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Injury Notes: Parise, Letang, Kadri, Ellis

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The Minnesota Wild will welcome Zach Parise back tonight when they take on the Florida Panthers. Parise will be making his season debut after just a one-game conditioning stint with the Iowa Wild, and will attempt to get his season off to a good start against a Panthers team that Minnesota will meet for a second time in six games.

Parise hasn’t played in more than 74 games in a single season since 2011-12, but is still an integral part of the Minnesota forward group. Receiving Selke votes as one of the leagues best defensive forwards six out of the last eight years, and only a few seasons removed from a 33-goal season, the Wild will hope Parise’s presence will kick-start their playoff pursuit. The Wild find themselves in fifth place in the Central Division, but only a single point behind the Anaheim Ducks for the second wildcard spot.

  • Kris Letang and Justin Schultz both took their regular spots at practice this morning for the Pittsburgh Penguins, which could indicate their return tonight against the Philadelphia Flyers. For the Penguins, who are still sitting outside a playoff spot (three points back of the New York Islanders), getting Letang and Schultz back would be invaluable. If one or both can quickly return to peak form, the team will once again be one to watch in the Eastern Conference.
  • Nazem Kadri will return for the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight after suffering what appeared to be a concussion against the Arizona Coyotes. Kadri told reporters today including Kristen Shilton of TSN that it in fact was just a neck injury and that he never did feel any concussion symptoms. His return will allow the Maple Leafs to move Patrick Marleau back to the wing, where he is more accustomed and effective.
  • Ryan Ellis was scheduled to return on January 2nd, and it looks like he’ll make that happen. The Nashville Predators defenseman and associate captain will likely play his first game of the season after head coach Peter Laviolette told Adam Vignan of the Tenessean that Ellis was “right there and ready to go.”

The Case For Points Percentage

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It’s not often in sports that there is a need for something as trivial as a change in how standings are listed. Yet, that is the exact situation that the NHL faces. Ever since the league changed its schedule format a few years back so that every team played in every building every year, scheduling has become increasingly difficult and teams play out their seasons far differently from one another. The result, at any given point in the season, is a wide gap in games played between teams across the league – one that has stretched as high as 8 games between the teams with the most and fewest games played.

With a points-based standings system, a games played gap greatly misrepresents the success of teams relative to one another. While anyone can look and see that a 25-5-5 team is superior to a 22-10-11, the problem is that the standings say otherwise – both teams have 55 points – and the average layperson isn’t going to calculate a metric to differentiate the two when just casually looking at the standings. In the end, all teams play 82 games, but for the ease of fans and even some media members to better analyze how teams are performing in-season, and additional metric is needed.

That metric is points percentage, which of course is the amount of points a team has accrued (two-point wins and one-point OT/shoot-out losses) out of how many possible points they could have earned with a win in each game. Similar to winning percentage, the main standings metric for the MLB and traditionally listed on NFL and NBA standings as well, points percentage is an easy way to show how teams are doing relative to a .500 mark and, more importantly, relative to each other. The only problem is that, while very easy to calculate and very useful, no one in hockey is yet using this stat in their standard standings. NHL.com should, above everyone else, at least use points percentage in their standings, especially since it is a metric they have on hand, but they don’t. Instead, users can go to team stats, where it is a searchable statistic, and refine their search by conference and division to see relevant standings. Helpful, right? ESPN, TSN, Fox Sports, and CBS Sports are among the other major sports information outlets who have yet to adopt points percentage for their NHL standings, continuing to leave fans without complete information.

The one site hockey fans should use: the old stand-by Hockey Reference. The reliable stats site lists points percentage right alongside points in its 2017-18 standings, allowing for an easy look at the true performances of teams so far this season. Do yourself a favor, and take a quick look. Points percentage is topical right now, as a perfect case study is playing out in the Atlantic Division. Yes, the season is only a quarter of the way in, but the margin in games played is already skewing the view of the league’s weakest division:

Fans of the struggling Montreal Canadiens are ecstatic to be back in a playoff spot with 27 points in 27 games and fans of the Detroit Red Wings are proud of their club for sticking around with 25 points in 26 games, good enough for fifth place in the division. What about the fourth-place Boston Bruins? Well, the Bruins have 26 points… but in 23 games. Due to the gap in games played between the B’s and the Habs and Wings, it looks like Boston is just another team in the mix. Yet, in terms of points percentage they are a ways ahead. The Bruins are currently at .565, right up there with the New York Rangers, Pittsburgh Penguins, and Washington Capitals within the Eastern Conference. The Canadiens are at .500, no better than the Atlantic’s sixth-place squad, the Ottawa Senators, and well outside playoff contention at this point. The Red Wings are at just .481, a success rate much closer to the Florida Panthers than the Bruins.

The whole outlook of the Atlantic is skewed due to the games played gap and points percentage is a clear way to show accurate standings. It is also a straightforward metric to calculate and display. So why haven’t more platforms adopted it? It’s time for the NHL and other sports media outlets to help out hockey’s spectators and format their standings to actually show how the season is going.

Minor Transactions: 11/30/17

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The NHL is back at it with seven games scheduled for tonight, including another meeting of Connor McDavid and Auston Matthews in Edmonton. Both young superstars are riding five-game goalless droughts, which could mean a high-scoring affair is in order if either breaks out. Matthews was held without a shot for the first time in his career on Tuesday night against the Calgary Flames, something that seems unlikely to repeat. The league will surely have several transactions today as teams get ready for the weekend, and as always we’ll keep track of them right here.

  • The Buffalo Sabres have recalled goaltender Linus Ullmark from Rochester, a transaction that interestingly includes “for practice” in its release. It’s not clear which goaltender is being held out today or for what reason, so we’ll have to wait and see what happens at practice. The Sabres play the Penguins tomorrow night at home, before heading to Pittsburgh for the second half of a back-to-back. It could simply be because of Ullmark’s strong play in the AHL, as Chad Johnson certainly hasn’t won any fans in his return to Buffalo. Through 10 appearances, Johnson has an .885 save percentage.
  • The Nashville Predators have swapped backup goaltenders once again, recalling Anders Lindback and assigning Juuse Saros to the AHL. The team has done this throughout the season to get playing time for both men, even with Saros’ struggles at both levels.

New York Rangers Could Be Sellers This Year

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When the New York Rangers selected Lias Andersson seventh-overall in the 2017 NHL draft, it was a long time coming. The Rangers hadn’t selected in the first 40 picks for four consecutive drafts, and had just one top-10 pick (Dylan McIlrath at #10 in 2010) in the previous twelve. To get Andersson, they’d had to move Derek Stepan and Antti Raanta, two extremely important pieces of their 2016-17 season. They had sold assets for the first time in many years, and now Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet seems to think they may not be done. In his latest “31 Thoughts” column, Friedman writes that New York is not interested in just being an average NHL team, and could be heading towards a partial rebuild with an appetite for prospects and draft picks.

"<strongSpeculation from this opening salvo will surely run rampant around the hockey world, with players like Mats Zuccarello and Ryan McDonagh both listed outside of the perceived untouchables. The Rangers have several pending unrestricted free agents and others with just one year remaining on their deal after this season, including the above mentioned duo. Zuccarello and McDonagh would be huge trade deadline additions if the Rangers don’t right the ship entirely, and with a 4-7-2 record they have an early fight on their hands for relevancy in the Metropolitan Division.

If the Rangers are truly committed to a quick rebuild led by Andersson and fellow first-round pick Filip Chytil, you have to wonder where Rick Nash will find himself playing down the stretch. The 33-year old winger has just four points through 13 games, but is carrying an incredibly low 4.3% shooting percentage that is sure to rebound to somewhere closer to his career average of 12.2%. Nash has a partial no-trade clause, but perhaps a bigger impedance for a trade is his salary. Not only does he carry a $7.8MM cap hit, but Nash is owed $8.2MM in salary this season and none of it was paid out in signing bonuses. Finding a team that has both the cap space and available real cash will be tricky, and might require the Rangers to retain some salary.

Still, the team will be one to watch all season for how they react to a poor start. They actually have quite a reasonable schedule coming up this month, without a single back-to-back situation and four instances of at least two days in a row off. If they take advantage of that, it might not look so dreary as they head into winter and really start discussing trades.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Robert Bortuzzo Receives Maximum Fine

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The NHL Department of Player Safety was working quickly today. During the matinee match-up between the St. Louis Blues and New York Islanders, Blues defenseman Robert Bortuzzo was handed a double-minor for repeated cross-checks to the back of Isles forward Brock Nelson. (video) Not long after the end of the game, Player Safety announced that Bortuzzo would be fined $3,091.40, the maximum fine under the CBA.

While a seemingly random and not overwhelming amount, the fine is not without some effect. Bortuzzo’s salary for the 2017-18 season is just $1.15MM, which prorated to an 82-game schedule, is about $14K a night. Bortuzzo not only served his four minute penalty this afternoon, he also lost nearly a quarter of his game check. It’s not a major loss, but then again for a simple cross-checking penalty following an admittedly major hit from Nelson, it does send a message. The NHL is working toward cleaning up the game and even a small fine such as this may help to eliminate a violent, pointless penalty like Bortuzzo’s.

Nevertheless, St. Louis – and Bortuzzo – will take a fine over a suspension any day. With five starters already on the injured reserve, including defenseman Jay Bouwmeester, the Blues can ill afford another loss. Bortuzzo also saves that other 75% of his per game that he would otherwise lose with a one-game suspension for example. With that said, the bruising blue liner will have to watch his step for the remainder of the season; chances are Player Safety won’t be as nice to a repeat offender.

Morning Notes: Hejduk, Juolevi, Big Question

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The Colorado Avalanche might not have a ton to look forward to, if this year is anything like the last, but one thing on the schedule should bring fans to their feet. On January 6th, before their game against the Minnesota Wild, the Avalanche will raise Milan Hejduk’s number 23 to the rafters and retire it from use.

It will be the sixth such sweater retired, to go along with Joe Sakic, Peter Forsberg, Patrick Roy, Adam Foote and Ray Bourque, all teammates of Hejduk. The franchise also retired Peter Stastny, Michel Goulet, Marc Tardif and J.C. Tremblay before moving from Quebec City. Hejduk ranks second all-time among Colorado (not Quebec) players in most offensive categories, trailing only Sakic. He played his entire career for the organization, scoring 805 points in 1,020 regular season games.

  • Though rumors have been circulating that Vancouver Canucks prospect Olli Juolevi already has a deal in place to play in Europe should he not break camp with the team, Rick Dhaliwal of News 1130 caught up with Agent Markus Lehto who quickly shot them down. Juolevi was selected fifth-overall in 2016 but returned to the London Knights to play last season. It’s not clear if the Canucks want to keep him in the NHL this year, or if he could benefit from some more seasoning in either the OHL or Europe. He’s still only 19, and though he still projects as a top defenseman, it would be tough to make the jump right away.
  • Emily Kaplan of ESPN asked a large group of players what one rule change they would institute if they were commissioner, and the resounding answer was to allow players to go to the Olympics. While many of the other responses are both insightful and funny, it’s clear that the majority of the league—even those who would have no chance of playing in the tournament—dislikes the league’s decision.

Morning Notes: Rendulic, Sandstrom, Olympics

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Former Vancouver Canucks forward Borna Rendulic has signed with the Pelicans of the Finnish Liiga, returning to Europe after three seasons in North America. Rendulic spent most of last season with the Utica Comets of the AHL, getting into just a single game at the NHL level. Though he’s just 25, Rendulic became a Group VI unrestricted free agent this summer and was able to go anywhere he wanted.

Ample size and strength led Rendulic to some early success in the AHL, but his NHL opportunities with both Vancouver and Colorado were less inspiring. In 15 NHL games he had just two points, and signed just a one-year deal in Finland to try and rebuild his value on the European stage.

  • The Philadelphia Flyers have arguably the best group of goaltending prospects in the league, and they won’t have to make a decision on playing time for at least one of them this season. That’s because according to Bill Meltzer of NHL.com, Felix Sandstrom will stay in Sweden for another season, a plan both sides are happy with. The team already has Alex Lyon as the starter in Lehigh Valley, Carter Hart heading back to junior and Anthony Stolarz coming off injury. There wouldn’t have been much room for Sandstrom in North America, even if his development there has warranted a closer look.
  • As the pre-Olympic schedule pushes on, and teams around the world start to put together their rosters, Stephen Whyno of the Associated Press examines the differences between how Team Canada and Team USA have decided to build. Tony Granato and the other US coaches will keep their “day jobs” at places like the University of Wisconsin, while Hockey Canada is all-in with Willie Desjardins taking the reins full-time.

NHL Announces Preseason Schedule

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Hockey will return in just over a month. The NHL today announced their preseason schedule which starts with a game between the Vancouver Canucks and Los Angeles Kings on September 16th. That same match-up will play again in China just five days later, for the first NHL game ever played in the country.

The schedule includes 109 games overall, spread out over 16 days. The Canucks seem to be at the center of everything, as they’ll also host the Vegas Golden Knights’ first ever preseason game on September 17th. Vegas will also be part of the last game before the regular season, hosting the San Jose Sharks on October 1st.

The regular season kicks off three days later on October 4th, with four games including the Stanley Cup banner being raised in Pittsburgh when the Penguins take on the St. Louis Blues.

The full preseason schedule can be found below (all times EST):

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U.S. National Development Program Announces 2017-18 Schedule

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It’s hard to make an argument that the American junior hockey system is superior to the Canadian junior hockey system. Sure, the USHL has been improving every year and the growth of college hockey has lead to a greater proportion of NHL draft picks coming out of the U.S. junior ranks than ever before. Still, the depth of talent and caliber of player coming out of the OHL, WHL, and QMJHL will almost always stand up to the best of the USHL or other lower tier leagues. However, the one thing Canadian juniors does not have that has been wildly successful in the United States is the presence of a National Development Program.

Located in Plymouth, Michigan the USNTDP houses both a U-18 and U-17 team, both of which travel throughout the country and sometimes even the globe to play hockey at many levels. The 2017-18 schedule, announced today, highlights the uniqueness of the national program. Unlike Canadian juniors, which can dominate the lives of the players, the teams largely travel on weekends, freeing the players up to live somewhat normal lives as high school students during the week. Additionally, rather than play against the same competition all year long, the team mixes it up quite a lot. Both squads play a majority of their games against local USHL competition and both also participate in national and international tournaments, but the U-17 team also squares off against teams from the Tier II NAHL, while the U-18 team is tested in exhibition games against NCAA programs from around the country. The U-18 team is scheduled to go up against college power houses like Harvard, Boston University, North Dakota, and Notre Dame this season.

Recruited from around the country, USNTDP players are the best of the best of junior-age Americans. The program has produced current NHLers like Auston Matthews, Jack Eichel, Patrick Kane, Phil Kessel, Seth Jones, and Zach Werenski just to name a few, with Calder candidates like Charlie McAvoy, Clayton Keller, and Alex Tuch about to make the jump as well. The prospect machine doesn’t show any signs of slowing down, so don’t miss the opportunity to catch the team in action if any of their games are with reachable distance. Current U-18 members include 2018 projected top picks like Joel Farabee, Bode Wilde, Oliver Wahlstrom and Jake Wise, who you’ll know soon enough as budding NHL stars.

Calvin de Haan Signs With New York Islanders

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Calvin de Haan was one of two remaining players scheduled for arbitration, and was set to have a hearing this morning in Toronto to decide his fate. Just before that happened, the two sides have agreed upon a new one-year deal worth $3.3MM. The two sides had been more than $3MM apart in their arbitration figures, but met somewhere in the middle for de Haan’s final season before unrestricted free agency. "<strong

Now 26-years old, de Haan is coming off the best statistical season of his career. Registering 25 points, he played in all 82 games for the Islanders and averaged almost 20 minutes a night. Though his role is likely unchanged with the trade of Travis Hamonic, he could see a slight bump in special teams time as the Islanders will likely be icing a pair of youngsters at some point throughout the year in Ryan Pulock and Adam Pelech.

de Haan really impressed at the recent World Championships for Team Canada and will now immediately jump to near the top of both a trade candidate and potential free agent list. If the Islanders are out of the playoff race by February, you’ll surely hear his name in rumors to add to a Cup contender. He’ll also be an interesting option on the free agent market, with his combination of youth and two-way play. With many players already starting to sign extensions, he could be one of the top options and earn a contract similar to Karl Alzner on the open market, if not even bigger.

That’s not to say that the Islanders can’t re-sign him, as he’s never shown any indication he doesn’t want to play for them. This agreement could be just a way to avoid the sometimes painful process of arbitration, which can be detrimental to a professional relationship. The two sides can work with the $3.3MM amount, which represents a slight raise on the $2.9MM he earned last year, but fits into the Islanders’ salary structure well. Signing him any longer may have never been an option for the club, as they have a huge offseason coming up next summer.

John Tavares, Josh Bailey, Nikolai Kulemin, Brock Nelson, Shane Prince, Alan Quine, Thomas Hickey, Ryan Pulock and now de Haan are all free agents of one sort or another, giving the team the option to go in one direction or another. That decision likely depends on Tavares’ decision on whether or not to stay long-term. If he doesn’t, the team has an easy tear down to try and rebuild around their young players like Josh Ho-Sang and Mathew Barzal, and de Haan could be more valuable on a cheap one-year deal at the deadline than a long-term contract with a much higher cap-hit. This will be a very important first half of the season for the Islanders, as their franchise could go in very different directions at mid-season.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

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