Free Agent Frenzy: Day 1 Signings By Team

Here are all of the signings of day one of the free agent frenzy, broken down by team, with a link to the individual stories:

Anaheim Ducks:

None

Arizona Coyotes:

C Chris Mueller – One year, $600K (link)
LW Garret Ross – One year, $575K (link)
D Jamie McBain – One year, $600K (link)
LW Jamie McGinn – Three years, $10MM (link)
D Jarred Tinordi – One year, $700K (link)
G Justin Peters – One year, $600K (link)
D Kevin Connauton – Two years, $2MM (link)
D Klas Dahlbeck – One year, $750K (link)
C Ryan White – One year, $1MM (link)

Boston Bruins:

G Anton Khudobin – Two years, $2.4MM (link)
C David Backes – Five years, $30MM (link)
D John-Michael Liles – One year, $2MM (link)
C Riley Nash – Two years, $1.8MM (link)
C Tim Schaller – One year, $600K (link)
D Tommy Cross – One year, $600K (link)
RW Tyler Randell – One year, $600K (link)

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Shane Doan Close To Re-Signing With Arizona

According to Sportsnet’s John Shannon, Shane Doan will not be testing free agency this season and is close to a new deal with the Arizona Coyotes.  The only franchise Doan has ever played for, he’ll be entering his 21st season with the club.

Even at 39, Doan still ranked 20th on our list of the top 50 free agents after he put up another great season in 2015-16. Scoring 28 goals, the former 7th overall pick (of the 1995 Entry Draft!) now has 396 for his career, putting him in the top 100 of all-time (92nd).

Doan is a testament to loyalty, staying with his original club all these years despite only playing in 55 career contests and none since 2012. While he probably would get multiple offers from teams around the league who think he can still contribute as a top-6 scorer, going back to Arizona always seemed like the natural thing to do, and if Shannon is correct he should be able to play out the end of his career, never having left the Winnipeg/Phoenix/Arizona franchise.

Minor UFA Signings: 07/01/16

Along with all of the huge names that went early in today’s free agency period, teams made quite a few smaller moves to shore up the fringes of their NHL lineup.  Here are the minor signings:

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Maple Leafs Sign Matt Martin To Four-Year Deal

According to Bob McKenzie of TSN, the Toronto Maple Leafs have made their first signing of free agency, inking forward Matt Martin to a four-year deal worth $10MM. After losing out on the chance to sign Markham native Steven Stamkos, the Leafs went after his former Sarnia Sting linemate in Martin – the two played together in 2007-08.

Martin was apparently a hot commodity this season despite never scoring 20 points in a single season. While he doesn’t offer much in the offensive end, he does carry his own in his own end and plays with an extremely physical style. Martin has recorded over 350 hits in three straight seasons, leading the league each time.

With Toronto expected to have a number of young players in the lineup next season, including 5’11” (if that) 164 pound (soaking wet) London Knight uber-prospect Mitch Marner, Martin will be expected to keep the peace on the ice and ensure those players can use their skill and speed to play in the offensive end.

While this seems somewhat backwards in today’s NHL, Martin isn’t a lumbering enforcer and can keep up with the play even with his 6’3″ frame. While he probably won’t play much more than the 11 minutes a night he received in New York, he’ll be a welcome addition to the Maple Leafs as they continue to rebuild.

Dan Hamhuis Signs With Dallas

After Dallas Stars’ defensemen Jason Demers and Kris Russell both decided to test out free agency, the Stars have replaced their outgoing performance by inking Dan Hamhuis to a two-year, $7.5MM contract, as reported by Bob McKenzie.

Hamhuis has spent the last six seasons in Vancouver where he has slowly seen his role and offensive performance decline as he heads into his mid-thirties. The former Predator and Norris trophy nominee will now join a blueline that has been torn apart over the last few weeks.  In addition to Demers and Russell both heading to free agency, Dallas traded Alex Goligoski to the Coyotes just weeks before he also would have become an unrestricted free agent.

Now Hamhuis will join Johnny Oduya as the veterans in a group headlined by John Klingberg, the last bastion of the Stars’ young group from last season. For a team who is looking to contend this season, before many of their talented forwards reach free agency (including superstar captain Jamie Benn and sniper Patrick Sharp) Hamhuis is just the first step in rebuilding their back end.

Shawn Matthias Signs With Winnipeg

According to James Mirtle of TSN, the Winnipeg Jets have signed free agent forward Shawn Matthias to a two-year contract.  Elliot Friedman reports that the deal will pay Matthias $2.125MM per season. The former Maple Leaf was traded to the Colorado Avalanche mid-season, and put up 12 goals and 28 points on the year.

Matthias, 28, has always been regarded as somewhat of a scoring winger that could play anywhere in your top nine, despite ever only scoring more than 15 goals once in his career. His $4.25MM deal comes in as the biggest of his career, despite actually taking a salary cut from $2.3MM.

He’ll join a Jets team still reeling from last season’s poor performance, and still struggling to reach a contract with RFA Jacob Trouba.  Rumors of offer sheets have swirled around the young defenseman in recent days, and he’ll be their next priority after the first day of free agency cools off.

Free Agent Profile: Mikkel Boedker

Mikkel Boedker’s name doesn’t quickly come up when discussing the top unrestricted free agents available but he is one of the more intriguing players on the market.

At just 26 years of age, Boedker is one of the youngest free agents on the market and the youngest of the impact (top six) forwards.  It’s safe to say he’s entering the prime of his career which isn’t often the case when dealing with UFA’s.  He also has the ability to play both wings, making him one of the more versatile players available.

Offensively, Boedker has shown signs of improvement the last several years.  Over the past three seasons, he has passed the 50 point mark twice and played at a 50 point pace in an injury-riddled 2014-15 campaign.  Last year, split between Arizona and Colorado, he picked up 17 goals and 34 assists in 80 games.  That put him in a tie for fifth in points amongst all remaining UFA forwards.

On top of his improving offensive ability, Boedker’s speed is his biggest weapon.  He’s one of the fastest skaters in the league and has the potential to be a big factor in transition wherever he winds up.

There are some concerns with his play though.  He’s not the most consistent defensive player nor is it a particular strength of his.  That limits where he can play in the lineup; for teams that run a two-way second line, he’s not really an option there nor is he strong enough to really be a top line player.

Potential Suitors

There haven’t been many teams linked to Boedker yet as most of the focus has been on the bigger names with a more proven track record.  There should be no shortage of options as he’s young enough to be considered a core piece on rebuilding teams while being enough of an impact player.

Vancouver is the only team that has publicly been linked to him at this point.  Other teams that could have varying degrees of interest are Toronto, Montreal, New Jersey, Buffalo, and Detroit among others.  A return to Arizona is certainly a possibility as well.  Those are all teams that have a young, emerging core that also have vacancies inside their top six.

Projected Contract

Boedker is ranked eighth on our Top 50 list of free agents.  We have him signing a 6 year, $31.5MM contract.  He may be wise to wait for some of the bigger names to go as that should increase the number of suitors he has as they will likely circle to him as a fallback option.

PHR’s Top 50 NHL Unrestricted Free Agents

Initially published on June 21st, 2016.

With free agency less than two weeks away, it’s time to unveil our Top 50 Unrestricted Free Agent List.  The rankings were voted on by the PHR writing team and were based on talent and projected demand, not what we forecast for their new contracts.

Last summer, we saw GM’s show more restraint when it came to opening their wallets.  That was due to the salary cap only increasing slightly and with the predictions that it won’t change much for 2016-17, we’re projecting that teams won’t be free spending again this time around.  Sure, the top players will still get the big bucks but some of the middle-tiered players may not have quite the market they’re hoping for.  We also have taken into consideration that some free agents may take a little less to stay where they are.

All predictions are independent of each other and no specific consideration has been given to no-trade or no-move clauses.  Any players that have been or will be bought out are not included on this list.

Without further ado, here are our rankings and projections.

1. Steven Stamkos – Lightning – 8 years, $72MM. It’s extremely rare that a player like Stamkos ever gets to the market. He’s one of the top pure goal scorers in the league (only Washington’s Alex Ovechkin has more goals in the last five seasons) and at 26 years old, he’s in the prime of his career.  A blood clot he sustained late in the year may give a couple of teams pause but if he makes it to free agency, he still should have no shortage of suitors. (Signed with Lightning, 8 years, $68MM)

2. Kyle Okposo – Sabres – 7 years, $47.25MM. Okposo has been under the shadow of linemate John Tavares for most of his career but he has quietly become a legitimate front line player in his own right. He has been one of the more consistent point-producing right wingers (a position that’s not too deep in terms of top-end talent) and is young enough that whoever gets him shouldn’t have to worry too much about a drop off towards the end of the contract. (Signed with Sabres, 7 years, $42MM)

3. Milan Lucic – Kings – 5 years, $28.75MM. Lucic is the prototypical power forward that every team wants to have on their side. He has picked up at least 44 points and been in the top 12 in hits in each of the last three seasons.  Perhaps even more impressive is his durability given the style he plays as he has missed just ten games in the last six years.  Despite that, it’s reasonable to expect that to change as he ages and accordingly, he may have some challenges getting a six or seven year deal. (Signed with Oilers, 7 years, $42MM)

4. Keith Yandle – Panthers – 6 years, $41.4MM. It’s a fairly weak UFA class of blueliners which should work to Yandle’s benefit as he is unquestionably the best of those available. He’s a high end point producer at his position which will make teams overlook some of his defensive concerns.  Brent Seabrook received $6.875MM to extend in Chicago; Yandle in an open market should be able to come in at a similar price tag per year. (Signed with Panthers, 7 years, $44.45MM)

5. David Backes – Wild – 6 years, $34MM. Like Lucic, Backes is the big, physical forward that all teams covet and Backes provides the further benefit of playing center. He has surpassed the 20 goal mark in each of the last five full seasons and consistently hovers around the 45-60 point range year after year.  Consistency, size, and skill are all elements that GM’s will covet in free agency and Backes has them all so despite the fact he’s older than some of the other players in our rankings (32), he should be able to command a long-term deal. (Signed with Bruins, 5 years, $30MM)

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Atlantic Notes: Red Wings, Lightning, Bruins

The Detroit Red Wings are apparently talking more with Darren Helm after many analysts figured his time in Detroit was up. This all changed after Steven Stamkos was locked up in an eight-year deal with the Lightning. Craig Custance tweets that both Helm and the Wings will talk until tomorrow when he becomes an unrestricted free agent. An afterthought after Drew Miller signed a one-year extension, Helm could fill a need at center now that Stamkos is off the market, though it will not be the type of production Stamkos would have generated. Helm, 29, has spent his entire career with the Red Wings.

Nick Cotsonika wonders where the Red Wings go from here after not even getting a chance to talk with Stamkos. Cotsonika reports that Stamkos would have been the first bona-fide superstar signing for Detroit in quite some time, and that a quarter-century of success has its drawbacks in terms of not drafting generational talent due to having lower draft picks. The Red Wings, Cotsonika writes, will have to be deft at not only acquiring the right free agent, but outbidding other teams without overpaying.

Other Central Division notes:

  • Speaking of Stamkos, Kevin McGran writes how the 25-year-old never intended to leave Tampa in the first place. Though he had the chance to be a “hometown hero,” Stamkos opted to stay with the Lightning where the opportunity to win a Cup remains very strong. McGran reports that not only did Stamkos sign for a very cap friendly $8.5MM, he did so knowing it was about $3MM less than what he could have received on the open market.
  • DJ Bean reports that the Bruins would have preferred to trade Dennis Seidenberg instead of buying out his contract. Bean writes that a source told him that general manager Don Sweeney never approached Seidenberg with a trade scenario. Seidenberg’s contract included a no trade clause until December. Bean surmises that this either meant no one was interested in taking Seidenberg’s contract or if willing to take it, they would have expected a return similar to the Blackhawks Bryan Bickell trade that included Teuvo Teravainen.

Free Agent Profile: David Backes

David Backes is fifth on PHR’s Top 50 Unrestricted Free Agents list. In this market the St. Louis Blues captain will command $5MM+ a year despite coming off of his worst season statistically since 2007-08. His leadership, grit, and ability to score timely goals are characteristics valued by NHL GMs and are always in demand.

Backes epitomizes the steady scorer, collecting between 45-60 points a season since 2008. It is his two-way play, however, that garners all the attention. The perennial Selke Trophy candidate’s defensive prowess compares to Jonathan Toews, Anze Kopitar, and Patrice Bergeron. He excels in the face-off dot, and was second to only Alex Steen in team TOI.

POTENTIAL SUITORS

St. Louis is the main candidate to sign Backes. The team drafted him in 2003—62nd in a historically stacked draft year—and made him captain in 2011. Backes has been one of the Blues’ top producers year in and year out by consistently finishing near the top of the team scoring leaders. GM Doug Armstrong said in February that trading Backes as an impending free agent at the deadline “would be an injustice” to the team. Armstrong doubled down on his desire to keep Backes in June, telling NHL.com that the team would like Backes back, and are willing to pony up some “thank-you” money. This makes sense as the Blues don’t want to take a step back after making it to the Western Conference Finals last year. It is also rare for teams to lose their captains to free agency, but then again the Blues traded away former captain Eric Brewer before giving the captaincy to Backes. Cap space won’t be a problem, however, as they currently have over $14MM in cap space.

Other suitors would be any team missing out on Steven Stamkos in free agency. Backes will command less in term and in money, which make him an option for thriftier teams. The center would also be a good option for teams with up-and-coming centers not be ready for top line duties yet—teams like Buffalo, Edmonton, and Toronto. Detroit is also a good fit as Backes could replace elite two-way forward Pavel Datsyuk. Backes will not cure any team’s scoring woes, but he will add elite two-way offense and concrete leadership. Expect him to either re-sign with the Blues after testing free agency, or sign with a team looking for more defensive responsibility from its forwards.

EXPECTED CONTRACT

PHR predicts that Backes receives a six-year, $34MM contract, averaging out to just over $5.5MM a year. His age (32) brings the dollar amount down slightly. While he embodies the prototypical power forward role, his numbers declined this year and may leave some teams wary of the future. Moreover, his age will take a toll on the more physical aspects of his game. In a market where Andrew Shaw receives $3.9MM a year, however, Backes may cash in on one more payday before the inevitable decline.

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