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Free Agency

Free Agent Stock Watch: Centers

January 1, 2024 at 4:10 pm CDT | by Ethan Hetu Leave a Comment

The new year is here and the NHL season is in full swing. Teams are jockeying for playoff position, and many players with expiring contracts across the NHL are playing games that could ultimately determine what type of payday they might receive in the summer.

In a multi-part series, we’ll take a look at each position group of the upcoming free agent class, and do a rundown on how those upcoming unrestricted free agents have performed this year. Which players have increased their odds of landing a massive contract? Which players have potentially hurt their earning potential with their play? We’ll break it all down here.

The Marquee Names

Elias Lindholm, Calgary Flames

With Steven Stamkos primarily playing the wing for the Tampa Bay Lightning, Elias Lindholm stands alone atop the class of full-time centers in the upcoming free-agent class. The 29-year-old is entering the first trip to the unrestricted free agent market of his career, and ever since his trade from the Carolina Hurricanes to the Flames, he’s lined himself up nicely for a big payday.

A traditional two-way center who blends offensive ability and defensive responsibility, Lindholm has played a crucial role for the Flames over the last half-decade. This season has been no different. He leads all Flames forwards in time-on-ice per game and ranks just outside the top 10 most heavily utilized forwards across the entire NHL.

He plays a leading role on both sides of the Flames’ special teams, and although Calgary’s power play has struggled, Lindholm’s exemplary work on the penalty kill has contributed to an 84.2% penalty kill rate. That figure ranks sixth in the entire NHL.

Lindholm’s production has fluctuated on a year-to-year basis, leading to some questions as to his true offensive talent level. He scored 42 goals and 82 points in 2021-22, but that was alongside Johnny Gaudreau and Matthew Tkachuk on one of the most talent-rich lines in hockey.

Now without superstar talent on his wings (Jonathan Huberdeau was supposed to be his all-world running mate but the former Panthers’ tenure in Calgary has been nothing short of a disaster), Lindholm has fallen back into more of a 20-plus goal, 60-plus point range. He’s on pace to score 18 goals and 52 points in 82 games, which would make 2023-24 his worst offensive season since his trade from Carolina.

Now nearly 800 games into his NHL career, there’s sufficient evidence to suggest that Lindholm is a player capable of elite production when he has elite linemates, and on his own is capable of scoring at the rate of a quality top-six forward rather than a true headlining play-driver. There’s still quite a bit of value in a standout defensive center who elevates elite linemates, of course, but that also places Lindholm in a different financial conversation on his next contract compared to a high-flying offensive number-one center like John Tavares.

The most significant wild card to Lindholm’s projection for this offseason relates to his team. If the Flames continue down the path toward rebuilding or re-tooling their roster with an eye to the future, Lindholm could very well spend the final few months of the year on another team. He’s scoring at a 52-point pace in Calgary, and finishing the year around that points total would certainly generate some caution among teams considering handing him a massive contract to be their number-one center.

But if he were to get traded to a team with some elite wingers he could center? A team like Boston, for example, where he could center Brad Marchand or David Pastrnak? (or both?) Then the possibility exists for Lindholm to finish his year point-per-game or even above that mark throughout the final twenty or so games of the season, similar to how Andrew Copp finished the year after being traded to the New York Rangers at the 2022 trade deadline.

Moreover, a trade would provide Lindholm with a massive stage to reassure potential free agent suitors that his overall game merits a significant financial investment.

As of right now, though, Lindholm is still in Calgary and it’s hard to say his stock isn’t at least a little bit down given his declined scoring pace. But a trade could change all of that, and could very well earn Lindholm quite a bit of money.

The Solid Contributors

Chandler Stephenson, Vegas Golden Knights

When Lindholm was scoring 78 points in a breakout campaign in 2018-19, Stephenson was struggling in just the second season of his career in the NHL. He had won the Stanley Cup as a rookie with the Washington Capitals the year before, but he found himself in-and-out of the lineup and could only put together 11 points on the season.

Fast forward a little over a half-decade, and Stephenson is slotting in as likely the second-best center on the market for most NHL teams. He got there through a steadfast commitment to defensive hockey as well as an offensive breakout just about nobody saw coming. The Golden Knights reportedly “had a hunch” Stephenson could “excel in a different role” (subscription link) but it’s doubtful they expected a surge past the 60-point plateau.

Stephenson always had offense in his game, but like many former high-flying CHL scorers, the rigors of professional hockey had slowly beaten the offensive flair out of him. By the time he was traded to Vegas at the age of 25, Stephenson’s career-high point total as a professional was 38 in 72 games for the AHL’s Hershey Bears.

That was also just one of two instances where he reached double-digit goals on the season. But now, Stephenson is coming off of a year where he scored 16 goals, 65 points, and an extremely impressive 10 goals and 20 points in 22 playoff games en route to his second Stanley Cup championship.

The right time for Stephenson to hit free agency would undoubtedly have been last summer, as his stock was at a career-high point. While he’s undoubtedly not quite at that high anymore, he’s still in strong shape heading into the free agent market in the summer. His offensive production has declined a touch (he’s on pace for 42 points) but he nonetheless has demonstrated some measure of consistency, posting back-to-back 60-plus point seasons in the prior two campaigns.

Some teams could very well attribute Stephenson’s decline in scoring pace to his change of linemates, as he’s now slotted between Pavel Dorofeyev and Michael Amadio. Those are two quality, ascending players but hardly the big-name talents playing a little higher in Vegas’ lineup. Additionally, teams are likely to be encouraged by the role Stephenson plays and the level of responsibility he takes on. He averages nearly 18:00 time-on-ice per game, skating on both special teams units.

It’s rare for centers who can score 60 or more points as well as play reliable defensive hockey hit the open market. Most of the time, when centers hit the free agent market they come with significant question marks attached or recognized holes in their game. Stephenson doesn’t have the same negative tags, and he’ll likely cash in on the open market as the deals already on Vegas’ books figure to make re-signing him a difficult prospect. That being said, Stephenson’s slight offensive decline is something to monitor moving forward as the sample size of games played this season expands.

Sean Monahan, Montreal Canadiens

If there’s one thing Monahan has proved as a Canadien, it’s that the issue for him has never been about ability. The seven-time 20-goal scorer recently notched his 500th career point and at one point was a headlining star for the Flames, someone who could score around a point-per-game rate. But over the last few seasons, persistent injury issues have absolutely decimated Monahan’s overall value.

A significant aspect of what makes a player valuable to an NHL club is availability. A player can have all the talent in the world, but if he’s not able to actually deliver on that talent in actual games, the talent is ultimately meaningless from a team’s perspective. For Monahan, the battle over the last few seasons has been proving that his injury issues are behind him and that he’s someone an NHL club can once again rely upon to play consistent minutes.

In 2023-24, it’s been so far, so good. He’s currently scoring at a 21-goal, 48-point pace for Montreal, and he plays a regular role around the net/slot area on the Canadiens’ top power-play unit. Once a widely respected defensive player who received Selke Trophy votes, Monahan hasn’t been a force of a defensive stopper in Montreal but nonetheless plays a useful secondary role on their penalty kill.

A versatile forward who can play up and down a lineup, Monahan’s free-agency conversation will be dominated by questions of availability. Given how much time he has missed in recent years, can a team truly afford to commit valuable cap space to Monahan? That’s a question that’ll be asked, and the best thing Monahan can do at this point is just continue to play as he has been playing for the Canadiens. He’s been healthy, productive, and an all-around valuable veteran for the rebuilding side. If he can at the very least continue to do that, he’ll improve his stock heading to free agency.

If he ends up traded and playing a regular role on a playoff contender, he could improve his stock even further.

Jack Roslovic, Columbus Blue Jackets

Each of the centers so far covered on this list has been a player who is generally respected for their defensive play. Lindholm, Stephenson, and Monahan have each earned Selke Trophy votes in their career, but it’s a far different story when it comes to Roslovic. As The Athletic’s Aaron Portzline put it in a November article, “Roslovic always struggled with the two-way responsibilities at center.” (subscription link)

Instead, the reason Roslovic has a $4MM cap hit this season and was once a top prospect is his immense offensive talent. The 26-year-old has shown some of that in the NHL, and has scored 45 and 44 points over the last two years, respectively. But getting that offense on track on a consistent basis has been a challenge.

Still, besides Lindholm and Stephenson, there may not be another player available on the open market in the summer who offers the caliber of offensive game from the center position that Roslovic offers. However, this season has had its fair share of ups and downs for Roslovic, which has likely impacted his stock heading into his free agency.

First and foremost, there’s been something of a position change. Roslovic has traditionally always been a center, but more recently he has seen time along the wings. That time as a winger has brought out defensive improvements, but also comes at the cost of some offense. Additionally, Roslovic missed over a month due to injury, something he didn’t really have to deal with in each of the past two years.

As a result of those two factors, it’s hard to say where Roslovic truly stands heading into potential free agency. He’s an undeniably talented offensive player with two seasons of more than 40 points of production on his resume. He’ll also be just 27 years old in the summer, which places him as one of the younger available players on this list. But alongside those positive attributes come some very real drawbacks, and at the moment the fact that Roslovic is slotted in as a fourth-line winger and on pace to score around 30 points isn’t helping matters.

Tommy Novak, Nashville Predators

Novak has been quite the surprise since the start of 2022-23, as the University of Minnesota product has broken out in a big way for the Predators. The 26-year-old 2015 third-round pick didn’t do a whole lot in his first shot playing NHL games, and scored just seven points in 27 contests.

To that point, Novak looked to be something relatively common: a high-scoring AHLer who can put up points against minor-league competition but would struggle to hold up in a similar role against NHLers.

Then 2022-23 began, and Novak burst through that perception with a stellar season. He scored 17 goals and 43 points in just 51 games after a mid-season call-up, showing that there was more meat to his exemplary AHL form than some might have believed.

So far this season, Novak has dealt with some injuries but remained productive. He’s on pace to score 16 goals and 46 points in 72 games, which isn’t quite the 69-point pace he posted last season but is nonetheless strong production.

Novak is an offensive player who sees time on the Predators power play as his lone special teams usage. His ice time has remained in line with where it was last season, and it will be curious moving forward, now that he is recovered from his injury, to see if Novak’s production bumps up closer to where it was last season.

Financially, Novak’s next contract is hard to project. He doesn’t yet have a full NHL season on his resume, and it’s not entirely clear whether Novak is more of a skilled 50-point player (as he is on pace to be this year) or someone capable of reaching higher echelons of production.

More than for many other, more experienced players on this list, how Novak performs in the rest of 2023-24 will go a long way in determining what sort of contract he signs, whether it be with the Predators or elsewhere.

The Role Players

Alex Wennberg, Seattle Kraken

Wennberg, 29, earned a $4.5MM AAV on a contract in his most recent trip to the unrestricted free agent market, and he has been as advertised for Seattle. He’s provided them with nearly 40 points of production in back-to-back seasons, and he’s also brought the kind of defensive competence the Kraken have needed from a middle-six center.

The 14th overall pick of the 2013 draft has been the Kraken’s leading penalty-killing center over the course of the last two years, and since the start of 2022-23, although in that span Seattle has posted a below-average 77.6% penalty-kill rate. Some of that can be attributed to the Kraken’s consistently below-average goaltending, though.

In any case, Wennberg is a widely respected two-way center who offers a bit of offensive upside, as his career-high in goals is 17 and points is 59. A team could reasonably expect him to adequately hold down a second-line center role in a pinch or excel as a third-line center, and as a result his price tag is likely to be moderately expensive.

Wennberg currently has 15 points in 37 games, which is right around what he typically produces. The best thing for Wennberg’s stock moving forward would be another playoff run for the Kraken. Wennberg scored seven points in the team’s 14-game playoff run last season, and the stage he played on helped enhance his stock league-wide. He weathered difficult defensive minutes in that playoff run, and his work to help shut down a high-flying offensive attack in both Colorado and Dallas nearly brought the Kraken to the Western Conference Final.

If he can do that or something similar in the 2023-24 postseason, Wennberg could help his stock significantly. As of now, though, it’s holding steady.

Jason Dickinson, Chicago Blackhawks

Dickinson, 28, struggled immensely with the Vancouver Canucks in 2021-22, and was exiled to the Chicago Blackhawks, who received a second-round pick just to take on his $2.65MM AAV contract.

That was undoubtedly the low point in Dickinson’s NHL career. So far in 2023-24, one could call this season the high point in Dickinson’s NHL career.

While the Blackhawks have struggled immensely as a team this season, Dickinson has played some of the best hockey of his life.

He’s already up to 12 goals on the year, which marks the first time he’s scored double-digit NHL goals in his career.

His red-hot start to the year paces him to score 27 in a full 82-game season, and while it’s unlikely he will sustain his 23.1% shooting percentage, a 20 or even 25-goal season is very much in the cards.

In addition to the timely goal scoring and offensive bump, Dickinson is also playing a bigger role than he has before in his NHL career. He’s averaging 15:35 time-on-ice per game and is Chicago’s leading penalty-killer at the forward position.

The Blackhawks’ penalty kill has been quite poor over the last two years, of course, but the trust Luke Richardson places in Dickinson to handle tough defensive assignments is a more appropriate reflection of the player’s merits as a defensive forward.

Dickinson’s issue heading into the open market is twofold: first and foremost, some teams may question the sustainability of Dickinson’s offensive breakout. The history of NHL free agency is littered with cautionary tales of teams investing in breakout goal scorers whose true talent level as an offensive player is masked by a far higher-than-average shooting percentage. Additionally, the significant role Dickinson plays on a rebuilding team in Chicago may not be one other teams will sign him to play.

That being said, it’s hard to say Dickinson’s time in Chicago has done anything but enhance his leaguewide standing. The Blackhawks have given him a platform to remind teams what he can do at the NHL level, and he’s run with it.

Should he get traded to a playoff contender, a big showing on the major stage that is the NHL playoffs would further enhance his free-agent stock. Dickinson has already played in a Stanley Cup Final, and another deep playoff run would be the cherry on top of what has been, so far, the best season in Dickinson’s career.

Teddy Blueger, Vancouver Canucks

Blueger is in a somewhat similar position to Dickinson. The Latvian pivot is in his late twenties, is a respected defensive bottom-six forward, and is on pace for a breakout offensive season.

For Blueger, achieving new offensive heights has been less about personal goal-scoring and more about elevating his linemates. Blueger’s effectiveness in the defensive zone and ability to help recover pucks and transition to attacking play has helped his linemates spend less time pinned in their own end and more time playing offensive hockey.

He’s gotten the chance to play with some talented offensive players such as Conor Garland, and the result is clear: Blueger is on pace to shatter his career-high of 28 points, as he’s scored 13 points in 22 games. That current scoring pace, taking into account the time he’s missed this season puts him on pace to score 15 goals and 40 points in 68 games.

In addition to his improved offensive form, Blueger handles a difficult defensive role for head coach Rick Tocchet. He’s skating the second-most short-handed ice time of any Canucks forward and according to Natural Stat Trick, he’s starting the lowest percentage of shifts in the offensive zone of any Canucks forward.

Blueger has been asked to do a lot this season, and he’s responded with what has been the best start to a season in his career. If he keeps things up, he’ll be in phenomenal shape heading into free agency. If he can put together a deep playoff run on the massive stage that is playoff hockey in a Canadian market, he’ll do even better.

Nick Bonino, New York Rangers

Set to turn 36 in April, it’s likely that Bonino has hit the stage in his NHL career where he’s exclusively signing one-year contracts with clubs. Even with that in mind, Bonino’s 2023-24 has a chance to earn him a raise next summer from the $800k cap hit he’s currently playing on.

The veteran two-way center is currently the third-line center on one of the NHL’s best teams, though he’ll likely slot in as a fourth-line center when Filip Chytil returns from injury. In any case, his work for head coach Peter Laviolette has been strong.

Although he’s not scoring very much, Bonino shoulders more defensive responsibility than just about any other Rangers bottom-sixer. He’s playing the most time on the team’s penalty kill of any forward, and his work there has helped the Rangers have the fifth-best shorthanded unit in the entire NHL this season.

In addition, Bonino is winning 51.3% of his draws, which has contributed to the Rangers’ third-ranked team-wide face-off win percentage. The Rangers appear geared for a long playoff run, something that Bonino is no stranger to.

If he can keep up how he’s playing this season and once again find himself deep in the NHL playoffs, he could be one of the top options on the open market for a team looking to sign a veteran bottom-six center with just a one-year commitment.

Tomáš Nosek, New Jersey Devils

Seeing as Nosek has played in just six NHL games this season due to injuries, and none since November 18th, it’s hard to say his free agent stock is anywhere other than where it was last season.

The 31-year-old bottom-six center is a quality veteran who has appeared in the playoffs in every single season of his professional hockey career, dating back to his time playing in the Czech Extraliga. He brings some size, can kill penalties, and won nearly 60% of his draws last season.

He only received a one-year, $1MM commitment last summer, which was somewhat surprising as he figured to be among the top bottom-six players available on the market. However, teams only want to commit so many dollars to a player who, despite all his merits, has never even hit 20 points in a single NHL season.

It’s hard to imagine Nosek’s market being dramatically different this summer, although the upcoming salary cap increase could help him. It’s just a shame, then, that Nosek’s poor luck with injuries could keep him from entering free agency on the strongest footing.

Kevin Stenlund, Florida Panthers

After spending most of 2021-22 in the AHL, Stenlund finally became a full-time NHLer the following year with the Winnipeg Jets. The Jets were optimistic that the rangy six-foot-five forward would be able to utilize his size and physicality to become an effective bottom-six player in the NHL.

Stenlund ended up playing in 54 games for the Jets and saw time on the second unit of their penalty kill. That was the most extensive NHL role he’d ever received, and the Panthers invested in his career year by signing him to a one-year, $1MM NHL deal.

Stenlund has played a similar role for the Panthers as he did for the Jets, albeit on a more regular basis. Stenlund has entrenched himself as the team’s fourth-line center, playing in between two physical, hard-working players in Ryan Lomberg and Will Lockwood

He doesn’t receive much opportunity to make an offensive impact, but the regular minutes and consistent linemates he’s received in Florida have nonetheless led to an improved scoring pace. He’s currently on pace to score 14 goals and 19 points, which would be a career-high.

Stenlund is currently playing on the Panthers’ penalty kill, a unit that ranks eighth in the NHL. He receives a healthy dose of defensive zone starts, and his work there has helped the Panthers’ overall defensive game.

Florida plays an aggressive style that features a lot of activation from defensemen, which can lead to defensive vulnerabilities. Stenlund has been tasked with playing as a defensive specialist in that environment, and he’s excelled.

Seeing as he won’t turn 28 until next September and offers the size NHL teams covet, it wouldn’t be surprising to see an active market for Stenlund’s services next summer, especially if he can help the Panthers go on another deep postseason run.

Fredrik Olofsson, Colorado Avalanche

Another in our run of fourth-line centers, Olofsson currently occupies that role for the Avalanche. He’s playing secondary penalty-killing minutes as well, though his role as a whole is moderately smaller than that of Stenlund or Bonino.

The six-foot-two 27-year-old was an offseason trade acquisition from the Dallas Stars who played an up-and-down role in Dallas last season, splitting time between the NHL and AHL. This year has been his first as a full-time NHLer, and he’s been able to handle the fourth-line center role for the Avalanche while playing on a league-minimum $775k cap hit.

An import from IK Oskarshamn in the SHL, Olofsson’s lack of offense and limited overall role outside of just defense means that he’s unlikely to offer much surplus value the higher his cap hit rises from the league minimum.

That being said, this season has gone a long way toward helping Olofsson’s free agent standing. He’s slowly establishing himself as a full-time NHLer and if he can hold onto his current job over the course of the full year, he could very well enter free agency as a regular bottom-six staple on a playoff team. That tagline sounds quite a bit different from depth forward who splits time between the NHL and AHL.

Oskar Sundqvist, St. Louis Blues

Sundqvist, 29, arrived in St. Louis this past summer on a one-year, league-minimum contract. He’s been the team’s defensive specialist at the center position, a relatively important role seeing that the Blues other three pivots (Robert Thomas, Brayden Schenn, and Kevin Hayes) are all offensive players.

Like many of the other players listed in this section, Sundqvist checks all the boxes of a bottom-six center. He’s got size, playoff experience, and handles defensive responsibility both at even strength and on the penalty kill. Injuries have slowed him down a bit in recent years, though, which contributed to a lighter market for his services than he otherwise may have had.

He’s already scored 13 points so far this year, so a fully healthy campaign in which he produces around 30 points could see him land a raise from his $775k cap hit this year.

Tyler Johnson, Chicago Blackhawks

The 33-year-old Johnson stands virtually no chance of matching the $5MM cap hit he’s currently playing on when he hits free agency. That doesn’t mean he can’t offer something to other NHL teams, although his form on a poor Blackhawks team has muddied his standing heading into free agency.

Johnson scored 12 goals and 32 points last season, suggesting that he could still play in a middle-six scoring role in the NHL. He’s put up those numbers (he’s on pace to score 30 points this season) while receiving second-unit power-play ice time, though, so it’s not as though he’s breaking through playing just even-strength minutes.

Seeing as he’s undersized, does not contribute meaningfully defensively, and will be 34 by the time the season starts in the fall, it’s difficult to imagine a robust market for Johnson’s services this summer. He does already have nine goals, though, so perhaps if he can keep up his current 15.5% shooting percentage a big goal-scoring year could help him.

Others Of Note

Sam Carrick, Anaheim Ducks

Like some of the other players listed in the section above, Carrick has recently established himself as a full-time NHLer and is currently occupying a fourth-line center role that comes with significant defensive responsibility.

The issue for Carrick, though, is that he has two things working against him that players such as Olofsson or Stenlund do not. Firstly, he’s going to turn 32 in February, meaning he’s at a later stage in his career compared to those players next to him on the market. There’s an argument to be made that he’s exiting his prime, while Stenlund or Olofsson are just beginning their peak years.

In addition, Carrick is shouldering his defensive role on a bad Anaheim Ducks team. While Olofsson and Stenlund’s play has led to strong outcomes for their line and their team, Carrick is a defensive specialist for one of the league’s worst teams.

That likely will lead to questions as to whether Carrick is the caliber of player who can handle that role for a team with legitimate Stanley Cup aspirations. A trade to a contender could help him, though in that case then there is always the risk for Carrick that he doesn’t end up playing as big of a role as he did in Anaheim.

Jonny Brodzinski, New York Rangers

Brodzinski, 30, has helped himself more than most other players on the AHL/NHL bubble this season.

The captain of the AHL’s Hartford Wolf Pack, Brodzinski seized the opportunity created by injuries to other New York Rangers and has already scored a career-high eight points in just 16 games.

The speedy, hard-working forward plays alongside Bonino and Will Cuylle on the Rangers’ third line, and he has shown the ability to play higher in the lineup in a pinch.

He scored 25 points in 16 AHL games en route to his call-up, showcasing his abilities as an elite AHL scorer as well.

He won’t earn a massive contract in free agency, of course, but he could find himself in a similar position to the one his Wolf Pack teammate Alex Belzile was in last summer.

Belzile seized on the best NHL opportunity of his career and was rewarded for it with a two-year contract featuring a hefty $450k AHL salary this season and a full one-way $775k salary next year.

Brodzinski currently makes the league minimum in the NHL and $325k in the AHL. His play so far this season has lined him up nicely for a significant raise in AHL salary on his next contract if not a full one-way deal.

Travis Boyd, Arizona Coyotes

While 2023-24 has been kind to a player like Brodzinski, it’s been the opposite story for Boyd. After scoring 35 and 34 points in 2021-22 and 2022-23, respectively, Boyd’s 2023-24 campaign is likely a lost one due to an upper-body injury.

That means the versatile 30-year-old will enter free agency without the value of a strong platform season. Even before the injury, there were some warning signs that could worry interested teams. Boyd’s eight points in 16 games are in line with recent years, but his ice time crashed from nearly 17 minutes per game over the last two years to just 9:37 per game this year.

While Boyd was used as a secondary penalty killer last season, his time on that unit evaporated this year. Combine that significantly lowered role with his potentially season-ending injury, and 2023-24 starts to look more and more like a significant setback for Boyd’s free agent stock.

Tyson Jost, Buffalo Sabres

Jost is another player who has had a difficult start to 2023-24, and likely seen that difficult start damage his free agent stock. The former top prospect recently cleared waivers and is on his first AHL assignment since 2018-19.

Jost is still just 25 years old, but his time in Buffalo has suggested he may not be as capable of regular bottom-six duty in the NHL as previously believed. A strong stretch in the AHL is essential, as he’ll need to earn his way back into the NHL and play improved hockey there to enter the market in the best position possible this summer.

Steven Lorentz, Florida Panthers

Lorentz was acquired by the Panthers this past summer in the Anthony Duclair trade, and he was slated to compete with Stenlund for the fourth-line center role that Stenlund eventually won. The six-foot-four grinder established himself as an NHL regular in 2020-21 and has not been in the AHL since 2019-20.

Lorentz has some playoff experience and had a career year offensively in 2022-23 by scoring 10 goals and 19 points in 81 games for the San Jose Sharks. This season, Lorentz began the year on the team’s fourth line, but after producing just three points in 25 games, the Panthers turned to Lockwood. Lockwood does not offer the size Lorentz does, but he plays at a higher pace and his quickness and work ethic are valued by head coach Paul Maurice enough to keep Lorentz out of the lineup.

If Lorentz spends the bulk of this season as a spare forward rather than a regular fourth-liner, his stock will be lower heading into the first unrestricted free agency of Lorentz’s career.

Mitchell Stephens, Montreal Canadiens

Injuries have landed Stephens back in the NHL after a one-year absence, and he’s now slotting in as the Canadiens’ fourth-line center. While he’s not receiving very much time-on-ice, he does sometimes play a cameo on the penalty kill and remains in head coach Martin St. Louis’ regular lineup for the time being.

For a 26-year-old player like Stephens, going a second consecutive season without a single NHL game played would be dangerous for his ability to earn the type of contract he’s currently playing on, which is a two-way NHL deal with a $300K AHL salary.

This stretch as the Canadiens’ fourth-line center has reminded NHL teams that Stephens can capably fill in as an AHL top-six center and premier call-up option, which means this season has already been a useful one for Stephens’ free-agent prospects.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Free Agency| Free Agent Stock Watch 2023| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

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Central Notes: Trotz, Fabbro, Vilardi

October 19, 2023 at 9:00 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

Predators GM Barry Trotz was a long-time NHL coach, spending 23 years behind the bench with a pair of Jack Adams Awards while sitting third in league history in victories.  To that end, it was a bit surprising when he eschewed coaching opportunities last season and eventually replacing David Poile in the managerial role with Nashville.  Don’t expect him to have another change of heart as he told Newsday’s Andrew Gross that his coaching days are over:

I can honestly say I have no intentions of coaching again. My coaching career, you can put it in an envelope.

Trotz was active this summer, hiring Andrew Brunette (a more offensive-oriented coach) to replace John Hynes, making several front-office moves, and changing things up with their forward group, parting with Matt Duchene and Ryan Johansen while bringing in several veterans in free agency to change up the core.  It’s fair to say he jumped in with both feet into his new role and is leaving his old one behind.

More from the Central:

  • Still with the Predators, defenseman Dante Fabbro is no stranger to trade speculation as it has followed him for basically the last couple of years. Speaking with Penalty Box Radio’s Alex Daugherty (Twitter link), the blueliner expressed that his goal is to remain in Nashville for the long haul.  The 25-year-old averaged a career-low 17:27 per game last season with his average through his first few games a bit below that this year as well; as a result, he’s no longer viewed around the league as a prominent part of their future back end.
  • The Jets announced (Twitter link) that they’ve placed forward Gabriel Vilardi on injured reserve. The move comes as no surprise as it was revealed yesterday that he’ll miss at least the next month with a sprained MCL.  While Winnipeg is eligible to place Vilardi on LTIR given how long he’ll be out for, that move doesn’t make sense for them yet as they have ample cap space to bring up someone to replace him if they so desire.  That move wasn’t made prior to their game tonight but should be coming soon as they’re currently down to 12 healthy forwards.

Barry Trotz| Free Agency| Nashville Predators| Winnipeg Jets Dante Fabbro| Gabe Vilardi

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Snapshots: NHL Draft Format, Phil Kessel, Jesse Puljujarvi

October 19, 2023 at 5:56 pm CDT | by Gabriel Foley 14 Comments

NHL teams have begun requesting that the draft be decentralized, so front offices have more time to prepare for the draft and free agency in their home markets, rather than needing to travel to the draft city. On TSN’s latest Insider Trading segment, Pierre LeBrun shared that the league sent a memo out to teams on Wednesday of this week discussing this idea, requesting that all teams vote on it by Tuesday of next week. Pierre shared that he’s heard from over a dozen teams on this topic and is expecting that the league will ultimately vote in favor of the change. If this decision goes through, the NHL Draft could mirror the NFL or NBA Draft, where players are greeted by the commissioner after being selected, while teams draft from their own offices.

Insider Trading co-panelist Chris Johnston added that the NHL is confident in their ability to find a location for the 2024 NHL Draft, with the new Vegas sphere as a top option. Even if the sphere doesn’t work out, Vegas still sounds like the league’s preferred host city, with the NHL already identifying alternate locations in the city. If nothing in Vegas pans out, Johnston mentions two unnamed cities are also in the running.

Other notes from around the league:

  • Johnston also spoke about Phil Kessel’s continuing free agency on Insider Trading, sharing that the forward is generating NHL interest and could ink a deal soon. Kessel is the NHL’s current iron man, with a consecutive game streak stretching over 1000 games. But Johnston says that isn’t important for Kessel in his new deal, he just wants to play through the year. Kessel scored 14 goals and 36 points with Vegas last season, en route to his third Stanley Cup win. The 36-year-old winger is eight points away from his 1,000th NHL point.
  • In addition to discussing Kessel on Insider Trading, Johnston also touched on Jesse Puljujarvi’s free agency in a recent article for The Athletic. He shared that Puljujarvi, who is recovering from surgery on both hips, is slated for a return in late November or early December and could be receiving a lot of interest from NHL clubs. Puljujarvi split time between the Edmonton Oilers and Carolina Hurricanes last season, playing in 75 games and notching a mere 16 points. He’s continuing to train in Finland while he recovers from injury.

2024 NHL Draft| Free Agency| NHL Phil Kessel

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Patrick Kane Won’t Talk To Teams Until Late October

September 27, 2023 at 10:20 am CDT | by Josh Cybulski 4 Comments

TSN Insider Darren Dreger is reporting that unrestricted free agent forward Patrick Kane isn’t likely to start talking with teams until the end of October. Kane’s agent, Pat Brisson has been receiving a lot of calls on the three-time Stanley Cup Champion, but they won’t have meetings with teams until more medical information is available in mid-late October.

Kane has been rehabbing from hip resurfacing surgery that he had on June 1st and his initial timetable was 4-6 months to recover from the procedure. If Kane does return at the end of October, he will fall right into the window of the initial projection.

Kane’s contract situation is sure to be a tricky one as fellow TSN Insider Chris Johnston points out. Most teams that would be of interest to Kane are pressed right up against the salary cap ceiling and wouldn’t have very many avenues available to fit in Kane’s next contract. The 34-year-old is ineligible for a 35+ contract as he is five months short of hitting that mark, and a signing bonus would create other problems for an interested team.

Little is known about who a frontrunner for Kane’s services would be. The Buffalo Sabres have been thrown around in rumor mills as they have over $8MM in cap space and are Kane’s hometown team, but nothing concrete has emerged from the speculation.

It seems unlikely that Kane will be able to get much more than a one-year deal since he is signing in season. However, teams have found ways to get creative in the past with the salary cap so it shouldn’t be ruled out.

Kane was still a very productive player last season posting 21 goals and 36 assists in 73 games. However, it is unknown how he will play after surgery. Players who have had this surgery in the past have not typically had very successful returns. Ed Jovanovski had it a decade ago and was only able to play 37 games after the surgery before he was forced to retire.

Nicklas Backstrom is also currently going through the same process as Kane and returned last season to dress in 39 games posting seven goals and 14 assists. While those numbers are far off his career norms, Backstrom is in his mid-30s and missed training camp. Something Kane will also have to contend with.

Free Agency Patrick Kane

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Paul Stastny Looking For Guaranteed Contract, Not Interested In PTO

September 16, 2023 at 4:55 pm CDT | by Josh Erickson 21 Comments

Veteran free agent center Paul Stastny isn’t interested in proving his worth to potential suitors on a PTO during training camp and is only interested in firm contract offers, Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman said on yesterday’s edition of the 32 Thoughts podcast.

Stastny, 37, was relegated to a bottom-six role for the first time in his NHL career last season with the Carolina Hurricanes. It took him quite a while to ink a deal last summer, too – he ended up signing a one-year, $1.5MM contract with Carolina on August 23, but that was still well in advance of training camp. There’s now less than a week remaining before this year’s camps kick off, and Stastny still finds himself on the outside looking in. He’s coming off a 2022-23 season that saw him notch nine goals and a career-low 13 assists for 22 points in 73 games while averaging just 11:52 per game.

Playing a fourth-line role for Stastny was quite a change of pace. Colorado’s second-round pick in the 2005 NHL Entry Draft had never averaged less than 17 minutes per game in a season during his career. Injuries aren’t a concern for him heading into next season – he didn’t miss any time with Carolina last season due to injuries and hasn’t missed significant time since the 2018-19 season with the Vegas Golden Knights. While his offensive ability and foot speed may be diminished from his peak, he’s still the reliable two-way presence he’s been throughout his career and would carry value as a fourth-line center. This isn’t anything new, either. His offensive pace has largely seen a linear path downward since his age-30 season back in 2015-16.

With Stastny likely to reprise a fourth-line role next season, however, his options for any contract much above the $775K league minimum are slim to none. Most teams with vacancies at the petition have gone the PTO route to evaluate options for the role – namely, the Edmonton Oilers, who have brought in Sam Gagner and Brandon Sutter as veteran options on tryouts in addition to free agent acquisition Lane Pederson. Most of the teams that do still have openings also have younger centers in play to make the team, and likely wouldn’t want to box them out of a job by giving Stastny a guaranteed contract.

It’ll be interesting to see if Stastny changes his tune by this time next week if he remains without an NHL home. He likely still has at least one solid season of hockey left in him and is still chasing a Stanley Cup after suiting up in 1,145 regular-season games across 17 seasons.

Free Agency Paul Stastny

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Phil Kessel Wants To Continue Playing, Not Concerned About Ironman Streak

September 14, 2023 at 1:54 pm CDT | by Josh Erickson 12 Comments

09/14/23: TSN’s Chris Johnston reports that there is “some percolating interest” from NHL teams in signing Kessel to a contract for this season. Johnston adds that Kessel “isn’t in PTO territory” at the moment, and could end up signing a full NHL contract with a team before the season.

08/31/23: UFA winger Phil Kessel has let potential suitors know he’s open to ending his league-record ironman streak to land a guaranteed deal for the 2023-24 campaign, Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman reports.

Kessel’s consecutive regular-season games played streak of 1,064 set the all-time record this season, passing longtime NHL defender Keith Yandle. The last game Kessel missed was nearly 14 years ago on October 31, 2009, as a member of the Toronto Maple Leafs, the last of 12 games he missed to open the season with a shoulder injury.

Set to turn 36 before next season, however, the end of Kessel’s days as an everyday NHLer is in sight. While he did skate in all 82 games for the Vegas Golden Knights last season, his ice time dropped below the 15-minute average mark for the first time since his rookie season, and he played in just four out of Vegas’ 22 playoff games en route to his third Stanley Cup win.

As Friedman notes, this could dramatically increase Kessel’s likelihood of landing a one-year deal before training camps start. Teams are looking to avoid what transpired between the Yandle and the Florida Panthers at the beginning of the 2020-21 season when the team kept him in the lineup to avoid drawing the ire of its players despite wanting to scratch him for performance-related reasons.

That said, you could do much worse for a 13th forward or even a fourth-line playmaking winger. Kessel still managed 14 goals and 22 assists last season despite a below-career-average 9.4 shooting percentage. He also recorded 44 assists the year prior on an Arizona Coyotes team which won just 25 games and finished dead last in the league in goals.

He’ll likely have to settle for a league minimum cap hit on a one-year deal, regardless. But his age now makes him eligible to sign a bonus-laden 35+ contract, as Friedman points out, allowing him to earn money via performance bonuses that, for cap purposes, would defer to the 2024-25 campaign for the team that signs him if they can’t fit said performance bonuses under the $83.5MM Upper Limit. Last year, he signed a one-year, $1.5MM pact with Vegas late into the summer on August 24.

Patrick Kane and Tomas Tatar are the only two unrestricted free agents left on the market who had more points than Kessel last season.

Free Agency Phil Kessel

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Alex Edler Not Looking To Retire Yet

September 9, 2023 at 11:42 am CDT | by Brian La Rose 11 Comments

Veteran defenseman Alex Edler has had a long and successful career as a capable shutdown blueliner.  However, at 37, he’s coming off a year that saw him in a very limited role so some had wondered if his playing days were coming to an end.  While he doesn’t have a contract or tryout yet, that doesn’t appear to be Edler’s plan as Jeff Paterson of The Hockey News reports (Twitter link) that the rearguard is hoping to play in 2023-24.

Edler spent the bulk of his 17-year NHL career with Vancouver and had a 14-year stretch that saw him average a minimum of 20 minutes per night while recording at least 20 points in 13 of those.  Not too many blueliners have that type of longevity.  However, after an injury-riddled 2020-21 campaign, the Canucks opted to move on.

He quickly landed with Los Angeles for the 2021-22 campaign, inking a deal worth up to $3.5MM with bonuses.  While Edler played well in limited action (he spent nearly three months on LTIR), he opted to forego testing the market last summer, instead signing for the league minimum with another $750K in potential bonuses, a deal that gave the Kings some extra flexibility to work with.

Unfortunately for Edler, last season wasn’t particularly strong.  While he stayed healthy, he found himself a frequent scratch and when he did suit up, his ice time was limited to just 14:46 per game, by far his lowest ATOI since his rookie campaign back in 2006-07.  Edler saw a bit of playoff action but his ice time was capped even lower.  Basically, his performance last year wasn’t strong enough to command a guaranteed contract through the first two-plus months of free agency.

At this point of his career, Edler is likely to be relegated to the type of role he had last season as a sixth or seventh option who isn’t an every-game player.  Those players still have their uses but it would need to be on a team-friendly contract that is at or near the minimum without bonuses.  In the meantime, not too many of those deals are handed out at this point of the summer so if Edler wants to extend his career to an 18th NHL campaign, he may have to go the PTO route to do so.

Free Agency Alex Edler

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Free Agent Profile: Brian Elliott

August 27, 2023 at 1:01 pm CDT | by Josh Erickson Leave a Comment

It would be fair to say Brian Elliott’s had a rather long and winding NHL career. Now 38 years old, he’s got quite the career resume for someone taken in the ninth round of the NHL Draft in 2003.

The Newmarket, Ontario native put up some okay numbers when he was breaking into the league with the Ottawa Senators in the late 2000s, but it wasn’t until he landed with the St. Louis Blues in free agency in 2011 that he became solidified as a more well-known NHL netminder.

He was coming off a rather conflicting 2010-11 season at the time. Despite starting a career-high 51 games between the Senators and Colorado Avalanche, his numbers were abysmal, especially for someone pegged as a starter – his .893 save percentage was well below the league average at the time, and he conceded more than 30 goals above what an average netminder would’ve allowed throughout the season.

That all changed once he landed in St. Louis, where he became a solid tandem netminder over the years with Jake Allen. While he never displayed the consistency necessary to be a high-end, full-time starter, he did earn Vezina consideration thanks to a couple of years (including his first in St. Louis) where he boasted above a .930 save percentage.

The days of Elliott being able to take over the crease like that are long gone, however. He hasn’t started more than 30 games since the 2017-18 campaign with the Philadelphia Flyers, and he’s posted a save percentage above .900 just once in the past four years.

His last season didn’t do much to inspire confidence that he could still compete at the highest level. Behind a slightly weakened but still stout Tampa Bay Lightning defense, Elliott put together a substandard season more in line with what we’ve seen from him since the Blues traded him to the Calgary Flames in 2016. In fact, he’s put together just one above-average season since departing the Blues – 2021-22 with Tampa, in which he started just 17 games but posted a respectable .912 save percentage.

There could still be some suitors for Elliott on the market. However, it’ll likely be limited to teams looking for insurance behind an injury-prone or unproven young backup. If he wants to keep lacing up the skates for an opportunity for NHL action, it’ll need to be with the understanding that a demotion to the AHL could be possible.

Stats

2022-23: 22 GP, 12-8-2, 2 SO, 3.40 GAA, .891 SV%
Career: 543 GP, 279-167-54, 45 SO, 2.57 GAA, .909 SV%

Potential Suitors

Elliott was linked to the Toronto Maple Leafs earlier this summer for a third-string role, but Toronto filled that gap on their depth chart earlier this month by signing Martin Jones to a one-year deal. While it won’t be Toronto, Elliott could still find a home for a similar type of role elsewhere.

Obviously, his most desired fit would be on a contending team looking for insurance, similar to how Jonathan Quick ended up in a Vegas Golden Knights jersey after last season’s trade deadline. He didn’t see any playoff action but was around the team and ended the season lifting his third Stanley Cup. Elliott is still looking for his first.

One of the suitors in the Eastern Conference who immediately jumps out is his old team in Tampa Bay, but it’s unlikely for a handful of reasons. First, it seems rather puzzling that Elliott would go un-signed this late in the summer only to return to Tampa, although a PTO with the Lightning could still be an option if he doesn’t have another offer by the time training camps roll around. Tampa also signed Jonas Johansson to a contract earlier this summer – prying him out of a deal in the Swedish Hockey League he’d signed prior, likely with the guarantee of NHL time behind Andrei Vasilevskiy. With the Lightning’s minor league tandem already seemingly set with Matt Tomkins and Hugo Alnefelt, Elliott’s been boxed out of the depth chart there.

The only team with playoff aspirations in the East with a glaring hole on their goalie depth chart is the New York Islanders. Their options are quite slim behind Ilya Sorokin and Semyon Varlamov, and 23-year-old Jakub Skarek is currently pegged as their third-string option without much development to showcase after four seasons in the minors. The organization’s had Cory Schneider play a veteran third-string role the past handful of seasons, and if Elliott is okay with a similar arrangement, he could see some limited playing time on the Island should a long-term injury affect either of Sorokin or the aging Varlamov.

His options open up considerably if he wanted to head to the Western Conference, however. The Golden Knights might be looking for a third-string netminder still, depending on how they feel about 24-year-old Jiri Patera being their first available call-up option behind Adin Hill and Logan Thompson. He could also be an option to return to Colorado if they don’t feel Justus Annunen is ready to take on a full-time backup role if called upon. Backup Pavel Francouz has a firm grip on the second NHL job behind Alexandar Georgiev, but he’s missed lengthy periods of time with injury since coming over to North America in 2018.

Projected Contract

Given he won’t be landing a full-time backup role anywhere, Elliott is looking, at best, at a one-year, one-way league-minimum deal for $775K with the expectation he could be placed on waivers to start the season, much like Jones in Toronto. If he does feel like he’s got enough in the tank to hold out for some more guaranteed opportunity, he could hunt for a PTO with a team in the coming days to try and compete for a backup role. This late into August, though, his options would be extremely limited as few teams are still looking to fill a bonafide backup spot on their depth chart.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Free Agency| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals Brian Elliott

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Tyler Motte Changes Representation

August 25, 2023 at 6:00 pm CDT | by Ethan Hetu 3 Comments

Now in the midst of a second-consecutive offseason where he’s remained a free agent deep into the summer, veteran forward Tyler Motte has made the decision to change representation. The versatile 28-year-old bottom-sixer had to wait until September last year to get a contract for 2022-23, and currently remains unsigned for the 2023-24 season.

Motte posted on social media announcing the change, and PuckPedia confirmed that Motte is now being represented by Pat Brisson, one of the NHL’s most prominent agents. Motte had previously been represented by Richard Evans of Wasserman Hockey.

Last season saw Motte take his first trip to the unrestricted free agent market of his career, and he did so on relatively strong footing.

He had been able to showcase his talents on a big stage that spring, skating in regular minutes on the fourth line of a New York Rangers team that made it all the way to the Eastern Conference Final.

There aren’t many better ways for defense-first fourth-liners to raise their profile leaguewide than to play difficult playoff minutes in one of the league’s biggest markets, and there was some belief that Motte’s performance for the Rangers would set him up nicely to cash in on a multi-year deal that summer.

We shared in that belief, projecting Motte to receive a four-year, $1.75MM AAV contract in our Top 50 Free Agents piece from 2022. We saw Motte valued by teams as a “very effective role player,” though we also noted that NHL clubs “generally don’t want to pay high price tags for fourth-liners.”

NHL teams were indeed reluctant to commit a multi-year contract to Motte, as he ended up lingering on the open market until the fall and ended up receiving just a one-year deal. In that flat cap world, it seemed teams weren’t willing to commit a multi-year deal to a fourth-line player without much offensive production, even despite Motte’s many positive qualities.

As outside observers, we don’t have a concrete understanding of why Motte has ended up on the market so long. We can speculate that the true level of interest in his services was potentially miscalculated by his representation (just as we made the same miscalculation in our free agency preview) but ultimately it will remain a mystery as to why Motte has found himself in this position for two consecutive years.

With that said, though, the fact that he’s made the choice to move on from an agent he has a longstanding relationship with echoes similar moves made by players such as John Klingberg and Vladimir Tarasenko.

In 2022, Klingberg was reportedly looking at a seven-year, $6MM or so AAV contract in free agency before he was ultimately forced to settle on a one-year $7MM guarantee. Many have credited Klingberg’s change in representation to frustration with how his free agency played out, and it’s possible Motte has made his own change due to a similar frustration.

As for what may lie in store for Motte and his new representatives, in our profile of his free agency completed earlier this month we said “it wouldn’t be surprising to see Motte sign for $775K or close to it.” Most of the additions we’ve seen at this stage of the summer are of the PTO variety, meaning it could be difficult for Motte to get any sort of meaningful financial commitment from a team beyond the league minimum.

Regardless of the issues Motte has had in free agency these past two years, he remains a legitimately effective fourth-line energy winger. Although his time with the Rangers this past spring didn’t result in the same kind of long playoff run he enjoyed in 2022, Motte did manage a healthy 10 points in 24 regular-season games, leading to a career-high final point total of 19.

He’s still right in the heart of his prime years, so it’ll be up to Brisson and CAA to find Motte the right place to play next season, a place where he can (assuming he signs a one-year deal) best showcase his talents for another potential trip to the open market next summer.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Free Agency Tyler Motte

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Free Agent Profile: Zack Kassian

August 24, 2023 at 7:50 pm CDT | by Josh Cybulski 2 Comments

Zack Kassian had one of the lowest-scoring seasons we’ve seen in quite some time as he put up just two goals last season in 51 games with the Arizona Coyotes. This prompted Arizona to buy out the 32-year-old forward prior to free agency in a move that made sense, given the lack of production from the former 13th overall pick. Kassian lasted just a single season in the desert and never really seemed comfortable playing on a very bad Coyotes team.

This is Kassian’s first crack at free agency and unfortunately for him he is coming off a season in which he posted career lows in many statistical categories. As mentioned earlier, he had just two points on the season, and posted a -18. His hitting was way down, which is one of the facets of the game he typically excels in. Kassian threw just 32 hits in 51 games last season, a dramatic drop from the 158 he threw the year prior with the Edmonton Oilers in 58 games. It’s not uncommon for physical players to see a decline in their 30’s, but the decline generally isn’t that steep.

Kassian deserves a ton of credit for battling several off-ice issues and resurrecting his career when it looked like it could be in trouble. At one point in 2015 Kassian bounced from Vancouver to Montreal to Edmonton in less than six months and looked like he could be out of the league. But, to his credit, he turned it around and even managed to post career highs in 2019-20 when he potted 15 goals to go along with 19 assists in 59 games. This run of good play prompted the Oilers to sign Kassian to a four-year contract extension in January 2020 worth $3.2MM annually. Unfortunately for the club and the player, Kassian struggled through the pandemic shortened 2020-21 season and hasn’t regained his footing ever since. Over the past three seasons combined Kassian has posted just 10 goals and 16 assists in 136 games, a drastic decline from his 2019-2020 numbers. The other issue that will work against Kassian is that he is strictly a 5 on 5 player. He has never been a regular contributor on the power play and hasn’t been a regular part of a penalty kill since 2018-19.

In a normal cap world, Kassian would have played out the final season of his contract with a salary that is well below his cap hit but given how poor his play was Arizona opted to move on and spread out that cost over two seasons.

Despite his struggles last season, it is still likely that Kassian will get an opportunity when training camps open in a few weeks. Teams are always looking for physical players, especially ones who can take a regular shift and will play under a reduced cap hit. Kassian checks all those boxes, which is a good indication that someone will give the Windsor, Ontario native a look to see if he still has anything to offer.

Stats

2022-23: 51 GP, 2-0-0, -18 rating, 50 PIMS, 25 shots, 37.5% faceoffs, 38.4% CF, 9:09 ATOI
Career: 661 GP, 92-111-203, -55 rating, 913 PIMS, 798 shots, 31.0% faceoffs, 48.2% CF, 12:37 ATOI

Potential Suitors

Kassian is still chasing hockey’s ultimate prize, the Stanley Cup. And after spending a dozen years in the league, he would probably prefer to spend his time chasing a championship with a Stanley Cup contender. However, given his status as a fringe NHLer at the moment, he likely won’t have the opportunity to be choosey. That doesn’t mean he won’t have a suitor, but it could mean that he would be playing on a weaker team, or a team that has a borderline chance of making the playoffs. But anything can happen, and even players that are past their best before date can catch on with good teams when it is least expected.

Let’s start out West in Edmonton. Kassian found his game almost eight years ago when it looked like his career was hanging on by a thread. It was there that he turned his intensity and physicality into effective NHL minutes on a team that was competitive for most of his run there. Kassian brought an edge that the Oilers severely lacked and gave them an option that they could plug almost anywhere in their lineup. But that was then, and this is now, and Kassian isn’t that player anymore. His body has broken down, as per normal with physical players when they hit the wrong side of 30. But Kassian could still help Edmonton, and it feels like the Oilers are always looking for bodies up front. Kassian couldn’t play in Edmonton’s top-9, but he could be a could fill-in for their fourth line if they aren’t able to find help between now and the start of the regular season.

Sticking with the West, the Colorado Avalanche were riddled with injuries last season. So much so that it looked like they might miss the playoffs entirely, however, a late-season rally secured their spot in the round of 16. But it was there that they were physically dominated by the Seattle Kraken and ousted in an exhilarating seventh game. The Avalanche were one of the lightest-hitting teams in the NHL last season, which on the surface isn’t the big of a deal given how skilled they are. However, the regular season and the playoffs are two different things and Colorado didn’t have an answer for Seattle in the postseason and really missed some of the grit they lost when Nazim Kadri departed last summer. Now, Zack Kassian is far from the answer to that problem, but he can offer Colorado something that is in short supply in their group, and it wouldn’t cost them more than a contract slot and a league minimum contract.

Finally, in the East, one team that could use a depth physical forward is the Buffalo Sabres. Coincidently, the team that took Kassian in the first round of the NHL entry draft some 14 years ago. The Sabres have a competent fourth line at the moment with Tyson Jost centering Kyle Okposo and Zemgus Girgensons, but injuries happen (see Jack Quinn), and Kassian could provide insurance to their Sabres if they were to lose any additional depth up front. The Sabres were also a team that didn’t throw the body around all that often-last year and with the talent that they have up front, they could likely place Kassian into a role that wouldn’t overextend him and could allow him to perhaps resurrect his career once again.

Projected Contract

Kassian enters free agency at a time when his free agent stock is very damaged. And while he has his shortcomings, he still offers a rare combination of physicality mixed with a bit of skill and could find success when he is sheltered in the right situation.

At this point in his career Kassian would be lucky to get a one-way contract for the league minimum of $775K. The most likely outcome for him will be a PTO with a team that is looking to add a 13th forward that offers some sandpaper and can chip in on the fourth line when a regular falls out of the lineup. A role like that would allow Kassian to play to his strengths and would offer longer windows of recovery for an aging player who has been banged up from years of throwing his body around with reckless abandon.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Free Agency| NHL| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals Free Agency| Jack Quinn| Kyle Okposo| NHL Entry Draft| Tyson Jost| Zack Kassian| Zemgus Girgensons

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