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Archives for 2017

Salary Cap Deep Dive: Montreal Canadiens

August 9, 2017 at 6:10 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

Navigating the Salary Cap is probably one of the more important tasks for any general manager to have. Teams that can avert total cap chaos by walking the tightrope of inking players to deals that match their value (or compensate for future value without breaking the bank) remain successful. Those that don’t see struggles and front office changes.

PHR will look at every NHL team and give a thorough look at their cap situation heading into the 2017-18 season. This will focus more on those players who are integral parts of the roster versus those who may find themselves shuttling between the AHL and NHL. All cap figures are courtesy of CapFriendly.

Montreal Canadiens

Current Cap Hit: $66,537,977 (under the $75MM Upper Limit)

Entry-Level Contracts

D Jakub Jerabek (One year remaining, $925K, UFA)
F Artturi Lehkonen (Two years remaining, $839K, RFA)

Lehkonen made a strong first impression after coming over from the Swedish League, earning himself a regular spot in the lineup.  As the season progressed, his responsibilities started to increase and he spent some time in Montreal’s top six.  He should find himself either on the second or third line to start next season.

The Canadiens beat out a handful of other NHL teams to sign the 26-year-old Jerabek back in May.  He’s coming off a strong first season in the KHL with Vityaz Podolsk where he finished fifth in points by a defenseman.  With Montreal losing their top three left-shot defenders from last season (Andrei Markov to the KHL, Nathan Beaulieu to Buffalo via trade and Alexei Emelin in the Expansion Draft), there is an opening for him to step in and play right away.  If he doesn’t make the opening roster, he has a European Assignment Clause in his contract.

One Year Remaining, Non-Entry-Level

F Phillip Danault ($912K, RFA)
D Brandon Davidson ($1.425MM, RFA)
F Jacob de la Rose ($725K, RFA)
F Ales Hemsky ($1MM, UFA)
F Andreas Martinsen ($675K, UFA)
F Torrey Mitchell ($1.2MM, UFA)
D Joe Morrow ($650K, RFA)
F Tomas Plekanec ($6MM, UFA)
D Mark Streit ($700K, UFA)

Potential Bonuses

Streit: $300K

Plekanec is Montreal’s highest-paid forward in terms of cap hit and is coming off of arguably the worst season of his career.  While he is still a serviceable checker, his production dropped from 54 points two years ago to just 28 in 2016-17.  Given their lack of depth down the middle, he’ll still be called on to log an important role this coming season.  Danault is coming off of a breakout campaign that saw him ascend to the top line.  If he can follow that up with a similar effort in 2017-18, he’ll be in line for a significant raise next summer and has arbitration eligibility.  Hemsky missed most of last season with hip problems and is looking to rebuild his value on a team that had issues scoring with consistency.  Mitchell should be able to hold on to his fourth line role for one more year but will be pushed by de la Rose for playing time while Martinsen will likely slide into a reserve spot.

On the back end, Davidson will enter his first full season with the Canadiens after being acquired near the trade deadline from Edmonton.  He didn’t see a lot of action after being acquired and will likely battle with Jerabek for ice time.  Streit was recently brought in just before Markov’s departure was made official.  While he can’t handle big minutes anymore, he can still contribute offensively and could push for a third pairing/power play specialist role for a year.  Morrow is no stranger to head coach Claude Julien and was brought in after Boston didn’t qualify him.  He’ll also battle for a spot but could also be waived and sent to AHL Laval to serve as depth.

Read more

Two Years Remaining

D Jordie Benn ($1.1MM, UFA)
F Paul Byron ($1.17MM, UFA)
F Peter Holland ($675K, UFA)
F Charles Hudon ($650K, RFA)
G Al Montoya ($1.063MM, UFA)
F Max Pacioretty ($4.5MM, UFA)

Pacioretty is obviously the most prominent name on this list.  He has been one of the top goal scorers league-wide in recent years and is on a team-friendly contract.  It will take a considerable raise for GM Marc Bergevin to be able to keep him in the fold in the 2019 offseason.  Byron surprised many last year as he finished second on the team in goals with 22, far from typical production from a waiver claim.  He’ll likely start in a third line spot in 2017-18.  Hudon has been one of the better goal scorers in the AHL in recent years and now that he’s waiver eligible, he should get a longer look this season.  As for Holland, he’ll contend for a spot on the end of the roster but could also be a candidate to be waived and start in the minors.

Benn added some depth to their third pairing after being acquired before the deadline from Dallas and will likely reprise that role next season.  While Montreal has some prospects that could fill that spot before too long, none are quite ready to push for that spot just yet.  Montoya was able to leverage expansion to get a two-year extension back in January.  He’ll serve as the backup between the pipes for at least one more season.

Three Years Remaining

F Alex Galchenyuk ($4.9MM, UFA)
D David Schlemko ($2.1MM, UFA)

Galchenyuk has long been a focus in trade speculation and this contract that he signed last month that almost amounts to a second bridge deal isn’t going to change that.  There remain questions as to whether or not he can play down the middle but either way, he will be counted on to shoulder a big part of the scoring load for as long as he’s still in Montreal.

Schlemko was added from the Golden Knights following the Expansion Draft and gives them some depth on the left side.  As the roster currently stands, he may be asked to start in a top-four role in 2017-18.

Four Or More Years Remaining

D Karl Alzner ($4.625MM through 2021-22)
F Jonathan Drouin ($5.5MM through 2022-23)
F Brendan Gallagher ($3.75MM through 2020-21)
D Jeff Petry ($5.5MM through 2020-21)
G Carey Price ($6.5MM this season, then $10.5MM through 2025-26)
F Andrew Shaw ($3.9MM through 2021-22)
D Shea Weber ($7.86MM through 2025-26)

Drouin was Montreal’s key offseason acquisition after they acquired him from Tampa Bay just before expansion.  The team wasted little time locking him up, settling on that contract just hours after the trade was made.  He’s a candidate to slide into the vacancy left by Alexander Radulov on the top line right wing.  Gallagher’s contract looked like a bargain when it was signed but hand injuries have taken their toll over the past two seasons.  Accordingly, his name has popped up in trade speculation but they may be better off waiting to see if he can rediscover his scoring touch.  Shaw had his ups and downs in his first season after being acquired from Chicago.  He could potentially move into the center position as well but is likely to be a bottom six forward either way and that contract in term and dollar value is a premium for that type of role.

Although the league has trended towards mobility on the back end, Montreal acted quickly to sign Alzner in an effort to bring in some defensive stability.  While he profiles better as a second pairing player, he could be forced into a spot on the top pairing.  Petry is locked in on that second pairing but with the departure of Markov, he becomes their lone real mobile puck-mover.

Dec 12, 2016; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; Montreal Canadiens goalie Carey Price (31) makes a save against Boston Bruins as defenseman Shea Weber (6) defends and right wing David Backes (42) during the second period at Bell Centre. Mandatory Credit: Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY SportsThen there are the longest-termed contracts with two players locked up for nine more years.  Weber is their undisputed top defender and with Markov gone, more may be asked of him in 2017-18.  That contract will become more cumbersome as it progresses and it is one of the now-illegal back-diving deals that will see his salary drop considerably starting in 2022-23.  It’s worth noting that Montreal won’t be off the hook for salary cap recapture until after 2019-20.

Bergevin has long-called Price the cornerstone of their franchise and they wasted little time formalizing that as he inked his max-term pact on July 2nd, only the second day that he was eligible to sign.  He received the richest deal in franchise history and the most expensive ever given to any goalie league-wide.  Because of that financial commitment, he’ll remain their franchise player for many years to come.

Buyouts

None

Still To Sign

None, although many expect them to make another move this offseason.

Best Value: Pacioretty
Worst Value: Plekanec (if his offensive struggles continue)

Looking Ahead

The Canadiens have more than $41MM locked up in those seven players with at least four or more years left which doesn’t leave a lot of financial wiggle room to add another big ticket piece (or in the case of Pacioretty, to retain their top scorer) without creating some concerns.  That’s likely to come into play when it comes to using their remaining cap space.

Aside from that, with the sheer number of expiring contracts the team has, Montreal is a candidate to have quite a bit of roster turnover in the next calendar year although it will mostly be depth players replacing other depth pieces.

All in all, with more than $8MM still to work with this summer, it’s hard to imagine that they will have too many challenges staying under the Upper Limit in 2017-18.  If the cap doesn’t rise much in the next few years though, they could be facing some difficulty a few years from now.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Montreal Canadiens Salary Cap Deep Dive

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Team USA Contacts Olympic Candidates

August 9, 2017 at 4:55 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee 1 Comment

Last week when USA Hockey announced its management and coaching staffs for the upcoming 2018 Winter Olympics, there was much speculation that the team would be made up mostly from the college ranks. After all, Tony Granato the head coach of the squad is also the head coach at the University of Wisconsin, and there had already been several college names playing on the international stage at this spring’s World Championship.

In another wonderful profile by Alex Prewitt of Sports Illustrated, Team USA GM Jim Johannson admitted that he’d already reached out to somewhere between 85 and 90 potential players, 60 percent of whom are currently playing in Europe. The rest are “evenly split between the AHL and NCAA ranks” according to Prewitt. That would seem to suggest that the US team will have a more professional atmosphere, with players like Chad Rau being likely targets. Rau has found success in both the Finnish Liiga and Russian KHL over the past few seasons, and could lend a level of experience to the team.

Johannson also said that currently unsigned NHL players are on his radar, but he’ll have to wait to see what their future in the league is before trying to bring them in. Any player on an NHL contract is ineligible to play, even if they are currently in the minor leagues. Players signed to AHL-only contracts can be taken.

NCAA| Olympics| Team USA

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Brendan Gaunce Signs With Vancouver Canucks

August 9, 2017 at 3:56 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee Leave a Comment

As if our recent list of restricted free agents reminded the Vancouver Canucks of their still-needed contract negotiations, the team has announced a two-year deal with Brendan Gaunce worth a total of $1.5MM. Gaunce will remain a restricted free agent at the end of the contract.

The 23-year old played 56 games for the Canucks last season but was held to just five points, a hugely disappointing number for a former first-round pick. Gaunce was selected 26th-overall in 2012, but has just six points to his name in the NHL so far. Amazingly he led the entire Vancouver forward group with 94 hits, embracing the fourth line bang-and-crash role that he’d been given.

That role needs to increase if Gaunce is ever to show some of the offensive skill he has flashed at the lower levels. In junior, he was a two time 30-goal scorer who could drag defenders to the net with his size and strength and in the AHL he’s been a fairly successful power forward. It hasn’t translated to the NHL, but with a one-way commitment for two years the Canucks are essentially telling Gaunce that this is his chance to prove himself. The rebuilding club needs some of their young depth players to step up if they’re to ever get back to contention, and Gaunce (along with Jake Virtanen, another disappointing first round pick) is right at the top of that list.

Vancouver still has one restricted free agent left to sign and it’s an extremely important one: Bo Horvat. The young center is a huge part of their future, and GM Jim Benning has been clear he wants to sign him to a long-term deal. With Gaunce now out of the way, his entire attention can be given to the Horvat situation.

Vancouver Canucks Brendan Gaunce

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Expiring NCAA Draft Rights

August 9, 2017 at 1:55 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee 1 Comment

Will Butcher and Alex Kerfoot have graced many headlines over the last few months, as players who will be heading to free agency next week when their exclusive draft rights expire. Since they finished their senior years without an NHL entry-level contract, they can test the market on August 16th and sign wherever they want.

They’re not the only two, and CapFriendly provides us with a full list of players whose rights will expire next week. Several of the names listed have already signed minor league contracts with various organizations for next year, and will be excluded from the list below. The remaining players are as follows:

Sam Kurker – St. Louis Blues (2nd round, 2012)
Taylor Cammarata – New York Islanders (3rd round, 2013)
Chris Calnan – Chicago Blackhawks (3rd round, 2013)
Rhett Holland – Arizona Coyotes (4th round, 2012)
Zach Nagelvoort – Edmonton Oilers  (4th round, 2014)
Will Butcher – Colorado Avalanche (5th round, 2013)
Doyle Somerby – New York Islanders (5th round, 2012)
Dominic Toninato – Toronto Maple Leafs (5th round, 2012)
Evan Campbell – Edmonton Oilers (5th round, 2013)
Connor Clifton – Arizona Coyotes (5th round, 2013)
Teemu Kivihalme – Nashville Predators (5th round, 2013)*
Grant Besse – Anaheim Ducks (5th round, 2013)
Alex Kerfoot – New Jersey Devils (5th round, 2012)
Ben Storm – Colorado Avalanche (6th round, 2013)
Tim Harrison – Calgary Flames (6th round, 2013)
Collin Olson – Carolina Hurricanes (6th round, 2012)
Chris Leblanc – Ottawa Senators (6th round, 2013)
Clifford Watson – San Jose Sharks (6th round, 2012)
James De Haas – Detroit Red Wings (6th round, 2012)
Blaine Byron – Pittsburgh Penguins (6th round, 2013)
Wade Murphy – Nashville Predators (7th round, 2013)
Brendan Collier – Carolina Hurricanes (7th round, 2012)
Jedd Soleway – Arizona Coyotes (7th round, 2013)
Nolan De Jong – Minnesota Wild (7th round, 2013)

*Has signed with Karpat of the Finnish Liiga.

Many of these players spent time in the minor leagues this past spring on amateur tryout contracts, but will become free agents if not signed by end of day on August 15th. That gives teams time to still get them into their system, but in cases like Toninato there may just not be enough room to fit him in on an entry-level contract. Even those on minor league deals will be free agents at the end of their contract, as those do not protect exclusive draft rights.

Anaheim Ducks| Calgary Flames| Carolina Hurricanes| Chicago Blackhawks| Colorado Avalanche| Detroit Red Wings| Edmonton Oilers| Free Agency| Minnesota Wild| NCAA| Nashville Predators| New Jersey Devils| New York Islanders| Ottawa Senators| Pittsburgh Penguins| San Jose Sharks| St. Louis Blues| Toronto Maple Leafs| Utah Mammoth Alexander Kerfoot| Doyle Somerby| Will Butcher

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Summer Predictions: Atlantic Division

August 9, 2017 at 12:44 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee 2 Comments

The hockey world is at a standstill now that August has rolled around. With all of the arbitration cases now decided and just a few restricted free agents left to sign, players and fans alike are counting the days until training camp starts. While there are still several names in free agency that could still help an NHL club, it seems like many are destined either for professional tryouts or late-summer deals after injuries strike.

So now we’ll get into our summer predictions. Before the start of the year we’ll be releasing a full season preview with projections for each club and the expected playoff teams, but first we’ll ask you to give us your take on how you believe each division will end up. Yesterday we looked at the Metropolitan division, a poll that was handily won by the Pittsburgh Penguins despite them not coming first in the Metro since 2013-14 season. The back-to-back Stanley Cup champs are being chosen by many to three-peat, even after saying goodbye to some former playoff stars like Chris Kunitz and Nick Bonino.

Today, we’ll move to the other Eastern Conference division and take a look at the Atlantic. Choose who you think will win the division this season, and make sure to leave your full prediction for the division standings in the comments. As a proxy for the overall standings, we’ll be sure to publish these results alongside our own PHR rankings in September.

[Mobile users click here to vote!]

Boston Bruins| Buffalo Sabres| Detroit Red Wings| Florida Panthers| Montreal Canadiens| Ottawa Senators| Tampa Bay Lightning| Toronto Maple Leafs

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Still Waiting For Nikita Zadorov Announcement

August 9, 2017 at 10:47 am CDT | by Gavin Lee Leave a Comment

Colorado Avalanche fans have been waiting patiently since the end of the season for news surrounding restricted free agent Nikita Zadorov. Back in July he told Sport-Express in Russia that he’d play for CSKA if he couldn’t come to an agreement with the Avalanche, as the KHL team had already offered him a lucrative contract. After a season which he flashed the potential that made him a first-round pick and centerpiece for Ryan O’Reilly, the Avalanche couldn’t accept his departure.

Earlier this month it was reported that the two sides were closing in on a two-year deal, and Alexey Schevchenko—the same reporter who conducted the interview referenced above—even went so far as to say that a deal was done. The contract would reportedly pay Zadorov $2MM per season. That number has filtered throughout the rumor mill, but has still yet to be confirmed by a North American source or announced by the team.

It does sound like Zadorov will be returning, and for good reason. The Avalanche simply can’t be as historically bad as they were last season, and the big Russian defender can be a part of the turnaround. In 56 games last season he averaged more than 19 minutes a night, and established himself as one of the most devastating open-ice checkers in the league. Now 22, Zadorov could easily take another step forward this season and start to put himself on the map among up-and-coming defensemen in the league. For a team like Colorado who is committed to a rebuild, he’ll be positioned as a key cog going forward.

Colorado Avalanche| KHL Nikita Zadorov

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Early Notes: Gretzky, Heatley, Stanley

August 9, 2017 at 9:16 am CDT | by Gavin Lee Leave a Comment

Twenty-nine years ago today Wayne Gretzky was traded from the Edmonton Oilers to the Los Angeles Kings in a deal that would change the fate of hockey in Southern California. All of a sudden the greatest player of all time was playing in a non-traditional hockey market. NHL.com’s Lisa Dillman chronicles the trade, and how Gretzky was feeling at the time.

When looking back at the deal, many fans remember the $15MM price tag paid by the Kings and equate the deal to a purchase from the less-wealthy Oilers franchise. But there were other parts that should be remembered. Los Angeles also traded Jimmy Carson, a 20-year old former second-overall pick who was coming off a 55-goal, 107-point season, Martin Gelinas the seventh-overall pick from just a few months earlier, and three additional first-round picks. That’s in addition to the $15MM, while the Oilers also sent Marty McSorley and Mike Krushelnyski south along with Gretzky. It was lopsided for sure because of Gretzky’s greatness, but the return shouldn’t be minimized. It was likely the biggest trade that will ever happen in the NHL.

  • According to CTV News in Calgary, former NHL star Dany Heatley has won a court decision over his former agent for losing a large part of his career earnings, given a judgement of just over $6.5MM. Apparently Heatley won a similar court case in the past and was never paid, so it is still to be seen whether he actually gets it. Chris Phillips, Heatley’s former Ottawa Senators teammate who used the same agent also sued in the past and was given a judgement of over $7MM, though was only paid a fraction of the settlement.
  • Winnipeg Jets’ prospect Logan Stanley was traded from the Windsor Spitfires to the Kitchener Rangers yesterday for a package of picks. The huge defender was selected 18th-overall in 2016 and won a Memorial Cup after coming back from injury just in time to compete in the tournament this spring. Windsor, with the hosting duties behind them and several players graduating to the NHL will look to rebuild their franchise and try to time a championship winning group a few years down the line.
  • The Washington Capitals will be playing their home games in the Capital One Center this season, as Dan Steinberg of the Washington Post reports. The Verizon Center’s naming rights were up at the end of 2018, but will change a year early.

Los Angeles Kings| Washington Capitals| Winnipeg Jets Logan Stanley| Wayne Gretzky

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Snapshots: Olczyk, Giroux, Rielly

August 8, 2017 at 8:55 pm CDT | by Seth Lawrence 1 Comment

The hockey world received sad news today, as long-time NBC broadcaster, former coach and player Eddie Olczyk was diagnosed with colon cancer. Olcyzk is perhaps best known for his even-handed color commentary and general good standing league wide. Olczyk played over 1000 NHL contests, splitting time between Chicago, Toronto, Pittsburgh, Winnipeg, and Los Angeles. His short foray into the coaching world for the Penguins in 2003-04 and 2005-06 was relatively unsuccessful, but Olczyk found a home as a broadcaster, first for his local Comcast SportsNet Chicago before taking on a more national role. His legacy within the Blackhawks fanbase is that of a fair, enthusiastic lover of the sport, who provides solid and humor-filled insight.

Olczyk had a tumor removed successfully but still needs to undergo chemotherapy. Olczyk stated that he hopes to return to the broadcast booth for the upcoming season, and hockey fans everywhere will be hoping and praying for his quick recovery.

  • Claude Giroux reached out to Sporting News Canada’s Pam Murray, revealing in an article his thoughts going forward as captain of the Flyers. Essentially, the team couldn’t find a proper groove and “lots of things didn’t go (their) way”. The Flyers had a massive win-streak that was rendered irrelevant by long stretches of non-productivity and defensive inconsistency. Giroux mentioned how excited he is to work with the young prospects making the leap this season, not least among them Nolan Patrick. Philadelphia is a difficult city to play hockey in, and missing the playoffs can apply pressure to even the most savvy of veteran leaders. Giroux, especially with his massive caphit, will be under the limelight if things start to go sour again.
  •  Although it may go as no surprise, the Toronto Maple Leafs’ off-season acquisition of Ron Hainsey was apparently to help guide along Morgan Rielly. Talking to NHL.com’s Dave McCarthy, coach Mike Babcock stated that “finding a partner” for Rielly was always the team’s intention this summer. Hainsey is no doubt a useful veteran player, but taking top minutes may be more than he can handle at this stage of his career. His skating has noticeably slowed and his mediocre puck-moving ability was exploited often in Pittsburgh. A restful off-season may go a long way toward allowing him to handle the load of 20+ minutes once again, but his 39.7% Corsi For in the Penguins’ run certainly didn’t inspire many onlookers. He’ll need to clean up the turnovers and simplify his game a great deal, which, with Rielly on his left, might be feasible.

Chicago Blackhawks| Mike Babcock| NHL| Philadelphia Flyers| Snapshots| Toronto Maple Leafs Claude Giroux| Morgan Rielly| Nolan Patrick| Ron Hainsey

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Mutual Terminations And Their Value To Players

August 8, 2017 at 8:02 pm CDT | by Seth Lawrence Leave a Comment

Over the last three seasons in particular, we’ve seen a number of so-called “mutual terminations”. In fact, we’ve seen more mutual terminations over this period than buyouts. They are just as they sound – when a player and team decide their prior arrangement is no longer agreeable, the teams cut ties entirely. The benefit for the team is that the cap hit of the player is cancelled out entirely. The benefit for the player is that they then have the opportunity to seek employment with a different franchise or a different league. Unfortunately for players, such an agreement may not be totally in their favor.

In the 2016-17 season, there were exactly 10 mutual terminations. Most of them flew under the radar, even for the most avid of hockey fans. The players concerned were David Rundblad (Chicago), Ben Johnson (New Jersey), Mason Raymond (Anaheim), Calle Andersson (New York Rangers), Nicklas Grossmann (Calgary), Axel Blomqvist (Winnipeg), Matt Carle (Nashville), Matia Marcantuoni (Arizona), Gregory Campbell (Columbus), and Jonathan-Ismael Diaby (Nashville). Not a single one of these players competed in another NHL game last season. That’s a success rate of exactly 0% on the player end. Regardless of one’s opinions of these particular players’ hockey abilities, the likelihood of them seeing game action prior to termination was much higher. (It should be noted that Carle announced his retirement, while Johnson was incarcerated, so it’s more like 0-for-8)

Rundblad was forced to return to the Swiss-A League, where he found moderate success with Zurich HC. Andersson also made a return appearance in the Swiss League, playing 26 games as a depth forward. Grossman played 28 games in the Swedish Hockey League with the lowly Orebro, while Blomqvist played only 7 contests for the SHL’s Sodertalje. Campbell, luckily, was employed by the Jackets as a player development coach. Raymond was an interesting case, as he refused to report to the San Diego Gulls due to family issues, which made the arrangement less “mutual” than the others. He signed a contract with SC Bern in June.

Each of these players struggled to find meaningful employment elsewhere while two didn’t find any whatsoever (Marcantuoni & Diaby). It’s understandable as to why a player would want to stay in game action, considering that every player subject to mutual termination is necessarily under the age of 35. Maintaining the physical standards of a pro hockey player is difficult, and being benched for the majority of a season can be crippling to future success. Still, there are solid hockey players on this list who saw marginal benefits from negating the remainder of their contracts. Seven contests for Sodertalje doesn’t really qualify as meaningful. And the story from past seasons is much the same. If you look through the 2015-16 list, most are essentially out of hockey at this point. None have played over 40 contests in a season for a serious foreign league outside of Petr Zamorsky for the SHL. Most terminated players don’t even see over 20 games total after this arrangement.

In the negotiations for a new CBA, this sort of maneuvering might become an issue of contention. Management loves this loophole, as it allows cap and total contract space with no repercussions to the organization. Still, there is an element of strong-arming to this arrangement, one in which the player rarely, if ever, comes out on top. Unless the player has a prior arrangement already in place, it’s a risky proposition. It will be interesting to see how often this strategy will be utilized in 2017-18.

CBA| Players| SHL Axel Blomqvist| David Rundblad| Gregory Campbell| Mason Raymond| Matt Carle| Nicklas Grossmann| Swedish Hockey League

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Senators Passed Up Chance To Unload Ryan

August 8, 2017 at 6:53 pm CDT | by Seth Lawrence 2 Comments

One of the few players who was heavily anticipated to become a Vegas Golden Knight did not – Bobby Ryan. Despite an above-average playoff performance in the Senators’ heartbreaking Conference Final run, Ryan has vastly under-performed relative to his contract. Instead of coordinating a deal to unload that contract to Vegas, they instead lost Marc Methot, perhaps the second best defenseman on the team in that Cinderella story. Methot’s contract was not perfect, to be sure, but Ryan’s deal still looms large over the team for years.

It should be noted that Ryan has been a consistent 50+ point producer prior to this season, where he tallied only 25 through 62 contests. He’s been on pace for over 50 every year since he was a rookie. That said, his fall from grace in 2016-17was concerning and dramatic. His puck control seriously declined, his decision making faltered, and his production took a nosedive. With only 12 goals, and coming off a hot post-season, the time was ripe for GM Pierre Dorion to take advantage of Vegas’ unique situation and rid himself of a bad contract. Earning $7.25 MM AAV for the next five seasons, Ryan is the 36th highest paid forward in the league, and second-highest on the payroll behind Erik Karlsson.

For those who believe such an arrangement could not have been worked out, merely look at some of the contracts Vegas did take on. The essentially retired David Clarkson’s $5.25 MM for the next 3 seasons was shipped out at the price of a first and a 2020 second. The perennially concussed Mikhail Grabovski was dealt for a similar package, which also protected some of the Islanders’ players. Vegas also didn’t shy away from taking veteran players with value – they selected James Neal (29 years old) from Nashville as well as David Perron from the Blues (29 years old). Certainly, with a little encouragement, George McPhee might have entertained the possibility of Ryan as a Knight. The price may have been steep, but Karlsson is in the prime of his career, while many players are looking for raises in the immediate future. Clearing Ryan’s albatross off the books may have gone a long way towards building toward a consistent contender.

Ultimately, Dorion decided against unloading a bloated contract in hopes that Ryan’s post-season revival was no mirage. With the UFA crop available, it’s difficult to blame the management for doubling down on the struggling winger. Five roster players will be UFA after this season, including Craig Anderson and Kyle Turris, while Mark Stone (RFA) has earned a raise. Karlsson will then be due a raise for 2019-20, as will five other forwards. The team will need to rely upon cost-effective ELC players and bargain contracts to continue holding pace with the rest of the Atlantic division. Only time will tell whether the Ryan decision was the correct one.

George McPhee| Ottawa Senators| Players| RFA| RIP| St. Louis Blues Bobby Ryan| Craig Anderson| David Clarkson| David Perron| Erik Karlsson| James Neal| Kyle Turris| Marc Methot| Mark Stone| Mikhail Grabovski

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