Red Wings' Prospect Rasmussen Out 4-8 Weeks
- The Detroit Red Wings opted to have their latest first round draft pick, Michael Rasmussen, to have his wrist operated on according to The Detroit Free Press’ Helene St. James. The surgery will keep Rasmussen out of the lineup for 4-8 weeks, with general manager Ken Holland stating that the 2017 ninth overall pick had been playing in pain for quite some time. Instead of playing through pain, the Red Wings advised Rasmussen to take care of the issue now, and then return for a playoff run and training in the summer. Rasmussen suffered a broken wrist last season prior to the draft, giving the Red Wings some pause as to whether this will be a reoccurring problem. It certainly isn’t good news for a team trying to build through the draft. Rasmussen has played well for the WHL’s Tri-City Americans, potting 16 goals and 31 points in 22 games.
One Year Later: Revisiting A Red Wings Rebuild
For some teams in the NHL, a year makes quite the difference. Examples include the New Jersey Devils, or the Vegas Golden Knights, who at this point last year, didn’t even have a coach or roster. Yet for other teams, it’s more of the same or in some cases, worse. Despite valiant efforts to improve or an unwillingness to make a steadfast decision, many teams remained mired in mediocrity or near the bottom of their respective division.
The Detroit Red Wings are one of those teams.
Last December, I wrote about whether or not the Red Wings should embrace a full rebuild as the team was looking to miss the playoffs for the first time in 25 years. The “rebuild on the fly” strategy wasn’t working, and as the season would bear out, Detroit would indeed miss the playoffs.
Since then, the Red Wings have continued to take the middle road, refusing to do a complete tear down while still offering money to veterans that could potentially jumpstart the team. Trevor Daley was the latest example of that, and while he’s collected a few goals as of late, his five points (2-3) is hardly an effective return on investment for a defenseman making $3.17MM.
It’s a practice they’ve employed for nearly half a decade, and a three-win December are the recent fruits of that labor. Worse, the Red Wings are staring into the playoff abyss, nine points out of the final wildcard spot. At this point, it’s likely a fool’s paradise thinking that Detroit has any chance at making the playoffs. But general manager Ken Holland has gone on record saying he’s not interested in a rebuild. 
MLive’s Ansar Khan wrote extensively about their troubles, and beyond their goal scoring woes, the Red Wings, he writes, are exactly as their record indicates. At 13-15-1, they’re fooling no one, except maybe themselves, about making a playoff run. Khan doesn’t expect them to be in there, though he leaves it open for a miracle turnaround. He adds that their best bargaining chip is Mike Green, who could fetch a haul from the right team.
But the Red Wings problems run deeper than just missing the playoffs. It’s a stubborn refusal to do what might be painful but necessary. It’s something that many teams reluctantly did after years of suffering through malaise–be it the Toronto Maple Leafs or New Jersey Devils. Even the Los Angeles Kings broomed their general manager and coach, both of whom were in place for two Stanley Cup titles. Outside of Dylan Larkin and Anthony Mantha, Detroit has no elite talent capable of leading them into contender status once again. Andreas Athanasiou has struggled after waiting out a contract, and coach Jeff Blashill once again has him in the proverbial doghouse, giving him just 8:34 of ice time on Saturday.
Detroit News writer Gregg Krupa has been vocal about the “process” not working, and at some point, as the same errors and results continue, something has to be done to reverse course. As Holland works through his final year without an extension in place, one can only wonder if ownership believes that a fresh pair of eyes are needed to finally plunge into a rebuild that emphasizes youth. For all of the posturing that the Red Wings have made about infusing youth into their lineup, they’re still the oldest team in the NHL. The only question that remains is if they bring in new blood–much like Mike Ilitch did when he hired Jimmy Devellano away from the then dominant New York Islanders in 1982. That move would transition Detroit out of one of the most brutal stretches in team history, known as the “Dead Wings” era.
Though there are intriguing prospects waiting, none seem ready to step in and save the team. That type of talent is only found early on in the draft–or sometimes–a bit later if luck will have it. The Athletic’s Craig Custance (subscription needed) wrote about how the Red Wings drafting as of late hasn’t yielded the talent necessary to take the next step. This is troubling for a team trying to “rebuild on the fly.” If they can’t draft high-end talent and can’t make the playoffs either, it’s the perfect combination for a return to the hockey wilderness.
There are a lot of tough decisions ahead for the Red Wings. But it’s clear that their familiar approach isn’t working anymore.
What Could Detroit Get For Mike Green As A Rental?
Red Wings defenseman Mike Green is shaping up to be one of the top rental players available between now and the trade deadline. Accordingly, MLive’s Ansar Khan speculates that Detroit could try to land a late first-round pick for his services from a team that is guaranteed to be playoff-bound. If not, he thinks a pair of second rounders could be a realistic ask, especially considering the fact that Brendan Smith was able to yield a second and a third-round pick a year ago. Green has a $6MM cap hit but if the Wings are willing to retain on it (something that seems likely), they should be able to land a sizable return for his services.
Red Wings Notes: The Process, Athanasiou, Mantha
Count the Detroit News’ Gregg Krupa as one of the voices in the Detroit media calling it as he sees it. Through the ups and downs of what is considered an unacceptable season in Hockeytown, Krupa argues that “the process” of rebuilding on the fly is not working and a change is certainly due. What does that change look like? Playing the kids. Tyler Bertuzzi and Joe Hicketts, Krupa writes, should both be in Detroit getting minutes instead of, borrowing from general manager Ken Holland, “over-ripening.” Goaltender Petr Mrazek should be played and given chances to showcase his talent–which when confident–is immense. That same talent could be flipped for a draft pick or prospect. As for the “process” that head coach Jeff Blashill has extolled through the last few weeks of struggles, Krupa believes that such terminology is an affront to progress. The last 15 games are reason enough for the Red Wings to abandon any dim hopes of a playoff appearance, and instead, begin to plan for the future. But transactions through the last five seasons and coupled with comments this season seem to indicate the Red Wings front office believes in their plan.
- Andreas Athanasiou has struggled to replicate the success he saw last season, as the speedy forward is in the midst of an 11-game goal drought. Anthony Mantha also finds himself mired in a slump, having no points in six games while only having two goals and an assist in his last 13. MLive’s Ansar Khan writes that Blashill believes Athanasiou has actually played stronger while Mantha has struggled with turnovers. The 23-year-old Mantha likens his struggles to passing up shots and making things more complicated than they need to be. Athanasiou attributes his struggles to “bad bounces.” The one positive is that the supposed friction that existed between Blashill, and Athanasiou is apparently no more. Blashill complimented his young forward, saying he’s been “receptive” to coaching.
Decision On Jeff Blashill's Future Could Be Delayed Until Offseason
- Although the Red Wings have come crashing down as of late, Ted Kulfan of the Detroit News believes it’s unlikely that a midseason coaching change is on the horizon. Instead, he expects the team to wait until after the season and make a decision on Jeff Blashill’s fate at that time as well as GM Ken Holland. Holland’s contract is up at the end of the season so it may make more sense to make a decision on both their futures at the same time once April rolls around.
Atlantic Notes: Hoffman, Kane, Red Wings Rebuild
While a lot of talk about the Ottawa Senators currently revolves around defenseman Erik Karlsson, who will become a free agent in 2019 and expects top dollar, the Hockey News’ Lyle Richardson writes that a deal isn’t likely to happen any time soon as general manager Pierre Dorion still has hope that he can eventually work out an extension when the two parties can begin negotiating next July.
However, Richardson instead suggests the team might focus on moving some other pieces this season, especially pointing a finger at center Mike Hoffman. The 28-year-old will have two years remaining at 5.19MM AAV after this season, which increases his value. While his numbers are a little down (he’s only scored once in his last nine games), Hoffman is still in line for a solid 20-goal season as he currently has nine goals and 13 assists in 30 games. On top of that, he has put up 20 goals in each of his last three seasons.
Besides that, players such as Cody Ceci and Jean-Gabriel Pageau are other trade options, according to Richardson, but considering they are 23 and 25, respectively, the team may want to keep their youth if the goal is to rebuild the team. Bobby Ryan, Dion Phaneuf and Derick Brassard are also trade possibilities, but even less likely as all three have modified no-trade clauses and because of their high salaries, are unlikely to be going anywhere.
- In the same article, Richardson writes the Buffalo Sabres are not likely to trade forward Evander Kane before the upcoming holiday trade freeze (Dec. 19 to 26). It’s more likely the team will make a move after that as they are still trying to raise his pricetag. The 26-year-old looks to be having a career year as he already has 31 points this season in 33 contests, nearly a point a game, along with 14 goals. Richardson writes that several teams are likely to bid on Kane, including the San Jose Sharks, the St. Louis Blues, the Anaheim Ducks and the Calgary Flames, although few of them are good fits.
- Craig Custance of The Athletic (subscription required) compares the Toronto Maple Leafs roster and to the rebuilding plan of the Detroit Red Wings, pointing out where Detroit stands when it comes to building a franchise like the Maple Leafs. Custance writes that the obvious missing piece on the Red Wings is the lack of a superstar like Auston Matthews, but there some of the other pieces are present on the Red Wings roster. He compares Mitch Marner to that of Anthony Mantha, William Nylander to that of Dylan Larkin and Nazem Kadri to that of prospect Michael Rasussen and keeps going. Among many conclusions, Custance points out the lack of a superstar as well as the team’s need to grab a franchise-changing defenseman and goaltender, but feels Detroit might not be that far away if luck rolls their way.
Are The Atlantic Division Playoff Teams Already Set?
It’s December and the 82-game NHL season is not even half over. Think what you will about the “Thanksgiving Rule”, but a lot can change over a long season. There’s no telling exactly how things will shake out this early in the campaign.
Yet, it seems almost impossible that the 2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs entries from the Atlantic Division are not already set. The Tampa Bay Lightning (23-6-2, 48 pts, .774 PTS%) are the best team in the league. The Toronto Maple Leafs (20-13-1, 41 pts, .603 PTS%) are second in the division and tied for second in the Eastern Conference in points, despite a current three-game losing streak. The Boston Bruins (15-10-4, 34 pts, .586 PTS%) are the closest team to the Leafs in terms of points percentage in the East and rank third in points in the division with the least games played in the NHL. The rest of the teams in the Atlantic are not even close.
The Montreal Canadiens (14-14-4, 32 pts, .500 PTS%) perhaps represent the best bet at a spoiler in the Atlantic, but needed a 6-2-2 record in their last ten just to get to .500. The team is still struggling to find its identity under Claude Julien and there has been more talk of a rebuild than a playoff run this season. The Detroit Red Wings (12-13-7, 31 pts, .484 PTS%) are overachieving this season in the opinion of many, yet are still a ways out in the Atlantic. Despite a talented roster, the Florida Panthers (12-15-5, 29 pts, .453 PTS%) are in even worse shape. The Buffalo Sabres (8-18-7, 23 pts, .348 PTS%) are challenging for the worst record in the NHL and, with the team in turmoil, the Ottawa Senators (10-13-7, 27 pts, .450 PTS%) are trending in that direction as well.
As of now, these five Atlantic Division teams hold the five worst records in the Eastern Conference and five of the seven worst records in the entire NHL. Not only will they struggle to catch the Lightning, Leafs, and Bruins, but a wild card spot versus the relatively dominant Metropolitan Division also seems far outside the realm of possibility. If the Metro’s worst team is the two-time defending Stanley Cup champion Pittsburgh Penguins (16-14-3, 35 pts, .530 PTS%), how could any of the five hope to beat out its fourth and fifth best teams, currently the identical records of the New York Rangers and New York Islanders (17-12-3, 37 pts, .578 PTS%)?
A lot can change over the course of the NHL season, but in 2017-18 it seems very likely that the Atlantic Division playoff status is already set before the 2018 segment of the season even begins. Tampa Bay simply has too much talent to slow down. Toronto has the talent and youth to keep pushing forward. Boston is only now getting healthy for the first time this season. All three teams are likely to get better as the season progresses and, in turn, the gap between them and the remainder of the Atlantic will only get worse.
Dylan Larkin The Only Untouchable In Detroit
Despite winning just once in their last 11 games, the Red Wings haven’t shifted to sell mode just yet, reports TSN’s Bob McKenzie on TSN 1050 (audio link). As a result of what is looking like a fairly weak Atlantic Division, they’re still within striking distance of a playoff spot, sitting five points out heading into play on Friday. If that time does come, however, McKenzie notes that the only true untouchable for Detroit will be Dylan Larkin, who has rebounded nicely after a disappointing sophomore campaign. He adds that wingers Anthony Mantha and Andreas Athanasiou are players that would fall just outside that category but would require a significant overpayment to acquire. Realistically, their most marketable trade chip would be pending UFA defenseman Mike Green, whose offensive prowess would be a boost to several contenders around the league, assuming they can fit in his $6MM cap hit.
Snapshots: Mrazek, Mete, Nylander
Petr Mrazek has been in the news recently since we found out that the Edmonton Oilers had a passing interest in the Detroit Red Wings goaltender, but Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet now says it may have been more than just that. Friedman joined Sportsnet 960 radio out of Calgary this morning, and explained that one source told him it was even closer than he had originally thought.
I heard they were looking at Mrazek last week, and somebody told me after we mentioned it that it was a lot closer than I had kinda thought. I think they’d worked out that Detroit was going to keep about half the money, and they were trying to figure out the draft pick.
That would mesh with what we learned from Craig Custance of The Athletic recently, that a proposed asking price for Mrazek would be a second or third-round pick depending on whether Detroit was retaining salary. It might not matter anymore, as Edmonton seems to have cooled on Mrazek after watching him more closely and the team has just welcomed Cam Talbot back off injured reserve.
- Victor Mete is busy trying to make the Canadian World Junior team after spending the early portion of the season with the Montreal Canadiens, but may have an even bigger international tournament in his future. Pierre LeBrun of The Athletic reports that Mete is very much on the radar of the Canadian Olympic team, but still has some hurdles if he ever were to be invited. The Canadiens could bring Mete back to the NHL squad after the World Junior tournament, and the CHL still doesn’t have an agreement with Hockey Canada on if it will lend players to the Olympic squad. Those decisions won’t be made until after the World Juniors are over, which end on January 5th.
- Speaking of World Junior decisions, the Buffalo Sabres still haven’t made a choice on Alexander Nylander according to Mike Harrington of The Buffalo News. Sabres GM Jason Botterill wants to see Nylander play more at the AHL level before making that decision, after an injury has taken away much of the young forward’s season so far. Nylander has been disappointing so far in his professional career, scoring just 32 points in 77 AHL games. The eighth-overall pick in 2016 has huge upside, but needs to get back on track this season.
Prospect Updates: Kyrou, Cholowski
The St. Louis Blues are already having a great year. Adding to those good feelings is the performance of 2016 second round pick Jordan Kyrou, who is already approaching his goal totals from last year in nearly half the games. Kyrou notched 94 points last season (30-64) and already has 58 (19-41) this season in just 30 games. Should he play a full slate of 66 games, he’s on pace for 112 points and looks to be trekking in a similar trajectory of Chicago Blackhawks’ winger Alex DeBrincat, who has been scoring as the Hawks had hoped at the NHL level. Kyrou has a slightly bigger frame, the 19-year-0ld has hardly been a secret to the Blues. The St. Louis Dispatch’s Jim Thomas wrote back in November that both Kyrou and fellow Blues prospect and current London Knights center Robert Thomas are “tearing up” the OHL. Kyrou is also one cut away from making the Team Canada roster, where it’s expected he’ll showcase his scoring flair on the world stage in a few weeks.
- The Detroit Red Wings, on the other hand, need all the help they can get and defenseman Dennis Cholowski, a controversial pick after Detroit passed on grabbing Jakob Chychrun, has seen his stock rise quite a bit since going to the Prince George Cougars of the WHL from St. Cloud State last season. Through 28 games, the speedy d-man has been nearly a point-per-game player with 25 points (8-17). The Red Wings are desperate for a speedy, puck moving defenseman who can contribute at both ends of the ice and anchor the blue line. It was the intent for Cholowski, who certainly had an upside but was viewed as a project. The Detroit Free Press’ Helene St. James believes that Cholowski could be traded to a playoff bound WHL team, which would give him a better competitive opportunity before heading to the AHL’s Grand Rapids Griffins by the end of their season. Though he was just cut by Team Canada (an expected move), the Red Wings brass are certainly crossing their fingers that their gamble to bet on a project instead of a sure-thing in Chychrun will pay off.