islanders or Jets, however previous teams with poor odds have prevailed, most notably including the 2017 Flyers and 2020 Rangers.
Del Zotto, Dries, Petan All Clear Waivers
All three players placed on waivers yesterday, Michael Del Zotto (OTT), Sheldon Dries (VAN), and Nic Petan (VAN), cleared waivers today and can be assigned to their respective AHL clubs (link). Though these three do not belong to playoff teams in the NHL, their being sent to the AHL is not necessarily insignificant, as both the Belleville Senators and the Abbotsford Canucks, the AHL affiliates of the Ottawa Senators and Vancouver Canucks, respectively, have made the AHL’s Calder Cup playoffs.
On Del Zotto, Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia says that even though Del Zotto cleared and could join Belleville, it’s not entirely clear if he will actually join the team (link). A veteran of 736 NHL games, the 31-year-old Del Zotto has been an NHL regular since his rookie season in 2009-10 with the New York Rangers, last seeing AHL time in 2010-11. This season, however, has been a different story. Del Zotto managed only 26 games with the struggling Ottawa Senators, though when he was in the lineup, he impressed, posting 13 points in those 26 games. The defenseman did see his first AHL action in over a decade as well, dressing in as many games (26), but had an impeccable 27 points for Belleville. Having Del Zotto suit up for Belleville to help their run would not only benefit Belleville of course, but would help Ottawa as well, with Del Zotto providing a major boost to a team full of young, future Ottawa Senators getting experience with meaningful professional playoff games.
Much of the same sentiment can be placed on Petan and Dries, who also made contributions to the NHL team this season, but could provide a major impact in the Calder Cup playoffs. Petan played in 18 games this season for Vancouver, recording just two assists, but was a star in the AHL, where he had 12 goals and 32 assists in just 37 games. Dries, like Petan, suited up in a few games with Vancouver (11), recording two goals and an assist, but was a critical piece in Abbotsford’s playoff berth, scoring an impressive 35 goals and 27 assists in only 54 games.
Notably, because these three players were in the AHL in some capacity, even if just on paper as in Petan’s case, on March 21st, the NHL’s trade deadline, they are all eligible to participate in the AHL playoffs.
Playoff Injury Notes: Penguins, Wild, Nurse
The Pittsburgh Penguins announced, per Head Coach Mike Sullivan, that forward Jason Zucker and goaltender Tristan Jarry have been updated as day-to-day, though they are not expected to play in at least the next couple of games (link). Having the two players come back into the lineup would be a major step for Pittsburgh, with Zucker increasing their forward and scoring depth, a crucial key to playoff success, and Jarry of course being their number one goaltender. Though it appears neither will be able to go for the Penguins in Game 1 or 2 in New York against the Rangers, they could look to Game 3 at home on Saturday night as a return for the pair.
Zucker has dealt with his share of injuries this season, ultimately playing in just 41 of the Penguins 82 games this season, recording 17 points in the process. The veteran forward had been playing down the stretch for Pittsburgh, but was injured early in Tuesday’s game against the Edmonton Oilers and has not played since. Jarry had been having a stellar season in net for the Penguins, posting a 2.42 goals-against average and .919 save-percentage, however he was declared week-to-week on April 16th after last playing April 14th against the New York Islanders, a game in which he did play the full 60 minutes.
- The Minnesota Wild could be due to get a couple of key pieces in the lineup in time for their playoff series against the St. Louis Blues. As The Athletic’s Michael Russo reports, both Mats Zuccarello and Marcus Foligno practiced this morning for the Wild (link). Zuccarello has done well to stay healthy for a majority of this season, however he has not played since April 22nd after suffering a lower-body injury. Foligno on the other hand was only injured on Friday night against the Colorado Avalanche, the Wild’s final game of the season. As encouraging as the news is, the Wild have not confirmed whether either player will be available for Game 1 on Monday night. Having both players in the lineup is crucial for the Wild, as both earned career-highs in points this season, with Zuccarello ranking third on the team in points and Foligno considered one of the better two-way players in the sport.
- According to Sportsnet’s Mark Spector, Edmonton Oiler’s defenseman Darnell Nurse was on the ice practicing this morning (link). The star defenseman had been injured in the Oilers April 22nd game against the Colorado Avalanche and has not played since. This news is definitely encouraging for Edmonton, but according to Derek Van Diest of Postmedia, Nurse was still non-committal about whether or not he’d play in Game 1 Monday night (link). While much of the attention in Edmonton goes to Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, and for good reason, Nurse is an essential component for the Oilers, logging 25 minutes per night on the backend, contributing shutdown defense to go along with quality offensive production.
East Notes: Ekblad, Ovechkin, Maple Leafs
Most people have forgotten that despite the Florida Panthers’ torrid pace over the past few months, defenseman Aaron Ekblad has been rehabbing a lower-body injury for about the past six weeks. Team head coach Andrew Brunette said today that Ekblad was a full participant in today’s practice and that the team remains hopeful he returns at some point during the First Round series against the Washington Capitals. There’s even a possibility Ekblad is ready to go for Game 1 on Tuesday night if all goes smoothly for him.
It’s likely just adding insult to injury at this point for Washington, who’ll now have to face the Presidents’ Trophy winner and the hottest team in the East with another added All-Star component in the lineup. Ekblad was playing nearly 25 minutes per game prior to his injury, notching 57 points in 61 games, which still has him at ninth in the NHL among defensemen despite the injury. He’ll slide right back into a nightmare top pairing for opponents with MacKenzie Weegar, who’s flourished in the no. 1 defenseman role since Ekblad’s injury.
- Alex Ovechkin was a full participant at Capitals practice today, and AP’s Stephen Whyno reports it’s looking like he’ll dress for Game 1 against the Panthers. This is obviously an indescribable boost to Washington’s chances in this series, as they’ll need everyone firing on all cylinders in order to pull off one of the largest possible upsets in these playoffs. His 50 goals leads the time by a wide margin, and it looks like he’ll get a chance to add to his 71 career playoff goals and 135 career playoff points.
- The Toronto Maple Leafs got some mixed injury news at practice today. Ondrej Kase, who hasn’t played in six weeks, was a full participant in practice today and it appears he’ll be in the lineup for Game 1 tomorrow against the Tampa Bay Lightning. However, while Michael Bunting practiced for the first time since sustaining an injury against Tampa last week, he wasn’t a full participant and left practice halfway through. He’s extremely doubtful for Game 1.
Chicago Blackhawks Part Ways With Marc Crawford, Rob Cookson
The Chicago Blackhawks have informed associate coach Marc Crawford and assistant coach Rob Cookson that they won’t be returning to the team next season. The Blackhawks released the following statement announcing the news:
The Chicago Blackhawks can confirm that Associate Coach Marc Crawford and Assistant Coach Rob Cookson were informed that they will not be returning to the organization next season. They have each made significant contributions to our club and we appreciate their dedication. We wish them the best in their future endeavors.
Crawford, a long-time former head coach at the NHL level, joined Chicago prior to the 2019-20 campaign after briefly serving as the interim head coach of the Ottawa Senators. He was promoted from assistant to associate coach on November 17th, 2021, when the Blackhawks fired head coach Jeremy Colliton along with two assistants. Crawford has been active as a coach since 1988 and could look to join his seventh NHL team this offseason.
Cookson worked with Crawford in Ottawa, and he was hired mid-season to replace Crawford as an assistant when Crawford was promoted. He had spent the previous two seasons working as an assistant coach with HC Lugano in the Swiss National League. Cookson has extensive experience working as a video and assistant coach in the NHL, spending nine seasons with Calgary from 2001-2011.
Chicago did not announce replacements for either Crawford or Cookson.
Senators Notes: Free Agents, World Championships, Brown, Sanderson
Ottawa Senators general manager Pierre Dorion spoke to reporters today during his end-of-season availability, stating that forwards Chris Tierney and Tyler Ennis won’t be extended and defenseman Victor Mete won’t be issued a qualifying offer. The news doesn’t come as much of a surprise as the team likely looks to be a little more aggressive in free agency, pursuing bigger talents to help push a budding young core into playoff contention.
Tierney had just 18 points in 70 games this season, a career-low. Ennis was much more productive in an even more limited role, notching 24 points in 57 games. He should continue to find a home next season to provide solid depth scoring. Mete only appeared in 37 games this season, oftentimes a healthy scratch.
- Dorion also announced that forwards Austin Watson and Adam Gaudette will make the trip to Finland to represent the United States at the 2022 World Championships, joining teammate Tim Stutzle who will be with Germany. Gaudette had just 14 points in 58 games this year, a far cry from his 33-point year in 59 games a few seasons back. Watson, known for his grit rather than his scoring, ended up with more points, tallying 16 in 67 games.
- Forward Connor Brown was dealing with not one but two wrist injuries by the time the season ended. That didn’t stop him much, though, as he still tallied a respectable 39 points in 64 games as he battled through injury at various points this season. He’s done nothing but score consistently since joining the Senators, tallying 117 points in 191 games over three seasons so far.
- Promising defense prospect Jake Sanderson re-injured his hand this week, but Dorion says he’ll be ready for training camp. Dorion notes Sanderson will participate in development camp over the summer, while forward Shane Pinto, who was injured most of this season, will join him at rookie camp.
AHL Shuffle: 05/01/22
Most teams today are wrapping up the usual end-of-season processes, whether that means cleaning out lockers or prepping for playoff series. There is one game on the schedule today though, a matchup between the Seattle Kraken and Winnipeg Jets that was postponed weeks ago due to inclement weather in Winnipeg. Today, teams will continue to adjust their rosters, recalling possible Black Aces for an NHL playoff run or sending down eligible players to their AHL affiliates for the impending Calder Cup playoffs.
Atlantic Division
- After a 10-2 drubbing at the hands of the league-worst Montreal Canadiens, the Florida Panthers are returning some youngsters back to the Charlotte Checkers for their Calder Cup playoff run. The team announced they’ve loaned forwards Aleksi Heponiemi, Cole Schwindt, and defenseman Matt Kiersted back to the AHL. All three players dressed for that fateful game as Florida opted to rest all of their stars and some other NHL depth as well to protect against injury.
Metropolitan Division
- A bit of a cult hero is rejoining the Washington Capitals for their playoff run as their third-string netminder. The team recalled goalie Zachary Fucale from the Hershey Bears today after he started four games previously this season, even earning a shutout in his first NHL game. While unlikely, if injury strikes again in the crease for Washington as it did during the playoffs last year, the former highly-touted prospect will be next in line behind Ilya Samsonov and Vitek Vanecek and could see his first taste of playoff action.
Central Division
Pacific Division
- The Edmonton Oilers have recalled goaltender Olivier Rodrigue from Bakersfield of the AHL to serve as goaltending depth for the playoffs. Stuart Skinner is their third-string option but they’ve elected to keep him with the Condors for the AHL postseason. Rodrigue split this season between Bakersfield and ECHL Wichita, posting save percentages of .886 and .907 respectively.
This page will be updated throughout the day.
Morning Notes: Barzal, Sabres, Yelesin
After the now-infamous departure of John Tavares from the New York Islanders via free agency, all eyes on Long Island turned to promising young center Mathew Barzal to fill the void and lead the team’s offense to continued success. Needless to say, he’s succeeded, notching 311 points in 362 games so far in his young career. This season is the first time the team won’t win a playoff round since Barzal took over the no. 1 center role, and it’ll also be the first time they won’t make the playoffs at all.
As all eyes turn toward the future, though, fans will notice Barzal has one season left on his three-year, $21MM bridge deal he signed prior to 2020-21. With him once again being a restricted free agent, Barzal left the door open on a long-term extension after exit interviews, via James Nichols of The Fourth Period. While he’s yet to replicate his 85-point rookie season, he’s still chugged along at a 60+ point pace every season since then. Knowing general manager Lou Lamoriello, a long-term extension is likely something he’s interested in as well. But it’s unclear how much Barzal’s cap hit will change, considering the lack of significant offensive development during his bridge deal – does he still project to hit the 80-90 point plateau again, or is he an extremely strong no. 2 center on a Cup winner as his recent point totals suggest?
- A report out of Sweden via HockeyNews.se today says that Buffalo Sabres forward Rasmus Asplund plans to join the team for the upcoming 2022 IIHF World Championship. Asplund played in 80 out of 82 games this season in Buffalo, setting new career highs with eight goals, 19 assists, and 27 points. He also took leaps and bounds defensively this season, showing signs he can develop into a true shutdown forward for the Sabres. Defenseman Henri Jokiharju also announced he’ll be joining Finland at the same tournament.
- A former Calgary Flames prospect is staying in Russia for two more seasons. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl of the KHL announced today they’ve reached a two-year extension with defenseman Alexander Yelesin, who appeared in four games with the Flames during 2019-20, recording no points. An undrafted free agent, the defensive defenseman played just two seasons in North America before the Flames opted to leave him unsigned. The team still retains his rights if he ever decides to return to the NHL, but that won’t come until 2024-25 at the soonest when he’ll be 28 years old.
Anton Stralman Hopes To Continue Playing, Open To Arizona Reunion
In talking with Jose Romero of Arizona Central Sports, Arizona Coyotes defenseman Anton Stralman emphasized his desire to continue playing, adding that he is open to returning to the Coyotes (link). Stralman, who just finished the final year of a three-year, $16.5MM contract that he signed with the Florida Panthers prior to the 2019-20 season, was traded this past offseason to Arizona in what amounted to a salary cap dump, with Arizona also receiving a second-round pick and prospect Vladislav Kolyachonok in exchange for just a seventh-round pick.
The veteran defenseman told Romero that he came to the Coyotes hoping to prove he could still play in the NHL, and he believes he did that this season. It would be hard to disagree with Stralman’s assessment of his season, as the 35-year-old turned in a 23 point campaign over 74 games, the most points he has had since 2015-16, combining that with steady defense and veteran leadership on a young and rebuilding Coyotes team. He may not be the player he was when he helped lead the New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning in consistently deep playoff runs between 2012 and 2018, but Stralman has shown this season that he still has something to offer.
As a free agent for the first time since 2019, it’s hard to say what Stralman’s next contract could look like, or what kind of team would pursue him. It’s unlikely he would get more than a year or two max given his age and recent decline, however given his presumptive affordability, Stralman could parlay his free agency into an inexpensive contract with a team looking for depth and leadership as it pursues a Stanley Cup. On the other hand, Stralman could maximize his potential, signing with a team that is looking for leadership for its young players as they rebuild, trying also to hit the salary cap floor, such as a reunion with Arizona.
As for Arizona, it’s not insignificant that Stralman would want to return. The Coyotes are slated to play their home games at Arizona State University next season in a much smaller arena, not necessarily desirable for NHL play. Having a veteran like Stralman, who also has the option to retire or perhaps chase a Stanley Cup, express desire to stay with the team through an uncertain time, in an odd situation, and during a rebuild, speaks to the upsides of the organization from a player’s perspective.
Sharks Notes: Meier, Couture, Hill, Karlsson
Recently, Corey Masisak of The Athletic had a chance to sit down with many of the San Jose Sharks players to tie up loose ends on their status heading into yet another offseason without a playoff berth for the Sharks. In talking to Masisak, forward Timo Meier said that he hasn’t thought about a contract extension yet, but that it was something he would think about over the summer (link). For now, Meier says, his primary focus is on the upcoming World Championships, where he will represent Switzerland. The Sharks’ star has one more year remaining on a four-year, $24MM contract, which will leave him as a RFA heading into the 2023 offseason.
Meier signed his last contract after a stellar 30 goal, 36 assist, and 78 game campaign in 2018-19, the last of his entry-level contract. After that, Meier failed to reach the same level of production until this year, when the forward had 35 goals and 41 assists in 77 games. With the bounce-back, Meier could expect not only to receive a similar AAV on his next contract, but could even be due a raise. If he chooses to hold-off on an extension, and can continue the production into next season, he would surely be due a significant raise. One notable question heading into these negotiations will be whether Meier chooses to pursue a bridge deal that will take him straight into UFA status, or if he would prefer a long-term extension at or close to the eight-year maximum.
- Forward Logan Couture says he does not plan to play at the World Championships in order to rest (link). Further, the Sharks’ captain said he is not entertaining any offers to play elsewhere and has not made that request himself, and in fact, he would prefer to finish his career with the Sharks. While his team has fallen on tough times and has entered a mini-rebuild, Couture’s career might seem to mirror one of down-state rival Dustin Brown, who saw plenty of success with the Kings early in his career, then endured a rebuild with the Kings, and has now announced his retirement following this season, but not before seeing his team through their first playoff series since 2017-18. Couture, who just turned 33, has had a storied run with San Jose and could very well prefer to see things through with the organization, with hopes of leading the team to a Stanley Cup down the road. Either way, Couture is signed for $8MM per season through 2026-27 with a modified no-trade clause.
- Goaltender Adin Hill, who dealt with injuries this season, does not expect to need surgery on his lingering lower-body injury (link). Instead, Hill said, the plan is to rest and rehab the injury to resolve it, and he expects to be ready for training camp. The goaltender was originally injured in a January 22nd loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning, but came back on March 12th, where he appeared to re-aggravate the injury, and has not played since. Hill did manage a strong season when healthy though, recording a .906 save-percentage and 2.66 goals-against average in 25 games.
- Defenseman Erik Karlsson declined to share what exactly the injury was that has kept him out of the lineup the final two weeks of the season, but did make clear that the injury was relatively minor and mentioned that had the Sharks been in contention, it may have even been something he would play through (link). The veteran has struggled with injury this season, missing nearly two months between January and March and last playing on April 14th. In other positive news regarding the injury, Karlsson did say he was unsure if he would be playing in the World Championships, however the fact that he is considering it in some capacity also goes to show the relative scope of the injury. In 50 games this season, the 31-year-old had 10 goals and 25 assists.