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Jets Rumors

Minor Transactions: 09/13/19

September 13, 2019 at 12:51 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee 1 Comment

Training camp is upon us and initial practices are underway for all players under contract. Yet, many NHL clubs still have work to do, with prominent restricted and unrestricted free agents still without deals for the 2019-20 season. Minor league affiliates, European teams, and college programs are also still making moves to finalize their plans for the coming season. Keep track of those minor transactions right here:

  • Emile Poirier has signed a professional tryout with the Winnipeg Jets, looking to find a contract with the team once again. Poirier was originally selected 22nd overall by the Calgary Flames in 2013 but has just a handful of NHL games under his belt. In 24 contests last season for the Manitoba Moose he scored eight points, and at this point should be considered a long-shot to ever become an impact player.
  • Brett Neumann will be attending training camp with the New York Islanders this season as he tries to prove that his size shouldn’t stop a team from taking a chance on him. The 5’9″ forward scored 45 goals and 79 points in the OHL last season between the Kingston Frontenacs and Oshawa Generals and is an undrafted free agent. Neumann will likely be heading back to the OHL, but could be a name to keep in mind down the road.
  • The Vegas Golden Knights announced a pair of training camp cuts, returning goalie Jordan Kooy to London of the OHL and netminder Jiri Patera to Brandon of the WHL.  Both players are unsigned draft picks with Kooy needing to sign an entry-level deal by June 2020 or else Vegas would lose his rights.

New York Islanders| Transactions| Vegas Golden Knights| Winnipeg Jets

1 comment

Training Camp Notes: Byfuglien, Dach, Perry

September 13, 2019 at 10:19 am CDT | by Gavin Lee 2 Comments

The Winnipeg Jets today announced that Dustin Byfuglien has been granted a leave of absence from the team and will not be participating at the start of training camp. Head coach Paul Maurice and GM Kevin Cheveldayoff both explained that it is not injury related and that it is “nothing sinister.” There is no timetable for his return, but hopefully he can get whatever it is sorted out quickly.

More notes from around training camp:

  • The Chicago Blackhawks have given an update on the status of top prospect Kirby Dach after he was removed from a game during the prospect tournament recently. Dach is in the concussion protocol and will not be in the Blackhawks lineup when they start their exhibition schedule. Philipp Kurashev, who left the same game (along with two others), will not practice today with left knee and shoulder contusions. Calvin de Haan, who is still recovering from shoulder surgery, also now has a groin strain and is expected to be out for another two to three weeks.
  • The Buffalo Sabres have officially announced that Zach Bogosian, Matt Hunwick, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen and Lawrence Pilut will not take part in training camp due to injury. These had been previously reported, but it is still disappointing for a player like Pilut who has a chance to make a big impact on the NHL club this season.
  • Nolan Patrick wasn’t on the ice when the Philadelphia Flyers opened camp, sidelined with an upper-body injury according to Sam Carchidi of the Philadelphia Inquirer. After missing much of his draft season with various injuries, Patrick has battled minor ailments through each of his first two NHL seasons but still managed to play in 145 games. Still waiting for his breakout, missing camp would be a frustrating outcome for the 20-year old forward.
  • Though all the questions were about Julis Honka’s trade request, the Dallas Stars also announced that Corey Perry has a small fracture in his foot and will be reevaluated in two weeks according to Sean Shapiro of The Athletic. That isn’t a good start for Perry in Dallas where he’s trying to revitalize his career following a buyout from the Anaheim Ducks.

Buffalo Sabres| Chicago Blackhawks| Dallas Stars| Injury| Philadelphia Flyers| Winnipeg Jets Calvin de Haan| Corey Perry| Dustin Byfuglien| Lawrence Pilut| Matt Hunwick| Nolan Patrick| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen| Zach Bogosian

2 comments

Snapshots: Red Wings, Blues, RFAs

September 12, 2019 at 3:11 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee 5 Comments

The Detroit Red Wings will operate without a captain once again this season, despite the expectation that Dylan Larkin will one day assume the role. Head coach Jeff Blashill told reporters including Ansar Khan of MLive that they will instead start with four alternates: Larkin, Justin Abdelkader, Frans Nielsen and Luke Glendening. Blashill and Steve Yzerman agreed to wait until the GM got to know the entire team better after taking over this offseason.

Larkin, 23, has become the face of the Red Wings franchise after putting up a career-high 32 goals and 73 points last season. As the old guard including Henrik Zetterberg, Pavel Datsyuk and recently Niklas Kronwall have moved on from their roles on the Red Wings, Larkin and other young players have taken on more and more responsibility. As the team transitions from rebuilding to contending over the next few years it seems likely that someone will eventually wear the “C” for Blashill and Yzerman, just not yet.

  • The St. Louis Blues are finalizing extensions for Steve Ott and David Alexander according to Jim Thomas of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. The pair of assistant coaches will be given extensions that match the length of head coach Craig Berube, who was given a three-year deal earlier this summer. The coaching staff under Berube completed a miracle turnaround this season with the Blues, taking them from last place in the NHL to Stanley Cup champions in just a few months.
  • Andy Strickland of Fox Sports Midwest has heard a few things on restricted free agents Patrik Laine and Mikko Rantanen, including about a recent short-term offer from the Winnipeg Jets to the former. The deal presented to Laine was in the “$5MM per year range” though Strickland notes that even on that short-term deal the Jets will “need to come up on money.” For Rantanen, Strickland reports that the free agent forward is not far away in terms of salary with the Colorado Avalanche and that the team’s last offer “blew past Nathan MacKinnon’s $6.3MM AAV.”

Colorado Avalanche| Detroit Red Wings| RFA| Snapshots| St. Louis Blues| Steve Yzerman| Winnipeg Jets Dylan Larkin| Frans Nielsen| Justin Abdelkader| Luke Glendening| Mikko Rantanen| Patrik Laine

5 comments

Winnipeg Jets Extend Josh Morrissey

September 12, 2019 at 10:25 am CDT | by Gavin Lee 1 Comment

The Winnipeg Jets have two restricted free agents to sign, but have inked one of their other young players a year before his deal even expires. The team announced an eight-year extension for Josh Morrissey, a contract that will carry an average annual value of $6.25MM. Morrissey will earn $3.15MM this season on his current deal. The full breakdown is as follows:

  • 2020-21: $8.0MM
  • 2021-22: $8.0MM
  • 2022-23: $5.2MM
  • 2023-24: $8.0MM
  • 2024-25: $4.8MM
  • 2025-26: $4.8MM
  • 2026-27: $4.8MM
  • 2027-28: $4.8MM

According to Ken Wiebe of The Athletic the deal will also include a full no-movement clause in years 3-5 and a limited no-trade clause in the final three. That kind of length and security is surprising in this market where other young players are instead looking to maximize their earning potential by taking short deals. Morrissey will be giving up six seasons of unrestricted free agency at a very reasonable price, considering his growth the last few years.

Selected 13th overall in 2013 it took a few years for Morrissey to put it all together, but when he did there was no looking back. Suiting up in all 82 games for the 2016-17 season as a rookie, he was seeing more than 20 minutes a night on a regular basis by the end of the year. That ice time has only increased since to the point where the left-handed defenseman averaged more than 22 minutes for the Jets last season. A true shutdown option for the team, his offensive game also exploded to the tune of 31 points in 59 games. That low game total was due to a shoulder injury and is disappointing, but if he can stay healthy there’s little doubt he won’t outproduce this contract and quickly.

Getting this contract locked in should only help the Jets in the negotiations with Patrik Laine and Kyle Connor, Knowing exactly what Morrissey will cost is an important piece of information for the team to have when setting a limit for how high they will reach. Laine and Connor will surely eat up the $15MM the team has available this season, but will also make next offseason a tightrope walk for GM Kevin Cheveldayoff.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Newsstand| Winnipeg Jets Josh Morrissey

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Salary Cap Deep Dive: Winnipeg Jets

September 10, 2019 at 8:58 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 3 Comments

Navigating the salary cap is one of the more important tasks for any GM. Teams that can avert total cap chaos by walking the tightrope of inking players to deals that match their value (or compensate for future value without breaking the bank) remain successful. Those that don’t see struggles and front office changes.

PHR will look at every NHL team and give a thorough look at their cap situation heading into the 2019-20 season. This will focus more on those players who are integral parts of the roster versus those who may find themselves shuttling between the AHL and NHL. All cap figures are courtesy of CapFriendly.

Winnipeg Jets

Current Cap Hit: $66,049,164 (under the $81.5MM Upper Limit)

Entry-Level Contracts

D Sami Niku (one year, $775K)
F Jack Roslovic (one year, $894K)
F Kristian Vesalainen (three years, $894K)

Potential Bonuses

Niku: $60K
Roslovic: $212.5K

Roslovic has been a highly sought after trade commodity but thus far, GM Kevin Cheveldayoff hasn’t shown any interest in moving him.  However, the Jets haven’t given him a lot of ice time at the NHL level as he logged less than ten minutes a night last season despite being a regular.  That’s going to really hurt his bargaining power next summer so a one-year deal is likely in the offing.  Vesalainen split last season between KHL Jokerit and the minors with only five games with the Jets.  There should be more of an opportunity to get into NHL action this season and it’s worth noting that he can no longer trigger an assignment overseas.

Niku actually got into more game action with Winnipeg than AHL Manitoba last season though his impact with the Jets was relatively limited as he was deployed in a limited role.  With several departures on the back end though, he’ll be counted on to play a much bigger role this season which should bode well for his next contract.  Like Roslovic though, he won’t have enough of a track record to command a long-term pact.

One Year Remaining, Non-Entry-Level

D Nathan Beaulieu ($1MM, UFA)
G Laurent Brossoit ($1.225MM, UFA)
D Dmitry Kulikov ($4.33MM, UFA)
D Josh Morrissey ($3.15MM, RFA)

Kulikov’s contract has been one that looked bad from the outset and has lived up to that initial interpretation.  They’ve been trying to move him for more than a year now to the point where it may have been a bit of a surprise that they didn’t buy him out this summer.  His next deal, if there is a next one, is going to be in the $1MM range.  Morrissey, on the other hand, will be looking at a big raise.  With Jacob Trouba, Tyler Myers, and Ben Chiarot all gone and no one really brought in to replace them, Morrissey is going to be in line for a much bigger role.  If his offensive play continues to improve, he can easily double his current AAV.  Beaulieu took a big pay cut to stay with Winnipeg after being non-tendered but the move made some sense.  He’ll have a shot to play a regular role on a good team which should give him an opportunity to rebuild some value.

Brossoit had quite the bounce-back season in 2018-19 as he went from being a minor leaguer to one of the better backups in the league.  However, given his limited track record (and desire to keep some funds freed up for his RFAs), Cheveldayoff only extended him for one year.  A repeat performance could bring Brossoit towards that higher tier of backups in the $2.5MM range which would probably price him out of Winnipeg.

Two Years Remaining

D Dustin Byfuglien ($7.6MM, UFA)
F Andrew Copp ($2.28MM, RFA)
F Adam Lowry ($2.916MM, UFA)
F Mathieu Perreault ($4.125MM, UFA)
D Neal Pionk ($3MM, RFA)

Perreault has been a nice depth option for the Jets, even if he is on the expensive side.  He can play all three forward positions and has produced when given opportunities in the top six.  However, he hasn’t spent a lot of time there and as a result, is coming off his lowest output since the lockout-shortened season.  It’s hard to imagine him getting a raise on his next deal although there should be considerable interest nonetheless.  Lowry has quietly become one of the more reliable centers at the faceoff dot while chipping in with plenty of hits and a reasonable amount of offense.  Players like this can still get paid a sizable sum and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him get closer to $3.5MM on his next deal.  Copp received this deal through arbitration and narrowly misses out on being a UFA at its expiration by a week.  He has shuffled between the third and fourth line in his career but will need to spend more time on the third trio moving forward if he wants to be in line for a raise in his final trip through arbitration.

Byfuglien dealt with injury issues for the second year in a row which makes this contract a bit tougher to stomach.  He’s still capable of logging heavy minutes and contributing offensively and with the departures they’ve had, it’s quite possible they’ll lean on him even more than they have been.  If he can stay healthy, they can still get a decent return on this deal in 2019-20 but he will have a hard time getting this much when he’s 36 and on the open market.  Pionk is coming off an up-and-down season with the Rangers who included him as part of the Trouba trade.  He’ll be asked to lock down a top-four spot with the Jets and if he can do that, he’ll be well-positioned for a raise two years from now.

Three Years Remaining

None

Four Or More Years Remaining

F Nikolaj Ehlers ($6MM through 2024-25)
G Connor Hellebuyck ($6.167MM through 2023-24)
F Bryan Little $5.292MM through 2023-24)
F Mark Scheifele ($6.125MM through 2023-24)
F Blake Wheeler ($8.25MM through 2023-24)

Wheeler has flown somewhat under the radar considering he’s fifth in the league in scoring over the past five seasons combined.  That earned him a jump in pay from his last deal and while there will be some concerns about his effectiveness at the end of the deal considering he’ll be 38 by then, he’ll still provide good value for a few more years.  Scheifele is now one of the better bargains in the league as a legitimate front line center that makes less than what some second liners are getting.  It will cost considerably more to sign him on his next deal.  Ehlers is coming off of a tough season that has had him in trade speculation at times.  After two straight seasons of 60 or more points, he should be given a chance to turn things around but if his offensive struggles continue, he could become a potential cap casualty.  Little has failed to reach 50 points for four straight seasons and Winnipeg has traded for rental upgrades at his spot on the second line for the last two years.  Between that and a no-move clause, he could become difficult to move if that trend continues.

Hellebuyck signed his deal following a career year back in 2017-18, one that saw him finish second in Vezina Trophy voting.  At the time, it looked like a potential bargain with the going rate for high-end starters only going up.  However, he wound up posting the highest GAA of his career (2.90) while his save percentage dipped by 11 points down to .913.  Instead of being one of the better starters in the league, he was on the lower end of that scale last season.  One down season isn’t going to change the outlook of his contract entirely but a repeat of that performance could have his deal trending towards being a negative for the Jets instead of a positive.

Buyouts

None

Retained Salary Transactions

None

Still To Sign

F Kyle Connor
F Patrik Laine

Laine had a fantastic month of November where he took the league by storm and scored 18 goals in just a dozen games.  He looked to be well on his way to another 40-plus goal season and a huge second contract.  However, he only had a dozen goals the rest of the season which has complicated things.  Not many players have the goal-scoring ability that he does but given the unpredictability based on last season, a bridge contract may be the more palatable option for both sides.

The same can’t be said for Connor, whose second full NHL season was an improvement on his rookie year while he established himself as a capable top-line winger.  We took a closer look at his situation last month and his next deal is likely to be around $7MM based on some of the comparable contracts around the league.

Best Value: Scheifele
Worst Value: Kulikov

Looking Ahead

There’s a glass half full and a glass half empty side to Winnipeg’s cap situation.  On the plus side, even if both Laine and Connor sign long-term deals, the Jets are fairly well-positioned to absorb both contracts without too much concern.  On the negative side, it took them losing half their back end from last season in order to be able to do so.  Either way, they should be in okay shape for the upcoming season.

Looking beyond 2020, they’re not in too bad of shape.  Morrissey’s next deal is going to be big but Kulikov’s money will be coming off the books and can shift to him instead.  Most of their core is locked up long-term (and even more could be depending on the deals Connor and Laine sign) so while they won’t be big spenders on the open market any time soon, their days of having to cut contracts should be finished as well.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Salary Cap Deep Dive 2019| Winnipeg Jets

3 comments

Central Notes: Colorado’s Defense, Little, Kiviranta

September 8, 2019 at 12:30 pm CDT | by Holger Stolzenberg 2 Comments

After impressive performances on the ice at their rookie tournament over the past two days, the Colorado Avalanche dream of a dominant group of franchise defensemen are much closer than they had initially imagined. The team already has two established cornerstones on defense in Samuel Girard and Cale Makar, but the play of 2019 first-round pick Bowen Byram and 2017 second-rounder Conor Timmins suggest they might be closer to join the other two sooner rather than later, according to Mike Chambers of the Denver Post.

Both will be with the team on Friday when training camp begins. Byram will have to prove that he’s ready for the challenges of the NHL already as a recently-turned 18-year-old. He broke out in a big way in the WHL with the Vancouver Giants, scoring 26 goals and 71 points, but he either must make the Avalanche or be returned to Vancouver. Timmins is a different story. The 20-year-old missed the entire 2018-19 season last year after dealing with concussion-like symptoms and likely will begin the season in the AHL until he gets some game experience, but could be recalled at any time if Colorado needs him.

  • One story that has been an issue for years in Winnipeg has been the Jets’ need to establish a No. 2 center. The team has gone with veteran Bryan Little over the years only to acquire a second-line center at the trade deadline the previous two years in Paul Stastny back in 2018 and Kevin Hayes in 2019. Unfortunately, due to cap issues, the Jets were unable to retain either player and are once again on the lookout for someone internally to step up into that role. For Little, the job remains his to lose. The 31-year-old’s numbers continue to decline little by little, scoring 15 goals and 41 points (his least productive season since 2009-10), but he remains the top option, according to Winnipeg Free Press’ Mike McIntyre. The only other options look to be Andrew Copp and Jack Roslovic, both of which seem like longshots to claim that role.
  • The Dallas Stars have a number of young prospects who might have a chance to make their opening day roster, including prospects Ty Dellandrea, Jason Robertson, Denis Gurianov and Riley Tufte amongst many. However, the Stars might have another player who could step up after Joel Kiviranta scored a hat trick against the New York Rangers squad Saturday, suggesting that the recently signed forward out of Finland could make an immediate impact for Dallas, according to NHL.com’s Mike Heika. The 23-year-old Kiviranta  is still adjusting to the smaller North American ice, but has a lot of experience playing amongst men in Finland after five years there. He has tallied 35 goals over the past two years there.

Colorado Avalanche| Dallas Stars| Winnipeg Jets Andrew Copp| Bowen Byram| Bryan Little| Cale Makar| Conor Timmins| Samuel Girard

2 comments

Jets Re-Sign Eric Comrie

September 7, 2019 at 10:02 am CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

The Jets have re-signed one of their remaining restricted free agents though it’s not one of their big two.  Instead, the team announced that they’ve inked goaltender Eric Comrie to a two-year contract.  The deal will carry a league-minimum $700K AAV in both seasons.  2019-20 is a two-way deal worth a guaranteed $250K per Ken Wiebe of The Athletic (Twitter link) before converting to a one-way pact in 2020-21.

Comrie, a second-round pick (59th overall) of Winnipeg back in 2013, has spent the bulk of his pro career at the minor league level.  He played in 47 games with AHL Manitoba last season, posting a 2.69 GAA with a .917 SV% in 47 games, numbers that were pretty close to his ones from 2017-18 (2.58 GAA,  .916 SV%).  However, despite the strong showing, he has yet to get much of a look in the NHL.  He has just five career NHL games under his belt (one came last season) although he hasn’t fared well in that limited action with a 4.20 GAA and a .821 SV%.

Comrie is waiver-eligible for the upcoming season and the fact that he took less than his qualifying offer will make him appealing to any team that wants to take a flyer on him off the waiver wire; it’s unlikely that he’ll be able to pass Laurent Brossoit for the number two role behind Connor Hellebuyck.  With Mikhail Berdin being the only other goalie under contract in the organization at the moment, the Jets will certainly be hoping that Comrie will be able to make it back to the minors for at least one more year.

With the signing, Winnipeg is now down to just two remaining restricted free agents but both of them are significant in wingers Kyle Connor and Patrik Laine.  Getting them re-signed will certainly be the focus for GM Kevin Cheveldayoff over the coming weeks as they’ll need both under contract before they can assess if they’ll have enough cap room to try to make any other moves before the season gets underway.

Transactions| Winnipeg Jets Eric Comrie

0 comments

Snapshots: Marleau, Morrissey, Flyers

September 4, 2019 at 4:15 pm CDT | by Gavin Lee 2 Comments

When Patrick Marleau accepted a trade from the Toronto Maple Leafs to the Carolina Hurricanes earlier this offseason, the writing was on the wall. Marleau would be bought out by the Hurricanes and would be free to return to the San Jose Sharks to finish his career where he was a franchise icon. Not so fast, as Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet reports that Marleau’s agent Pat Brisson says there is no fit with the Sharks at this time and that his client will pursue other NHL opportunities.

Where exactly those opportunities may lie isn’t clear. The prevailing thought is that Marleau would rather spend his remaining time in the NHL near the west coast to be closer to his family that has moved back to San Jose, but there isn’t a clear fit with any of the California teams. The Los Angeles Kings and Anaheim Ducks are trying to get younger, not bring in a soon-to-be 40-year old winger who just experienced his worst offensive season since 1997-98. The Edmonton Oilers were recently suggested as a potential landing spot, though it is not clear at this point. As Kevin Kurz of The Athletic points out, Marleau continues to suit up with the Sharks during informal skates in his old Maple Leafs’ gear.

  • With the Winnipeg Jets still focused on their two unsigned star forwards, it’s easy to forget that next summer they will have another tough negotiation. Josh Morrissey, who has developed into a legitimate first-pairing option for the Jets over the last few years is entering the final season of a two-year deal signed last September and will be an arbitration-eligible restricted free agent next summer. Ken Wiebe of The Athletic caught up with Morrissey today to ask him about any potential negotiations and the young defenseman explained that there has been preliminary talks about a potential long-term extension. Morrissey told Wiebe, “I would love to play [in Winnipeg] throughout my career” but that he’s focused on the upcoming season. The 24-year old had 31 points in 59 games for the Jets last season.
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have made a few changes to their front office, promoting Ian Anderson to Director of Hockey Analytics and Jacob Hurlbut to Lead Developer in the department. The team has also hired Tom Minton as Director of Hockey Information/Video and Matthew Karliner as an Analyst. GM Chuck Fletcher has obviously chosen to invest in the team’s analytic department moving forward, hoping to find any edge possible.

Philadelphia Flyers| San Jose Sharks| Snapshots| Winnipeg Jets Elliotte Friedman| Josh Morrissey| Patrick Marleau

2 comments

Central Notes: Ehlers, Josi, Johns

August 31, 2019 at 5:01 pm CDT | by Holger Stolzenberg Leave a Comment

The Winnipeg Jets know what they have in Nikolaj Ehlers. The 23-year-old forward is a speedster, who is known to score goals in bunches and is considered to be a key piece to the Jets’ top-six. Yet, at the same time, there are equally just as many questions as in 21 career playoff games, he has zero goals and has also proven to be wildly inconsistent. There has been plenty of talk that the Jets, struggling with salary cap issues as many of their young players have received or are soon expected to receive big contracts, might be willing to move their young Danish forward.

However, the Winnipeg Sun’s Scott Billeck writes that moving the forward would likely be a major mistake for a franchise who still needs as many scoring forwards as the can get. The scribe looks at Ehlers’ A3Z statistics, which refers to his play in all three zones and compares him to Edmonton’s Connor McDavid. While pointing out that you can’t compare the two as overall players, Ehlers’s A3Z statistics suggest that he is a dominant player in comparison to McDavid in certain situations. McDavid is in the 99 percentile in shots contributed over 60 minutes, while Ehlers finds himself in the 97th percentile. Ehlers shot-assist ratio over 60 minutes suggest he’s in the 91st percentile in the league, suggesting he could take his game up a notch soon.

Therefore trading Ehlers to ease some of the team’s cap concerns or replace him with a defender, could quickly become a mistake.

  • Greg Hardwig of the Naples Daily News reports that Nashville Predators defenseman Roman Josi, who is entering the final year of his contract and will be a highly sought after unrestricted free agent next summer, reiterated Friday that he wants to remain with the Predators. “I never made it secret that I’d like to stay in Nashville,” said Josi. “I think we’re talking a little bit over the summer, and I’ll let my agent deal with that and just focus on getting ready for the season.” Josi could see an even bigger role this season after the team traded P.K. Subban to New Jersey, giving more responsibility to the team’s top three blueliners, Ryan Ellis, Mattias Ekholm and Josi.
  • The Dallas Stars have made a number of big additions this summer with many suggesting the Stars could be Stanley Cup contenders this season. However, the team has one unknown that could have a significant effect on the team’s future in Stephen Johns. The 27-year-old looked like he was developing into a solid blueliner after the 2017-18 season, but instead missed the entire season last year due to post-traumatic headaches. Now cleared, Dallas Morning News’ Matthew DeFranks wonders whether he can step in immediately as the team’s No. 4 defenseman this season. If Johns can prove he’s ready to go, the 6-foot-4, 225 pound blueliner might be the perfect complement to 20-year-old Miro Heiskanen.

 

Dallas Stars| Nashville Predators| Winnipeg Jets Nikolaj Ehlers| Roman Josi| Stephen Johns

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RFA Profile: Kyle Connor

August 31, 2019 at 9:47 am CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

While Patrik Laine has drawn the most attention of Winnipeg’s prominent remaining restricted free agents, Kyle Connor certainly deserves consideration for being included in the second class of players still in need of a new contract beyond the top RFAs like Mitch Marner and Mikko Rantanen.  Here is a look at his situation.

Following a strong 2017-18 campaign, Connor improved his numbers offensively while locking down a full-time spot on the top line alongside Mark Scheifele and Blake Wheeler.  That resulted in a big jump in average ice time to over 19 minutes a night.  As it turns out, he wound up out-producing Laine, something that undoubtedly has been brought up in talks already.

One of the things that makes his deal a bit trickier than some of the others though is the shorter track record of NHL success.  Connor spent the bulk of his first professional season in the minors with his second year ultimately being his rookie season.  As a result, he has basically 50-60 games less experience than a lot of his counterparts.  That shouldn’t significantly hurt his value but it won’t help things either as instead of having three years of NHL success, he basically only has two.

Statistics

2018-19: 82 GP, 34-32-66, -7, 18 PIMS, 227 shots, 19:15 ATOI
Career: 178 GP, 67-61-128, -6, 38 PIMS, 443 shots, 17:28 ATOI

Comparables

William Nylander (Toronto): Like Connor, Nylander really only had two full NHL seasons under his belt with most of his first year being spent in the minors.  His overall point total at the end of his entry-level deal was pretty close to Connor’s although the Jets winger was more productive in the goal department.

Platform Year Stats: 82 GP, 20-41-61, +20, 10 PIMS, 184 shots, 16:41 ATOI
Career Stats at ELC Expiration: 185 GP, 48-87-135, +18, 46 PIMS, 432 shots, 16:21 ATOI

Contract: Six years, $45MM
Cap Hit Percentage: 8.76% (Years two through six)
Current Equivalent: Six years, $ 42.84MM ($7.14MM AAV)

Jake Guentzel (Pittsburgh) – His platform year had some similarities to Connor in that he moved up to the front line and set career highs across the board.  He also had a shortened rookie campaign although he managed to play half a season in that rookie year.

Platform Year Stats: 82 GP, 40-36-76, +13, 26 PIMS, 227 shots, 19:21 ATOI
Career Stats at ELC Expiration: 204 GP, 78-79-157, +11, 78 PIMS, 479 shots, 17:31 ATOI

Contract: Five years, $30MM
Cap Hit Percentage: 7.55%
Current Equivalent: Five years, $30.766MM ($6.15MM AAV)

Johnny Gaudreau (Calgary): While his platform year was better than Connor’s, he only had one NHL game in his first year (which was primarily spent in college) so the shorter track record factor came into effect here.  Of course, he has since blossomed into one of the top scorers in the league, something that Winnipeg won’t be expecting from their winger.

Platform Year Stats: 79 GP, 30-48-78, +4, 20 PIMS, 217 shots, 19:56 ATOI
Career Stats at ELC Expiration: 160 GP, 55-88-143, +16, 34 PIMS, 385 shots, 18:48 ATOI

Contract: Six years, $40.5MM
Cap Hit Percentage: 9.25%
Current Equivalent: Six years, $45.232MM ($7.539MM AAV)

Brock Boeser (Vancouver): While many are waiting for Marner to set the market, Boeser and Connor could very well be waiting on each other.  Like everyone else in this set, the rookie year was shortened (just nine games) while Boeser cracked the 19-minute a night mark last season.

Platform Year Stats: 69 GP, 26-30-56, -2, 22 PIMS, 209 shots, 19:10 ATOI
Career Stats at ELC Expiration: 140 GP, 59-57-116, -7, 38 PIMS, 413 shots, 18:14 ATOI

Contract: Currently unsigned

Projected Contract

While there has been some speculation that Laine could wind up with a bridge contract, there seems to be nothing of the sort for Connor.  Both sides want to get a long-term deal done and earlier this month, he indicated his desire to get something done before the start of training camp.

In terms of the comparables, Nylander’s contract probably serves as the best one with something coming in the high $6MM to low $7MM range on a six-year deal.  That would buy out a couple of UFA years while giving the Jets some flexibility on handling a new contract for Laine while filling out the rest of their roster as there are some holes still to be filled.  As far as the remaining RFAs go, Connor’s deal should be one of the easier ones to get done.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

RFA| Winnipeg Jets Kyle Connor

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