Trade Deadline Primer: Dallas Stars
With the Olympic break approaching, the trade deadline is about a month away. Where does each team stand, and what moves should they be looking to make? We begin our look around the league with teams that have clear plans at the extremes of the standings, next up with the Stars.
This season has been what you would expect from a roster as talented as Dallas’. Despite their success, they sit third in the very gifted Central Division and would face the Minnesota Wild in the first round if the season started today. That kind of series could be a coin flip and might be the kind of matchup that forces Dallas to add to an already talented roster. The Stars have only a few more kicks at the proverbial can in this contention window, and with a significant extension for Jason Robertson looming, this could be the year they go all in.
Record
33-14-9, 3rd in the Central
Deadline Status
Buyer
Deadline Cap Space
$3.267MM on deadline day, 0/3 retention slots used, 47/50 contracts used, per PuckPedia.
Upcoming Draft Picks
2026: DAL 2nd, SEA 3rd, DAL 5th, DAL 6th, DAL 7th, TOR 7th
2027: DAL 1st, DAL 2nd, DAL 4th, DAL 5th, DAL 6th, DAL 7th
Trade Chips
Dallas doesn’t have a lot to work with in terms of prospects and picks, which is the cost of being a consistent Stanley Cup contender over the past half-decade. The Stars do have some young pieces they could move, though, if they go big-game hunting on the trade market. Defenseman Lian Bichsel was a first-round pick in 2022, and at 6’7”, he is the kind of hulking presence on the blue line that teams line up for. His transition to the NHL hasn’t been smooth, as the 21-year-old has dealt with injuries and inconsistency this season. Bichsel appeared ready to break out last season, but he hasn’t delivered this year and has struggled through 26 games, failing both the eye test and the analytics test. Bichsel has a lot of upsides, though, and could be the centrepiece of a much bigger deal if Dallas goes all in.
Another prospect Dallas could look to move is right winger Emil Hemming. The 19-year-old was selected in the first round (29th overall) of the 2024 draft and is having a strong offensive season with the Barrie Colts of the OHL. Hemming is a potential NHL power forward with a good shot and isn’t afraid to get dirty at the net. He also plays a solid two-way game, which should endear him to teams seeking well-rounded wingers. The Stars could pair Hemming with a second- or third-round pick if they are on the hunt for trade deadline candidates that aren’t in the upper tier of trade targets but are solid NHLers.
Another potential trade piece for the Stars is young WHL forward Cameron Schmidt of the Seattle Thunderbirds, who was recently involved in a significant trade in that league. The Stars took Schmidt in the third round of last year’s draft (94th overall) and might have gotten a steal given his performance in the WHL thus far this season. Schmidt is currently third in league scoring and likely would’ve been a first- or second-round pick had it not been for his size (5’8” and 161 lbs). Dallas had no problem rolling the dice with Schmidt after succeeding with small centre Logan Stankoven, who is now in Carolina, and they could go that route with Schmidt as well.
Now, the Stars might have a pretty barren prospect cupboard, but they do have another promising young player on the NHL roster in Mavrik Bourque, who, at 24, is far from a finished product. Bourque was a late first-round pick in 2020 (30th overall) and has blossomed into a depth scorer, but there is still untapped potential in his game. Bourque tore up the AHL in 2023-24 with 77 points in 71 games, but struggled through his rookie campaign last year, finishing with just 11 goals and 14 assists in 73 games.
This year, Bourque’s offensive numbers have ticked up slightly, a good sign, especially given that many of his underlying numbers are also moving in the right direction. It’s hard to say whether Dallas is willing to part with Bourque, as they have been patient with his development, but if they have a chance to acquire a player who pushes them over the top, one would have to believe they would part with him.
Team Needs
Right-Shot Top Four Defenseman: The Dallas Stars will be joined by several teams seeking a right-shot top four defenseman. The Stars are solid on the top pair, but Thomas Harley has had a tough year on the second pairing, paired with depth options, and the results have been underwhelming to say the least. Harley’s offensive numbers are only slightly off his usual pace from the past two years. Still, his underlying numbers and on-ice results have taken a steep drop, likely due to instability on the right side and playing with depth options such as Ilya Lyubushkin and Nils Lundkvist. A stable right-side partner, such as Dougie Hamilton, would go a long way toward alleviating some of the pressure on Harley. However, the math doesn’t exactly work with Hamilton unless Stars general manager Jim Nill gets extremely creative with the accounting, or forward Tyler Seguin is, in fact, done for the season and the playoffs.
A Top Nine Forward: The Stars would likely look to add a top-nine forward to improve depth up front, ideally on the left wing. Currently, the Stars are deploying Justin Hryckowian on the top line alongside centre Wyatt Johnston and Mikko Rantanen. Hryckowian is solid defensively and has some playmaking ability, but he is unlikely to be a top-six player for a team that fancies itself a Stanley Cup contender. There is some versatility with Hryckowian, as he can play centre, so the Stars have options to add a winger and shift the 24-year-old down the lineup and over to centre, depending on their configurations.
Dallas could also opt for a right winger on the trade market and bump Bourque down the lineup, if they want, or perhaps Sam Steel. Given the players currently in the lineup, there is significant shuffling that could occur, but Dallas likely wants to add one more piece to that group so it can place all of their remaining depth into roles that better suit their skill sets.
Photo by Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
Trade Deadline Primer: Colorado Avalanche
With the Olympic break approaching, the trade deadline is about a month away. Where does each team stand, and what moves should they be looking to make? We begin our look around the league with teams that have clear plans at the extremes of the standings, this time with the Avalanche.
Colorado will come out of the Olympic break as the Presidents’ Trophy favorites and will likely remain so up until the trade deadline. There are a few teams that could conceivably catch them between now and then, but the Avalanche have put themselves in a spot where they won’t need to be too active at the deadline, barring injuries. Colorado ranks first in GF/G, first in GA/G, 31st in PP%, second in PK%, and first in SV%.
Record
36-9-9, 1st in the Central (~100% playoff probability)
Deadline Status
Buyer
Deadline Cap Space
$6.48MM on deadline day, 0/3 retention slots used, 46/50 contracts used, per PuckPedia.
Upcoming Draft Picks
2026: CAR 4th, COL 4th, PHI 5th, BOS 5th, COL 5th, NYR 7th, OTT 7th, PIT 7th, COL 7th
2027: COL 1st, MIN 2nd, COL 2nd, COL 4th, SJ 5th, COL 5th, COL 6th, COL 7th
Trade Chips
Depending on how aggressive they want to be, the Avalanche could likely use their plethora of draft picks to acquire the depth they need. Obviously, it’s more quantity over quality, but as the league’s best team, they only need to add around the fringes.
Still, if they wanted to make a more notable addition, particularly to their defensive core, Colorado has a few prospects at their disposal. It wouldn’t be the worst idea in the world for the Avalanche to push most of their chips in with only two more guaranteed years of consistent Norris threat, Cale Makar.
Two of Colorado’s better prospects are playing in the KHL, so they wouldn’t be negatively impacting the NHL squad or the AHL’s Colorado Eagles. Defenseman Mikhail Gulyayev, whom Colorado selected with the 31st overall pick of the 2023 NHL Draft, is playing for the Avangard Omsk. Furthermore, Ilya Nabokov, selected with the 38th overall pick of the 2024 NHL Draft, is having a solid year with the Metallurg Magnitogorsk.
Considering how he’s played the last three years, Nabokov would have significant value if the Avalanche included him in trade conversations. Nabokov, 22, has managed a 67-34-9 record in 123 KHL games with a .920 SV% and 2.31 GAA. Although it’s not a direct comparison, the Florida Panthers were able to acquire Sam Reinhart with Devon Levi and Seth Jones with Spencer Knight in recent years. Both played integral roles in the Panthers’ back-to-back Stanley Cup titles.
Outside of those two, Colorado could include defenseman Sean Behrens or forward Nikita Prishchepov, both of whom are playing with AHL Colorado, for less significant additions. Unfortunately, according to Daily Faceoff’s preseason rankings, the Avalanche have the 29th-ranked farm system, meaning their cupboards are lacking in prospect capital. Regardless, it’s unimaginable that Colorado would part with anyone on the active roster, considering how the team has played this year.
Team Needs
Defensive Depth: At the time of writing, the Avalanche has only six defensemen on the active roster, without much depth. Yes, the likes of Keaton Middleton, Jacob MacDonald, Ronald Attard, and Jack Ahcan can and have all served when needed, though they wouldn’t be the best options to have in case of injuries leading up to or in the postseason. In a perfect world, the Colorado would target a defenseman who can play on both sides of the blueline, though they’ll want to seek out a left-handed shot at the very least. Fortunately, there should be a few options available to them with varying degrees of talent. Logan Stanley of the Winnipeg Jets, Matt Grzelcyk of the Chicago Blackhawks, Mario Ferraro of the San Jose Sharks, and Brett Kulak of the Pittsburgh Penguins all make sense as potential additions.
Bottom-Six Center: Outside of most contending teams, the Avalanche don’t have much to be concerned about regarding their center core. Nathan MacKinnon (51.1%), Brock Nelson (49.4%), and Jack Drury (59.2%) are all having solid years in the faceoff dot, with the former two providing much of the team’s offense. However, there is a steep drop-off in faceoff talent on the team’s fourth line. The team has typically used Parker Kelly or Zakhar Bardakov in that role. However, they’ve only managed a 32.1% and 43.4% in the faceoff circle, respectively. If he’s willing to leave his native Winnipeg in pursuit of one last shot at the Stanley Cup, Jonathan Toews would be a perfect addition, as he has a 61.0% faceoff rate this season. However, if Toews is unwilling to leave Manitoba, lower-cost additions such as Jason Dickinson (49.7%) or Erik Haula (50.3%) would also help round out the bottom-six.
Image courtesy of John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images.
Trade Deadline Primer: New York Rangers
With the Olympic break approaching, the trade deadline is about a month away. Where does each team stand, and what moves should they be looking to make? We continue our look around the league with teams that have clear plans at the extremes of the standings, next with the Rangers.
After missing the playoffs last season, it was becoming apparent that New York’s rebuild was not materializing as envisioned, but few would have expected “The Letter: Part Two”. Eager to turn the corner under new Head Coach Mike Sullivan, the Rangers had a strange start to the season, losing their first seven at home, but winning enough on the road to stay afloat at first. Then came the injuries, as the group was battered, numerous key players going down, dropping them to 30th in the league. On January 16, GM Chris Drury shared a letter to fans detailing the team’s plans to “retool”, soon dealing veteran defenseman Carson Soucy to the rival Islanders. Now, franchise cornerstone Artemi Panarin is headed out the door at any moment, as New York finds themselves back where they started seven years ago.
Record
22-28-6, 8th in the Metropolitan (0% playoff probability)
Deadline Status
Seller
Deadline Cap Space
$4.77MM on deadline day, 0/3 retention slots used, 47/50 contracts used, per PuckPedia.
Upcoming Draft Picks
2026: NYR 1st, CAR 1st, CAR 2nd, NYR 3rd, NYI 3rd, NYR 5th, NYR 6th, VAN 7th
2027: NYR 1st, NYR 3rd, NYR 5th, NYR 6th, NYR 7th
Trade Chips
It’s far from a secret who Drury has set in his first order of business. 12 days after waiving a white flag on 2025-26, the major headline dropped that Panarin would be sat for roster-related reasons. Since then, a third of the league has been reported as having interest, most notably the Panthers, Hurricanes, Kings, Sharks, and Capitals. Wednesday’s 3 PM EST Olympic roster freeze stands as a roadblock, but the superstar has unfavorably had to sit for the last three games, and a deal seems imminent, even if shortly after the Olympics.
Suitors are working through the need to extend Panarin, but New York holds all three retention spaces. They would be wise to send their star with retained salary, and an extension set up, to maximize a return with their biggest chip.
Already aggressive enough to add Kiefer Sherwood, San Jose would be a fascinating fit, showcasing their intent on serious contention sooner rather than later. Panarin’s interest in Florida is well known, as he could reunite with Sergei Bobrovsky, but it would require unfathomable gymnastics to work out a deal. Finally, Panarin could be the star Carolina has been patiently waiting to add after Mikko Rantanen didn’t work out.
Besides the Blueshirts’ leading scorer and his expiring $11.6MM contract, it’s not as immediately clear who could be next. In the interest of their retool, it would be ideal to move on from at least one of their three 32-year-old centers; Mika Zibanejad, J.T. Miller, and Vincent Trocheck.
Out of the bunch, Trocheck stands as the only real candidate, given his manageable $5.63MM cap hit. The contract runs through his age 35 season, not necessarily ideal, but given the majorly thin center market, Trocheck could bring a haul for the Rangers. The Pittsburgh native has 36 points in 42 games, enough that center-hungry teams such as the Hurricanes, Avalanche, and Red Wings could make a push. Minnesota is also in the market, however they would have to get creative given limited cap space and trade assets.
New York faces the challenge of having immovable contracts as they navigate a retool. Zibanejad, Miller, and the polarizing Alexis Lafrenière, aside, the issue extends on both ends of the lineup. Last summer’s big ticket, $7MM deal given to 30-year-old Vladislav Gavrikov doesn’t align with their latest plans, neither does 29-year-old Will Borgen’s $4.1MM, both defenders inked through 2029-30.
Jonathan Quick, 40, has an expiring deal worth $1.55MM, but the Stanley Cup winning Connecticut native may not have interest in moving on to a backup role on a contender. As Igor Shesterkin remains out with a lower body injury, Quick is in a favorable situation, able to play regularly as he closes the book on a tremendous career.
Brennan Othmann has been shopped throughout the season, as early as mid-October. The 23-year-old former first round pick is clearly not a traditional deadline piece, but no longer in the plans, he figures to be a “change of scenery” trade candidate, for a similar younger player in need of a new role.
Veterans Sam Carrick and Jonny Brodzinski could fetch middle round draft capital, both bringing strong results at the faceoff dot. Carrick is signed through next year at $1MM, while Brodzinski is a pure rental option, versatile enough to play center or wing.
Conor Sheary makes just $775k, but the 33-year-old has hardly been effective this year, with just one tally in 37 games, not to mention he is currently on LTIR with an upper body injury. When healthy, Sheary has respectable metrics and playoff experience, but he would not bring anything notable in return.
On the back end, Urho Vaakanainen, 27, could bring a bit of intrigue as a 6’2″ lefty penalty killing specialist, as he’s inked through next year at $1.55MM.
Team Needs
NHL-Ready Youth: Given Drury’s phrasing of “This will not be a rebuild. This will be a retool built around our core players and prospects” naturally, for better or worse, New York will seek young players capable of contributing as soon as next season, in all likelihood alongside veterans such as Miller and Zibanejad. Thankfully, as a result of the K’Andre Miller trade, they have an extra first round pick for the upcoming draft already, an asset always needed regardless of “rebuild” or “retool”. However, such a deal is indicative of Drury’s struggles as a whole, as it is players such as Miller who the Rangers are lacking if they can turn it around without entirely bottoming out. The club has a top heavy prospect pool, and a replenishment, especially on the blue line, would be beneficial.
Backup Goaltending: Although the Rangers aren’t in desperate need between the pipes, they could use a boost behind Shesterkin, with Quick’s days numbered. Prospect Dylan Garand’s development has stalled out a bit, still waiting on his NHL debut at age 23, and the Rangers are thin in the goaltending department elsewhere.
Image courtesy of Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images
Trade Deadline Primer: Vancouver Canucks
With the Olympic break approaching, the trade deadline is about a month away. Where does each team stand, and what moves should they be looking to make? We begin our look around the league with teams that have clear plans at the extremes of the standings, starting with the Canucks.
The worst possible outcome for Vancouver this season was another finish in the mushy middle, like their 38-30-14 record that put them in no man’s land at 10th in the Western Conference. Being clearly the worst team in the league through the first two-thirds of the season may not be a step forward, but it’s at least a step in a direction. They already made the biggest move any team will make this season by shipping off franchise defender Quinn Hughes to the Wild, ushering in yet another formal retool/rebuild in British Columbia. How aggressively they’ll tear down the rest of their roster over the next few weeks remains to be seen.
Record
18-31-6, 8th in the Pacific (~0% playoff probability)
Deadline Status
Seller
Deadline Cap Space
$3.78MM on deadline day, 1/3 retention slots used, 48/50 contracts used, per PuckPedia.
Upcoming Draft Picks
2026: VAN 1st, MIN 1st, VAN 2nd, SJS 2nd, VAN 4th, VAN 5th, VAN 6th
2027: VAN 1st, SJS 2nd, VAN 3rd, VAN 4th, PIT 4th, VAN 5th, VAN 6th, VAN 7th
Trade Chips
The Canucks’ braintrust of Patrik Allvin and Jim Rutherford has already thinned this list considerably by pulling the trigger on the aforementioned Hughes deal. They also shipped out pending UFA winger Kiefer Sherwood to the Sharks last month for a pair of second-round picks and a minor-league defender to make the contract math work for San Jose, so that’s another relatively high-value name gone.
That leaves Vancouver with four pending UFAs remaining on the NHL roster. While those names are the most traditional trade deadline fodder, none of them will net the Canucks a significant return. One of them – lefty defender Derek Forbort – has been on long-term injured reserve since October, so he’s likely not even an option to move.
They have a pair of centers available, Teddy Blueger and David Kämpf, who might serve as added depth for a contender’s fourth line. The 31-year-old Blueger only recently returned to the lineup after missing over half the year with a lower-body injury, although he’s been hot in limited action with four goals in eight games. He’s found himself in a similar situation before, when the Golden Knights picked him up from the Penguins as a rental at the 2023 deadline, and he served mostly as an extra forward in their run to the Stanley Cup. His historical strength on draws, track record of 20-plus point seasons, and penalty killing ability all give him legitimate resale value at an affordable $1.8MM price tag. He’s the higher-value piece of the two, although he has a 12-team no-trade list that could complicate a move.
Kämpf likely won’t land more than a mid-to-late-round pick at best. Since having his contract with the Maple Leafs terminated after clearing waivers at the beginning of the season, he’s averaged over 15 minutes per night for Vancouver, but only out of necessity. The 31-year-old’s offense was already limited, but despite seeing increased deployment, he’s clicking at a career-worst 0.19 points per game rate with only six in 32 contests. His defensive game has been a legitimate benefit, though – his 50.5% shot attempt share at 5-on-5 is among the best on the team, and he’s done so in difficult matchups.
The name that’s been thrown around the most, though, is that of Evander Kane. At $5.125MM against the cap, his nine goals and 25 points in 54 games since being acquired from the Oilers last summer are certainly underwhelming. His track record of strong playoff performances when healthy, though, has seen him draw interest from contenders like the Avalanche and Stars. His high cap hit and the Canucks’ limited cap flexibility mean they’re unlikely to recoup more than the fourth-round pick they gave up for him, though.
Of course, there are the big names. Elias Pettersson‘s still available for the right price, although his $11.6MM cap hit has always meant an offseason move is likelier. He and Jake DeBrusk, signed through 2031 at $5.5MM per season, both control their own destiny with no-movement clauses. Vancouver signed Conor Garland to a six-year, $36MM extension that doesn’t kick in until next season, leaving him with no trade protection until July 1. But with him only churning out seven goals in 44 games this season, there’s likely not widespread interest in picking him up with such a commitment.
Team Needs
Cap Space: Normally, rebuilders can add assets by leveraging their cap space to take on bad deals from money-needy teams in exchange for futures. Vancouver is in no such position to do that, as they’ve been tight to the limit all year and have only accumulated a few million dollars in space as a result. Kane, Blueger, Kämpf, and Forbort coming off the books will give the Canucks about $10MM of reprieve in addition to the projected $8.5MM cap jump. They also don’t have any RFAs in need of big pay bumps. It’s still relatively uncommon for a team in Vancouver’s position to have as many anchor deals as they do (Pettersson, Brock Boeser, Filip Hronek, Thatcher Demko) above a $7MM price point. No one is expecting one of those names to get moved in the next four weeks, but if they decide to take on a more aggressive teardown, opening more infinite flexibility will be the way to go.
More Center Help: Save for Pettersson enjoying a rebound, Vancouver doesn’t have a true first-line center, nor do they have one on the way. Marco Rossi is a nice piece, but he has only two points in eight games since being acquired from Minnesota. Braeden Cootes looks like a nice value for the 15th overall pick in last year’s draft, early on, but projects as more of a second-line, two-way piece. They won’t get a bona fide No. 1 middleman with a top pick in the 2026 draft class, either, with both top forwards being wingers.
Image courtesy of Timothy T. Ludwig-Imagn Images.
PHR Mailbag: Rangers, Kings, Blackhawks, Flyers, Bruins, Capitals, Cap Penalties
Topics in this edition of the PHR Mailbag include how much (or little) the Rangers might be selling, potential defense targets for the Bruins, and much more. If your question doesn’t appear here, check back in last weekend’s mailbag while we’ll have one more next weekend as well.
lgr34561: Hi Rangers fan here. A few things. First of all, if you were in the GMs shoes (which you would probably do a much better job than Chris Drury), what direction would you take from here as in what kind of moves would you make? Second of all, do you think that a retool is enough (like Drury says) to put this team back into contention or is he just sugarcoating a long rebuild? Thank you!
Schwa: To piggyback here:
Curious if you expect any of the NMCs under contract to waive? Would you expect Drury to inquire with JT, Mika, and/or Trocheck and consider a heavier rebuild?
I imagine Trocheck would return quite a sum, given what the Canadiens gave up for Danault.
Are Mika and JT high-value given the current center market, despite the length of their contracts?
I’ve been one of those people who look at the Rangers and go ‘they can’t be that bad’. That was me last season and heading into this year as well. I say that because I completely get why Drury might still think that way. With a high-end goalie, a solid group of forwards on paper, and a decent defense (when healthy), they shouldn’t be as bad as they have been. And it’s why I believe Drury’s intention legitimately is a short-term retool and not an actual rebuild.
I don’t think they’re planning to blow up the core. Instead, they’ll sell a bit at the deadline, get some future assets, then try to make a trade or free agent signing over the summer to get themselves back into the Wild Card picture at the very least. It can be done and done with some success as long as they realize that success isn’t going to be defined by a long playoff run but simply by getting back to the playoffs and ideally getting some shine back from a reputational standpoint.
To move quickly to the second question for a moment, I don’t expect the other veterans with trade protection to be in play. At most, maybe one if a team ponies up a better-than-expected return that Drury can’t refuse. I think it’s going to be more like move Artemi Panarin, see if there’s a lateral swap for Alexis Lafreniere, maybe look at a move on the back end, and call it a day. That’s based on my assumption that they’re still eyeing a playoff spot next season so they’re not going to want to give up a lot of talent.
Given how few sellers there are and the fact that a lot of the veteran Rangers could fill positions of need on other teams (particularly given the need for impact centers), I think New York could get big returns for several of their veterans. Knowing that, I might be more inclined to do more of a multi-year rebuild, assuming that the veterans would waive their trade protection. But, again, I think the plan is something pretty quick that technically doesn’t fill the definition of a rebuild.
Bigalval: I think the Kings need a full rebuild and changes on the administrative side also. Luc, Holland, and Hiller should all be fired. The game has passed Holland by; he had a brutal start when becoming the Kings’ general manager. Luc also has no clue and Hiller doesn’t know how to fix things. It was a horrible decision to let him coach this year. He should be fired soon, even with a rebuild. It’s probably gonna take four or five years to fix this mess. Thoughts?
Fundamentally, I agree that a shakeup is needed. I had Jim Hiller being the first coach fired a while back, something that’s clearly not happening since Columbus wound up being the first team to pull the trigger on that front. I’m not a big fan of speculating about people getting fired but that’s a card that still could get played at this point.
Given that Ken Holland is in his first season with the team, I don’t think he realistically would be in jeopardy of losing his job. General managers tend to get a relatively long shelf life and while Holland is closer to the end of his career than the beginning (or even the middle), he probably gets a couple more years in some role.
Then we come to Luc Robitaille, who has been in this role since 2007. He was a Hall of Fame player with his best days coming with the Kings, who have won two Stanley Cups with him in that role. That’s a hard person to let go, even if I agree that a change of direction and vision might ultimately be beneficial in the long run. Unless ownership decides they want to overhaul things, I’m not sure we’re at that point yet. And even if we were, it might very well be Holland who would take over.
Personally, I’d like to see what this group can do with a new coach and a vision of trying to add some skill and speed to the lineup. This is a playoff-caliber team, albeit more of a Wild Card team than a true contender. But an influx of some skill and a more aggressive offensive style might get them going. If that doesn’t happen, then using Anze Kopitar’s retirement as a springboard into a rebuild makes some sense. If this core has gone as far as it can, then a step back to take two steps forward might not be the worst idea. I’m not sure that will happen with the current administration in place, however.
rayk: Which pending UFA among Dickinson, Mikheyev, and Murphy has the most deadline trade value and which the least, assuming salary retention for all three?
Let’s start with Jason Dickinson ($2.125MM with maximum retention). As expected, his breakout showing in his first couple of seasons in Chicago that showed signs of being unsustainable proved to be unsustainable. Nonetheless, he’s a solid checking forward who can kill penalties and, perhaps most importantly, play center. Center depth is always in high demand at this time of year and Dickinson’s physicality lends itself well to playoff-type hockey. I expect he’ll get a lot of interest.
Ilya Mikheyev ($2.02MM with max retention) is having the best offensive season of the three and has also had some success killing penalties, particularly this season. I think his value now is higher than it was when Chicago was paid to take on his contract but his history suggests he won’t be as successful in the limited role he’d have with a contender. Where Dickinson is in the same type of role he’d have on a new team (just a little ice time), Mikheyev would be in line for a bigger drop so there are more question marks as to how impactful he’d be. He’s someone I could see teams viewing as an option further down their list but I don’t think he’ll be as sought after.
Connor Murphy ($2.2MM with full retention) isn’t having a good year. His best days are behind him but if you’re a playoff team looking for defensive depth, what are you typically looking for? Good size, experience, penalty killing abilities, good shot blocker, and being right-handed is a bonus. Technically, Murphy checks them all. I don’t see a contending team wanting him to be more than a number six but I expect several teams will want him for that role if the Blackhawks are eating half of the remaining contract.
In terms of who’d get the biggest return, I’d go with Dickinson, then Murphy, then Mikheyev. (I like Mikheyev but his profile is not the type that contenders typically seek out at this time of year.) One thing worth noting, while this scenario had Chicago retaining on all three, they only have two retention slots available since one is being used on Seth Jones.
Black Ace57: Is it finally time for the Flyers to follow the Rangers’ lead and give up on this season and sell at the deadline?
To add onto this, why not do what the Flyers did in the past with trades like the Carter and Richards ones and at least try to shake things up without strictly buying or selling? Examples I’m thinking of are Wright with the Kraken or Power with the Sabres as targets.
Going into today’s action, the Flyers are eight points out of a top-three seed in the Metropolitan Division and ten points out in the Wild Card chase. They have at least one game in hand on the teams holding those last playoff spots as well. That’s not an insurmountable gap. But it’s an improbable one. And realistically, if they got to the postseason, I don’t think they’d be a tough out. So yes, I’d say they should be in sell mode.
You note the old Jeff Carter and Mike Richards trades from a while back as a way to possibly reshape the roster without being a true seller. But those players were impact centers with strong track records of winning hockey. Who on Philadelphia’s roster has that type of history and reputation? Travis Konecny is a nice player, a legitimate top-line winger. Maybe he’s in that territory but swapping out your leading scorer for the sake of a change carries some big risks. Owen Tippett feels like a potential change-of-scenery candidate so maybe there’s an option there but he’s not at the level of Carter and Richards and they may not be selling at the peak of his value.
The problem with saying they should be sellers is that they don’t have a lot to realistically sell. Their pending UFAs are depth pieces that wouldn’t yield a return of consequence. Rasmus Ristolainen can’t stay healthy which hurts his market. I expect they’ll try to sign Trevor Zegras to a long-term pact. They’re not moving Christian Dvorak after extending him while Sean Couturier’s contract takes him off the table. On defense, Travis Sanheim isn’t moving, Cameron York probably isn’t in play, nor is Jamie Drysdale who they still have hopes for.
Maybe Bobby Brink is an option if the Flyers aren’t thrilled about what his next contract with arbitration rights might cost. I could see Nick Seeler attracting some interest; he might be their best trade chip. And while Samuel Ersson might be in play, how much value does he have in a down year? So yes, while selling makes sense in theory, Philadelphia might not have much to sell.
sovietcanuckistanian: By all accounts, the Bruins made a legit effort/offer for Rasmus Andersson. I get that didn’t get him (he wanted LV and I guess Calgary took a better deal since he hasn’t signed an extension yet), but he clearly filled a glaring need. Who do they pivot to in terms of finding someone to fill that hole – given that their internal options aren’t cutting it at the moment?
The next most prominent right-shot defender in play is Dougie Hamilton. I think it’s safe to say that option isn’t on the table. Assuming they’re looking for someone who has some of Andersson’s attributes and isn’t a rental player, the next best option to look at might be Blues blueliner Justin Faulk.
He’s someone who would give them some secondary offense behind Charlie McAvoy while he’s still enough of a minutes-eater to easily slot into a top-four role. While he’s not a defensive anchor, he’s still a capable penalty killer. And with one year left after this on his contract, he’s not a pure rental either which might be appealing to GM Don Sweeney. The $6.5MM cap charge will be a challenge to overcome though, given that it’s unlikely that St. Louis will retain on it whereas Calgary did on Andersson’s expiring deal. But fit-wise, he’d fit the bill.
Mario Ferraro would also help and he’s easier to fit in on the cap but there’s no guarantee that he’ll move with the Sharks hanging around the playoff mix and trying to re-sign him. Rasmus Ristolainen is also believed to be available but with his track record of injuries and Boston already having Nikita Zadorov, that might not be the best fit for them. But overall, Faulk feels like the right fit for them if they can make the cap elements work.
Assessing The Blues’ Direction
The Blues are in a strange spot. They’re 31st in the league with a record of 20-26-9 and a goal differential of -54, tied for the worst in the NHL.
They’re very close to having the best odds to win the draft lottery, and while they aren’t technically out of the playoff hunt, they’re 10 points back of the Kings for the final Wild Card spot, and Los Angeles has games in hand. The Blues are likely finished for this season, and despite that, they haven’t fully committed to a rebuild, though they’re clearly not close to contending at the moment.
They have some good young players and a mix of veterans, some on bad contracts and others they probably want to trade, especially as the playoffs grow further away with each game.
St. Louis’ roster construction has been disjointed over the last few years with a mixed bag of moves. They’re far from alone in that regard. But what has been missing is a clear direction on how to sell to Blues fans, who are hoping for some signal that the team has a plan.
Entering the season, it looked as though the Blues were hoping to compete for a playoff spot, as they did last season. Those hopes have been dashed by inconsistent play and the struggles of core players Jordan Kyrou, Robert Thomas, Colton Parayko and Jordan Binnington. You either sell winning or you sell hope, and this season the Blues haven’t been able to sell either. That will need to change in short order, and a clear direction needs to be established.
Of the players listed above, Thomas is the only one who hasn’t been constantly linked to trade rumours this season, but that has changed as of late. Kyrou, Parayko and Binnington have all been fodder for trade board segments across the hockey media and have been joined by teammates Brayden Schenn and Justin Faulk.
In a perfect world, St. Louis would have a clear choice about who to move and who to keep. Still, some of the team’s previous moves have left them in a precarious spot, with their only real option being to retool rather than bottom out. They aren’t anywhere close to being a contender and already have several talented players and a very skilled coach in place.
Therein lies a big problem for the Blues. How do you tell Jim Montgomery that the team plans to sell off its veterans and go with younger players who are still finding their way in the NHL? It probably wouldn’t be popular with the veteran head coach.
The alternative is to continue pushing an aging roster into the playoffs and finishing in the middle of the standings, outside the postseason. Montgomery doesn’t need to look far to find a coach who was stuck in that spot for several seasons: Mike Sullivan, formerly of the Penguins.
Sullivan’s final three seasons with the team saw him try to will an aging lineup over the finish line, only to fall just outside the cut when it came to playoff time. Interestingly enough, Sullivan left the Penguins last summer to pursue a better opportunity with the Rangers, only to end up in the same position he had been in with Pittsburgh.
At the end of the day, for general manager Doug Armstrong, his job isn’t to please his coach; it’s to put together the best roster for the team he can and put the players in a position to win. Adding to an old, slow roster does nothing to accomplish that, and the Blues can’t make that the direction they go.
If there is anything we’ve learned in the last half-decade, it is that teams can remain competitive and retool on the fly by surrounding older talent with fresh legs and young energy, brought in by calling up skilled, speedy prospects. The Washington Capitals proved it last season; the Penguins are showing the same thing this year; and the Blues have to look at that model and see how best to apply it to their own roster construction.
The Blues have some pieces in Philip Broberg, Dylan Holloway, Jimmy Snuggerud, Jake Neighbours, and Dalibor Dvorsky. Now they need to figure out which veterans to keep around to guide them and which to let go to acquire more young talent to insulate the core.
It makes sense to move Binnington, given that Joel Hofer is waiting in the wings and probably deserves the bulk of the ice time. The issue for St. Louis is that they missed the best time to trade the 32-year-old: last March, before the trade deadline, or this past summer.
This year, Binnington’s game has fallen off a cliff, and he is dead last in the NHL with -24.4 goals saved above expected in 31 games (per MoneyPuck). Add to that the fact that he is counting $6MM against the salary cap and has a 14-team no-trade clause (per PuckPedia), and you have a player who is close to impossible to move.
Moving Faulk would also be a step in the right direction, as the 33-year-old makes $6.5MM this year and next and is having a reasonable offensive season with 11 goals and 13 assists in 52 games, while cleaning up the turnover issue that plagued him last year. The Blues are reportedly looking to strike while the iron is hot and are asking for a premium package to move the right-shot defenseman. If the Blues can move Faulk and get a return even remotely close to their ask, it would be good business and could set them on a path to retool sooner than later.
Outside of those two, Schenn, Thomas, and Parayko remain options to be moved, and it’s hard to say whether the Blues want to turn their roster over completely. The Penguins tried to move Rickard Rakell, Bryan Rust, and Erik Karlsson last year but couldn’t find anyone willing to meet their asking price. Perhaps the Blues will chart a similar course and try to move those three veterans if they get the right price. If not, they’ll wait to see how their own roster shakes out over the next six to 12 months. In any event, St. Louis has to show direction sooner rather than later if it hopes to position the team for improvement in the near future.
Big Hype Prospects: Hurlbert, Cullen, Ruck, Hemming
Welcome to PHR’s Big Hype Prospects series. Like the MLB Trade Rumors series of the same name, we’re taking a look at the performances of top prospects from across the hockey world. We’ll look at drafted prospects who are rising, others who are struggling, and prospects for the upcoming draft who are notable.
Five Big Hype Prospects
J.P. Hurlbert, C/RW, Kamloops Blazers (WHL)
47 GP, 31 G – 42 A – 73 TP, 33 PIM, +15
The 2026 class has its own version of a game-breaking forward dominating CHL scoring on the back of impressive skill. This year, it’s Texas-born J.P. Hurlbert, who landed with the WHL’s Kamloops Blazers after buying out of his contract with the U.S. National Team Development Program. That decision has proven incredibly fruitful in the season since, with Hurlbert now tied for the scoring lead among all CHL leagues. He has looked explosive all season long, with a next-level ability to operate the puck at full speed. That lets Hurlbert blaze by and through opponents en route to the net. His drives are capped off with strong finishing and playmaking abilities, focused on getting the puck into the low-slot. Hurlbert doesn’t shine as a physical player, but is rumored to be climbing NHL boards thanks to just how jaw-dropping his do-it-all offense can be. The NHL is currently watching Benjamin Kindel – a skill winger who faced an uphill battle physically – carve out his spot in the Penguins top-nine before his 20th birthday. Hurlbert will hope to be the next in line and could earn a top 20, or even top 15, selection.
Wyatt Cullen, LW/C, U.S. National Team Development Program (USA U18)
18 GP, 3 G – 12 A – 15 TP, 6 PIM, -4
The middle child of 21-year NHL veteran Matt Cullen is next up for the NHL Draft. Wyatt Cullen is pulling together a breakout season after sitting out parts of October and December due to an undisclosed injury. He has quickly made up for lost time, though, including pulling together a standout performance at this year’s CHL/NTDP Prospects Challenge. Cullen scored three points in three games in the cross-league matchup, a feat only matched by fellow 2026 prospect Mathis Preston and top 2027 prospect Sammy Nelson. That strong scoring has carried over to Cullen’s USHL action with the NTDP. He has four points in five USHL games – a mark that underscores just how central to the NTDP offense Cullen has been. He has been one of only a few NTDP forwards to truly flash this year, showing off an impressive ability to beat opponents head-on and find space through the neutral zone. Cullen is cool, calm,a nd collected with the onfidence needed to make plays tight around the net. He has brought a much-needed wave of skilled offense to the NTDP and ranks second on the club in points-per-game (0.81). With his mix of poise, size, and skill, Cullen could have a chance to beat out his dad’s draft selection – 35th overall in 1996.
Liam and Markus Ruck, RW and C, Medicine Hat Tigers (WHL)
Liam: 47 GP, 28 G – 38 A – 66 TP, 26 PIM, +24
Markus: 47 GP, 12 G – 53 A – 65 TP, 18 PIM, +21
The highest-scoring offense in the CHL is led in scoring by a pair of identical twins – Liam Ruck and Markus Ruck. The duo play an immensely complementary game, with Liam’s sniper shot and drive to the net boosted by Markus’ nifty passing and sharp, two-way vision. They served as the foundation of Medicine Hat’s offense to start the season, then found another gear when Calgary Flames prospect Andrew Basha returned from injury and lined up between the twins. That line has proven nearly unstoppable since Basha’s return, in total combining for 19 goals over just the last 11 games. Medicine Hat has rooted their offense in the top line, which – while boosted by Basha – still leans heavily on the individual skill, and next-level chemistry, between the Ruck brothers. The two are a phenomenon. With their heap of offense, many fans are wondering just how high they could go in the draft – or if they’ll get drafted to the same club and get to build on two great years at Medicine Hat.
Oscar Hemming, LW/RW, Boston College (Hockey East, NCAA)
7 GP, 0 G – 4 A – 4 TP, 8 PIM, -1
One of many top Finns in the 2026 draft class didn’t get his start until the midway point of the year. Oscar Hemming went through a true saga as he attempted to move from the pro pipeline in Finland to North American juniors. His IIHF eligibilty was even pulled into question, ultimately forcing Hemming to forgo plans for an OHL move in favor of joining the NCAA’s Boston College. He became college hockey’s youngest player when he joined the league. Despite facing the challenge of age and international move, Hemming hasn’t looked one bit out of place in his first taste of the NCAA’s toughest conference. Part of that is thanks to the winger’s 6-foot-4, 200-pound frame, which makes him hard to miss anytime he’s on the ice.
More than that, Hemming has continued flaunting the strong stickhandling and heads-up playmaking that wowed scouts at the 2025 Hlinka Gretzky Cup. He is an intuitive playmaker who attacks the slot with confidence and aggression. With his build, Hemming is hard to knock off hte puck or force out of the slot. He has taken on many of the traits that made his older brother, Dallas Stars prospect Emil Hemming, worthy of a first-round selection. For Oscar, the chance to hone those talents as a young player in a tough league could be enough to push him high up draft boards. With a pro frame to boot, Hemming could be a surprise addition to the top 15, or maybe the top 10, come draft day.
The Trade-And-Extend Move Is Becoming A Gamble
Stars forward Jason Robertson is having another terrific season at just the right time. He’s set to become an RFA this summer and should be handsomely rewarded on his next contract.
One wrinkle with his next contract is that it could come with a team other than Dallas, given that they already have so much big money committed to members of their core (just $16.4MM in cap space available next year, per PuckPedia). If Robertson is moved, it would likely be via trade to a team hoping to sign him to a long-term deal. But given that many of these types of transactions have failed in the past, should teams be doing it?
The trade-then-sign isn’t an official title for a series of moves in which a team trades for a player and then locks them up shortly after the trade, but that’s effectively what it is. A few recent examples include the Senators trading for Linus Ullmark and then signing him shortly after, or the Flames and Panthers linking up on the infamous Jonathan Huberdeau-for-Matthew Tkachuk trade that launched Florida on a potential dynasty while effectively slamming the door on Calgary’s contention window.
Therin lies the risk with these kinds of moves. Trading for a player and then signing them immediately to an extension leaves you open to the possibility that they aren’t a good fit, and you end up with a Huberdeau situation instead of a Tkachuk one.
The Flames and Senators are hardly the only teams to fall victim to this kind of thing. In fact, the Senators have dealt with it before with Bobby Ryan. Ottawa traded for Ryan in 2013, a move in response to Daniel Alfredsson leaving the franchise to sign with Detroit. The trade effectively boxed the Senators into signing Ryan to a long-term contract, which they did, resulting in an albatross contract that was eventually bought out.
Vancouver is learning a similar lesson with defenseman Marcus Pettersson, who was a top-pairing defenseman in Pittsburgh but was dealt to the Canucks last year, before the trade deadline, and has never been a fit. Vancouver was quick to ink Pettersson to a six-year deal last year, shortly after acquiring him, and, like Ullmark, Huberdeau and Ryan, he has not worked out as planned.
The list could go on and on. Timo Meier in New Jersey, Seth Jones in Chicago, Matt Murray in Ottawa, and Pierre-Luc Dubois in Los Angeles. All of these moves had a few things in common. The teams signed the players to extensions before the fit was ever stress-tested.
Take Huberdeau, who was acquired in late July 2022. Within two weeks, he signed an eight-year, $84MM extension to remain with the Flames. Pettersson had a similar trajectory in Vancouver, as he was acquired in early February 2025 and signed his six-year extension less than a week later. The same story with Murray and the Ottawa Senators, as he was acquired in early October 2020 and re-upped within two days, having never played a game in Canada’s capital city.
Again, the examples are endless, and the failures in these situations appear to share several common traits. In the three examples of Huberdeau, Pettersson, and Murray, they had essentially never played for the teams they were signing with, meaning no one knew whether they would work out with their new teams, making it a gamble for the acquiring team. But the trades themselves, and the players’ contractual status, essentially forced the team that gave up the assets in the trade to lock up the player or risk “losing the asset for nothing.”
It’s something that happens in every sport, where teams acquire pending UFAs. For whatever reason, some teams have felt compelled to extend the player before they even have a look at how the player will work out with their new team. And make no mistake, most of the teams that have extended the player right away probably regret their decision. There is no way Ottawa was happy with the Murray era, and Calgary has another five years of headaches with the Huberdeau deal.
Often, a player’s signing is a move to protect a GM’s short-term reputation rather than to focus on long-term projections. In fact, most of the time, the GM never lasts the length of the deal he is handing out, as was the case with Brad Treliving in Calgary and Pierre Dorion in Ottawa.
The thing about rushing to sign a player you really don’t know, beyond scouting their on-ice performance, is that once you ink the deal, there is no easy escape, or do-overs. You are locked into a player you don’t really know, and outside of asking mutual friends, acquaintances, or previous employers, you don’t have first-hand experience with the person in most cases. It would be like running a business and then hiring an employee you’ve seen on television but never spoken to.
But in hockey, as in all sports, market and ownership pressures, egos, and reputations can all play a role in transactions, contracts, and player management. As much as it probably stings for GMs to ink a bad contract with a player, they would probably all do it again if given another opportunity.
The truth is that trading for a player is always risky, while trading for a player and immediately extending them is often how NHL GMs try to save their jobs. Usually, it’s the move that leads them to the unemployment line.
The NHL Is Ripe For A Big Change Of Scenery Trade
The classic change-of-scenery move was once standard in the NHL. Still, with the emergence of the salary cap, analytics, and entire departments dedicated to player projections, the number of big-name change-of-scenery trades has declined.
These deals were often made in hopes of inspiring two struggling players to return to their career averages or better. The most recent example of this kind of deal is the goalie trade between the Penguins and Oilers earlier this year, which involved Tristan Jarry and Stuart Skinner.
Another recent example came at last year’s trade deadline, when the Sabres sent Dylan Cozens and a draft pick to the Senators for Josh Norris and Jacob Bernard-Docker. This season, there are multiple change-of-scenery trade candidates, with the biggest names being forward Elias Pettersson of the Canucks and Andrei Svechnikov of the Hurricanes.
Don’t get it wrong. There are still plenty of change-of-scenery trades in the NHL involving fringe and depth players, and some don’t work out, but some do in a big way. Egor Chinakhov of the Penguins is a glaring example of a change-of-scenery move that has worked out thus far, as he is playing with more confidence and fire than he has in years.
In addition to the Chinakhov and Skinner moves, the Penguins have made several low-end versions of these trades this season, most recently this week’s deal with the Avalanche, which sent forward Valtteri Puustinen to the Avalanche in exchange for defenseman Ilya Solovyov. The trade barely made waves around the NHL, but it does provide an example of two players who need fresh starts being swapped by teams in the hope of reigniting their play.
Outside of the aforementioned Pettersson and Svechnikov, who are some other big-name players who could use a change of scenery? The big name has to be defenseman Dougie Hamilton of the Devils, who was a healthy scratch last week and hasn’t produced nearly the way you would hope from a $9MM offensive defenseman.
Hamilton has dealt with a couple of injury-riddled seasons and has just five goals and 12 assists in 46 games this year. While Hamilton’s play hasn’t been great this season, that hasn’t stopped the Devils from upping his usage from 19:51 a game last year to 21:33 this season.
Hamilton is still a good player and would be a likely candidate to bounce back in a new environment. But would any team want to take a gamble like that on a 32-year-old making $9MM annually over the next two and a half years?
There is interest, and why wouldn’t there be? Hamilton is a talented player who could very well thrive on a new team, but the Devils aren’t going to just give him a way or retain half his salary in exchange for peanuts. The best course of action for New Jersey might be to try to find a hockey deal for another player in need of a change.
Pivoting to the Western Conference, the Blues look to be going nowhere fast and have a few players who could use a fresh start, including forward Jordan Kyrou and defenseman Colton Parayko. Kyrou is probably the most intriguing name on this list, a 27-year-old with a healthy track record of success.
His decline this season (11 goals and 13 assists in 42 games) isn’t overly complicated. His shooting percentage has dropped almost a full six points from last year, and with it, so has his goal-scoring production. Kyrou has another five years on his contract after this season at an AAV of $8.13MM, and he could be a bargain depending on how motivated St. Louis is to shake things up.
The Blues are in no rush, though, and might hold firm on their asking price if they don’t get reasonable offers. From Kyrou’s perspective, this year has been one to forget offensively. However, many of his underlying numbers remain strong, and he should still be productive for the majority of his contract. The Blues have been a bad team this year, and without much support, Kyrou hasn’t been as effective as he was in years past, when he was a consistent 70-point threat.
Another Blues player who could use a new look is Parayko, who has been a mess this season after a good year last year. Parayko has never been an analytics darling, but some of his underlying numbers are ugly this season. Now, in fairness to the 32-year-old, he is being asked to shoulder a very heavy defensive load on a bad team that is going nowhere. It can’t be easy for the veteran to go in night after night knowing he’ll spend most of the game working in his own zone, but that is his reality in St. Louis. A fresh start in a less stressful role could be precisely what Parayko needs at this stage of his career, but he won’t come cheap, as St. Louis likely still views him as a premium asset.
Moving back east, the Devils paid a premium three years ago to acquire Timo Meier from the San Jose Sharks and hoped he would become a force in their top six as they entered their window of contention. Meier quickly signed a pricey extension with the Devils worth $8.8MM annually (on an eight-year deal), and it looked as though it was an excellent match for both sides.
Since joining New Jersey, Meier hasn’t been the same offensive contributor he was in San Jose, and some of his underlying numbers have taken a hit as well. Offensively, he is still a 50+ point player, but that likely isn’t what the Devils had hoped for when they made the moves to bring him in long-term. Meier just ended a six-game pointless drought the other night and has been dealing with personal matters on the side, taking a leave of absence last month to attend to a family health matter.
It’s hard to say whether he would welcome a move or not, but it probably wouldn’t be the worst thing for the 29-year-old or the team. Once again, the Devils aren’t going to give Meier away, as he remains an effective player, but given how rough the last 18 months have been for the team, it might not be the worst thing to shake up the roster by moving on from Meier, Hamilton, or perhaps both players.
PHR Mailbag: Sabres, Ott, Panarin, Penguins, Lightning, CBA, IIHF
Topics in this edition of the PHR Mailbag include Artemi Panarin’s future which now won’t be with the Rangers, theorizing a possible Nikita Kucherov extension, and much more. We had enough questions from our latest callout for two more columns so if your question doesn’t appear here, watch for it in one of those.
12Kelly: I really think the Sabres should re-sign Tuch and continue to build this team around the core of Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, etc. The talent is in place to be able to deal from our young players such as Ostlund, Rosen, and maybe even Power to acquire a solid secondary scorer. Thoughts?
I imagine most Buffalo fans want to see Alex Tuch re-signed to a long-term deal. At a time when the team is trying to make the playoffs and emerge from a rebuild that has had several iterations already, losing a top-line winger is going to make that process much more difficult. Yes, it’s going to cost a lot of money (he’s not going to be on a value contract anymore) and with the long-term extension given to Josh Doan this week, it’s not going to leave a lot for pending RFA Zach Benson, among their others who need new deals. But this is a case of sign him and figure it out later.
While I agree philosophically that your other suggestion of moving youth for win-now help makes sense in the long haul, I’m not sure now is the right time for that. Right now, the Sabres are doing so well that it’d be hard to mess with team chemistry. And given how largely inexperienced they are, I’d want to see how their current core fares with the prospect of meaningful games down the stretch and possibly the playoffs. I’d then use those evaluations to help determine how best to proceed over the summer. By then, they’ll know what’s happening with Tuch and whether they’re needing to replace him. Meanwhile, if they do re-sign him, they may be hard-pressed to afford another top-six piece for next season.
I want to highlight Owen Power specifically for a moment. Yes, he’s overpaid for the role he has right now but Bowen Byram is eligible for unrestricted free agency in less than a year and a half. If you trade Power for a scorer and then Byram goes elsewhere in 2027, now the back end is in trouble. If they can extend Byram, then Power looks like more of a viable trade chip. Needing to wait to do an extension (that can’t happen until this July) should take Power off the table for the time being.
vincent k. mcmahon: What are your thoughts on Steve Ott being named the HC of the Thunderbirds for the rest of the season?
Also, do you think this is a potential tryout for Ott to be the next HC if the Blues move on from Jim Montgomery? (which I don’t foresee happening but it’s not completely off the table).
I’m a little surprised it took this long for Ott to get that spot. I thought he’d have landed it a couple of years ago when Steve Konowalchuk took over behind their bench. By all accounts, Ott has done a very solid job behind the bench in St. Louis since ending his playing career to the point where he has been brought up as a speculative head coaching candidate off and on the last two offseasons. This is the next logical step in his coaching career.
If things go well (it’s always a little tough with more veteran-laden teams where the floor is high but the ceiling often low) and things turn around down the stretch, Ott might get serious head coaching consideration this summer. Realistically, it might take another year or two. By then, we’ll know if the Blues are partway through a rebuild or if they’re still trying to win with a veteran core in which case a rookie head coach might not make the most sense for them.
That said, knowing that the shelf life of an NHL head coach is often only a few years, there’s a possibility that the window lines up for Ott and the Blues. But I wouldn’t be shocked if he’s already behind another NHL bench by the time St. Louis ponders its next coaching change down the road.
LA All Day: I’m curious as to where the Artemi Panarin sweepstakes are at, and if the Kings are considered a frontrunner or possible landing spot here. Does Holland’s aggressive nature end up landing the Kings their much-needed scorer, or will another team end up out-bidding LA once again?
Tucsontoro1: Should the Hawks make a serious run at Panarin?
At this point, it’s too early in the process to call anyone a frontrunner for Panarin. By all accounts, his goal was to re-sign with the Rangers. He just wasn’t willing to take a big discount to do so but I believe his and his agent’s expectation was that eventually, something would get done. While he didn’t say much in the aftermath of the letter that GM Chris Drury released a little more than a week ago, I think the confusion he spoke about was genuine. To go from that to having a shortlist of teams to go to in a week seems a little too quick for me.
I don’t expect Panarin to give the Rangers a big list of teams he’d be willing to go to. And with full trade protection, he controls the show. I could see the list only being two or three teams deep. Whoever those are will be the ultimate frontrunners. It might take until after the Olympics for that list to be presented.
As for the Kings specifically, they need offense and Panarin brings a lot of it so from that standpoint, there’s a fit. I’m not sure he necessarily fits in with the way they play but talent is talent and they need more firepower. Sometimes, it’s best not to overthink it. They’re also a big-market team and that mattered to Panarin in free agency. Having said that, given their inability to get past the first round in recent years and that they continue to spin their wheels, so to speak, I’d be surprised if Los Angeles is on that shortlist. If they are, however, they have the cap space and some younger assets that might appeal to the Rangers so they could make a real push for him. I expect GM Ken Holland would go big on an offer, especially if it comes with a contract extension.
Chicago is an interesting idea. Is he too old to fit in with their young core? Probably. But at the same time, they need a legitimate influx of firepower and for all the cap space and young assets they have, they haven’t been able to get a true top liner. They’ve done alright with some in-between fillers (Tyler Bertuzzi, for example) but Panarin’s at another level. But for the fit to be viable, there would have to be a contract extension as part of the swap. Trading for Panarin as a rental isn’t a great idea for a team whose playoff aspirations aren’t the greatest. But if Panarin is willing to return to the Blackhawks for the longer term, putting him as Connor Bedard’s winger (or anchoring a second line) would certainly help get them to the next phase in their rebuild, one that sees them legitimately battling for a playoff spot.
rayk: The NYR now have only $2.26 mill in cap space. Even at the deadline, how can they find teams Panarin okays (has NMC) that can afford him at his big salary, even with some salary retention? Most of the contenders have little cap space also, and will need the max retained.
For the Rangers, that cap space number is with Panarin on the books in full at $11.643MM. Even if they retain the maximum of 50% of that, they’re still freeing up over $5.8MM (in full-season space) so they’re more than fine in that regard. Now, it does limit them a bit in that they can’t take much more back in offsetting salary than what they’re freeing up but it will be more than workable for them to find a suitable trade for him.
A roughly $5.82MM price tag (with max retention) is a lot for some contenders to afford today. But six weeks from now at the trade deadline, it’s a lot easier. A team with around $2.5MM in space today has over $5MM at the deadline, assuming no other roster moves are made between now and then.
Looking at some playoff teams (or close enough teams) that have around $5MM in room at the deadline (per PuckPedia), I see Colorado, Anaheim, Boston, Buffalo, Minnesota, Utah, Carolina, Los Angeles, and Pittsburgh above that threshold. Several others are already there that aren’t playoff threats at the moment but things could change between now and then. Are all of them going to want Panarin? Or, more specifically, how many of those will he want? I wouldn’t be too worried about the cap element, it will be workable enough for New York to get a good return.
Specialist412: Do you think the Pens will be buyers or sellers? Dubas is real quiet right now, I wonder if he has something big up his sleeve.
Kyle Dubas has never been shy about taking swings but I think deep down, he knows this core is not good enough to be a long-term contender. So I don’t see him being a big buyer, at a minimum. If they’re still in the mix six weeks from now, they have extra picks in the second and third rounds for each of the next three years. Flipping one or two of those for short-term help would make sense and could be justified within the context of not significantly affecting their long-term core or depleting their prospect pool. I doubt they’d do more than that, though.
I think his preference would be to capitalize on a seller’s market if they’re out of the race. The parity plays into the favor of whoever decides to sell given that there will be more buyers than sellers so there should be good returns out there, especially for someone like Rickard Rakell who it feels like has been in trade speculation for years now. But the fact they’re in the race will cause them to push pause for the time being and assess things coming out of the Olympic break.