Big Hype Prospects: Bains, Fowler, Sandin-Pellikka, Atanasov, Buium
Welcome to PHR’s Big Hype Prospects series. Like the MLB Trade Rumors series of the same name, we’re taking a look at the performances of top prospects from across the hockey world. We’ll look at drafted prospects who are rising, others who are struggling, and prospects for the upcoming draft who are notable.
Five Big Hype Prospects
Arshdeep Bains, LW, Vancouver Canucks (Abbotsford Canucks, AHL)
17GP 3G 18A 21pts
With 21 points in just 17 games this season, the 22-year-old Bains is shaping up to be a developmental success story for the Canucks. As trades and poor drafting has dried the team’s pipeline of young talent, the organization has relied on signings of high-scoring WHL products. Tristen Nielsen, who scored 41 points for Abbotsford last season, is also an example of this but the true gem signing thusfar has been Bains.
A five-year WHLer with the Red Deer Rebels, Bains only truly broke out in his overage season in the WHL. Before that point, his career-high was 18 goals and 51 points in 63 games. Then in 2021-22 he put together a stunning season with 43 goals and 112 points in 68 games.
That campaign earned Bains an entry-level contract with the Canucks, who put him in their middle-six in the AHL for the following season. He had a solid rookie year but not a dominant one, scoring 13 goals and 38 points.
So far this season, Bains has been one of the best scorers in the entire AHL, and he’s currently on pace to score 86 points over the course of a full season. Of course, he could very well end up in the NHL before he gets the chance to put together a potentially MVP-winning AHL season.
Many high-scoring overagers from the CHL struggle to translate their offense to a more demanding pro-environment. That hasn’t been a problem for Bains thus far this year.
Jacob Fowler, G, Montreal Canadiens (Boston College, NCAA)
12-3-1 2.04 GAA .929 sv%
Despite posting an 8-1 record and .952 save percentage in the USHL playoffs en route to a Clark Cup Championship, Fowler did not hear his name called until the third round of the 2023 NHL draft, after several goalies had already been selected.
Concerns over Fowler’s fitness from scouts led to many teams opting for more athletic prospects such as Adam Gajan or Michael Hrabal, but so far this season Fowler has arguably performed the best out of any of 2023’s goalies.
Playing for a Boston College program that could very well compete for a national championship, Fowler has started 16 games and gone 12-3-1. Almost every one of his starts has been a quality one, and he currently has a .929 save percentage and just a 2.04 goals-against-average.
Perhaps more importantly, Fowler has addressed concerns regarding his fitness. According to Radio Canada’s Marc-Antoine Godin, Fowler has cut his weight down from 220 pounds at the time of the draft to 200 pounds now, crediting both time in the gym as well as a “serious change in his nutrition.”
Not only has Fowler had no issue carrying over his USHL brilliance to the college level, he now seems to have seriously addressed one of the most significant question marks surrounding his NHL projection.
Although the Canadiens drafted three goalies in 2023, the early portion of this season has indicated that it’s Fowler who is most likely to end up the Canadiens “goalie of the future.”
Moving forward, all eyes will be on whether Fowler is able to unseat Michigan State starter Trey Augustine as the expected number-one goalie for Team USA at the upcoming World Junior Championships.
Axel Sandin-Pellikka, RHD, Detroit Red Wings (Skellefteå AIK, SHL)
23GP 8G 4A 12pts
One of the most talented offensive defensemen in the 2023 draft class, the early returns on Sandin-Pellikka have been strong. The right-shot blueliner has firmly established himself as an SHL-caliber player after playing in just 22 league games last season, and he has excelled in multiple areas.
Not only is he playing a heavy dose of minutes (he gets legitimate top-four ice time) but he’s also scoring goals at a far higher rate than is typically expected of a defenseman, let alone an 18-year-old one. Sandin-Pellikka is on pace to score 18 goals in a 52-game season, assuming he can keep this pace up.
The Red Wings selected Sandin-Pellkka 17th overall at the 2023 draft in large part due to confidence that his tantalizing offensive tools would translate into meaningful production at higher levels of hockey.
Although it’s still early, the Red Wings have to be encouraged by how well his dynamic, pace-pushing game has adjusted to one of the top leagues in the world.
Vasili Atanasov, C, Free Agent (Nizhny Novgorod Torpedo, KHL)
35GP 17G 15A 32pts
One of the most challenging things any prospect faces is making the adjustment from playing against one’s peers in a junior league to playing against men in a professional environment. Many players fail in that environment, unable to translate what made them so successful at lower levels to a heightened level of competition.
For Atanasov, a 21-year-old undrafted forward, that adjustment has finally come in 2023-24. A former top scorer at Russia’s junior level, Atanasov has taken the reins of head coach Igor Larianov’s Torpedo squad and is now on pace to score 32 goals and 60 points.
Atanasov possesses a similar physical profile to Canucks star Andrei Kuzmenko, who did not become a point-per-game KHL scorer until his mid-twenties. Atanasov could very well be at that point at 21 years old, which would bode well for his NHL projection should he have any interest in crossing the Atlantic.
Seeing as Kuzmenko turned a 53-point KHL campaign into a 39-goal, 74-point NHL rookie season the following year, if Atanasov can keep up his scoring pace he’ll likely be a highly in-demand free agent the moment he offers his services to NHL clubs.
Zeev Buium, LHD, 2024 Draft Prospect (University of Denver, NCAA)
16GP 5G 16A 21pts
With Russian “unicorn”Anton Silayev soaking up early-season headlines with his breakout rookie KHL season, other defensemen in the 2024 draft class have gotten less attention than they might otherwise have received. One of those blueliners deserving of more hype is Buium, a leading freshman for the Denver Pioneers.
A U.S. National Team Development Program product, Buium is the brother of one of the Red Wings’ best defensive prospects, Shai Buium. The younger Buium has more of an offensive touch than his older brother, and has a similar physical profile, listed now as six-foot-two on Denver’s team website.
Despite the fact that he is a draft-eligible prospect, Buium has firmly placed himself in the conversation for the upcoming World Junior Championships. He’s scored 21 points in his first 16 NCAA games, and could very well end the campaign with one of the best pre-draft college hockey seasons by any defenseman in recent memory.
A well-rounded player with strong skating and a good mind for the game, Buium has already risen sharply on NHL draft boards, and at this point it would be a surprise if he did not hear his name called in the draft’s first round.
Nashville Predators Recall Mark Jankowski
The Nashville Predators have recalled forward Mark Jankowski from their AHL affiliate, the Milwaukee Admirals.
The 29-year-old 2012 first-round pick has spent the entirety of this season so far with the Admirals, and is currently second on the team in points with 14 in 17 games. The Predators played the New York Rangers last night and today play the Buffalo Sabres.
The recall of Jankowski allows the Predators to have an extra forward on their roster for depth purposes, just in case coach Andrew Brunette elects to shuffle his lineup for tonight’s game. With Jankowski recalled, the team now has the flexibility to give a forward the night off if they so choose.
A versatile six-foot-four center, Jankowski can also play along the wings and has a decent track record of secondary offensive production. Not only is he a former AHL All-Star, Jankowski also has a career-high of 17 goals in the NHL and has over 322 games of NHL experience.
If Jankowski ends up playing, he’d likely be slotted onto Nashville’s fourth line, either in the place of Michael McCarron at the 4C spot or in place of Dante Fabbro, who has been dressed as a seventh defenseman.
Afternoon Notes: Martin, Colton, Sharks
After an injury to Daniil Tarasov put the Columbus Blue Jackets short one goaltender, the team claimed veteran Spencer Martin off of waivers from the Vancouver Canucks. It was a somewhat risky bet, as Martin struggled immensely in 2022-23. But so far Martin has put forth improved performance, as his .903 save percentage this year is quite a bit better than the .871 mark he had last year.
Unfortunately for Martin, his time in Columbus could very well be nearing an end. As Tarasov gets closer to a return from his injury, The Athletic’s Aaron Portzline reports that Martin is “likely to go back on waivers.” (subscription link) Although Martin could clear waivers and end up with the AHL’s Cleveland Monsters, the dire state of goaltending for some teams across the NHL means its far from a guarantee that the Blue Jackets will be able to retain Martin.
Some more notes from the rest of the NHL:
- Colorado Avalanche forward Ross Colton was fined $5,000, the maximum allowable under the CBA, for a “dangerous tripping” on Anaheim Ducks rookie Leo Carlsson. Colton was assessed a penalty on the play and now is deducted $5,000 as well. An offseason trade addition for the Avalanche, Colton has scored seven goals and 12 points in 23 games this year.
- The San Jose Sharks have activated defenseman Jan Rutta and forward Alexander Barabanov off of injured reserve in advance of their game this evening against the New York Rangers in Manhattan. It had been widely reported that both players were nearing a return, and now the team has made it official. Barabanov is the more notable name of the duo, as he scored 15 goals and 47 points in 68 games last season.
New York Rangers Recall Anton Blidh
The New York Rangers have recalled forward Anton Blidh from their AHL affiliate, the Hartford Wolf Pack. The move adds a spare forward to the Rangers’ roster, something the team was missing for yesterday’s game against the Nashville Predators.
Blidh is unlikely to play, though he’ll serve as some insurance if any Rangers forward is unable to play tonight against the San Jose Sharks. Blidh, 28, is a physical depth forward who has played in 84 career NHL games. He has 12 career points and 41 career penalty minutes.
The Rangers have kept Blidh in Hartford this season, where he has four goals and seven points in 17 games. He last played in the NHL with the Colorado Avalanche last season, skating in 14 games for the club.
It’s somewhat curious that the Rangers elected to recall Blidh over veteran Alex Belzile, seeing as Belzile has been notably more successful at both the AHL and NHL levels than Blidh has been. Bezile has 21 points in 20 AHL games this season and scored 14 points in just 31 NHL games in 2022-23, a total that surpassed Blidh’s career scoring total despite Belzile playing fourth-line minutes on one of the NHL’s worst teams.
That being said, Blidh does have a longer history with the Rangers (he played for Hartford in 2022-23 as well) so that could have been a factor in deciding which forward would get this recall from the AHL.
Snapshots: Reichel, Bogosian, Samsonov
Chicago Blackhawks forward Lukas Reichel will be a healthy scratch for today’s game, according to head coach Luke Richardson. Reichel will be in the press box even though Anthony Beauvillier will be unavailable for the game today as some of the logistics related to his trade from the Canucks are still to be sorted out.
After scoring 15 points in 23 games last season, there was some optimism that Reichel would have a breakout 2023-24 season next to phenom Connor Bedard. So far that hasn’t happened, though, as the 2020 17th overall pick has just two goals and six points this season.
Some notes from the rest of the NHL:
- Veteran defenseman Zach Bogosian will not play in today’s Minnesota Wild game, as the blueliner is dealing with an upper-body injury. Bogosian was acquired by Wild to help shore up their defense and has thus far played in nine games for the Wild. With him out of the lineup, Jon Merrill will get the call for Minnesota.
- Ilya Samsonov was absent from Toronto Maple Leafs practice today as he’s still dealing with an illness. Samsonov’s illness led to veteran Martin Jones being recalled on an emergency basis, and he backed up Joseph Woll for last night’s game against the Boston Bruins. Since the Maple Leafs next play Thursday, one would assume that Samsonov will be ready to play by then, although we obviously do not have official confirmation of that timeline.
Flames Sign Mark Pysyk To A One-Year Contract, Assign Him To AHL
12/3/23: Pysyk has cleared waivers and has been officially assigned to the Calgary Wranglers.
12/2/23: Mark Pysyk wasn’t a free agent for long. After being released by AHL Wilkes-Barre/Scranton earlier this week, he has found a new organization as the Flames announced that they’ve signed the blueliner to a one-year, two-way contract. They listed his AAV at $725K which is below the league minimum ($775K) although it’s possible that this is the net money he’ll receive after proration. GM Craig Conroy released the following statement about the signing:
Mark is a right shot defenceman who provides depth on the blueline for our organization. He is a versatile player with significant NHL experience.
The 31-year-old missed all of last season due to a torn Achilles tendon, resulting in him needing to go the PTO route this past summer. He signed a tryout deal with Pittsburgh and then subsequently suffered a significant injury in his first game. He was eventually cleared to return, getting into eight AHL contests prior to his release. It was Pysyk’s first action in the minors since the 2015-16 campaign.
Pysyk is a veteran of 521 games over parts of ten NHL seasons between Buffalo (two stints), Dallas, and Florida. He has 104 points to his credit along with 576 blocks and 512 hits while averaging just over 17 minutes a night. With the Flames recently moving Nikita Zadorov and having Noah Hanifin and Chris Tanev on expiring contracts, adding someone who can play on the third pairing makes a lot of sense for Calgary.
While Calgary has an open roster spot, it won’t be used on Pysyk right away as Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman reports (Twitter link) that Pysyk has been placed on waivers for the purpose of AHL assignment. If he clears on Sunday, he can be assigned to the AHL’s Calgary Wranglers.
Injury Notes: Theodore, Nieto, Rakell, Zadina, Barabanov
Undergoing surgery only a few days ago, the Vegas Golden Knights have moved defenseman Shea Theodore from the injured reserve to the long-term injured reserve, according to CapFriendly. His placement on LTIR (which should be retroactive to November 25th) would keep him out of the lineup until the team’s game against the Carolina Hurricanes on December 19th.
Injuries have been a concern for Theodore since coming to Vegas, but when healthy, he has regularly been one of the best defensemen on the team. Especially this season, Theodore has four goals and 14 assists in 20 games, sitting fourth on the team in scoring. Accumulating a lot of powerplay minutes as well, Theodore has shown the ability to do it all for the Vegas defensive core.
In his absence, however, the powerplay may suffer a bit, as it currently sits at 14th in the NHL, operating at a 21.35% success rate. Aside from Theodore and Alex Pietrangelo, the Golden Knights do not currently have a third defenseman that the team should be comfortable with in quarterbacking either of the current powerplay units.
Other injury notes:
- After missing last night’s game against the Philadelphia Flyers with an undisclosed injury, Seth Rorabaugh of Tribune-Review Sports is reporting that the Pittsburgh Penguins will place forward Matthew Nieto on the injured reserve. In his absence, forward Joona Koppanen was able to replace Nieto in the lineup last night, making his debut with the Penguins, skating in just over seven and a half minutes of last night’s matchup.
- On a more positive note with the Penguins, team beat writer, Dave Molinari shared that forward Rickard Rakell has resumed skating. Due to the requirements on players currently on LTIR, Rakell will not be able to return to Pittsburgh’s lineup until their December 16th game against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Nevertheless, if Rakell has already resumed skating in individual on-ice workouts, he should be healthy enough to return on that date.
- Max Miller of The Hockey News is reporting that San Jose Sharks forward, Filip Zadina, is back on the ice for practice. It is unclear if he will be able to play in the team’s game tonight or Tuesday, as Miller points out the Sharks are looking for his return against his former team, the Detroit Red Wings. Zadina has been out of San Jose’s lineup for a little over a week with an upper-body injury.
- One player for San Jose who is likely making his return to the ice tonight is forward Alexander Barabanov (X Link). Having not played since late October, Barabanov has been on the injured reserve recovering from an injury to one of his fingers. Being one of the highest-scoring players on the Sharks roster last season, San Jose could certainly use his help, as they continue to struggle as a team on offense.
What Your Team Is Thankful For: Columbus Blue Jackets
As Thanksgiving and the holiday season approaches, PHR will be taking a look at what teams are thankful for in 2023-24. There also might be a few things your team would like down the road. We’ll examine what’s gone well in the early going and what could improve as the season rolls on for the Columbus Blue Jackets.
Who are the Blue Jackets thankful for?
Not only is the team captain first among the team in goal-scoring, but he is first in scoring among all Columbus forwards. If Jenner is set to continue his offensive pace for the rest of the season, he is set to clear his career record in both goals and points.
While high-priced players such as Johnny Gaudreau and Patrik Laine continue to struggle early in the season, Jenner is picking up their offensive slack in a big way. Not only has Jenner been getting it done on the offensive end, but his defensive play has been solid this year as well.
Currently sitting at 56.1% faceoff percentage in nearly 500 draws, Jenner also carries at 51.0% Corsi For percentage, as well as a 91.0% On Ice SV%, both of which sit higher than his career averages. It has been a tough start to the year for the Blue Jackets in the standings, but their team captain is by far and away their most stable and consistent player each night.
What are the Blue Jackets thankful for?
An improved defensive core.
After finishing last season at 31st in the NHL in terms of GA/G, the General Manager of Columbus, Jarmo Kekäläinen, swung two big trades to dramatically improve the defensive depth for the Blue Jackets. In only three days, Columbus acquired Damon Severson from the New Jersey Devils in a sign-and-trade, while also acquiring Ivan Provorov from the Philadelphia Flyers in a three-team deal.
There is still a lot of time left in the season, but in the same GA/G statistic, the Blue Jackets have managed to jump up nine spots, allowing goaltender Elvis Merzlikins to play more comfortably between the pipes. Not only has their defense improved, but Provorov, along with defenseman Zach Werenski, sits third and first on the team in scoring, respectively.
Unfortunately, Severson will find himself on the team’s injured reserve for a total of six weeks due to an oblique injury, and rookie defenseman David Jiricek is experiencing some growing pains in his first full season with the team. Nevertheless, thanks to the big moves made to upgrade the blueline last offseason, the Blue Jackets defensive core is much improved from where it was just a season ago.
What would the Blue Jackets be even more thankful for?
More production from their star players.
This season, one of the most glaring issues in Columbus is the lack of production from both Gaudreau and Laine, who are making a combined $18.45MM until the 2026-27 season. As we are now in December, the two have only combined for eight goals and 20 points, much lower than what should be expected out of both of them.
Gaudreau, for his part, has managed five points in his last five games but only scored eight points in his first 20 games before that. Laine, who is one of the more natural goal-scorers in the NHL, has scored three points in his last five games, only managing a total of four points in his previous 10 games. The Head Coach of the Blue Jackets, Pascal Vincent, sent a serious message to Laine only a few weeks ago, making him a healthy scratch for the first time in his career. 
Now playing in their 22nd season as a franchise, the Blue Jackets only playoff series victory came back in the 2019 Stanley Cup playoffs, where the team relied heavily on star talent such as Artemi Panarin and Pierre-Luc Dubois. If Columbus is hoping to return to contention, although it will likely not be this year, their star players must lead the way.
What should be on the Blue Jackets holiday wish list?
More draft picks.
On paper, if the Blue Jackets can get their star players clicking again, this team has the depth to compete in the Eastern Conference playoff race as soon as next year. Unfortunately, aside from Gaudreau, Columbus has historically had a difficult time recruiting free-agent talent, meaning they will have to improve this team via trades and the NHL Draft.
Last year, given the strength at the top of the draft, the Blue Jackets “settled” for Adam Fantilli with the third overall selection, who otherwise would have been the top player available in several other drafts. At this year’s draft, there is similar talent at the top of the class, and Columbus looks poised to once again have a top-10 pick.
Sitting at 27th place in the league and last place in the Metropolitan Division, the Blue Jackets should be one of the featured sellers at this year’s trade deadline, with plenty of teams looking to improve their lineup. Columbus will almost certainly look to move out at least one defenseman and could look to seriously thin out their surplus of bodies in the forward core as well.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Ottawa Senators Send Matthew Highmore To AHL
Earlier this morning, the Ottawa Senators announced they would be sending forward Matthew Highmore to their AHL affiliate, the Belleville Senators. Highmore had previously been recalled twice in November, tallying one assist in six games for Ottawa.
In his first season with the Senators organization, Highmore is following up on a very productive season spent with the St.Louis Blues organization last year. Playing in only two NHL games, Highmore was extremely productive for the Blues’ AHL affiliate, the Springfield Thunderbirds, scoring 19 goals and 42 assists in 68 games, which would be good for second on the team in total scoring.
Aside from last season in the AHL, Highmore has been a milder scorer at the professional level, and purely a depth forward at the NHL level. Back in the 2021-22 season spent with the Vancouver Canucks, Highmore scored five goals and seven assists in 46 games played, which still holds up as his best career season to date.
Nevertheless, the demotion of Highmore is likely meant to clear cap space, as Ottawa will be expecting back forward Ridly Greig as soon as next week. Greig currently sits on the Senators’ long-term injured reserve after suffering a lower-body injury on November 2nd. Before the injury, Greig scored two goals and five assists in nine games, and still sits 10th on the team in scoring, despite missing a month of action.
Jordan Greenway Will Not Return To Game Due To Upper-Body Injury
Early in their game tonight against the Carolina Hurricanes, Buffalo Sabres’ forward, Jordan Greenway, left the bench with an apparent injury. After the first intermission, the Sabres announced that Greenway would not return to tonight’s game due to an upper-body injury.
Through 20 games this season, Greenway had gotten off to a solid pace compared to his previous production, scoring two goals and five assists while averaging just under 17 minutes a night. Primarily playing on Buffalo’s third line next to Peyton Krebs and Kyle Okposo, Greenway has mostly factored in as a gritty player on the Sabres roster, blocking 20 shots and throwing 29 hits to start the season.
Given the nature of the injury, it is unlikely that Greenway will be cleared to play in the team’s game tomorrow against the Nashville Predators, meaning the Sabres’ extra forward, Isak Rosen, will likely factor into tomorrow’s contest. Through three games in the NHL this season, Rosen has yet to score a point, but has scored eight goals and 11 assists through 16 games for Buffalo’s AHL affiliate, the Rochester Americans.
Nevertheless, it is a tough blow to a Buffalo forward group that has struggled immensely compared to last year’s team. The Sabres currently sit 23rd in the league in GF/G as opposed to last season, when the team finished third in the respective category.