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Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

Traded First-Round Picks For 2025 NHL Draft

August 9, 2024 at 9:57 am CDT | by Josh Erickson 3 Comments

Last updated 8/26/24, 8:25 a.m.

The 2025 NHL Draft may still be nearly a year away, but multiple teams have already traded away their first-round picks, and even more will change hands before the March 6, 2025 trade deadline.

This article will be used to monitor each team’s 2025 first-round pick, updating it as necessary throughout the year.

We’ve listed all 32 teams here, so even if a team hasn’t traded its first-round pick, that will be noted. We’ll also provide details on the protections for each traded pick, including what happens to the pick in 2026 if it doesn’t change hands in 2025.

Here’s the full breakdown of the status of each 2025 first-round pick:

Atlantic

  • Boston Bruins: Own pick.
  • Buffalo Sabres: Own pick.
  • Detroit Red Wings: Own pick.
  • Florida Panthers: Traded to Flames or Canadiens (top-10 protected).
    • If this pick lands in its protected range, the Panthers would owe the Flames their 2026 first-round pick (unprotected). 
    • Flames/Panthers details are outlined below.
  • Montreal Canadiens: Own pick.
  • Ottawa Senators: Own pick.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning: Traded to Predators (top-10 protected).
    • If this pick lands in its protected range, the Lightning would owe the Predators their 2026 first-round pick (unprotected).
  • Toronto Maple Leafs: Traded to Blackhawks (top-10 protected).
    • If this pick lands in its protected range, the Maple Leafs would owe the Blackhawks their 2026 first-round pick (unprotected).

Metropolitan

  • Carolina Hurricanes: Own pick.
  • Columbus Blue Jackets: Own pick.
  • New Jersey Devils: Traded to Flames (top-10 protected).
    • If this pick lands in its protected range, the Devils would owe the Flames their 2026 first-round pick (unprotected).
  • New York Islanders: Own pick.
  • New York Rangers: Own pick.
  • Philadelphia Flyers: Own pick.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins: Own pick.
  • Washington Capitals: Own pick.

Central

  • Chicago Blackhawks: Own pick.
  • Colorado Avalanche: Traded to Flyers (top-10 protected).
    • If this pick lands in its protected range, the Avalanche would owe the Flyers their 2026 first-round pick (unprotected).
  • Dallas Stars: Own pick.
  • Minnesota Wild: Own pick.
  • Nashville Predators: Own pick.
  • St. Louis Blues: Own pick.
  • Utah Hockey Club: Own pick.
  • Winnipeg Jets: Own pick.

Pacific

  • Anaheim Ducks: Own pick.
  • Calgary Flames: Traded to Canadiens or own pick.
    • Flames/Canadiens details are outlined below.
  • Edmonton Oilers: Traded to Flyers (top-12 protected).
    • If this pick lands in its protected range, the Oilers would owe the Flyers their 2026 first-round pick (unprotected).
  • Los Angeles Kings: Own pick.
  • San Jose Sharks: Own pick or traded to Predators.
    • Details are outlined under the Golden Knights’ pick.
  • Seattle Kraken: Own pick.
  • Vancouver Canucks: Own pick.
  • Vegas Golden Knights: Traded to Predators or Sharks. (unprotected).
    • This pick was initially traded to the Sharks without protection. The Sharks later dealt this pick to the Predators, but San Jose can opt to retain Vegas’ pick and send their own 2025 first-rounder to Nashville if Vegas’ pick falls inside the top 10.

Details on Flames’ picks:

Remember all those complex conditions attached to the first-round pick the Flames sent to the Canadiens to take on the final season of Sean Monahan’s contract in 2022? Those will come back to bite draft-watchers this season. A full explanation of all the possible conditions can be found in this write-up from two years ago, but we’ll outline them briefly here.

In 2025, the Flames control three first-rounders:

  • Their own.
  • The Panthers’ first-round pick (top-10 protected).
  • The Devils’ first-round pick (top-10 protected).

Luckily for those trying to parse through the conditions of the trade, the Devils’ pick, which Calgary acquired in this offseason’s Jacob Markstrom trade, isn’t a factor here.

At the time of the Monahan deal, there were three possible scenarios to determine which first-round pick the Habs would receive. One of them can already be crossed off, as it involved the Canadiens opting to receive Calgary’s 2024 first-rounder if it fell between 20th and 32nd overall. It didn’t, so we moved on to the other scenarios.

With Calgary likely to be a bottom-feeder this season and Florida coming off a Stanley Cup championship, the most likely scenario is that the Flames’ first-rounder falls inside the top 10 and the Panthers’ does not. In that case, the Canadiens will receive Florida’s pick. The opposite would be true if the situation was reversed. If neither pick falls in the top 10, the Canadiens will receive the better of the two picks.

The write-up linked above details the third scenario, which involves both picks falling inside the top 10.

Information from PuckPedia was used in the creation of this post.

2025 NHL Draft| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

3 comments

Salary Cap/Transactions FAQs: Waivers, Retention, Buyouts, More

August 8, 2024 at 12:34 pm CDT | by Josh Erickson 1 Comment

This is the second edition of PHR’s Salary Cap/Transactions FAQ. If you’re not seeing your question answered here, check to see if we got to it in our first edition.

Today’s topics include some waiver insight, salary retention, buyout specifics, and more. Some questions have been edited for style and clarity.

cpd26: We see cap-strapped teams send young, waiver-exempt players down to AHL on paper transactions often to bank up cap space daily. Why don’t we see the same with overpaid, underperforming veterans who would clear waivers? Thinking Justin Holl, Ville Husso, Nate Schmidt (pre-last year’s buyout), Marc-Edouard Vlasic (if Sharks needed space), and Conor Sheary would be candidates… Obviously, this doesn’t work with NMCs, but none of them have one. Why do vets only get sent down for the longer term, like Jack Campbell and Calvin Petersen?

That’s a great point. The short answer is that the waiver process takes longer, and it’s easier for teams to accrue cap space by sending waiver-exempt players down to the AHL on off days, as the Stars did with Logan Stankoven. It’s a zero-risk move, especially since the player is informed it’s a paper transaction.

There are a few cons to waiving veterans, as you propose. There’s obviously little doubt they’d clear waivers, as you laid out, but you are losing a day of accumulating cap space by waiting for the waiver process to finish up. It also doesn’t give you complete cap relief, only up to $1.15MM, as that’s the maximum buriable threshold at the moment. Of course, after initially clearing waivers, there’s a grace period in which those veterans can be shuttled between leagues at will until they’ve spent 30 days on the NHL roster or played 10 NHL games, whichever comes first.

But because they’re giving you $1.15MM in relief, they also cost $1.15MM to call up again, which a lot of those cap-strapped teams can’t stomach for short-term, game-day moves. It’s more complicated to plan out long-term, and you risk damaging your relationship with the veteran and, with it, any hope that they may rebound to being worth their cap hit. That last point is probably less of a stressor/worry for front offices, but it still comes to mind.

fafardjoel: When a team retains money in a transaction, for example, 50% for a $6MM player for two years in exchange for a third-round pick, do they actually pay this money to the player? Who pays what?

Correct. The team trading the player away is on the hook, in that case, for exactly half of the player’s base salary and signing bonuses after the trade. The acquiring team pays the player the other 50% of the deal’s life.

frozenaquatic: I’m always seeing news that players opt for lower AAV contracts for a shorter term but hold out for higher AAV for longer. Wouldn’t it make sense to be guaranteed $4MM a year for eight years rather than $2MM annually for two years? What if you are terrible in those two years and can’t command $4MM? Is it worth that much of a gamble that you’ll get $6MM AAV on your next contract, which you would have to catch up money on your lower AAV short term contract?

It’s mostly about aging curves. Players don’t want to take a low-AAV, long-term deal in their early to mid-20s because it robs them of their maximum earning potential as potential UFAs in their prime in their late 20s. Yes, they run the risk of regressing and losing their value. But every contract negotiation is a gamble from one side, essentially—either the player or team. It’s quite reasonable for a player on the right side of the aging curve to bet on themselves.

Now, for a more established veteran, you’re exactly right. Recent examples of those players (Taylor Hall, John Klingberg, Vladimir Tarasenko, etc.) have almost all gotten burned by taking one or two-year deals when the market wasn’t what they wanted for long-term offers. That trend seems to have died out already this summer. But for RFA-eligible players, lower-cost bridge deals make a good amount of sense. Just ask Elias Pettersson, who bet on himself and won with his three-year, $7.35MM AAV deal that turned into an eight-year, $11.6MM AAV extension.

goosehiatt: In a buyout situation, does the player get the full balance of the contract or does he only get the portion that the team is penalized?

The player only gets two-thirds or one-third of the base salary they were originally owed, spread out over twice the remaining length of the contract at the time it was bought out. It depends on their age. Most players (26 or older) will receive two-thirds. For all players, buyouts don’t affect their signing bonuses. Those are guaranteed/paid in full after the deal is bought out.

It’s that messy calculation that determines the cap penalties for the team executing the buyout and why long-term signing bonus-heavy deals are so desirable for superstars. It’s not all about having the money paid up front, it’s also about having it protected in the event of a buyout.

MixtureBill: For waiver order, is it always based on reverse standings order, or are teams moved to the “end of the line” after making a claim? Would the last place team have priority on all waiver claims until the order is changed at the given date during the season, or once making a claim do they no longer have top priority?

Nope. If a team remains in 32nd place for eternity, they have first dibs on players on waivers for eternity.

That given date you mention is Nov. 1, by the way. So, for any players who get placed on waivers between now and November, the Sharks will still have priority, then the Blackhawks, then the Ducks, and so on.

Gmm8811: Does the AHL and ECHL operate under the NHL CBA, or do they have their own CBA?

Not only do they not share a CBA, they don’t share a players’ association. AHL and ECHL players aren’t part of the NHLPA. They’re members of the Professional Hockey Players’ Association (PHPA), which then negotiates CBAs with the AHL and ECHL on behalf of the players.

Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| Salary Cap/Transactions FAQs

1 comment

PHR Chatter: The Blue Jackets’ Offseason

August 6, 2024 at 7:56 am CDT | by Josh Erickson 3 Comments

The Blue Jackets were one of the most active teams last summer, acquiring Ivan Provorov and Damon Severson to bolster their blue line and drafting Adam Fantilli third overall after a nightmarish 2022-23 season. They also tabbed Mike Babcock to be their next head coach, kicking off months of off-ice instability that contributed to Columbus staying well below the playoff demarcation line with a 66-point campaign in 2023-24.

Before they could improve on the ice, the Blue Jackets had to name the pillars that will lead the team out of its rebuild. They’ve done so now, naming Don Waddell to take over as general manager after Jarmo Kekalainen was canned in February and bringing in Dean Evason to succeed Pascal Vincent as head coach, the latter of whom struggled in the post after unexpectedly taking over for Babcock before the season began.

But unlike last summer, the Jackets were mostly silent on both the trade and UFA markets aside from one name. That’s Sean Monahan, who they signed to a five-year, $27.5MM deal with one goal in mind – reignite Johnny Gaudreau. The two were an elite duo together during their days with the Flames, and in their younger years, helped each other to career-best seasons at the time in 2018-19.

Gaudreau has struggled in Columbus since signing a seven-year, $68.25MM contract in free agency in 2022, producing below expectations with 33 goals and 101 assists for 134 points in 161 games. He was over a point per game in his career before signing with the Jackets. Monahan, meanwhile, is on the upswing after seemingly beating the injury bug. His 26 goals and 59 points split between the Canadiens and Jets last season were his most since his career-high 34 goals and 82 points centering Gaudreau in Calgary five years ago.

Of course, there’s still one major box Waddell still needs to check off. A Patrik Laine trade is more inevitable than ever after the winger exited the NHL/NHLPA Player Assistance Program late last month. But Waddell told Brian Hedger of the Columbus Dispatch last week that talks are moving at a snail’s pace, no doubt influenced by Laine’s rich $8.7MM cap hit through the next two seasons. The sniper was a point-per-game player in Columbus as recently as three years ago, but injuries and his stay in the assistance program limited him to just 18 appearances last season.

To round out their roster, Columbus also brought in an old friend in veteran defenseman Jack Johnson to help stabilize their bottom pair. He played in parts of seven seasons with the Jackets, where he was a top-pairing fixture from 2012 to 2018. His 16 points and +15 rating with the Avalanche last season were both his best single-season totals since departing Columbus.

They’ll also likely get the first taste of Denton Mateychuk in the NHL. The 2022 12th-overall pick will be turning pro in the fall after a banner 2023-24 campaign that saw him win a Western Hockey League championship with the Moose Jaw Warriors, leading the playoffs with 19 assists in 20 games en route to being named the postseason MVP. His 75 points (17 G, 58 A) in 52 regular-season games with a +35 rating also earned him the Bill Hunter Trophy for the league’s top defenseman.

But aside from Evason and Monahan, the Jackets look nearly identical to how they finished last season, at least in terms of pieces projected to have a significant impact. Nine of their 10 leading scorers from last season are still rostered, save for Alexandre Texier. He was traded to the Blues in June.

No one is expecting the Blue Jackets to be playoff contenders this year, but it will be an important culture-setting season for the team as they attempt to return to relevancy. Part of that will be a significant bump in the standings, but even a 15-20 point increase from last year wouldn’t bring them within spitting distance of a wild card spot. Still, it would be an important step forward for the Blue Jackets’ young core as they begin to graduate from prospects to full-fledged NHLers.

Tell us what you think. Have the Jackets done enough to at least take a significant step forward in 2024-25? Did they make the right hires to address their coaching and GM vacancies? Head to the comments and share your thoughts on the summer in Columbus.

Columbus Blue Jackets| PHR Chatter| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

3 comments

Salary Cap/Transactions FAQs: Performance Bonuses, Kuznetsov, Offseason Cap, More

August 5, 2024 at 8:40 am CDT | by Josh Erickson 4 Comments

The first installment of our Salary Cap/Transactions FAQs covers performance bonuses, buyouts for players involved in retained salary transactions, how teams navigate offseason salary cap rules, and more. If you have a question that isn’t answered here, check our FAQ callout and add yours to the comment section!

Schwa: I would love to learn more about bonuses. I understand rookie and 35+ bonuses. But how about something like Connor Brown last year – injury recovery bonuses? Also how do they affect the cap – if bonuses put you over the cap by end of playoffs, you are penalized the following season? Thanks!

Great opener. Technically, in someone like Brown’s case, they’re not injury recovery bonuses. They’re regular performance bonuses, akin to what you’d find in a 35+ contract. Usually, they’re tied to how many games a player appears in during the season or, in rarer cases, tied to other statistical benchmarks (points, playoff series wins, Cup win, etc.).

The bonuses themselves aren’t what changes, it’s the player’s eligibility that does. Obviously, a “normal” player reaching unrestricted free agency and signing a standard player contract isn’t eligible for them. But players who missed most of the prior season due to injury are eligible for performance bonuses with three key stipulations:

  1. They have more than 400 NHL games of experience before signing the contract AND
  2. They spent a minimum of 100 days on injured reserve the prior season (standard and/or long-term) AND
  3. They’re signing a one-year contract

That is to say – if Brown signed a multi-year deal with the Oilers last summer coming off that injury (ACL tear, I believe?), he wouldn’t have been eligible for any performance bonuses. A deal can’t be structured so that he’d have potential performance bonuses in Year 1 and none in Year 2.

And the second half of your question is correct. If a player earns a performance bonus that’s a higher value than what the team has remaining in cap space at season’s end, it’s a penalty (called a “bonus carryover”) on next season’s cap.

Grocery stick: Hurricanes and Kuznetsov did agree on a mutual termination. What if Carolina had decided to buy him out instead: Would that have any implication on the Capitals? Or would they have continued to pay him the retained money (and using a retention slot on him)?

So, there’s precedent for this – a very recent one, in fact. The Canucks bought out Oliver Ekman-Larsson last summer while he was involved in a retained salary transaction with the Coyotes. Arizona (now Utah) retains the same percentage of the buyout cost that they did on Ekman-Larsson’s initial salary, which does still use up a retention slot.

Buying out the final season of Kuznetsov’s deal would have resulted in a $3.8MM cap charge in 2024-25 and a $2MM cap charge in 2025-26, per PuckPedia’s buyout calculator. Since the Capitals were retaining 50% of Kuznetsov’s salary, they would have split the buyout costs 50/50 with the Hurricanes. Both teams would have had cap charges of $1.9MM in 2024-25 and $1MM in 2025-26.

highflyballintorightfield: How about an explanation of rules for the offseason cap hit limits, that would be sufficient to explain how and why the Capitals can comfortably be well above next season’s cap.

Teams are allowed to exceed the salary cap by 10% during the offseason. This year, with an upper limit of $88MM, that means teams can have cap hits as high as $96.8MM over the summer and still be compliant as long as they get down to $88MM by the time opening night rosters are due.

But you make an astute observation – not only are the Capitals well above next season’s cap, they’re above the 10% threshold as well with a projected cap hit of around $98.25MM, per PuckPedia.

They’ve likely done this by placing Nicklas Backstrom on offseason LTIR, a difficult but necessary move to execute to ensure offseason compliancy. It operates mostly the same as in-season LTIR in that it essentially gives the Capitals an extra $9.2MM in space to work with over the summer. But using offseason LTIR restricts a team’s LTIR pool once the season starts, as it doesn’t allow them to add to it or otherwise optimize it as long as at least one player remains on LTIR. In-season LTIR is much more flexible.

In short, the Caps are sacrificing in-season salary cap flexibility for offseason salary cap flexibility.

Zakis: Read somewhere that signing players early to ELCs helps tamp down the future AAV. How does that work? Also, what’s the difference between ELCs for high school, NCAA, CHL and European players?

It does help decrease the future cap hit/AAV of the deal by a slight amount, but only if the player is subject to an entry-level slide. That’s because signing bonuses don’t slide with the rest of the deal. Let’s look at an example.

When signing 2024 third-overall pick Beckett Sennecke to his entry-level contract last month, the Ducks gave him a $97.5K signing bonus (the maximum allowable) in each season of the deal. Let’s say Sennecke plays fewer than 10 NHL games in 2024-25, sliding the beginning of his ELC to 2025-26. His $97.5K signing bonus for 2024-25 gets paid out anyway, leaving him no signing bonus in 2027-28, which is now the final season of his contract due to the slide. That reduces the AAV of the three-year deal slightly from $975K (including base salary) to $942.5K.

In terms of the difference in how ELCs are structured across players coming from different leagues, there are none. An ELC is an ELC no matter who’s signing it. The key difference lies with who’s still eligible to receive an ELC compared to a standard player contract. If a player is coming out of a North American league, they’re no longer eligible to sign an ELC if their signing age (age on Sep. 15 of the calendar year when the deal is signed) is 25 or older. If they’re above that age threshold, they have to sign a standard player contract.

But for European players, that age limit increases to 28 or older. That’s why Isles international free agent signing Maxim Tsyplakov, whose signing age was 25, was eligible for an ELC this summer. If he was coming from a North American league, he would have needed to sign a standard one-way or two-way deal, removing his $1MM in potential performance bonuses.

Spaced-Cowboy: How often can the NTC be modified or changed in a given year. What is the full process of waiving the NTC. Is it retained after the team acquires them (pre deadline trades that result in a player being traded again; at or before the deadline) Is it always the player or can the organizations stipulate which teams are on the NTC. Does the NHL have specific language for these contracts or is it completely up to the agent/player & organization?

Full NMCs or NTCs can’t be modified, only M-NTCs can (hence the modified qualifier there). Usually, a player’s M-NTC will go into effect on July 1 each year, but sometimes a player/team can agree on a different date. Players and/or their representation need to submit their no-trade list to the team by that date. If they don’t, the M-NTC is voided. That happened with Patrik Berglund back in 2018. He had a 20-team no-trade list, but didn’t submit it to the Blues in time. The Sabres were on his no-trade that, but he was dealt to them anyway in the Ryan O’Reilly blockbuster.

If a player waives an NMC, NTC, or even M-NTC for a trade to go through, or they’re traded before it goes into effect, it remains in effect for its previously dictated duration with the acquiring team. That’s a recent change in the 2020 CBA update – it used to be that if a player was traded before an NMC or NTC went into effect, the clause would be removed unless the acquiring team agreed to keep it.

The only exception to that rule is if a player makes it clear they’re waiving the clause permanently for the trade to go through, which to my knowledge has never happened. Clauses are always waived only for the purposes of a specific transaction, and they then travel with the player after a transaction.

As for the last few parts of that question, it’s up to the player to decide the teams that comprise their M-NTC. Unfortunately, I don’t have a good answer for you on the specific language used to stipulate clauses in contracts.

Image courtesy of USA Today Sports.

Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| Salary Cap/Transactions FAQs

4 comments

Free Agent Profile: Oliver Kylington

August 3, 2024 at 10:40 am CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

Now more than a month into free agency, pretty much all of the top talents are off the board.  However, there are a handful of intriguing players still available, one of whom is defenseman Oliver Kylington.

It has been a series of ups and downs for the 27-year-old for the past three seasons, to put it lightly.  In 2021-22, he had a breakout year.  After showing flashes of upside in the past without much consistency, Kylington was able to put together a consistent showing, picking up 31 points in 73 games while logging over 18 minutes per night, good for fourth among Calgary blueliners.

While he improved, he also wasn’t progressing to the point of being a high-end piece, so Flames management saw fit to give Kylington what amounted to a second bridge contract, a two-year, $5MM agreement that walked him right to UFA eligibility.  It was a move that gave them a bit of cap flexibility while hedging against him taking a step back.  Meanwhile, had Kylington continued his progression, he’d have been well-positioned to cash in on the open market.

Of course, it didn’t quite happen that way.  Kylington missed the entire 2022-23 campaign for mental health reasons; that also carried over into last season before he eventually returned to the Flames in January.

Upon returning, Calgary understandably eased him in.  After averaging more than 18 minutes a night in his last season, it took him until the 13th game to reach that mark.  Overall, Kylington played in 33 games, notching three goals and five assists while logging 17:15 per contest.  Those numbers don’t exactly jump off the table which undoubtedly hurt his case heading into free agency.

Stats

2023-24: 33 GP, 3 G, 5 A, 8 PTS, -6, 12 PIMS, 17:15 ATOI, 48.7 CF%
Career: 201 GP, 17 G, 38 A, 55 PTS, +24, 52 PIMS, 15:39 ATOI, 50.7 CF%

Potential Suitors

The possible fits for Kylington come down to a couple of types of teams.  If he’s looking for playing time, trying to land with a weaker team that can give him a chance at being a fourth defender would be the way to go with the hopes of rebuilding some value.  Alternatively, he could elect to try to join more of a contending team and play more of a limited role but hope that being in a winning environment will help in the long run.

In the East, Pittsburgh currently has five regular defensemen before things turn to a variety of depth players and question marks.  Bringing in Kylington would at least give them a sixth proven option while they have ample cap space to fit him in.  Carolina has Alexander Nikishin coming but he’s still a year away.  Kylington could be a depth option that helps bridge the gap.  Meanwhile, the Rangers are currently set to have Zachary Jones on their third pairing.  If they’re not comfortable with that, Kylington could be a viable piece to fit on their third pairing.  However, he’d have to take a pay cut to fill that spot with New York being largely capped out.

Out West, San Jose has been adding some short-term veterans in an effort to improve their competitiveness and Kylington would at least raise the floor at the back of their blueline.  Over time, he could push his way into a bigger role as well.  If Ryan Suter’s addition in St. Louis wasn’t a hedge against Torey Krug’s injury, Kylington could serve as a depth replacement and injury insurance.  While a reunion in Calgary may seem unlikely at this point, there were extension discussions back in June so evidently, there was at least some mutual interest in a new deal with the Flames not that long ago.

Projected Contract

Kylington narrowly missed out on our Top 50 UFA list, checking in two spots below the cut-off.  Last month, the expectation was that Kylington was hoping to land a two-year deal a little above the $2.5MM AAV he had on his now-expired contract.  At this point, achieving both seems unlikely; a one-year agreement is now the likeliest outcome while there aren’t many viable options that can afford Kylington at that price point.  Something closer to the $1.5MM mark would give him some opportunities that otherwise might not come about.  That would be a disappointment based on his early expectations but at this stage of the game, few get the types of contracts they were originally seeking.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

2024 Free Agency| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals Oliver Kylington

0 comments

How Long Is The Vancouver Canucks’ Competitive Window?

July 29, 2024 at 7:04 pm CDT | by Brennan McClain 5 Comments

In an article today from Harman Dayal of The Athletic (Subscription Required), he analyzes the Vancouver Canucks competitive window with their current salary cap structure. The Canucks experienced a 26-point jump in the standings last season while winning the Pacific Division for the first time since the division was created ahead of the 2013-14 NHL season. Additionally, Vancouver qualified for the Stanley Cup playoffs for the third time in 11 seasons before being ousted in Round Two by the eventual Western Conference Champions, the Edmonton Oilers.

The Canucks have high-priced players at the top of their salary cap table with $11.6MM and $8MM contracts for forwards Elias Pettersson and J.T. Miller, respectively. The organization has just over $15K available in salary cap space according to PuckPedia but has done a nice job in parsing out the rest of their roster. Vancouver arguably has two of the better bargain contracts in the league with defenseman Quinn Hughes ($7.85MM until 2026-27) and goaltender Thatcher Demko ($5MM until 2025-26).

Dayal argues that the Canucks are similar to the Tampa Bay Lightning in the late 2010s and the early 2020s as they captured two Stanley Cup Championships while paying Andrei Vasilevskiy, Mikhail Sergachev, Anthony Cirelli, Brayden Point, and Blake Coleman well-below market value. Because of this, Tampa Bay was able to fill out the rest of the roster and create one of the better dynasties in the league since the Chicago Blackhawks and Los Angeles Kings.

The argument seems a little off-base as the Canucks core is a little bit further ahead in their contractual lives than the comparables from the Lightning. Tampa Bay does have the benefit of being in a no-tax state which keeps contracts lower on average but the players listed were not as far into their careers at that point. Once the chickens came home to roost, the Lightning have been bounced from Round One in back-to-back years and the organization has had to make tough decisions to stay salary cap compliant.

This is why Vancouver’s contention window largely comes down to the contracts of Hughes, Demko, and Brock Boeser. The latter becomes an unrestricted free agent at the end of next season and could earn nearly $9MM if he comes close to repeating his 40-goal campaign from the 2023-24 season. Boeser’s shooting percentage (19.6%) throughout last year was more than seven points higher than his career average which points to regression next season. If Boeser comes back down to earth near the 20-30 goal range, his asking price should come down substantially.

Hughes and Demko will be much tougher to absorb for Vancouver especially if the former continues to play at a Norris Trophy-level pace. This year’s award winner finished with 92 points in 82 games and could be in line for a contract near the $12MM average on his next deal. Regardless of the salary cap projections over the next three years, this would be a pricey contract for any team let alone the Canucks.

Demko may provide an easier contract situation to resolve as his injury history continues to mount. He did play in 51 games for the Canucks this past season while maintaining a .918 save percentage but was absent from the team for much of this year’s playoff run. If Demko can stay healthy, this may cause a financial hurdle for Vancouver if he continues to post one of the better save percentages in the league compared to his peers.

All in all, Vancouver’s contention window is at least over the next two years with Demko and Hughes signed to team-friendly contracts. If general manager Patrik Allvin can continue to be crafty on the trade market like he was last season, the Canucks should be well poised to make a run soon. However, much like Tampa Bay’s recent history, Vancouver could be positioned to make some difficult decisions regarding their roster in only a few short years.

Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| Vancouver Canucks

5 comments

Poll: Who’s The Most Intriguing Available UFA?

July 29, 2024 at 9:19 am CDT | by Josh Erickson 8 Comments

The list of true impact UFAs available is empty nearly a month into free agency. There are only two players left – Tyler Johnson and James van Riemsdyk, both aging veterans – who scored more than 30 points last season. But aside from that established yet declining veteran crowd, there are still a few names with perhaps some untapped upside available for contenders and rebuilders alike.

Some remaining UFAs are getting the chance to switch teams before the usual 27-year-old/seven years of NHL service demarcation because they didn’t receive qualifying offers last month. Like impact veterans, most of them have been snapped up already. Only four remain who were full-time NHLers last year: Calen Addison, Boris Katchouk, Gustav Lindstrom and Kailer Yamamoto. Yamamoto, a first-round pick of the Oilers back in 2017, is the most experienced of the group by far at over 300 career games. He’s coming off a tough year with the Kraken after signing there as a free agent last summer (Edmonton traded him to the Red Wings, who subsequently bought him out, in a salary dump) but isn’t too far removed from a 20-goal, 41-point campaign in 2021-22.

Like Yamamoto, the other three have all changed teams since being drafted. Addison, a 2018 second-round pick of the Penguins, was traded to the Wild for Jason Zucker in 2020 before making his NHL debut. The defenseman did okay as a power-play specialist in Minnesota, posting five goals and 33 assists for 38 points in 92 games with a -24 rating. Early last season, he was traded again to the Sharks, where he finished the campaign with a goal and 11 assists in 60 games with a -35 rating on the league’s worst defensive team. At 24 years old, it’s unlikely he’ll develop the defensive acumen necessary for a top-four role, but he does carry significant upside as a third-pairing, second-power-play option.

Katchouk, 26, is on the hunt for his fourth team this summer. The 2016 second-round pick of the Lightning has also suited up for the Blackhawks and Senators after being traded to Chicago in 2022 in the Brandon Hagel deal and then claimed off waivers by Ottawa this March. The former AHL and OHL All-Star has 36 points (15 G, 21 A) in 176 games over the past three seasons playing on the wing. Lindstrom, who the Red Wings drafted in the second round a year after Katchouk, has a similar offensive profile with 35 points in 174 games from the blue line. He’s suited up exclusively in a bottom-pairing role for Detroit, Montreal and Anaheim, where he ended last season on a high note with six assists and a +12 rating in 32 games after being selected off waivers from the Habs in January.

There are also some under-30 reclamation projects available that reached UFA status outright this summer. Headlining that group is Dominik Kubalik, who was traded by the Red Wings to the Senators in last year’s Alex DeBrincat trade and proceeded to fall off the map entirely, limited to 11 goals and four assists in 74 games while seeing a career-low 12:07 ATOI. But the Czech winger, who turns 29 next month, has a pair of 20-goal seasons under his belt, including a 30-goal campaign with the Blackhawks back in 2019-20.

There’s also ex-Sharks winger Kevin Labanc, who fits a similar profile to Kubalik but has much more NHL experience, with eight seasons and nearly 500 games under his belt. The 2014 sixth-round pick was a solid secondary scoring option in the last few years of San Jose’s years-long window of competitiveness, culminating with a 17-goal, 56-point showing in 2018-19. But it’s been downhill for the New York native since, coming off a career-worst 2023-24 campaign in which he scored just twice and added seven assists with a -27 rating in 46 games. He averaged a career-low 11:37 per game and was a frequent healthy scratch.

On the blue line, the highest-ceiling option available is undoubtedly Oliver Kylington. The former Flames defenseman hit his stride in the 2021-22 campaign, breaking out for 31 points and a +34 rating in 73 games after a few seasons of serving as the seventh or eighth player on the Calgary defensive depth chart. But he spent the entire 2022-23 on personal leave back home in Sweden and played a reduced role upon returning in 2023-24, posting eight points (3 G, 5 A) with a -6 rating in 33 games. He’s still 27 years old and could still have a few seasons of fringe top-four play left in him in the right environment, though.

That brings us to today’s poll question: who do you think is the most intriguing or highest-ceiling player still available on the UFA market? Is it one of the players discussed above or someone else you’d like to see your team pick up on a cheap deal? Let us know by voting in the poll below and discussing in the comments.

If the embedded poll isn’t showing up, use this link to vote!

Polls| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

8 comments

Predators’ Depth Pieces Will Sway Stanley Cup Aspirations

July 28, 2024 at 5:43 pm CDT | by Gabriel Foley 5 Comments

The Nashville Predators have built a strong case for the most productive summer in the NHL by adding top defenseman Brady Skjei, scoring winger Jonathan Marchessault, and Tampa Bay Lightning legend Steven Stamkos. Each of the trio are set for a pivotal role in Nashville – headlined by the premier-scoring Stamkos’ rounding out of the team’s top line, next to Ryan O’Reilly and Filip Forsberg. The moves cost Nashville $20.5MM and could easily be enough to earn them a top-three spot in the Central after picking up a Wild Card spot last season. But the throes of the Toronto Maple Leafs have shown that teams can’t go far on the backs of just a few stars, and even with illustrious spending this summer, Nashville’s run to the franchise’s first Stanley Cup will ultimately sit with a largely unchanged depth.

That depth is most notably led by centerman Thomas Novak, who found consistency in Nashville’s third-line center role last season, after rivaling second-line minutes in 2022-23. The small decrease in ice time didn’t phase him, as Novak managed 18 goals and 45 points in 71 games – career-highs in all three stats, though a slight dip in per-game scoring from two seasons ago. He found a way to stick in the lineup through health and challenge last season – and now gets a chance to break his way into the team’s top six, assuming they choose to use Stamkos as a winger. If so, Novak would likely be flanked by productive wingers Gustav Nyquist and Marchessault, who could both provide a spark to Novak’s methodical style. While Nyquist’s longevity, and Marchessault’s change of scenery, will be notable storylines of their own this season – it will be Novak’s capability as a second-line center that will determine Nashville’s ability to deploy a top-line of superstars.

While Novak is fighting to round out the second line, Nashville’s bottom six will sit as a land of opportunity for a young core that, so far, hasn’t jumped off the page. Each of Cody Glass, Luke Evangelista, and Philip Tomasino have shown promise at the top flight but struggled to carve out a consistent role. Their place in Nashville is quickly being challenged by minor-league risers Juuso Parssinen, Zachary L’Heureux, Joakim Kemell, and Fyodor Svechkov. The quartet stands as the prospects to watch in Nashville’s upcoming training camp and could each vie for a hardy shot at the NHL this fall. Which young forwards win out the competition for ice time will underline the conversation of Nashville’s ‘X-factors’ – especially as Tomasino and Parssinen sit as unsigned restricted free agents. But it will be how the young corps blend with hardened vets like Colton Sissons and Cole Smith to form a stout bottom-six that will shape their playoff durability.

There’s a lot of hope sitting with Nashville’s inexperienced forwards, but they seem a more surefire bet than the team’s defensive group. While Skjei’s addition provides much-needed star-power behind Roman Josi, it doesn’t address the team’s lack of depth on the right-hand side –unless Skjei plays on his off-hand, which he’s done in the past. Even then, Nashville will be forced to ice at least one of Dante Fabbro, Alexandre Carrier, or Luke Schenn in their top four. Like the Predators’ depth forwards, each of these defenders have shown promise at the top flight, but sit a ways back from a confident role. Top prospects Ryan Ufko and Andrew Gibson seem to have the wind behind their sails after the end of the 2023-24 season, and could provide more depth than expected down the stretch, though both still sit multiple steps back from a real NHL chance, leaving Nashville with a defense much skinnier than its starring names would suggest.

A wide-open defense is nothing new for the Predators, and they luckily have the dazzling pair of Juuse Saros and Yaroslav Askarov mitigating most of the concerns from the crease. But over $20MM in spending this summer, and the addition of a future first-ballot Hall-of-Famer in Stamkos, should be enough to jolt Nashville into the conversation of Stanley Cup contenders from the Western Conference. That’s certainly the goal for new general manager Barry Trotz, though the impact of his star additions will ultimately sit with the performance of the up-and-coming depth pieces behind them.

Nashville Predators| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

5 comments

Players With No-Move, No-Trade Clauses In 2024-25

July 26, 2024 at 1:22 pm CDT | by Josh Erickson 7 Comments

While NHL contracts are usually structured much simpler than those in other major professional sports, they do feature one commonality – trade protection. Players who would otherwise be eligible for unrestricted free agency (i.e., at least 27 years old or at least seven accrued NHL seasons) can negotiate no-movement clauses, no-trade clauses or modified no-trade clauses into their contracts. If a player not yet eligible for trade protection is signing a contract that covers UFA years, an NMC, NTC or M-NTC can kick in midway through the deal.

A no-trade clause is exactly what it sounds like. Any trade involving the player can only be executed with their approval.

A no-movement clause goes multiple steps further, also preventing a player from being assigned to the minors, exposed for an expansion draft, or waived without their approval.

A modified no-trade clause, also called a limited no-trade clause, only offers players trade protection to a certain number of teams.

With clause information from both PuckPedia and CapWages, here are each team’s players with some form of trade protection in the 2024-25 league year. These clauses, unless otherwise noted, may change as of July 1, 2025.

–

Anaheim Ducks

No-Movement Clauses

none

No-Trade Clauses

F Alex Killorn

Modified No-Trade Clauses

D Brian Dumoulin (10-team no-trade list), D Cam Fowler (four-team yes-trade list), G John Gibson (10-team no-trade list), D Radko Gudas (16-team no-trade list)

–

Boston Bruins

No-Movement Clauses

F Charlie Coyle, F Elias Lindholm, D Hampus Lindholm, D Charlie McAvoy, F David Pastrnak, D Nikita Zadorov

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

D Brandon Carlo (10-team no-trade list), F Charlie Coyle (eight-team no-trade list), G Joonas Korpisalo (10-team no-trade list), F Brad Marchand (eight-team no-trade list), F Pavel Zacha (10-team no-trade list)

–

Buffalo Sabres

No-Movement Clauses

none

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Jordan Greenway (eight-team no-trade list), F Tage Thompson (five-team no-trade list), F Alex Tuch (five-team no-trade list)

–

Calgary Flames

No-Movement Clauses

F Mikael Backlund, F Jonathan Huberdeau, F Nazem Kadri

No-Trade Clauses

D MacKenzie Weegar

Modified No-Trade Clauses

D Rasmus Andersson (six-team no-trade list), F Blake Coleman (10-team yes-trade list), F Andrei Kuzmenko (12-team no-trade list), F Anthony Mantha (eight-team no-trade list)

–

Carolina Hurricanes

No-Movement Clauses

F Sebastian Aho, F William Carrier, D Jalen Chatfield, F Jordan Staal

No-Trade Clauses

F Jesper Fast (changes to 10-team no-trade list on Jan. 1, 2025)

Modified No-Trade Clauses

G Frederik Andersen (15-team no-trade list), D Brent Burns (three-team yes-trade list), D Shayne Gostisbehere (15-team no-trade list), F Jordan Martinook (10-team no-trade list), D Jaccob Slavin (15-team yes-trade list), D Sean Walker (15-team no-trade list)

–

Chicago Blackhawks

No-Movement Clauses

D Seth Jones

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Tyler Bertuzzi (12-team no-trade list), F Taylor Hall (10-team no-trade list), F Ilya Mikheyev (12-team no-trade list), D Connor Murphy (10-team no-trade list), F Teuvo Teravainen (eight-team no-trade list)

–

Colorado Avalanche

No-Movement Clauses

F Gabriel Landeskog, F Nathan MacKinnon, F Valeri Nichushkin, D Devon Toews

No-Trade Clauses

F Ross Colton

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Jonathan Drouin (nine-team no-trade list), D Samuel Girard (nine-team no-trade list), F Artturi Lehkonen (12-team no-trade list), D Josh Manson (12-team no-trade list), F Mikko Rantanen (nine-team no-trade list), F Miles Wood (six-team no-trade list)

–

Columbus Blue Jackets

No-Movement Clauses

F Johnny Gaudreau, F Sean Monahan, D Zach Werenski

No-Trade Clauses

D Damon Severson

Modified No-Trade Clauses

D Erik Gudbranson (10-team no-trade list), F Boone Jenner (eight-team no-trade list), F Sean Kuraly (10-team no-trade list), F Patrik Laine (10-team no-trade list), G Elvis Merzlikins (10-team no-trade list)

–

Dallas Stars

No-Movement Clauses

F Jamie Benn, F Roope Hintz, D Esa Lindell, F Tyler Seguin

No-Trade Clauses

F Matt Duchene

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Evgenii Dadonov (10-team no-trade list), F Mason Marchment (10-team no-trade list)

–

Detroit Red Wings

No-Movement Clauses

none

No-Trade Clauses

F Patrick Kane, F Dylan Larkin, F Vladimir Tarasenko

Modified No-Trade Clauses

D Ben Chiarot (10-team no-trade list), F J.T. Compher (10-team no-trade list), F Andrew Copp (10-team no-trade list), F Alex DeBrincat (16-team no-trade list), D Justin Holl (10-team no-trade list), G Ville Husso (10-team no-trade list), D Jeff Petry (15-team no-trade list)

–

Edmonton Oilers

No-Movement Clauses

F Leon Draisaitl, F Zach Hyman, F Evander Kane, F Connor McDavid, F Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, D Darnell Nurse, F Jeff Skinner

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Leon Draisaitl (10-team no-trade list), F Mattias Janmark (10-team no-trade list), F Evander Kane (16-team yes-trade list starting March 1, 2025)

–

Florida Panthers

No-Movement Clauses

F Aleksander Barkov, D Gustav Forsling, F Sam Reinhart, F Matthew Tkachuk

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

G Sergei Bobrovsky (16-team no-trade list), D Aaron Ekblad (12-team no-trade list), F Sam Reinhart (16-team no-trade list)

–

Los Angeles Kings

No-Movement Clauses

F Kevin Fiala, D Vladislav Gavrikov, F Anze Kopitar

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Phillip Danault (10-team no-trade list), D Drew Doughty (seven-team yes-trade list), D Joel Edmundson (10-team no-trade list), F Warren Foegele (10-team no-trade list), F Tanner Jeannot (16-team no-trade list), F Adrian Kempe (10-team no-trade list), G Darcy Kuemper (10-team no-trade list)

–

Minnesota Wild

No-Movement Clauses

D Jonas Brodin, F Joel Eriksson Ek, G Marc-Andre Fleury, F Marcus Foligno, F Ryan Hartman, F Kirill Kaprizov, F Mats Zuccarello

No-Trade Clauses

F Marcus Johansson

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Joel Eriksson Ek (10-team no-trade list), F Frederick Gaudreau (15-team no-trade list), D Jared Spurgeon (10-team no-trade list)

–

Montreal Canadiens

No-Movement Clauses

F Brendan Gallagher, G Carey Price

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Josh Anderson (five-team no-trade list), F Christian Dvorak (eight-team no-trade list), F Brendan Gallagher (six-team no-trade list), D Mike Matheson (eight-team no-trade list)

–

Nashville Predators

No-Movement Clauses

F Filip Forsberg, D Roman Josi, F Jonathan Marchessault, D Brady Skjei, F Steven Stamkos

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Jonathan Marchessault (15-team no-trade list), D Brady Skjei (15-team no-trade list)

–

New Jersey Devils

No-Movement Clauses

F Jesper Bratt, D Dougie Hamilton, G Jacob Markstrom, F Timo Meier, F Ondrej Palat

No-Trade Clauses

D Brenden Dillon, F Erik Haula, D Brett Pesce

Modified No-Trade Clauses

G Jake Allen (three-team no-trade list), F Nico Hischier (10-team no-trade list), F Stefan Noesen (10-team no-trade list), D Jonas Siegenthaler (10-team no-trade list)

–

New York Islanders

No-Movement Clauses

G Ilya Sorokin

No-Trade Clauses

F Anthony Duclair, F Bo Horvat, D Scott Mayfield, D Adam Pelech, D Ryan Pulock, G Semyon Varlamov

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Mathew Barzal (22-team no-trade list), F Pierre Engvall (16-team no-trade list), F Anders Lee (15-team no-trade list), F Brock Nelson (16-team no-trade list), F Jean-Gabriel Pageau (16-team no-trade list), F Kyle Palmieri (16-team no-trade list)

–

New York Rangers

No-Movement Clauses

F Artemi Panarin, F Vincent Trocheck, F Mika Zibanejad

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Chris Kreider (15-team no-trade list), G Jonathan Quick (20-team no-trade list), G Igor Shesterkin (10-team no-trade list), F Reilly Smith (eight-team no-trade list), D Jacob Trouba (15-team no-trade list)

–

Ottawa Senators

No-Movement Clauses

F Claude Giroux, D Travis Hamonic

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

D Thomas Chabot (10-team no-trade list), F David Perron (15-team no-trade list), G Linus Ullmark (15-team no-trade list), D Artem Zub (10-team no-trade list)

–

Philadelphia Flyers

No-Movement Clauses

F Sean Couturier

No-Trade Clauses

D Travis Sanheim, D Nick Seeler

Modified No-Trade Clauses

G Calvin Petersen (10-team no-trade list)

–

Pittsburgh Penguins

No-Movement Clauses

F Sidney Crosby, D Erik Karlsson, D Kris Letang, F Evgeni Malkin, F Bryan Rust

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Noel Acciari (eight-team no-trade list), F Michael Bunting (10-team no-trade list), D Ryan Graves (12-team no-trade list), F Kevin Hayes (12-team no-trade list), G Tristan Jarry (12-team no-trade list), D Marcus Pettersson (eight-team no-trade list), F Rickard Rakell (eight-team no-trade list)

–

San Jose Sharks

No-Movement Clauses

none

No-Trade Clauses

F Tyler Toffoli, F Alexander Wennberg

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Logan Couture (three-team yes-trade list), F Barclay Goodrow (15-team no-trade list), D Marc-Edouard Vlasic (three-team yes-trade list)

–

Seattle Kraken

No-Movement Clauses

F Chandler Stephenson

No-Trade Clauses

D Vince Dunn, F Jordan Eberle, D Brandon Montour

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Oliver Bjorkstrand (10-team no-trade list), F Andre Burakovsky (10-team no-trade list), F Yanni Gourde (23-team yes-trade list), G Philipp Grubauer (10-team no-trade list), D Adam Larsson (10-team no-trade list), F Jared McCann (10-team no-trade list), D Jamie Oleksiak (16-team no-trade list), F Jaden Schwartz (terms unknown), F Brandon Tanev (10-team no-trade list)

–

St. Louis Blues

No-Movement Clauses

none

No-Trade Clauses

D Justin Faulk, D Torey Krug, D Nick Leddy, D Colton Parayko, F Brandon Saad, F Brayden Schenn

Modified No-Trade Clauses

G Jordan Binnington (18-team no-trade list), F Pavel Buchnevich (12-team no-trade list), F Radek Faksa (five-team no-trade list)

–

Tampa Bay Lightning

No-Movement Clauses

F Jake Guentzel, F Brayden Point, G Andrei Vasilevskiy

No-Trade Clauses

D Erik Cernak, D Ryan McDonagh, F Nick Paul

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Zemgus Girgensons (16-team yes-trade list), D Victor Hedman (10-team yes-trade list), F Nikita Kucherov (10-team yes-trade list), F Conor Sheary (16-team yes-trade list)

–

Toronto Maple Leafs

No-Movement Clauses

F Mitch Marner, F Auston Matthews, F William Nylander, D Morgan Rielly, D Chris Tanev, F John Tavares

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Max Domi (13-team no-trade list), D Oliver Ekman-Larsson (16-team no-trade list), F Calle Jarnkrok (10-team no-trade list), F David Kampf (10-team no-trade list), D Jake McCabe (seven-team no-trade list)

–

Utah Hockey Club

No-Movement Clauses

none

No-Trade Clauses

F Clayton Keller, D Mikhail Sergachev

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Alexander Kerfoot (10-team no-trade list), D John Marino (eight-team no-trade list), F Nick Schmaltz (10-team no-trade list)

–

Vancouver Canucks

No-Movement Clauses

F Jake DeBrusk, F J.T. Miller, D Tyler Myers

No-Trade Clauses

D Carson Soucy

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Teddy Blueger (12-team no-trade list), F Brock Boeser (10-team no-trade list), F Danton Heinen (12-team no-trade list), F Dakota Joshua (12-team no-trade list)

–

Vegas Golden Knights

No-Movement Clauses

F Jack Eichel, F Tomas Hertl, D Alex Pietrangelo, F Mark Stone

No-Trade Clauses

D Noah Hanifin

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Ivan Barbashev (eight-team no-trade list), G Adin Hill (five-team no-trade list), F William Karlsson (10-team no-trade list), G Robin Lehner (five-team no-trade list), D Brayden McNabb (five-team no-trade list), D Shea Theodore (five-team no-trade list)

–

Washington Capitals

No-Movement Clauses

F Pierre-Luc Dubois, F Alex Ovechkin

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Nicklas Backstrom (15-team no-trade list), D John Carlson (10-team no-trade list), D Jakob Chychrun (10-team no-trade list), F Andrew Mangiapane (eight-team no-trade list), F T.J. Oshie (10-team no-trade list), F Alex Ovechkin (10-team no-trade list), D Matt Roy (15-team no-trade list), F Tom Wilson (14-team no-trade list)

–

Winnipeg Jets

No-Movement Clauses

G Connor Hellebuyck, D Josh Morrissey, F Mark Scheifele

No-Trade Clauses

none

Modified No-Trade Clauses

F Kyle Connor (10-team no-trade list), D Dylan DeMelo (10-team no-trade list), F Nikolaj Ehlers (10-team no-trade list), F Adam Lowry (six-team no-trade list), D Neal Pionk (six-team no-trade list)

Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

7 comments

NHL Teams Facing Fall Cap Crunches

July 26, 2024 at 8:14 am CDT | by Josh Erickson 1 Comment

There’s still plenty of time for NHL teams to sort out their active rosters and salary cap pictures this summer. After all, teams can exceed the $88MM upper limit by up to 10% during the offseason, and training camps are still nearly two months away.

Still, this year’s early July rush means that all the notable contracts for this season, at least in terms of salary cap impact, have likely already been handed out. It’s left a handful of teams with projected rosters that sit over the cap or, in one very peculiar case, right at it.

These teams must use a mix of long-term injured reserve placements, trades, and waivers to become cap-compliant before opening night. Per PuckPedia, here are the teams currently pacing to boast a projected cap hit above $88MM.

Washington Capitals

($98.27MM projected cap hit, $10.27MM above upper limit)

The Capitals have been one of the league’s most active teams this summer, making a pair of impact additions up front with Pierre-Luc Dubois and Andrew Mangiapane. They also reshaped their blue line, shipping out serviceable veteran Nick Jensen as part of a package to the Senators to pick up the younger, higher-upside Jakob Chychrun while also replacing Jensen’s shutdown role in free agency with the signing of Matt Roy.

They also went for cost-effectiveness with their goaltending duo, shipping out Darcy Kuemper and his $5.25MM cap hit to the Kings in the Dubois trade before acquiring serviceable tandem netminder Logan Thompson from the Golden Knights, who carries a cap hit of just $767K.

These moves have still left them with a handful of bloated deals for their veterans. But the biggest one of them all won’t be an issue. 36-year-old Nicklas Bäckström is entering the final season of his five-year, $46MM deal with a $9.2MM cap hit, but he’s not expected to play again due to lingering hip issues.

While many teams will look to avoid using LTIR to be cap-compliant to start the season, the Caps won’t be one of them. Bäckström will remain there as he did last season, but placing him on LTIR won’t be enough on its own to bring Washington’s total projected cap hit back under $88MM.

They’d still need to clear a little over $1MM in space, which begs the question of T.J. Oshie’s health. The 37-year-old winger is also entering the final season of his contract at a $5.75MM cap hit, and a wide variety of injuries limited him to 52 games last season. As of earlier this month, Oshie said he hasn’t found a long-term solution to his recurring back issues that would allow him to comfortably play in 2024-25.

If nothing changes between now and September, Oshie could also land on LTIR, making them cap-compliant for opening night. But Washington would need to be reasonably confident that he’ll miss the entire campaign to avoid making any other cap-shedding moves, as they’d need to have space to activate him off LTIR if he becomes healthy enough to return to play.

Vegas Golden Knights

($91.64MM projected cap hit, $3.64MM above upper limit)

Unlike the Capitals, the Golden Knights were conservative in their offseason moves. Their cap crunch forced them to walk away from key offensive contributors Jonathan Marchessault and Chandler Stephenson, among others, and their UFA pickups were limited to reclamation project-type pickups such as Victor Olofsson and Ilya Samsonov.

But like Washington, LTIR is Vegas’ only clear path to cap compliance in September. The status of 33-year-old netminder Robin Lehner remains a relative mystery as he enters the final season of his contract with a $5MM cap hit. He hasn’t played the last two seasons after undergoing hip surgery and hasn’t been seen with the team during that time.

General manager Kelly McCrimmon said in May that it’s likely Lehner will return to LTIR this fall. This would give the Knights about $1.36MM in space in an LTIR pool with a full 23-man roster, as projected by PuckPedia.

Philadelphia Flyers

($88.83MM projected cap hit, $830K above upper limit)

LTIR is a good safeguard for teams who need it to be cap-compliant, but it’s not ideal. Teams who utilize it don’t accrue cap space throughout the season, significantly limiting their flexibility come deadline day.

The Flyers have one LTIR-eligible contract in defenseman Ryan Ellis ($6.25MM cap hit through 2027). They also have Ryan Johansen signed at a $4MM cap hit next season, and his playing status is in doubt due to a hip injury that surfaced after they acquired him from the Avalanche at last year’s deadline. Unfortunately for them, if Johansen remains injured, they also can’t send him to the minors to knock $1.15MM off his cap hit. They attempted to do so last year, but it was reversed by the league after his injury came to light.

But notably, they don’t have any league-minimum contracts projected on their active roster to start the campaign, per PuckPedia. Their cheapest one is Tyson Foerster’s entry-level contract, which boasts a cap hit of $863K. Thus, just one AHL assignment would be enough to make them cap-compliant without placing either Ellis or Johansen on LTIR. There aren’t any obvious candidates, though, as Foerster is coming off a 20-goal campaign and was one of their top two-way forwards last season.

The trade of a depth forward, such as 25-year-old pivot Ryan Poehling ($1.9MM cap hit through 2026), could be something to watch for if general manager Daniel Brière decides he wants to stay out of LTIR.

Edmonton Oilers

($88.35MM projected cap hit, $354K above upper limit)

Unlike the other teams on this list, the Oilers still have some offseason business to handle. RFAs Philip Broberg and Dylan Holloway need new deals, meaning this projected cap hit is artificially low.

Also unlike the others, Edmonton doesn’t have an LTIR-bound contract next season. Considering PuckPedia’s projection above uses a roster size of 21, warranting them only one extra skater, a cap-clearing trade is coming for Edmonton sometime before the puck drops in October.

The most obvious candidate to move is defenseman Cody Ceci, who’s on an expiring contract with a $3.25MM cap hit. It would cost fewer assets to ship out than oft-injured winger Evander Kane, who’s locked in at a $5.125MM price tag for two more years. And with Ceci averaging north of 20 minutes per game for the last three seasons in Edmonton, they might be able to dump him for future considerations without attaching a draft pick to get out of his deal.

Others to watch

  • The Islanders are currently at the $88MM upper limit after settling on a one-year, $1MM contract with Oliver Wahlstrom yesterday, PuckPedia projects. That figure comes using a roster size of 22, forcing international free agent signing Maxim Tsyplakov and his $950K cap hit on an entry-level deal to the minors.
  • The Canucks are within just $16K of the cap after signing Daniel Sprong to a one-year, $975K contract last weekend. But that figure comes with a full 23-player roster projection, giving them a decent amount of flexibility in the case of short-term injuries. They can also place the final season of defenseman Tucker Poolman’s $2.5MM cap hit contract on LTIR if necessary.
  • The Predators are within $600K of the cap with a bare minimum 20-player roster and still have RFAs Juuso Pärssinen and Philip Tomasino to sign. After their big UFA spending spree, they’ll likely move out one of their depth defenders to open up space for an expanded roster, potentially 26-year-old Dante Fabbro (signed at $2.5MM through this season).
  • The Lightning have $730K in projected cap space with one open roster spot. That’s tight, but with room for two healthy extras, they’ll probably start the season with no changes to their projected roster.
  • The same can be said about the defending champion Panthers, who have $767K in space with a roster size of 22.

Edmonton Oilers| Florida Panthers| Nashville Predators| New York Islanders| Philadelphia Flyers| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| Tampa Bay Lightning| Vancouver Canucks| Vegas Golden Knights| Washington Capitals

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