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Free Agent Focus: Minnesota Wild

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Free agency is now just under a month away and many teams are already looking ahead to when it opens up.  There will be several prominent players set to hit the open market in late July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well.  Minnesota has been busy in recent days with some re-signings but still has two impact RFAs and several veteran UFAs in need of new contracts.

Key Restricted Free Agents

F Kirill Kaprizov – Technically speaking, Kaprizov doesn’t even qualify for restricted free agency as he doesn’t have enough service time to qualify to be tendered an offer sheet but he needs a new deal nevertheless.  Minnesota is believed to have already made a long-term offer to the 24-year-old but such a contract doesn’t appear to be to Kaprizov’s liking.  Something shorter-term that sets him up for a new deal in a more favorable cap environment while being in the prime of his career would be preferable on his part though not for the Wild.  With Kaprizov not having arbitration rights either, his leverage is limited to stalling in the hopes of getting a better offer from Minnesota so this is a deal that could be slow-played longer into the summer.  Regardless of how long it takes, he will make substantially more than the $925K base salary (which includes the signing bonus) he made on his entry-level deal this season.

F Kevin Fiala – Despite the last two seasons being shortened by the pandemic, the winger has reached the 20-goal mark each time for only the second and third time of his career.  Fiala has settled in nicely with the Wild after being acquired back at the 2019 trade deadline in exchange for Mikael Granlund.  The 24-year-old has arbitration eligibility for the first time and is two years away from reaching unrestricted free agency.  If a long-term deal is worked out that buys out some of those UFA-eligible years, Fiala may have a shot at doubling the $3MM AAV he had on his bridge contract.  Worth noting, his qualifying offer stands a little higher than that at $3.5MM.

Other RFAs: F Will Bitten, F Brandon Duhaime, F Mason Shaw

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

F Nick Bonino – Statistically speaking, Bonino had a similar season on a points per game basis compared to his time with Nashville (who traded him to Minnesota last fall).  At this stage of his career, he’s best served as a third-line center and as someone who is routinely above average at the faceoff dot, he should have considerable interest on the open market.  However, spending on the bottom six dried up last summer and with the cap staying flat, that’s likely to continue this summer.  Accordingly, it would be surprising to see the 33-year-old match the $4.1MM AAV he got from the Predators in his last trip to free agency back in 2017.

F Marcus Johansson – Last season didn’t go well for Johansson as he managed just six goals and eight assists in 36 games.  However, he had two straight 30-point seasons before that and going back to his time in Washington, he had five seasons of 44 or more points.  There’s a track record of offensive success in the right environment.  He was patient two years ago and landed a two-year, $9MM contract from Buffalo but he won’t have a shot at that this time around.  However, he’s an intriguing middle-six option out there, especially if he’s open to a one-year contract to try to boost his value and show he has something left in the tank.

D Ian Cole – The veteran was acquired early in the season to stabilize their third pairing and he did just that, logging nearly 16 minutes a night over 52 games while providing plenty of physicality.  Cole should have a decent-sized market this summer but it will be in that limited capacity, not as a top-four player which is how he was able to sell himself three years ago in free agency when he managed to land a $4.25MM price tag.  Half of that may be the ceiling this time around.

Other UFAs: D Matt Bartkowski, D Louis Belpedio, F Joseph Cramarossa, F Gabriel Dumont, G Andrew Hammond, D Brad Hunt, F Luke Johnson, D Ian McCoshen, D Dakota Mermis, F Kyle Rau

Projected Cap Space

Minnesota finds themselves with just under $16MM in cap space which may sound like a lot at first but a significant chunk of that will need to be allocated to Kaprizov and Fiala.  By the time they fill out their roster with some depth players, that will basically be it for summer spending.  As a result, if GM Bill Guerin wants to add a significant piece to his roster, that will likely have to come via the trade route.  If that doesn’t happen, it could be a relatively quiet summer for the Wild.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.  Contract information courtesy of CapFriendly.

Offseason Checklist: Toronto Maple Leafs

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The offseason is in full flight with only two teams still standing.  We continue our series which examines what those eliminated teams need to accomplish over the coming months.  Next up is a look at Toronto.

Things didn’t quite go according to plan for the Maple Leafs this season.  Yes, they won the North Division as expected but it didn’t result in much playoff success.  Instead, they were ousted in the opening round once again, this time by Montreal.  GM Kyle Dubas indicated after the season that he doesn’t intend to move any of his four highly-paid forwards so they will be looking to make smaller moves to try to upgrade this summer.  Here is what they should be working on this offseason.

Add A New Assistant Coach

Seattle’s decision to hire Dave Hakstol as their first head coach caught many by surprise but it also created a vacancy on Toronto’s bench that will need to be filled.  With head coach Sheldon Keefe still relatively inexperienced at the NHL level and Manny Malhotra not having any head coaching experience, bringing in a replacement who has been an NHL head coach would be a nice addition to the bench although Paul MacLean is also on the staff and could be elevated to a larger role.  Bruce Boudreau was speculated as a possible addition last offseason and could make sense this summer as well.

Re-Sign Or Replace Hyman

Zach Hyman has worked his way up Toronto’s depth chart from a depth piece at the start to a key member of their top six and had a strong season offensively with 15 goals and 18 assists in 43 games.  Of course, offense is only a piece of what he brings to the table as he’s an effective checker and a strong complementary piece on the top line.  This has him well-positioned to land a significant contract in free agency later this month, even with a flat salary cap in a free agent environment that wasn’t kind to most wingers back in the fall.

But is that a contract they will be able to afford?  They have over $70MM in commitments for next season already to 16 players and another high-priced deal would force them into even more low-cost depth pickups to stay cap compliant while filling out the roster.  On the other hand, can they afford to lose him?  Yes, he’s a complementary player on their number one line but he has logged more than 19 minutes a game the last two years while leading the way in penalty kill ice time among forwards as well.  If he goes elsewhere, it’d be a big loss.

But if he winds up outpricing himself from what Toronto can realistically afford, Hyman’s departure would allow them to shop in the free agent market for a replacement.  They’ve been linked to Nashville’s Mikael Granlund before and someone in his projected price range is what the Maple Leafs can more realistically afford while filling out the rest of their roster.  Their preference would undoubtedly be to keep Hyman but if that doesn’t happen (and at this point, it sure sounds like the asking price is too high for their liking), the ability to dangle a spot alongside Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner could make them a team to watch for in free agency.

Rielly Extension Talks

Morgan Rielly has been a fixture on Toronto’s back end for the last eight years, often being their number one option over the last several seasons.  His current contract – one that carries an AAV of $5MM – has turned into quite a bargain along the way.  However, that deal is up a year from now which means that the 27-year-old is eligible to sign a contract extension as soon as the calendar flips to the 2021-22 league year on July 28th.

It’s safe to say that he will be landing a sizable raise and could push past the $7MM mark as long as he has a strong final year on his contract.  If he gets to the open market, he’ll be one of the more sought-after players in the 2022 free agent class.  And with over $57MM in commitments to just nine players for 2022-23 (which doesn’t factor in a new deal for Hyman or a replacement), there will come a time where they won’t be able to keep all of their core players.

But James Mirtle of The Athletic recently reported (subscription link) that Rielly is willing to take a discount to remain with the Maple Leafs.  If that’s the case, Dubas would be wise to try to get a new deal for Rielly done this summer, giving them some extra certainty in terms of what their cap picture looks like for 2022 and beyond.  If the framework of an extension was in place before free agency started, it’d give them some better clarity on what they can afford long-term on a Hyman re-signing or replacement as well as one other need that will have to be filled.

Platoon Partner For Campbell

That need is finding a second goaltender to team up with Jack Campbell next season.  Frederik Andersen is set to become an unrestricted free agent and while he has expressed an interest in returning, he’d also like to have chance at being a starter again.  That probably won’t come with Toronto with the way that Campbell played down the stretch and in the playoffs.

Campbell may not be the undisputed starter but he could very well be on the stronger side of the platoon which would be a good situation for him as he heads into the final year of his contract before being eligible for unrestricted free agency for the first time.

The good news for the Maple Leafs is that there are several goalies who fit as possible platoon partners.  The bad news is that those netminders still carry a notable price tag with deals for them in recent years hovering in the $3MM range.  They have the room to afford that for next season but it will undoubtedly cut into what they can afford in Hyman’s slot.

If there’s an opportunity to do what they did when they acquired Campbell and bring in a lower-cost netminder with team control beyond next season, that may very well be the more desirable route even though it would cost them an asset or two versus free agency where it’s just money.  That would give them more flexibility on the cap and some certainty with Campbell’s deal being up next summer barring an extension over the summer.

Either way, through trade or a free agent signing, Toronto will need to add another goaltender over the next few weeks.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.  Contract information courtesy of CapFriendly.

Snapshots: Menell, Keith, Eklund, Finkelstein

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While Minnesota has been active in re-signing players in recent days with new deals for centers Joel Eriksson Ek and Nick Bjugstad, they also are in discussions on a new contract for defenseman Brennan Menell, reports Michael Russo of The Athletic (subscription link).  Talks have picked up in recent weeks with a formal offer on the horizon.  The 24-year-old is believed to be seeking a one-way contract to return from the KHL and put up the numbers to justify such an offer as he was second in the league in points by a blueliner this season, notching 38 points in 47 games.

Elsewhere around the hockey world:

  • As part of his efforts to be traded to a place closer to his son, Blackhawks defenseman Duncan Keith has changed agents and is now represented by Gerry Johannson of The Sports Corporation, notes Postmedia’s Jim Matheson. He had previously been repped by RWG’s Ross Gurney.  Johannson happens to be based out of Edmonton which Matheson believes could help the veteran eventually wind up with the Oilers although due to expansion, such a move wouldn’t come until after Seattle picks their team.
  • Draft prospect William Eklund intends on remaining in Sweden next season before coming to the NHL, relays Lance Lysowski of The Buffalo News (Twitter link). The 18-year-old is a consensus top-ten pick and accordingly, his entry-level contract would supersede the final year on his deal with Djurgarden but instead, he’ll stay with them and try to build on a 23-point season, impressive numbers for someone that can still be in their junior system for two more years.
  • The Maple Leafs have added some defensive depth as their farm team announced the signing of blueliner Ben Finkelstein to a one-year, minor-league deal. The 23-year-old was a seventh-round pick of Florida back in 2016 but didn’t sign in 2020 after wrapping up his college career.  Finkelstein spent this season with Greenville of the ECHL, averaging nearly a point per game with 11 goals and 21 assists in 35 games.

Los Angeles Kings Sign Christian Wolanin

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The Los Angeles Kings have retained a depth defenseman, signing Christian Wolanin to a one-year contract. The two-way deal carries an NHL salary of $750K. Wolanin was scheduled to become a Group VI unrestricted free agent this summer.

As we examined recently in our Kings Free Agent Focus piece, Wolanin was basically the only pending UFA that really carried any weight for Los Angeles. His return will give the team another depth option, but certainly doesn’t guarantee him much playing time. The 26-year-old suited up for 18 games this season, but only three of them came with the Kings after a trade from the Ottawa Senators. Since signing his entry-level contract in 2018, he has played in 61 NHL games, recording 18 points.

One thing that may have swayed things in favor of an extension? Wolanin’s strong performance at this year’s World Championship, where he posted six points for Team USA and took home a bronze medal. A league-minimum two-way contract is never a bad idea for a player that has shown an ability to play at the NHL level, and in this case it very well could be a bargain for the Kings.

Wolanin will be left exposed to Seattle, but doesn’t really seem like a prime target given the other players that could be available in Los Angeles.

Expansion Primer: Colorado Avalanche

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Over the next few weeks, we will be breaking down each team’s situation as it pertains to the 2021 NHL Expansion Draft. Which players are eligible, who will likely warrant protection, and which ones may be on the block to avoid the risk of losing them for nothing? Each team is required to submit their protection lists by 4:00 PM CDT on July 17th. The full eligibility rules can be found here, while CapFriendly has an expansion tool to make your own lists.

The last time the expansion process rolled around, the Avalanche were in great shape. They ended up losing depth goaltender Calvin Pickard, who never even played a game in the Vegas organization. He cleared waivers and then was traded for a sixth-round pick and Tobias Lindberg the following October, meaning Colorado certainly didn’t part with much of an asset. This time around the Avalanche are a much deeper roster and things may not be so painless.

Eligible Players (Non-UFA)

Forwards: 

Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, Andre Burakovsky, Nazem Kadri, Joonas Donskoi, J.T. Compher, Valeri Nichushkin, Tyson Jost, Kiefer Sherwood, Travis Barron, Logan O’Connor, Ty Lewis, Jayson Megna, Vladislav Kamenev

Defense:

Erik Johnson (NMC), Samuel Girard, Devon Toews, Ryan Graves, Dennis Gilbert, Cale Makar, Jacob MacDonald

Goalies:

Hunter Miska, Jonas Johansson

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents

F Gabriel Landeskog, F Brandon Saad, D Patrik Nemeth, G Philipp Grubauer, G Devan Dubnyk

Notable Exemptions

F Shane Bowers, F Sampo Ranta, F Alex Newhook, F Martin Kaut, D Conor Timmins, D Bowen Byram, G Pavel Francouz

Key Decisions

Just reading through the list of eligible players you can start to see a problem for the Avalanche, and a potential reason why Landeskog remains unsigned. It’s not clear whether the team has a deal “in the drawer” for their captain (reports indicate that isn’t the case, though things can change at any moment), but it certainly would help the situation if he signs after the draft instead of before it. Remember, that strategy technically gives the Kraken a chance to speak with Landeskog ahead of the draft, meaning they could offer him a huge contract to try and pry him away from the only team he’s ever known.

Even if he and Saad are not signed before the draft though, it still leaves Colorado GM Joe Sakic with a tough decision. Do you protect seven forwards and three defensemen, potentially risking a young player from the blueline, or eight skaters in order to make sure that defense corps stays intact? The decision will be almost entirely based on whether Johnson agrees to waive his no-movement clause, which would normally force the Avalanche into protecting him. The veteran defenseman is an unlikely target for Seattle because of his age, contract, and recent injury issues, meaning waiving it would only serve to help the franchise he currently plays for.

Assuming he does waive it and the team goes the seven forwards-three defenseman route, there are still plenty of decisions to be made. Rantanen, MacKinnon, Burakovsky, and Nichushkin are easy choices to protect at forward, but that leaves the group of Kadri, Donskoi, Compher, Jost, and O’Connor to fill just three spots.

It might have been easy to pencil Kadri into that must-protect list a few months ago, but after getting another playoff suspension, there will have to be at least some discussion over whether he should be a core piece moving forward. Three times now in his career he hasn’t been available when his team needed him most, and the 30-year-old center has just one year left on his contract.

Donskoi and Compher are both valuable players, but given their cap hits ($3.9MM and $3.5MM respectively) it wouldn’t be the end of the world to lose one of them, with so many free agents to sign this offseason. One of those free agents is Jost, who is an arbitration-eligible RFA. He too has settled into a role with the Avalanche and is still just 23, but hasn’t experienced the offensive breakout that was expected when the team selected him 10th overall in 2016.

That leaves O’Connor, who some may overlook simply because of his undrafted status and lack of NHL experience, but there were real moments of upside from him this season as a bottom-six piece. The fact that he will carry a cap hit next season that is less than league minimum ($725K) makes him a valuable option for an Avalanche team that will be skirting the salary cap ceiling all year long.

Of course, even if Johnson does waive his clause, it doesn’t mean things come easy on defense. The simple answer is to protect Makar, Girard and Toews, who each logged more than 23 minutes a night this season and are all core pieces of the roster. But that would mean exposing Graves, who arguably outplayed Toews and Girard in the playoffs and carries the lowest cap hit of the three. The 26-year-old Graves looks like he is still improving and could very well be part of the Kraken top-four if left exposed.

In net, there isn’t even anyone that really deserves protecting, unless Grubauer re-signs before the draft. That means the Avalanche could actually make a trade for a new starting goaltender before the draft if they believe their incumbent Vezina finalist will be too expensive to bring back.

Projected Protection List

F Mikko Rantanen
F Nathan MacKinnon
F Andre Burakovsky
F Nazem Kadri
F Joonas Donskoi
F Valeri Nichushkin
F Tyson Jost

D Samuel Girard
D Devon Toews
D Cale Makar

G Jonas Johansson

*Assuming Landeskog does not re-sign before the draft and Johnson waives his NMC

Skater Exposure Requirement Checklist

When Vegas had their expansion draft, a minimum of two forwards and one defenseman had to be exposed that were under contract and played either 40 games in the most recent season or 70 over the past two combined.  Due to the pandemic, those thresholds have been changed to 27 games played in 2020-21 or 54 in 2019/20 and 2020-21 combined.  In creating our expansion list for each team in this series, we will ensure that these criteria are met.

Forwards (1): J.T. Compher
Defensemen (3): Erik Johnson, Ryan Graves, Jacob MacDonald

Of course, in this situation the Avalanche still have some work to do. They need to leave two forwards exposed that meet the requirements, and by protecting both Donskoi and Kadri it leaves just one. A new contract for Landeskog,  or Saad would change this, but they could also just extend Bellemare or even Calvert if he is healthy enough to return to action. On the back end, Johnson waiving his NMC would do the trick, but even without him they have enough options to fill the single required spot.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.  Contract information courtesy of CapFriendly.

Winnipeg Jets Agree To Terms With Dominic Toninato

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The Winnipeg Jets have agreed to terms with Dominic Toninato on a two-year contract. The deal will be a two-way contract in 2021-22, a one-way contract in 2022-23 and carries an average annual value of $750K at the NHL level.

Toninato, 27, was set to become an unrestricted free agent this summer after playing just a handful of games for the Jets. In fact, because he was used as an emergency recall and placed on the taxi squad so often this year, he ended up playing just five regular season games at the NHL and AHL levels combined. He did get into three postseason games, even scoring a goal against the Edmonton Oilers in the first round, but it was still a far cry from the 46 games Toninato suited up for in 2019-20.

Of course, bouncing on and off the NHL roster is nothing new for Toninato, who has just 87 games played since he signed with the Colorado Avalanche in 2017. Originally drafted by the Toronto Maple Leafs in 2012, the 6’2″ forward spent a year in the USHL and then went to the University of Minnesota-Duluth for four seasons, even winning the NCHC Best Defensive Forward award in 2016-17.

That defensive presence will always be his ticket to the NHL, given the limited offensive upside Toninato brings. In those 87 career NHL games, he has just five goals and 15 points, though he has averaged less than 10 minutes of ice time through those matches.

This contract provides some stability for him, as well as the chance to earn a guaranteed NHL salary in 2022-23. That’s something new for Toninato, who has been on two-way deals to this point in his career.

For the Jets, his signing provides them with another player that can fill the expansion requirements at forward. Though he didn’t play much this season, the games from last year also count towards the threshold, meaning he was always likely to be extended in some fashion in order to help maximize Winnipeg’s flexibility.

Arizona Coyotes Hire Alan Hepple

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The Arizona Coyotes have hired a new director of pro scouting, announcing Alan Hepple today. Hepple comes from the Colorado Avalanche, where he served as the director of amateur scouting and was responsible for selections including Cale Makar, Bowen Byram, and Alex Newhook over the last few years. Coyotes GM Bill Armstrong released a statement on the hire:

We are very pleased to welcome Alan to our organization. Alan is extremely knowledgeable and is an excellent talent evaluator. He played a very important role in building the current Colorado Avalanche roster and we are thrilled to have him lead our professional scouting department.

The Coyotes are rebuilding a scouting department that has been embroiled in several scandals recently. In August 2020, the team was stripped of a 2020 second-round pick and a 2021 first-round pick for scouting violations that included physical testing of prospects prior to the combine. The 11th overall pick later this month will be skipped because of those sanctions.

Just a few months after that discipline was handed out, the Coyotes used their first 2020 draft choice (111th overall) on Mitchell Miller, a defenseman out of the USHL. Miller’s assault conviction for bullying and abusing a Black, developmentally disabled classmate, which had been made known to every NHL team prior to the draft, quickly made international headlines, leading to the team eventually renouncing his draft rights entirely.

Those mistakes were made under the previous management regime (or during the period when Armstrong could not interfere, based on his prior commitments to the St. Louis Blues), but will still cast a dark shadow over the Coyotes for the years to come. They basically missed an entire draft class in 2020, with Carson Bantle now their highest-selected player last year (142nd overall).

Armstrong is working diligently to bring in new faces to the department, and Hepple is the newest hire that comes with an impeccable resume. Though he will now work with the pro scouts, it’s hard to imagine he won’t have a positive impact on the organization overall.

Scott Wedgewood Re-Signs With New Jersey Devils

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The New Jersey Devils have signed depth goaltender Scott Wedgewood to a one-year, two-way contract for 2021-22. The deal will carry an NHL salary of $825K, while paying the veteran netminder $375K in the minor leagues.

Not only does this give the Devils a capable third-string option for next season, but it also takes care of an expansion requirement. If the team wants to protect Mackenzie Blackwood from Seattle, they needed to have at least one more goaltender under contract for next season, or at least extend a qualifying offer to Evan Cormier. Now, with Wedgewood signed, they can leave him exposed to fulfill that goaltending requirement.

Of course, the 28-year-old Wedgewood is more than just expansion draft fodder. Selected 84th overall by the Devils in 2010, he has been a capable minor league netminder for many years. This season, he ended up being needed for 16 NHL games, where he posted a .900 save percentage despite a 3-8-3 record.

Those aren’t numbers you’d want to be penciling into the net every day, but they’re certainly not anything to complain about from your third or fourth-string option. Wedgewood will almost certainly not be the full-time backup for Blackwood next year, though that spot is not yet filled.

If the team does decide to try and stash him in Utica, he will need to clear waivers again. The extra bit of NHL money—league minimum is $750K next season—could actually be a tactic to try and avoid a claim, since the acquiring team would be required to keep him on the roster.

Seattle Kraken Hire Paul McFarland

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Not only have the Seattle Kraken hired Jay Leach as reported yesterday, but Paul McFarland will also be joining Dave Hakstol’s bench as an assistant coach for the expansion team. Both men were officially introduced today, and Hakstol released a short statement:

We’re very excited to add two talented hockey minds in Paul and Jay to our inaugural staff. 

Paul’s work ethic and ability to communicate with players to give them the tools to be at their best, along with Jay’s leadership and ability to coach and develop NHL talent, will be great additions to our team.

Leach will be responsible for the team’s defense corps, while McFarland will focus on the forwards and powerplay. McFarland specifically has recent experience working alongside Hakstol, as both were assistants with the Toronto Maple Leafs. He also has a history with the Florida Panthers and most recently served as the GM and head coach of the Kingston Frontenacs.

The staff that Seattle has built has some experience but is also filled with up-and-coming coaching prospects. McFarland is only 35, and has just three seasons at the NHL level, while Leach is 41 and will be entering his first opportunity in the NHL. The latter of course has some playing experience, having suited up for 70 NHL games, but they are joining a head coach in Hakstol that is also relatively new to professional ranks.

Because the OHL didn’t play last season, McFarland’s latest stint with the Frontenacs actually didn’t include coaching a single game. In the Kingston front office, he will be replaced as GM by Kory Cooper, who had served as assistant GM since September 2020.

Sergei Plotnikov Re-Signs In KHL

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After terminating his contract with Metallurg Magnitogorsk yesterday, Sergei Plotnikov has found a new KHL home. The veteran forward has signed a one-year contract with CSKA Moscow for the 2021-22 season.

Plotnikov, 31, played one season in the NHL, splitting time between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Arizona Coyotes in 2015-16. Despite strong offensive numbers overseas and internationally, he managed just three points (all assists) in his 45 NHL games.

Like his former teammate Sergei Mozyakin, who retired yesterday, this is a career spent almost entirely in Russia. Plotnikov has amassed 325 points in 568 career KHL games, which actually puts him 23rd all-time. He actually just had his best season with 43 points in 2020-21, which could have easily drawn some new NHL interest. For now, at least, that doesn’t matter, but it will be interesting to see if his name comes up again in a year’s time.

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