Snapshots: Graves, St. Ivany, Krug, Oshie, Protas
The Pittsburgh Penguins have shared that defenseman Ryan Graves will be stepping away for a paternity leave, opening the door for rookie Jack St. Ivany to make his NHL debut. St. Ivany has flirted with his inaugural game for much of March, getting moved between the NHL and AHL four different times in the last week. He was clearly motivated by the string of moves, recording a career-high three-point night in his latest AHL game – his first since receiving the first NHL call-up of his career. The performance broke a 10-game scoring drought and accounted for a fifth of St. Ivany’s 15 points on the season. He’ll now have a golden chance to build on the hot night, potentially poised for a big role with Graves’ average of 19 minutes a night now up for grabs.
Other notes from around the league:
- St. Louis Blues defenseman Torey Krug is expected to return to the lineup on Friday after sititng out with a chest injury on Thursday, per NHL.com’s Jessi Pierce. It was Krug’s first absence of the year, after appearing in the Blues’ first 69 games. He’s managed three goals and 34 points in those games. This is Krug’s first time playing in more than 65 games since the 2017-18 season. His return is expected to bump Scott Perunovich back out of the lineup.
- The Washington Capitals will continue to be without T.J. Oshie and Aliaksei Protas, head coach Spencer Carbery told The Hockey News. Both players sat out of the team’s Wednesday night loss against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Oshie is bearing with an upper-body injury, while Protas has a lingering lower-body injury suffered on March 9th. The team will eagerly anticipate their return, now left to lean on Michael Sgarbossa and Ivan Miroshnichenko as top-six fill-ins.
Atlantic Notes: Harvey-Pinard, Lyubushkin, Marchand, Barkov
Canadiens winger Rafaël Harvey-Pinard is no longer waiver-exempt after playing in his 70th career NHL game in Thursday’s 4-1 loss to the Canucks, per CapFriendly. The 25-year-old has had his 2023-24 season plagued with injuries, only skating in 32 of Montreal’s 69 contests, although he hasn’t been particularly effective in the lineup, either. His 14 goals in 34 games after being called up from AHL Laval last season hasn’t managed to carry over, and he’s only scored once in 32 contests this season while adding seven assists. Logging 12:49 per game, the 2019 seventh-round pick has been one of the Habs’ worst offensive forwards. He has produced some value with decent possession metrics, logging a 45.8 CF% at even strength that’s above average relative to his teammates, but there hasn’t been much to suggest he can stick in a top-nine role long-term. The 5-foot-9 forward has one season left on a contract carrying a $1.1MM cap hit and will be an RFA with arbitration rights in 2025.
Other updates from the Atlantic Division:
- Maple Leafs defenseman Ilya Lyubushkin isn’t quite recovered from his illness and will miss his third straight game Saturday when Toronto hosts the Oilers, head coach Sheldon Keefe said today. Recently picked up via trade from the Ducks for his second go-around with the Leafs, Lyubushkin did skate today for the first time since his last appearance, Saturday’s 5-4 shootout loss to the Hurricanes. The 29-year-old has been solid since re-joining Toronto, recording two assists and a 51.5 CF% in seven games, mainly skating alongside Morgan Rielly while averaging 16:07 per game.
- Bruins captain Brad Marchand is questionable for Saturday’s game against the Flyers after he was absent from today’s practice for maintenance purposes, head coach Jim Montgomery told reporters. The 35-year-old had been on a hot streak, picking up eight points in his last seven games. He’s on pace to finish below a point per game for a second straight season after doing so every year from 2016-17 to 2021-22, and his possession metrics have also dipped considerably without the now-retired Patrice Bergeron centering his line. He remains the Bruins’ top secondary talent to David Pastrňák, though, and is the team’s second-leading scorer with 27 goals and 62 points in 71 games.
- Panthers first-line mainstay Aleksander Barkov traveled with the team on their road trip but is unlikely to draw in Saturday against the Rangers, head coach Paul Maurice said. The perennial Selke Trophy candidate missed yesterday’s loss to the Predators with an undisclosed injury and hasn’t been completely ruled out against New York. The 28-year-old Finn is having another elite campaign, notching 48 assists, 66 points, and a +23 rating in 62 games while helping facilitate linemate Sam Reinhart‘s breakout season.
PHR Live Chat Transcript: 3/22/24
Click here to read a transcript of Friday’s live chat with PHR’s Josh Erickson.
Islanders Sign Cam Thiesing To Entry-Level Deal
The Islanders have signed undrafted free agent center Cam Thiesing to a two-year entry-level contract beginning next season, per a team announcement. The Tennessee native will likely finish 2023-24 on a tryout with AHL Bridgeport.
Thiesing, 23 next week, was initially eligible for selection in the 2019 draft but was on few scouting departments’ radars after recording 39 points in 54 games with the Chippewa Steel of the NAHL, the second-tier junior league in the U.S. system. He played two more seasons with the Green Bay Gamblers in the USHL, one level up, but wasn’t given draft selection as an overage player there, either.
After wrapping up his junior career in 2021, Thiesing joined Ohio State University for a three-year run. Thiesing actually had decreasing production throughout his seasons at the school. He started with a strong freshman campaign, posting 25 points and a team-leading +21 rating for the Buckeyes in 2021-22, but dropped to 20 points last season and even further to nine goals and 16 points in 31 games this year on a team that finished last in the Big 10 conference.
Unfortunately, Thiesing’s season ended prematurely due to injury. He missed the Buckeyes’ final two games and their four Big Ten tournament games, including a major quarterfinal upset over Wisconsin. Overall, he finished his time at Ohio State with 32 goals, 29 assists, 61 points, 166 PIMs, and a +11 rating over 108 games.
The physical 6-foot, 183-lb right-shot center now joins an Isles prospect pool flush with similarly skilled talent, so he doesn’t move the needle much. Late-developing junior production and failure to advance his offensive game at the collegiate level aren’t promising signs for an NHL future, but his checking game and decent shot do give him an outside shot at cracking a team’s fourth line at some point. Thiesing will be an RFA when his contract expires in 2026.
The Matt Duchene Buyout Was A Win-Win
A year ago, the 2024 free agent class had the potential to be one of the most star-studded in a long time, especially compared to 2023’s unusually weak class that allowed players like Alex Killorn and Dmitry Orlov to receive well above standard market value. While superstars like Auston Matthews and William Nylander have signed extensions and are off the market, there are still multiple impact forwards with point-per-game upside slated to be available, namely longtime Lightning captain Steven Stamkos and Panthers breakout performer Sam Reinhart. The defense market is significantly less appealing, although Noah Hanifin will get a payday somewhere if he doesn’t extend with the Golden Knights, although Vegas will surely attempt to lock in the blue-liner after making a splash for him at the trade deadline.
However, Stars forward Matt Duchene is also quietly producing among the top echelon of pending UFAs. Sitting in the top six in points-per-game alongside Reinhart, Stamkos, Jake Guentzel, Patrick Kane, and Jonathan Marchessault, the 33-year-old has proved to be the best value pickup of last season’s UFA period after the Predators executed a surprising last-minute buyout of the final three seasons of his seven-year, $56MM contract. The one-year, $3MM pact he signed to continue his NHL career in Texas was a mid-tier contract compared to others handed out on July 1. Yet, he’s second among all 2023 UFA signees in scoring, trailing Nashville’s Gustav Nyquist.
It’s been a remarkable return to form over the past few years for a player who, shortly after signing his big payday with the Preds in free agency in 2019, looked to be on one of the worst contracts in the league. An injury-plagued and COVID-laced 2020-21 campaign was easily Duchene’s most disappointing outing in just the second year of his megadeal, missing significant time with lower-body issues and recording career-lows across the board with six goals, seven assists and 13 points while averaging 15:50 per game over 34 contests. In 2019-20, the first season of his contract, he scored only 13 goals in 66 games after crossing the 30-goal mark with Ottawa and Columbus the year prior.
The next two seasons were much more fruitful for the 2009 third-overall pick, who broke out for a career-high 43 goals the following season and put up 142 points in 149 games between 2021 and 2023 while returning to first-line minutes. The stink of the first few seasons of Duchene’s deal had soured the reputation of his contract, though, and with incoming GM Barry Trotz looking to infuse a youth movement into a squad that was stuck in wild-card territory, the team unexpectedly made him one of the top UFAs on the market the day before free agency opened.
Despite Duchene’s success with a divisional rival this year, it’s hard to criticize the decision from Nashville’s perspective. They’ve replaced his production with a cheaper UFA pickup in Nyquist, and freeing up his roster spot has allowed players like Luke Evangelista and Thomas Novak to make more of an impact. That, plus a rebounding Juuse Saros after an unusually slow start, has the Predators cooking with a 14-0-2 record in their last 16 games and the first wild-card spot in the Western Conference all but guaranteed. Much-improved depth scoring has been the Predators’ calling card this year, something that decidedly wouldn’t have occurred without the Duchene buyout.
The buyout will carry some short-term pain, though. Duchene’s cap penalty is a reasonable $2.6MM this season, but it jumps to $5.6MM in 2024-25 and $6.6MM in 2025-26. It’ll coast at $1.6MM from 2026 to 2029, though, almost a non-factor with the salary cap’s projected increase over that period. A retooled prospect pool should allow the Preds to staff some important roles with entry-level contracts over the next few years, however, so the buyout shouldn’t be too severe of an obstacle.
In any event, the Preds are rolling into the playoffs at an incredible pace that routinely proves advantageous to wild-card or lower-seeded teams’ chances of a first-round upset (or further, if you ask last year’s Panthers). No regrets in Smashville, at least not yet.
And the Stars, a potential first-round opponent for the Predators, are thrilled Duchene fell into their lap. With the 15-year veteran set to earn a significant amount of money from his buyout as well, he was more incentivized to settle for a bargain deal on a contender. He’s played a crucial part in Dallas having one of the deepest forward groups in the league, flip-flopping between first- and second-line duties. He’s posted 23 goals and 59 points in 68 games, slightly up from last season’s pace in Nashville despite averaging almost 90 fewer seconds per game. His presence has also helped revitalize Mason Marchment, who, alongside Duchene, has rebounded for a career-high 19 goals and 50 points after a tough first season in the Lone Star State last year.
He’s also straight-up Dallas’ second-leading scorer, ranking second on the team in points per game at 0.87 behind the point-per-game Jason Robertson. After the induction of rookie Logan Stankoven into the major league ranks over the past few weeks, every player in the Stars’ top nine has produced over 0.65 points per game this season. Only one player – captain Jamie Benn – has produced under 0.70.
The only two teams that have scored more per game this season than the Stars are the Avalanche and Maple Leafs. Both have been buoyed by MVP-level seasons from their star first-line centers. Their depth attacks simply don’t compare – Colorado only has one player producing over half a point per game in its entire bottom six (Ross Colton), while the Maple Leafs have none.
With $18.3MM in projected cap space with a roster size of only 12 next season, per CapFriendly, it’s unlikely the Stars will be able to bring Duchene back without him taking a significant discount. Otherwise, Duchene is poised to be the third major beneficiary of the Predators’ decision to buy him out by landing a lucrative short-term deal on the open market this summer. This season, however, he’s helped give Dallas their best chance at a Stanley Cup since 1999’s victory.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports.
Senators Recall Angus Crookshank, Reassign Zack Ostapchuk
Mar. 22: Ottawa confirmed Crookshank’s recall Friday, which came under emergency conditions, although Giroux was okay to play in yesterday’s 5-2 loss to St. Louis. In a corresponding transaction, the team reassigned rookie center Zack Ostapchuk to Belleville, ending his emergency loan. The 20-year-old played in six straight games, the first of his NHL career, after a recall earlier in March. However, he failed to record a point and struggled across the board with a -1 rating, a 30.6 FO%, and a 40.0 CF% at even strength while averaging 10:25 per game.
Mar. 21: The Senators have recalled winger Angus Crookshank from AHL Belleville, per the league’s transactions log. He will play in Thursday’s game against the Blues if Claude Giroux, who assistant coach Daniel Alfredsson said will be a game-time decision due to illness, can’t go.
A fifth-round pick by the Sens in 2018, Crookshank is in his fourth professional season with the organization after wrapping up his collegiate career with the University of New Hampshire in 2021. The 5-foot-11 winger adjusted to the pros well down the stretch in 2020-21, recording 16 points in 19 games, but his progress was stunted when a preseason knee injury cost him the entire 2021-22 season.
He’s been slowly rebounding since, and he’s come out in full force this year with a team-leading 24 goals and 46 points in 50 games for the B-Sens. His performance has been strong enough to earn him two recalls already this season, both emergency loans in December, resulting in his first seven NHL games. Today marks his first day on Ottawa’s roster since being returned to the minors on Jan. 7.
Crookshank didn’t look entirely out of place in his NHL minutes, recording a goal and an assist, but his usage was extremely limited, averaging 8:50 per game. That didn’t hold him back from averaging a shot on goal per game, however, and he had a solid 48.4 CF% at even strength despite starting the majority of his shifts in the defensive zone. He’s an intriguing candidate to see some time higher up in the lineup down the stretch with playoffs no longer possible for Ottawa.
The 24-year-old is in the final season of his entry-level contract, which carries an $838K cap hit and pays him only $70K at the minor-league level. He’ll be an RFA this summer, but he needs one more professional season to have arbitration rights.
Capitals Recall Matthew Phillips
The Capitals announced they’ve recalled right wing Matthew Phillips from AHL Hershey. He is expected to replace winger Tom Wilson in the lineup, who will miss Friday’s game and likely many more as he faces an in-person hearing with the Department of Player Safety today for a high-sticking incident in Wednesday’s 7-3 loss to the Maple Leafs.
The club had 14 forwards on their active roster before the injury. However, three of them – Wilson, T.J. Oshie (upper-body, day-to-day) and Aliaksei Protas (lower-body, day-to-day) – are unavailable or uncertain against the Hurricanes tonight.
Phillips, 25, began the season on an opening-night roster for the first time after inking a one-year, $775K deal with the Caps in free agency. One of the AHL’s most potent offensive threats over the past few seasons, the diminutive forward struggled to adapt to a full-time NHL role, posting only a goal and five points in 27 games and becoming a frequent healthy scratch after the New Year.
That led the Capitals to place him on waivers in mid-February, but he didn’t make it to the minors and was instead claimed by the Penguins. He had minimal impact with Washington’s longtime rival as well, going pointless in three games before serving as a healthy scratch in five straight and landing on waivers once again. Since the subsequent waiver placement was less than 30 days after the Caps lost him, Washington could reclaim and send him directly to AHL Hershey without exposing him to waivers, which they took advantage of.
Unsurprisingly, Phillips has looked like his old self on the best team in the AHL, recording three points and a +2 rating in four games since returning to the Capitals organization earlier this month. The 2016 sixth-round pick of the Flames has 240 points in 269 games since making his AHL debut with Stockton in 2017 and posted over a point-per-game in back-to-back seasons with the Flames’ primary affiliate before earning the one-way deal with Washington last summer.
Despite that level of production, Phillips never got much of a crack at the NHL level with Calgary, only skating in three games and averaging 10:48 with the Flames between 2020 and 2023. While he was a low-risk, high-reward signing for Washington, he was far from a proven commodity, and a lack of production and solid possession metrics in his extended chance earlier this season has likely ended the 5-foot-7 winger’s chances of cracking an NHL roster full-time.
He still carries value for organizations at the minor-league level as a premier talent to play with their top prospects on the farm, and there are certainly worse call-up options in a pinch to fill an offensively-inclined role. If head coach Spencer Carbery doesn’t want to shuffle his other lines, Phillips could directly replace Wilson’s spot on the second line alongside rookie Ivan Miroshnichenko and co-leading scorer Dylan Strome.
The Calgary native will be an RFA with arbitration rights this summer, although he’s a strong candidate to not receive a qualifying offer and reach the open market after reaching UFA status under Group 6 rules last summer.
Kraken Notes: Dunn, Schwartz, Oleksiak
In unfortunate news for the Seattle Kraken blue line, Kate Shefte of the Seattle Times reports that defenseman Vince Dunn did not travel with the team for their game tonight against the Vegas Golden Knights. This will mark Dunn’s seventh straight game that he has been unable to suit up, dealing with an upper-body injury suffered a little over two weeks ago.
Dunn originally sustained an injury on a play that warranted a suspension, receiving a hit from behind from Calgary Flames forward Martin Pospisil. It has been the first major injury to Dunn that he has suffered throughout his tenure with the Kraken organization.
Seattle has heavily missed him, as he has been the team’s best defenseman for the last three seasons. Without their top defensive cog in the lineup, the Kraken has produced a 1-4-1 record in Dunn’s absence, averaging 3.83 goals against per game.
Other Kraken notes:
- Shefte also reported that Jaden Schwartz would be a game-time decision for tonight’s action. Schwartz has missed the last four games for Seattle as he is dealing with an undisclosed injury. Similar to the rest of his tenure with the Kraken organization, this will mark the fourth time this year that Schwartz has missed game action due to injury.
- Lastly, in yet another blow to Seattle’s blue line, the team does not sound optimistic about Jamie Oleksiak‘s availability tonight (X Link). Earlier today, the team did recall defenseman Cale Fleury on an emergency basis, and he will likely play in his first NHL game of the season tonight.
Central Notes: Vilardi, Pionk, Krug
During this week’s iteration of 32 Thoughts with Elliotte Friedman and Jeff Marek, the two have reported that the Winnipeg Jets are operating under the belief that forward Gabriel Vilardi will return before the end of the season. Vilardi has been out since the team’s March 2nd game against the Dallas Stars with an upper-body injury.
It has been a difficult season in Manitoba for Vilardi, who is in his first year with the organization since being acquired in the trade that sent Pierre-Luc Dubois to the Los Angeles Kings. In a separate injury at the beginning of the year, Vilardi injured his MCL which led to his absence for a total of six weeks.
When healthy, Vilardi has been a valueable forward for the Jets, scoring 16 goals and 30 points in only 38 games on the year. Now that Winnipeg is squarely in the race for the Central Division crown, Vilardi will be an important piece to get back into the lineup during the home stretch.
Other Central notes:
- Staying in Winnipeg, although his status was questionable for tonight’s matchup against the New Jersey Devils due to an illness, defenseman Neal Pionk was able to enter the lineup (X Link). Still operating as a solid two-way defenseman in his fifth year with the Jets organization, Pionk has scored five goals and 25 points for Winnipeg this season, averaging just under 21 minutes of ice time per night.
- In tonight’s tilt against the Ottawa Senators, the St. Louis Blues will be without defenseman Torey Krug, who was suffering from a lower-body injury (Article Link). Nevertheless, it has still been one of the healthiest years to date for Krug, who has not broken the 64 games played mark since the 2017-18 NHL season. Once again putting up quality offensive production, Krug has scored three goals and 34 points over 69 games this season.
Tom Wilson Offered In-Person Hearing For High-Sticking
6:46 p.m.: Wilson’s in-person hearing will be held Friday afternoon, per the department, meaning we’ll get clarity soon on how long he’ll be out of the lineup.
12:05 p.m.: The NHL’s Department of Player Safety has offered Capitals winger Tom Wilson an in-person hearing after he high-sticked Maple Leafs forward Noah Gregor in last night’s 7-3 loss. The hearing date has not been announced, but the in-person option allows DoPS to suspend Wilson for six or more games.
Officials assessed Wilson a double minor penalty on the play, which occurred 12:15 into the third period. After engaging in a puck battle with Gregor along the boards, Wilson swung his stick one-handed, striking Gregor in the mouth (video link).
If suspended, it would be his sixth in the last seven years. Wilson, who made his NHL debut in 2013, was suspended on three separate instances in the 2017-18 season, one each in the preseason, regular season, and playoffs. All were less than five games. In the 2018 preseason, however, he was handed down a massive 20-game suspension by the league on a play that injured Blues forward Oskar Sundqvist, but it was later reduced to 14 by an independent arbitrator. His most recent suspension, a seven-gamer, came in March 2021. He’s also been fined five times.
After an injury-plagued 2022-23 campaign, Wilson has played in 66 of 68 games for the Caps this year. His 18:03 ATOI is second among current Caps forwards, while his 17 goals (4th) and 32 points (5th) are also near the top of the team leaderboard. A major minutes-muncher and still a truly impactful player, any long-term absence could significantly inhibit Washington’s chances at reaching the postseason. Their .551 points percentage is tied with the Red Wings for the last playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.