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Archives for June 2025

PHR’s 2025 NHL Mock Draft

June 20, 2025 at 9:06 am CDT | by Gabriel Foley 20 Comments

The first round of the 2025 NHL Draft is exactly one week away. It’s set to be an exciting day for multiple reasons. It will be the league’s first decentralized draft in some time, though that decision could change as soon as next year. Draft discussions have also been rife with trade rumors – both of high-profile picks landing on the block, and pick-poor teams vying for a way back in.

For all of the excitement surrounding them, the 2025 NHL Draft class offers much more intrigue than many have made out. It’s headlined by a star defender whose season was cut short, quickly backed by a quartet of sky-high upside forwards in every shape and build. Day one quickly turns into a guessing game behind that group, with a slew of burly defenders, nimble forwards, and high-skill to sort through. We’ll attempt to cut through the draft day fog in PHR’s annual NHL Mock Draft.

2025 NHL Draft Mock First Round

1. New York Islanders – Matthew Schaefer (LD) / Erie Otters (OHL)

It seems the first-overall pick in this year’s class has already been painted on the wall. Defenseman Matthew Schaefer has earned persistent praise throughout this season, even despite his season ending in December when he broke his collarbone at the World Junior Championship. Prior to what was a freak injury, Schaefer had dominated every aspect of play in 17 OHL games, five Hlinka Gretzky Cup games, and one World Juniors game. He looked every bit like a star defender, showing tons of poise and fundamentals in shutting opponents down on defense; and routinely flashing great puck-skills to move the puck up ice. On top of that, Schaefer’s personality precedes him – and seems well-equipped for a leadership role at the next level.

How Schaefer carries the puck over both blue-lines, uses his lanky puck-control to get around opponents, and scans for the best options are all reminiscent of the NHL’s premier defensemen. He lost a lot of ground by missing the second-half of the year, but also clocks in as one of the youngest players in the entire draft class. That’ll give him extra time to makeup for lost time this year. Draft skepticism around Schaefer is less worried about his first-overall status, and more concerned about whether he’ll continue his career in the NCAA – or even the NCHC conference, as sources suggest to ProHockeyRumors – next season.

Other Options: James Hagens (C), Michael Misa (C)

2. San Jose Sharks – Michael Misa (C) / Saginaw Spirit (OHL)

The Sharks can’t lose with this pick. They’re reportedly as bullish on Schaefer as the rest of the league, but will settle here for the premier forward in the group Michael Misa. Misa became the eighth player to be granted exceptional status into the CHL in 2022. He did amazing work with the bid, and will end his OHL career with the highest scoring pace (265 points in 177 games, 1.50 points-per-game) since Andrei Svechnikov (1.64, 2017-18) and Alex DeBrincat (1.74, 2014-2017). That includes Misa’s monstrous 62 goals in 65 game sthis season – a mark that ties Patrick Kane’s goal total from his own draft year, though Kane reached it in seven fewer games.

There seems no arguing that Misa is headed for scoring-stardom. His explosive jump down ice, keen offensive instinct, and deceptively strong shot have all remained consistent through three years in the OHL. Misa has added to that a phenomenal, pro-ready frame that should help cushion his move into the NHL. Even better – Misa’s breakout scoring this year often came alongside current Sharks prospect Igor Chernyshov, who also posted dazzling numbers this year. San Jose will get to maintain that duo, and majorly boost an already strong, young offense, with the addition of hot scorer Misa.

Other Options: Matthew Schaefer (LD)

3. Chicago Blackhawks – Caleb Desnoyers (C) / Moncton Wildcats (QMJHL)

The Blackhawks hold the first truly uncertain pick of the draft. They’ve been connected to a countless end of players, styles, and trade rumors as draft day draws near. But as the NHL Combine came and went, clamor around the Hawks slowly began to focus in on three players: center Caleb Desnoyers, and wingers Anton Frondell and Porter Martone. It seems in some fashion that one of those three will be Chicago’s pick. Early indications suggest that they’ll land with the effective, two-way center of the bunch — despite Martone praising the Blackhawks organization, and Frondell’s pro-end size.

No, it will be the QMJHL championship-winning center to head to the Windy City, looking to provide rigidity down the depth of an undersized, but over-skilled lineup. Desnoyers is a perfect match for the bill. He plays a beautifully poised and confident game in all three zones, and knows how to move between them with ease. He’s sharp and nearly always executes the plays he steps up to make. His passing and shooting are also more than strong enough for the next flight. In style, Desnoyers’ game is reminiscent to the likes of Patrice Bergeron and Dylan Larkin, though those impacts do run the risk of getting misconstrued. Either way, he’ll be the exact piece Chicago needs to bolt down an up-and-coming scoring lineup.

Other Options: Anton Frondell (RW/C), Porter Martone (RW)

4. Utah Mammoth – James Hagens (C) / Boston College Eagles (Hockey East, NCAA)

We run into another contentious pick here. Speaking directly, sources available to ProHockeyRumors have suggested that the Utah Mammoth could look to trade their first pick in Mammoth-history should their top option – Caleb Densoyers – fall off the board. More directly, the pick could be moved to the Islanders, as they look to reel in Long Island’s own draft star, James Hagens.

But Utah has been connected plenty to Hagens as well, and already house his predecessor in breakout star Logan Cooley. The two have familiarity playing with each other, and – more importantly – Hagens’ projection could land even higher. As a result, he’ll land as fourth on our board regardless of trade rumors.

Hagens is a cerebral, poised, playmaking-tactician. His shot is snappy, and he controls movements through and down the middle lane incredibly well. Hagens’ defensive impacts aren’t as strong as Desnoyers’, but he still brings a hardy amount of two-way play to back his phenomenal ability in the offensive end. Hagens holds the scoring record at the World U-17 Hockey Challenge and World U18 Championship, despite appearing in both tournaments one year underaged. He’s a perennial scorer who fits nicely among the loaded top-end in this year’s class.

Other Options: Caleb Desnoyers (C), Porter Martone (RW)

5. Nashville Predators – Anton Frondell (RW/C) / Djugardens IF (HockeyAllsvenskan)

Nashville has been closely connected to many top names in the 2025 class. It certainly makes sense – as the club tries to search for the big swing that will land them far away from the dismal season they’re coming off of. Hagens has long felt like the best fit for the Predators, who can allow him to pair with Steven Stamkos and Ryan O’Reilly through the first few years of his career. Instead, Nashville will finish that line with Anton Frondell – a move that many pro scouts would claim benefits them in the end.

That’s certainly a hard case to argue. Frondell has perhaps the most pro-size in the draft’s top-end, and used it to phenomenal effect in his pursuit of a HockeyAllsvenskan championship this season. He’s a true commander on the ice, with the ability and feist to tear up play in the corners, body his way into the slot, or use finesse dekes to find his way into open space. Frondell’s shot headlines his game, and he serves just as well as a spot-shooter than he does in any other role. That’s to say – the flexibility on display here is tremendous, and should only grow as part of a veteran-led Predators offense.

Other Options: James Hagens (C)

6. Philadelphia Flyers – Jake O’Brien (C) / Brantford Bulldogs (OHL)

There were three teams – Utah, Boston, and Philadelphia – who watched Desnoyers like a hawk as his season winded to a close. Through stressful ground-travel and moved games, an NHL presence followed Desnoyers all the way through his QMJHL title-win. That will make all three teams a strong consideration for the two-way centerman – but with him off the board, Philadelphia will have to settle for the playmaker instead.

O’Brien is this year’s late bloomer, gaining a heap of steam as fans became more aware of just how impressive his 98 points in 66 games this season was. He’s a nifty playmaker who keeps his eyes trained on the small openings between and around opponents. Many have critiqued how much of O’Brien’s scoring came on the power-play – though the acknowledgement ultimately seems more a testament to his ability to take advantage of space than a knock on his even-strength ability. He also wields a tremendous frame – deceptively built-out considering just how nimble and neat his game is. The slick passing, drive downhill, and ability to control offense will all fit beautifully as Philadelphia finds a compliment to Matvei Michkov.

Other Options: Caleb Desnoyers (C), Porter Martone (RW)

7. Boston Bruins – Brady Martin (C) / Soo Greyhounds (OHL)

The Boston Bruins are in need of a hardy push towards the future after crumbling with a veteran lineup this season. As mentioned, they were one of many teams closely eyeing Desnoyers – but find a great contingency in Soo centerman Brady Martin. Martin’s unconventional rise to NHL Draft stardom has been closely followed as the year has come to a close. He grew up on a cattle farm and plays with all of the traits you’d expect because of it: namely beefy, sturdy, and powerful drive down the ice. Martin knows how to create a mess and emerge the beneficiary of it. He doesn’t shy away from hits or dirty puck-battles, and shows enough finesse and offensive snap to stay effective away from gritty plays. In more ways than one, Martin seems incredibly reminiscent of St. Louis Blues captain Brayden Schenn. Landing a 1,000-game veteran with captain upside here at seventh-overall would be a smash win for the Bruins. The squad could also find big-frame size in Roger McQueen – who is far more of a boom-or-bust option than the sturdy Martin.

Other Options: Roger McQueen (LW/C), Caleb Desnoyers (C)

8. Seattle Kraken – Radim Mrtka (RD) / Seattle Thunderbirds (WHL)

Seattle presents another draft-day question mark. Unlike many teams near the top of the class, they aren’t pushed in any one direction by another quiet performance in 2024-25. Instead, they’ll likely continue focusing on building their franchise from the prospect-pool and up. This year, the Kraken’s most glaring need comes at right-defense, where they have little in the way of prospects ready to succeed Brandon Montour. Even left-shot Ryker Evans was filling right-defense minutes at the end of the year.

Seattle will mitigate that issue by drafting out of their backyard this year. Radim Mrtka is a fascinating draft prospect – with a rare mix of 6-foot-6 frame and beautiful puckhandling. He moved to the WHL from Czechia earlier this season, and seemed to be battling through the woes of a significant change in pace and style – on top of continuing to improve his mechanics. But through those bumps and bruises, Mrtka’s offensive jump and ability to get in front of opponents on defense both lent themselves to tremendous upside. He’s in many ways a second coming of Tyler Myers, who went 12th-overall in his own draft class and has since appeared in over 1,000 NHL games.

Other Options: Porter Martone (RW), Roger McQueen (LW/C)

9. Buffalo Sabres – Porter Martone (RW) / Brampton Steelheads (OHL)

With the decisions above them, Buffalo will land as the beneficiary of a draft-day fall. Porter Martone entered the season closer to third-overall than 10th-overall, and his ability to contribute to a lineup was consistently reaffirmed by his appearances with Team Canada at the World Junior Championship and World Championship. He’s a strong puck-carrier with the strength to plow through defenders, or the finesse to dash around them. Martone uses both traits in the name of driving as close to the low-slot as he can, though he’s shown an impressive flash when he takes the time to use space further up the offensive end. His physical prowess has been a bit overplayed – and his skill underplayed – as the draft has drawn near. Either way, he’ll be a tremendous addition to the Sabres lineup – especially if they lose Alex Tuch soon.

Other Options: Anton Frondell (RW/C), Jake O’Brien (C)

10. Anaheim Ducks – Roger McQueen (LW/C) / Brandon Wheat Kings (WHL)

Anaheim has had a knack for finding the best mix of size and skill possible in each draft class. They’ll be perfectly positioned to find both in this mock, with Roger McQueen tumbling to the bottom of the top-10. McQueen only appeared in 17 league games this season, while battling through multiple injuries related to fractures in his spine. But he was incredibly high-event when he did play, averaging one penalty and at least one score in every game he appeared in (20 points, 40 penalty minutes in 17 GP). That’s some impressive action that holds consistent with McQueen’s 51 points in 53 games last season.

Truly, there may be no bigger upside bet in the draft than McQueen. He’s a 6-foot-5 forward who handles the puck as though he’s playing in a lower bracket entirely. Much of his fundamentals, poise, and drive could stand to improve – but the sheer amount of skill packed into his massive frame is hard to deny. That’ll make for a match made in heaven here at #10.

Other Options: Lynden Lakovic (LW), Brady Martin (C)

11. Pittsburgh Penguins – Victor Eklund (LW) / Djugardens IF (HockeyAllsvenskan)

The Pittsburgh Penguins scouted Djugardens IF with precision all season long. Even general manager Kyle Dubas took trips to Sweden to  get a glimpse of the two draft-year stars that pushed the club back into SHL contention. There has been talk of the Penguins trying to find a way to land both options – but with Frondell off the board, they’ll have to settle with feisty winger Victor Eklund here.

Eklund is another very intriguing mix. He’s a slight-frame winger who has relied heavily on a pro-made shot, quick hands, and a strong ability to get into and maintain space in the offensive end. But he’s added every bit of jump, aggression, and ability to win puck battles needed to compliment his scoring prowess. He plays as though he’s two inches taller and 20 pounds heavier when he’s away from the puck, but packs all of the skill and finesse needed to hold down a top-line role on the puck. Pittsburgh has found ways to make feisty shooters work year-over-year, and will find another strong candidate in this year’s class.

Other Options: Jake O’Brien (C), Anton Frondell (RW/C)

12. New York Rangers – Jackson Smith (LD) / Tri-City Americans (WHL)

Perhaps the biggest question mark in this year’s class is the New York Rangers – who aren’t yet sure that they’ll even possess the #12 pick in this year’s class. They have to send one of their 2025 or 2026 firsts to the Pittsburgh Penguins as part of the January trade that sent J.T. Miller to New York and Marcus Pettersson to Vancouver. Should they keep this year’s option, it will be in the name of finding a big body to bring feist back to a lineup in need. There are multiple options available as the teens roll around, but the best fit seems to be large-frame, all-skill defender Jackson Smith.

Smith’s season was defined by bold pushes through the neutral zone and over the offensive blue-line. He’s tremendously strong on the puck and knows how to force plays up the ice. He has a serious knack finding the seams of offensive setups and working with his teammates to generate scoring chances — even if his fundamentals, all-around game, and physical presence could all continue to be honed. Those are traits that can be taught, and certainly ones New York is no stranger to folding into their top names.

Other Options: Kashawn Aitcheson (LD), Lynden Lakovic (LW)

13. Detroit Red Wings – Lynden Lakovic (LW) / Moose Jaw Warriors (WHL)

Detroit is always prepared to pull out a draft-day wild card. Perhaps their best player right now – Moritz Seider – was once a jaw-dropping draft-day selection who quickly ramped up to NHL success. That could send them in one of many directions next week, though they seem a great fit for WHL bruiser Lynden Lakovic. Lakovic is another juniors-league puckhog who has earned his keep by facilitating his team’s movement through the neutral zone. Lakovic gains the blue-line with tempo and doesn’t shy down to a wall of defenders. But much of his play has stayed close to the perimeter all season long. He has the frame to be a sharp, heavy option at the next level – but needs to grow his ability to break into the middle of the ice before he’s there. As it stands, he’s a shoot-first winger with multiple layers of physical and scoring upside.

Other Options: Carter Bear (LW), William Horcoff (RW/C)

14. Columbus Blue Jackets – Carter Bear (LW) / Everett Silvertips (WHL)

Columbus will find themselves in a similar situation to Detroit and Seattle – with no clear push towards one style but a tremendous array of options available. They could go for feisty scorer Justin Carbonneau, or feistier playmaker Cole Reschny – but in this group Columbus will instead bet early on the persistent drive to the net offered by Carter Bear.

Bear scored a tremendous 40 goals and 82 points in 56 WHL games this season, while often operating from a role that rotated through Everett’s top-six. He earned many of those goals with a relentless drive into the deep parts of the offensive end. While not the most physical away from play, Bear was fearless in his pursuit of loose pucks and slight openings between opponents. He held his own all year long, and even recovered ahead of schedule from a partial Achille’s Tendon tear suffered late in the year. He’s expected to carry a full bill of health into next season, and could find a quick ramp to the pros if his style stays as burly.

Other Options: Justin Carbonneau (RW), Cole Reschny (C)

15. Vancouver Canucks – Braeden Cootes (C) / Seattle Thunderbirds (WHL)

Sources close to PHR have suggested that Vancouver will pursue one of two options in this year’s draft. Their top choice appears to be trading this pick away – with a suggestion that they’re, “aggressively” shopping the option. If a trade doesn’t manifest, it will be a decision between centers – with the technical Braeden Cootes, feisty Cole Reschny, and hefty Cole McKinney headlining their list.

In our mock, we’ll couple the Canucks with World U18 Championship star Braeden Cootes. Cootes handles the middle-lane better than most, if not all, of this year’s draft class. He holds close to his positioning – but not to any detriment. Instead, he’s a constant option for teammates on the flanks, and wields the quick processing, stickhandling, and jump needed to make a variety of plays work. There’s promising two-way upside, and a clear projection forward, in Cootes’ build. That security will be nice reassurance for a Canucks club experiencing plenty of flux.

Other Options: Cole Reschny (C), Cole McKinney (C)

16. Montreal Canadiens – Justin Carbonneau (RW) / Blainville-Boisbrand Armada (QMJHL)

Montreal seems well-positioned to take both a forward and defender with back-to-back picks in the teens of this year’s class. They’ll cross the former off their list first, with a tough decision between scoring upside in Carbonneau or projectability in a player like Malcolm Spence. Ultimately, the Canadiens could benefit from upside more than certainty, and will find it in heaps with the all-out-excitement of Carbonneau.

Few wingers manned their lineups as well as Carbonneau commanded the QMJHL’s Armada this year. He was an end-to-end standout, consistently corralling possession in the defensive end and bolting it 200-feet up ice. He created endless opportunities off the rush with his size, puck protection, and rocket shot. When he couldn’t generate off the rush, Carbonneau was among the best at forcing play into offensive systems, and finding opportunity through cycles or play to his defenders. He’s an offensive asset in tools and mindset — with the added boost of a gut-punch determination to protect his teammates (especially his goalie). Carbonneau’s ice presence is intimidating, and warrants a confident selection on draft day.

Other Options: Malcolm Spence (LW), Lynden Lakovic (LW)

17. Montreal Canadiens – Logan Hensler (RD) / University of Wisconsin Badgers (Big Ten, NCAA)

Montreal will balance their bet on scoring upside with perhaps the most projectable defender available after pick-15. Logan Hensler faced plenty of scrutiny throughout the season as he struggled to manage the top-defender role on a buried Wisconsin roster, playing in a conference where the average age of defenders (22.0) is four years older.

The tough role he faced seemed to knock Hensler out of the brazen offense he flashed at the U.S. National Team Development Program. But he was knocked towards a burly defender role. He learned how to use his great frame and strength to shutdown play in the defensive end, and had the quick hands to get the puck north before opponents had a chance to regroup. He’d be a perfect, projectable compliment to Montreal’s flashy offensive-defenders on the left-hand side, even if he only ever glimpses the heights of his own offensive potential.

Other Options: Kashawn Aitcheson (LD), Blake Fiddler (RD)

18. Calgary Flames – Blake Fiddler (RD) / Edmonton Oil Kings (WHL)

As the 20s approach, so will the defenders in this year’s class. Calgary will have a quick pivot away from Hensler in the beefy form of Blake Fiddler, son of Vernon Fiddler, veteran of nearly 900 NHL games. Blake grew up around closely following his father’s journeyman career, and clearly learned much of the poise and fundamental impacts needed to make it at the next level.

Fiddler has a hefty frame, already north of 6-foot-4 and 200-pounds. Despite that, he carries the puck with ease – routinely capable of shutting down opponents deep in the offensive end then sparking a fast breakout. He hits, he corrals opponents, and he joins the rush – all impressive attributes from a truly defensively-oriented option. As his game rises to the pro level, he’ll develop into a clear pro with a high-floor.

Other Options: Logan Hensler (RD), Cole McKinney (C)

19. St. Louis Blues – Malcolm Spence (LW) / Erie Otters (OHL)

The St Louis Blues are another team that could go in one of endless directions this year. They’ve been closely attached to players like Cootes and Cole McKinney, but also have a long-running knack for drafting the cream of the crop out of the OHL… especially if they’re left-wings or left-defenders. Both options will be available, but St. Louis seems more likely to bet on the burly size of Malcolm Spence than the undersized flash of Cameron Reid.

In Spence, the Blues will be landing a tireless workhorse who knows how to make an impact on the boards, in the corners, or in front of the net. Spence has flashed top-end strength and skill at every level he’s played at. He imposes tremendous pressure onto opponents, largely on the back of being two steps faster than anyone would expect from such a hefty frame. Spence has lost some of the finesse that made him a premier youth hockey prospect, but he’s made up for it in projectable impact – and would be a great addition to St. Louis’ growing pool of strong forwards.

Other Options: Braeden Cootes (C), Cameron Reid (LD)

20. Columbus Blue Jackets – Cole Reschny (C) / Victoria Royals (WHL)

Size is the name of the game for much of this year’s draft class, but Columbus will have a golden chance to stray away from that mark with feisty Cole Reschny, who falls just under 6-foot even. Reschny is a poised but aggressive centerman with the ability to fill any role on the forecheck. He has the tempo and speed to win races to the puck in the corners, the quick reactions to make plays on loose pucks, or the keen awareness to find space while his teammates win out possession. He adds to that a true snap in his shot and dekes around opponents. Where many players lean on skill to push them forward, Recshny has leaned on drive, and allowed his skill to serve as a helpful boost. That should be beyond welcome as Columbus looks to build a cohort of young stars to boost Adam Fantilli, Kent Johnson, and Kirill Marchenko.

Other Options: Cameron Reid (LD), William Horcoff (RW/C)

21. Ottawa Senators – Cole McKinney (C) / U.S. National Team Development Program (NTDP)

The Ottawa Senators will face a tough decision with the heaps of options flying off the board ahead of them. They could go in any number of directions, though many defender options available fall on the left-hand side, where Ottawa is already crowded. Because of that, they’ll instead turn towards the heavy strength of Cole McKinney.

McKinney emerged as the NTDP’s top center and carried a ton of responsibility this season, after the unconventional departure of Cullen Potter and William Horcoff before the end of their U18 season. Having to man the top role took McKinney away from his typical role of transition-specialist and sniper, but forced him to learn how to make an impact behind and in front of the net. He’s a well-rounded, strong option capable of handling any task thrown at him. Even better, he’s an offensive specialist who could be offered more chance to thrive at the University of Michigan next season. That upside should be beyond welcome in an otherwise quiet Senators prospect pool.

Other Options: Kashawn Aitcheson (LD), Jack Nesbitt (C)

22. Philadelphia Flyers – Kashawn Aitcheson (LD) / Barrie Colts (OHL)

Philadelphia opted for a flashy forward at the start of the draft, and will now balance it out with a flashy defender to boot. Aitcheson scored a tremendous 26 goals and 59 points in 64 games of his draft year this season. He added 88 penalty minutes to those marks – an appropriate decrease from the 126 PIMs he posted last year. Aitcheson was a big moment player in more than one way. Whether Barrie needed to hold down the fort defensively, a big hit in open ice, or a last-ditch drive for a goal – it was Aitcheson on the ice. His high-event hockey may not stick through the next levels, but his feist and determination certainly will. Those will be exciting traits to bet on for a Flyers team in need of defense.

Other Options: Sascha Boumedienne (LD), Cullen Potter (C)

23. Nashville Predators – Sascha Boumedienne (LD) / Boston University Terriers (Hockey East, NCAA)

Like Philadelphia and Montreal, the Predators will have a golden chance to balance out their selection of a forward earlier in the day. Here, they’ll land fundamental Boston Terrier Sascha Boumedienne, the son of longtime pro Josef Boumedienne. Sascha is a by-the-books defender in more ways than one. He handles movement up and down the boards with ease, using a strong stick and positioning to shut down defenders one way and clean puck-control to support the rush the other way. Many have critiqued Boumedienne’s lack of a true X-factor, though his ability to facilitate movement up the ice stood proud and impressive prior to his early jump to college. That should re-emerge as a defining trait as he becomes more comfortable in Hockey East, and continue on through his entry into the pro scene.

Other Options: Vaclav Nestrasil Jr. (RW), William Horcoff (RW/C)

24. Los Angeles Kings – Jack Nesbitt (C) / Windsor Spitfires (OHL)

Los Angeles is another team with a wealth of options available to them. But if precedent holds true, the Kings’ preference lies in finding bulky bodies that they can mold into hardy pros. That’s exactly what they’ll get in Jack Nesbitt, a longtime scrutinized prospect who adjusted to the heights of a top-six OHL role with ease this season. Nesbitt controls the middle lane with confidence and doesn’t shy away from dirty plays. He’s able to pull them off thanks to quick decision-making and a strong frame. He has layers to add to his game, but the skill and size build to go in a variety of directions. That will make for a great build-your-own prospect for the Kings to mold into a backstop for Quinton Byfield.

Other Options: Bill Zonnon (RW/C), Vaclav Nestrasil Jr. (RW)

25. Chicago Blackhawks – Vaclav Nestrasil Jr. (RW) / Muskegon Lumberjacks (USHL)

Another Chicago Blackhawks pick will bring another wave of uncertainty – though sources available to ProHockeyRumors suggest that is’ truly a two-headed race for pick-25. The Hawks are high on defender Boumedienne, but should he be gone, they’ll jump off of the board to land power-forward Vaclav Nestrasil Jr.

Nestrasil Jr., the younger brother of 2009 third-round draftee Andrej Nestrasil, had a major breakout in the year’s second-half as he supported Muskegon’s drive to a Clark Cup Championship. He started the year as a clear power-forward, filling the burly roles in the corners, along the boards, and in front of the net. But as time went on, Nestrasil Jr. added a considerable amount of creativity and puck-control to his style. He became a core piece of Muskegon’s approach down the ice, and ensured break-ins where his teammates struggled. He seems to be developing into a strong offensive asset, on top of his 6-foot-5 frame. That size, heft, and upside will all be welcome in an undersized Blackhawks pool.

Other Options: Sascha Boumedienne (LD), Cullen Potter (C)

26. Nashville Predators – William Horcoff (RW/C) / University of Michigan Wolverines (Big Ten, NCAA)

Among the biggest risers in the year’s second half is William Horcoff, the child of former longtime NHLer Shawn Horcoff. That second-half breakout came after Horcoff made the brazen move away from a record-low-scoring NTDP squad to a top-six role in the Big Ten. He instantly became one of Michigan’s best forwards, on the back of a great mix between responsible impact and flashy scoring jumps. Like his dad, William knows how to handle the small plays exceptionally well – but adds to that an exciting mix of puck-control, hard shot, and drive towards the net. He could be a major breakout candidate with a full year at Michigan next season, where he could play opposite of Malcolm Spence and Canadiens prospect Michael Hage.

Other Options: Cole McKinney (C), Jack Murtagh (LW/C)

27.  Washington Capitals – Bill Zonnon (RW/C) / Rouyn-Noranda Huskies (QMJHL)

The Washington Capitals have found heaps of success in drafting lanky but powerful playmakers in recent years. They’re in a golden spot to land another this year in the form of Bill Zonnon, who still looks a few pounds underweight. Despite that, Zonnon always seemed involved in play as it came across. He made hard plays on the boards and into open space – and generated plenty of scoring as a result. He’ll need to build out his stocky frame a bit more to adjust seamlessly to the pro flight – but that seems like a given after the heaps of offense and control he’s added to his game in recent years.

Other Options: Jack Murtagh (LW/C), Bill Zonnon (RW/C)

28. Winnipeg Jets – Jack Murtagh (LW/C) / U.S. National Team Development Program (NTDP)

Winnipeg are in need of a day-one impact, and will find it with a bet towards the future. Murtagh is among the youngest players in the draft class, but grew into a top-line role at the NTDP on the back of his hardy, do-it-all approach to every shift. Whether it’s battles in the corners, netfront control, or a high-volume shooter role – Murtagh has adjusted to it all with ease. He is another option missing a true defining trait, but could find it as he graduates from the NTDP into a young collegiate role. It will be physicality and sharp shooting that gets him there – two traits sorely needed in Winnipeg’s pool.

Other Options: Jack Nesbitt (C), Bill Zonnon (RW/C)

29. Carolina Hurricanes – Cameron Reid (LD) / Kitchener Rangers (OHL)

The Carolina Hurricanes have never shied away from a clear star because of size or scrutiny. That pattern will benefit them with this year’s day-one pick – as they land the fantastic, all-three-zones determination of Cameron Reid.

Reid has been an effective, puck-moving defender for years – but he’s recently added a hardy boost of defensive control and full-ice poise. No longer is Reid rushing into transition up the ice. Now, he knows how to begin with fundamental shutdowns in the defensive zone, and use his forwards to help jump up the ice with tempo. When tempo picks up, Reid thrives – using quick feet and impressive playmaking knack to generate chances seemingly every shift. As Carolina eyes the turnover of multiple defenders, Reid’s upside will come in handy.

Other Options: Cullen Potter (C), Alexander Zharovsky (RW)

30. San Jose Sharks – Cullen Potter (C) / Arizona State University Sun Devils (NCHC, NCAA)

San Jose will have a heyday on draft day. They can focus solely on drafting for upside – and will find the epitome of the word in flashy forward Cullen Potter, the son of Olympic Gold Medal and four-time World Championship Gold Medal-winner Jenny Schmidgall-Potter. Like his mom, Cullen possesses all of the flashy skating, lightning-quick hands, and blink-and-you’ll-miss-it shot needed to beat opponents at every level he’s played. He stood as Arizona State’s best player this season, even despite entering college well ahead of schedule. It was an impressive feat, though one that would have been far more supported had Potter wielded a bit more size and strength. How he adjusts to the NHL level will be a mystery – but he’s an all-skill, all-flash scorer who has lit up every level he’s played at.

Other Options: Henry Brzustewicz (RD), Shane Vansaghi (C/LW)

31. Philadelphia Flyers – Joshua Ravensbergen (G) / Prince George Cougars (WHL)

Philadelphia will complete the trifecta by taking the first goalie off the board. Joshua Ravensbergen has long been lauded as the top option in this year’s class, boasting both the size and mental fortitude needed to stand up to very hardy roles in international tournaments and high-moment league play. He’s formed a hardy wall all year long, backed by fundamental and athletic movements. There’s a strong chance he could land eaerlier in the class as a result, but in our mock – Philadelphia will get lucky late on day one.

Other Options: Cullen Potter (C), Ryker Lee (LW)

32. Calgary Flames – Benjamin Kindel (RW) / Calgary Hitmen (WHL)

Few prospects have been so scrutinized as the high-skill flash of Benjamin Kindel. He was an undeniable scorer in the WHL this year, using flashy stickhandling, a slingshot wrister, and smart cuts to seamlessly beat defenders and find his way into open ice. But he was also noticeably unphysical all year long, and shied away from pressure in the dirty areas of the ice. Those traits make him a bit of a trepidatious pick. But with his star performance coming in Calgary’s backyard, it’s almost certain that the Flames will be able to see the skill through the skepticism.

Other Options: Henry Brzustewicz (RD), Cole McKinney (C)

Photos courtesy of Eric Canha-Imagn Images, David Reginek-Imagn Images.

2025 NHL Draft| Newsstand

20 comments

Free Agent Focus: Tampa Bay Lightning

June 19, 2025 at 8:42 pm CDT | by Brennan McClain 9 Comments

Free agency is less than a month away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens.  There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well.  We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Lightning.

Key Restricted Free Agents

F Gage Goncalves – Even on a relatively deep Lightning team, Goncalves successfully parlayed an impressive run with the AHL’s Syracuse Crunch into a full-time role at the NHL level. From 2022 to 2024, Goncalves scored 26 goals and 112 points in 140 AHL contests, with another four goals and 11 points in 12 postseason contests. This gave Tampa Bay the confidence to allow Goncalves a longer-term opportunity at the NHL level, and his tryout proved successful by all accounts. Goncalves scored eight goals and 20 points in 60 games for the Lightning while averaging 12:48 of ice time per night, and achieved a 92.0% on-ice save percentage at even strength. Given the roster flexibility he affords and arbitration eligibility status, Goncalves should earn a healthy bump on his $775K salary from last year, but it’ll likely be less than double.

Other RFAs: F Jaydon Dureau, F Ryder Korczak, F Waltteri Merela, G Hugo Alnefelt

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

D Nicklaus Perbix – Over the last three years, Perbix has scored 13 goals and 63 points in 220 regular-season contests, with a 51.2% CorsiFor% at even strength, and a 91.0% on-ice save percentage. This is a quality value for a defenseman who has averaged less than 16 minutes of ice time per game and has been playing on a $1.125MM AAV for the last two seasons. Unfortunately, his performance might have made it too expensive for him to continue with Tampa Bay. AFP Analytics projects Perbix to command a two-year, $5.2MM contract this offseason, which would take up almost 75% of the Lightning’s available cap space. Ultimately, the team will likely look for a cheaper right-handed option to fill in the gap or use a combination of Steven Santini and Maxwell Crozier next season.

F Luke Glendening – The University of Michigan alumnus may no longer have the capacity to score 20 points a year, nor is he in danger of receiving fringe votes for the Selke Trophy, but Glendening still holds value in a niche role. He remains one of the most effective faceoff takers in the league, winning 56.5% of his 1,829 draws taken with the Lightning. Given that he started 66.7% of his shifts in the defensive zone with Tampa Bay, Glendening ultimately gave the Lightning a better chance to retain possession and have an effective breakout. Still, even without the same faceoff talent, there may be better options available for Tampa Bay this offseason, at a similar league-minimum salary.

Other UFAs: F Cam Atkinson, F Anthony Angello, F Logan Brown, F Gabriel Fortier, D Derrick Pouliot, D Tobie Paquette-Bisson, G Matt Tomkins

Projected Cap Space

As alluded to earlier when talking about Perbix, the Lightning will again be limited by the salary cap this summer. Although there are no expectations this offseason, it is important to remember that Tampa Bay faced a similar situation last offseason and successfully acquired and signed the market’s top unrestricted free agent, Jake Guentzel. General Manager Julien BriseBois has shown time and time again that the Lightning can never truly be counted out of any available player, and it’ll be another interesting study to see how he weaponizes Tampa Bay’s projected $3.4MM in cap space this summer.

Free Agent Focus 2025| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| Tampa Bay Lightning

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Seattle Kraken Acquire Mason Marchment

June 19, 2025 at 6:55 pm CDT | by Brennan McClain 21 Comments

As expected, the Dallas Stars have opened up additional salary cap space leading up to the offseason. According to a team announcement, the team has traded forward Mason Marchment to the Seattle Kraken for a 2026 third-round pick and Dallas’s 2025 fourth-round pick, which was previously sent to the New York Rangers and later acquired by the Kraken.

The trade is a beneficial arrangement for both teams. The Stars free up $4.5MM in cap space, which was given to Matt Duchene earlier today, while the Kraken add more goalscoring and physicality into their forward core.

Unfortunately for Dallas, trading Marchment without retaining salary doesn’t solve all of their financial issues. According to PuckPedia, the Stars have $4.95MM in cap space and either need to re-sign or add four to five more forwards to carry a full roster.

If Dallas can trade defensemen Matt Dumba and Ilya Lyubushkin, without retaining any salary, they’ll have just under $12MM in cap space, which would give them much more flexibility. Still, it’s hard to imagine a scenario in which the Stars’ roster doesn’t come out worse off compared to the one they finished their 2025 Stanley Cup playoff race with.

For Seattle, one team’s junk becomes another team’s treasure. Marchment has proven a capable 20-goal scorer over the last few years and can generate more than 100 hits in a season. The Kraken struggled in both areas during the 2024-25 season, finishing with five players recording 100 or more hits, and only four players scoring 20 or more goals.

The one interesting part of this trade by the Kraken is ascertaining where Marchment fits into the lineup. A natural winger, Marchment should expect to play in Seattle’s middle-six. Unfortunately, the team is already fairly crowded with wingers, given that Jaden Schwartz, Kaapo Kakko, Jared McCann, Jordan Eberle, André Burakovsky, and Eeli Tolvanen are all expected back next season.

At any rate, the team is excited to have him, as General Manager Jason Botterill said, “I think Mason has a unique combination of size, skill and strength. He works well down in the corners and around the net and that’s an element we want to continue to add to our group here.”

Dallas Stars| Newsstand| Seattle Kraken| Transactions Mason Marchment

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Sabres Listening To Trade Offers On JJ Peterka

June 19, 2025 at 6:33 pm CDT | by Josh Erickson 47 Comments

June 19th: Furthering Friedman’s report from Sunday, Frank Seravalli announced on the DFO Rundown podcast that the Chicago Blackhawks, New York Islanders, New York Rangers, Tampa Bay Lightning, and Vancouver Canucks all have confirmed interest in acquiring Peterka. Additionally, Sammi Silber of the DC Backcheck reported that the Sabres are asking for a right-handed defenseman to replace Bowen Byram on the roster, plus additional NHL-ready assets.

June 15th: The Sabres are listening to trade offers on winger JJ Peterka, reports Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet. While they’ve been reluctant to consider moving Peterka as his name popped up in trade speculation over the last few months, “their answer has changed” to teams inquiring about his availability, Friedman said on Sunday’s 32 Thoughts podcast.

“It’s believed he would like to go somewhere else, and I just think that reality is sinking in a bit,” Friedman said. “I think the Sabres realize they have to at least look into it, and I think in the last little bit it’s gone from ’we don’t want to do it and we’re not doing it’ to ’we don’t want to do it but we at least have to look into it.’”

Peterka, a pending restricted free agent, is also viewed as a legitimate offer-sheet target if he becomes an RFA without a new contract on July 1. An offer sheet AAV in the fifth tier of compensation between $7.02MM and $9.36MM, in line with Peterka’s projected cap hit on a long-term extension, per PuckPedia, would net the Sabres a team’s 2026 first, second, and third-round picks. If a trade crosses the finish line, the return would presumably come above that value, considering the Sabres are a virtual lock to recoup those assets in a worst-case scenario.

The Sabres’ top-nine forward group has been in constant flux over the past couple of years. They’ve acquired Ryan McLeod and Joshua Norris down the middle, graduated prospect Zach Benson to NHL duties out of the gate, and shipped out Dylan Cozens, Casey Mittelstadt, and 2022 top-10 pick Matthew Savoie in corresponding deals.

They find themselves in more unfamiliar territory with Peterka. Under general manager Kevyn Adams, the Sabres haven’t let negotiations with an RFA-to-be get to this point. They’ve either parted ways with hopeful core pieces after already signing them to long-term deals that weren’t panning out early on (Cozens) or traded them in-season in the final year of their contract with an advance understanding that they were far apart in talks (Mittelstadt). With Peterka, though, it doesn’t seem to be a case of the Sabres’ willingness to pay or commit to him – it’s the players’ uncertainty about signing long-term with the Sabres preventing a contract from getting done.

Buffalo has $23.2MM in cap space to spend this offseason with seven roster spots to fill, per PuckPedia. They have a pair of truly high-priced RFAs to contend with in Peterka and defenseman Bowen Byram, and it looked early on that they may only be able to sign one of them. They’ve been more active in soliciting/listening to trade interest in Byram but could understandably be more incentivized to keep him if they get the sense the situation with Peterka won’t result in him staying in Buffalo.

A trade is far preferable to an offer sheet in terms of compensation for the Sabres, who need at least a top-nine winger in return for Peterka to help them shoulder his loss and keep their postseason hopes alive in 2025-26, in addition to potential UFA signings, as they aim to end their playoff drought at 14 seasons. Peterka, a 2020 second-round pick, scored a career-high 41 assists and 68 points last season to tie for second on the club in scoring. That’s not easily replaceable production, and they’ll need to perform significant roster surgery to compensate if they do end up moving him.

Buffalo Sabres JJ Peterka

47 comments

Trade Notes: Rossi, Marchment, Romanov

June 19, 2025 at 5:59 pm CDT | by Brennan McClain 8 Comments

In an article by Michael Russo and Joe Smith from The Athletic, which was later confirmed by Patrick Johnston of The Province, there is a growing consensus that the Vancouver Canucks have made a formal offer to the Minnesota Wild for Marco Rossi. While the complete trade offer remains unclear, the trio of writers believes the Canucks proposed the 15th overall pick in the 2025 NHL Draft along with a player.

Johnston elaborated in his article stating that it’s unclear whether the player offered to the Wild was a prospect, or one currently rostered with the Canucks. Still, the news confirms that Vancouver is being aggressive in their pursuit of upgrading their second-line center.

While it’s essentially understood that the Canucks and scoring winger Brock Boeser will be parting ways this summer, Vancouver has over $12MM in salary cap space for the offseason. That means the Canucks could comfortably offer Rossi his desired seven-year, $49MM contract, while leaving room for a few further upgrades.

Other trade notes:

  • After signing center Matt Duchene to a new four-year, $18MM contract earlier today, the Dallas Stars only have a projected $455K in salary cap space entering the offseason. Given this, the Stars are looking to move salary off the roster, and forward Mason Marchment has found his name in the center of the rumor mill. According to David Pagnotta of TheFourthPeriod, Dallas is receiving interest in Marchment’s services, particularly from the Toronto Maple Leafs and Utah Mammoth. Marchment already has some familiarity with the Maple Leafs, appearing in four games for the Original Six franchise during the 2019-20 season.
  • In a new report from Stefen Rosner in Responsible Gambling, he suggests that the New York Islanders are garnering trade interest in defenseman Alexander Romanov from the Boston Bruins and Philadelphia Flyers. Rosner provided context for the report by stating that he anticipates the Islanders will begin contract negotiations with Romanov in a few weeks. However, he noted that some teams expect these negotiations to take longer since the Islanders also need to sign Noah Dobson, Simon Holmström, and Maxim Tsyplakov, all while managing a cap space of only $21 million.

Boston Bruins| Dallas Stars| Minnesota Wild| New York Islanders| Philadelphia Flyers| Toronto Maple Leafs| Utah Mammoth| Vancouver Canucks Alexander Romanov| Marco Rossi| Mason Marchment

8 comments

Free Agent Focus: St. Louis Blues

June 19, 2025 at 5:09 pm CDT | by Brennan McClain 8 Comments

Free agency is less than a month away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens.  There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well.  We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Blues.

Key Restricted Free Agents

G Joel Hofer – If the Blues play out Hofer’s trip through restricted free agency the right way, Hofer will have a two-year deal by the end of the summer. The expiry of a new two-year agreement would line up exactly with the end of Jordan Binnington’s contract, giving Hofer and St. Louis an avenue for him to assume the role of starting netminder should he continue to improve. Hofer is coming off an impressive two-year stint as the Blues’ backup, managing a 31-20-4 record in 61 games with a .909 SV%, 2.65 GAA, 11.0 goals saved above average.

Other RFAs: F Nikita Alexandrov, F Mikhail Abramov, F Tanner Dickinson, D Hunter Skinner, D Anton Malmström, G Vadim Zherenko

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

D Ryan Suter – There’s a decent chance the Blues won’t have a decision to make for Suter this offseason. The 40-year-old veteran recently completed his 20th season at the NHL level, and despite indicating in March that he’d like to continue his playing career through the 2025-26 season, there may not be a robust market for him this offseason. After finishing the 2024-25 campaign with a 43.5% CorsiFor% at even strength, Suter’s best bet will be to wait out the market through the offseason and sign a league minimum deal as a seventh defenseman on a competitive roster should he continue his playing career.

F Radek Faksa – There’s a decent chance the Blues will look to retain Faksa this offseason. He’s a quality fourth-line center, winning 57.0% of faceoffs while starting 73.4% of his shifts in the defensive zone. St. Louis has a few young players looking to crack the roster for the 2025-26 campaign, but none of them are likely to affect Faksa’s role with the team. In early May, a report from Lou Korac of NHL.com suggested that Faksa and the Blues had already begun negotiations on a new deal, but nothing has come of them so far.

Other UFAs: F Mackenzie MacEachern, F Corey Andonovski

Projected Cap Space

Because they are projected to lose a small handful of players this offseason, the Blues won’t have much cap space entering the summer months. The Blues have just over $5 million in cap space, ranking fourth-lowest in the league, according to PuckPedia. Aside from re-signing Hofer, St. Louis already has a full roster for the 2025-26 season, and they could bank on their prospects filling in the remaining gaps. However, the Blues could use the upcoming buyout window to release Nick Leddy from the roster, saving them an additional $2MM, since they won’t be able to buy out the injured Torey Krug.

Free Agent Focus 2025| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| St. Louis Blues

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Gabriel Dumont Announces Retirement

June 19, 2025 at 4:00 pm CDT | by Brennan McClain 1 Comment

According to a team announcement, longtime captain for the AHL’s Syracuse Crunch, Gabriel Dumont, has announced his retirement from professional hockey. Dumont, 34, recently completed his 15th professional season.

Dumont’s entrance into professional hockey came in the fifth round of the 2009 NHL Draft, when the Montreal Canadiens selected him with the 139th overall pick. He subsequently had a promising year with the QMJHL’s Drummondville Voltigeurs, scoring 51 goals and 93 points in 62 games with an impressive +43 rating.

Unfortunately, that was the last of Dumont’s high-scoring days for quite some time. He spent the next six years buried in the AHL in the Canadiens organization, scoring 92 goals and 203 points in 389 AHL contests, while managing one goal and three points in 18 NHL games.

After the 2015-16 season, Dumont finally reached free agency and chose to sign a one-year agreement with the Tampa Bay Lightning. This was Dumont’s largest opportunity to play at the top level, scoring two goals and four points in 39 games for the Bolts, while averaging 9:40 of ice time per night. After a brief stint with the Ottawa Senators after being claimed off waivers, Dumont later returned to the Lightning organization, again via waivers, a few months later.

Despite posting a solid 15 goals and 43 points in 59 games for the Crunch in his first year as captain during the 2018-19 campaign, Dumont chose to leave the following summer, signing a two-year agreement with the Minnesota Wild. Dumont largely played in the AHL with Minnesota, scoring 20 goals and 46 points in 68 AHL contests, and going scoreless in three NHL appearances over two years.

The beginning of the 2021-22 season signified Dumont’s last move in his professional career and ended his NHL tenure. Syracuse’s former captain returned, again taking on the same leadership role, for the next four years. Unfortunately, Dumont couldn’t lead the Crunch very deep into the Calder Cup playoffs, but did have the best individual season of his career in 2021-22, scoring 30 goals and 62 points in 75 games.

The former fifth-round selection in the 2009 NHL Draft concluded his AHL career with a total of 202 goals and 459 points across 747 games, playing for the Crunch, Iowa Wild, Hamilton Bulldogs, and St. John’s IceCaps. In addition, he recorded four goals and nine points in 90 NHL appearances with the Canadiens, Lightning, Senators, and Wild. PHR congratulates Dumont on a quality professional career and wishes him the best in retirement.

AHL| Minnesota Wild| Montreal Canadiens| Ottawa Senators| Retirement| Tampa Bay Lightning Gabriel Dumont

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Offseason Checklist: Winnipeg Jets

June 19, 2025 at 1:36 pm CDT | by Josh Erickson 2 Comments

The offseason has arrived for everyone with the Stanley Cup Final in the rearview.  Accordingly, it’s time to examine what they will need to accomplish over the coming months.  Next up is a look at Winnipeg.

Expectations were mixed heading into the season for the Jets, who didn’t do a lot to reshape their roster after a 110-point season in 2023-24 while losing some key free agents as well. They managed to beat that record on the backs of continued dominance from their veterans, progress from young forwards, and an MVP-winning season from goaltender Connor Hellebuyck. Despite the best regular season in franchise history, though, they were dispatched by the Stars in the second round and have now won only two playoff series in the last seven years. General manager Kevin Cheveldayoff now needs to get them over the hump with the high-end core he’s already established.

Re-Sign RFAs

At first glance, the Jets are well-positioned to be major players in free agency this summer with $26.43MM in cap space, per PuckPedia. That’s because multiple key pieces are on expiring contracts, though. Two of them, top-line winger Gabriel Vilardi and top-four defenseman Dylan Samberg, are under team control and need new deals sooner rather than later so the Jets know how much of that cap space they can devote to free-agent pickups.

Vilardi is 25 years old and only has one season of team control remaining. That makes a bridge deal improbable and a long-term contract, even a max-term one, all the more appealing for a player who scored a career-high 27 goals and 61 points in 71 games this season. However, Vilardi’s lengthy injury history likely rules that out. Those 71 games played were also a career-high for the 2017 No. 11 overall pick, coming off his sixth NHL season. He’s missed 20-plus games in a year twice and has only cracked the 60-game mark twice as well. As such, the Jets are likely looking at a four-year commitment for Vilardi around $6.8MM per season, according to AFP Analytics. If he’s amenable to that price, they’d do well to get an agreement around there quickly to remove the threat of arbitration or an offer sheet.

Samberg, 26, is in a better position to command a longer-term deal. He’s just beginning his prime as a high-end second-pairing option with good defensive acumen, posting 20 points and a +34 rating in 60 games last season while averaging north of 21 minutes per game alongside Neal Pionk as Winnipeg’s No. 2 left-shot option behind Josh Morrissey. He’s shown linear development over his first few NHL seasons, and Winnipeg should be comfortable keeping him in his current role for the rest of the decade without much fuss. AFP Analytics projects a five-year deal with a cap hit in the $5.25MM range for him. Those projections still leave Winnipeg somewhere in the $14MM-$15MM range to spend on five roster spots this summer.

Backup Plan For Ehlers

The door isn’t closed on pending UFA winger Nikolaj Ehlers staying in Winnipeg, but it doesn’t look like they’ll be able to entice him with an eighth year on an extension. He’ll test the open market to see what’s out there for him, and the Jets will have to wait in line like everyone else.

That means Winnipeg might have to offer Ehlers a seven-year deal north of $8.5MM, potentially even in the $9MM range, per season to avoid him leaving for an environment with more opportunity for him in a first-line role or somewhere more financially advantageous for the 29-year-old Dane. He’s well-positioned to cash in on the heels of a 63-point season in 69 games, the former standing as one short of a career-high. If the Jets aren’t willing to push into that range to keep his services – a likely bet considering he continues to inexplicably average south of 16 minutes per game – they need to quickly identify targets in free agency who can either replace his output directly or help do so by committee.

Their cap flexibility means they should be able to do that relatively easily, but the Winnipeg market is routinely a hard sell to players who have multiple comparable options on the table. They’ll have to pick and choose their desired players and be quite aggressive with them. They don’t have prospects ready to step directly into Ehlers’ shoes, but perhaps someone like 2022 first-rounder Brad Lambert could at least step into a top-nine role and produce a 30-to-35-point rookie season (third-line fixture Mason Appleton is a pending UFA as well).

They could also opt to be aggressive in pursuit of a second-line center and keep Vladislav Namestnikov and Cole Perfetti, usually Ehlers’ center/winger combo in some capacity last year, as wingmen for a new middleman. There aren’t a ton of options out there, though, particularly after today’s Matt Duchene extension with the Stars. They’ll be trying to land some names in the next tier of UFA forwards like Brock Boeser, Jonathan Drouin, Mikael Granlund, and Pius Suter as a result, without much worry about what forward position they play.

Add Center Depth

Winnipeg’s relative weakness down the middle behind Mark Scheifele will be exacerbated to begin the season. Captain Adam Lowry will spend the first couple of months of the season on the shelf after offseason hip surgery, and frequent fourth-line center option Rasmus Kupari is off to spend the next two seasons in Switzerland.

The prospects of a big move are unlikely unless they’re willing to be aggressive on the trade front for someone like Wild center Marco Rossi, but they haven’t been mentioned in connection with his availability, and it’s exceedingly unlikely Minnesota would consider trading him to a divisional rival anyway. That leaves them with pursuing stopgap solutions like the aforementioned Granlund and Suter, who have top-six mobility, but they need another name or two for added bottom-six depth as well.

One of those could very well be Jonathan Toews. The former Blackhawks captain has spent the last couple of years out of the league as he deals with Chronic Immune Response Syndrome, but has been connected to Winnipeg ever since he publicized his desire for an NHL return last year. The interest is mutual, Cheveldayoff said in January, and it appears the Jets are on the Winnipeg native’s small list of finalists as he nears a decision in the coming days. At worst, he’s a fine fourth-line swap for Kupari.

They’d still like to add another name, presumably a sub-$1.5MM player like Sean Kuraly or Nico Sturm are expected to be, to help shoulder the load in the early going and take pressure off young players to take on center roles out of the gate. Even with a potential high-priced Ehlers contract, all of this should be doable under Winnipeg’s cap structure if they’re responsible with their RFA deals.

Connor Extension Talks

If the Jets aren’t careful, they’ll have back-to-back summers where big-name wingers could depart Winnipeg. Kyle Connor is entering the final year of his seven-year contract, which carries a team-friendly $7.14MM cap hit, and becomes eligible to sign an extension on July 1.

The 2024-25 First Team All-Star at left wing enters his contract year coming off a 41-goal showing, his second time hitting the 40-snipe mark. They have a strong appetite to get something done this summer and avoid the situation they find themselves at present with Ehlers. Considering the more bountiful success Connor has enjoyed in top-line minutes in Winnipeg, it’s likely he’d be more amenable to a long-term commitment.

Finding what the “right” number should be won’t be particularly tricky. He’s a slam-dunk 35-goal man with an extended run of success and even finished top 20 in Hart Trophy voting this season. There’s no question he’ll become Winnipeg’s new highest-paid player on an extension, one that AFP Analytics projects to be eight years at $12MM per season. Amid the rising cap and names like Mitch Marner expected to sniff $14MM on the open market this summer, the Jets shouldn’t have too many qualms about dealing out that big of a raise.

Image courtesy of Connor Hamilton-Imagn Images.

Offseason Checklist 2025| Pro Hockey Rumors Originals| Winnipeg Jets

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Capitals Grant Ethan Bear Permission To Speak With Interested Clubs

June 19, 2025 at 11:58 am CDT | by Josh Erickson 4 Comments

The Capitals will not be re-signing pending unrestricted free agent defenseman Ethan Bear and have given him permission to discuss a contract with other clubs before the opening of free agency on July 1, Rick Dhaliwal of CHEK TV reports.

This was the expected outcome for Bear, whom Washington signed to a two-year, $4.13MM contract in December 2023 after offseason shoulder surgery. The signing was a puzzling one at the time. Washington already had six surefire NHL defensemen under contract, and although they dealt with injuries on the blue line throughout that season, the multi-year term raised eyebrows.

By the time Bear signed with the Capitals, he’d established himself as a legitimate everyday NHLer. The 5’11” righty was coming off one of the better seasons of his career with the Canucks, although they opted to non-tender him amid a roster crunch and an unwillingness to pay his $2.2MM qualfying offer. He averaged 18:32 per game while posting 16 points in 61 appearances, also logging a plus-six rating with good possession impacts (51.0 CF%, 51.6 xGF% at even strength).

Bear settled in as Washington’s seventh defenseman after signing, only playing 24 games over three months before entering the NHL/NHLPA Player Assistance Program in March 2024 and missing the remainder of the season. He averaged a career-low 14:54 per game over that stretch, recording four points and a minus-five rating with some of the worst possession numbers of his career.

As a result, Bear was on the outside of the Caps’ regular lineup when he returned to the club for training camp last fall. He cleared waivers at the beginning of the season and headed to AHL Hershey, where he spent the entirety of the season until being recalled as a healthy extra for Washington’s playoff run amid Martin Fehérváry’s injury.

Bear, 28 next week, was expectedly among the AHL’s best defensemen in 2024-25. He was a second-team All-Star after recording 46 points in 62 games. His two-way impact was arguably the best in the minors – his +33 rating was more than twice that of any other skater on Hershey. As such, there’s strong optimism around the league that he can return to being an above-average option as a third-pairing right-shot defender if deployed somewhere with more upward mobility. That place obviously won’t be Washington, where the Caps already have seven defensemen signed to one-way contracts for next season, not including pending RFA Alexander Alexeyev.

The 2015 fifth-round pick even had fine results in top-four deployment earlier in his career. While a rookie with the Oilers in the 2019-20 season, he averaged nearly 22 minutes per game while skating almost exclusively with Darnell Nurse on Edmonton’s second pairing. He had a career-high 21 points – 19 of which came at even strength – and helped the Oilers control 2.5% more shot attempts compared to when he wasn’t on the ice.

Amid a thin free agent market behind the top few players, particularly among right-shot defenseman, Bear aims to make a return to full-time NHL minutes at the right time for his market value. He likely won’t command a multi-year deal, but his past track record and strong AHL showing this past season will likely be enough to secure him a one-way pact and a legitimate shot at everyday minutes out of the gate.

Washington Capitals Ethan Bear

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Stars Sign Matt Duchene To Four-Year Extension

June 19, 2025 at 9:46 am CDT | by Josh Erickson 24 Comments

The Stars have signed center Matt Duchene to a four-year extension, per a team announcement. It’s worth $4.5MM per season for a total value of $18MM. His deal carries a no-movement clause through 2026-27 before decreasing to a five-team approved trade list for the 2027-28 and 2028-29 seasons, per PuckPedia. The yearly breakdown is as follows:

2025-26: $3MM base salary, $3MM signing bonus
2026-27: $1.8MM base salary, $3MM signing bonus
2027-28: $3.6MM base salary
2028-29: $3.6MM base salary

Duchene could have tested the market as one of the top unrestricted free agent centers available, but he’ll instead opt to stay in a Dallas market where he’s excelled as a key top-six contributor over the past two years. In doing so, he takes a significant discount on his market value, at least on a per-year basis. A four-year offer at a much higher price may not have been out there for the 34-year-old, but AFP Analytics projected a three-year deal for Duchene to fall in the $7MM range per season if he hit the open market.

The 2009 No. 3 overall pick is coming off a spectacular 2024-25 campaign. While the Stars scored the third-most goals in the league, their offense was largely generated by committee. Duchene was the only Dallas player who played at least 25 games that hit the point-per-game mark, leading them in scoring with a 30-52–82 line while playing in all 82 games. Averaging over 17 minutes per game, it was the second time Duchene had hit 80 points in his 16-year NHL career and the fourth time he had hit 30 goals.

Duchene initially arrived in Texas on a one-year, $3MM contract for 2023-24 following a surprise buyout by the Predators with three years left on his contract. He posted 25 goals and 65 points in 80 games last year before taking a repeat of that deal to stay with the Stars last summer. It was a significant discount then, and he takes another significant discount now, locking in some highly-desired security through the rest of his mid-30s as well.

The Stars need any help they can get to ice a cap-compliant roster for 2025-26. Duchene’s steep discount certainly helps, but they still find themselves in a position to clear multiple salaries in order to even ice a full roster, let alone re-sign any other pending UFAs. Dallas now has just $455K in cap space with a roster of only 17 players, per PuckPedia. They need to open at least $1.9MM cap space at an absolute minimum via trades to be able to sign three league-minimum players for a bare-bones 20-man roster. In reality, they’ll move at least two of Mason Marchment ($4.5MM), Mathew Dumba ($3.75MM), and Ilya Lyubushkin ($3.25MM) to open up far more than that to give them some in-season flexibility while not taking a catastrophic hit to their forward depth. Jamie Benn, Evgenii Dadonov, and Mikael Granlund remain as pending UFAs up front.

For Duchene, he’ll still be getting compensated more than his contract with Dallas indicates. The expiry of his new deal following the 2028-29 season lines up with when his buyout paychecks from the Predators will end. He’s still set to receive $6.56MM from Nashville in 2025-26 and then $1.56MM annually through 2028-29.

Image courtesy of Jerome Miron-Imagn Images.

Dallas Stars| Newsstand| Transactions Matt Duchene

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