Five Key Stories: 10/24/22 – 10/30/22
The final full week of October is in the books and we started to see some activity on the trade front while there was some notable injury news as well. Those are among the topics in our key stories of the week.
Not Hanging Them Up Yet: While Carey Price has already been ruled out for the season with a particularly grim outlook on his ability to return, he indicated that he hasn’t given up hope of eventually returning. The veteran is dealing with considerable knee pain and is hesitant to undergo surgery, one that only carries a 50/50 chance of success and could lead to some long-term problems if it doesn’t go well. Instead, he’s holding out hope that rest and rehab will eventually give him a chance to return to the ice. Price is signed through 2025-26 with a $10.5MM AAV and will be on LTIR for Montreal for that entire stretch unless he’s able to return.
More Flyers Injuries: The Flyers entered today in first place in the Metropolitan Division despite missing several regulars due to injuries. That list grew as winger James van Riemsdyk underwent finger surgery that will force him to miss four-to-six weeks, hardly an ideal situation for someone in a contract year. On top of that, while they were hoping that Sean Couturier would be back sooner than later, he stopped skating and it was revealed that he’ll be out for three to four months as he works his way back from a back injury. Veterans Cam Atkinson and Ryan Ellis have yet to play for Philadelphia this season as well with the latter likely to miss the entire season.
Back Early: The Bruins were expected to be without Brad Marchand until late November after undergoing double hip surgery back in May. Players sometimes come back a bit earlier than expected but rarely do they beat the expected timeline by a month. However, that’s exactly what Marchand did as he returned with a bang, picking up three points in his season debut. He won’t play in back-to-backs for now as he eases his way back into the lineup but Boston has to be thrilled that one of their top performers is back as they look to maintain their hot start that has seen them lose just once this season. Veteran Mike Reilly was sent to the minors to create the cap space to activate Marchand.
Making Moves: The trade market is typically slow this time of year but that didn’t stop Vancouver from making a couple of swaps. First, they acquired forward Jack Studnicka from Boston in exchange for goaltender Michael DiPietro and prospect defenseman Jonathan Myrenberg. Studnicka was a productive player in junior but it hasn’t translated to much success in the pros so the Canucks will try to coax that production out of him. Meanwhile, they made a move to shore up an injury-depleted back end, picking up Ethan Bear and AHL forward Lane Pederson from Carolina in exchange for a fifth-round pick with the Hurricanes retaining $400K of Bear’s $2.2MM salary. It wasn’t that long ago that Bear was viewed as a possible long-term part of Edmonton’s back end and with the injuries they have, he’ll have a chance to step in and play an impact role right away.
Losing A Key Center: Expectations are high in Ottawa this season as their young players are expected to take a step forward while they added several key veterans. Joshua Norris is one of the youngsters they had high expectations for as their top center but he’ll be out for the next three to five months due to a shoulder injury. While head coach D.J. Smith is holding out hope that the 23-year-old will be able to return this season, he acknowledged that he’s not overly confident of that which suggests the longer end of that recovery timeline is the likeliest one.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Salary Cap Deep Dive: Nashville Predators
Navigating the salary cap is one of the more important tasks for any GM. Teams that can avoid total cap chaos by walking the tightrope of inking players to deals that match their value (or compensate for future value without breaking the bank) remain successful. Those that don’t see struggles and front office changes.
PHR will look at every NHL team and give a thorough look at their cap situation for the 2022-23 season and beyond. This will focus more on players who are regulars on the roster versus those who may find themselves shuttling between the AHL and NHL. All cap figures are courtesy of CapFriendly.
Nashville Predators
Current Cap Hit: $80,873,601 (under the $82.5MM Upper Limit)
Entry-Level Contracts
None
Signed Through 2022-23, Non-Entry-Level
D Mark Borowiecki ($900K, UFA)
D Alexandre Carrier ($733K, RFA)
D Dante Fabbro ($2.4MM, RFA)
F Cody Glass ($874K, RFA)
F Tanner Jeannot ($800K, RFA)
G Kevin Lankinen ($1.5MM, UFA)
F Michael McCarron ($750K, UFA)
F Zach Sanford ($850K, UFA)
F Kiefer Sherwood ($750K, UFA)
F Cole Smith ($750K, UFA)
It feels like Glass is in a make-or-break year. After spending most of last season in the minors, he broke camp with Nashville and has been a regular early on. Young centers with size get long leashes and simply holding down a regular role will earn him another opportunity, albeit at one that isn’t much higher priced than this. But if he can’t do that, they could look to move on. That won’t be the case for Jeannot who became an impact power forward last season and is off to a strong start this year. If he tops the 20-goal mark again, comparable contracts elsewhere could push him past the $5MM mark, especially with arbitration eligibility.
As for the pending UFAs, Sanford didn’t have a particularly strong market this summer and quickly settled for this contract with the hopes of rebuilding his value. With limited minutes early on, that’s unlikely to happen and accordingly, his next deal should come in close to this one. Smith has held a regular role early but with limited NHL experience prior to this season, he’d be hard-pressed to pass the $1MM mark unless he picks things up offensively. McCarron and Sherwood have bounced between the NHL and the minors in recent years and are likely heading for contracts at or near the minimum again.
Fabbro was once viewed as a future top-four piece but his average ice time is down considerably this season and is fifth among Nashville defenders. A $2.4MM qualifying offer with arbitration rights is a bit on the high side for a fifth blueliner and if he doesn’t recover from his slow start, he could be a candidate for a change of scenery. If he rebounds and gets back to the 19-minute ATOI mark, a small raise to the $3MM range could be doable. Borowiecki is best utilized as a seventh defender at this point of his career and players like that aren’t likely to surpass $1MM on their contracts. If he sticks around next year, it’ll be at a similar price point. Carrier has worked his way into a regular role and logged nearly 21 minutes a game last season. With one year of RFA eligibility remaining, the Preds will likely want to work out a multi-year deal that could push his cost into the $3MM range.
Lankinen is another free agent signing that is looking to rebuild his value after a tough year in Chicago. A bounce-back year could make him one of the more intriguing UFAs next summer as he’ll only be 28. A strong showing might be enough to push him closer to the $2.5MM AAV range on a multi-year deal.
Signed Through 2023-24
F Nino Niederreiter ($4MM, UFA)
F Eeli Tolvanen ($1.45MM, RFA)
F Yakov Trenin ($1.7MM, UFA)
Niederreiter’s first trip through unrestricted free agency wasn’t as successful as he likely hoped as he had to settle for a pay cut. The market for secondary wingers isn’t as strong as it was a few years ago but in 2024, there should be a higher jump in the salary cap which could give him a chance to get closer to the $5MM mark if he’s productive with the Preds. Trenin only has had one full season under his belt but had 17 goals in that year which gave him a bit of leverage this summer. This is basically another bridge deal to see if he can repeat that type of production. If so, he could add another million in free agency but if not, he’s likely looking at a small dip. Tolvanen has shown flashes of upside over the last couple of seasons but hasn’t been able to put together a consistently productive season yet. If he can get to the 20-goal mark and cement himself as part of Nashville’s future core, he could more than double this contract. If not, his last RFA year should be closer to $2MM.
Signed Through 2024-25
F Mikael Granlund ($5MM, UFA)
F Ryan Johansen ($8MM, UFA)
G Juuse Saros ($5MM, UFA)
Johansen had some tough seasons but last year was arguably his best, at least in his time with the Predators. He still didn’t put up top-line production but he played a big role in Nashville having two strong scoring lines. He’ll be 33 when this deal is up and at this point, it still seems safe to forecast a dip in his salary, even if he remains around the 60-point mark. Granlund had by far his best season with Nashville last year and is off to a similar start this year. He doesn’t score very often anymore but as an all-situations veteran that is spending more time at center than he used to, he’s filling an important role. He’ll also be 33 when this contract is up and if he’s still logging 20 minutes a night, he could get a little more at that time as long as his production doesn’t go back to what it was a couple of years ago.
Saros has certainly established himself as a quality starter after playing more than 40 games for the first time last season. He’s undersized which scares a lot of teams off but if he has three more seasons like last year (one that saw him finish third in Vezina Trophy voting), he should have a strong market that could push his AAV past the $7MM mark.
West Notes: Golden Knights, Boeser, Blackhawks
It has been an eventful first few seasons in the NHL for the Golden Knights. Vegas reached the Stanley Cup Final in their inaugural year but they haven’t made it back since while the team has made several shakeup trades plus a pair of coaching changes. Despite the heavy turnover, owner Bill Foley told Danny Webster of the Las Vegas Sun that he has full confidence in the management team of GM Kelly McCrimmon and President of Hockey Operations George McPhee:
We’re a team. I’m 100% in with them and with Bruce. I didn’t get involved in this team to just be another team that goes along like a typical expansion team, winning 24 games in their first season, then win 30 the next season, make the playoffs in six or seven years.
We’ve been all-in from Day 1. I know a lot of fans are saying, “Gee, you’ve made so many changes.” It was all done with the design to win. That’s what we’re doing. George and Kelly are right there with me. I believe we’ve put together a solid group of solid core players.
With Robin Lehner being out for the season, expectations were a little lower heading into this year. However, the tandem of Logan Thompson and Adin Hill has fared quite well so far with the Golden Knights allowing the fewest goals in the league heading into today’s action. That has them in first in the Pacific in the early going but with only $16 in LTIR space left, they’ll be hard-pressed to add to their roster.
Elsewhere in the West:
- On top of potentially getting Quinn Hughes back soon, the Canucks could also get some help up front as Ben Kuzma of the Vancouver Province relays (Twitter link) that winger Brock Boeser is expected to meet with team doctors on Monday in the hopes of being cleared to return. The 25-year-old has missed the last three games with an undisclosed injury and was placed on IR on Wednesday. He has to miss seven days and it doesn’t appear as if the placement was backdated so Tuesday’s game might not be doable for Boeser but it looks like his absence will be a short one.
- Blackhawks defenseman Ian Mitchell was initially ruled out for six weeks with a hand injury that occurred nearly six weeks ago. However, Ben Pope of the Chicago Sun-Times notes (Twitter link) that the 23-year-old has just resumed stickhandling and is nowhere near a return. Mitchell is in the final year of his entry-level deal and after spending most of last season with AHL Rockford, a longer-than-expected absence isn’t exactly the start to the year he was hoping for. Meanwhile, goaltender Petr Mrazek has resumed skating but the team will be cautious and inch him along for the time being.
Snapshots: Johnston, Coyotes Arena, Foligno
The Dallas Stars are off to a flying start to begin their 2022-23 season. The team is 5-3-1 and first in the Central Division. Among multiple major factors contributing to their strong play has been the emergence of Wyatt Johnston. The Stars’ 2021 first-round pick tore the OHL apart last season and has started his NHL career with four points in nine games, which ranks him just outside the Stars’ top-five forwards in scoring.
Today, we have an update on Johnston. Since Johnston was an OHL player, the Stars had a nine-game window to decide if they would return Johnston to his OHL team and let his entry-level contract “slide” for another season before he would (presumably) make his full NHL debut next season. Per Sportsnet’s Jeff Marek, the Stars won’t be going that route with Johnston. Instead, Johnston is going to stay with the Stars and potentially be a full member of the team for the duration of the 2022-23 season.
Some other notes from across the NHL:
- Craig Morgan of PHNX Sports reported today that the Arizona Coyotes’ arena and entertainment district plan, the one they proposed to the Tempe, Arizona City Council, will likely be referred to a referendum, meaning the decision on whether to accept the plan will be deferred to and voted on directly by voters. Morgan also notes that “there is also the potential for litigation from any number of parties, including Sky Harbor International Airport, the City of Phoenix, the Goldwater Institute, or local citizens groups.” The Coyotes just began their stay at their current home, Arizona State University’s Mullett Arena, and will have to hope that their plans for a new arena are accepted via a referendum in order to make concrete progress to a more suitable long-term home.
- The Minnesota Wild have announced that forward Marcus Foligno will not play in tonight’s game due to an upper-body injury. Foligno has three points in eight games this season. His health will be something for Wild fans to monitor as the team, who currently boast a 3-4-1 record, looks to find stronger footing early in this campaign.
Seth Jones Out Three to Four Weeks With Thumb Injury
The Chicago Blackhawks’ blueline will be without its best player for the next few weeks. The Blackhawks have announced that defenseman Seth Jones will miss the next three to four weeks due to an injury to his right thumb. Per head coach Luke Richardson, Jones injured his thumb blocking a shot in yesterday’s game.
This news comes as the Blackhawks have gotten off to a surprisingly strong start. The team is 4-3-1, an impressive early-season record for a squad most expected to spend most of this season in the basement of the NHL standings.
Jones’ play has helped Chicago get off to this quality start. The 28-year-old defenseman has four assists in eight games and has registered 25:14 time-on-ice per game, more than five minutes higher than the next-most-utilized player. Four of those minutes per night come on the penalty kill and nearly four have come on the power play. He’s been an all-situations defenseman for Richardson, who will now need to find a new way to fill that heavy workload.
The Blackhawks’ defense beyond Jones is shaky. Connor Murphy and Jack Johnson each play over 19 minutes per game, and it’s possible that one or both of these players sees their ice time rise to above 20 minutes per game in Jones’ absence. This injury certainly isn’t ideal for the Blackhawks, especially with number-one goalie Petr Mrazek still sidelined.
Still, it’s an early test of the team’s mettle that will at the very least provide an opportunity for others to make more of a mark on the Blackhawks’ season than they might have been able to with Jones healthy.
West Notes: Saad, Hughes, Bear, Studnicka
The St. Louis Blues are in a rocky stretch of their season at the moment. After getting off to a 3-0 start, the Blues have stumbled and are now 3-4 and second-to-last in the Central Division. Injuries haven’t played a major role in the team’s lackluster performance, but St. Louis could still nonetheless certainly stand to get healthier. Forward Brandon Saad has skated in just three games this season, and the Blues have to be hoping that he can return to health soon.
Despite the fact that he has not been placed on injured reserve, it doesn’t look as though Saad will be returning any time soon. As The Athletic’s Jeremy Rutherford reports, Saad hasn’t been practicing due to an upper-body injury, and per Blues head coach Craig Berube, he’s “still a ways away.” Saad is an important contributor to the Blues’ all-around game, and the 24 goals and 49 points he scored last year is certainly the sort of production St. Louis could use right now.
Some other notes on Western Conference teams:
- The Vancouver Canucks’ defense has been ravaged by injuries so far this season, although their situation has begun to improve. As noted by The Athletic’s Thomas Drance, top defenseman Quinn Hughes was back on the ice with his teammates today at practice. Hughes has missed Vancouver’s last four games with a lower-body injury, but could be returning soon. The American blueliner has five assists in five games this year and had 68 points in 76 games last season.
- The Canucks have been busy on the trade market as of late, acquiring center Jack Studnicka from the Boston Bruins and defenseman Ethan Bear from the Carolina Hurricanes. Drance reports that both Bear and Studnicka are on the ice today at practice. Bear and Studnicka have played just one NHL game combined so far this season, so it will be interesting to see how coach Bruce Boudreau chooses to deploy them to begin their Canucks careers.
Calgary Flames Sign Lucas Ciona To Entry-Level Deal
In the midst of his red-hot start to his season, the Calgary Flames have signed prospect Lucas Ciona to a three-year, entry-level deal, the team announced. According to CapFriendly, the deal carries an AAV of $925,000, which includes a base salary of $832,500 and signing bonuses of $92,500 each season. Ciona will make $80,000 in the minors.
A sixth-round selection by the Flames in the 2019 NHL Draft, Ciona had not been among the top prospects in Calgary’s system until very recently. The forward had registered modest point totals in his first four seasons as a member of the Seattle Thunderbirds in the WHL, which included career-bests of 17 goals and 18 assists over 53 games last season. Now at 19 years of age, and in his fifth junior season (fourth full season), Ciona is off to a blistering start, scoring seven goals to go with 10 assists in a mere nine games to date.
It may be too early to mark Ciona as a blue-chip prospect considering this new-found dynamic offense is just nine games old, preceded by several years of solid but modest production, however the performance is intriguing. Ciona is currently tied for 11th in scoring in the WHL, which is lead by presumed first-overall pick in the 2023 draft, Connor Bedard, who has 24 points in 14 games. Signing Ciona now gives the Flames 46 out of a maximum of 50 contracts in their system; plenty of room to work and worth securing a prospect with newly-found value.
Ty Dellandrea Fined For Goaltender Interference
The NHL Department of Play Safety announced a fine for Dallas Stars forward Ty Dellandrea in response to his interference with New York Rangers goaltender Igor Shesterkin in yesterday afternoon’s game. Dellandrea was fined $2,333.33, the maximum allowable under the CBA
The incident happened towards the end of the first period, as the Rangers moved the puck out from behind the net, Dellandrea cut in front of the net, ultimately leading to his right leg sweeping out Shesterkin’s left leg. Shesterkin was brought down and was slow to get up, but did stay in the game. Dellandrea was assessed a two minute penalty for the hit on Shesterkin, as well as an additional two minutes for roughing, for which an identical penalty was called on Rangers forward Artemi Panarin.
It appears Shesterkin has avoided injury, allowing the Rangers to breathe a sigh of relief in regards to their Vezina Trophy winning netminder. Dellandrea, 22, was playing in just his 36th career NHL game, though in his third season in the Stars organization. Thankfully for Dellandrea and Dallas, the player was able to avoid suspension, but this fine will go on his record for future consideration should he have to face discipline again.
Dallas Stars Loan Matej Blumel To AHL
Fresh off his first NHL call-up, but without playing his first NHL game, the Dallas Stars announced forward Matej Blumel has been loaned to the Texas Stars, their AHL affiliate. Dallas had recalled the young forward on Wednesday when they assigned forward Jacob Peterson to Texas, however Blumel did not get into any games with Dallas. No corresponding move was announced by Dallas.
Blumel, a fourth-round pick of the Edmonton Oilers in 2019, failed to sign with the team before their rights over him expired and ultimately he signed a two-year, entry-level contract with Dallas this summer. While he hasn’t had an opportunity to make his NHL debut yet, the 22-year-old has had an outstanding return to North America, notching five goals and three assists in a mere five games with Texas to start the season. Heading back to the AHL after the initial call-up might be disappointing for Blumel, but it will give him a chance to continue his development and provide Texas with a big-time offensive presence in their lineup once again.
A native of Czechia, Blumel first came to North America back in 2017, where he spent two seasons with the USHL’s Waterloo Blackhawks, turning in a dominant second season with 30 goals and 30 assists in 58 games. It was after that season that the Oilers drafted Blumel, but he opted to return to Czechia, where he played three strong seasons with Pardubice before returning to North America for 2022-23. Internationally, Blumel has represented Czechia on a number of occasions, including a fantastic eight points in 10 games at this year’s World Championships. Should Blumel continue to produce with Texas, just as he has every step along the way, he’ll almost certainly force his way into the NHL lineup soon enough.
Columbus Blue Jackets Recall Joonas Korpisalo
After assigning him to the AHL’s Cleveland Monsters on a conditioning stint 24 hours ago, the Columbus Blue Jackets have now recalled goaltender Joonas Korpisalo from Cleveland, the team announced. The team placing defenseman Nick Blankenburg on IR yesterday created the roster spot for Korpisalo, thus no corresponding move was made this morning. Interestingly though, Korpisalo’s return with no further move leaves the team with three goaltenders: Korpisalo, Elvis Merzlikins, and Daniil Tarasov.
The return of the veteran netminder couldn’t come at a better time for the Blue Jackets, who have seen Merzlikins and Tarasov both struggle in net to start the year. Korpisalo himself wasn’t much better last season prior to his season-ending surgery on March 24th, but if he can return to the numbers he was able to produce earlier in his career, it could be a breath of fresh air for Columbus. It will be interesting to see how the Blue Jackets handle this situation, as they currently carry three goaltenders. Of note though, Tarasov is waiver-exempt.
Korpisalo’s lone conditioning start came last night in Cleveland’s 4-2 victory over the Syracuse Crunch, which featured a 38 save performance from the netminder. Although it was an AHL contest, it was the 28-year-old’s first game back since a March 22nd appearance against the Pittsburgh Penguins, and a 38-for-40 performance is surely intriguing. Should Columbus be able to expect more of the same, it could be a game-changer for the struggling Blue Jackets.