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Five Key Stories: 9/16/24 – 9/22/24

September 22, 2024 at 9:00 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

With training camps getting underway, it was a busy week around the NHL, particularly on the transactions front with plenty of notable contracts being handed out.  Those are among our key stories from the past seven days.

Red Wings Sign Three: Detroit came into the week with three players left to sign and they ended it with zero.  First, they signed winger Jonatan Berggren to a one-year, $825K contract.  After spending most of last season in the minors, it’s expected he’ll be a full-timer on the Red Wings this season.  Next, winger Lucas Raymond received an eight-year, $64.6MM agreement, one that buys up four extra years of club control.  The fourth-overall pick in 2020, Raymond had by far his best showing last season, notching 31 goals and 41 assists in 82 games.  Lastly, blueliner Moritz Seider inked a seven-year, $59.85MM deal.  The sixth-overall selection in 2019 quickly emerged as a key all-situations blueliner in his rookie year and has played at a similar level since then.  The $8.55MM AAV on this deal checks in just below the $8.7MM for captain Dylan Larkin which was viewed as a ceiling in negotiations.

Utah Makes Another Splash: It has been a busy offseason for Utah HC in their inaugural year after moving from Arizona.  The team swung two big moves to shore up the back end with Mikhail Sergachev and John Marino and now, they’ve handed out one of the richest deals in franchise history to winger Dylan Guenther.  The 21-year-old reached an agreement on a seven-year, $57.14MM extension ($7.142MM AAV), one that puts him just behind Clayton Keller ($7.15MM) for their highest-paid forward.  Guenther started last season in the minors but was quite productive following a midseason recall, notching 18 goals and 17 assists in 45 games.  He has just 78 career NHL games under his belt and has one year remaining on his entry-level contract.

Crosby Finally Signs: It was widely expected that Penguins captain Sidney Crosby would sign a contract extension over the offseason.  Many felt it’d be early on which wasn’t the case.  However, the deal got done as Crosby signed a two-year, $17.4MM deal which kicks in next season.  The deal carries a $8.7MM AAV, meaning that this amount will have been his exclusive cap charge since the 2008-09 season.  Crosby is a franchise icon, leading the team in games played (1,272) while sitting second to Mario Lemieux in goals (592), assists (1,004), and points (1,596).  While he easily could have made a case to command a higher price tag coming off a 42-goal, 94-point season, he’ll remain at the number that’s familiar to him, keeping him on a team-friendly agreement for a little while longer.

Calling It A Career: One of the more prominent remaining unrestricted free agents was veteran winger Kyle Okposo.  However, he has decided to go out on top, announcing his retirement at the age of 36.  The winger played in 17 NHL seasons (notching 614 points), splitting time almost identically between the Islanders and Sabres.  Buffalo flipped him to Florida at the trade deadline, giving him a chance to play for a contender and it worked out well for Okposo with the Panthers winning the Stanley Cup.  Meanwhile, while Jaromir Jagr left the NHL in the 2017-18 season, he hasn’t stopped playing, suiting up for Kladno in his native Czechia, the team he owns.  However, he has revealed that this will be his final year at age 52.  Between the regular season and playoffs, Jagr is closing in on 2,500 career professional appearances and is the second-leading scorer in NHL history.

Stars Sign Two Defensemen: Dallas went into the week with a blueliner to sign although their first contract went to a different one as they agreed to terms with Esa Lindell on a five-year, $26.25MM extension.  The deal actually represents a small pay cut as he’ll make $5.8MM this season in the final year of his current pact.  Lindell has averaged more than 22 minutes a night over his career with Dallas, serving as a reliable defender at that time.  He now won’t be UFA-eligible until the age of 36.  Meanwhile, the Stars reached an agreement with the other blueliner they needed to sign later in the day, signing Thomas Harley to a two-year, $8MM deal.  The 23-year-old only recorded 15 goals and 32 assists in 79 games last season while averaging just over 21 minutes a night, earning himself a significant raise from his entry-level deal in the process.  The deal is slightly backloaded, resulting in Harley requiring a $4.5MM qualifying offer with arbitration rights in 2026.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

NHL Week In Review

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Snapshots: Fowler, Danforth, Nosek, Lankinen

September 22, 2024 at 7:52 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

Earlier this month, it was revealed that the Ducks and veteran defenseman Cam Fowler were working on finding a new team for him to play for.  With Anaheim firmly in a rebuild and Fowler only having two years left on his contract, a change of scenery would make sense for both sides.  GM Pat Verbeek told reporters including Eric Stephens of The Athletic (subscription link) that he doesn’t sense that this will be a distraction, highlighting that Fowler is fully committed to the team.  The 32-year-old has spent his entire 14-year career with Anaheim and sits third in franchise history in games played (974) and fifth in points (453).  With most teams at this point wanting to see what they have first before pondering potential moves, it’s likely that a move involving Fowler will take some time to materialize.

Elsewhere around the NHL:

  • While Blue Jackets winger Justin Danforth has been cleared to resume some on-ice work as he works his way back from a hand injury, Aaron Portzline of The Athletic reports (subscription link) that Danforth might not be cleared for contact for another two or three weeks. Accordingly, that would likely put the start of the regular season out of reach for the 31-year-old in jeopardy.  Danforth had a career-high 26 points in 71 games last season while spending time at all three forward positions.
  • Panthers center Tomas Nosek left today’s preseason game early after colliding with the boards following a trip, notes team reporter Jameson Olive (Twitter link). While he briefly tried to return later in the period, he ultimately didn’t return to the contest.  Nosek is in his first season in Florida after signing a one-year deal with them in free agency.  The 32-year-old battled injury trouble last season, missing 43 games due to four separate issues, managing just six points in 36 appearances when he did suit up.
  • The one-year, $875K deal that the Canucks reached with goaltender Kevin Lankinen on Saturday carries an eight-team no-trade clause, PuckPedia reports (Twitter link). It’s the first time in his career that the 29-year-old will have any form of trade protection in his contract.

Anaheim Ducks| Columbus Blue Jackets| Florida Panthers| Snapshots| Vancouver Canucks Cam Fowler| Justin Danforth| Kevin Lankinen| Tomas Nosek

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Salary Cap Deep Dive: Carolina Hurricanes

September 22, 2024 at 6:41 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 1 Comment

Navigating the salary cap is one of the most important tasks for a front office.  Teams that can avoid total cap chaos by walking the tightrope of inking players to deals that match their value (or compensate for future value without breaking the bank) remain successful.  Those that don’t often see struggles and front office changes.

PHR will look at every NHL team and give a thorough look at their cap situation heading into the 2024-25 season.  This will focus more on players who are regulars on the roster versus those who may find themselves shuttling between the AHL and NHL.  All cap figures are courtesy of PuckPedia.  Next up is the Metropolitan Division, beginning with Carolina.

Carolina Hurricanes

Current Cap Hit: $87,920,087 (under the $88MM Upper Limit)

Entry-Level Contracts

F Bradly Nadeau (three years, $918.3K)

Nadeau might have a chance to make the team out of training camp.  He turned pro after a solid freshman year at college, even making his NHL debut while spending the playoffs as a Black Ace in Carolina.  Given that his NHL career spans just one game so far, it’s far too early to project his next contract.

Signed Through 2024-25, Non-Entry-Level

G Frederik Andersen ($3.4MM, UFA)
D Brent Burns ($5.28MM, UFA)*
F Jesper Fast ($2.4MM, UFA)
F Tyson Jost ($775K, UFA)
F Brendan Lemieux ($775K, UFA)
G Spencer Martin ($775K, UFA)
D Dmitry Orlov ($7.75MM, UFA)
F Eric Robinson ($950K, UFA)
F Jack Roslovic ($2.8MM, UFA)

*-San Jose is retaining another $2.72MM on Burns’ contract.

Roslovic is coming off a down year, one which saw him notch just nine goals and 22 assists in 59 games between the Blue Jackets and Rangers.  Rather than trying to sign a multi-year agreement, he opted for a one-year deal to try to rebuild his value.  He’ll need to get back to the 40-point range if he wants to come close to the $4MM he made on his last deal.  Fast, meanwhile, is already out for the season after neck surgery which won’t help his cause heading to the open market.  A capable bottom-six winger, he’ll likely have to settle for a one-year deal to show he’s healthy.  Although he’ll only be 33 next summer, he will be eligible for performance bonuses since he has played more than 400 NHL games and will be out for the entire year; it wouldn’t be surprising to see a team or two try to use that to their advantage in an offer.

Robinson split last season between Columbus and Buffalo and didn’t fare particularly well.  However, with two seasons of double-digit goals before that, he was able to secure more than the minimum this time around.  He’ll need to get back to that this season or else he could fall into the tier of players settling for the minimum salary.  That’s where Lemieux and Jost already find themselves and barring a significant change in their fortunes this season, they’re likely to remain around that mark.

Orlov elected to take a short-term, above-market deal last summer, positioning himself for potentially another multi-year agreement in what should be a more favorable environment.  However, he had a much more limited role than many expected last season and if he remains in the fourth or fifth slot, the price tag on his contract, might start with a four instead of a seven.  Burns has fit in quite well since being acquired and is still logging big minutes.  At some point, that’s going to change but if he wants to, he could hang around for another year or two even though he’ll turn 40 in March.  It stands to reason that he’ll be going year-to-year at that point, but a $5MM price tag for next season shouldn’t be out of the question.

Andersen dealt with a blood clot issue for a big chunk of last season but was dominant in the limited action he had.  That’s too small of a sample size to make a forecast from but his career numbers have him in the higher-end second-string range or lower-end starter (thanks to durability concerns).  That could be worth a small raise but as he turns 35, he’s a candidate to take a slightly lesser deal in exchange for a multi-year agreement.  Martin projects to be the third-string option but was a full-time NHL player last season thanks to some waiver claims.  With a salary at the minimum, he could be a candidate to be claimed should the Hurricanes try to send him down.  He’ll need to play more frequently to have a shot at a seven-figure deal next summer.

Signed Through 2025-26

F Jack Drury ($1.725MM, RFA)
F Martin Necas ($6.5MM, UFA)

Necas was a speculative trade candidate for most of the offseason and frankly, this contract probably didn’t do too much to dispel that.  A legitimate top-six forward, he will now be positioned to hit the open market at 27, an opportunity few impact players have.  If he can get back to the 70-point range that he reached in 2022-23, he could command upwards of $8MM on the open market.  Drury established himself as a full-timer last season while being a weapon at the faceoff dot.  A productive scorer in the minors, he’ll need to find another gear offensively to have a shot at commanding more impactful money.  Notably, his qualifying offer checks in slightly lower than this at $1.675MM.

Signed Through 2026-27

D Jalen Chatfield ($3MM, UFA)
D Shayne Gostisbehere ($3.2MM, UFA)
G Pyotr Kochetkov ($2MM, UFA)
F Jordan Martinook ($3.05MM, UFA)
F Jordan Staal ($2.9MM, UFA)

After being more of a limited player in his first few seasons with the Hurricanes, Martinook has become a capable secondary scorer while playing a sound defensive game.  He’s still a role player in the grand scheme of things but he’s an upper-end third liner now which helped him earn a $1.25MM raise from last season.  Staal took a more than 50% drop in salary last year to remain in Carolina while getting a four-year agreement that takes him to his age-38 season.  By that time, he’ll likely have a more limited role so if he signs another deal, it could be at a lower price point once again.

Gostisbehere opted for a pay cut but some stability after playing on a one-year deal a year ago.  He remains a capable offensive defenseman who will give some of that production back at the other end.  However, with Burns potentially on the way out after the upcoming season, Gostisbehere could be in line for some more impressive offensive stats.  Chatfield has worked his way from being a depth defender to one who is more of an every-game regular.  $3MM is on the higher side for someone in a number six role but given the scarcity of right-shot defenders on the open market this past summer, he likely was getting it from someone if not Carolina.

Kochetkov’s contract was one of the more interesting ones given to a goalie in recent years.  At the time he signed it, he had primarily played in the minors though he showed some promising signs in limited NHL action.  Even last season, the first year of that deal, saw Kochetkov spend some time in the AHL.  But they’re banking on him playing at a backup level at a minimum and at this point, it looks like he’ll be able to do that at the very least.  If he can land higher on the depth chart and take over as the full-fledged starter (or perhaps more likely, the strong side of a platoon), Carolina will get a terrific return on this agreement.

Signed Through 2027-28 Or Longer

F Sebastian Aho ($9.75MM through 2031-32)
F William Carrier ($2MM through 2029-30)
F Seth Jarvis ($7.42MM through 2031-32)
F Jesperi Kotkaniemi ($4.82MM through 2029-30)
D Jaccob Slavin ($5.3MM in 2024-25, $6.396MM from 2025-26 through 2032-33)
F Andrei Svechnikov ($7.75MM through 2028-29)
D Sean Walker ($3.6MM through 2028-29)

While Montreal’s offer sheet to Aho in the past was one Carolina easily matched, the one thing it did was put Aho in a position to reach UFA eligibility early which helped him land this agreement.  He has averaged just over a point per game over the last six seasons combined and is a legitimate number one center.  With the rising costs for impact middlemen, this deal is in line with many of those.  Svechnikov bypassed the bridge contract to sign this agreement with the hopes it’d be a bargain as the deal progresses.  When healthy, he performs as a top-line level but he has missed considerable time for two straight years now which means it’s not a team-friendly pact just yet but is heading in that direction.

The deal with Jarvis took some time to put together this summer and for good reason.  The sense is that the Hurricanes wanted to keep Svechnikov’s contract as the high point in discussions while Jarvis’ camp wanted more than that.  They eventually found a happy medium as he will receive an average of $7.9MM per season (more than Svechnikov) but with $15.67MM in deferrals, the cap hit is lower than Svechnikov’s, meaning both sides got what they wanted.  Jarvis only has one season above 40 points but that was 2023-24 when he had 67; clearly, both sides are banking on there being more to come.  The deal might be a bit above market at the start but should be a team-friendly pact before long.

Carolina was hoping that Kotkaniemi’s deal would follow that path but it hasn’t yet.  Even after accepting a pay cut following an inflated one-year offer sheet that Montreal elected not to match, the 2018 third-overall pick is now six years into his career but is still more of a bottom-six player than a top-six core element.  Still just 24, that could change yet but the odds of that happening are starting to lessen.  Carrier was an effective energy player for seven years in Vegas and opted for stability over trying to necessarily maximize his earnings with this contract.  Six years is risky for a role player but the AAV is low enough to largely mitigate that.

Slavin has quietly been a high-end defender for several years but has largely flown under the radar.  What limited him to an extent with his new contract is that he isn’t a high-end offensive threat which capped the overall upside.  Still, it would be fair to say that he left money on the table with the new agreement that starts next season and not just because there is a bit of deferred money in there as well.  Had he hit the open market next summer, an AAV starting with a seven and possibly an eight would have been doable.

Walker went from being a salary dump last summer to a quality top-four piece with Philadelphia and Colorado but the fact he wound up with less than $4MM a year suggests there was some skepticism that he could repeat that.  That should work in Carolina’s favor as even if he holds down a number four role for most of this contract, they should get good value from it.  If Walker can be as impactful as he was last season throughout the agreement, this will be a steal in a hurry.

Buyouts

None

Retained Salary Transactions

None

Still To Sign

None

Best Value: (non-entry-level) Kochetkov
Worst Value: Kotkaniemi

Looking Ahead

Money is going to be tight for Carolina this season as they’re likely to be right up against the Upper Limit.  Fast being LTIR-eligible will buy them some wiggle room when injuries strike but since cap space can’t be banked when a team is using it, they’re going to be a money-in, money-out team in 2024-25.

The Hurricanes have more longer-term money on the books than a lot of teams with over $64MM in commitments in 2025-26, nearly $56MM in 2026-27, and just under $42MM in 2027-28.  That said, there are enough contracts coming off the books those years to give GM Eric Tulsky some flexibility to tweak the core by re-signing or replacing those pieces but it might be a while before they’re able to make a big addition to strengthen what they already have.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Carolina Hurricanes| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| Salary Cap Deep Dive 2024

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West Notes: Lehner, Perfetti, Jarventie

September 21, 2024 at 5:30 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 2 Comments

Robin Lehner’s absence from Golden Knights training camp to take (and not pass) his physical has led to the team reportedly considering its options.  However, the netminder told Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman that his absence wasn’t unexpected:

All I can say at this time is everyone knows why I couldn’t be there. I am waiting calmly for things to be sorted out.

Vegas GM Kelly McCrimmon has already indicated that Lehner won’t be reporting to the team this season.  The 33-year-old hasn’t played the last two years after undergoing hip surgery and clearly, that will be three years based on McCrimmon’s statement.  He’ll be LTIR-eligible once again as a result but Friedman notes that the team, Lehner, and the NHLPA are working through the unique circumstances of this situation so it might not quite be as simple as it has been the last couple of seasons.

More from out West:

  • Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman reported in the latest 32 Thoughts podcast (audio link) that Cole Perfetti’s camp is believed to be using Ottawa’s two-year, $7.5MM agreement as a comparable in contract discussions, one that the Jets would likely want to avoid. The numbers between the two are quite close; Perfetti has 75 points in 140 career NHL games while Pinto checks in at 70 in 140.  While Pinto’s agreement was actually his third contract, he wasn’t arbitration-eligible which still makes it a legitimate comparable agreement.  Clearly, Winnipeg is looking for this deal to come in below that price point.
  • New Oilers prospect Roby Jarventie will have to wait a little while longer to make his case for a roster spot. Jim Matheson of the Edmonton Journal notes that while the 22-year-old has recovered from his midseason knee surgery, he overcompensated on the other knee while recovering, leading to him needing to shut things down for a couple of weeks to recover.  Jarventie played in seven games with Ottawa last season while adding 20 points in 22 AHL games and was acquired from the Sens this summer in mid-July.

Edmonton Oilers| Vegas Golden Knights| Winnipeg Jets Cole Perfetti| Robin Lehner| Roby Järventie

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Training Camp Cuts: 9/21/24

September 21, 2024 at 4:43 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

While training camps have just gotten underway, some teams are already starting to pare down their rosters.  We’ll keep track of today’s cuts here.

Colorado Avalanche (per team announcement)

F Max Curran (to WHL Tri-City)
D Garrett Pyke (released from PTO to AHL Colorado)
F Neil Shea (released from PTO to AHL Colorado)
F Briley Wood (released from PTO to AHL Colorado)

Pittsburgh Penguins (per team announcement)

D Caeden Carlisle (released from ATO, to OHL Soo)
F Justin Cloutier (released from ATO to OHL Soo)
F Cooper Foster (to OHL Ottawa)
D Donovan McCoy (released from ATO, to OHL Sudbury)
D Emil Pieniniemi (to OHL Kingston)
G Charlie Schenkel (released from ATO, to OHL Soo)

Toronto Maple Leafs (per team announcement)

F Marshall Finnie (released from ATO, to WHL Edmonton)
F Miroslav Holinka (to WHL Edmonton)
D Nathan Mayes (to WHL Spokane)
F Sam McCue (to OHL Owen Sound)
F Maxim Muranov (released from ATO, to WHL Calgary)

This post will be updated if/when other cuts are announced.

Colorado Avalanche| Pittsburgh Penguins| Toronto Maple Leafs| Transactions Emil Pieniniemi| Sam McCue

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Canucks Sign Kevin Lankinen To One-Year Deal

September 21, 2024 at 3:26 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 5 Comments

The Canucks have been searching for some goalie depth for a while now with Kevin Lankinen being an early target.  While it took a while, the two sides have reached an agreement as the team announced (Twitter link) that the netminder has signed a one-year, $875K contract.

Vancouver made an offer to the 29-year-old last month, one that was below the $1MM mark as this contract is, but it was rejected with the belief that Lankinen was seeking more money.  However, with opportunities across the league largely dried up at this point, it appears he decided to take the guaranteed deal that was on the table.

Lankinen spent the last two years in Nashville, posting a 2.79 GAA and a .912 SV% in 43 games.  Those numbers were certainly above-average for a second-string option which makes it a bit surprising that a better offer didn’t materialize for him over the past couple of months.  For his career, he has a 3.07 GAA with a .895 SV% over four NHL seasons, the other two coming with Chicago.

Starting goaltender Thatcher Demko is still working his way back from a knee injury although he is making good progress in recent weeks.  That said, his availability for the start of the regular season remains in question.  That means that Lankinen will have an opportunity to battle Arturs Silovs for the starting role if Demko isn’t available on opening night.  If he is able to play, the two will try to secure the backup role.

Management made it known earlier this summer that their goal is to avoid using LTIR even though Tucker Poolman won’t play this season.  That’s particularly noteworthy as the team is now $694K over the cap with this signing per PuckPedia.  If Demko isn’t available on opening night, they’ll have to remove a skater from the roster to fit in Lankinen’s contract.  Meanwhile, one of him or Silovs will have to come off the roster once Demko is cleared to return.  That could work in Lankinen’s favor as Silovs has one more season of waiver exemption remaining which could give the veteran a leg up on securing a full-time spot.

Either way, while it took longer than they would have liked, Vancouver now has the goaltending insurance that they’d been seeking for most of the summer.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Newsstand| Transactions| Vancouver Canucks Kevin Lankinen

5 comments

Salary Cap Deep Dive: Winnipeg Jets

September 21, 2024 at 2:58 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 1 Comment

Navigating the salary cap is one of the most important tasks for a front office.  Teams that can avoid total cap chaos by walking the tightrope of inking players to deals that match their value (or compensate for future value without breaking the bank) remain successful.  Those that don’t often see struggles and front office changes.

PHR will look at every NHL team and give a thorough look at their cap situation heading into the 2024-25 season.  This will focus more on players who are regulars on the roster versus those who may find themselves shuttling between the AHL and NHL.  All cap figures are courtesy of PuckPedia.  We wrap up our look at the Central Division with Winnipeg.

Winnipeg Jets

Current Cap Hit: $82,223,691 (under the $88MM Upper Limit)

Entry-Level Contracts

None for players projected to be full-time regulars.

Signed Through 2024-25, Non-Entry-Level

F Mason Appleton ($2.167MM, UFA)
F Morgan Barron ($1.35MM, RFA)
F Nikolaj Ehlers ($6MM, UFA)
F Axel Jonsson-Fjallby ($775K, UFA)
G Kaapo Kahkonen ($1MM, UFA)
F Rasmus Kupari ($1MM, RFA)
F Alex Iafallo ($4MM, UFA)
F Vladislav Namestnikov ($2MM, UFA)
D Neal Pionk ($5.875MM, UFA)
D Dylan Samberg ($1.4MM, RFA)
F Gabriel Vilardi ($3.4375MM, RFA)

Ehlers has been in trade speculation for a while now but nothing has happened on that front and he’ll start the season with the Jets.  While he is a bit of a streaky player and has had some injury woes, he has averaged at least 0.74 points per game (a 61-point pace per 82 games) in five straight years.  That type of overall consistency should earn him another long-term deal with an extra million or so on the cap hit.  Iafallo was part of last summer’s Pierre-Luc Dubois trade but wasn’t able to provide the same level of scoring despite spending a lot of time in the top six.  If he has another stat line like that in 2024-25, he could be looking at a small dip but if he gets back to the 40-point range, he could check in a bit higher than his current cost.

Vilardi was arguably the key piece of the Dubois trade.  A 2017 first-round pick, he had shown flashes of being a top-six piece in Los Angeles but struggled to do so consistently and dealt with injuries.  With Winnipeg, he was consistently productive but the injury struggles continued as he missed 35 games.  Nonetheless, the 25-year-old showed that he can be a core piece for the Jets and is someone who they’ll want to have around for the long haul although the injury history will be a complicating factor.  Even so, there’s a good chance his next contract will start with at least a six which will come in well past his $3.6MM qualifying offer.

Appleton stayed healthy last season after battling injuries in 2022-23, reaching a new career-high in points in the process with 36.  A true middle-six winger who moves up and down the lineup, he should be able to add at least $1MM to his current price tag on a multi-year deal; it could approach $4MM if he puts up a similar point total this season.  Namestnikov hasn’t had much success on the open market in recent years as he has struggled to find a long-term fit.  While he’s coming off his best point total since 2017-18 with 37, he’d need another season like that to get to the $3MM mark.  As things stand, another two-year deal around $2.5MM per season might be where he winds up.

Barron was limited to primarily fourth-line ice time last season and he’s likely to have a similar role this season which won’t help his cause.  He’s owed a $1.4MM qualifying offer with arbitration rights so if his production dips a bit in 2024-25, he could become a non-tender candidate.  Failing that, a small raise to around $1.5MM to $1.75MM could be achievable.  Kupari was also brought in from Los Angeles last summer but struggled mightily with his new team.  Owed a $1.1MM qualifying offer next summer, that seems on the high side unless he’s able to secure a full-time roster spot and have a bit of success this season.  Jonsson-Fjallby has been up and down in recent years while holding a fringe role when he has been in the NHL.  Accordingly, it’s likely that he’ll stay at or near the minimum moving forward.

Pionk’s best season was his first with Winnipeg back in 2019-20.  Since then, he has still shown flashes of being an above-average blueliner but has struggled somewhat with consistency.  Having said that, he can still log over 20 minutes a night without much issue, has passed 30 points in five straight years, and is a right-shot player.  That’s a strong combination heading into free agency, positioning himself for likely another long-term deal with a price tag starting with a six.  Samberg has been limited to third-pairing duty thus far but has fared well in that role.  Still, he’ll need to take on a bigger role if he wants any sort of significant raise from the $1.5MM offer he’ll be owed in the summer with arbitration rights.

Kahkonen struggled last season with San Jose but did well in a small sample size with New Jersey to finish the year.  Still, the lasting memory of his time with the Sharks didn’t help his cause in free agency, resulting in this one-year deal at a sizable pay cut.  Given Winnipeg’s recent track records with backups, this could be a good landing spot for him but he’ll need to come closer to maintaining his numbers with the Devils to get back to the $2.75MM of his last contract.

Signed Through 2025-26

G Eric Comrie ($825K, UFA)
F Kyle Connor ($7.143MM, UFA)
F David Gustafsson ($835K, RFA)
D Ville Heinola ($800K, RFA)
F Adam Lowry ($3.25MM, UFA)
D Colin Miller ($1.5MM, UFA)
D Logan Stanley ($1.25MM, UFA)

Connor will be the next big-ticket contract that the Jets have to contend with relatively quickly.  The 27-year-old has emerged as a legitimate top-line threat, averaging more than a point per game over the past five seasons combined while passing the 30-goal mark in four of those.  If that continues over the next two years, he will make a strong case to become Winnipeg’s highest-paid player with a price tag in the $9MM range.

Lowry doesn’t put up the offensive numbers to necessarily be worth this money but as a strong defensive player as well, he’s well worth the contract.  Best suited as a third-line pivot, we’ve seen some of those players push past $4MM lately and it stands to reason that he’ll be able to do so as well.  As for Gustafsson, he’s still working on securing himself a full-time role in the lineup.  He’ll need to do that to have a chance at pushing past the $1MM threshold on his next agreement.

Miller didn’t play much with Winnipeg after they acquired him at the trade deadline but it didn’t stop them from re-signing him.  It’s the second straight contract in which he has accepted a pay cut, a reflection of his diminishing role.  At $1.5MM, they don’t need him to do much but they’ll be hoping he can at least get back to the 15-20-point range.

Stanley and Heinola have seemingly been on shaky ground for a while now but they’re still in Winnipeg.  Stanley has been a frequent healthy scratch, especially the last two years which led to a trade request that went unfulfilled.  The two years is a small showing of faith but if he’s still in this role at the end of this contract, it’d be shocking to see him re-signed.  Heinola made the team in training camp last year but was injured in the final preseason game and once he was cleared to return, he stayed in the minors the rest of the way.  Playing time was hard to come by when he was healthy and he’s likely on the fringes again although he’s now waiver-eligible.  Still, this is a low-risk move that buys more time to evaluate and if Heinola can produce like he did in the minors (and stay healthy which is already an issue again), this could be a team-friendly pact quite quickly.

Comrie is back for his third stint with the team.  The second one saw him put up his best performance before going to Buffalo in free agency where he struggled.  It’s possible that he pushes for the backup spot but considering that he cleared waivers last season, they may view him as a third-string option.  Until Comrie can re-establish himself as a regular backup, this is more the price range he’s likely to stay in.

Signed Through 2026-27

F Nino Niederreiter ($4MM, UFA)

Niederreiter has settled in as a player who should hover around 20 goals and 35-40 points per season.  At this price point, that’s neither a bargain nor a bad value deal as reliable secondary scoring can be hard to come by.  He’ll be 35 when this contract is up, however, which means he might be going year-to-year from there.

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Signed Through 2027-28 Or Longer

D Dylan DeMelo ($4.9MM through 2027-28)
G Connor Hellebuyck ($8.5MM through 2030-31)
D Josh Morrissey ($6.25MM through 2027-28)
F Mark Scheifele ($8.5MM through 2030-31)

Scheifele may not be a true number one center but he has filled that role in Winnipeg for a long time now and has held up pretty well.  Over the past eight seasons combined, he has averaged just over a point per game and has only been under 0.97 points per game once.  That type of year-to-year consistency isn’t easy to come by which helped earn him this deal, one that takes him to the age of 38.  It would be surprising to see Scheifele producing at this level by the time he gets to the end of the contract but if he continues to produce at a point-per-game rate for a few more years at least, Winnipeg should get a pretty good return on his deal overall.

GM Kevin Cheveldayoff took a leap of faith with Morrissey, giving him this max-term agreement after his bridge deal despite the fact he had a career-high of just 31 points.  He felt there was another gear he could get to and the last two years demonstrated that he was right as Morrissey has emerged as a legitimate top-end defender.  The going rate for someone in this role is several million more than this, making it a strong value deal.  It’s not likely that DeMelo’s will be viewed in the same light.  He has worked his way from a depth piece to one who is a key shutdown player but it’s unlikely that the offense will come around to make it a true value contract.  That said, he might have wound up leaving money on the table when he re-signed just before free agency.

Hellebuyck has been one of the better bargains for goaltenders in recent years, playing at a Vezina level while being nowhere close to the highest-paid goalies.  Eventually, that had to come to an end but the Jets still landed him at a rate that was below the top-paid netminders.  Like Scheifele, this takes Hellebuyck to his age-38 year and given the workload he has had in recent years, durability towards the end could be a concern but for the next few years, Winnipeg should get a solid return.

Buyouts

D Nate Schmidt ($2.717MM in 2024-25, $1.617MM in 2025-26)
F Blake Wheeler ($2.75MM in 2024-25)

Retained Salary Transactions

None

Still To Sign

F Cole Perfetti – Perfetti is now just one of three remaining restricted free agents across the NHL.  The 22-year-old is coming off his most productive season, one that saw him record 19 goals and 19 assists in 71 games.  However, he also found himself a healthy scratch at times down the stretch and in the playoffs.  A bridge contract makes the most sense for both sides at this point but it seems as if there’s a sizable gap to work through still.  Something in the $3MM to $3.5MM range might be the right spot for that agreement.

Best Value: (non-entry-level) Morrissey
Worst Value: Iafallo

Looking Ahead

At the moment, Winnipeg projects to have well over $5MM in cap room, a number that will go down considerably once Perfetti puts pen to paper on a new deal.  But even when that happens, the Jets are in better shape than a lot of teams and should be able to bank some cap space early on to use later in the season as they’ve done in recent years.

Next offseason should be one of change for Winnipeg.  The team only has $49.4MM in commitments for 2025-26 and while there are some big-ticket deals to hammer out (Ehlers and Vilardi, in particular), there also will be an opportunity to at least turn over some of the role players if they so desire and look to try to add an impact player as well.  They only have five players signed for 2026-27 so Winnipeg’s long-term books are among the cleanest in the league at the moment.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| Salary Cap Deep Dive 2024| Winnipeg Jets

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Snapshots: Krebs, Karlsson, Pitlick

September 21, 2024 at 1:56 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

Sabres center Peyton Krebs was one of several players earlier this week who signed contracts before training camp got underway.  The 23-year-old told reporters including Bill Hoppe of the Olean Times Herald that he had been following his agent’s advice throughout the process but eventually relented, telling his agent to get a deal done while prioritizing getting a two-year agreement.  He was able to do just that, landing a two-year, $2.9MM pact.  Buffalo was busy over the summer reshaping their bottom six with the additions of Ryan McLeod, Beck Malenstyn, Sam Lafferty, and Nicolas Aube-Kubel so Krebs will have his work cut out for him to hold onto a regular spot in the lineup after getting into 80 games last season.

Elsewhere around the hockey world:

  • Penguins defenseman Erik Karlsson skated on his own today before practice, relays Matt Vensel of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette (Twitter link). The veteran has yet to take part in any team activities during training camp due to an upper-body injury and is listed as day-to-day.  Karlsson’s offensive numbers took a big dip last season after putting up 101 points in his final year with San Jose but he still managed 11 goals and 45 assists, good for a tie for third in team scoring.
  • Former Montreal prospect Rhett Pitlick has found a new place to play as Minnesota State University announced that the forward has enrolled with them for his senior season. The 23-year-old spent the last three years at the University of Minnesota, putting up 36 points in 39 games last season.  However, he deregistered earlier in the offseason, allowing him to become a free agent in the process.  Clearly, there wasn’t an offer to his liking so he’ll now play out his NCAA eligibility and will look to secure an NHL deal after that.

Buffalo Sabres| NCAA| Pittsburgh Penguins| Snapshots Erik Karlsson| Peyton Krebs| Rhett Pitlick

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Central Notes: Faksa, Appleton, Stastney

September 21, 2024 at 11:45 am CDT | by Brian La Rose 1 Comment

The Blues acquired veteran center Radek Faksa from Dallas earlier this summer, giving the 30-year-old a new team for the first time in his NHL career.  It turns out that Faksa was looking for a change of scenery at the time.  He told Lou Korac of The Hockey News that he went to Stars GM Jim Nill after the season to communicate that he wasn’t happy with his role and ice time.  Faksa was viewed as a two-way player early in his career but hasn’t been able to get past the 20-point mark in five straight years, resulting in him being deployed in more of a shutdown role with more limited minutes.  He’s entering the final year of his contract, one that carries a $3.25MM AAV.  He’ll likely need to show at least a bit more offensively with St. Louis to get a raise on the open market next summer.

Elsewhere in the Central:

  • Jets winger Mason Appleton is entering the final year of his contract, making him eligible for a contract extension. The 28-year-old told reporters including Ken Wiebe of the Winnipeg Free Press that the perfect world scenario is that he remains in Winnipeg.  Appleton has spent most of his six-year NHL career with them aside from one season in Seattle after being picked in expansion.  Appleton is coming off a career year that saw him produce 14 goals and 22 assists, putting him in line for a raise on his current $2.167MM cap charge.
  • Predators defenseman Spencer Stastney is not with the team in training camp for personal reasons and there is no word yet on when he’ll return, relays Alex Daugherty of The Tennessean. The blueliner split last season between Nashville and AHL Milwaukee, getting into 20 games with the big club where he had two goals and two assists in just under 16 minutes a night.  Somewhat surprisingly, the two sides went to salary arbitration this summer with the 24-year-old being awarded a two-year, $1.625MM contract, the second season of which is a one-way salary.

Dallas Stars| Nashville Predators| St. Louis Blues| Winnipeg Jets Mason Appleton| Radek Faksa| Spencer Stastney

1 comment

Metropolitan Notes: York, Jenner, Carrier

September 21, 2024 at 10:39 am CDT | by Brian La Rose Leave a Comment

Flyers defenseman Cam York is entering the final year of his contract and is therefore eligible to sign a contract extension.  Speaking with reporters including Jackie Spiegel of the Philadelphia Inquirer, the blueliner indicated he wasn’t worried about getting a deal done at this point knowing that eventually something will work out.  The 23-year-old potted 10 goals along with 20 assists while playing all 82 games last season.  He also notably logged 22:37 per contest, second to only Travis Sanheim.  With that in mind, it might make sense for York to wait a little while yet before signing an extension as a repeat of last year’s performance will only bolster his value heading into next summer when he’ll be a restricted free agent with arbitration eligibility, owed a $1.6MM qualifying offer.

More from the Metropolitan:

  • While Boone Jenner has arguably been the Blue Jackets’ most reliable center in recent years, he won’t be lining up there to start the season. Instead, Brian Hedger of the Columbus Dispatch relays that the captain will instead line up on the left wing on the top line.  Jenner has been a reliable faceoff specialist over the years but with Sean Monahan being added in free agency and Adam Fantilli now fully recovered from a calf laceration that caused him to miss the second half last season, new head coach Dean Evason wants to see how Jenner fares in Johnny Gaudreau’s old spot, hoping that his forechecking will lead to some additional opportunities.
  • Hurricanes winger William Carrier is only expected to miss a couple of days with the lower-body injury that held him out of practice yesterday, relays team reporter Walt Ruff (Twitter link). Head coach Rod Brind’Amour noted that they’re merely being extra cautious with the newcomer.  Carrier signed a six-year, $12MM contract with Carolina over the summer after spending the last seven years with Vegas where he averaged three hits per game while chipping in with 99 points in 372 appearances.

Carolina Hurricanes| Columbus Blue Jackets| Philadelphia Flyers Boone Jenner| Cam York| William Carrier

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