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What To Watch For: AHL All-Star Game, CHL Top Prospects Game

January 27, 2017 at 12:25 pm CDT | by Zach Leach Leave a Comment

Once all the All-Star festivities in Los Angeles have died down on Sunday, hockey fans will be left facing the worst kind of Monday: one without NHL action. However, those with an eye on the future, interested in watching some future NHL All-Stars, will be happy to know that all is not lost. Both the American Hockey League (AHL) All-Star Game, featuring the best of the best of those on the cusp of being NHL regulars, and the Canadian Hockey League (CHL) Top Prospects game, showcasing the top 40 2017 draft-eligible prospects across the Quebec Major Junior Hockey League (QMJHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and Western Hockey League (WHL), are set to take place on Monday night. Here is a preview of what to watch for in these two talented contests:

The AHL All-Star Game, in the same mold as the NHL’s new model, includes a skills competition on Sunday night and a 3-0n-3 tournament between divisional squads on Monday night. Many current NHL stars got their start in the minor leagues and found All-Star-caliber success before taking advantage of their opportunities at the next level, and 2017 should be no different. So who are the future phenoms participating? Though he has yet to be demoted by the Pittsburgh Penguins, it is expected that Jake Guentzel will get to participate in the All-Star game and no player has had quite the impact that Guentzel has in 2016-17. Not only an All-Star, but also a first-year pro, Guentzel has made the transition from the NCAA to the AHL (and NHL) a seamless one. After scoring 46 points in 35 games for the University of Nebraska-Omaha a year ago, Guentzel has an almost identical 42 points in 33 games in the AHL this season. A player in a similar position is Guentzel’s Atlantic Division teammate Zane McIntyre of the Boston Bruins. McIntyre was promoted to the backup in Boston due to his amazing AHL success and has yet to be demoted, but is likely to get his chance to shine at the All-Star game. McIntyre is 10-0 in AHL play this season, with a league-best .951 save percentage and 1.41 goals against average in 12 appearances. The other Atlantic Division goalie, and Guenztel’s actual teammate in Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Tristan Jarry, who has a .920 SV% and 2.22 GAA in 26 games. Yet another member of the stacked Atlantic team is the Philadelphia Flyers’ Jordan Weal, who has 42 points in 38 games. Outside of the Atlantic, St. Louis Blues prospect Kenny Agostino leads the AHL with 40 assists and 57 points for the Chicago Wolves. The 24-year-old is working hard for another shot at the NHL and will get the chance to further show what he can do at the All-Star game for the Central squad. Danny O’Regan of the San Jose Barracuda, who has gotten a chance to play in a few games this season for the team down the hall, trails only Guentzel in rookie scoring with 36 points in 32 games, while recent Arizona Coyotes call-up Christian Fischer sits in third with 32 points in 31 games and will join him on the Pacific Division team. Finally, keep an eye on defenseman Matt Taormina of the Syracuse Crunch, a Tampa Bay Lightning prospect who leads all AHL blue liners in points and will be dangerous for the North Division unit. The AHL All-Star game brings together the best players who are just an injury or slump away from making a difference in the NHL and it promises to provide a lot of skill and exciting action.

For those looking even further into the future, especially fans of teams with strong lottery chances in this year’s NHL Entry Draft, the CHL Top Prospects Game is for you. Featuring the best players in the CHL, the conglomerate of the three league’s that provide the majority of NHL talent, the All-Star game of sorts guarantees to provide an insight into at least 20 upcoming first-round picks. The game features Team Don Cherry and Team Bobby Orr, comprised of randomly selected players within NHL Central Scouting’s top 40 prospects. Captaining Team Cherry, and getting his first chance at real spotlight after missing much of the early season, is presumptive #1 overall pick Nolan Patrick. The big center has 17 points in 11 games for the Brandon Wheat Kings, but his limited action hasn’t stopped many from naming him the best available player. He’ll be joined by Owen Tippett of the OHL’s Mississigua Steelheads, the top-scoring draft-eligible player in the OHL, historically the best of the three leagues. Another OHL star and suspected top-ten pick, Gabriel Vilardi of the Windsor Spitfires, will skate with team, as will Maxime Comtois of the QMJHL’s Victoriaville Tigres, ranked No. 15 by Central Scouting. Rounding out the squad is defenseman Callan Foote, son of former NHLer Adam Foote and one of the top defenseman available in 2017. Team Bobby Orr will be headed up by Swiss star Nico Hischier, who excelled at the World Juniors and has kept it going with the QMJHL’s Halifax Mooseheads to the tune of 67 points in 39 games. Hischier’s alternate captains will be center Michael Rasmussen of the WHL’s Tri-City Americans, who has flown up the rankings to No. 6 overall, and another top blue line prospect, big Nicholas Hague, also of the OHL’s Steelheads. Other WHL superstars Cody Glass of the Portland Winterhawks and Nikita Popugaev of the Moose Jaw Warriors round out a deep forward group, while the OHL Spitfires’ goalie Michael DiPietro in net presents another potential first-rounder. There will be no shortage of action in this contest, the best option to see top draft prospects prior to their selection in June.

AHL| CHL| OHL| QMJHL| Rookies| WHL NHL Entry Draft| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| World Juniors

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Goalie Extensions And The Expansion Draft

January 8, 2017 at 12:11 pm CDT | by Zach Leach 2 Comments

In-season extensions in the NHL are not all that common. In-season extensions of pedestrian back-up goalies are even more rare. So the recent re-signings of Al Montoya by the Montreal Canadiens and Dustin Tokarski by the Anaheim Ducks likely stuck out to many as being strange, especially when they occurred within days of each other. While the Habs may talk about their desire for a “quality backup” to Carey Price and the Ducks say they need depth in net behind John Gibson with Jonathan Bernier headed to free agency, the teams and players know what the reality of these extensions are and fans should too. Montoya and Tokarski earned extensions not because of their play, but simply because of their mere existence as goalies on their respective teams. They won’t be the last either, as the impending NHL Expansion Draft will force a few other teams to make a move in net before it’s too late.

When the NHL laid out rules for this June’s Expansion Draft, they required that each team leave at least one eligible goalie exposed. For the majority of teams, this wasn’t a difficult criteria to meet. They could protect their starter as long as they had any other goalie with two years of pro experience and term on their contract. For a select few though, it remained a problem that needed to be solved in-season. Montreal and Anaheim were two such teams. Heading into 2016-17, the Candiens has a goalie stable of Price, Montoya, who they signed to a one-year deal this summer, and impending unrestricted free agent Mike Condon. Without any extension or acquisition, Montreal would have been forced to expose the best goalie in the world as their other two keepers held no further term on their contracts. After Condon failed to clear waivers earlier this season, it left the Habs with just two options: extend the veteran Montoya or trade for a third goaltender with term. Since many other teams are depending on their under-contract backups for expansion protection, it was a much easier task to extend Montoya, and given his early-season success, it became an even more obvious decision. While the journeyman goalie is happy to have a “permanent” home into his mid-30’s and the best deal of his career, the true intention of the Canadiens is to offer him up to the Vegas Golden Knights instead of their MVP, Price. Meanwhile in Anaheim, the league’s deepest goalie group also would not be able to protect their starter. The Ducks have five good-to-decent goalies signed, but the best of the bunch, Gibson, was the only one signed beyond 2017. The 23-year-old is coming off the best season of his young career and looking good again in 2016-17. There was no way that they could leave him exposed, but NHL backup Bernier was headed to unrestricted free agency, as were AHLers Tokarski and Matt Hackett and former college standout Kevin Boyle was ineligible for selection. With trading for yet another goalie not much of an option, Anaheim was left with three choices for extension. Bernier would be the most expensive to re-sign, and has also had a disappointing season, so it came down to a choice between San Diego Gulls’ keepers. Neither has impressed this season, but the Ducks chose to keep the more seasoned Tokarski around as depth. Tokarski stands almost no chance of being selected by Las Vegas, but will serve to protect Gibson and will stay employed in pro hockey a while longer.

Two more teams have similar decisions to make in 2017. As soon as the Expansion Draft rules came down, the Philadelphia Flyers knew that they were in somewhat of a pickle. Both Steve Mason and Michal Neuvirth were impending free agents and only the then-unproven Anthony Stolarz was an eligible goalie to be exposed. The Flyers’ situation has become only more difficult as both Mason and Neuvirth have struggled this season, while Stolarz made his NHL debut and looked good in a short stint as Mason’s backup. A young, promising goalie would almost surely be picked up by the Knights, so Stolarz now needs to be protected. However, are Mason or Neuvirth worthy of an extension? Maybe not, but the Flyers may look to simply use one or the other to bridge the gap to their talented goalie prospects. Mason may even be good enough that he is looked at by Las Vegas, but only time will tell. Expect the Flyers to extend Mason, or possibly Neuvirth, or else make a trade prior to the NHL Trade Deadline. The Minnesota Wild are also in this predicament, but their situation seems more cut-and-dry. Devan Dubnyk is the only goaltender on the roster who is eligible for exposure, but he has been a revelations since arriving in Minnesota, transforming into one of the best goalies in the NHL. The Wild won’t leave him exposed, but have the option of simply handing out an affordable extension to backup Darcy Kuemper or AHL starter Alex Stalock. Kuemper has seen a bit of a drop-off in 2016-17, but has been solid during his career in Minnesota. It seems likely that the Wild reward him with an extension, even if it carries a risk of him being selected in the Expansion Draft.

Should either team instead opt to make a trade, either just for the purposes of expansion or for added depth in the postseason, there are a few teams who could be sellers. The Columbus Blue Jackets could look to move one of their talented young goalies rather than risk losing them for nothing in the draft, and could afford to do so with all three of Joonas Korpisalo, Anton Forsberg, and Oscar Dansk being eligible for selection. The New York Islanders have moved on from Jaroslav Halak and could move him without repercussions. Similar acquisitions on the more expensive side could be Dallas’ Antti Niemi or Kari Lehtonen. The St. Louis Blues may be looking to add another high-end goalie to share the net with Jake Allen, in which case Carter Hutton could also become available. However, trading will be more difficult and more expensive for Philadelphia and Minnesota, especially if they end up competing with each other or with teams in need of a goalie for non-expansion reasons. The simple solution to the problems posed by the upcoming NHL Expansion Draft are more easily solved by extension, as Montreal and Anaheim have shown, so expect to hear about Mason, Kuemper, Neuvirth, or Stalock in the not too distant future.

Anaheim Ducks| Minnesota Wild| Montreal Canadiens| Philadelphia Flyers Al Montoya| Carey Price| Darcy Kuemper| Dustin Tokarski| John Gibson| Jonathan Bernier| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| Steve Mason

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PHR Originals: 11/20/16 – 11/26/16

November 28, 2016 at 9:10 am CDT | by natebrown Leave a Comment

While we already looked at the five key hockey stories of the week, here’s some of the original material produced by Pro Hockey Rumors from last week:

  • Glen Miller took a look at the 2016 UFA all bargain team, a list that included the likes of Eric Staal, Jonathan Marchessault, Brian Campbell, and Chad Johnson. 
  • Brian La Rose investigated some defenseman who could garner attention in the trade market, which of course, included Kevin Shattenkirk.
  • Gavin Lee compiled a list of goaltenders who would be great additions to the Vegas Golden Knights roster should they be available during the expansion draft.
  • Zach Leach conducted a deep dive into the post-Brent Burns free agent market heading into the 2017 offseason.
  • Finally, I was able to interview the Athletic’s Scott Powers who gave us his thoughts on Chicago’s play with a quarter of the season in the books.

Chicago Blackhawks| Expansion| Vegas Golden Knights Brent Burns| Brian Campbell| Chad Johnson| Eric Staal| Jonathan Marchessault| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

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Canada: The New Championship Drought To Watch For

November 4, 2016 at 3:10 pm CDT | by Zach Leach 4 Comments

The Chicago Cubs won the World Series on Wednesday night, their first since 1908, snapping a 108-year championship drought, the longest by any team in North American professional sports history. Back in June, the Cleveland Cavaliers won the NBA Championship, snapping a 52-year drought for a city with three major pro sports teams. So what’s next on the drought-busting checklist?

Sure, there are a few teams and few cities still struggling. The NBA’s Sacramento Kings organization has not won a title in 65 years and never since their move to California. Wednesday night’s losers, the Cleveland Indians, haven’t taken home the hardware in 68 years. Ten NFL teams still have yet to win it all in the Super Bowl era. Yet, with the Cubs and Cleveland off the books, it seems like there’s a void in the championship drought department right now.

It’s time that attention turns not to any one team or city, but to the country of Canada. Canadian teams have combined to go 199 straight seasons without winning a major North American title. In 1993, the country was championship central, with both the Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Blue Jays winning their respective leagues. Since? Nothing.

It’s been 23 years now for the Blue Jays since they were MLB champs. They have come close over the years, but have failed to even take home an American League pennant. Playing in a division that has been one of the strongest in baseball over the past decade plus, which has housed four New York Yankees championship teams and three Boston Red Sox championship teams since 1993,  it’s been an uphill battle for the Blue Jays. Meanwhile, the Montreal Expos, title-less since their inception in 1969, were forced to relocate to Washington, D.C. in 2004 (where the drought continues to this day).

The Toronto Raptors are still seeking that elusive NBA championship. It’s been 21 years since the Raptors and Vancouver Grizzlies brought pro basketball to Canada in 1995, and neither team has been able to get it done. The Grizzlies moved to Memphis in 2000, where they too have yet to find glory. In a league that is unquestionably the most competitively unbalanced, a Raptors team with a lot of talent are still annual underdogs against the likes of the Cleveland Cavaliers and other Western Conference powerhouses.

Of course, the biggest drought-magnifier is the NHL. With seven teams competing in a 30-team league, Canada should have close to a 25% chance to win the Stanley Cup every season. Alas, no such feat has been accomplished in 23 seasons. The odds of that happening: less than 1%. The Toronto Maple Leafs are tied with the St. Louis Blues for the longest championship drought in the league at 48 years. The Vancouver Canucks, established in 1970, have never won the Cup. After Alberta went back-to-back in 1989 and 1990, the Calgary Flames and Edmonton Oilers have not won since. The Ottawa Senators, the 1992 NHL expansion team, has also never gotten it done, and their first season, 1992-93, was the first and last time that they even saw a Canadian champ, with Montreal taking the crown. Both iterations of the Winnipeg Jets are also without a Stanley Cup and Quebec Nordiques fans sat and watched their team move to Denver and establish the Colorado Avalanche dynasty at the turn of the century.

To make matters worse, no Canadian team even qualified for the Stanley Cup playoffs last year, and the Oilers have a league-high ten-year drought of even making the postseason. Canada’s NHL teams are in need of some puck luck, and the Blue Jays and Raptors will take some as well. With the two biggest drought story lines in sports now over, it’s time that North American sports fans turn to the northernmost of the two participating countries. Canada needs a championship, and they need one soon.

If there’s any consolation, the only more tortured fan base than the country of Canada is their closest neighbor to the south, Buffalo, New York. Misery loves company.

Buffalo Sabres| Calgary Flames| Colorado Avalanche| Edmonton Oilers| Montreal Canadiens| NHL| Ottawa Senators| Toronto Maple Leafs| Vancouver Canucks| Winnipeg Jets Hockey History| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

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PHR Originals

October 30, 2016 at 2:00 pm CDT | by Glen Miller Leave a Comment

Here’s a roundup of all of Pro Hockey Rumors original content for the week:

  • Zach Leach examined the precarious position the Pittsburgh Penguins may find themselves in ahead of the expansion draft with Marc-Andre Fleury’s NMC requiring the team to protect him and therefore leaving open the possibility Matt Murray might be available for Las Vegas to choose should the team not find another alternative.
  • Brett Barrett looks at the rookie players currently in the NHL who could see their entry-level contracts slide should they be returned to their respective Junior teams.
  • Gavin Lee posts the latest in the Franchise Faceoff series, comparing the Anaheim Ducks and Chicago Blackhawks.
  • Zach Leach ponders whether goalie Malcolm Subban, Boston’s first-round pick in 2012, is on the verge of being labeled a bust.
  • Brian La Rose continued with PHR’s 2005 Draft Take Two series, asking who the New York Islanders should select if they had a chance to do it all over again.

Anaheim Ducks| Chicago Blackhawks| Expansion| NHL| New York Islanders| Pittsburgh Penguins| Players| Vegas Golden Knights Malcolm Subban| Marc-Andre Fleury| Matt Murray (b. 1994)| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

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PHR’s NHL Season Preview

October 12, 2016 at 6:11 pm CDT | by Zach Leach Leave a Comment

Over the last month, Pro Hockey Rumors has been taking a closer look at the off-season by going team-by-team and analyzing pros and cons of each NHL squad’s roster entering the 2016-17 season. Our Season Previews have focused on each club’s key acquisitions and losses, current cap situation, players to watch, and important story lines to follow in the new campaign.

In case you missed your favorite team’s preview, we’re put them all together in once place for you. In addition, the writers at PHR have all chipped in to look ahead at how this season might turn out. After going through each team with an in-depth look at their strengths and weaknesses, we each have a unique outlook on the new season and who might be raising the Stanley Cup in June.

Here are the links to our 2016-17 Season Previews and the official Pro Hockey Rumors staff picks:

Eastern Conference:

Atlantic Divison
Boston Bruins
Buffalo Sabres
Detroit Red Wings
Florida Panthers
Montreal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto Maple Leafs

Metropolitan Divison
Carolina Hurricanes
Columbus Blue Jackets
New Jersey Devils
New York Islanders
New York Rangers
Philadelph
ia Flyers
Pittsburgh Penguins
Washington Capitals

Western Conference:

Central Divison
Chicago Blackhawks
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars
Minnesota Wild
Nashville Predators
St. Louis Blues
Winnipeg Jets

Pacific Divison
Anaheim Ducks
Arizona Coyotes
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
Los Angeles Kings
San Jose Sharks
Vancouver Canucks

phr-staff-picks

Uncategorized Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

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“Analytics On Ice” Conference

October 2, 2016 at 8:07 pm CDT | by Zach Leach 2 Comments

Yesterday, Babson College in Boston hosted their first ever “Analytics On Ice: The Long Change” hockey analytics conference. “The Long Change” is of course a double entendre for hockey fans, with the implied second meaning being that the game is just beginning to embrace analytics, later than most sports and with a long way to go. Hockey is a long way off from being where it could be from an analytics perspective, and many still believe that hockey is a game for the eye-test rather than numbers and formulas, but there is a definite and undeniable role for analytics in the future of hockey. With the advanced statistics movement in hockey finally starting to gain steam, collaborations of the best minds in the topic have become common.  Bringing together experts in statistics, those involved in the hockey industry, students, and fans alike to share ideas and research and learn more about the game and the numbers behind it will help to increase awareness and understanding of the movement in an effort to work toward a greater understanding of the inner workings of hockey and the broad applications of analytics to the sport.

Whether Corsi and Fenwick sound like a foreign language to you or not, anyone could have learned some fascinating information about hockey analytics on Saturday. Mixed in with statistical software tutorials and paper presentations on topics like the value of stay-at-home home defenseman, the performance of teams dressing seven defensemen and eleven forwards, forming international teams, and more, were two excellent presentations on game-changing analytics topics.

The first talk, by St. Lawrence University professor Michael Schuckers, explored new ways of evaluating goalie performance using analytics. A veteran in the field, Schuckers did extensive research into the shortcomings of traditional goalie statistics and focused on how to best determine the value of goal tending. Schuckers explained that Wins and, to a lesser extent, Goals Against Average are not fair determinations of a goalie’s success. Wins are of course totally subjective in that they are determined by total team performance, and not just how well the goalie does. The example used was that of Pekka Rinne, who finished sixth in wins in 2015-16, while posting a save percentage that was well below average. Goals Against Average is also a function of team success, as a keeper allows goals based on how many shots the team in front of him is giving up. Thus, Schuckers focus was instead on Save Percentage, and how to further draw value from a goalie’s likelihood of making a save. The future of the stat in analytics is breaking down save percentage into types of shot. Using variables like location on the ice, angle, distance, and of course type (wrist, snap, slap, backhand, tip, wrap-around), a goalies true value can be determined. Save Percentage can be distorted when better goalies are facing more difficult shots, resulting in a lower percentage than inferior competitors. Schuckers suggests that with more accurate recording of shots, the stat can be more accurately expressed in an adjusted form based on either comparisons against the average keeper or against an average distribution of shots. Other interesting points in the presentation included the idea of weighing rebound rate (especially as a function of shot types) into goalie valuation, and the concept of the “royal road”, the imaginary line that runs down the middle of the net, which analytics show greatly effects scoring chances if a pass or player crosses the line just prior to a shot.

The second discussion was with renown hockey analytics expert Rob Vollman, who talked about the most important part of analytics, which is how to actually use it effectively in team building. In his recently-released book Stat Shot, Vollman put together a system for evaluating players, not just on their own ability, but on their relative value to other available players and as a function of putting together a roster with many different limits and rules. With variables such as the NHL salary cap, minimum and maximum contract values, entry-level contracts, and free agency rules, team building is not as simple as just taking all of the best players. Vollman has developed a system of evaluating players based on their value relative to their contract. When acquiring a player, their production has to be considered not as absolute but as relative to their cost. While Vollman went far more in-depth about formulas for ideal player cost-values as well as trying to evaluate a player based on a single metric, the crux of his presentation was that analytics can only be used effectively by NHL teams if statistics are just part of the equation, and market scarcity, acquisition costs, team structure and performance, and more are given their fair share of attention.

While the word “analytics” sounds scary, none of the above should come as too difficult to understand for the average hockey fan. It’s true that hockey is a very subjective game and there are some factors – like line chemistry for example – that can’t be quantified (yet). Scouting will always be crucial and “toughness” and “heart” will never be discounted, but a stronger understanding and application of analytics in just another tool for evaluating players and putting together rosters. Fans and teams alike should embrace the analytics movement and all of the promise that it brings. In the end, everyone wants their favorite team and players to do well, and numbers only help the cause. Consider attending a hockey analytics conference in your area if you hear of one, or take the leap and read up on some advanced metrics in your spare time. Hockey analytics is on it’s way to the forefront; don’t get left behind.

Uncategorized Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

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Compelling RFA Cases For 2017: Gostisbehere, Dumoulin

October 1, 2016 at 6:20 pm CDT | by Glen Miller Leave a Comment

Jacob Trouba, Johnny Gaudreau and Nikita Kucherov highlight a strong and deep group of restricted free agents that remain unsigned at the moment. While they will each ultimately cash in and receive substantial contracts for the 2016-17 campaign and likely beyond, their status as restricted free agents has certainly complicated their respective negotiation processes.

Next summer, another quality group of players are set to hit restricted free agency, unless they can agree to terms on a new deal prior to the 2017-18 league year. In a series of posts, Pro Hockey Rumors will profile the top pending 2017 RFAs and examine what kind of contract they could elicit assuming they put up a strong performance during their platform year. Today we continue in the Metro.

Shayne Gostisbehere (Philadelphia): Gostisbehere exploded upon the scene in 2015-16, netting 17 goals and 46 points – in just 64 games – to lead all rookies in those categories. The former Union College defenseman quickly became one of the league’s most exciting blue liners and earned a spot on the Team North America entry in the World Cup.

The agents for this year’s top remaining unsigned RFA defenders – Hampus Lindholm and Rasmus Ristolainen – are pointing to the recently-signed and massive extension signed by Aaron Ekblad as the target. Ekblad of course inked an eight-year, $60MM deal with Florida and while Lindholm and Ristolainen are probably not at the level the Panthers blue liner is, they will still likely pocket something in the vicinity of $6MM annually when they finally sign.

Chances are Gostisbehere is also going to use the Ekblad deal as a comparable. Ekblad hasn’t produced offense at the same rate as Gostisbehere (0.72 PPG for “The Ghost” versus 0.47 PPG for Ekblad) but is a former #1 overall pick and projects as a perennial Norris Trophy candidate.

It’s likely the Lindholm and Ristolainen deals will actually serve as a better framework for a new contract for Gostisbehere. Assuming they each get something close to $6MM per, it’s fair to guess the Flyers young blue liner will also land in the same neighborhood.

Brian Dumoulin (Pittsburgh): Dumoulin tallied just 16 points in 79 contests and failed to net a single goal in 2015-16. Ordinarily those numbers wouldn’t be reflective of a guy who is going to cash in but Dumoulin showed in the postseason he has more to offer the Penguins. In 24 playoff games, Dumoulin scored two goals and eight points while averaging 21:31 of ice time per game. If he can carry over that level of play into the 2016-17 regular season, Dumoulin will surely be rewarded handsomely on his next contract.

A similar comparable could be Dmitry Orlov, who eventually signed a one-year deal with Washington worth $2.57MM. Orlov has clearly been a superior offensive producer, averaging 0.30 PPG during his career while Dumoulin has averaged just 0.19. But at 25, Dumoulin is just entering his prime and as we saw in the playoffs, he is capable of producing more offense in the right role. Currently he is listed opposite Kris Letang on the Penguins top blue line pair which could result in a higher point total for Dumoulin.

Even if Dumoulin doesn’t produce much offensively, there is still plenty of value in a steady and reliable performer on the back end. If both team and player elect for a one or two-year bridge deal, an AAV close to $2.5MM would seem fair. A long-term deal buying out free agent years could take the price up north of $3MM annually.

Florida Panthers| Free Agency| Philadelphia Flyers| Pittsburgh Penguins| Players| RFA| Team North America Aaron Ekblad| Brian Dumoulin| Dmitry Orlov| Hampus Lindholm| Jacob Trouba| Johnny Gaudreau| Nikita Kucherov| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| World Cup

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PHR Originals: 8/22/16 – 8/28/16

August 28, 2016 at 8:00 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

Here is a look at the original content and analysis from the Pro Hockey Rumors staff over the past week:

  • Nate Brown spoke with USA Today writer Kevin Allen, who picked his offseason winners, weighed in on the Jimmy Vesey and Jiri Hudler signings, and made his early Stanley Cup prediction.
  • I had the chance to chat with Columbus Dispatch writer Aaron Portzline about some of the key questions and storylines surrounding the Columbus Blue Jackets for this season.
  • Zach Leach took a closer look at the retained salary situation for both the Atlantic and Central divisions.  Only one Atlantic team and two Central squads aren’t paying at least one player not to play for them in 2016-17.
  • Gavin Lee reviewed a busy week for the Las Vegas expansion franchise, which made a trio of important front office hires, including Pro Scouting and Amateur Scouting directors.
  • Glen Miller examined some potential impact rookies for next year, focusing on players from the Metropolitan and Atlantic divisions.
  • Brett Barrett broke down the remaining restricted free agents from the Pacific, Atlantic, and Central divisions.  All in all, there are 14 RFA’s remaining as we head towards September.
  • Mike Furlano discussed the rules of offer sheets should any team want to try to poach one of those remaining restricted free agents. He also looked at the annual goalie shuffle which sees 18 goalies in different places compared to where they finished last season.

Uncategorized Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

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    Top Stories

    Golden Knights’ Adin Hill Out Week-To-Week, William Karlsson Targeting Olympic Return

    ECHL Players To Strike

    Maple Leafs Fire Assistant Coach Marc Savard

    Sharks’ Will Smith Out Week-To-Week, Collin Graf Questionable

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