Notes: Stalberg, Bieksa, Vegas
Ottawa’s Viktor Stalberg could be seeing a quick return to playoff action. Coach Guy Boucher stated that the speedy winger is “hopeful” for Game 1 of the Conference Finals series against Pittsburgh tomorrow. When he left the lineup midway through Game 6 against the New York Rangers, it was uncertain how long he would be sidelined. Stalberg has proved a solid addition to an already deep forward corps since acquired by GM Pierre Dorion at the deadline. His flexibility has been a useful asset for Boucher, who has been able to slot him up and down the lineup. Stalberg provides solid penalty killing and has added energy to the new second line alongside Derick Brassard and Bobby Ryan.
- Kevin Bieksa did not take the ice tonight for the Anaheim Ducks in their first game against the Nashville Predators. Bieksa has been in and out of the lineup for coach Randy Carlyle. Bieksa is obviously nursing a substantial lower-body issue, although there have been plenty of options on the blueline to replace him. He’s missed the last six games and was a potential go for this evening. The Ducks have had many of their players quickly recover from short-term injuries and return to action, leaving the likes of Korbinian Holzer and Clayton Stoner in the press box. Winger Patrick Eaves is also out with an injury for the team, as is the mobile but fragile defenseman Simon Despres.
- Mock drafts are all the rage with the fast-approaching Vegas Golden Knights expansion draft. Plenty of moves are sure to precede the events which will start on June 18th and conclude on the 21st. TSN’s Scott Cullen provided an interesting potential squad to add to consideration. It included the likes of Brian Dumoulin, Matt Dumba, and Trevor van Riemsdyk on D, as well as forwards Lee Stempniak, Vladislav Namestnikov, and Craig Smith. It seems like potent offensive talent will be the hardest role to fill in any hypothetical Golden Knights roster, but hopefully the addition of flashy center Vadim Shipachyov can alleviate some of that need. Defense should be easy to come by, especially considering that many teams will opt to only protect three of their own. Regardless, the concern franchises will have over losing valuable pieces for nothing at all will certainly spur movement of some kind.
Injury Notes: Crosby, Ryan, Karlsson
Sidney Crosby took to the ice today before practice and is continuing to be evaluated on a day-to-day basis. The Pittsburgh Penguins captain was diagnosed with a concussion, and amazingly has not been ruled out yet for game 5 on Saturday night. While it would be unbelievable to see him back in the lineup so soon, it is encouraging to see him back on the ice.
Crosby’s absence was definitely felt in game 4, as the Capitals dominated play for long stretches and kept the Penguins under 19 shots on goal despite five powerplays. The fact that the team won without him is a testament to their depth, but they would obviously welcome him back with open arms when he is deemed ready. That readiness is an interesting debate though, as even if he’s feeling perfectly fine he could still be in danger of suffering a further head injury. With a long history of concussions, the Penguins ought to be very careful not to bring him back too soon.
- Bobby Ryan will be back in the lineup for the Ottawa senators tonight, along with Tom Pyatt and Chris Wideman. Ryan exited game 3 after taking a slapshot from teammate Erik Karlsson, playing just under 12 minutes. He’s an important piece to get back, as he’s turned a terrible season into an excellent playoffs, recording eight points in nine games. Zack Smith, who also exited game 3 with an injury will be a game-time decision for the Senators.
- Speaking of Karlsson, Michael Farber of Sports Illustrated penned an excellent piece talking about the hairline fractures that the Senators’ captain has been playing with. The article goes in-depth on how the Senators viewed Karlsson as a youngster, and how he has now developed beyond even their wildest dreams. “Zubov without the cigarettes” has turned into a legitimate contender for the Hart trophy every year, and at just 26 will have a chance to earn one of the biggest contracts ever given out to a defenseman when he becomes an unrestricted free agent in 2019.
Snapshots: GM Report Cards, Rangers, Nashville’s Defense
Hockey Graphs takes an in-depth look at the 31 general managers in the NHL (including Vegas and those who were recently let go–Dean Lombardi and Tim Murray) using a variety of different metrics. Leading the pack is Nashville’s Dave Poile, while the Canucks’ Jim Benning rounds out the list at number thirty-one. It’s a list that relies heavily on advanced metrics and other measurements, staying in line with Hockey Graph’s dedication to taking the emotion out of hockey analysis and instead, using the quantitative side (with a smattering of qualitative analysis) to create the list. Part one of the article helps make sense of how they came up with their rankings while giving a background to the metrics used.
- Newsday’s Steve Zipay reports that the Rangers aren’t looking too far ahead as they try to even up their series against Ottawa tomorrow night. After drubbing the Sens 4-1, the Rangers have an advantage as Bobby Ryan and Zack Smith are both injured, and the Sens will have to “alter” lines. Several Rangers were adamant that while falling into a 3-1 hole would be difficult to overcome, netminder Henrik Lundqvist said they must take it one game at a time. Zipay adds that though Rick Nash didn’t practice, he will absolutely be playing in Game 4.
- ESPN’s Chuck Gormley writes that its the Nashville blueline is wreaking havoc through these playoffs, pacing the Preds’ strong play and making a case for the organization’s first Stanley Cup. The team’s defenseman has eight goals and fourteen assists in just eight games, and according to Gormley, it’s looking more and more like the trade for P.K. Subban will tilt heavily in Nashville’s favor as the victor of the deal. Gormley highlights each player on the blueline, and writing that should the Predators continue on the path they are, it could be an epic matchup in the next round should Edmonton continue its ascent through the playoffs.
Bobby Ryan Leaves Game 3
Already without Zack Smith since the first period, the Senators are down a second forward in the third period.
Winger Bobby Ryan took an Erik Karlsson slapshot to the knee as he was standing in front of the Rangers’ Henrik Lundqvist. Ryan limped to the bench and left down the tunnel shortly thereafter.
Ryan had a season to forget, with just 25 points in 62 games. He’s rebounded nicely in the playoffs, with eight points in nine playoff appearances including an overtime winner in the first round. Ryan set up the Senators’ only goal in Game 3 with a beautiful no-look pass from behind the net to Jean-Gabriel Pageau.
Ottawa’s Expansion Conundrum
The Ottawa Senators are in for a tough decision come the completion of their playoff run, whenever that might be. Ottawa has a team which is built upon depth and scoring by committee, but each NHL team can only protect 7 forwards, 3 defensemen, and 1 goaltender – or alternatively, 8 total skaters and 1 goaltender in the upcoming expansion draft. The Senators are in a situation where they will likely prefer to lose a veteran with a large contract. This seems doubly true because the organization is believed to have an internal cap for financial reasons, and will need to clear space in order to hand out hefty raises to Mark Stone and Kyle Turris following the 2017-18 campaign.
Obviously, Erik Karlsson, Stone, Turris, and Mike Hoffman will be protected. Karlsson is a perennial Norris favorite, captain of the team, and one of the best offensive defensemen the game has seen in decades. Stone and Hoffman are the driving forces behind offensive production, and are both on the young end of their primes. Turris has finally, fully come into his own as a number one center, posting a 27 goal, 55 point season. Considering the price to acquire him (Mika Zibanejad) and the relative value of centers to this team which isn’t too formidable up the middle, Derick Brassard also seems a certainty to stay. Craig Anderson is the obvious pick in net. He’s been an absolute rock that the team has depended on the past few seasons, and this year was simply extraordinary. Cody Ceci is also a rather safe bet, consider minutes logged, age, and his role on the back-end. Marc Methot should seemingly be a core piece to the defense as well, but as we will soon see, his situation is far more complicated. So, in terms of definitely protected players:
Forward: Hoffman, Stone, Turris, Brassard
Defense: Karlsson, Ceci
Goalie: Anderson
That leaves 3 forwards and 1 defensemen, or, alternatively, 2 total skaters to protect. It seems somewhat unlikely (although not impossible) that they will opt for the latter option. If we look at the potential list of who can be protected, there are no easy answers. Up front, Alexandre Burrows seems to have been a solid fit, as he has played well since being promoted to Turris’ right wing on the top line, and his cap hit drops to a measly $2.5 MM going forward. Zack Smith has been a more-than-capable third-line center, and is signed to a cap-friendly deal for four years after this. Bobby Ryan is incredibly overpaid ($7.25 MM) considering his performance this past year (25 points), but has expressed his profound disappointment in his own season to the relative acceptance of the fanbase. It doesn’t hurt his cause that he has been Ottawa’s best skater this post-season by far, leading the team with 7 points through 6 games. Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Ryan Dzingel could also receive consideration for a protected forward spot, but only one is likely to remain unguarded.
In terms of defense, Dion Phaneuf has a bloated contract which would be especially helpful to be rid of. Phaneuf is getting an absurd $7 MM per year , but he is on the “must-protect” list due to his modified no-trade, no-movement clause. The team could ask him to waive, but considering his solid play of late, this is more difficult to conceive. There is also no guarantee that Vegas would be interested in the player. The up-and-coming Fredrik Claesson is exempt from the expansion draft and needs no protection. Therefore, it seems likely that Methot ($4.9 MM) will be the odd man out, as he would likely be exposed in the 7-3 option. This would be a difficult pill for Ottawa fans to swallow, as Methot has arguably been their best shutdown player and he logs a ton of tough minutes.
For a team that has worked so hard to shore up its back-end and add depth up front, there are no easy solutions for GM Pierre Dorion. If you lose Methot, you lose your best defensive defenseman – if you expose a resurgent Ryan, you surrender a creative offensive weapon. Either way, Vegas is likely going to pick one of its integral players from Canada’s capital city.
Senators Snapshots: Melnyk, Karlsson Daigle
As the 2017 trade deadline approached, the Ottawa Senators and owner Eugene Melnyk had a decision to make: would they be buyers or sellers? With Ottawa exceeding preseason expectations and in contention for a postseason slot, Melnyk authorized Senators GM Pierre Dorion to make two deadline deals, adding much-needed forward depth in the form of Alexandre Burrows and Viktor Stalberg, essentially betting on his club, as Bruce Garrioch of the Ottawa Citizen writes. As injuries have mounted down the stretch, Ottawa needed every bit of that depth to lock up a playoff spot.
Garrioch notes that those additions added roughly $2.5MM to the team’s payroll, not an insubstantial amount for a budget team. Ultimately, Melnyk believed that the team had gelled under new head coach Guy Boucher and instead of saving the cash he invested it in making his club better. Burrows got off to a fast start in Ottawa, netting four goals and six points in his first six contests with his new team. All told, Burrows and Stalberg have contributed eight goals and 12 points in 35 games combined.
The cost to acquire the veteran forwards, prospect Jonathan Dahlen It remains to be seen just how long the Senators postseason run will last, but it’ clear Melnyk’s faith has been rewarded with an opportunity to find out.
In other Senators news:
- With the Senators locked in a heated battle to secure a postseason spot and injuries to key players mounting, Boucher took a calculated risk in sitting star defenseman and team captain Erik Karlsson down the stretch, writes Ken Warren, also of the Ottawa Citizen. Karlsson, who leads the Senators in scoring with 71 points, is a likely Norris Trophy candidate and may well garner Hart Trophy consideration as well. Yet Boucher elected to give his team’s best player time to recuperate from a heel issue and it appears likely he’ll hold Karlsson out of the lineup this weekend despite Ottawa having a chance to secure home-ice advantage in the first round of the playoffs. The strategy has the potential to pay huge dividends if Karlsson returns even close to 100%. Ottawa also hopes to welcome Marc Methot, Zack Smith and Bobby Ryan back to the lineup and a healthy Sens team could surprise come playoff team.
- Lastly, while Alexandre Daigle‘s name is almost synonymous with the word bust, the Ottawa Citizen’s Don Brennan hypothesizes that Daigle was simply ahead of his time. Daigle, the top overall selection in the 1993 entry draft by the Senators, had the size and speed to be a star in any era but after scoring 20 goals and 51 points as an 18-year-old rookie, he struggled to find success in a league where clutching, holding and grabbing was common. Brennan believes had Daigle begun his career a decade later, when the NHL cracked down on obstruction, the gifted center would have reached his potential and been the superstar many projected him to be. For his part, Daigle has no regrets though he is hopeful his five-year-old son Vincent, who has just taken up the sport, will become a defenseman rather than an offensive forward like his dad. In Daigle’s mind there is too much pressure on forwards to score goals while defensemen can carve out a long pro career simply by mastering the ability to “chip the puck out.” Obviously those comments were not meant to be taken seriously but it likely does speak to how the style of game played during Daigle’s formative professional years stifled offense.
Ottawa Senators Will Not Allow Erik Karlsson To Play In Olympics, Should NHL Not Participate
It’s looking more and more like the NHL will not head to the upcoming Winter Olympics in South Korea, but certain star players have already come out saying they’ll attend no matter what. Alex Ovechkin in particular has already gotten the support of his owner for going either way, but some might not be so warm to the idea.
According to Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia, Ottawa Senators owner Eugene Melnyk will not allow superstar defenseman Erik Karlsson to play if the NHL doesn’t go.
No, no, it would be no, a flat no. I talked to [Daniel] Alfredsson about it and he understands the player would want to (attend), but I’m not going to risk that.
It’s a strong statement from Melnyk and the Senators, who also could have Bobby Ryan with an outside shot at the Team USA squad next year. Ryan suited up for the 2010 squad that won a silver medal, though was left off the 2014 team and the latest World Cup squad.
Melnyk might seem like just a cold businessman protecting his financial assets, but it’s more than that. He has a first hand experience with what might happen should he let his stars go.
I had a Cup in 2006 parked for me and waiting for me….We were there and what happens? Hasek. I’m not going to do that.
In 2o06, the Senators were a dominant team led by prime Dany Heatley and Daniel Alfredsson, and had one of the best goaltenders of all time in Dominik Hasek in net. Obviously they didn’t have the Stanley Cup locked up like Melnyk says, but they were as good of a threat as any to take it home.
Then at the Olympics Hasek injured himself and wouldn’t return. The team had to go into the playoffs with Ray Emery, who put up only a .900 save percentage and couldn’t keep up with the higher level of play. The Senators would lose to Hasek’s old team the Buffalo Sabres in the second round, despite having the second most points in the entire NHL in the regular season.
It will be interesting to see which owners allow the players to go, as many might just follow the decisions of their peers. When someone hears Melnyk’s story, and sees him refusing to let Karlsson go, it gets just a little bit easier to hold back your own players. At least Swedish defenders should be excited—a spot just opened up.
Senators Notes: Karlsson, Ryan, Anderson
Though it looked earlier this season like Brent Burns had locked up the Norris trophy by Christmas, Erik Karlsson has been pushing to make sure voters don’t forget about him. Mentioned by both Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet and Travis Yost of TSN today in their latest columns, people have noticed that Karlsson is now just eight points behind Burns and ready to burst into the NHL’s top-10 sooner or later. The defenseman is having another unbelievable season offensively but as Friedman notes, is also doing something else better.
Karlsson leads the NHL in blocked shots this season by a wide margin, easily outpacing his own career-high from last season. Though he may not be producing at quite the same rate offensively—though 62 points in 67 games shouldn’t be shrugged off—his defensive ability has seemingly improved once again. Blocked shots aren’t a very stable result, and shouldn’t simply be taken as evidence of an improved defensive game. But when combined with an increased +/- rating, decreased rate of minor penalties, and increased short-handed play, even the most “old-school” hockey fan should appreciate his defensive improvements.
- Bobby Ryan and Kyle Turris will both return to the lineup tonight, giving Ottawa a nice boost to their top-six after several weeks with uncertainty at the top. Ryan has been out since February 18th with a broken finger, and is having the worst season of his career. With five more seasons on his contract at $7.25MM per year, the Senators need him to turn things around as quickly as possible. Ryan will turn 30 on Friday, and has just 12 goals this season. If he doesn’t produce down the stretch, the Senators might even decide to leave him exposed and hope Vegas takes him off their hands in the expansion draft.
- After Bruce Garrioch of the Ottawa Sun reported that Craig Anderson wasn’t on the ice at this morning’s practice, thoughts immediately turned to his personal problems that have taken him away from the team several times this season. Turns out, it’s just a lower-body injury for Anderson who will be replaced by Chris Driedger tonight on the bench behind Mike Condon. There is no timetable on Anderson’s return as Garrioch reports, after head coach Guy Boucher said the team would be “checking it out further” later.
Injury Notes: Calvert, Carrick, Senators
The Columbus Blue Jackets have activated Matt Calvert off injured reserve as they get ready to play the Philadelphia Flyers tonight. After getting word that Ryan Murray will be out for four to six weeks, Calvert’s return should be welcome news in Columbus. The 27-year old winger hasn’t played since February 17th, out with a strained oblique muscle. Though he only has 11 points on the season, Calvert is a big part of the Blue Jackets’ bottom-six and penalty kill.
Following Calvert’s return, the Blue Jackets have sent T.J. Tynan back to the AHL. The diminutive forward had played three games for the team but rarely saw the ice. With less than eight minutes a night, Tynan was being wasted at the NHL level and instead will return to continue his excellent minor league season. With 30 points in 55 games, Tynan ranks second on the Cleveland Monsters in scoring and has shown a consistent ability to find his teammates.
- Connor Carrick was back skating with the Toronto Maple Leafs today, after missing the past eight games. According to James Mirtle of The Athletic, he likely won’t play tomorrow night against Florida but could make his return soon. The Maple Leafs have been flipping between Alexey Marchenko and Martin Marincin in his spot, both of whom have been largely ineffective.
- Bruce Garrioch of the Ottawa Sun gives us a report on the injured Senators, with some bad news surrounding Mark Stone. The forward is out on a week-to-week basis with a lower-body injury and will miss at least the next three games. Kyle Turris and Bobby Ryan are both close to a return though, which will provide some respite for a bruised and battered top-six. Ryan has been out since February 18th with his second broken finger of the year, and had been given a three to six week timetable.
- George Richards of the Miami Herald confirms what was expected, that both Aaron Ekblad and Denis Malgin will be out for seven to ten days with concussions. As with any concussion, that is a very rough estimate and either or both could last much longer. Not like a healing bone, brain injuries often react differently to different people. For now, Jakub Kindl will draw in tomorrow night against the Maple Leafs.
Expansion Draft Issues: Post-Trade Deadline
Last month, we looked at several teams facing some tough situations in regards to the upcoming NHL Expansion Draft and offered potential solutions to how they could address their needs for forwards, defensemen and goalies at the NHL Trade Deadline. With March 1st over and done with, many of those squads have solved their problems with signings or acquisitions.
Calgary Flames
Problem: Defense
Status: Solved
The Flames solved their problem of otherwise having to expose Mark Giordano, T.J. Brodie, or Dougie Hamilton with the ingenious signing of Matt Bartkowski, the only defenseman on the planet who was both free to acquire and automatically eligible for exposure in the draft. It’s a good thing they signed him too, since they ended up trading away their best fall-back option, young defenseman Jyrki Jokipakka.
Carolina Hurricanes
Problem: Defense
Status: Unsolved
It was a pretty quiet deadline in Raleigh, as the ‘Canes shipped out Ron Hainsey and Viktor Stalberg and then called it a day. What they didn’t do was acquire another body on the blue line to help solve their lack of a defenseman to expose. Carolina is still facing the problem of All-Star Justin Faulk being the only defenseman on the roster currently meeting the criteria for mandated exposure, due to the majority of their defensemen being too young to be eligible altogether. There is no way that Faulk is there for the taking by Vegas, but GM Ron Francis is left with only two choices: extend impending RFA Klas Dahlbeck or extend impending UFA Matt Tennyson and make sure he plays in seven more games this season, as he’s currently short of the 40-game mark.