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PHR Mailbag: Sabres, Kane, Henrique, Flyers, Ruff

February 3, 2024 at 3:59 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 3 Comments

Topics in this edition of the PHR Mailbag include Buffalo’s disappointing first half of the season, Patrick Kane’s future with Detroit, and more.  If your question doesn’t appear here, check back in last weekend’s column.

YzerPlan19: What happened to the Buffalo Sabres?! Did the lofty expectations for this season crush them?

I was certainly among those who had Buffalo at least being in the playoff mix this season.  I had them being in a close battle for a Wild Card spot and they currently sit 10 points out which isn’t exactly a close battle.  They’ve certainly underachieved.

I’m not sure it’s the lofty expectations (being a possible playoff team isn’t exactly a huge bar to clear) that have hurt them.  Instead, I think it’s the byproduct of an overly young roster with veterans who haven’t been able to step up to cover for the youngsters’ inconsistency.

When you look at the young talent they have, the tendency is to look at the year they just had and expect that they’ll be able to improve on it.  Thus, several core players each take a step or two forward and there are a bunch of internal gains that move them up in the standings.  It’s great in theory but in hindsight, expecting all of those players to take a leap forward was probably asking too much.

Not to single out the goaltending but hopes were quite high for Devon Levi based on how he finished last season.  But we’re talking about a stretch of barely two weeks.  Expecting him to stay at that level just might have been too much, too soon for him.  Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has been inconsistent which is to be expected for a young goalie while Eric Comrie couldn’t pick up the slack which is why he cleared waivers earlier this season.  Improved goaltending was a big reason for the higher expectations but the hopes were too high, too fast.

Similar statements could be made for several forwards as well, particularly Tage Thompson, Dylan Cozens, and even Alex Tuch to a lesser extent.  The hope was they’d maintain or beat their production from last season but they’ve all taken a step back.  Kyle Okposo and Victor Olofsson aren’t picking up the slack either, unfortunately.  If a couple of the youngsters are producing like they were last year, they probably have a few more wins and are at least in a realistic battle for a Wild Card spot in the stretch run.

I still think there’s a pretty good core here for Buffalo to work with.  The goaltending should get better as Levi and Luukkonen get more seasoned.  Bounce-back performances from some forwards can definitely happen as well.  I think they’ll be in good shape in the long run but it appears their playoff drought is going to last a little longer.

Millville Meteor: Adam Henrique is having a good season. I expect the Ducks to trade him. What kind of return can we expect for him?

Anaheim GM Pat Verbeek must be thrilled at the way things have played out.  Calgary moved Elias Lindholm earlier than expected, pushing Henrique up a rung on the talent list.  Lindholm’s removal from the market then boosted Sean Monahan’s market, resulting in Montreal pulling the trigger on a trade early.  Now Henrique is the top rental option available.  That can only help his market.

Having said that, I’m skeptical that the Ducks will be able to get a first-round pick like the Flames and Canadiens did in their moves.  Henrique’s numbers are quite comparable to the other two but Lindholm has the stronger reputation while Monahan’s contract is much more affordable.  With Henrique making $5.825MM, that’s a price tag that few teams can afford, let alone few contending teams.  They’re going to need retention and quite likely a second team to retain another chunk which could dilute the return Anaheim gets.  I’ll say he fetches the Ducks a second-round pick and maybe a lesser asset (a late-round pick, a fringe prospect, or salary ballast) while the acquiring team will flip a fourth-rounder to whoever retains the second chunk.

rule78.1: Regarding Patrick Kane, the Red Wings, and the trade deadline. Keep him or trade him? If a trade is made, what expected return would the Red Wings receive?

First things first, he needs to show he’s healthy.  He didn’t make it back before the All-Star break as they hoped he might be able to so he needs to clear any lingering doubts about his health.  And with what he’s coming back from with his hip surgery, any injury is going to give teams some hesitance.

As of today, Detroit sits tied for the top Wild Card spot with Toronto.  All things considered, that’s a bit better than I expected.  It’s particularly impressive considering the spotty goaltending they had early in the year, resulting in third-stringer Alex Lyon taking over the number one job and running with it.  Unless their place in the standings craters over the next month, I’d be inclined to hold onto Kane.  Yes, there’s a risk of missing the playoffs and potentially losing him for nothing but it’s not like they gave up anything to get him.  And with the Red Wings not being in any sort of meaningful playoff race since 2016, there’s some inherent value in just keeping their group together and giving their younger players a taste of a tight stretch run.

But if they were to move him, the return isn’t going to be quite as high as it was a year ago when he yielded a second and a fourth-round pick to Chicago (plus a third to Arizona for retaining another 25%).  He’s having a good year but we’re talking about a 19-game sample size, lingering issues about his hip in his first post-surgery campaign, and a lower-body issue that has cost him three weeks already.  Accordingly, I could see a second-rounder on its own being the ceiling for what Kane would bring back in return if Detroit decided to trade him.

Black Ace57: Who do you think on the Flyers is likely to get traded now? Atkinson? Walker? I’ve heard with Seeler that they want to see if they can agree on an extension. Do you think there’s a chance Frost still gets traded after the rumors earlier?

Sean Walker certainly seems like a good bet to be dealt.  He’s having a nice bounce-back year after his playing time getting limited with Los Angeles and at $2.65MM, his contract is affordable, particularly if Philadelphia pays it down.  The fact he’s a right-shot defender certainly helps as he might be the most coveted option once Chris Tanev is moved.  For someone who was acquired at least in part as salary ballast, the Flyers are well-positioned to get some value for him.  If a team wants extra depth, maybe there’s a late-round pick somewhere for Marc Staal as well.  And if Nick Seeler signs an extension – it seems like they’re trying to hammer one out – then he’s off the list of options to trade.

I doubt there’s a strong market for Cam Atkinson.  He has been decent this season coming back from neck surgery that cost him an entire season but it’s that injury and the fact he has a $5.875MM AAV through next season that will scare teams off now.  In the summer, if Philadelphia is willing to pay down the contract and take a light return, then there should be a small market at least.  One forward to keep an eye on is Scott Laughton.  With the center market being so light, if GM Daniel Briere decides to make him available, he could command a quality return with two years left after this one at a below-market $3MM price tag.

Morgan Frost feels like he could be an offseason trade more than an in-season one at this point.  A trade involving him might be a player-player swap of players that are of a similar age or team control.  It might be more appealing to rebuilding teams but they generally aren’t looking to do those moves until the summer.

SpeakOfTheDevils: Assuming Ruff is fired after the season, who will be the next coach of the Devils???

First, I’m not certain that Lindy Ruff is going anywhere.  Extending a coach to a multi-year deal and then firing him soon after doesn’t happen a lot (periodically, but not often).  How much of New Jersey’s struggles are coaching-related compared to their injuries (Jack Hughes, Dougie Hamilton, Nico Hischier, and Timo Meier have all missed double-digit games)?  And is it the fault of the head coach when the goaltending falls off the proverbial cliff?  I’m not absolving Ruff of any responsibility here but certainly all the blame can’t be laid at his feet either.

But I’ll play along with the premise.  If Ruff is gone, I don’t think GM Tom Fitzgerald will be looking for a first-time head coach; this is a team built to win now.  If we look at who’s out there with some NHL head coaching experience, Craig Berube comes to mind as someone who might try to get this Devils team to play a bit more structured.  I also could see them turning to Jay Woodcroft who had lots of early success with Edmonton and could bring a newer approach after having a long-term veteran in Ruff.  Those are who I’d lean towards predicting if Ruff is let go but again, I’m not sure that scenario is going to happen just yet.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Pro Hockey Rumors Originals PHR Mailbag

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East Notes: Reinhart, Vatrano, Pettersson, Salminen

February 3, 2024 at 2:55 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 7 Comments

Panthers forward Sam Reinhart is the top-scoring forward that’s eligible to hit the open market this summer.  With a career-best 37 goals already along with 62 points, he’s well on his way to commanding a significant raise on his current $6.5MM AAV while securing a long-term pact for the first time.  Speaking with reporters including Mike Harrington of The Buffalo News, he acknowledged that talks continue but the fact a deal isn’t done isn’t serving as a distraction:

We both know where each other stands. We both know we want to get something done. And we’re both comfortable with how it’s going, so it’s not distracting me by any means at all. I think when you’re trying to build something we’re trying to in Florida, some things take time. We’re both comfortable, we’re both trying to ultimately win a Stanley Cup this year. And that’s where our focus mainly is.

If Reinhart pushes past the 100-point mark plateau this season, there’s a case to be made that his next contract should be past the $10MM mark.  However, that’d be tough to fit on the books for the Panthers who would likely want to see him slot in at or closer to Matthew Tkachuk’s $9.5MM price tag.

Elsewhere in the Eastern Conference:

  • Ducks winger Frank Vatrano is having his best season, notching 36 points in 50 games already to secure an All-Star spot. With one year left on his contract at $3.65MM and Anaheim in a firm rebuild, some have wondered if the 29-year-old could be a trade candidate.  Speaking to reporters on All-Star Media Day including Forever Blueshirts’ Jim Cerny, Vatrano acknowledged the situation is out of his hands but that he’d prefer to remain with the Ducks.  That said, teams looking for some scoring help on the wing and don’t want to pay a high price tag for a rental will likely be calling about Vatrano over the next few weeks.
  • If the Penguins opt to sell at the trade deadline, Jake Guentzel would obviously receive the most interest. Beyond him, Matt Vensel of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette suggests that defenseman Marcus Pettersson might be their next-best trade chip.  The 27-year-old has had one of his more productive years with 19 points in 46 games while averaging a career-high 22:37 per night, third among Pittsburgh’s rearguards.  With one year left on his deal after this one with a cap hit of just over $4.025MM, he could certainly be an intriguing acquisition for a playoff-bound team looking for more than a one-year rental.
  • Devils prospect Samu Salminen received a one-game suspension from Hockey East for a hit on Friday night, notes Mark Divver of the New England Hockey Journal (Twitter link). The 20-year-old was a third-round pick by New Jersey back in 2021 but has seen his production this season with Connecticut slow down, notching just five goals and five assists in 26 games (after putting up 17 points in 27 games in his freshman year).

Anaheim Ducks| Florida Panthers| New Jersey Devils| Pittsburgh Penguins Frank Vatrano| Marcus Pettersson| Sam Reinhart

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Golden Knights Place Brayden Pachal On Waivers

February 3, 2024 at 1:09 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

While they’re off until Tuesday, the Golden Knights have made a roster move today as Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman reports (Twitter link) that Vegas has placed defenseman Brayden Pachal on waivers.

The 24-year-old cleared waivers early in training camp back in October but never wound up being assigned to AHL Henderson.  Instead, he has been a full-timer on the active roster although playing time has been difficult to come by.  Pachal has played in 17 games for the Golden Knights so far, picking up a goal while averaging 14:37 per night.  For his career, he has three points in 29 NHL contests.

While that’s not necessarily the statistical profile that would jump out at anyone, Pachal is in the first season of a two-year deal that carries a cap hit of the league minimum ($775K).  Between that and the fact he’s a right-shot defender, there’s certainly a chance that a team looking for low-cost depth on the right side opts to take a flyer on Pachal.

At the moment, the Golden Knights are only carrying a minimum-sized active roster of 11 forwards and seven defensemen so if Pachal was to clear waivers, he couldn’t be sent to the Silver Knights without another move being made first.  Blueliner Ben Hutton was listed as week-to-week when he was injured in late December while recent waiver claim Tobias Bjornfot went on IR three weeks ago with an undisclosed injury.  If one of those two was to be activated, then Pachal could be removed from the roster.  Shea Theodore is also injured and is on LTIR but his return might still be a couple of weeks away.

Transactions| Vegas Golden Knights| Waivers Brayden Pachal

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Anton Forsberg Nearing Return

February 3, 2024 at 12:00 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 3 Comments

The Senators could get some help between the pipes when they play their first game after their bye week next Saturday.  Postmedia’s Bruce Garrioch reports that Anton Forsberg is on track in his recovery from a groin injury and might be ready to be activated off LTIR for that game against Toronto.

The 31-year-old is in the second season of a three-year, $8.25MM contract that he signed back in 2022 while in the middle of his best year at the NHL level.  However, since then, Forsberg hasn’t played anywhere near as well and has struggled to the tune of a 3.35 GAA and a .889 SV% in 16 appearances so far this season.  That said, those numbers are better than what Mads Sogaard was able to do in his stint as Forsberg’s replacement so his return will still be an upgrade.

However, Forsberg returning to the lineup will once again bring Ottawa’s cap crunch to the forefront.  Per CapFriendly, the Sens are currently using $1.55MM of LTIR; that amount will need to come off their books before they can bring the netminder back onto the active roster.  That means that two players will need to be cleared off.

One of them is fairly straightforward as Kevin Mandolese, currently the second option on the depth chart after being recalled following Wednesday’s game, can go back to AHL Belleville.  That will clear $775K of that amount, leaving another $775K to come.

That one will be a little trickier to open up.  Ottawa has just two waiver-exempt players, defenseman Jake Sanderson and center Ridly Greig.  Both play key roles for the Senators so it’s safe to say that they won’t be going down.

Winger Zack MacEwen and defenseman Jacob Bernard-Docker both cleared waivers earlier this season but neither would be a lock to clear again.  MacEwen’s on a three-year deal but at the minimum salary, a team looking for extra grit could easily put in a claim.  Meanwhile, Bernard-Docker has been a regular on the third pairing most nights and as a young right-shot blueliner now with some NHL time under his belt, there’s likely a rebuilding team or two that would claim him now.  Either of them coming off the books would barely squeak them under the cap line, leaving no wiggle room for recalls if needed.

If GM Steve Staios doesn’t want to risk one of those two and doesn’t have a trade on the horizon, one other option might be to waive Dominik Kubalik.  The winger is believed to have been available for a couple of months now with no takers.  With a $2.5MM cap charge, he might pass through unclaimed and while that full amount wouldn’t come off their books, they’d open up $1.15MM in room, creating enough space to activate Forsberg.  It might not be the most desirable option but that could be a short-term fix.

With Ottawa being one of the few teams to play leading up to the All-Star break, Staios still has the better part of a week to determine how to make the money work.  But after being able to delay dealing with this cap crunch which was lingering back in training for more than half the season, it appears the time has come to deal with it.

Ottawa Senators Anton Forsberg

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Salary Cap Deep Dive: Philadelphia Flyers

February 3, 2024 at 10:51 am CDT | by Brian La Rose 2 Comments

Navigating the salary cap is one of the more important tasks for any GM.  Teams that can avoid total cap chaos by walking the tightrope of inking players to deals that match their value (or compensate for future value without breaking the bank) remain successful.  Those that don’t see struggles and front office changes.

PHR will look at every NHL team and give a thorough look at their cap situation for the 2023-24 season.  This will focus more on players who are regulars on the roster versus those who may find themselves shuttling between the AHL and NHL.  All cap figures are courtesy of CapFriendly.

Philadelphia Flyers

Current Cap Hit: $83,322,620 (under the $83.5MM Upper Limit)

Entry-Level Contracts

G Samuel Ersson ($859K this season)
F Tyson Foerster (two years, $863K)

Potential Bonuses
Ersson $32.5K

Foerster impressed in limited action last season and has become a full-time regular this year.  That said, he’s more of a secondary player at this point which likely has him heading for a short-term second contract, especially with the limited action as a rookie.  If he finds another gear offensively next season and pushes into the 40-point-pace range, he could surpass the $2MM mark on that agreement.

Ersson has already signed his second contract so we’ll look at that in more detail shortly but it’s worth noting his bonuses are based on games played.  The exact number needed isn’t known but the lower end of a games played bonus is usually around 20.  If that’s the case here, he has already reached it.

Signed Through 2023-24, Non-Entry-Level

G Carter Hart ($3.979MM, RFA)
D Nick Seeler ($775K, UFA)
D Marc Staal ($1.1MM, UFA)
D Sean Walker ($2.65MM, UFA)
D Yegor Zamula ($775K, RFA)

Walker was picked up from the Kings in the summer with his inclusion appearing to primarily be for cap purposes.  However, the 29-year-old has rebuilt his value nicely, spending a lot of time on the second pairing.  Now, instead of a likely pay cut had this season gone like last year, Walker is set up to potentially land a small raise on a multi-year agreement.  In the meantime, he is a speculative trade candidate as is Seeler.  Seeler has become a regular with the Flyers over the last year and a half after being a player on the fringes of the roster.  His playing time is still somewhat limited as he’s a full-time part of the third pairing.  Philadelphia is believed to be interested in an extension, one that should push into the $1.25MM to the $1.5MM range.

Staal signed with the Flyers early in free agency to give them a bridge veteran, allowing them to keep some of their youngsters in AHL Lehigh Valley a little longer.  He has missed time with injuries and has been scratched at times as well.  Accordingly, while it’s possible he lands another deal to fill that type of role, it’s likely to come in closer to the league minimum.  As for Zamula, he hasn’t been in the lineup every night but he has more than held his own and is even seeing time on the second power play unit at times.  Doubling his current AAV on a two-year bridge deal could be achievable for the 23-year-old.

Hart had been performing at a level similar to last season which had him on track to be qualified at just under $4.5MM.  However, his leave of absence pertaining to the sexual assault charge as part of the 2018 investigation into Canada’s World Junior team now has that outcome looking doubtful.  Now, a non-tender looks likely.

Signed Through 2024-25

F Cam Atkinson ($5.85MM, UFA)
F Morgan Frost ($2.1MM, RFA)
F Noah Cates ($2.65MM, RFA)
F Garnet Hathaway ($2.375MM, UFA)
F Travis Konecny ($5.5MM, UFA)
G Cal Petersen ($5MM, UFA)
D Cam York ($1.6MM, RFA)

After missing all of last season due to a herniated disk in his neck, Atkinson has been healthy all season long and is producing at close to a 50-point pace.  That’s on the high side for this price tag but that was likely expected when he signed this deal back with Columbus in 2017.  His next contract should check in closer to the $4MM mark if he can stay at that pace for another year and a half.

Konecny’s future with the Flyers has been speculated about for a while.  First, he looked like a long-term core piece but then when he took a step back in 2020-21 and then followed it up with just 16 goals the following year, some questioned if he was going to be part of those plans much longer.  Since then, he has authored a year and a half of top-line production and now, the idea of an extension is very much on the table.  If it happens, Philadelphia will be paying him off two career platform years which certainly will carry some risk while likely upping the price tag close to the $8MM mark.  But after leading the team in scoring last season and for most of this year, there’s a strong case to make to keep him around.

Cates has had a year to forget.  A broken foot kept him out for the better part of two months and in between, he has struggled mightily, sitting on just one goal in 28 games.  This AAV will be his qualifying offer in 2025 and he’ll have arbitration rights again at that time.  There’s plenty of time to turn his fortunes around but at this point, a non-tender could be on the table if his struggles continue.

Hathaway signed a surprisingly high contract for someone who is best deployed on the fourth line but the Flyers put extra value in trying to fill his particular role.  It would be surprising to see another raise coming but in a more favorable cap environment, it’s not out of the realm of possibility either.  Frost had a breakout year last season, earning a nice bridge deal for his troubles but he has struggled somewhat this season while John Tortorella has scratched him frequently, leading to trade speculation.  At this point, a one-year deal after this one that basically works as a second bridge might be the most likely outcome; that contract would check in a bit higher than his $2.4MM qualifying offer if his production stays in its current range.

York is also on his bridge contract and while the offensive potential he showed in the US National Team Development Program and in college hasn’t quite translated to big point totals yet, he’s logging heavy minutes.  That alone could help him double this price tag in 2025 and if the production comes, the cost of a long-term agreement will go up quite quickly.

Petersen was acquired as salary ballast in the Ivan Provorov three-way trade last summer and has spent most of the last year and a half in the minors.  With Hart’s absence, that should change but his struggles in his limited NHL action make this a steep overpayment.  If this continues, he’ll be closer to the $1MM territory as a free agent.

Signed Through 2025-26

F Nicolas Deslauriers ($1.75MM, UFA)
G Samuel Ersson ($1.4MM in 2024-25 and 2025-26, RFA)
D Jamie Drysdale ($2.3MM, RFA)
F Scott Laughton ($3MM, UFA)
F Ryan Poehling ($1.4MM this season, $1.9MM in 2024-25 and 2025-26, UFA)

Laughton has shown he can play in the top six but is likely best utilized as a third-line middleman.  This price tag is certainly quite fair for that role which is why teams are starting to call about his potential availability.  With a 43-point season under his belt, there’s room for his price tag to grow if he’s able to produce near that level with any type of consistency; doing so could push him into the $4MM range.

Deslauriers is another player they willingly gave more than market value to in order to have their desired grit on the fourth line.  While he has had some success offensively in the past, he is starting to slow down on that front.  Another contract is definitely achievable (even at 35 which he’ll be when this deal ends) but it should come in closer to the minimum next time.  Poehling has held his own in a bottom-six role and inked his new deal recently, a nice outcome for someone who was non-tendered last summer.  He’ll need to become more productive to have a chance at getting third center money.

Drysdale was acquired less than a month ago and has fit in nicely so far.  Injuries have limited him significantly the last two seasons which hasn’t helped to firm up where his expected long-term deal after this one will land.  If he lives up to his upside and stays healthy, he should become Philadelphia’s top-paid blueliner.  But if the injury trouble continues, that will certainly scale that price tag down.

Ersson impressed down the stretch last year, landing this extension before the 2023-24 campaign started.  It’s a move that looks better now as he had pushed his way into more playing time early on and is now their likely starter the rest of the way.  He’ll have that time to show if he’s a legitimate number one or more of a backup with the range of outcomes money-wise stretching past a few million per season depending on how he plays.

Read more

Signed Through 2026-27 Or Longer

F Sean Couturier ($7.75MM through 2029-30)
D Ryan Ellis ($6.25MM through 2026-27)
F Joel Farabee ($5MM through 2027-28)
D Rasmus Ristolainen ($5.1MM through 2026-27)
D Travis Sanheim ($6.25MM through 2030-31)
F Owen Tippett ($1.5MM in 2023-24, $6.2MM from 2024-25 through 2031-32)

On the surface, a $7.75MM price tag for a number one center is perfectly reasonable.  In a lot of cases, it’d be a bargain.  The problem for the Flyers is that Couturier probably isn’t an ideal top middleman at this stage of his career.  He has done well considering he missed 22 months after undergoing back surgery twice and he has produced at a second-line level.  However, while he remains a key defensive player, will he be able to get back to top form offensively?  If so, Philadelphia will have a bargain in those seasons.  But considering Couturier is signed until he turns 38, it was already likely that some of those years would be tough on the books.  If he can’t get back to top form, this contract could become a problem in a few years.

Tippett also signed just recently as he has lived up to the offensive expectations placed on him when he was the tenth-overall pick back in 2017.  He’s scoring at a better-than-30-goal rate this season and as long as he stays there, they’ll do well with this contract given the premium often placed on big scoring wingers.  As for Farabee, his per-game output dipped the last two seasons but he has rebounded nicely this year.  At this price point – one lowered by bypassing a bridge deal – he only needs to produce around the 50-point mark to provide value on the contract.  Farabee should be able to do just that.

After signing the early extension last season, Sanheim struggled last year, leading to some speculative trade inquiries to see if the Flyers wanted to sell low.  They didn’t and were wise for holding onto him as he has emerged as a capable top-pairing player this season.  If he plays at a similar level throughout the deal, this will become a team-friendly one fast.  The same can’t be said for Ristolainen.  His playing time has dipped in each of the last five seasons and barring a big uptick in playing time after the All-Star break, that will become six.  While he is a good fit for his current role on the third pairing, the price tag is about double what it should be for someone with his experience in that spot.

Ellis, meanwhile, has played just four games for the Flyers who acquired him back in 2021 due to a torn psoas muscle.  At this point, he’s not expected to be able to play in the coming years.  While he’s not on LTIR now (as a below-cap team, Philadelphia doesn’t need to place him on there), he’s eligible to go on there when needed.

Buyouts

G Ilya Bryzgalov ($1.643MM through 2026-27, cap-exempt)
D Tony DeAngelo ($1.667MM through 2024-25)
F Oskar Lindblom ($667K in 2023-24)

Retained Salary Transactions

F Kevin Hayes ($3.571MM through 2025-26)

Best Value: Tippett (on this season’s contract)
Worst Value: Petersen

Looking Ahead

While cap space is at a premium right now, that’s only on paper since Ellis can be moved to LTIR at any time.  Doing so runs the risk of bonus carryover but with Ersson’s games played one being the only one to contend with, that’s not much of a concern.  If they want to buy at the deadline or take on a contract to add future assets, they can go that route without an issue.

At this point, it doesn’t seem likely that next year’s roster will look much different than this one.  They have around $78MM in commitments on the books already with a few spots to fill.  Over $28MM comes off the books for 2025-26, however, so that might be the time when GM Daniel Briere really gets to make his mark on this roster.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Philadelphia Flyers| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| Salary Cap Deep Dive 2023

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Morning Notes: Skills Results, Lacher, Coyotes

February 3, 2024 at 9:29 am CDT | by Brian La Rose 1 Comment

The NHL’s All-Star Skills Competition was held on Friday night in a revamped format that saw a dozen players compete in a head-to-head format while taking part in at least four of the events.  Oilers center Connor McDavid took home the title and $1MM while the rest of the results were as follows.

Fastest Skater: McDavid (Oilers, 13.408 seconds)
One-Timers: Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche, 23 points)
Passing Challenge: Elias Pettersson (Canucks, 25 points)
Hardest Shot: Cale Makar (Avalanche, 102.56 mph)
Stick Handling: McDavid (Oilers, 25.755 seconds)
Accuracy Shooting: McDavid (Oilers, 9.158 seconds)
One-On-One: William Nylander (Maple Leafs, 9 points), Alexandar Georgiev (Avalanche, 9 saves)
Obstacle Course: McDavid (Oilers, 40.666 seconds)

Other early news from around the hockey world:

  • Former Bruins goaltender Blaine Lacher passed away on Friday at the age of 53, the team announced (Twitter link). Lacher made an immediate impact in the NHL, coming up as Boston’s starter in the lockout-shortened 1994-95 campaign, putting up a 2.41 GAA in 35 games to earn him a top-five finish in Calder Trophy voting.  However, Lacher only made seven appearances at the top level after that.  No cause of death was revealed.
  • On Friday, the NHLPA expressed its frustration with Arizona’s search for a new arena site, stating that they’ve missed two deadlines already while not engaging with the PA on numerous fronts. However, it appears the team remains on track to purchase a parcel of land as the team confirmed (Twitter link) a report from ABC15’s Taylor Rocha that they are moving forward with a plan to buy in North Phoenix.  At this point, multiple arena sites are still being considered which means we’re still likely a little while away from having more clarity on that front.

Boston Bruins| Colorado Avalanche| Edmonton Oilers| Toronto Maple Leafs| Utah Mammoth| Vancouver Canucks Cale Makar| Connor McDavid| Elias Pettersson| Nathan MacKinnon| William Nylander

1 comment

Defense Notes: Tanev, Walker, Mukhamadullin

February 1, 2024 at 9:00 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 10 Comments

The Flames and Canucks had discussions about including Chris Tanev in Wednesday’s Elias Lindholm trade, reports TSN’s Darren Dreger (Twitter link).  However, in the end, he was pulled out of those discussions with Calgary deciding it was better to move him in a separate swap.  Tanev, a top shutdown defenseman, is expected to be one of the most sought-after blueliners heading into next month’s trade deadline with as many as ten teams believed to be interested.  He’s on an expiring contract with a $4.5MM AAV and while the Flames got away without retaining in the Lindholm trade (or the Nikita Zadorov one earlier this season), it feels like there’s a good chance they’ll need to pay this contract down up to the maximum of 50% if they’re going to maximize their return.

Other blueline notes around the NHL:

  • The Maple Leafs and Oilers are among the teams that have spoken to the Flyers about defenseman Sean Walker, The Fourth Period’s David Pagnotta reported in a recent appearance on the NHL Network (video link). The 29-year-old right-shot rearguard is having a bounce-back season, recording 17 points in 50 games so far while averaging nearly 20 minutes a night while being on an expiring $2.65MM deal.  With a limited supply of quality righties available, Pagnotta notes that Philadelphia has placed a first-round pick as the price tag for Walker’s services although they may have to lower that to get a trade done.
  • With the Sharks now on their bye week, they’ve assigned defenseman Shakir Mukhamadullin to the minors, per an announcement (Twitter link) from their AHL affiliate. The 22-year-old made his NHL debut on Saturday and has played in three games so far, picking up an assist while averaging over 21 minutes a night.  Mukhamadullin has 26 points in 39 games with the Barracuda and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him get recalled for their next game on February 14th.

AHL| Calgary Flames| Edmonton Oilers| Philadelphia Flyers| San Jose Sharks| Toronto Maple Leafs| Transactions| Vancouver Canucks Chris Tanev| Sean Walker| Shakir Mukhamadullin

10 comments

Kings Assign Three Players To AHL

February 1, 2024 at 7:56 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 1 Comment

With Los Angeles being off until February 10th, they’ve opted to make a trio of roster moves.  The team announced (Twitter link) that they’ve assigned forwards Alex Turcotte and Samuel Fagemo plus defenseman Brandt Clarke to AHL Ontario.

Turcotte was recalled last weekend and got into his first two games of the season with the Kings.  The second was certainly a successful one as the 22-year-old notched his first career NHL goal while picking up an assist in Wednesday’s victory over Nashville.  Turcotte has spent most of the year in the minors with the Reign, recording 23 points in 28 games so far.

Fagemo, meanwhile, has been shuffled back and forth recently, shifting between Los Angeles and Ontario three times over the past couple of weeks.  Playing time during that stretch was fairly limited as he made just four appearances, equaling the number he had with Nashville at the beginning of the season before they put him on waivers in November.  The 23-year-old has been quite productive with Ontario though, recording 20 goals and 13 assists in just 24 contests.

As for Clarke, he got off to a hot start with the Reign to start the season, collecting 32 points in 30 games, quite the mark for a rookie blueliner.  That earned him a recall four weeks ago and since then, he has been in and out of the lineup with the Kings.  Clarke has just one assist in six games so far while logging 16:15 per night, primarily on the third pairing with some time on the second power play unit.

With these moves, Los Angeles is now at the minimum-sized roster.  With Viktor Arvidsson still a little while away from returning (meaning he’ll remain on LTIR), the Kings will likely use that space to recall three players for their next appearance.  The determination on whether it’s these three or others will come next week.

AHL| Los Angeles Kings| Transactions Alex Turcotte| Brandt Clarke| Samuel Fagemo

1 comment

Senators Recall Kevin Mandolese, Assign Mads Sogaard To AHL

February 1, 2024 at 6:53 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 1 Comment

Following their game last night versus Detroit, the Senators made a pair of roster moves.  The team announced (Twitter link) that goaltender Mads Sogaard was assigned to AHL Belleville.  Taking his place on the roster is netminder Kevin Mandolese who was recalled.

Sogaard had been up for the last three weeks while covering for goaltender Anton Forsberg who is dealing with a groin injury.  With starter Joonas Korpisalo struggling, Sogaard had an opportunity to carve out some playing time but the 23-year-old didn’t fare well in those chances.  He had four appearances but struggled to the tune of a 5.09 GAA and a .825 SV%.

Sogaard has been viewed as a goalie of the future for the Sens and has fared much better in his AHL appearances this season, putting up a 2.48 GAA with a .920 SV% in 16 games, numbers that put him in the top ten league-wide in both categories.  With Ottawa off until February 10th, Sogaard will get an opportunity to play a few games before potentially being brought back.

As for Mandolese, he has been recalled several times on emergency loans dating back to last season, seven times in fact.  However, the 23-year-old hasn’t seen much action at the top level, getting into just three games with Ottawa in 2022-23.  Mandolese has spent most of this season with Belleville, playing to a 3.38 GAA and a .895 SV% in 16 contests.  He’ll get to collect an NHL salary for the next week and a bit, a nice reward for someone on a two-way contract before being sent back down before Ottawa’s next game.

AHL| Ottawa Senators| Transactions Kevin Mandolese| Mads Sogaard

1 comment

Strong Trade Interest In Chris Tanev

January 30, 2024 at 9:00 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 4 Comments

Impact right-shot defensemen are typically in short supply and high demand and with the trade deadline now less than six weeks away, it appears this year will be no exception.  Accordingly, those with one to move will have no shortage of suitors and that’s the case for the Flames with defenseman Chris Tanev as Postmedia’s Bruce Garrioch reports that as many as ten teams have already reached out to Calgary GM Craig Conroy to inquire about the blueliner.

The 34-year-old has never been a significant point producer and has just nine points in 46 games so far this season but Tanev has a well-earned reputation as one of the top shutdown defensemen in the league.  He leads the Flames in shorthanded ice time while hanging around the 20-minute-per-game mark as he often does.  On top of that, Tanev is among the league leaders in blocked shots, collecting 135 already, good for fifth-most in the NHL.  Considering that teams are always looking to shore up their defensive reliability and penalty killing, it should come as no surprise that there are plenty of teams showing interest in Tanev.

Garrioch notes that the Maple Leafs, Canucks, and Kings are among those teams that have shown interest.  Toronto GM Brad Treliving is quite familiar with Tanev from his days in charge in Calgary and Garrioch suggests that the blueliner is currently their top target.  As for Vancouver, Tanev would be quite familiar with them having spent the first ten years of his career with them before joining Calgary as a free agent back in 2020.  Los Angeles, meanwhile, has an established top four but they have two youngsters (Brandt Clarke and Jordan Spence) and journeyman Andreas Englund rounding out the rest of the group; Tanev would certainly give them some more stability.

Ottawa has also been speculated as a team that could be interested with GM Steve Staios looking for a quality veteran or two.  However, with the Sens well out of playoff contention, it’s hard to see them coughing up the asking price and Tanev being open to going there over a postseason contender.  Worth noting is that Tanev has a 10-team no-trade clause, giving him some control in where he might go.  If an acquiring team wants to work out an extension at the same time, that also gives the veteran a bit more leverage to make sure he lands with a new organization of his choice.

With players of Tanev’s caliber hard to come by, it appears that Conroy has set a high asking price for his services.  Garrioch relays that the ask is believed to be at least a first-round pick plus a prospect; if teams get into a bidding war, they could get more than that as well if they’re willing to retain the maximum 50%.  Tanev has a $4.5MM AAV which is difficult for many contending teams to afford but if that is cut in half and perhaps Calgary takes a smaller contract back, most potential suitors should be able to make that work.

With more than a month until the trade deadline, there’s a good chance that Tanev won’t be leaving Calgary in the immediate future; the longer they wait, the easier it is for teams with regular cap space to afford the contract.  But if his market is strong as Garrioch suggests, the Flames will be poised to land a quality future return for Tanev’s services by the time March 8th comes around.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Calgary Flames| Los Angeles Kings| Toronto Maple Leafs| Vancouver Canucks Chris Tanev

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