Jets Assign Prospect Kevin He To AHL
The Winnipeg Jets assigned prospect forward Kevin He to their AHL affiliate, the Manitoba Moose today.
Manitoba is currently down 1-0 to the Milwaukee Admirals in a best-of-three first-round playoff series. He’s OHL season ended April 16 when his Flint Firebirds were swept by the Windsor Spitfires in the second round of the playoffs. This reassignment gives He the chance to potentially make his professional debut in a do-or-die playoff contest for the Moose.
He, who turns 20 in one week, concluded a second consecutive OHL campaign scoring above the point-per-game mark. He totaled 36 goals and 75 points in 62 games for the Niagara IceDogs in 2024-25, and managed 39 goals and 77 points in 60 games between Niagara and Flint this season. He had served as the IceDogs captain since the start of last season, until his trade to Flint.
While He’s current stint with the Moose may very well not last through the weekend, the bigger test for his future will start next fall. He is set to begin his professional career then, most likely with Manitoba.
The Moose struggled to score for much of this past season, finishing third-to-last in the AHL in total goals scored with 185, the fewest among playoff teams by a wide margin. They ranked No. 31 in the AHL in scoring the year prior, and No. 25 in 2023-24. He, along with other Jets forward prospects, will be tasked with helping to reverse that trend next season.
Jordan Kyrou Undergoes Minor Knee Surgery, Will Be Ready For Camp
Blues star winger Jordan Kyrou underwent a minor knee procedure this week that his not expected to impact his availability for next season’s training camp, the team announced Thursday. General manager Doug Armstrong did not disclose an exact timeline.
Kyrou missed a few weeks with a lower-body injury back in December. It’s unclear if the procedure referenced today is related to that absence, but if it is, it would offer an added explanation for the top scorer’s struggles this season.
Over the past few seasons, Kyrou has been money in the bank for at least 30 goals and 65 points. From the 2021-22 to 2024-25 seasons, he rarely missed extended time and averaged 34 goals and 74 points per 82 games.
All that came crashing down in a disastrous 2025-26 campaign for both him and the club. Kyrou’s 18 goals, 28 assists, and 46 points in 72 games were his worst scoring line in five years.
His ice time was correspondingly limited by head coach Jim Montgomery. He was a healthy scratch for a game early in the season and saw over 15 minutes just three times in the final 12 games of the season. He averaged only 15:44 per game on the year, his lowest deployment since his big breakout in 2021-22.
Kyrou’s name was frequently in trade speculation over the past two offseasons as the Blues looked to leverage him from a position of strength, potentially to improve their blue line. He had a full no-trade clause kick in on July 1 last summer that now makes that a much more complicated proposition. Now locked in at an $8.125MM cap hit through 2030-31, it’s unwise for the Blues to cut bait on Kyrou after a down season anyway.
Snapshots: Kuzmenko, Hintz, Dach, Charron, Hayes
Kings forward Andrei Kuzmenko is set to draw into the postseason lineup for the first time for tonight’s Game 3 of the Avalanche, Peter Baugh of The Athletic reports. He took line rushes at morning skate on the left wing on the third line with Scott Laughton and Joel Armia. Rookie Jared Wright had occupied that slot for the first two games of the series but was bumped down to fourth-line duties this morning. Trade deadline pickup Mathieu Joseph was the odd man out and projects to head to the press box after playing in six straight. Kuzmenko hasn’t played since undergoing surgery for a torn meniscus on Feb. 28, but was activated from injured reserve at the beginning of the playoffs. After flourishing with 17 points in 22 games last season following his acquisition from the Flyers at the trade deadline, the Russian offensive weapon posted a more conservative 13-12–25 scoring line in 52 games this season and has been bumped off the top line thanks to Artemi Panarin‘s injection into the roster.
More from around the league Thursday:
- The Stars have now officially ruled center Roope Hintz out for Game 4 against the Wild, head coach Glen Gulutzan said (via Dan Rosen of NHL.com). He had initially left the door open for Hintz to join the team in Minnesota, depending on how he felt earlier in the week, but that won’t happen. Hintz did skate for the first time yesterday since sustaining a lower-body injury back on March 7, so while he’s still considered doubtful for Game 5 and questionable for the rest of the first round, there’s tangible progress toward his return. Dallas has eked out a 2-1 series lead without him, thanks to Wyatt Johnston‘s double-overtime heroics last night and an exceptional performance from their defense and penalty kill in Game 3, holding Minnesota to zero inner-slot shots the entire night despite the Wild having seven power plays.
- The AHL’s Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins signed a trio of Pittsburgh unsigned draft picks to amateur tryouts ahead of their Atlantic Division Semifinal series kicking off soon, per a team announcement. Most intriguing among them is center Kale Dach, who, despite being drafted last out of the three in last year’s draft (seventh round, 201st overall), had the most impactful post-draft season. Some had viewed Dach as more of a mid-round pick, and they were proven right to some degree by him having a 34-goal, 75-point campaign in 63 games for the WHL’s Calgary Hitmen after spending last season with the junior ‘A’ Sherwood Park Crusaders of the BCHL. He’ll be off to Penn State in the fall but maintains his collegiate eligibility by not signing an NHL contract. Also joining the Baby Pens for the postseason are right-winger Jordan Charron, a 2025 fifth-round pick and St. Lawrence commit who scored 25 goals and 47 points in 66 games this season for the OHL’s Soo Greyhounds, and Travis Hayes, selected in the fourth round last year. Hayes is the brother of now-teammate Avery Hayes and suited up alongside Charron in Sault Ste. Marie this season, posting a 16-24–40 scoring line in 63 games with a team-high +27 rating.
What Will The Canadiens Do With Zachary Bolduc?
The Canadiens are tied at one game apiece in their first-round series against the Lightning. They have a number of healthy scratches at forward thanks to their depth, but one young player is looking to leave an impression and avoid sitting out for any length of time.
Zachary Bolduc is a talented forward and pending restricted free agent who is sure to get a raise this summer as his entry-level contract wraps up. How much he gets will depend on several factors, primarily the term he and the Canadiens agree to, as well as where Montreal sees him in the foreseeable future.
When you read that statement, the first thought is: where does Bolduc slot into Montreal’s lineup? There is also the possibility that Montreal uses Bolduc and other assets to try to land a premier second-line center.
Alternatively, Bolduc remains with Montreal into next year and signs a new deal. But does that come in the form of a short-term bridge deal, or have the Canadiens seen enough to ink him long term?
It’s no secret that Montreal wants to address the second-line center position to ease some of the pressure on first-line pivot Nick Suzuki. This season, the Habs relied heavily on Oliver Kapanen, who filled in admirably but has at times been exposed, prompting Canadiens head coach Martin St. Louis to shelter him.
Kapanen has also benefited from a PDO well over 100, which has masked some of his shortcomings and made it more tolerable to keep him in the top six. Another season with that kind of luck seems unlikely, so Montreal needs to act this summer, especially with Michael Hage returning to the NCAA for another year. Montreal doesn’t exactly have an internal solution to fill the 2C slot at the moment.
Could Bolduc be part of a package to acquire a center? It depends on which player the Canadiens target. If they covet Robert Thomas of the Blues, St. Louis would surely love to reacquire him after he tallied 19 goals and 36 points for them as a rookie in 2024-25 before being dealt to Montreal last summer. If the Habs are looking elsewhere for a Nico Hischier-type player, Bolduc could be part of a package that includes other prospects and one or two draft picks.
What if the Canadiens see Bolduc as a potential top-six fixture? It would be easy to see why, given his offensive abilities and physical presence.
Bolduc has an excellent shot and is a natural goal-scorer who gets into the forecheck and can be difficult to play against. However, as good as he can be, there are questions about consistency and on-ice results.
The 23-year-old had 12 goals and 18 assists in 78 games this year, but much of his scoring came in bunches. There were several five-game (or longer) stretches throughout the year when Bolduc produced no offense, and his physicality was inconsistent as well.
A perfect example is a stretch from Dec. 24 to March 25, during which Bolduc produced exactly zero goals and just nine assists in 31 games. On March 26, he ended his goalless drought at 31 games with a goal and an assist against the Blue Jackets, but then proceeded to be held pointless for another seven games before a two-point game against the Islanders on April 12. It’s that sort of inconsistency and wild variation in production that will give the Canadiens pause about a long-term deal for Bolduc, making a bridge contract far likelier.
What might that look like? Based on AFP Analytics’ projections, something in the range of $3.588MM per year on a two-year deal would make sense.
That wouldn’t be a problem for Montreal, given where they are compared to the salary cap. A short-term deal would give the Canadiens more time to assess what they have in Bolduc and determine whether he’s part of the future or a piece they can leverage to fill other gaps on their roster.
But how does the bridge contract AAV compare to a long-term contract, and would it make more sense to lock Bolduc in for the next seven or eight years before he breaks out and becomes much more expensive? If there’s a team that knows what it’s like to get burned by signing a player, it’s the Canadiens, who once had to pay top dollar to extend P.K. Subban after a contentious bridge contract.
However, in this case, Bolduc is not Subban and doesn’t appear destined to become an award-winning forward. The AAV projection for Bolduc on a long-term contract is also eye-popping to say the least, coming in a shade under $6MM on a six-year deal.
The number on a long-term deal is likely a non-starter for the Canadiens until they see more from the Trois-Rivières, Quebec, native. It’s possible he goes on a tear in the postseason and convinces Montreal to go long term, but at this stage, the inconsistency, offensive droughts, and his inability to drive play are significant question marks that will likely prompt the Habs to opt for a bridge deal to get a longer look before committing to an extended term. That is, if he sticks with the Canadiens beyond this season.
Kings Reassign Pheonix Copley, Recall Carter George
The Kings loaned goaltender Pheonix Copley to AHL Ontario on Thursday, per a team announcement. In his place, the team summoned goalie prospect Carter George from the OHL’s Soo Greyhounds to serve as their emergency backup goaltender for the balance of the postseason.
Copley heads down to Ontario to serve as their veteran starting option for the Calder Cup Playoffs. Ontario had finished high enough in their division to earn a bye through the first round, but since their Pacific Semifinal series will get underway soon, the Kings have opted to return Copley there to make sure their minor-league club can field the best roster possible, similar to the Lightning’s demotion of Brandon Halverson earlier Thursday.
Copley’s stint as L.A.’s EBUG for Games 1 and 2 against the Avalanche marked his first time on the NHL roster since the calendar flipped to 2026. The 34-year-old vet made one start back in December, allowing three goals on 28 shots for a .893 SV% in a loss to the Kraken. It was his first NHL start since undergoing ACL surgery in December 2023, although he did make one relief appearance for the Kings last season.
A pending unrestricted free agent, it’s unclear if L.A. plans to retain Copley for what would be his fifth season in the organization (aside from a brief stint with the Lightning at the beginning of this year after being lost on waivers). They have George, their #1 prospect, plus serviceable 25-year-old Erik Portillo under contract through next year, leaving their AHL duo likely set in stone.
If Copley still wants a high AHL workload and expanded call-up opportunities, he’ll likely need to look elsewhere on the open market. In 33 regular-season games for Ontario this season, he managed a .901 SV%, 2.59 GAA, a 21-11-1 record, and one shutout.
George, who doesn’t turn 20 until next month, just wrapped up his fourth and final junior season. A midseason pickup from the struggling Owen Sound Attack, George’s .910 SV% in 10 postseason games fueled the Greyhounds to a major upset over the London Knights in the first round, although they were dispatched just as quickly by Kitchener in five games in round two last week.
A second-rounder in 2024, George already has several accolades in his trophy case. He won a bronze medal as Canada’s starter at this year’s World Juniors, and he was one of the best goalies in the tournament last year as well, despite an early upset by the Czechs in the quarterfinals. Goalies rarely, if ever, make the jump straight from juniors to the NHL, so he’s ticketed for time in Ontario next season. Already having signed his entry-level contract, he is prohibited from taking the college route.
Sabres’ Josh Norris Out Day-To-Day, Noah Ostlund Returning
The Sabres won’t have center Joshua Norris available tonight for Game 3 of their first-round series against the Bruins, head coach Lindy Ruff said (via Paul Hamilton of WGR Sports Radio 550). He’s day-to-day with an undisclosed injury. It’s not all bad, as they’ll be getting Noah Ostlund back from injury, with this morning’s line rushes indicating he’s slotting directly in for Norris as their third-line center (via Hamilton).
Norris didn’t appear to sustain anything major in Game 2. Ruff was non-specific when speaking on his ailment today, only saying that he’s “not feeling right” (via Rachel Lenzi of The Buffalo News).
The oft-injured 26-year-old shouldered a full workload through the first two games of the series, which were also the first of his playoff career. He averaged 16:36 per game and recorded six hits, although he was rendered pointless and had a -1 rating.
Still, it’s a notable loss. Buffalo won the possession battle handily with Norris on the ice at 5-on-5, controlling 61.1% of shot attempts. He’s also been above water in the faceoff department, winning 53.1% of his draws for a team that’s struggled heavily there to begin the series.
In the regular season, Norris had 34 points in 44 games. He missed nearly half the season with various upper-body issues that were unrelated to his previous shoulder injuries, but his 0.77 points per game were fourth on the team. Having that kind of production ceiling from a third-line center is a luxury the Sabres have reaped the rewards of this season en route to finishing fifth in the league in goals, although they’re only averaging three per game in their small playoff sample this far.
The Sabres would certainly prefer to reincorporate Ostlund without taking a name of Norris’ caliber out to make room, but they’ll gladly welcome him back nonetheless. The 2022 first-round pick had a solid rookie campaign after an early-season call-up from AHL Rochester, finishing the year with 11 goals and 27 points in 60 games.
It has been nearly a month since Ostlund played, though. He sustained an upper-body injury against Boston back on March 25 and was initially labeled day-to-day, but it stretched into something longer.
A natural center, Buffalo has preferred to deploy Ostlund on the wing for much of the year. Norris’ injury will obviously force him back to the middle, but his struggles on faceoffs – he won just 31.5% of them in the regular season – are certainly cause for concern given the circumstances. There are also some red flags about playing the skilled and smart Ostlund in a high-leverage role in what’s been an incredibly physical series thus far. He’s smallish at 5’11” and 180 lbs and plays like it; he only had five hits total in the regular season. Buffalo has already totaled 83 of them through Games 1 and 2.
USA Hockey Finalizes Coaching Staff For 2026 Worlds
USA Hockey has rounded out its coaching staff for next month’s 2026 World Championship in Switzerland, the organization announced Thursday. Former Sabres bench boss Don Granato was previously announced as the head coach in March as the Americans aim to win back-to-back gold medals at the event for the first time ever.
Joining Granato as assistants will be Canucks assistant Kevin Dean, Predators assistant Darby Hendrickson, Rangers assistant Ty Hennes and University of Michigan head coach Brandon Naurato. Sharks goaltending coach Thomas Speer is joining in the same role, while Predators video coach Lawrence Feloney and Islanders video coordinator Matt DeMado have also been added to the staff.
It’s a very similar group to the contingent that led the Americans to the promised land last season. Dean, Speer, and Feloney are all returnees, as are general manager Brett Peterson and assistant general manager Jeff Kealty.
Dean had no previous national team experience up until last year’s tournament, but they obviously liked what they saw, then under Sharks head coach Ryan Warsofsky. He’ll be primarily responsible for the defensemen and penalty kill, the same role he holds in Vancouver, although the Canucks had a league-worst 71.5% penalty kill success rate and ranked 29th in the league in shots against per game with 29.8 in Dean’s first season behind the bench there. He had previous stints with the Bruins (2017-22) and Blackhawks (2022-25) as an assistant.
In Nashville, Hendrickson is more of a roving assistant focused on player development. This marks his first national team appearance as a coach, although he scored 14 points in 44 World Championship games for the U.S. as a player in six tournaments (1996-2001) and also suited up for them at the 1994 Winter Olympics.
Hennes returns to the United States bench after first serving as an assistant coach at the 2024 Worlds. The Americans went 5-1-1 in group play that year but were upset by the host Czechia in the quarterfinals. Hennes is coming off his first season with the Rangers, following Mike Sullivan to New York last summer after spending the previous three seasons under him as an assistant with the Penguins.
Naurato, one of the brighter coaching prospects in the sport, is 41 years old and just wrapped up his fourth season heading up the Wolverines’ bench. A former player development consultant with the Red Wings from 2018-21, he spent only one season at Michigan as an assistant before earning the promotion. During that time, he’s won a pair of Big 10 championships and got Michigan to its fourth Frozen Four in the last five years, although they’ve been bounced in the national semifinal each time.
Senators’ Tyler Kleven Returning For Game 3
Senators defenseman Tyler Kleven will make his 2026 playoff debut in Game 3 of their first-round series against the Hurricanes tonight, he told reporters at Thursday’s morning skate (including Joshua Clipperton of The Canadian Press).
Kleven has been out of commission since April 2 with an upper-body injury sustained while blocking a shot in a game against the Sabres. At a time when the Sens were already down Jake Sanderson and Thomas Chabot, it was a crushing injury that removed all three of their left-side regulars from the lineup. Sanderson ultimately returned for their next game, and Chabot followed suit soon after, but Kleven’s injury – plus Nick Jensen‘s continued absence due to meniscus surgery and Artem Zub‘s departure in Game 1 with a lower-body injury – has still put a strain on Ottawa’s defense to begin the postseason.
Now, Ottawa will be down “just” Jensen and Zub as they try to climb out of a 2-0 hole at home. After dressing Dennis Gilbert and Lassi Thomson as their third pair for Game 2, both of them will come out while Cameron Crotty steps in on Kleven’s right side to make his first-ever playoff appearance, head coach Travis Green said (via Claire Hanna of TSN).
Kleven, coming off his second full regular season, was quite reliable as the #3 lefty on the Sens’ depth chart this season. Selected 44th overall in 2020, Kleven set career highs in assists (15), points (18), hits (126), and average time on ice (17:21) while suiting up in 70 contests. He emerged with a +2 rating and had spectacular results when paired with Jordan Spence, controlling 60.4% of expected goals in 657 minutes together at 5-on-5, per MoneyPuck.
Jensen’s and Zub’s injuries mean Spence has been elevated to top-four duties, so Kleven won’t have that kind of support on his right flank tonight. Nonetheless, he’s a significant plug-and-play upgrade over Gilbert, who actually had a solid go of things in his limited minutes in Games 1 and 2. Kleven’s higher ceiling – plus his strong performance in their first-round loss to the Maple Leafs last season – makes him an appealing option to get back in the lineup while likely seeing some penalty-kill time as well.
Lightning Reassign Brandon Halverson, Recall Harrison Meneghin
The Lightning have reassigned goaltender Brandon Halverson to AHL Syracuse, per a team announcement Thursday. They recalled goaltender Harrison Meneghin from Syracuse in his place to serve as their third-stringer/emergency backup during the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
Syracuse had wrapped up a berth in the Calder Cup Playoffs a while ago, so having their #1 option in Halverson up with the Lightning wasn’t much of a problem. As the second-place team in the North Division, they earned a bye through the first round as well, so they’ve been off for a bit.
Their best-of-five North Division Semifinal series against Cleveland starts tomorrow night, though. They’ll get Halverson back down there to start after spending much of the last couple of weeks up on the NHL roster, giving their minor-league affiliate the best chance at a lengthy playoff run.
Halverson was initially brought up before the end of the regular season. He started Tampa’s regular-season finale against the Rangers, allowing four goals on 21 shots for a .810 SV% in a loss, while backup Jonas Johansson was sidelined with an undisclosed injury and workhorse starter Andrei Vasilevskiy got the night off.
Johansson has returned to back up Vasilevskiy through Games 1 and 2 of their first-round series against the Canadiens. Still, teams are required to roster a third goaltender at all times during the postseason who can function similarly to a regular-season EBUG. They’re permitted to enter the game, even if they’re not dressed, in the event both the starting and backup goaltender are forced out of the contest, to avoid a situation in which a Scott Foster or David Ayres-type ever sees playoff action.
Halverson is in his third season in the Bolts organization as an AHL option, breaking out as their clear-cut #3 last season. The 30-year-old only has four career NHL appearances to his name, two of which came this year. His 43 games for Syracuse this season ranked seventh in the AHL, though, accompanied by a decent .905 SV%, 2.42 GAA, and a 24-11-10 record with a league-leading six shutouts.
Meneghin is certainly less appealing as a break-glass-in-case-of-emergency option, at least at present, but he’s spent virtually the entire season down with ECHL Orlando and wasn’t going to see AHL playoff action anyway. Tampa selected the 21-year-old in the seventh round in 2024.
The 6’4″ netminder had put together some impressive seasons in junior hockey, including a WHL title and playoff MVP honors with Medicine Hat just last season. His stellar .919 SV% in 53 games for Lethbridge in 2023-24 is what led to his selection as an overager after going undrafted in both 2022 and 2023.
However, his first professional season has been a struggle. He only made 14 appearances for Orlando this season and wasn’t good, logging a .889 SV% and 3.26 GAA with a 4-9-0 record. His lone relief appearance for Syracuse, which came last Friday, saw him allow two goals on four shots for a .500 SV% and 9.33 GAA.
Meneghin remains under contract through 2027-28 and is the only depth netminder Tampa has signed through next season. They’ll be looking for him to return with a strong training camp and compete for AHL backup duties in the fall.
The Maple Leafs Are The League’s Most Troubled Team
The headlines about the Maple Leafs over the past 12 months have been largely negative, and for good reason. The team hasn’t been good since being knocked out of last year’s playoffs in the second round, and they’ve been a circus off the ice as well.
But a team that just a few years ago had quiet, steady confidence has become a tsunami of chaos wrapped in a corporate blanket. The Maple Leafs are in trouble, not the kind that can be “fixed” in a season or two – as we’ve seen in Pittsburgh or Washington – but the kind that can lead to a decade of futility.
Before diving too deep into the rabbit hole, a quick caveat. If the right lottery balls fall and Toronto turns this boondoggle of a season into the first overall pick, Gavin McKenna, then all the points that follow could become moot.
However, if the lottery balls fall the other way and Toronto ends up with a non-top-five pick that will be sent to the Bruins, it would lead to a more disillusioned fanbase and more toxicity around an organization that has watched a once-promising rebuild completely unravel in just a few years.
Some might argue that it all came apart in the last 12 months, and there is a good case for that, given that Toronto saw its biggest year-over-year point decline in 109 years. But the truth is that the seeds of this tree of woe were planted years ago, and they’ve been soaking up water for the last couple of seasons, only to emerge as the Maple Leafs’ first playoff absence in ten years.
The issue for the Maple Leafs isn’t a single item on a checklist. It’s a systemic issue that has filtered down from the top and has culminated in this week’s news from The Athletic that Maple Leafs Sports and Entertainment president Keith Pelley has become deeply involved in roster construction, something he’d never done before.
The Athletic piece (subscription required), written in partnership by Jonas Siegel, Chris Johnston and James Mirtle, delves extensively into the Maple Leafs’ past season and pulls no punches in its depiction of their fall. History is littered with empires that fell, but for the Maple Leafs, the empire they were supposed to become when they emerged from a rebuild ten years ago never materialized.
How they turn things around at this time is incredibly unclear. There is perhaps only one quick fix: the aforementioned McKenna lottery ball going their way.
Outside of that, the road back to relevancy is paved with speed bumps, and at the moment, there isn’t an obvious candidate in the organization who can lead them to the promised land. There isn’t exactly a litany of candidates outside the organization, either, who could undo all the damage that’s been done to their roster.
Lots of names will get tossed around, but there aren’t many free-agent managers available who have built perennial Stanley Cup contenders, with the exception of Stanley Cup winner Peter Chiarelli, who is probably not high on Toronto’s list of candidates due to a litany of other roster construction blemishes on his record
Some have mentioned Mark Hunter of the London Knights as a potential candidate to take over, but Hunter had a somewhat sour experience with the Maple Leafs earlier in his career as an assistant GM, passed over for promotion in favor of Kyle Dubas, and may not want to leave the stability of the OHL Knights for the chaos of the Leafs. However, money can heal a ton of wounds, and if Toronto wanted to, they could probably find enough to mend fences with Hunter.
That is what Toronto will have to try to do if it wants to turn its current luck around in a hurry and flex its financial might. There is no cap on management, scouting, and player development, and it is an area where Toronto could invest heavily again to quickly retool or rebuild its roster. However, based on the story from The Athletic, it appears that Maple Leafs ownership has plans to move in the opposite direction, though they might not have a choice given the state of their roster and prospect pool.
When Toronto’s lineup is fully healthy, it’s not exactly a group that will strike fear into many opponents. There are significant gaps throughout, and not much toughness to speak of.
The biggest hole is on defense, where the team lacks a true number one defenseman who can run the power play, kill penalties, and play a solid two-way game at five-on-five. Many fans hoped Morgan Rielly would fill that role, but his game is all offense at this point, and that offense has been drying up in recent years.
The good news for Toronto is that they have plenty of cap space this summer ($22.2MM, with just three roster players to sign, per PuckPedia). However, the bad news is that there isn’t much available in free agency, and Toronto doesn’t have many draft picks or prospects to trade.
There are a few future pieces they could deal, but would it even make sense at this point to add to a core group of players who have won exactly nothing in ten years and have now gone through several management groups with almost no variation in results? The constant during that time has been Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and Rielly, who have all been on this ship while the deckchairs have shuffled around them year after year.
Is it time to move one of them? Can Toronto even move any of them, given their contracts, no-trade clauses, and last season’s struggles?
The core players have said they want to run things back in Toronto and give it another shot, which seems foolish at this point, given the track record. A new GM who comes in and tries to build around Matthews and company could be in for a fool’s errand, throwing good money after bad as they fall victim to the sunk-cost fallacy.
Make no mistake, every GM falls victim to it, throwing good assets out the window to undo previous errors. It usually doesn’t end well and can ultimately lead to a reduction in the contention window, which is exactly what happened in Toronto and elsewhere.
Many teams have done this before, burning through draft picks and prospects in pursuit of a playoff berth, only to miss and have nothing to show for it. The Penguins notoriously let Ron Hextall burn through assets in an attempt to save his job in 2023.
He traded a second-round pick for Mikael Granlund, who had the worst run of his career in Pittsburgh before the Penguins missed the playoffs. Hextall was fired shortly after the season, and Dubas came in and immediately made the same mistakes as Hextall, trading good assets for aging ones, before realizing his errors and pivoting to a retool.
Dubas then systematically moved out the Penguins’ veterans who didn’t fit the plan and moved on, recouping tons of young assets in the process. He also took on bad contracts along with draft picks to help teams that were strapped against the cap.
Some might look at the Dubas strategy and think it could work for Toronto, and who knows, maybe it could. But the issue is that it took Dubas two years to see results from those moves, and we haven’t fully seen those results yet.
Many of the draft picks Dubas acquired are in upcoming drafts. That strategy takes time, a lot of time, and time is something Toronto doesn’t have, given that Matthews has just two years left on his deal now.
Another issue for Toronto in deploying the Dubas strategy is that there simply aren’t as many teams up against the cap as there were a year or two ago, when Dubas made his moves. This means teams may be more inclined to simply bury bad contracts rather than trade them for an asset to get rid of them.
It was still painful for Pittsburgh, as they missed the playoffs for three straight years before making it this year. Retools take time; even when most of the moves work out well, there is no quick fix, only trade-offs. Toronto’s management has to decide which trade-off they are comfortable making before making management hires and pointing this team in a different direction.
Whatever direction is ultimately chosen, the road will be bumpy, but any team that finds success has to endure adversity, some more than others. And for the Maple Leafs, if they do eventually find success, they will have endured more adversity than any other team.