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Senators Notes: Stone, Russell, Seidenberg, Kelly, Vermette

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After it was first reported that young Senators forward Mark Stone suffered a concussion in training camp, his second in a six-month period, many were not optimistic about a speedy recovery. The phrases “no timetable” and “out indefinitely” seemed more likely to mean the injury was long-term than only minor. However, Bruce Garrioch of the Ottawa Sun reports today that GM Pierre Dorion actually expects Stone to be in the starting lineup on opening night on October 12th. If this prediction rings true, it will not be a very long absence for Stone after all, rather less than three weeks before he’s ready for game action. Whether this projection is accurate (or safe) is up for debate, but having Stone ready to start the season would be very lucky for Ottawa. The top-six winger is coming off of back-to-back 60+ point seasons, and is one of the best all-around players on the team. A day-to-day diagnosis was the best case scenario for Senators fans.

In other Ottawa news:

  • Garrioch also reports that Dorion informed him that he has stayed in touch with the agents for defensemen Kris Russell and Dennis Seidenberg. While the Senators have a solid top four on the blue line, their depth is lacking after that. Dorion wants to see how the preseason goes for the Sens defense, especially when it comes to the performance of Chris Wideman, Michael Kostka, and invite Matt Bartkowski, before he makes the decision to sign one of the veteran defensemen left on the market. Russell has been one of the big stories of the off-season, as many are surprised that he is still available, and he would be a perfect fit on any team’s bottom pair, while the Senators have faced the veteran Bruin Seidenberg for years and may be interested in bringing him in for his experience and leadership.
  • Ottawa has already brought in one former veteran member of the Boston Bruins, and former-Sen, in Chris Kelly. Don Brennan of the Ottawa Sun writes that Kelly may not be the strong two-way presence he once was, but brings a “maturity” and leadership that the Senators greatly needed. Kelly turned down an offer to return to the Bruins, coming off a season-ending injury in 2015-16, as he felt that his leadership ability made him a better fit on a young Senators squad than the veteran, captain-filled Bruins team.
  • Garrioch adds that, while Kelly was already in the fold, the Senators did reach out to Antoine Vermette when the experienced center became available late in the off-season. However, Dorion says that by the time he made contact, Vermette already felt comfortable with accepting the offer that the Anaheim Ducks had made him.

Mark Stone Suffers Concussion During Training Camp

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According to Ken Warren of the Ottawa Citizen, Mark Stone has suffered a concussion at training camp today. There is currently no timetable for his return.  Warren tweeted earlier that Stone had been replaced by Matt Puempel on a line with Kyle Turris and Mike Hoffman during drills, before eventually relating the news of the head injury.

This is troubling news for the Senators, as brain injuries can take a long time to heal, as they’ve experienced with Clarke MacArthur in recent seasons. Just in April, Stone had to leave a game after taking a huge hit from Winnipeg’s Dustin Byfuglien and underwent concussion testing. He was lucky that time to have no lasting effects, and hopefully he can avoid any long-term damage once again.

Stone has been a revelation for the Senators since selecting him in the sixth round of the 2010 draft. Runner-up for the Calder trophy in 2014-15, he’s now a back-to-back 20+ goal scorer and is still just 24-years old. His 125 points in his first two full seasons puts him on an elite-pace, something that may be disrupted by this new injury.

Snapshots: Lazar, Panthers, Andersen

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As the season quickly approaches, even a few days off could set a player back substantially in his training, and with it knock the first part of his season out of rhythm. Curtis Lazar, the Ottawa Senators’ youngster who was set to enter his third NHL season at just 21-years old, has come down with a bout of mononucleosis and will be out indefinitely, reports Bruce Garrioch of the Ottawa Citizen.

The former first-round pick was set to play on Ottawa’s third line and build on his solid two-way game. Last season saw Lazar contribute 20 points, and while he’s not expected to win any scoring titles, this is a player who put up 41 goals in his final season of junior and made the NHL as a 19-year old.

Snapshots: Canes, Hertl, Fleischmann, Gagne

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The Carolina Hurricanes have not qualified for the playoffs since the 2008-09 season but hope to change that this year. As Chip Alexander of The News & Observer reports, the team’s chances of breaking their seven year playoff drought will rely heavily on a talented, albeit young, group of players. Jeff Skinner, Victor Rask, Teuvo Teravainen, Justin Faulk, Brett Pesce, Noah Hanifin and Ryan Murphy are set to see a lot of ice for the Canes and none are over the age of 24.

One of the squad’s few experienced players, Lee Stempniak, a veteran of 11 NHL seasons, says he has never been part of a team with so many youngsters expected to fill important roles:

“Not really, not with young guys playing this prominent of a role, especially the defensemen. It’s young. I think it’s a team with a lot of potential. I think a lot of the success for our team is going to be harnessing our potential. Guys need to take the next step individually and the new guys coming in need to fit in and complement the players who are here and find a role.”

If anyone would know, it would be Stempniak, who has suited up for 10 different clubs during his career, including four over the last two campaigns. He hopes his stay in Carolina is a bit longer after singing a two-year deal worth $5MM this summer.

Of course young teams are inherently inexperienced and some might feel that factor could derail Carolina’s chances of a successful campaign. Not so, says another of the team’s elders, defenseman Ron Hainsey, who at 35 will is 11 years the senior of the second oldest regular blue liner, Justin Faulk:

“This is a young man’s league. I don’t think it’s a danger. Speed, skill is the name of the game.”

Despite the talent and skill, Carolina’s path to a playoff berth will not be an easy one. The Metro Division fielded five postseason qualifiers in 2015-16 while the Hurricanes finished 10 points behind the eighth-seeded Philadelphia Flyers.

Another factor which may work against the Canes is their goaltending. Carolina ranked 29th among 30 teams in save percentage but did nothing this offseason to upgrade the position. In fact, the team elected to re-sign longtime netminder Cam Ward to a new, two-year contract; a deal many pundits thought was curious.

Elsewhere in the NHL:

  • Positive news in San Jose where Tomas Hertl skated today at the Sharks first training camp workout and showed no lingering ill effects from the MCL injury he suffered during the Stanley Cup Finals, reports Curtis Pashelka of The Mercury News. Hertl finished fifth on the club in scoring with 46 points during the regular season and contributed another 11 in the postseason. According to Pashelka, Hertl is preparing to play either center or wing though today he skated as the pivot between Joel Ward and Nikolay Goldobin. Hertl skipped the World Cup, electing not to represent the Czech Republic in the tournament in order to further rehab his knee injury. It appears the extra rest may have helped as Hertl looks to be on track to open the season at 100%.
  • Tomas Fleischmann, who was set to appear at camp with the Minnesota Wild, has apparently failed his physical, according to Mike Russo via Twitter. Russo is unsure if that would be the end of Fleischmann’s brief time with Minnesota or not. Fleischmann was again attempting to catch on with a club after being forced to accept a PTO offer rather than a guaranteed contract. Last year he earned a one-year deal with Montreal in training camp and would record 10 goals and 20 points in 57 games with the Canadiens. He was dealt to Chicago at the trade deadline with Dale Weise and would tally another four goals and five points for the Blackhawks.
  • The Ottawa Senators announced via their team Twitter account that they have signed forward Gabriel Gagne to an ELC. Gagne was the Sens second-round pick in 2015, going 36th overall. He split last season between Victoria and Shawinigan of the QMJHL and combined to register 36 points in 42 regular season contests. Gagne was even better in the postseason, tallying 22 points in 21 games.

 

Compelling RFA Cases For 2017: Wennberg, DeHaan, Zibanejad

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Jacob Trouba, Johnny Gaudreau and Nikita Kucherov highlight a strong and deep group of restricted free agents that remain unsigned at the moment. While they will each ultimately cash in and receive substantial contracts for the 2016-17 campaign and likely beyond, their status as restricted free agents has certainly complicated their respective negotiation processes.

Next summer, another quality group of players are set to hit restricted free agency, unless they can agree to terms on a new deal prior to the 2017-18 league year. In a series of posts, Pro Hockey Rumors will profile the top pending 2017 RFAs and examine what kind of contract they could elicit assuming they put up a strong performance during their platform year. Today we continue in the Metro.

Alexander Wennberg (Columbus) – Wennberg was the Blue Jackets first-round pick in 2013, selected 14th overall. He debuted in the NHL during the 2014-15 season and finished with 20 points in 68 contests. He bumped his production up significantly in year two, recording 40 points in 69 games and flashing top-six potential.

Wennberg is more playmaker than goal scorer as his career 4-to-1 assist-to-goal ratio suggests. Washington’s Marcus Johansson posted similar career numbers through the expiration of his ELC with 33 goals and 62 assists in 183 contests; good for a points-per-game rate of 0.52. Johansson would sign a two-year contract worth $4MM total following the 2012-13 campaign.

The career production numbers between the two pivots should look similar given Wennberg tallies 40-plus points in close to a full slate of games in 2016-17 and would therefore be looking at a bridge deal right around the $2MM mark annually. Given Johansson’s second contract will be four years old, inflation could take that figure closer to $2.5MM per year. A longer term would appear unlikely as the Jackets will still have several inflated contracts on the books, including those of Scott Hartnell, Nick Foligno, Jack Johnson and Brandon Dubinsky.

Calvin de Haan (New York Islanders) – Now 25, de Haan is now at the age many defensemen peak in terms of production. Originally the 12th overall selection in the 2009 draft, de Haan has already established himself as one of the Islanders best defenders and will once again fill a spot in the club’s top-four. If he can stay healthy for a full slate of games and perhaps contribute a touch more in the offensive end, de Haan could set himself up for a nice raise on the $1.97MM AAV his current contract calls for.

Teammate Travis Hamonic, drafted by the Islanders in the second-round in 2008, is a bit more prolific offensively but should help us gauge de Haan’s potential value as a top-four defender. Upon the expiration of his ELC, Hamonic signed a seven-year, $27MM deal with an AAV of $3.857MM. By that time, Hamonic was already averaging better than 22 minutes of ice time and 0.33 points-per-game. If the two parties explore a long-term arrangement, it’s likely de Haan can point to Hamonic’s deal as a comparable.

Mika Zibanejad (New York Rangers) – As part of their overall team commitment to get younger and quicker this summer, the Rangers acquired the 23-year-old pivot from Ottawa in exchange for fellow center, Derick Brassard. Zibanejad, the Senators first-round pick in 2011, sixth overall, has steadily improved his offensive production since debuting as a regular during the strike-shortened 2012-13 campaign. Last season was Zibanejad’s best, with the Swede compiling 21 goals and 51 points in 81 contests.

A player with a similar pedigree, former high first-round choice and relatively consistent point-producer, Nazem Kadri, inked a six-year extension worth $27MM in April and that deal should serve as a reasonable target for Zibanejad. Kadri has averaged 0.59 points-per-game over the three seasons prior to his extension – 134 points in 227 games. Zibanejad, meanwhile, has averaged 0.57 points-per-contest the last three years – 130 points in 230 games.

Zibanejad is entering the final season of the two-year bridge deal he signed with Ottawa, paying the five-year veteran $2.625MM per season. A repeat of his 2015-16 performance this upcoming season should give Zibanejad a good chance to match the level of Kadri’s extension. But, if Kadri takes the next step in his development and makes a push for the 60-point threshold, he could see his value escalate to $5MM and up per season.

2016-17 NHL Over/Unders

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After giving us their opening Stanley Cup odds last week, Las Vegas odds-maker Bovada was back at it again today, releasing their over/under for each NHL team’s total points in the upcoming season. Not included on the list (below) are the Dallas Stars, who were left off the board by the odds-makers until more information is available regarding the injury to Tyler Seguin. The Stars are an unpredictable pick at this point regardless, as both Seguin and Jamie Benn are banged up, Valeri Nichushkin is suddenly gone, and the defense is still a risk following the departure of three starters.

While the points projections generally mirror the Stanley Cup odds, Bovada has certainly predicted some interesting scenarios. Despite having the highest Cup odds in the East, the Penguins are again expected to finish behind the Capitals in the Metropolitan Division. On second thought though, a slow start to the regular season for the defending champs would not be much of a surprise, nor would another postseason collapse for Washington. Elsewhere in the division, the Islanders and Rangers are projected to be in a dead heat for that final divisional seed, with the loser slipping into a wild card spot. Staying in the East, they see the Canadiens and a healthy Carey Price skyrocketing from their 82 point finish a year ago to 96.5 points in 2016-17, with the Detroit Red Wings and Ottawa Senators taking a corresponding dip in the standings. Out West, the battles atop each division promise to be similarly tight as they were last season, but the projected jump by Calgary and Edmonton of 10+ points from bottom dwellers to playoff contenders may be a story to watch. The good news for Vancouver Canucks fans is that they’re expected to finish with more points this season than last. The bad news? It will be good enough for last place in the league.

The easiest over to take out of this group is likely the St. Louis Blues. Although they lost captain David Backes and have to see if Jake Allen can handle his bigger workload in net, the Blues are set at 101.5 points, a mark they have beaten easily in each of the past three seasons. The Ottawa Senators are another good over, as they have hardly changed their roster this summer and finished with 85 points last year and more than that the two years prior. Their 80.5 line seems unwarranted unless you believe the rest of the Atlantic Division is in for a big year. That seems unlikely, especially when it comes to the aforementioned Canadiens, who are an easy under. Yes, the loss of Price for much of 2015-16 hurt the Canadiens, but they also had a lot of trouble scoring goals as well. The effects of the trade-off between P.K. Subban and Lars Eller for Shea Weber, Andrew Shaw, and Alexander Radulov have yet to be seen, but one would think that it’s not enough to justify a 14 or 15 point increase in points. The Oilers, somewhat obviously, are also a good choice for an under. If this many seasons of “this is the year” followed by a lottery pick haven’t tempered your expectations of Edmonton yet, nothing will. Even if they do finally improve in 2016-17, will it really be to a high-80’s point total? Doubtful.

Washington Capitals      107.5 points

Tampa Bay Lightning     106.5 points

Pittsburgh Penguins       103.5 points

Chicago Blackhawks       102.5 points

St. Louis Blues                 101.5 points

San Jose Sharks              100.5 points

Los Angeles Kings            99.5 points

Anaheim Ducks                98.5 points

Florida Panthers              98.5 points

Nashville Predators         98.5 points

Montreal Canadiens        96.5 points

New York Islanders         95.5 points

New York Rangers           95.5 points

Minnesota Wild                94.5 points

Boston Bruins                   92.5 points

Detroit Red Wings           90.5 points

Philadelphia Flyers         89.5 points

Calgary Flames                87.5 points

Edmonton Oilers             87.5 points

Winnipeg Jets                  87.5 points

Colorado Avalanche        86.5 points

Columbus Blue Jackets   84.5 points

Buffalo Sabres                  83.5 points

New Jersey Devils           82.5 points

Ottawa Senators              80.5 points

Toronto Maple Leafs      80.5 points

Carolina Hurricanes       78.5 points

Arizona Coyotes              76.5 points 

Vancouver Canucks        76.5 points

Snapshots: Morrow, Cervenka, Outdoor Games, Jordan

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Boston’s decision to focus more on youth on their back end this offseason has given defenseman Joe Morrow the best opportunity he has had to make an impact on the Bruins, writes CSN New England’s Joe Haggerty.  Haggerty adds that the commitment to getting younger was a factor in their decision to buy out Dennis Seidenberg back in June.

Morrow was acquired by the Bruins as part of the Tyler Seguin trade two summers ago and is the only player acquired in the deal that is still with Boston today.  He played in a career high 33 games last season (recording seven points) but still spent considerable time as a healthy scratch.

Despite being just 23, Morrow is in his third organization and this could potentially be his last chance with Boston.  He’s eligible for waivers if they try to send him down and if he fails to take a step forward into more of a regular role with the team, it’s plausible to think that they’ll be inclined to try someone else in his place before too long.

Elsewhere around the hockey world:

  • Former Calgary Flame Roman Cervenka is open to returning to the NHL next season, notes Eric Francis of the Calgary Sun. The 30 year old was lured out of the KHL in the lockout-shortened 2012-13 season but didn’t live up to expectations, recording 17 points and a -13 rating in 39 games.  The following offseason, Cervenka signed back in Russia and has since moved on to the Czech League (where he led the league in scoring last season) and the Swiss NLA this season where he is playing on a one year deal.  Cervenka acknowledged to Francis that his age and struggles with the English language could make a return for 2017-18 much more of a challenge.  A strong season in Switzerland could get him back on the NHL radar and add to an international free agent class that is expected to feature Russian forwards Evgeni Dadonov and Vadim Shipachev.
  • The Senators remain interested in hosting a Heritage Classic game in December of 2017 but aren’t interested at this time in looking at TD Place (a football stadium) as a backup plan to their goal to host the game on Parliament Hill, reports Bruce Garrioch of the Ottawa Sun. The Sens met with government officials last month and have also been in consultation with the league on the logistics of building a temporary rink on the Hill.  The game projects to be part of Canada’s 150th birthday celebrations while it would also line up with Ottawa’s 25th anniversary of returning to the NHL.  It’s believed that their preference for an opponent should they land the outdoor game is the Montreal Canadiens.
  • UFA defenseman Michal Jordan has received multiple two-way contract offers including one from Carolina, tweets NHL.com’s Tom Gulitti.  However, Jordan isn’t interested in a two-way deal at this stage of his career.  The 26 year old played in 36 games with Carolina last season and has a total of 79 NHL games under his belt over the last three seasons, all with the Hurricanes.  Jordan is currently suiting up for the Czech Republic at the World Cup of Hockey.

Atlantic Notes: Marner, Red Wings Trades, Bruins Rookies

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Mitch Marner is ready for the spotlight of Toronto hockey writes Sportsnet’s Michael Grange. The fourth overall pick from the 2014 NHL Draft is ready to prove he belongs in Toronto as he attends his third prospect camp since being selected by the Leafs. Marner has played well with the Ontario Hockey League’s London Knights, registering 59 points (13-46) in 2013-14, 126 points (44-82) in 2014-15,  and 116 points (39-77) in 2015-16. His monstrous production over the past two seasons has the Leafs’ brass attention and Grange writes that should he produce the wizardry he did in London, he’ll absolutely be playing in Toronto this fall. During the Leafs 2-1 victory over the Senators Friday night during the Leafs Rookie Tournament, Marner played well in the Leafs 2-1 victory over the Senators, and also demonstrated some physicality in the Leafs’ win.

In other Atlantic Division notes:

  • Puck Daddy’s Ryan Lambert writes that the Red Wings lack of trades indicate some deeper issues in Hockeytown. The Wings wanted to move Jimmy Howard but failed to do so. They are trying to acquire a top four defenseman but haven’t been able to do that either. Lambert reports that the problem is all the money tied up in older veterans like Henrik Zetterberg and goes as far to say that the Red Wings made a number of poor contract choices this summer. This has been levied by many analysts regarding general manager Ken Holland’s decisions and has contributed to the Red Wings current situation of cap hell. Lambert further writes that the forward core had its struggles last season and that the defense is leaky. Lambert sees the Wings not making any trades due to this situation–unless they find themselves on the outside looking in at the trade deadline. And at that point, the Wings may be sacrificing the future for another playoff run that may end as quickly as the last three have.
  • Joe Haggerty reports via CSNNE that a number of Bruins’ rookies have a real shot at cracking the Bruins roster this fall. Haggerty quotes Boston general manager Don Sweeney as saying that the “door is wide open” for younger players to make their mark. Brandon Carlo, Jakub Zboril and Jeremy Lauzon are three players to watch, and Haggerty says that Carlo has the inside track to make the team out of camp. He does believe that some extra time in the AHL may be a more realistic start for Carlo. Danton Heinen and Jake DeBrusk are also other young Bruins to watch as the Bruins start their analysis of their young talent.

Snapshots: Robidas, Bartkowski, Zuccarello

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It appears the playing career of defenseman Stephane Robidas is over but that doesn’t mean he’s leaving the sport of hockey altogether, according to Lance Hornby in the Toronto Sun. The veteran of 15 NHL seasons injured his leg during training camp last year and is still unable to resume any hockey-related activities. But while he can’t suit up for the Maple Leafs, Robidas will still be able to contribute to the organization in his new role as a consultant.

Robidas, in the final year of a three-year 35+ deal with an AAV of $3MM, says he will be based in Montreal and work with the Toronto Marlies and scout some NCAA games. While not technically retiring – he will be placed on IR by the team thus negating his cap charge – Robidas concludes his NHL career with 258 point and 713 penalty minutes in 937 NHL games.

Elsewhere around the NHL:

  • The Ottawa Senators announced via the team’s website that they have signed defenseman Matt Bartkowski to a PTO agreement. Bartkowski, who has appeared in parts of six NHL campaigns, five with the Bruins, saw action in a career-high 80 games last season with Vancouver. He tallied a career-best six goals – ironically the first goals of his NHL career – and tied his career-high with 18 points. Bartkowski, a left defender, will likely compete with Mark Borowiecki for a spot on the third pair. Borowiecki, coming off he season in which he netted just two points and averaged just 14:38 of ice time, could be vulnerable to a challenge for his job.
  • Due to cap restrictions and the desire to get younger, the New York Rangers have had to make some difficult roster decisions the last two summers. Among them were the decisions to deal winger Carl Hagelin and pivot Derick Brassard in back-to-back offseasons. Those trades were particularly tough on the team’s leading scorer in 2015-16, Mats Zuccarello, who saw both of his best friends shipped off to other organizations. While he understands that’s the nature of the business, he did have some advice for his teammates: “Don’t be friends with me. Or else you might be traded,” as Larry Brooks of the New York Post writes. All kidding aside, Zuccarello already feels in mid-season form due to his participation in both the Olympic qualifying tournament and the World Cup of Hockey. As Brooks notes, Zuccarello has already seen action in 10 games, helping Norway qualify for the 2018 Winter Olympics and skating with Team Europe in the World Cup. He is also looking forward to the new NHL season getting started and is excited by what management has done this summer.

Senators Still In Talks With Several Free Agents

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While Senators GM Pierre Dorion is pleased with the look of his team, he is still in talks with several unrestricted free agents, including both forwards and defensemen, writes Bruce Garrioch of the Ottawa Sun.  It has been speculated during the summer that Ottawa would likely be looking to add to their blueline depth; Dorion had the following to say about their defense corps heading into camp:

“On the back end, I’d like it to be a healthy competition for roster spots so either we’re still looking at bring someone on a PTO or, at this point in time, maybe something more depending on what players are looking for.”

Among the defensemen still available, Garrioch reports that the Sens have ‘kicked tires’ on both Kris Russell and Dennis Seidenberg.  At this stage, neither of them are interested in a tryout deal so for them to land one, they’d have to offer up a guaranteed contract.

[Related: Senators Depth Chart]

When asked about bringing in someone else via the trade route, Dorion wasn’t as optimistic that they’d get something done through that avenue:

“I can’t see us making any trades between now and training camp and even through camp. We owe it to a lot of the players that have trained hard to get ready as best as they can for camp so I can’t see us making any types of deals.

The Senators made one of the more notable trades of the offseason back in July, dealing Mika Zibanejad to the Rangers as part of a trade that yielded Derick Brassard in return.  Ottawa is also hopeful that Clarke MacArthur will be able to return to action after missing all but four games with concussion trouble.  Dorion noted that the team is still looking at adding a veteran up front into the mix for training camp:

“Depth forward, maybe somebody who has played games in the NHL, maybe someone looking for a PTO … That’s more the route we’re going to go as we’ve seen a lot of teams are doing lately.”

From the salary cap perspective, Ottawa has plenty of room to work with as they have just shy of $6MM according to Cap Friendly.  However, the Senators have been more of a budget team than a cap spender in recent years so it’s possible that their actual budgetary space is lower than that.

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