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Predators’ Depth Pieces Will Sway Stanley Cup Aspirations

July 28, 2024 at 5:43 pm CDT | by Gabriel Foley 5 Comments

The Nashville Predators have built a strong case for the most productive summer in the NHL by adding top defenseman Brady Skjei, scoring winger Jonathan Marchessault, and Tampa Bay Lightning legend Steven Stamkos. Each of the trio are set for a pivotal role in Nashville – headlined by the premier-scoring Stamkos’ rounding out of the team’s top line, next to Ryan O’Reilly and Filip Forsberg. The moves cost Nashville $20.5MM and could easily be enough to earn them a top-three spot in the Central after picking up a Wild Card spot last season. But the throes of the Toronto Maple Leafs have shown that teams can’t go far on the backs of just a few stars, and even with illustrious spending this summer, Nashville’s run to the franchise’s first Stanley Cup will ultimately sit with a largely unchanged depth.

That depth is most notably led by centerman Thomas Novak, who found consistency in Nashville’s third-line center role last season, after rivaling second-line minutes in 2022-23. The small decrease in ice time didn’t phase him, as Novak managed 18 goals and 45 points in 71 games – career-highs in all three stats, though a slight dip in per-game scoring from two seasons ago. He found a way to stick in the lineup through health and challenge last season – and now gets a chance to break his way into the team’s top six, assuming they choose to use Stamkos as a winger. If so, Novak would likely be flanked by productive wingers Gustav Nyquist and Marchessault, who could both provide a spark to Novak’s methodical style. While Nyquist’s longevity, and Marchessault’s change of scenery, will be notable storylines of their own this season – it will be Novak’s capability as a second-line center that will determine Nashville’s ability to deploy a top-line of superstars.

While Novak is fighting to round out the second line, Nashville’s bottom six will sit as a land of opportunity for a young core that, so far, hasn’t jumped off the page. Each of Cody Glass, Luke Evangelista, and Philip Tomasino have shown promise at the top flight but struggled to carve out a consistent role. Their place in Nashville is quickly being challenged by minor-league risers Juuso Parssinen, Zachary L’Heureux, Joakim Kemell, and Fyodor Svechkov. The quartet stands as the prospects to watch in Nashville’s upcoming training camp and could each vie for a hardy shot at the NHL this fall. Which young forwards win out the competition for ice time will underline the conversation of Nashville’s ‘X-factors’ – especially as Tomasino and Parssinen sit as unsigned restricted free agents. But it will be how the young corps blend with hardened vets like Colton Sissons and Cole Smith to form a stout bottom-six that will shape their playoff durability.

There’s a lot of hope sitting with Nashville’s inexperienced forwards, but they seem a more surefire bet than the team’s defensive group. While Skjei’s addition provides much-needed star-power behind Roman Josi, it doesn’t address the team’s lack of depth on the right-hand side –unless Skjei plays on his off-hand, which he’s done in the past. Even then, Nashville will be forced to ice at least one of Dante Fabbro, Alexandre Carrier, or Luke Schenn in their top four. Like the Predators’ depth forwards, each of these defenders have shown promise at the top flight, but sit a ways back from a confident role. Top prospects Ryan Ufko and Andrew Gibson seem to have the wind behind their sails after the end of the 2023-24 season, and could provide more depth than expected down the stretch, though both still sit multiple steps back from a real NHL chance, leaving Nashville with a defense much skinnier than its starring names would suggest.

A wide-open defense is nothing new for the Predators, and they luckily have the dazzling pair of Juuse Saros and Yaroslav Askarov mitigating most of the concerns from the crease. But over $20MM in spending this summer, and the addition of a future first-ballot Hall-of-Famer in Stamkos, should be enough to jolt Nashville into the conversation of Stanley Cup contenders from the Western Conference. That’s certainly the goal for new general manager Barry Trotz, though the impact of his star additions will ultimately sit with the performance of the up-and-coming depth pieces behind them.

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Comments

  1. FeeltheThunder

    12 months ago

    Nashville is highly dependent on offensive veterans like future first-ballot HOF Stamkos (34) & the likes of O’ Reilly (33), Marchessault (33), Nyquist (34), & such to carry the team. I’m not even mentioning the defensive side of things either. The question mark here is these guys are in their mid-30s, so the championship window for this team is 2 maybe 3 years at the very best.

    New GM Barry Trotz doesn’t seem to be the kind of GM who will sit on this situation long. If this team doesn’t go deep & produce in the playoffs moving forward here, he’s going to be shipping these veterans out quickly.

    Nashville is putting all their chips in on this bet for a championship as only time will tell if it’s a jackpot or a total bust.

    I do fully believe Stamkos & Marchessault won’t even finish their contracts in Nashville if they haven’t won a championship by the end of 2nd season as that’s just my opinion.

    Reply
    • mattc68

      12 months ago

      Marchessault has a 15 Team No-Trade clause for the duration of his contract. Certainly could still be moved, but difficult. Stamkos, on the other hand, has a full No movement clause for the duration of his contract. He could choose to waive that. But I think that is very unlikely.

      1
      Reply
    • FeeltheThunder

      12 months ago

      Why you bring up valid points, my stance doesn’t change on Stamkos & Marchessault. If a team wants to move player, they’ll find a way to make it happen by working with the player. Nothing is impossible by any means especially if the team isn’t producing on the level it’s expected too & players like Stamkos & Marchessault won’t want to hang around if the team is failing or not reaching expectations. Just saying…

      Reply
  2. Rollie's Mustache

    12 months ago

    Glad to see some ink spilled on Tommy Novak. Outside of Nashville I don’t think he gets noticed enough.

    His 5v5 production was impressive given his ice time and he’s going to see a huge bump in quality of line mates as the 2C.

    1
    Reply
  3. Gbear

    12 months ago

    Putting Stamkos back at center allows Novak to center the 3rd line, which would be the ideal situation. What they really need is for one or two of the prospects in Milwaukee to make the jump unto the 3rd line. That’ll decide whether they can make a deep playoff run or not.

    Reply

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