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Stretch Run Storylines: Anaheim Ducks

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As things stand, the NHL is planning to have games resume at some point over the coming weeks.  Assuming the regular season continues (something the league remains hopeful of doing), there will be plenty of things to watch for over the stretch run.  Over the weeks ahead, PHR will examine the top stretch run storylines for each team.  We continue our look at the Pacific Division with Anaheim.

After struggling mightily in the second half of last year, the Ducks wound up at the bottom of the league in goals scored and sixth in the division.  Not much has changed this season despite Dallas Eakins being behind the bench.  They’re still in the bottom five in goals scored and once again sit sixth in the division.  Despite being out of contention, there still are a few things to watch for them down the stretch.

Scoring ‘Race’

The Ducks don’t have anyone in the top-100 in NHL scoring (one of the by-products of being a team near the bottom of the league in goals) but they do have one of the more interesting team scoring races to follow.  Their top four point-getters are within four points of each other while the top three are only separated by a single point.  The top of their leaderboard is as follows:

Adam Henrique: 43 points
Rickard Rakell: 42 points
Ryan Getzlaf: 42 points
Jakob Silfverberg: 39 points

It seems unlikely that any of these players will crack the 50-point mark which would make it the second straight season that no one reaches that total which is somewhat rare in recent years.  But at the very least, it’s a ‘race’ that would go down to the wire.

Swan Song For Miller?

Veteran goaltender Ryan Miller has seemingly been on retirement watch for the last few years.  The Ducks convinced him to stick around last June and gave him a one-year deal that had more performance bonuses ($1.2MM) than base salary ($1.125MM).  He has provided an okay return on that investment as well with a 3.10 GAA and a .907 SV% in 23 appearances.  For context, starter John Gibson’s numbers are nearly identical with a 3.00 GAA and a .904 SV%.  Miller’s numbers are a step back from a year ago but as far as backups go this season, he has still done enough to earn another contract.

But will he want to suit up for what would be his 18th NHL campaign?  Miller will turn 40 in July and has ties to the Southern California area that would realistically limit his options if Anaheim wasn’t going to re-sign him.  At the outbreak of this pandemic, he told James Mirtle of The Athletic (subscription required) that it was too soon to ponder his playing future but that was two months ago.  By the time regular season play resumes (if it does at all), there’s a good chance that he’ll have decided on whether or not it’s time to hang up his skates.  Even if not, his last few games may be the final one of what has been a very strong NHL career.

Youth Movement

The cancellation of the AHL season means that the post-deadline recall restrictions will be lifted.  For a team like the Ducks who have quite a few players with AHL San Diego that will be pushing for roster spots in the near future.  This makes any remaining games effectively like a mini training camp before next season’s camp which will make this otherwise largely meaningless stretch a lot more important.

Up front, Troy Terry would have a lot to prove.  He struggled during the first half of the year but was productive in the minors and he’d likely be given a shot.  Maxime Comtois and Isac Lundestrom are also among their better forward prospects and would be worthy of more NHL testing.

On the back end is where things could be interesting.  Jani Hakanpaa and Brendan Guhle have recently been given contract extensions while Josh Mahura held his own this season in his games with Anaheim.  All three would likely be part of any taxi squad and with veterans Michael Del Zotto and Matt Irwin likely heading for unrestricted free agency this offseason, there are spots open for the taking.  A good showing down the stretch could help one or two of those players lock down a full-time position.

There is a youth movement coming in Anaheim.  It started this season and with their postseason aspirations basically gone (barring a 24-team playoff with six teams per division and no crossovers), this would be a good opportunity for the Ducks to see what some more of these younger players can do.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Anaheim Ducks Re-Sign Brendan Guhle, Sam Carrick

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3:00pm: The Ducks have confirmed the deals with an official announcement. This makes four official extensions in a matter of days for the Ducks, who are keeping busy while the league is on pause.

11:30am: The Anaheim Ducks continue to lock up some of their depth. Just days after the team inked Christian Djoos and Jani Hakanpaa, the team signed two more players to new contracts. CapFriendly reports the Ducks signed defenseman Brendan Guhle to a two-year, contract worth $800K, while forward Sam Carrick signed a one-year, $700K deal. Both deals are one-way contracts.

Guhle was a promising prospect in the Buffalo system back when they took him in the second round in 2015, but struggled to break into the Sabres’ lineup. Buffalo finally packaged Guhle and a 2019 first-rounder to the Ducks for Brandon Montour. The 22-year-old got some playing time with Anaheim last season, playing 30 games with four goals and eight points, but was sent down at different points to the AHL to work on his skills. He ended up playing 27 games for the San Diego Gulls with the hope that he might be in line for a full-time role with the Ducks in 2020-21.

Carrick has had to work harder over the years to earn his way into the NHL lineup. The 28-year-old has only appeared in 34 NHL games and only nine last season, but has been a solid mainstay on the Gulls, where he has scored 55 goals over the past two years there. He did score a goal and an assist in his nine games with Anaheim and while he could offer some scoring depth for the team, he is more likely a top-liner and leader for the AHL squad.

Anaheim Ducks Extend Christian Djoos

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The Anaheim Ducks have come to terms with defenseman Christian Djoos on a new contract, announcing a one-year extension with the 2019-20 trade addition. CapFriendly reports that the deal carries a $1MM AAV. The Ducks also confirmed a one-year deal with fellow defenseman Jani Hakanpaa.

Djoos, 25, hopes next season goes better than this one did. The trouble for Djoos began this past off-season, when he went to salary arbitration with the Washington Capitals. Djoos lost the case to Washington, but the arbitration award still came in $450K above where the team had filed. The cap-strapped Caps were left with few options but to bury Djoos in the minors. After playing in 108 games with Washington, he saw just two games and 16 total minutes of NHL action until the trade deadline. It was then that he was dealt to the Ducks for forward Daniel Sprong. He had only played in nine games with Anaheim for a total of eleven on the year before the season was put on pause.

Fortunately, the early returns for Djoos in Anaheim were strong. In those nine games, he recorded three points and averaged more than 21 minutes per night. This was a major role for Djoos, greater than he had ever played in Washington. Granted, the Ducks were not fully healthy on the blue line at the time, but by taking advantage of the opportunity afforded him, Djoos earned the trust of his new organization. The young defender stands a strong chance of winning  a regular role in Anaheim again next season and at $1MM could prove to be a bargain for the Ducks.

Anaheim Ducks Sign Jani Hakanpaa

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The Anaheim Ducks have signed minor league defenseman Jani Hakanpaa to a one-year extension according to CapFriendly. The one-way deal will carry a salary of $750K, keeping the Finn in North America for at least one season.

Originally selected by the St. Louis Blues in 2010, Hakanpaa played parts of three seasons in the minor leagues before returning to Finland for several years. In 2019 the Ducks decided to bring him back, signing him to a one-year deal.

Last season, the 6’4″ defenseman played five games for the Ducks and 47 for the San Diego Gulls of the AHL, becoming a major part of the minor league team. Whether he’s ticketed for the AHL again likely comes down to the other offseason moves that the Ducks front office has planned, and perhaps his performance in training camp.

Hakanpaa was scheduled to become an unrestricted free agent, but instead will hit the open market in the summer of 2021.

PHR Panel: Playoff Predicting

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We’re now more than a month into an NHL postponement and there is still no clear timeline on when professional hockey will return. While fans of the sport have received small tidbits of news over that time, including college signings and contract extensions, the thirst for discussion has rarely been quenched.

With that in mind, we’re happy to continue our new feature: The PHR Panel. Three times a week, our writing staff will give our individual takes on a question many hockey fans have been wondering about. If you’d ever like to submit a subject for us to discuss, be sure to put it in the comments. This series will run each Monday, Wednesday and Friday.

To catch up on the previous edition, click here.

Today, we’ll each give our thoughts on the future of three struggling west coast franchises.

Q: Which team has the best chance at a playoff spot next season: San Jose, Anaheim or Los Angeles?

Brian La Rose:

Of the California trio, the Sharks have the best chance of making it and I say that fully knowing that they’re going to be bringing the same core group back that has currently has them dead last in the Western Conference. But with the Kings still early in their rebuilding process and the Ducks’ youth movement not going as well as they hoped, neither of them are realistically in the postseason mix for next year so San Jose has the best odds by default.

The good news for the Sharks is that there’s cause for optimism. Brent Burns and Erik Karlsson are immediate bounce-back candidates after putting up underwhelming numbers (relative to their respective contracts) from the back end this season. That will help get them a few more wins.

It’s also hard to believe that they’ll be as banged up as they’ve been this year in 2020-21. Karlsson, Logan Couture, and Tomas Hertl are among the players that have missed at least 14 games due to injuries and it’s hard for any team to overcome that. While San Jose is in the basement this season, they wouldn’t be had it not been for their list of injuries. Being healthier will get them a few more wins as well.

They will certainly need better goaltending from Martin Jones next season but he can be better than he has been lately. I’m not saying I expect them to get back in next year but I wouldn’t be surprised if they did.

Holger Stolzenberg:

That’s a tough one. I really cannot under any circumstances see Anaheim or Los Angeles, both in the middle of full rebuilds suddenly jumping into the playoff race next year. I would be surprised if either team spent significant money on big free agents this offseason, which would be essential considering how young both squads are.

So, if there was a team that had a chance it might be San Jose, even though that seems like a stretch as well. The team does have quite a bit of veteran talent and some top players on their roster which could make them contenders. However, they don’t have enough of that talent and some of it has aged considerably such as Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau (assuming they return to the Sharks next season).

What they don’t seem to have is depth and with little cap room to work with (potential compliance buyouts notwithstanding), there is little incoming youth coming into San Jose. The team has traded most of its top picks and with much of their young talent in the AHL struggling last season, it’s hard to envision the Sharks being overly relevant in a top-heavy Pacific Division. Of course, the team could get a boost from Ryan Merkley next year on defense if he can prove he’s ready to play at the top level, but even that seems like a long-shot. Perhaps some high-quality, inexpensive depth signings could alleviate some of those issues and give the Sharks a chance.

Zach Leach:

Each member of what used to be an elite three-team rivalry in Southern California is looking for a return to form. While the Sharks may have the best veteran pieces and the Kings have the most cap flexibility to improve via free agency and trade, I will give the Ducks the best chance to make it back to the postseason in 2020-21.

I think that Anaheim has more talent than most people realize. It starts in goal with all-world keeper John Gibson, who would be a perennial Vezina candidate if he got more help. On the back end, Cam Fowler, Hampus Lindholm, Josh Manson, and Erik Gudbransson all missed considerable time due to injury this season, but if healthy and backed by youngsters Jacob Larsson, Brendan Guhle, and Josh Mahura, there is the potential for it to be a strong unit.

However, the forward corps is where there is the greatest opportunity for improvement from this season to next. The Ducks’ talent in the pipeline cannot be overlooked. Max Jones, Sam Steel, Troy Terry, Isac Lundestrom and Maxime Comtois will all have another pro season under their belts, while standouts Trevor Zegras and Brayden Tracey will be looking to make an impact as well. Add that group to veterans Ryan Getzlaf, Rickard Rakell, Adam Henrique, and Jakob Silfverberg, as well as new faces Danton Heinen and Sonny Milano, and Anaheim appears to have a number of potential difference-makers.

On paper, the Ducks seem to have the depth to be a contender and could look to add another high-end player, either on the blue line or perhaps as a physical force up front, to further that strength. Anaheim has fallen short of expectations for several years now, but with expectations for next year now lower than they probably should be, the Ducks have a chance to be a surprise playoff team is they can stay healthy and capitalize on their youth and talent.

Gavin Lee:

The loss of Joe Pavelski seemed to have a bigger impact than many expected on the Sharks this season, who at times looked leader-less and lost on the ice. Nothing went right for the team and perhaps they could bounce-back with some offseason tweaks, but I wonder if there isn’t more pain coming in San Jose before any pleasure.

Anaheim too could take a step forward to compete for a playoff spot, given how much young talent is coming up through the system. I’ve been vocal in my live chats for some time expressing my doubts in the real ceiling of some of their recent high draft picks, but there’s still a good chance at least a couple of them hit.

While it’s hard to imagine right now, I actually think that the Kings might be the best bet here.

The team is in the beginning stages of a rebuild no doubt, but there is a lot to like about what they’ve accomplished so far. After stripping several older pieces off the roster they not only loaded up on draft picks—six in the first three rounds this year—but also started playing much better. I’m a huge believer in Cal Petersen as a legitimate starter in the NHL and he showed it with a .922 save percentage in eight appearances, while Gabriel Vilardi is finally healthy enough to show why he was taken so high.

I think a new season with new expectations and new faces could rejuvenate Drew Doughty, allowing him to help mold some of the team’s talented young defenders into a strong unit.

In the games leading up to the league pause, the Kings were 10-2-1 and on a seven-game winning streak. I think that might be a sign of things to come, and they could potentially sneak into the playoffs as soon as next season.

Potential Compliance Buyout Candidates: Part I

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As the current Coronavirus crisis wears on, it seems more and more likely that the NHL will not return to action soon and when play resumes, it will almost certainly not be the full remaining regular season schedule. That lost revenue is expected to impact the 2020-21 salary cap, perhaps even keeping the current $81.5MM upper limit in place. Given that teams expected an increase, initially projected to be between $84-88.2MM, this stagnation could have a harsh impact on a number of clubs’ cap situations. As such, many expect that compliance buyouts will return in some form or fashion to ease that pain. These buyouts, which do not count against the salary cap, would allow for teams to open up space that they otherwise expected from a cap increase.

Here is a rundown of the top compliance buyout candidates for the first third of NHL teams:

Anaheim Ducks: Adam Henrique

– The first team on the list is a tough call. Henrique has had a good season and the Ducks are not in significant cap trouble. However, with a long list of promising forward prospects and a defense that needs work, the team could opt to move on from the veteran forward and to create roster space and cap flexibility. Henrique, 30, is signed for four more years at $5.825MM.

Arizona Coyotes: Phil Kessel

– The Coyotes are in one of the worst positions in the league in terms of cap space, so the team would have to use a compliance buyout if the opportunity is offered to them. Kessel has been a relative bust in his first season with the ‘Yotes and is signed for two more years at $6.8MM. He has the potential to improve in year two, but Arizona may not have the luxury of taking the chance. The added cap space would be a major relief for the team.

Boston Bruins: John Moore

– Given the Bruins’ depth on defense in both veteran assets and budding prospects as well as Moore’s relegation to a backup role on the Boston blue line, he has become an expendable asset, especially if both Zdeno Chara and Torey Krug are back next season. Moore is signed longer than any current Bruins defenseman with three years and $8.25MM remaining, but the team’s commitment to him seems less than any of his fellow blue liners.

Buffalo Sabres: Kyle Okposo

– Unfortunately for the Sabres, the Okposo signing in 2016 has never panned out. His production dropped from 64 points with the New York Islanders in 2015-16 to just 45 points in his first year in Buffalo and that total has gone down in every year since. Okposo was on pace for just 24 points this year and may not even reach that mark. The Sabres would be quick to part ways with Okposo, who has three years at $6MM annually left on his contract, taking up valuable cap space that the team needs to use to improve the rest of their roster.

Calgary Flames: Milan Lucic

– Even with the salary being retained by the Edmonton Oilers on Lucic’s contract, his $5.25MM cap hit is still a pain for the Flames. The veteran power forward is not going to score 20+ goals or 50+ points in a season ever again and Calgary could do more with the added cap space over the next three years.

Carolina Hurricanes: Jake Gardiner

– For whatever reason, the Gardiner signing simply has not worked out as the Hurricanes had hoped. Gardiner, who was signed late last summer at a relative discount, has been a fine addition, but hasn’t been the point producer and power play ace that Carolina had hoped for. Following the deadline addition of Brady Skjei to arguably the deepest blue line in the NHL already, Gardiner and his remaining three years and $12.15MM are expendable.

Chicago Blackhawks: Brent Seabrook

– One of the more obvious choices on this list, Seabrook’s contract may the worst in the NHL right now. The 34-year-old has four years left at $6.875MM AAV on an eight-year, $55MM deal signed back in 2015. Over the term of the contract, Seabrook has declined rapidly and is a shell of his former self, regardless of health. The cap-strapped Blackhawks would not think twice about moving on.

Colorado Avalanche: Erik Johnson

– Johnson is a well-liked and well-respected long-time member of the Avalanche. However, as time has gone on the team has surrounded him with better, younger, and more affordable blue line options. As valuable as Johnson’s experience and leadership may be, he is an expendable piece without a clear future role. Signed through 2022-23 at a $6MM cap hit, Johnson is an expensive piece to keep around just for the intangibles and the Avs could look to use this opportunity to clear some space for some anticipated big game hunting this off-season.

Columbus Blue Jackets: Alexander Wennberg

– Blue Jackets fans have been calling for Wennberg’s head for years now and may finally get their wish. The once-promising young forward turned a 59-point 2016-17 season into a six-year, $29.4MM contract and then proceeded to regress immensely over the past few seasons instead of continuing to improve as expected. With another three years left at $4.9MM per, Wennberg doesn’t seem likely to get back to a level of play that would warrant his current cap hit and Columbus could move on, even from a 25-year-old homegrown product.

Dallas Stars: Andrew Cogliano

– The Stars are a team with numerous big names and long contracts, but their most inefficient name might just be Cogliano. Rather than using a buyout to move a heavy cap hit, Dallas could opt to trim the fat by removing a player that hasn’t been a good fit. Cogliano has showed that his six points in 32 games last season with the Stars following a trade from Anaheim was not a fluke; he followed it up with 14 points through 68 games this year. Expecting Cogliano to get back to 30+ point form in 2020-21 in his final year at $3.25MM seems hopeful at best and Dallas could use that space elsewhere with some lineup holes to fill this summer.

Stay tuned for Part II coming soon.

Ducks Sign Roman Durny

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The Ducks have been active signing their prospects lately and that continued today.  CapFriendly reports (Twitter link) that Anaheim has signed goaltender Roman Durny to a two-year, entry-level contract beginning in the 2020-21 season.  The deal breaks down as follows:

2020-21: $792.5K NHL salary (including signing bonus), $132.5K performance bonuses, $70K AHL salary
2021-22: $822.5K NHL salary (including signing bonus), $70K AHL salary

Durny was a fifth-round pick of Anaheim (147th overall) back in 2018 after he made the decision to move from playing at home in Slovakia to the USHL in his draft year.  The move was a good one as he posted a 2.38 GAA and a .920 SV% in 25 games with Des Moines and followed that up with a 2.61 GAA and a .909 SV% in 50 games with the Buccaneers last season.

However, he made the curious decision to jump into the professional ranks for this season and wound up playing on a one-year minor league contract.  He was limited to just 13 games with ECHL Norfolk and didn’t fare particularly well with a GAA of 4.02 and a .881 SV% but clearly, the team saw something they liked.  One of their minor league goalies, Kevin Boyle, is slated to become an unrestricted free agent this offseason and with Durny getting signed, it would appear as if Boyle won’t be retained for next season.

Ducks Sign Jack Badini And Hunter Drew

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Monday: Anaheim has confirmed the pair of signings, announcing that Badini and Drew are the latest to join the franchise. Both contracts are set to begin in the 2020-21 season.

Saturday: The Ducks have agreed to terms with a prospect for the second straight day.  CapFriendly reports that they’ve signed forward Jack Badini to a two-year, entry-level contract.  They’ve also inked defenseman Hunter Drew to a three-year, entry-level pact, also per CapFriendly.  Badini’s deal carries an $805K cap hit and contains $20K in performance bonuses for the 2020-21 season.  Meanwhile, Drew’s contract carries an AAV of just over $793K and contains no performance bonuses.

Badini was a third-round pick of the Ducks back in 2017 (91st overall) and recently wrapped up his third season at Harvard.  His production actually tapered off somewhat this past season as his six goals and 14 points in 31 games were actually the lowest of his NCAA career.  Nonetheless, he showed enough to get Anaheim to sign him now over returning for his senior year.

Drew, meanwhile, was a sixth-rounder in 2018 (178th overall) and actually spent all of this season in Anaheim’s minor league system.  He played in 29 games with AHL San Diego and another five with ECHL Tulsa.  While he only had seven points with the Gulls, he was more productive with the Oilers at the lower level with four assists in his five contests with them.  The Ducks had until June 1st to sign him or let him become an unrestricted free agent.

Anaheim Ducks Sign Trevor Zegras

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Even though he only just turned 19 and had an up-and-down (if at times jaw-dropping) season at Boston University, Trevor Zegras is about to turn pro. The Anaheim Ducks have announced a three-year entry-level contract for the star freshman. Ducks GM Bob Murray had this to say about his newest forward:

We are happy to get this contract done and start Trevor’s professional career. He’s got quite a bit of work ahead of him, but we know he’s got the talent and intelligence to be an impactful NHL player.

Even if his freshman season was a bit rocky at times, there’s absolutely zero doubt that Zegras has the kind of talent to be a dominant player at the NHL level. The ninth-overall pick from 2019 recorded 36 points in 33 games for the Terriers, earning him a selection to the Hockey East All-Rookie team. Perhaps even more impressive than his performance in college was the show he put on at the World Juniors, recording nine primary assists (several which rendered spectators speechless) in limited ice time.

Make no mistake, Zegras’ playmaking ability would fit in on an NHL powerplay right now. The rest of his game still needs some polish, but there is no ceiling in sight for the Ducks’ newest star prospect. Whether he steps right into the NHL or spends some time honing his skills in the minor leagues isn’t clear at this point, but getting him into their organization and development program as soon as possible allows the Anaheim front office to control his destiny.

Again, Zegras won’t turn 20 until next March, meaning his contract could potentially slide another year if he doesn’t play in ten NHL games during the 2020-21 season. He will however be eligible to play in the AHL—the 20-year old age threshold is only for players drafted out of the CHL.

College Notes: Dugan, Zegras, York, Beecher, Ahcan, Chaffee, Richards

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So far when it comes to the college market, the Vegas Golden Knights have been quiet. However, rumors suggested that the Vegas franchise intended to bring aboard Hobey Baker Award finalist Jack Dugan, who wrapped up his sophomore season at Providence College. General manager Kelly McCrimmon confirmed that they will begin negotiations soon with Dugan, who led the NCAA in points this season, according to Las Vegas Review-Journal’s David Schoen.

“We’ll have discussions with his representatives here at an appropriate point,” said McCrimmon. “It hasn’t been pressing because there’s no hockey being played. But those are conversations we’ll have here as we move along.”

Dugan, the team’s fifth-round pick in 2017, has driven up his stock in two years at Providence. He had an impressive rookie season where he posted 10 goals and 39 points in 41 games and followed that up with a much more dominant sophomore campaign, scoring 10 goals and 52 points in just 34 games. The 6-foot-2 winger would likely challenge for a role with the Golden Knights if he signs, although the team could send him to the AHL to further develop his skills.

  • In a Q&A, The Athletic’s Eric Stephens (subscription required) writes that from everyone he’s talked to, it’s expected that top prospect Trevor Zegras will leave Boston University and sign with Anaheim at some point during the offseason. Zegras, the ninth-overall pick in the 2019 draft, dominated at the World Junior Championships in December, leading the United States with nine assists in five games. He had 11 goals and 36 points in 33 games. Considered to be one of the top prospects in hockey, Zegras could conceivably make the Ducks squad next year and challenge for the Calder Trophy.
  • Michigan Daily’s Bailey Johnson reports that University of Michigan head coach Mel Pearson said that while he hasn’t had exit meetings with two of his top players, defenseman Cam York and center John Beecher, he expects both players to return to the Wolverines next season. York, the Philadelphia Flyers first-round pick (14th overall) in 2019, had five goals and 16 points in 30 games for Michigan. Beecher, the Boston Bruins first-round pick (30th overall) had nine goals and 16 points in 31 contests for the Wolverines. Pearson said both players are home and he’s giving them time before discussing the subject with them, but he believes both intend to stay in school.
  • AHL reporter Mark Divver reports that the Boston Bruins are expected to be in the mix for two of the remaining top NCAA free agents in St. Cloud State’s Jack Ahcan and University of Massachusetts-Amherst’s Mitchell Chaffee. Ahcan, a 22-year-old defenseman, wrapped up his senior campaign with seven goals and 25 points. Chaffee, who also is 22, scored 16 goals and 29 points in 30 games last season, his junior year, and is rumored to be courted by the Golden Knights as well. Divver adds that University of Minnesota-Duluth center Justin Richards is also on Boston’s radar.

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