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Johnston: “Zero Reason” To Believe Mitch Marner Signs Extension With Maple Leafs

May 16, 2025 at 8:58 am CDT | by Josh Erickson 11 Comments

Regardless of his lack of postseason success, Mitch Marner has done enough to go down as one of the better players in Maple Leafs franchise history. But as the end of his six-year, $65.41MM contract looms, it’s almost a certainty the top pending unrestricted free agent will indeed test the market this summer, writes Chris Johnston of The Athletic.

When Marner reportedly declined to waive his no-movement clause in a deal at the deadline that would have sent him to the Hurricanes for Mikko Rantanen, some believed he did so in hopes of continuing extension talks with Toronto. That wasn’t necessarily the case, Johnston notes. While the Leafs were interested in in-season extension talks, Marner’s camp has refused to negotiate during the campaign.

“There’s been a growing sense that the 28-year-old winger wants a fresh start after enduring an avalanche of criticism for his team’s repeated playoff shortcomings,” Johnston writes. The dynamic playmaker and longtime Auston Matthews linemate is coming off a career-high 75-assist, 102-point performance in the regular season. He’s still over a point per game in this year’s playoffs (2-10–12 in 11 GP), but he’s gone without a point in back-to-back contests in the second round as the Panthers have won three straight to erase and reverse Toronto’s 2-0 series lead. The Leafs now enter a must-win scenario on the road against the defending Stanley Cup champions tonight.

Most believe general manager Brad Treliving’s top offseason priority is reserving cap space for pending restricted free agent Matthew Knies, and for good reason. The 22-year-old power forward had 29 goals and 58 points in 78 regular-season games alongside Matthews and Marner and is averaging nearly 21 minutes per game in the playoffs with five goals. They’d presumably like to get it done quickly to remove the threat of an offer sheet. That leaves the Leafs, who have just five goals from their bottom-six forwards in terms of ice time in the playoffs, with little maneuverability to add scoring depth if big-ticket extensions are handed out to both Knies and Marner (let alone second-line center John Tavares).

As for Marner, it’s not yet clear where he’d be interested in signing this summer. It likely won’t be until after Toronto’s postseason run ends. It’s almost guaranteed he’ll earn a raise of at least $2MM per season on his current $10.9MM cap hit on a max-term deal, though. His 520 assists since he entered the league in 2016-17 are fifth in the NHL behind Connor McDavid, Nikita Kucherov, Nathan MacKinnon, and Artemi Panarin.

There’s a legitimate chance Tavares is gone for no return this summer as well, Johnston writes. It’s less likely than Marner’s departure at this stage – after all, he’s been open to in-season extension talks, unlike Marner. Retaining the 34-year-old, who’s coming off a 74-point season, on a short-term deal does allow the Leafs to get more creative by replacing Marner’s scoring by committee on the wings because they don’t have to worry about finding a new second-line anchor, at least for now.

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Newsstand| Toronto Maple Leafs John Tavares| Mitch Marner

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View Comments (11)

Comments

  1. uvmfiji

    2 months ago

    Marner declined the trade because he was scared the Canes would win the Cup.

    Reply
  2. mikedickinson

    2 months ago

    I still think he ends up here in Raleigh.

    1
    Reply
  3. mcdavidlikeamac

    2 months ago

    Solid asset management by the leafs. Perennial 90 point player and he’s going to walk.

    1
    Reply
  4. PyramidHeadcrab

    2 months ago

    I like the idea of Marner to Columbus. If they shore up the goaltending, that becomes a scary team.

    1
    Reply
  5. jminn

    2 months ago

    Guaranteed the Beeker will make a great offer, but Mitch will probably turn it down.

    1
    Reply
  6. pawtucket

    2 months ago

    Mitch will want to sign somewhere with a solid established #1C

    Carolina – check
    NYI- check
    Leafs – check

    Chicago – check, but rest of team is terrible

    San Jose – soon
    Anaheim – soon

    1
    Reply
  7. Jamesz 2

    2 months ago

    Hoping for Seattle

    1
    Reply
    • aka.nda

      2 months ago

      Centers issue could come into play in Seattle. I’m so confused as to how they’re gonna manage Beniers, Wright, Stephenson and Catton. Something’s gotta give. Wright is the only one looking like a potential 1C to me at present. Maybe Catton? But then what of Matty? He’s officially the owner of a 7.5 paycheck for what is it 7 more years? I don’t like the looks of the roster myself. And could you imagine Laviolette coming in?! I shudder to think of it.

      Reply
  8. The Mistake of Giving Eugene Melnyk a Liver Transplant

    2 months ago

    Please Toronto, don’t both showing up again tonight, just like Game #5.

    Reply
  9. MoneyBallJustWorks

    2 months ago

    by the way he has played this round, looks like he left Toronto after round 1

    Reply
  10. J.H.

    1 month ago

    Byfield, Marner, Fiala could be a pretty good top line!

    2
    Reply

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