PHR Originals: 1/21/19 – 1/27/19
Here’s a rundown of the original content on PHR over the past seven days.
While the Ducks would like to lock up winger Jakob Silfverberg, a little-known CBA element could make that a challenge. Zach broke down what the rule is and went over how it’s going to present a significant challenge for GM Bob Murray to overcome.
With the trade deadline quickly approaching, we’ve kicked off our annual Deadline Primer series. The Central Division is where we’ve started this season. I took a look at the situations in Winnipeg and Dallas, Zach did the same for Nashville and Minnesota, and Holger previewed Colorado.
With the All-Star Game marking the unofficial midway point of the season, we began our look at the upcoming free agent market with the players ranked 11 through 20. Brock Nelson and Jake Gardiner narrowly missed out on a spot in the top ten.
Gavin held his weekly live chat on Thursday. Topics included the Wayne Simmonds situation in Philadelphia, Jason Zucker’s down season with Minnesota, who Winnipeg might try to target in the weeks to come, what Edmonton should do next, and much more.
Defensemen are in high demand with Carolina attracting plenty of attention. With that in mind, we asked which Hurricanes blueliner is the most likely to be on the move. Kings rearguard Jake Muzzin is also in high demand but the asking price reportedly involves a first-round pick and a quality prospect. Will that scare teams off from acquiring him or will he be on the move? Make your prediction here.
We had plenty of questions for the mailbag in our last call for submissions that I ran another mailbag on Saturday to cover the ones that weren’t addressed last weekend. Not surprisingly, the trade deadline dominated the queries this time around.
The Potentially Burgeoning Goalie Trade Market
In recent years, not many goaltenders have changed places leading up to the trade deadline. For the most part, teams have been content with the depth they have with only the odd squad looking for an upgrade on their current backup or someone to serve as a third-stringer and injury insurance. Plenty can change between now and the February 25th trade deadline but this year certainly has the potential to buck the trend.
For starters, the supply of rental goaltenders is higher than usual. There are multiple number one goalies out there in Jimmy Howard (Detroit) and Semyon Varlamov (Colorado) while who knows what will happen with Sergei Bobrovsky (Columbus). On top of that, there are also quite a few veterans who could be viewed as a number two upgrade, including Keith Kinkaid (New Jersey), one of Petr Mrazek or Curtis McElhinney (Carolina), and Chad Johnson (Anaheim) while Cam Talbot (Edmonton) has been in trade speculation as of late as well. Once they return from their respective injuries, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Philadelphia try to find takers for Brian Elliott and Michal Neuvirth.
That type of supply of rental options hasn’t been there in recent years and we haven’t even got to players with term yet. Craig Anderson (Ottawa) has one year left after this one and may attract some interest for a team not wanting to turn to the UFA market next summer. Jonathan Quick (Los Angeles) has been in speculation lately but with four years after this one, that may be a move for the offseason. Jake Allen’s time in St. Louis has been in question all season long. Anyone looking for help between the pipes has plenty of options to choose from.
Also different from recent years is the number of teams that could be on the lookout for another netminder. David Rittich in Calgary has done quite well but with Mike Smith struggling, they’ll likely want some insurance. Florida has two goalies under contract but the performances of Roberto Luongo and James Reimer have shown that an upgrade is needed so they’re a team that would target someone with term remaining. Aaron Dell has been shaky in San Jose so it wouldn’t be shocking to see them looking for other short-term options. Vegas has been hesitant to play Malcolm Subban so they’re likely on the lookout for a number two upgrade as well. Other teams could view some of the rental options as injury insurance.
There are some years where in-season goalie moves are few and far between. With the number of netminders that appear to be available and the number of teams that could be looking for upgrades or extra depth, that’s not likely to be the case within the next month.
Poll: What Does Your Team Need For Christmas?
The holiday season is a time to give gifts to show how much you appreciate others, but hungry front offices around the NHL have already begun to think about what they want to receive instead. What exactly does your team need the most this year? We’ve asked this same question for the last two years, and gotten very different answers.
2016 was the year of the top-four defenseman, with Kevin Shattenkirk dominating headlines as one of the top targets. Shattenkirk was eventually dealt to the Washington Capitals in a deal that certainly didn’t turn out as well as they hoped. The Capitals would be knocked out of the playoffs once again, and the offensive defenseman would hit unrestricted free agency only to sign with a division rival.
In 2017 readers were more focused on a scoring winger, with Evander Kane the big prize that everyone was discussing. Kane would eventually find his way to the San Jose Sharks, who liked him so much that they handed him a seven-year $49MM extension just a few months later. That extension cost them a conditional draft pick as well, but Kane seemed to fit in beautifully with the Sharks down the stretch. Though he’s still been fine for the team, a pace of 23 goals and 49 points isn’t exactly what the Sharks were hoping for out of their $7MM man.
This season’s trade deadline is shaping up to have even more talent available than previous years, and teams could very well acquire a game-changing player at any position. So if your team had a chance to pick up a piece in early January for a run at the playoffs, or to solidify their status as a Cup contender, what would it be? Cast your vote below and be sure to leave a comment explaining your decision.
What does your team need for Christmas?
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Top 4 Defenseman (i.e. Alex Pietrangelo, Jake Muzzin) 32% (330)
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Scoring Winger (i.e. Artemi Panarin, Mark Stone) 28% (283)
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Draft Picks (It's over folks) 18% (181)
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Top 6 Center (i.e. Kevin Hayes, Matt Duchene) 10% (105)
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Starting Goaltender (i.e. Sergei Bobrovsky, Jonathan Quick) 8% (85)
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Other (Explain in comments) 4% (37)
Total votes: 1,021
[Mobile users click here to vote]
Poll: Who Will Be The Biggest Seller?
The NHL holiday transaction freeze starts in just a few days, and already we’ve heard rumblings from several teams around the league that are in dire need of shake up. The St. Louis Blues seem to be on the minds of nearly every broadcaster in North America, with markets wondering how Alex Pietrangelo, Vladimir Tarasenko or Colton Parayko would look in some new colors.
While none of those three may eventually get moved, the Blues are one of the teams worth monitoring as we move through the holiday season and approach the 2019 trade deadline. Very little has gone right this season for St. Louis, and even after their recent two-game winning streak the team still sits in sixth place in the Central Division. The only team behind them, the Chicago Blackhawks, are another team looking to change their fortunes at some point. On a 1-8-1 streak, the Blackhawks now sit last in the entire NHL with a -32 goal differential and are right in the thick of the draft lottery race for star prospect Jack Hughes. Chicago doesn’t have a lot of assets that aren’t locked into seemingly unmovable contracts, but could try to really change their culture by moving out one of their core Cup-winning faces.
The Los Angeles Kings, another team soaring towards the first-overall pick, have been in the news lately because of Jeff Carter. Their second-line center doesn’t hold any trade protection in his contract, but has another type of armor to help decide where he could be traded to. Carter could potentially use retirement as a weapon against both the acquiring team and the Kings, given that it would cause a cap recapture penalty against Los Angeles. There’s little chance that the team wouldn’t work with him to find a soft landing spot, but even then there may be several complications in a trade.
That takes us to the Eastern Conference, where the Ottawa Senators are starting to slide closer to where many believed they would finish the season. After a stronger than expected start, the Senators now carry a -20 goal differential and sit just two points ahead of the Florida Panthers for last place in the Atlantic Division, despite having played three additional games. Ottawa is perhaps the most interesting team to watch in the entire league as the deadline approaches, given the pending unrestricted free agent status of both Matt Duchene and Mark Stone. The Senators, who owe their top pick to the Colorado Avalanche this June, would love to get back into the first round somehow to help their rebuild continue.
Then there is Philadelphia, who is considering a coaching change after bringing in a new GM and could make several moves to alter the direction of the organization. Chuck Fletcher has been rumored interested in making trades before the freeze kicks in on Wednesday, but with just a few days left that could have to wait. The Flyers too have an unrestricted free agent in Wayne Simmonds, and a potential glut of young offensive-minded defensemen who could help many teams around the league.
So who will put up the “For Sale” sign first and start uprooting their foundation? Who will be first on the phone when the trade freeze lifts? Where will playoff-hungry executives show up to try and make a deal?
Cast your vote below for who you think will be the biggest seller of the season, and leave a comment to explain your choice.
Which team will be the biggest seller this season?
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St. Louis Blues 31% (379)
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Los Angeles Kings 22% (268)
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Philadelphia Flyers 14% (175)
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Chicago Blackhawks 12% (146)
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New York Rangers 7% (87)
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Ottawa Senators 6% (74)
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Detroit Red Wings 5% (58)
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New Jersey Devils 1% (17)
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Vancouver Canucks 1% (12)
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Other (specify in comments) 1% (8)
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Florida Panthers 1% (8)
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Dallas Stars 0% (6)
Total votes: 1,238
[Mobile users click here to vote.]
Submit Your Questions For The #PHRMailbag
We’re now more than two months into the NHL season and finally starting to see some separation in the standings. All four divisions have a gap of at least 11 points between first and last place, with the Metropolitan continuing to be the tightest race. As the holiday transaction freeze approaches, teams are starting to call around to garner interest on potential trade bait or look for ways to plug their roster holes.
With that in mind, it’s time again to run a mailbag and answer any questions you may have. Our own Brian La Rose will be on hand to give his insight, and break down all your queries and concerns. Submit a question on Twitter by including #PHRMailbag, or leave a comment down below. The mailbag will run this weekend, so check back in a few days.
When Brian released our last mailbag in November, he touched on several topics including the William Nylander saga, the Vancouver Canucks hot start and Joel Quenneville‘s most likely landing spots. You can read that issue right here, including the part where he noted that Mike Yeo and Todd McLellan were close to losing their jobs.
PHR Originals: 11/19/18 – 11/25/18
Here’s a rundown of the original content here at PHR over the past seven days.
The William Nylander saga is likely coming to an end sometime between now and Saturday as if he’s unsigned by then, he’ll sit for the remainder of the season. How will this eventually end? Will he be dealt, re-sign, or go past the deadline without a contract? Voting is very close so far but there’s still time to make your prediction.
With American Thanksgiving coming and going, our Thankful For series has returned. I took a look at the Ducks and Bruins, Gavin assessed the Coyotes, and Holger reviewed the Sabres who have been one of the bigger surprises through the opening quarter of the season.
Bruins winger David Pastrnak set a career high in goals last season with 35. Boston fans were hoping that the logical next step would be for him to push to reach the 40-goal mark but to say he has gone a step further than that would be an understatement. He’s already at 17 through just 23 games and if that pace is maintained, he’d wind up with 61 tallies. Only one player has reached that plateau in the past decade; can he be the second? Make your pick here.
Gavin held his weekly Thursday live chat. Topics this week included his prediction on what happens with Nylander, potential trade targets in Anaheim, Edmonton’s decision to hire Ken Hitchcock, Western Conference predictions, Boston’s secondary scoring concerns, and more.
We’re nearing the end of our 2006 redraft series as we’re up to the 29th pick, held by the then-Phoenix Coyotes. While the top players have already been scooped up, there are still several capable forwards on the board to choose from.
What Your Team Is Thankful For: Arizona Coyotes
As the holiday season approaches, PHR will take a look at what teams are thankful for as the season heads past the one-quarter mark. There also might be a few things your team would like down the road. Let’s take a look at what’s gone well in the early going and what could improve as the season rolls on for the Arizona Coyotes.
What are the Coyotes most thankful for?
The weak start by almost the entire Pacific Division.
Despite sitting at 9-9-2 through their first 20 games and currently holding down seventh spot in the division, the Coyotes are by no means out of the playoff race at this point. In fact, they sit only seven points behind the division-leading Calgary Flames with two fewer games played, and are one of only three teams without a negative goal differential. The Coyotes haven’t played anywhere near their best through the first two months of the season, but still sit in prime position to battle for the postseason because of the middling efforts from former playoff teams like Anaheim, Vegas and Los Angeles.
Who are the Coyotes most thankful for?
Anyone that did project the Coyotes to be competitive this season did it with one huge caveat: Antti Raanta must stay healthy. That hasn’t happened through the first quarter of the season, and Kuemper has been forced to start 11 of the team’s 20 games. He’s 4-5-2 in those games, but his .914 save percentage has been more than good enough to keep the Coyotes’ head above water as they await the return of their star goaltender. Raanta was activated off injured reserve today, and if he can return to form immediately the Coyotes actually may have one of the best tandems in the entire league.
While Raanta has the ability to contend for the Vezina Trophy, there’s no doubt that Kuemper will be needed again at some point this season. The 28-year old has now done nothing but provide solid backup play at three Western Conference stops, recording save percentages of .910, .932 and .907 in Minnesota, Los Angeles and Arizona respectively.
What would the Coyotes be even more thankful for?
A little bit of shot luck, and a healthy defense.
It’s a good thing the Coyotes have received solid goaltending from Raanta and Kuemper, because they aren’t scoring enough to win games 6-5. The team has just 50 goals on the season through 20 games, and is shooting a near league-worst 7.9%—only Carolina and Los Angeles are below them. Young forwards like Dylan Strome, Brendan Perlini, Christian Fischer and Lawson Crouse are all shooting under 10% on the season, while the entire defense corps has only combined for five goals.
That defense is where the real issue has been lately, as for a while the team was without Jason Demers, Alex Goligoski and Jakob Chychrun, three of their top four options. While Demers is out for the rest of the season, the other two are back in action and should help the team moving forward. Perhaps they can even chip in a goal or two while the forward group figures out how to put the puck in the net.
What should be on the Coyotes’ Holiday Wish List?
Secondary scoring.
There are lots of teams looking to balance out their forward group with an acquisition or two this season, but luckily there are plenty of options expected to be on the market come the start of 2019. Even with the New York Rangers doing better than expected there will likely be one or two veteran names on the move out of Madison Square Garden, while the Ottawa Senators and Los Angeles Kings could be in fire sale mode by February. It’s not very likely that the Coyotes go after any of the big expensive names, but adding a few wingers who can lengthen out their forward group could do them a world of good down the stretch.
PHR Originals: 11/5/18 – 11/11/18
Here’s a rundown of the original content here at PHR over the last seven days.
It has now been a full year since the Senators surprisingly acquired center Matt Duchene in a three-way swap that has worked out well for the other two teams involved (Colorado and Nashville) but not Ottawa. Zach examined what needs to happen for the Sens to get the best they can out of this trade and why a decision on whichever route they choose to go happens as soon as possible.
Gavin held his weekly Thursday live chat. Topics discussed included Evgeni Malkin’s hit on T.J. Oshie (that did not draw supplemental discipline), Randy Carlyle’s future in Anaheim, Max Domi’s surprising start in Montreal, Buffalo’s Rasmus Ristolainen, Arizona’s start to the season, and more.
We’re getting closer to the conclusion of our 2006 redraft series. The Stars are up with the 27th selection and will undoubtedly wind up with a more productive player than their original selection who played just a handful of games. Who should they take? Cast your vote here.
I took questions about Joel Quenneville’s future, potential trade targets for the Bruins, the ongoing William Nylander contract squabble, plus whether Vancouver’s strong start is a sign of things to come in our latest mailbag.
It’s Hall of Fame weekend and with that in mind, Zach took a look at center Eric Staal’s case. The veteran tallied his 400th career goal recently and will probably reach the 1,000 point mark sometime next season. Those numbers would put him ahead of quite a few notable players that have already been enshrined and he is young enough that he’ll add to them in the years to come. Is that enough to make him worthy of the honor? Weigh in with your opinion here.
Submit Your Questions For The #PHRMailbag
It’s been an explosive week in the NHL, with two prominent coach firings and another firestorm brewing in Ottawa. Changes are coming for everyone, even those finding success early on. A restricted free agent remains unsigned now well into November, and the race for the Calder and Hart trophies are well under way. We’ve seen recent contracts given out to undrafted forwards and franchise icon goaltenders.
With that, we’re going to run another mailbag here at PHR. Our very own Brian La Rose will be back this weekend to answer all of your questions, and give you his take on the recent changes around the league. Can the Edmonton Oilers turn a hot start into a playoff run? Will the Los Angeles Kings bounce back under Willie Desjardins? What’s next for the Ottawa Senators’ franchise?
If you’ve missed the chance to ask a question during our weekly Live Chat on Thursday evenings, here’s your chance. Submit using #PHRMailbag on Twitter, or by commenting down below. We’ll run the mailbag this weekend and try to get to each and every question.
Make sure to check out our most recent edition, in which Brian touches on the Florida Panthers, Philadelphia Flyers and Dallas Stars situations while also giving some insight into any potential coaching change in St. Louis. With Joel Quenneville on the market now, his thoughts could be even more applicable.
2006 NHL Draft Take Two: Twenty-Third Overall Pick
Hindsight is an amazing thing, and allows us to look back and wonder “what could have been.” Though perfection is attempted, scouting and draft selection is far from an exact science and sometimes, it doesn’t work out the way teams – or players – intended. For every Patrick Kane, there is a Patrik Stefan.
Our look back at the 2006 NHL Entry Draft is now in full swing as we poll the PHR community to see who would have been selected in the first round and in what order knowing what we know now. Through the first 21 picks, we’ve already seen potential Hall of Fame players switch teams, and multiple captains move up and down the draft board.
Here are the results of the redraft so far:
1st Overall: Jonathan Toews (St. Louis Blues)
2nd Overall: Claude Giroux (Pittsburgh Penguins)
3rd Overall: Nicklas Backstrom (Chicago Blackhawks)
4th Overall: Brad Marchand (Washington Capitals)
5th Overall: Phil Kessel (Boston Bruins)
6th Overall: Jordan Staal (Columbus Blue Jackets)
7th Overall: Milan Lucic (New York Islanders)
8th Overall: Kyle Okposo (Phoenix Coyotes)
9th Overall: Erik Johnson (Minnesota Wild)
10th Overall: Derick Brassard (Florida Panthers)
11th Overall: Bryan Little (Los Angeles Kings)
12th Overall: Nick Foligno (Atlanta Thrashers)
13th Overall: Semyon Varlamov (Toronto Maple Leafs)
14th Overall: Artem Anisimov (Vancouver Canucks)
15th Overall: Michael Grabner (Tampa Bay Lightning)
16th Overall: Patrik Berglund (San Jose Sharks)
17th Overall: Jeff Petry (Los Angeles Kings)
18th Overall: Jonathan Bernier (Colorado Avalanche)
19th Overall: Mathieu Perreault (Anaheim Ducks)
20th Overall: Michael Frolik (Montreal Canadiens)
21st Overall: Cal Clutterbuck (New York Rangers)
22nd Overall: James Reimer (Philadelphia Flyers)
Considering Philadelphia’s long-term struggles between the pipes, it’s only fitting that they wind up with Reimer, a goaltender, with this selection. While he wouldn’t have come close to providing the value that Giroux (their original selection) did, he would have at least given them another NHL-caliber option between the pipes at a time where the Flyers had churned through a lot of different netminders.
Reimer gets quite a boost from his original selection as the Maple Leafs selected him with the 99th pick. As is often the case with goaltenders, it took a while for him to make his mark as he didn’t make his NHL debut until 2010-11 after spending time at both the AHL and ECHL levels.
The 30-year-old has been remarkably consistent when it comes to his playing time. In each of his eight NHL seasons (not including 2018-19), he has played between 32 and 44 games. In other words, he has basically been a platoon player for most of his career but Reimer has still posted decent numbers, including a .914 SV%. For comparison purposes, Philadelphia has only had a team save percentage above that mark in one of those years.
We now move on to the twenty-third pick which was held by the Washington Capitals. The Caps used that pick on Semyon Varlamov, who they viewed as their goalie of the future (and our readers viewed as the top goalie of this draft class as he went thirteenth to Toronto). It didn’t take too long for him to make an impact as he became a starter in the RSL (now the KHL) in his post-draft year and he was in North America for the 2008-09 season where he got into six games with the big club. One year later, he was their full-time backup.
However, with Michal Neuvirth already in the fold and Braden Holtby close to being NHL-ready, Washington decided to deal him to Colorado for a 2011 first-round pick (used on Filip Forsberg) and a 2012 second-round pick (that they later dealt away).
In his time with the Avalanche, Varlamov has been their number one netminder (when he has been healthy, something that hasn’t always been the case). In parts of eight years with the team, he has posted a quality .917 save percentage. He led the league in wins in 2013-14 and is off to a fine start this season, leading the league with a .953 save percentage through his first seven starts. Interestingly enough, his future in Colorado past this season is uncertain after history repeated itself in the summer with the Avs acquiring Phillip Grubauer from Washington with the idea that he will be their goalie of the future.
Although Washington’s original choice is no longer available, there are still some quality players to choose from. Who should they take with the twenty-third selection? Have your say by voting in the poll below.
2006 Redraft: 23rd Overall
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Leo Komarov 20% (92)
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Steve Mason 17% (80)
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Michal Neuvirth 16% (75)
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Chris Stewart 10% (49)
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Victor Stalberg 9% (41)
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Andrew MacDonald 8% (36)
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Derek Dorsett 4% (20)
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Nikolay Kulemin 4% (19)
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Jamie McGinn 4% (18)
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Matt Beleskey 2% (11)
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Trevor Lewis 2% (10)
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Peter Mueller 2% (10)
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Jiri Tlusty 1% (7)
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Shawn Matthias 0% (1)
Total votes: 469
Mobile users, click here to vote.
