Examining Dallas Stars Cap Crunch

The NHL’s announcement of a record $104MM salary cap for 2026‑27 was expected to create meaningful flexibility across the league. For the Dallas Stars, though, the numbers remain tight. Per PuckPedia, Dallas is projected to enter the offseason with roughly $11.1MM in functional cap space and 19 players already under contract for their active roster. That level of roster certainty is usually an advantage, but in this case, it leaves GM Jim Nill with very little room to maneuver as he approaches the most consequential negotiation of his tenure.

With nearly $93MM already committed, the remaining cap space averages out to about $2.7MM per open roster spot. A workable number for depth pieces. However, the equation changes entirely once Jason Robertson enters the picture.

Robertson is coming off a 45‑goal, 96‑point season, and his next contract will almost certainly land among the league’s top winger comparables. His camp is believed to be targeting the Mikko Rantanen range ($12MM AAV). A deal at that level would push Dallas over the cap with only 20 players signed, forcing immediate subtractions.

Even a contract closer to the internal ceiling set by Thomas Harley’s $10.587MM AAV would leave Dallas with a less-than-viable number, roughly around $513K to fill three roster spots.

Robertson’s extension isn’t the only item complicating the Stars’ cap picture. Dallas still has several key vacancies to address starting with their team captain and unrestricted free agent, Jamie Benn. The 36-year-old’s future remains unresolved and a new contract, even at a steep discount, would cut further into the limited space available after a Robertson deal. Restricted Free Agent Mavrik Bourque (24) finished seventh on the team in points (20-21–41) in 82 games. A bridge deal could be beneficial for both parties, but even a modest number adds to the squeeze. Bourque finished the season with nine goals and 19 points in 25 games while averaging 19 minutes of ice time after the Olympic break.

The Stars could see key departures in their depth, including forward Michael Bunting (30), which leaves holes that typically require $1.5–$2MM signings. That tier of spending becomes difficult once Robertson’s contract is accounted for.

To reconcile Robertson’s expected AAV with the Stars’ current structure, Nill may need to shift from cap management to cap triage. The most straightforward path to creating space would involve moving a veteran contract. Defenseman Esa Lindell ($5.8MM) stands out as one of the more viable trade candidates, while Ilya Lyubushkin could also be a trade target as well. Moving one of those deals would push Dallas’ available space into the $15–17MM range, giving enough to sign Robertson and complete the roster without resorting to minimum‑salary patchwork.

Dallas has already secured the core of its roster, including long‑term commitments to defenseman Miro Heiskanen and forward Roope Hintz. But that stability has created what amounts to a 19‑man cap trap. The Stars can keep their group intact, but only if they clear meaningful money before finalizing Robertson’s extension.

Without the necessary moves and shedding of salary, the idea and ability to retain their most productive forward becomes mathematically impossible under the current structure.

Dallas Stars Issue Several Injury Updates

There’s no question that the Dallas Stars were severely impacted by injuries throughout the 2025-26 season. The Stars had the fourth-most injuries of any team this season, behind the Florida Panthers, Vegas Golden Knights, and New York Islanders. In today’s end-of-season media availability, the General Manager Jim Nill revealed a laundry list (via Lia Assimakopoulos of The Dallas Morning News) of specific injury information the Stars dealt with throughout the regular season and postseason.

Nill disclosed new injuries or details regarding 18 players on the roster, from the preseason to the present. Some injuries were already known, such as Tyler Seguin‘s ACL tear, Jamie Benn‘s collapsed lung, and Miro Heiskanen‘s torn oblique, but several others were also mentioned.

The biggest news is that star forward Mikko Rantanen suffered a torn MCL in the Olympics. Missing more than a month of action, Rantanen dropped from a 1.27 P/G average before the international tournament to a 0.80 upon his return. His point production went up mildly during the playoffs, but it was clear that Rantanen wasn’t his usual self.

Nill admitted that Rantanen came back as quickly as he could, which likely hurt his recovery process. Fortunately, the Stars aren’t expecting that he’ll need surgery this summer.

Both players that Dallas acquired at the trade deadline were also dealing with injuries. Nill alerted that both Michael Bunting and Tyler Myers were dealing with groin injuries in the regular season. That could be a key reason as to why neither player transitioned well to the team after being acquired by the Stars.

He also offered injury updates on those on the team who suffered longer-term injuries throughout the 2025-26 campaign. Matt Duchene was dealing with a concussion earlier in the season that cost him most of October and all of November.

Roope Hintz, who became ill at the Olympics, suffered a double hamstring tear in his first game back on March 6th. Unfortunately, as he was attempting to make another comeback, Hintz reaggravated the same injury. In a similar vein, Radek Faksa, who was also injured in the Olympics, apparently suffered a concussion. Additionally, while he was recovering from concussion symptoms, Faksa was stepped on by a skate and had a serious laceration in his foot that cut some ligaments. There’s a chance he’ll need surgery again this offseason.

Further down the forward corps, Nill shared that Oskar Back lost 10 games in October due to a wrist injury, Nathan Bastian broke his finger toward the end of the regular season, Adam Erne sprained his MCL in December, Arttu Hyry suffered a high ankle sprain in the playoffs, and Sam Steel endured a groin injury during the regular season.

On defense, the most notable news was the injury specifics to Thomas Harley and Lian Bichsel earlier in the season. According to Nill, Bichsel fractured his leg and ankle in late November, costing him nearly a third of the regular season. Nill added that Bichsel suffered a shoulder sprain in the playoffs, but that isn’t expected to have any long-term consequences.

Meanwhile, Harley, who lost 12 games of the regular season, suffered a broken foot in November. Nils Lundkvist, who hasn’t played since getting a facial laceration against the Minnesota Wild, was also suffering from concussion symptoms from the same play. Additionally, Nill shared that Lundkvist fractured his leg and ankle earlier in the year, costing him 30 games. Lastly, Nill told the media that depth defenseman Ilya Lyubushkin had a shoulder injury throughout the regular season.

Dallas has reached a point where losing Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final in overtime is considered a disappointing year. Still, given the overwhelming amount of injuries the same faced during the regular season and playoffs, it’s impressive that the Stars managed to win 50 games this season and finish third in the league standings. They’ll want to emphasize rest and recovery for their players this offseason and look to get back for the 2026-27 campaign as a healthy group.

Photo courtesy of Perry Nelson-Imagn Images. 

Central Notes: Stanley, Lyubushkin, Johannesson

Logan Stanley’s first several years with Winnipeg were full of starts and stops with injuries and healthy scratches along the way.  But this season has been a breakout one for the 27-year-old who has already set career highs in goals (eight) and points (17) while averaging 16:34 per night, also a personal best.  The timing is ideal, too, as he’s slated to test the open market this summer.  To that end, David Pagnotta of The Fourth Period noted on a recent DFO Rundown (video link) that the Jets have held discussions with Stanley’s camp about an extension.  However, it’s believed his current asking price is one that the team isn’t willing to meet.  With Winnipeg falling out of the playoff race, Stanley could find himself in trade talks before too long if the sides aren’t able to bridge the gap in the coming weeks.

More from the Central:

  • Stars defenseman Ilya Lyubushkin is expected to travel with the team for their upcoming road trip but is listed as doubtful for Tuesday’s game in St. Louis, relays D Magazine’s Robert Tiffin (Twitter link). He exited Friday’s contest early due to a lower-body injury.  Lyubushkin has seven points, 67 blocks, and 54 hits in 39 games so far this season while averaging 16:10 per night in a third-pairing role.  Dallas doesn’t have an open roster spot so if they want to bring someone up in the meantime, either Lyubushkin would have to go on IR or someone else would need to be sent down first.
  • Blues prospect Samuel Johannesson is expected to sign with SHL Frolunda next season, according to a report from Expressen’s Mattias Persson and Johan Svensson. The 25-year-old blueliner is in his second season in North America and has played exclusively with AHL Springfield so far.  After putting up 32 points in 66 games in his rookie campaign last season, Johannesson’s numbers are down this season with two goals and nine assists through 26 contests.  Persson and Svensson add that several NLA teams had also shown interest in Johannesson but instead, he opted to return home.  An official signing announcement won’t come until after the season.

Central Notes: Hartman, Hunt, Lyubushkin, Fuder

Despite positioning themselves as buyers for the upcoming deadline season, the Minnesota Wild have reportedly looked to move a veteran off the roster to clear out additional cap space. According to a recent article from Anthony Di Marco of the Daily Faceoff, the Wild reportedly attempted to send Ryan Hartman to the Philadelphia Flyers before acquiring defenseman Quinn Hughes.

If Minnesota wants to move out salary, Hartman is likely the easiest choice. Every other notable forward on the roster has no-movement protection in their contracts, whereas Hartman only has a 15-team no-trade list. Since the Wild reached out to Philadelphia first, it’s safe to assume that the Flyers aren’t on that list. He has some experience in Philadelphia, scoring two goals and six points in 19 games for the Flyers back in the 2018-19 season.

Aside from the mild trade protection, there’s no questioning why the Wild are looking to move out Hartman. Even when healthy, he hasn’t come close to the production he had in Minnesota from 2021 to 2024. Over the last two years, the 34-year-old veteran has scored 20 goals and 41 points in 103 games, which is less than he had during the 2023-24 season alone.

Other notes from the Central Division:

  • Staying in Minnesota, the team could return to a fully healthy lineup on its upcoming road trip. According to Michael Russo of The Athletic, defenseman Daemon Hunt, the lone remaining player on the team’s injured reserve, is expected to return relatively soon. Hunt has missed Minnesota’s last five games with an undisclosed injury. Fortunately, he’ll have plenty of time to return on the road trip as it will last seven games and 13 days.
  • The Dallas Stars will be somewhat shorthanded in their matchup against the Chicago Blackhawks tonight. Earlier today, team reporter Brien Rea shared that defenseman Ilya Lyubushkin would be out of the lineup due to an illness. It’ll be the 12th game that Lyubushkin has missed this season. The eight-year veteran has registered one goal and seven points in 27 games for the Stars across the 2025-26 campaign.
  • In the Western Hockey League, one of the Stars’ forward prospects was included in a trade this afternoon. According to a league announcement, the third-place Edmonton Oil Kings have acquired forward Jaxon Fuder from the Red Reed Rebels for Poul Andersen, Boris Sigachev, Brock Stevenson, and a conditional 2027 fourth-round pick. Fuder had scored seven goals and 24 points in 27 games for the Rebels before the trade.

Western Injury Notes: Lyubushkin, Heiskanen, Dorofeyev

Stars coach Pete DeBoer shared positive updates on the status of Ilya Lyubushkin, per Lia Assimakopoulos of the Dallas Morning News.

DeBoer noted that Lyubushkin’s absence at practice today was simply a maintenance day and that the veteran will be good to go for Thursday’s pivot Game Six matchup against the Avalanche. Lyubushkin contributed an assist and two blocked shots in the Stars’ 6-2 Game Five victory, which game them a 3-2 series lead. The 30-year-old has averaged more than 20 minutes of ice time per game during the series, so his availability moving forward is welcomed news for Dallas.

Other injury news from around the Western Conference:

  • DeBoer also provided an update on Miro Heiskanen, noting that the defender is getting closer to a return and will continue traveling with the club. Heiskanen is considered on a day-to-day recovery timeline after already returning to the ice for practice. The all-star rejoined practice on April 19 for the first time since sustaining a knee injury in January.
  • Vegas Golden Knights Forward Pavel Dorofeyev (undisclosed) will be a game-time decision for tomorrow’s Game Six matchup against the Minnesota Wild, per an NHL release. Coach Bruce Cassidy told reporters today that the team will monitor how Dorofeyev feels in the morning, as the team did not skate today. If Dorofeyev can’t go, Cassidy discussed the team having a few options to replace him in the lineup, including Victor Olofsson, who played the first three games of the series. Dorofeyev made a significant impact this season, emerging as one of the league’s breakout stars. He burst onto the scene with an impressive offensive performance, finding the back of the net 35 times and surpassing all of his previous career highs by a wide margin. His return to the lineup will be a key factor to the team’s success in this series and beyond.

Mason Marchment Has Surgery, Ilya Lyubushkin Leaves Game With Injury

Dallas Stars forward Mason Marchment required surgery after taking a puck in the face in a game against the Minnesota Wild on December 27th (as per Owen Newkirk of DLLS Sports). Marchment did not travel with the Stars on the five-game road trip that takes them to the East Coast and is still considered week-to-week.

Doctors had to wait for over a week to decide on how to proceed with Marchment because of how severe the swelling to his face was. Ultimately, they went with a surgical procedure, which likely means that the 29-year-old will be out for a few more weeks.

The Stars have several good young players they can call on to replace Marchment. However, it will be tough as he has been on a tear this season, posting 12 goals and 15 assists in 33 games, which ranks fourth in team scoring.

The Stars tweeted tonight that defenseman Ilya Lyubushkin would be doubtful to return to tonight’s game against the New York Rangers due to an upper-body injury. Nothing has been confirmed about the 30-year-old’s injury, but it likely occurred in the middle of the second period when Lyubushkin fumbled the puck in the corner of the Stars’ defensive zone and then took a hard hit into the boards from Rangers forward Sam Carrick.  Lyubushkin fell awkwardly and was slow to get to his feet, he did not come out with his teammates for the start of the third period.

Stars Sign Matt Dumba, Ilya Lyubushkin, Two Others

The Stars are landing free-agent defenseman Matt Dumba, TSN’s Bob McKenzie reports. He adds it’s a two-year deal worth $3.75MM per season. Dallas also announced they’ve inked enforcer Brendan Smith, who can play both defense and wing, to a one-year, $1MM deal. Additionally, Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman reports they’ve signed defenseman Ilya Lyubushkin to a two-year deal with a $3.25MM cap hit. They’re also bringing back non-tendered RFA Nils Lundkvist on a one-year, $1.25MM deal, per Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman.

Dumba was a free agent for the second straight season after having to settle for a one-year deal last summer when multi-year offers weren’t to his liking.  Unfortunately for him, things didn’t go as planned in Arizona as instead of showing that he could return to his earlier offensive success, the 29-year-old was limited to just 10 points and 150 hits in 58 games before being moved to Tampa Bay at the trade deadline.  He had a more limited role with the Lightning, notching just two assists down the stretch before logging less than 16 minutes a night in their opening-round loss to Florida.

With that in mind, it’s interesting to see that Dumba had a strong enough market to land a similar price tag to last year with an extra year.  While his stock is seemingly down, Dumba has long been a capable top-four blueliner who can log some hard minutes.  He’ll be asked to do so with Dallas following the departure of Chris Tanev to Toronto.

As for Smith, the 35-year-old comes over after spending the last two years in New Jersey, playing more of a regular role after being a depth player in previous seasons.  He collected 15 points in 63 games last season while setting new career highs in blocks (101) and hits (117).  His versatility should come in handy although at first glance, it seems as if most of his playing time should come on the back end.

Lyubushkin will also be counted on to shore up the right side of the Stars’ back end.  The 30-year-old is a bit more limited in what he can provide compared to Dumba but he can kill penalties and play on the third pairing.  Last season, Lyubushkin had eight assists, 168 blocks, and 176 hits in 74 games between Anaheim and Toronto and will likely fill a similar role to the one Jani Hakanpaa held in recent years; Hakanpaa coincidentally landed with Toronto later in the day.

Lundqvist, meanwhile, was non-tendered by the Stars on Sunday, making his return a bit more of a surprise.  Things haven’t gone quite according to plan after Dallas parted with a first-round pick to get him from the Rangers.  The 23-year-old had 19 points in 59 games last season but barely averaged 14 minutes a game.  In the playoffs, he was a frequent scratch and logged less than five minutes a night when he was in the lineup.  However, he’ll get one more chance to prove his worth with this deal although he is still controllable for three more years through restricted free agency if they want to qualify him with arbitration rights next summer.

Maple Leafs Notes: Lambert, Edmundson, Lyubushkin

Keep an eye on Lane Lambert as a name to join the Maple Leafs’ bench this offseason. The former Islanders bench boss is a candidate to land a role on new head coach Craig Berube‘s staff in Toronto, Darren Dreger of TSN said Monday morning.

The Leafs have at least one vacancy to fill after assistant coach Manny Malhotra left to take a head coaching job with the Canucks’ AHL affiliate in Abbotsford. There’s a chance Berube could opt to make some other changes to the staff, including assistants Guy Boucher and Dean Chynoweth, later on. Their fourth assistant, Mike Van Ryn, is a logical choice to stay after working under Berube previously in St. Louis.

Lambert, 59, lasted about a year and a half during his first try as an NHL bench boss on Long Island. The team lost in the first round of the playoffs to the Hurricanes in his first season behind the bench, and he was fired in January after going 19-15-11 to start 2023-24. He and Berube haven’t been on the same staff in their coaching careers.

He joins former Blues and Flames assistant Marc Savard, who parted ways with Calgary last month, as names linked to the Leafs’ bench already this offseason.

Elsewhere in Leafland:

  • Toronto has expressed interest in retaining trade pickup Joel Edmundson, but the pending unrestricted free-agent defenseman seems intent on testing the market next month, reports David Pagnotta of The Fourth Period. The 30-year-old hasn’t ruled out a return to the Leafs but wants to see what else is out there. He struggled with injuries after being picked up from the Capitals the day before the deadline, going without a point and logging a +3 rating in nine regular-season games. He had a decent showing in postseason play, averaging 18:40 in their seven-game loss to the Bruins while adding an assist and a -1 rating. The aging blue liner won a Stanley Cup with Berube as a member of the Blues in 2019.
  • The Leafs appear less likely to retain another depth defenseman, Ilya Lyubushkin, with Pagnotta reporting extension discussions haven’t started with free agency less than a month away. General manager Brad Treliving sent a third-round pick to the Ducks to bring the Russian blue-liner back for his second stint in Toronto, and he was one of their better defensemen in the postseason with three assists and a +4 rating against Boston while riding shotgun alongside Morgan Rielly on their top pairing. The shutdown defender totaled eight assists and a -11 rating in 74 games split between Anaheim and Toronto this season.

Maple Leafs Notes: Nylander, Lyubushkin, Brodie, Matthews

Star winger William Nylander has finally received some positive momentum in his return from injury, with head coach Sheldon Keefe telling The Athletic’s Luke Fox that Nylander will be a game-time decision ahead of Game Four (Twitter link). He has missed the first three games of the series with a migraine issue, though his exact diagnosis hasn’t been confirmed. When asked about it earlier, Nylander said“Look, that’s just personal so I’m not going to get into that … but anything else you guys want to discuss [I’ll comment on].”

There’s no arguing that Toronto is simply better with Nylander in the lineup. The 27-year-old forward just wrapped up his second consecutive season with 40 goals and set a career-high 98 points along the way. He’s now missing his first games of the season, after playing in all 82 regular-season games for the second year in a row. Migraines have plagued Nylander for years now, even pushing him to switch to a tinted visor ahead of last season. He’s now overcoming those challenges once again and could be poised to make a big impact in a series that Toronto is trailing 2-1.

Other notes from Toronto:

  • Defenseman Ilya Lyubushkin welcomed the birth of his first daughter, and third child, on Friday morning. He traveled home to be with his wife during the process, missing Toronto’s Friday morning skate. Despite that, Keefe says he’ll still be an option in Saturday’s Game Three, shares the Toronto Sun’s Terry Koshan (Twitter link). Lyubushkin has so far appeared in all three games this series, recording one assist, one penalty, and one shot on net. He’s a part of a rotation of Leafs defensemen vying for a lineup spot, competing with Joel Edmundson, Simon Benoit, and Conor Timmins.
  • Speaking of that competition, veteran T.J. Brodie is expected to step into the lineup over Timothy Liljegren, per Fox (Twitter link). Liljegren has yet to record a point through three playoff games, with his only stat change coming in the form of a -2. That’s despite averaging over 19 minutes of ice time through the start of the series. He’ll be replaced by Brodie, who’s managed 55 games of postseason experience over his 14-year NHL career. This includes 11 games with Toronto last season, with Brodie managing three assists, a -3, and 12 penalty minutes.
  • Superstar Auston Matthews also missed the team’s Friday skate with an illness that NHL insider Chris Johnston says he played through on Wednesday (Twitter link). Per Johnston, Keefe dubbed Matthews’ absence as a maintenance day, and didn’t make it seem like the historic goal-scorer was at risk of missing time. Toronto will certainly hope that’s the case, as Matthews is currently tied for the team-lead in playoff scoring with three points in as many games. His scoring has been matched by linemate Max Domi.

Atlantic Notes: Byram, Dahlin, Edmundson, Lyubushkin

The Buffalo Sabres will be without newcomer defenseman Bowen Byram on Thursday due to a personal matter (Twitter link). Byram also missed the team’s morning practice. He has so far played in 16 games with the Sabres, netting three goals and seven points. That’s a 0.438 point-per-game pace, a significant boost over the 0.363 scoring pace he managed prior to being traded, when he scored 20 points in 55 games with the Colorado Avalanche. His combined 27 points in 71 games mark a new career-high for Byram, topping his 24 points last season.

Buffalo will now be back to square one, trying to make up for a lack of defense depth now without Byram or Erik Johnson, who was also traded at the Trade Deadline. This likely opens the door for Kale Clague to step back into the lineup for Buffalo’s last three games. Clague has made two other appearances in the Sabres lineup this season, recording one assist and one penalty. He was a much more frequent lineup piece last season, playing in 33 games with Buffalo and recording four assists, but he lost his platoon role to rookie Ryan Johnson this year. Johnson, who has played in his first 41 NHL games this year, is currently assigned to the minor-leagues but could receive a call-up if Buffalo wants added depth to close out the season.

Other notes from around the league:

  • Staying with the Sabres defense, star Rasmus Dahlin has shared that he is ready to take on the Sabres captaincy, if the opportunity presents itself, per Paul Hamilton of WGR550 (Twitter link). Buffalo recently traded two-year captain Kyle Okposo, leaving the role once again vacant. Dahlin is serving alongside Zemgus Girgensons as the team’s assistant captains, though Girgensons is on an expiring deal and faced trade rumors earlier in the season. That leaves Dahlin, who is signed through the 2031-32 season, as seemingly the last man up in Buffalo’s search for leadership. He could face competition from top centerman Tage Thompson, long-tenured veteran Jeff Skinner, or grizzled personality-piece Alex Tuch – though it’s hard to envision the Sabres not once again placing their trust in Dahlin, who this season became the first Sabres defender since Phil Housley to score 20 goals.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs defenseman Joel Edmundson has shared that he’s good to go, after missing the team’s last eight games with an undisclosed injury, shares TSN’s Mark Masters (Twitter link). He will be joined in re-entering the lineup by Ilya Lyubushkin, who has missed Toronto’s last three games. Masters adds that Conor Timmins and Jake McCabe will step out of the lineup – with McCabe getting rested after an extended stint in the lineup.
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