Snapshots: Kane, Zub, Werenski
In the most recent 32 Thoughts podcast episode, Elliotte Friedman added credence to the idea that star free agent Patrick Kane could sign with the Dallas Stars. Friedman says that a very reliable source shared the likelihood of Kane landing in Dallas, adding that the stylistic fit could be good for the aging veteran.
The Stars rapidly rise up the power rankings of teams likely to land Kane, leapfrogging the New York Rangers, Florida Panthers, and Buffalo Sabres. Dallas has flexed a very deep forward group this season, providing nearly identical ice time to each of their top three lines. The only weak spot is likely 34-year-old winger Evgenii Dadonov, who’s spent the year alongside Wyatt Johnston and Jamie Benn. This could be the role that Kane takes over if he joins the Stars; bringing a little more mobility and finesse to the line.
Only three forwards in Dallas’ top nine have scored a goal at this point in the year: Joe Pavelski, Benn, and Roope Hintz. Kane’s all-out-offensive style may be enough to kickstart the Stars’ scorers.
Other notes from around the league:
- Artem Zub left the Senators’ Thursday night game after taking a puck to the head. It’s been revealed now that Zub is doubtful for the team’s Saturday matchup against the Detroit Red Wings, although head coach D.J. Smith shared he doesn’t think the defender will be out long-term.
- The Columbus Blue Jackets are hoping top defenseman Zach Werenski can slot back into the lineup tonight. Werenski was placed on injured reserve exactly one week ago, making Friday the first game he’s eligible to return to. The Blue Jackets recalled David Jiricek to the NHL in response to Werenski’s injury. They’ll need to send someone down to make room for Werenski’s return, and Jiricek is the only defender with waiver-exemption. Both Werenski and Jiricek’s status will be one to monitor as the Friday night matchup approaches.
Marc Staal Reportedly Out Four To Six Weeks
Per The Fourth Period’s Anthony Di Marco, Philadelphia Flyers defenseman Marc Staal is reportedly set to miss significant time after an awkward collision with Warren Foegele forced him out of Thursday night’s game.
Staal was noticeably uncomfortable on the bench after the hit, and exited the game with a period left to play. No update was provided on the nature of his injury, however, he is listed as having sustained an upper-body injury. Staal is in his first year with the Flyers, signing a one-year, $1.1MM contract with the team this summer. This was a raise from Staal’s last deal with the Florida Panthers, which only paid the defender $750K. The 36-year-old is turning into a journeyman, playing for three teams in the last three years, after spending the first 13 seasons of his career with the New York Rangers. He’s amassed a staggering 1105 career NHL games, scoring 229 points throughout them. He is four games into his tenure in Philadelphia and has yet to score, although he has recorded two minor penalties and two hits while operating on the team’s third pair.
Emil Andrae and Yegor Zamula have been cycling time between the team’s third pair and the seventh defenseman role. With Staal’s injury, both could have a chance to slot into the lineup consistently. At least, in the short term, as Rasmus Ristolainen‘s return from injury could again force one of the two young defenders back into the press box. Ristolainen is on the Flyers’ injured reserve but is eyeing a return soon, taking extra reps at the team’s recent practices. When he’s able to return, and how it impacts the role of Andrae and Zamula, will be noteworthy for a Flyers blue line now down one of their most seasoned talents.
Central Notes: Trotz, Fabbro, Vilardi
Predators GM Barry Trotz was a long-time NHL coach, spending 23 years behind the bench with a pair of Jack Adams Awards while sitting third in league history in victories. To that end, it was a bit surprising when he eschewed coaching opportunities last season and eventually replacing David Poile in the managerial role with Nashville. Don’t expect him to have another change of heart as he told Newsday’s Andrew Gross that his coaching days are over:
I can honestly say I have no intentions of coaching again. My coaching career, you can put it in an envelope.
Trotz was active this summer, hiring Andrew Brunette (a more offensive-oriented coach) to replace John Hynes, making several front-office moves, and changing things up with their forward group, parting with Matt Duchene and Ryan Johansen while bringing in several veterans in free agency to change up the core. It’s fair to say he jumped in with both feet into his new role and is leaving his old one behind.
More from the Central:
- Still with the Predators, defenseman Dante Fabbro is no stranger to trade speculation as it has followed him for basically the last couple of years. Speaking with Penalty Box Radio’s Alex Daugherty (Twitter link), the blueliner expressed that his goal is to remain in Nashville for the long haul. The 25-year-old averaged a career-low 17:27 per game last season with his average through his first few games a bit below that this year as well; as a result, he’s no longer viewed around the league as a prominent part of their future back end.
- The Jets announced (Twitter link) that they’ve placed forward Gabriel Vilardi on injured reserve. The move comes as no surprise as it was revealed yesterday that he’ll miss at least the next month with a sprained MCL. While Winnipeg is eligible to place Vilardi on LTIR given how long he’ll be out for, that move doesn’t make sense for them yet as they have ample cap space to bring up someone to replace him if they so desire. That move wasn’t made prior to their game tonight but should be coming soon as they’re currently down to 12 healthy forwards.
Salary Cap Deep Dive: Calgary Flames
Navigating the salary cap is one of the more important tasks for any GM. Teams that can avoid total cap chaos by walking the tightrope of inking players to deals that match their value (or compensate for future value without breaking the bank) remain successful. Those that don’t see struggles and front office changes.
PHR will look at every NHL team and give a thorough look at their cap situation for the 2023-24 season. This will focus more on players who are regulars on the roster versus those who may find themselves shuttling between the AHL and NHL. All cap figures are courtesy of CapFriendly.
Calgary Flames
Current Cap Hit: $85,943,500 (over the $83.5MM Upper Limit)
Entry-Level Contracts
F Matthew Coronato (two years, $925K)
F Jakob Pelletier (one year, $863K/$406K SOIR charge)
Potential Bonuses
Coronato: $850K
Coronato turned pro after a strong college season last year, burning the first year of his entry-level deal in the process even though he only played in one game. That makes assessing his second contract next to impossible at this point but it’s fair to say they’re counting on him playing an important role before too long. His four bonuses are of the ‘A’ variety so if he’s able to stay in a top-six role, it’s possible that one or two of those could be hit.
As for Pelletier, he was up for close to half of last season which is what makes his season-opening IR charge harder than most. Until he’s cleared to play, that will stay there. At that time, he can be set to the roster, making the full cap charge come into effect or he can be sent down, taking it off entirely. With the way things went last season where his playing time was limited and now with his shoulder injury, it’s reasonable to think a low-cost bridge deal is heading his way.
Signed Through 2023-24, Non-Entry-Level
F Dillon Dube ($2.3MM, RFA)
D Dennis Gilbert ($762.5K, UFA)
F A.J. Greer ($762.5K, UFA)
D Noah Hanifin ($4.95MM, UFA)
D Oliver Kylington ($2.5MM, UFA)
F Elias Lindholm ($4.85MM, UFA)
D Jordan Oesterle ($925K, UFA)
F Kevin Rooney ($1.3MM, UFA)
F Adam Ruzicka ($762.5K, RFA)
D Chris Tanev ($4.5MM, UFA)
D Nikita Zadorov ($3.75MM, UFA)
Lindholm’s future with the team (or lack thereof) has been a discussion point for several months now. At one point, it looked like he might not have much interest in staying. That doesn’t appear to be the case now but the two sides still aren’t believed to be close on a new deal. While a repeat of his 42-goal performance in 2021-22 isn’t likely, Lindholm is still a top center in terms of all-around usage and someone is going to pay him accordingly. At the moment, he’s one of the top middlemen that will be set to hit the open market and recent contracts handed out likely peg the low end of his price around the $8.5MM while the high end will start with a nine on a max-term deal or close to it.
Dube has shown steady improvement throughout his young career and is coming off a career year that saw him put up 45 points. Another season like that will have him well-positioned to earn a fair bit more than the $2.4MM qualifier he’s owed; a long-term deal would push past the $4MM mark. Rooney spent most of last in the minors but since he has a one-way contract, he’s counting in full against Calgary’s cap for the time being. He’s likely looking at a deal close to the minimum next summer. Greer did alright on Boston’s fourth line last year, resulting in a preseason waiver claim by Calgary. That said, that role in the lineup is usually filled by someone making the minimum or close to it. Ruzicka has shown some offensive promise but his NHL minutes have been limited. As things stand, a deal just past the $1MM mark is doable but with a bigger role this season, there’s room for him to beat that.
While there is a bit of optimism with Lindholm, there still isn’t a ton when it comes to Hanifin even though he said last month that he’s open to the idea. As a number two defender, he’s in line for a considerable increase on a long-term deal regardless of who gives it to him. He’ll be 27 next summer so a max-term contract surpassing the $7MM mark should be heading his way. Tanev is a throwback shutdown defenseman, the type of player that isn’t seen as frequently now as it was a few years ago. However, he has managed to stay relatively healthy with Calgary which will help his value. It’d be a bit surprising if he beat this on his next deal but with his reputation, it could be possible.
Zadorov had a surprisingly strong season last year from a goal perspective, notching 14 after his prior career high was seven. His size and physicality have allowed him to get some decent-sized contracts thus far despite being more of a fourth or fifth defender but a repeat of that performance offensively could really boost his market next summer. If he reverts back to his usual level of production though, he still could push for something in the $4.5MM range. Kylington missed all of last season for personal reasons and after vowing to be ready for this year, is back on LTIR for personal reasons once again. At this point, it’s hard to pinpoint what his next deal might look like until he’s actually back in uniform.
Oesterle came to Calgary in free agency after spending the past two years in Detroit. Until he can lock down an every-game role, he’s likely to stay below the $1MM mark. As for Gilbert, he has yet to play a full NHL season and is therefore also likely to be below $1MM on his next deal. The fact he has an AAV below the league minimum might help his chances of sticking at the top level, however.
Signed Through 2024-25
F Walker Duehr ($825K, UFA)
F Dryden Hunt ($775K, UFA)
F Andrew Mangiapane ($5.8MM, UFA)
F Yegor Sharangovich ($3.1MM, UFA)
G Daniel Vladar ($2.2MM, UFA)
Mangiapane wasn’t quite able to live up to his 35-goal breakout year in 2021-22, scoring instead at a second-line level. That’s not a poor performance but from a value perspective, they’re paying him to be one of their go-to scorers, not a secondary piece. Sharangovich was acquired in the Tyler Toffoli trade this summer, basically buying themselves an extra year of control with this contract that they quickly gave him. The 2021-22 version is worth a bigger deal than this one on the open market while the one from last year wouldn’t be likely to get much more than this. We’ll see which version he is for Calgary.
Duehr spent more time in the minors than the NHL last season but still managed to earn a one-way deal for his troubles. Now, it’s about establishing himself as an every-game player and if that happens, he could land a deal a bit better than this one. If his seven goals over 27 games translates to full-season production at that level though, then the $2MM mark is achievable. Hunt bounced around the league last season, twice claimed on waivers before being traded at the deadline. He’s a player on the fringes right now and those ones usually stay pretty close to the minimum.
Vladar has been in trade speculation dating back to the summer with Dustin Wolf showing that he’s ready for some NHL action. However, they likely don’t want Wolf playing just once a week so how willing they are to move Vladar at this point is far from a certainty. He’s still relatively inexperienced with one good and one not-so-good year under his belt. More of the former could push him toward the $3MM mark but more years like last season will likely result in a dip on his next deal.
Signed Through 2025-26
D Rasmus Andersson ($4.55MM, UFA)
F Mikael Backlund ($5.35MM in 2023-24, $4.5MM in 2024-25 and 2025-26)
G Jacob Markstrom ($6MM, UFA)
Backlund was originally planning to wait things out before deciding about possibly extending but had a change of heart and was immediately named captain thereafter. He had a career year last season and if he stays at that level, this deal would be a team-friendly one quickly. That’s not realistic but if he goes back to his career averages, this is a fair-value contract that will carry him through 18 seasons with the Flames.
Andersson started out his career in more of a supporting role but former GM Brad Treliving thought that the blueliner had another level to get to, handing him this six-year deal. He was certainly proven right. The 26-year-old had a 50-point showing in 2021-22 (his previous benchmark was 22) and followed it up with a 49-point effort last season while pushing his ATOI past the 24-minute mark. Those are basically number one defenseman numbers for a player who is being paid like a third or fourth option. Lots can happen over the next three seasons that could change things but if Andersson has three more years like the last two, he has a chance to push for double his current price tag in 2026.
Markstrom is coming off a down season but remains one of the more consistently reliable goalies across the NHL which helped land him this contract back in 2020 at a time when the cap was just starting to tighten. It’s a deal that puts him in the top ten for cap hits among NHL netminders (including those that will be on LTIR for the entire year) but when he’s on his game, he’s worth the premium.
Minor Transactions: 10/19/23
With the ECHL starting up its season tonight, NHL and AHL teams have been shuffling players to that level in recent days. Some of those recent moves are highlighted in our latest batch of minor transactions.
- The Senators’ AHL affiliate announced the assignments of forward Philippe Daoust and defenceman Donovan Sebrango to ECHL Allen. Daoust was a sixth-round pick back in 2020 but was limited to just nine games last season due to injury. He had seven points with Belleville but will get more time to work on his rehab at the ECHL level. Meanwhile, Sebrango was acquired from Detroit as part of the Alex DeBrincat trade this summer and split last season between their AHL and ECHL affiliates. Both players are entering the second year of their entry-level contracts.
- Colorado’s AHL squad announced that they’ve sent goaltender Trent Miner, forward Ryan Sandelin, and defenseman Gianni Fairbrother to ECHL Utah. Miner posted a 3.04 GAA along with a .910 SV% in 37 games with the Grizzlies last season and is in the final season of his entry-level deal. Sandelin wrapped up his college career last year with Minnesota State (Mankato), putting up 29 points in 38 games which helped him earn a minor league deal. As for Fairbrother, the Avalanche acquired him as part of the Alex Newhook trade this summer but missed all of last season with a knee injury. He’s also in the final season of his entry-level pact.
- Former NHL blueliner Christian Jaros is on the move to the KHL as he has signed with Severstal Cherepovets, per a team release. The 27-year-old received a two-year deal. Jaros has 94 career NHL games under his belts over parts of five seasons between Ottawa, San Jose, and New Jersey but opted to head overseas last season, seeing action with two separate KHL squads.
Snapshots: NHL Draft Format, Phil Kessel, Jesse Puljujarvi
NHL teams have begun requesting that the draft be decentralized, so front offices have more time to prepare for the draft and free agency in their home markets, rather than needing to travel to the draft city. On TSN’s latest Insider Trading segment, Pierre LeBrun shared that the league sent a memo out to teams on Wednesday of this week discussing this idea, requesting that all teams vote on it by Tuesday of next week. Pierre shared that he’s heard from over a dozen teams on this topic and is expecting that the league will ultimately vote in favor of the change. If this decision goes through, the NHL Draft could mirror the NFL or NBA Draft, where players are greeted by the commissioner after being selected, while teams draft from their own offices.
Insider Trading co-panelist Chris Johnston added that the NHL is confident in their ability to find a location for the 2024 NHL Draft, with the new Vegas sphere as a top option. Even if the sphere doesn’t work out, Vegas still sounds like the league’s preferred host city, with the NHL already identifying alternate locations in the city. If nothing in Vegas pans out, Johnston mentions two unnamed cities are also in the running.
Other notes from around the league:
- Johnston also spoke about Phil Kessel‘s continuing free agency on Insider Trading, sharing that the forward is generating NHL interest and could ink a deal soon. Kessel is the NHL’s current iron man, with a consecutive game streak stretching over 1000 games. But Johnston says that isn’t important for Kessel in his new deal, he just wants to play through the year. Kessel scored 14 goals and 36 points with Vegas last season, en route to his third Stanley Cup win. The 36-year-old winger is eight points away from his 1,000th NHL point.
- In addition to discussing Kessel on Insider Trading, Johnston also touched on Jesse Puljujarvi‘s free agency in a recent article for The Athletic. He shared that Puljujarvi, who is recovering from surgery on both hips, is slated for a return in late November or early December and could be receiving a lot of interest from NHL clubs. Puljujarvi split time between the Edmonton Oilers and Carolina Hurricanes last season, playing in 75 games and notching a mere 16 points. He’s continuing to train in Finland while he recovers from injury.
Snapshots: Golden Knights, Sharks, Sabres, Capitals
Vegas Golden Knights head coach Bruce Cassidy shared that defenseman Alec Martinez is likely to make his season debut in the team’s Thursday night matchup against the Winnipeg Jets. Martinez has carried a day-to-day injury designation for the whole month, coping with an upper-body injury and remaining on the team’s injured reserve. He returned to practice in a no-contact jersey on Tuesday and is traveling with the team for a two-game road trip.
Martinez appeared in 77 games with Vegas last season, recording 14 points and 29 penalty minutes. It was the most he’s played for the Golden Knights since joining them midway through the 2019-20 season, with each of his last two seasons being limited by an injured reserve designation. Martinez has played 166 career games with Vegas, tallying 62 points and 51 penalty minutes.
Other notes from around the league:
- Logan Couture skated at the Sharks’ Thursday practice, shedding optimism on his ability to return soon. However, head coach David Quinn shared that the team isn’t certain whether Couture or fellow injured forward Mikael Granlund will be able to join the team on their upcoming five-game road trip. Granlund was placed on injured reserve on October 13th, making him ineligible for the Sharks’ Thursday night game, after he reaggravated a lower-body injury suffered during training camp.
- The Buffalo Sabres have announced that former goaltender Craig Anderson will return to the Sabres as a hockey liaison. The role will be part-time and see Anderson supporting the team’s players and coaching staff. Buffalo general manager Kevyn Adams said, “Craig Anderson’s voice, experience, and love for the game have been invaluable components to our team’s growth over the past two seasons. Our players have benefited greatly from the habits and lessons he picked up during his accomplished 20-year career.”
- The Fourth Period’s David Pagnotta shared that the Washington Capitals are attempting to assess the trade value of forward Anthony Mantha. Mantha has failed to live up to the expectations set for him in Washington, getting healthy scratched for the team’s October 16th game against Calgary. Pagnotta shares that Washington will look to bolster their top-six, mentioning Conor Garland as a potential trade target.
Injury Notes: Devils, Penguins, Ducks
NJ.com’s Ryan Novozinsky has shared that Erik Haula and Tomas Nosek will likely both miss New Jersey’s Friday night game with an upper-body and lower-body injury respectively. Haula was the only one of the two to play in the team’s most recent game, being named the game’s third star after a two-point performance. Head coach Lindy Ruff told Novozinsky that the duo will likely not travel with the team on their upcoming two-game road trip.
The absence of Haula and Nosek leaves a dent in New Jersey’s bottom six that’s expected to be filled by Curtis Lazar and Nathan Bastian. Bastian has been with the Devils for five of his six NHL seasons, briefly joining the Seattle Kraken for 12 games of the 2021-22 season before the Devils claimed him off waivers partway through the year. Lazar is a much more recent addition, joining the Devils via trade ahead of the 2022-23 trade deadline. He’s only played six games with the Devils between last season and this season and has yet to record a point. New Jersey could also turn towards summer signee Chris Tierney to fill an empty role. Tierney has yet to make his debut with the Devils.
Other injury notes:
- Jamie Drysdale is day-to-day with a lower-body injury and is expected to miss Anaheim’s next game. In his spot, rookie Tristan Luneau is expected to make his NHL debut. Luneau was a second-round pick in the 2022 NHL Draft and has spent the last three seasons with the QMJHL’s Gatineau Olympiques, winning the league’s ‘Defenseman of the Year’ award last season.
- The Pittsburgh Penguins’ injury woes continue, with head coach Mike Sullivan sharing that Kris Letang is being evaluated for a lower-body injury. Noel Acciari is also dealing with an upper-body injury. Both players missed the team’s Thursday practice.
Washington Places Lindgren On IR, Recalls Häman Aktell
The Washington Capitals have placed goaltender Charlie Lindgren on injured reserve, recalling defenseman Hardy Häman Aktell in his place. This move likely cements Clay Stevenson as the team’s backup while Lindgren is out. Stevenson was recalled to the NHL on October 16th, in response to Lindgren being announced as day-to-day with an undisclosed injury. Washington hasn’t turned to Stevenson yet, although he’ll be making his NHL debut when he’s able to slot into the lineup.
Despite being moved to injured reserve, there has been no formal update on what is holding Lindgren out. The 29-year-old goaltender left the Capitals’ Monday practice just a few minutes into the skate, after facing the Penguins a few days before. The ambiguity around his ailment makes it hard to project just how long Lindgren will be out, although his injured reserve designation means he’ll miss at least a week of play. Lindgren is in his second season with the Capitals, appearing in starting 26 games and appearing in 31 over the course of last season. He recorded a 26-13-11 record in those appearances, tallying a .899 save percentage and 3.05 goals-against-average as well.
Hardy Häman Aktell could be in line for his NHL debut with this recall. The 25-year-old defenseman has appeared in two games with the AHL’s Hershey Bears this season, scoring one goal. This season represents his first in North America, after spending each of the last three seasons with the Växjö Lakers of the SHL. He capped off this stretch with 36 points in 51 SHL games last year.
Jets Healthy Scratch Defender Nate Schmidt
The Winnipeg Jets are expected to healthy scratch defenseman Nate Schmidt in their Thursday game against the Vegas Golden Knights. This will be only the second time that Winnipeg has scratched Schmidt, with his last scratching coming on March 4th of last season. Schmidt slotted back into the lineup immediately after, scoring a goal in his first game back and recording seven points in 18 games through the rest of the season.
The 32-year-old Schmidt is in his third season with the Winnipeg Jets, joining them via trade after Winnipeg dealt a 2022 third-round pick to the Vancouver Canucks for the defender. His first year with the Jets was a career year, with Schmidt recording 32 points in 77 games, good for the second-highest scoring season of his career. He also averaged 20 minutes of ice time, confidently operating in the team’s top four. But his role, and his scoring, dwindled last season, with Schmidt netting 19 points in 71 games while serving on the team’s third pair. He’s maintained this latter role into the 2023-24 season and currently sits without a point, and with a -3, through three games this year.
Logan Stanley will appear in his season debut in light of Schmidt’s scratching, likely lining up next to Dylan Samberg. Stanley, 25, appeared in 19 games with the Jets last season, tallying three points and 21 penalty minutes. It was his third year of operating as Winnipeg’s seventh defenseman, with Stanley appearing in 114 games and scoring 20 points through that stretch. Winnipeg traded up to select Stanley 18th overall in the 2016 NHL Draft and awarded him his NHL debut during the 2020-21 season.