Snapshots: Capuano, Tardif, Asselin
With the divisional playoffs now over, the days of the North, East, West, and Central (sort of) are over. Teams are already shifting their mindsets back to the Atlantic, Metropolitan, Pacific, and the true Central, working out how best to beat out their division rivals and make the postseason next year. After taking a step forward this season, albeit against lesser competition, the Ottawa Senators are no exception. The long-time bottom-dwellers are just as cutthroat in their pursuit of success, even if that means handicapping one of their own. Joe MacDonald of the Worcester Telegram & Gazette reports that the Senators have blocked associate head coach Jack Capuano from interviewing for the Buffalo Sabres’ head coach vacancy. Buffalo will be Ottawa’s divisional rival once again next season and beyond and the team will not lose a valued member of their staff with inside knowledge of the organization to one of their most frequent competitors. After leading Team USA to a bronze medal and the best record in group play at the recent IIHF World Championships, Capuano’s name is back in the mix as a head coach candidate. The long-time New York Islander bench boss is still held in high regard around the league and the Sabres may not be the only team kicking his tires. Perhaps the Senators will let him go elsewhere, just not within the Atlantic Division.
- After wrapping a strong junior career in the QMJHL, capped off by a stellar run with the Victoriaville Tigres that ended with a league title, Ben Tardif was expected to have some NHL interest. The 21-year-old forward had scored at better than a point-per-game clip in each of the past two seasons, culminating in 11 goals and 22 points in 19 games for Victoriaville en route to the President’s Cup. However, Tardif seemingly did not receive the attention he might have expected and has settled for an AHL contract. The Colorado Eagles announced that they have signed Tardif to a two-year contract. The Colorado Avalanche obviously have some stock in the move as well, hoping that Tardif can use the time to round out his game and show that his offense can translate to the pro level. If he succeeds, Tardif will find himself in a great spot as part of an Avs club that looks like it will contend for many years to come.
- One player whose career Tardif will likely be following is Samuel Asselin. A QMJHL star himself – a Memorial Cup champion and league-leading goal-scorer – Asselin too was surprisingly unable to land an NHL contract after his junior career ended. Like Tardif, he signed a two-year deal with the AHL’s Providence Bruins instead. Following a point-per-game, All-Star season in the ECHL last year, Asselin was a full-time member of the P-Bruins this season and showed that there is more to his game than scoring ability with a gritty, high-energy style. And other teams took notice. Mark Divver of The New England Hockey Journal writes that NHL competitors are sniffing around Asselin and time is running out for the Bruins to lock him in to an entry-level contract. The club holds the right of first refusal to match any competing offer, but only while Asselin remains under contract. Once the off-season arrives, Asselin could depart with Boston having nothing to show for two years of development.
Expansion Primer: Toronto Maple Leafs
Over the next few weeks, we will be breaking down each team’s situation as it pertains to the 2021 NHL Expansion Draft. Which players are eligible, who will likely warrant protection, and which ones may be on the block to avoid the risk of losing them for nothing? Each team is required to submit their protection lists by 4:00 PM CDT on July 17th. The full eligibility rules can be found here, while CapFriendly has an expansion tool to make your own lists.
The Maple Leafs didn’t do too badly last expansion draft, losing Brendan Leipsic to the Vegas Golden Knights. This year could be a little more complicated, with the team at risk of losing a more regular contributor on the back end.
Eligible Players (Non-UFA)
Forwards:
Auston Matthews, John Tavares (NMC), Mitch Marner, William Nylander, Alexander Kerfoot, Pierre Engvall, Nic Petan, Joey Anderson, Adam Brooks, Denis Malgin
Defense:
Jake Muzzin, T.J. Brodie, Morgan Rielly, Justin Holl, Travis Dermott
Goalies:
Jack Campbell, Michael Hutchinson
Notable Unrestricted Free Agents
Riley Nash, Zach Hyman, Wayne Simmonds, Nick Foligno, Alex Galchenyuk, Joe Thornton, Jason Spezza, Zach Bogosian, Ben Hutton, Frederik Andersen, David Rittich
Notable Exemptions
F Ilya Mikheyev, F Nicholas Robertson, D Rasmus Sandin, D Timothy Liljegren
Key Decisions
The Maple Leafs are one of the teams that will have to make a fundamental decision at the beginning of their expansion preparation. Do they protect seven forwards and three defensemen, or just eight skaters?
If they go the more “regular” protection method, protecting seven and three, the team would be at no risk of losing a key piece upfront. Matthews, Tavares, Marner and Nylander are going to be protected no matter what they do, but the other three slots could then be used on Kerfoot, Engvall and one of Brooks or Anderson. Even Hyman, who is an unrestricted free agent, could then be signed before the draft to use that last spot. It would give the Maple Leafs plenty of flexibility at the forward position, allowing them to start conducting business before the draft even happens.
The first problem that would present, however, is it would mean exposing Holl. Rielly, Brodie, and Muzzin are the obvious choices for protection unless the team believes that their more expensive contracts would keep them off the Seattle radar. Holl has turned into a legitimate top-four option (at least when paired with Muzzin, who does have a history of elevating his partner) and costs just $2MM against the cap through the next two seasons. That kind of value is crucial in Toronto as they continue to try and navigate the salary cap with so much money tied up by four forwards. Losing him right now would also open a huge hole on the right side, a position the Maple Leafs have had trouble filling for years.
The second problem that the seven/three structure would create is a lack of options to leave exposed at forward. Only Matthews, Tavares, Marner, Nylander, Kerfoot and Engvall meet the exposure requirements upfront, meaning at this moment, two of them need to be left unprotected. Usually, that problem can be easily fixed by signing a depth player that spent the majority of the season with the NHL club. In Toronto’s case though, most of those spots were held by veterans like Joe Thornton, Jason Spezza and Wayne Simmonds, not players who want to sign a cheap deal just to be exposed to Seattle. In fact, if the Maple Leafs are going to protect seven forwards, it would be difficult for them to meet the expansion requirements without making a trade of some kind.
So it’s more likely that the team goes the eight-skater route, in order to protect an extra defenseman, plus the big four forwards. At that point, the decision comes whether or not Dermott, still just 24, is worth more to the organization than Holl. The restricted free agent has played 208 games for the team over the last four seasons, but seemed to be passed at the very end of the year by top prospect Sandin and has never developed into much more than a third-pairing option. That’s not to say there isn’t more potential left to unlock in Dermott, but at this point, it is hard to see how the Maple Leafs would protect him without making a separate trade.
Of course, making a trade is a very realistic scenario in this situation, given that the eight-skater route will also leave Kerfoot exposed. That helps meet Toronto’s requirements, but also could very well mean the Kraken take the 26-year-old third-line center over Dermott. At $3.5MM Kerfoot isn’t a burden on most team’s salary cap and if given the opportunity, has shown he can be a better offensive producer. Though he was stuck in a more defensive role in Toronto behind Matthews and Tavares, Kerfoot did score at least 42 points in each of his first two NHL seasons, then with the Colorado Avalanche.
Moving Kerfoot before the draft could very well be the best option for the Maple Leafs. It would open up a bit more cap space for them to do their offseason shopping, while also potentially bringing back some of the draft capital they expended at the deadline this year. It would almost certainly mean the Kraken’s focus would shift to Dermott, but as it stands, the team is going to lose one of them either way.
Projected Protection List
F John Tavares (NMC)
F Auston Matthews
F Mitch Marner
F William Nylander
D Jake Muzzin
D Morgan Rielly
D T.J. Brodie
D Justin Holl
Skater Exposure Requirement Checklist
When Vegas had their expansion draft, a minimum of two forwards and one defenseman had to be exposed that were under contract and played either 40 games in the most recent season or 70 over the past two combined. Due to the pandemic, those thresholds have been changed to 27 games played in 2020-21 or 54 in 2019/20 and 2020-21 combined. In creating our expansion list for each team in this series, we will ensure that these criteria are met.
Forwards (2): Alexander Kerfoot, Pierre Engvall
Defensemen (0)
The eight-skater protection structure would technically mean the Maple Leafs don’t have a defenseman that meets the requirements either, but re-signing one of Bogosian, Hutton or Dermott would handle that issue. Dermott may not want to given he would know that contract could very well be going to the Kraken, but Hutton especially seems like a perfect candidate to return on a low-cost deal.
Still, it is certainly not an excellent spot for the Maple Leafs to be in, so tight against the exposure requirements. This is one of the downsides of signing so many veterans to one-year contracts but fortunately, they won’t need to go through the expansion process again (at least not for a while).
Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images. Contract information courtesy of CapFriendly.
San Jose Sharks Sign Jeffrey Viel, Jonatan Dahlen, Nicolas Meloche
The San Jose Sharks have come to terms with three young players, signing Jeffrey Viel, Jonatan Dahlen, and Nicolas Meloche. Viel has inked a two-year, two-way contract, while Dahlen will be coming to North America on a one-year one-way contract. Meloche will be back on a one-year, two-way deal, the same structure he spent 2019-20 on. All three contracts will carry an average annual value of $750K, the league minimum.
In the Viel release, Sharks GM Doug Wilson explained why they re-signed the 24-year-old forward:
Jeff showed his compete level last season, playing a hard-nosed, physical game. He is a player who has great character and leadership qualities, being a former captain of his junior team, and we feel that he will push to make the jump to the NHL. We are happy to have him in our organization.
The undrafted winger managed to grind his way up through the minor leagues in San Jose, earning an NHL contract in 2019 after a full season with the San Jose Barracuda. The bang-and-crash forward ended up playing 11 games this year for the Sharks, though he failed to register a single point. He did however rack up 23 penalty minutes, one of his calling cards through junior and the AHL. On a two-year deal, he’ll bring a physical presence to the fourth line whenever needed.
Dahlen is the opposite, a high draft pick whose game is predicated on offensive skill. The 23-year-old was originally a draft pick of the Ottawa Senators, but found his way to San Jose through trade via the Vancouver Canucks. The last two seasons playing for Timra in the Swedish second league, Dahlen has racked up 148 points in 96 games, earning Forward of the Year honors both years. Wilson also released a statement on him:
Jonathan went back to Sweden this past year with goals of being the captain for his team and winning the championship in the Allsvenskan. He delivered on his promises by being the MVP and leading scorer in the league and matured in his path to success. He will take this experience he has earned and challenge for a spot in the NHL.
The fact that the Sharks GM specifically mentioned competing for an NHL spot is interesting because the lack of an opportunity at that level is what many believed kept Dahlen in Sweden. He did play one season in the AHL during the 2018-19 campaign, scoring 33 points in 57 games, but still has not made his NHL debut. Perhaps that will come now after his two dominant campaigns.
Meloche, 23, made his NHL debut and played in seven games for the Sharks this season, spending the rest of the year in the AHL where he has been for the past four years. A second-round pick of the Colorado Avalanche in 2015, he arrived in the Sharks system thanks to a 2019 trade for Antoine Bibeau. Wilson hinted at what comes next for the young defenseman:
Nicolas is a steady, reliable presence on the blueline. He continued his development last season with the Barracuda and the Sharks and improved over the course of the season. We feel that he is ready to compete for a spot in our lineup in the NHL.
Competing for a spot on the Sharks blueline certainly isn’t easy, given how much money they already have invested in it. Even at the bottom, Mario Ferraro and Nikolai Knyzhov were both full-time players on entry-level contracts, not leaving a lot of room for competition. That perhaps suggests that there could be some changes coming, but as it stands, Meloche will be hard-pressed to land a full-time roster spot in 2021-22.
Ottawa Senators Sign Leevi Merilainen
The Ottawa Senators have inked another one of their impressive 2020 draft class, signing Leevi Merilainen to a three-year entry-level contract. Merilainen is coming off another season at the junior level in Finland and will likely spend 2021-22 in Europe again. Senators GM Pierre Dorion released a short statement on his newest prospect:
Leevi made significant strides in his development while playing with a strong program at Karpat last season. He plays big in the net, maintains a controlled style and is on the right path to continuously improve as he builds additional strength and gains more experience. It’s our hope to see him play for Finland at the next world junior championship.
Merilainen, 18, was the 71st overall pick in 2020 and one of the youngest players available in the draft class. Amazingly, despite going in the third round, he was the Senators seventh selection. Should he spend next season in Finland as expected, his entry-level deal will not burn the first year and instead slide forward.
Already 6’2″, Merilainen still hasn’t really matured physically and will likely put on even more size to his thin frame in the coming years. That hasn’t held him back at all so far though, as the young netminder posted a .934 save percentage in 22 appearances this season for Karpat’s junior club. As Dorion notes, he will be an interesting candidate for the Finnish World Junior team, where he would be tested against the best similarly-aged players in the world.
With the Senators goaltending depth chart quite full at the moment, there’s no rush to Merilainen’s development. The team already has Matt Murray signed for the next three seasons, Anton Forsberg is coming back next year, and Joey Daccord is already under contract through 2022-23. Filip Gustavsson, who looks like the team’s next starting goaltender, is a restricted free agent, while 20-year-old Kevin Mandolese and Mads Sogaard are also in the system. At a position where it is so difficult to accurately predict future NHL success, the Senators have decided to gather quite a few prospects and see who pans out.
Philadelphia Flyers Re-Sign German Rubtsov, Linus Sandin
The Philadelphia Flyers have dealt with a pair of restricted free agents, signing German Rubtsov and Linus Sandin to new one-year, two-way contracts. Both deals will carry an NHL salary of $750K.
Rubtsov, 22, was the team’s first-round pick in 2016 but has just four games to his name in the NHL so far. This season he played for Sochi in the KHL, recording just three goals and 11 points. That’s a far cry from the player the team thought they were getting 22nd overall, but even if Rubtsov doesn’t score as much as originally expected, he could potentially still be a useful bottom-six piece.
His entry-level contract was set to expire this summer, meaning he was an RFA without arbitration rights. A minimum salary two-way deal was basically all he was ever going to get until he shows that he can be a reliable piece in the NHL.
Sandin on the other hand was an undrafted free agent signing last spring, inked out of the SHL after an excellent 2019-20 season. The 25-year-old split time this year between Sweden and the Lehigh Valley Phantoms, but didn’t make his NHL debut. In 26 AHL games, he scored six goals and ten points.
Snapshots: Coyotes, Carey, Johansson
The Arizona Coyotes have interviewed a long list of head coaching candidates so far in their search to replace Rick Tocchet. Craig Morgan of AZ Coyotes Insider tweets that Syracuse Crunch coach Benoit Groulx has spoken to Arizona about the position and lists Mike Van Ryn, Todd Nelson, Jay Leach, and Andre Tourigny as others.
Last week, Pierre LeBrun of The Athletic said on TSN radio that he believes the Coyotes will go with a first-time NHL head coach, which this list obviously suggests. Groulx, 53, has been behind the bench for Syracuse the last four season and signed a new deal with the organization earlier this season. That likely wouldn’t stop him from taking an NHL job, but shows how much the Lightning value him in the minors.
- Paul Carey is on his way overseas, signing with Djurgardens IF for the 2021-22 season. The minor league veteran served as captain for the Providence Bruins this season, scoring 14 points in 22 games. The 32-year-old has 100 NHL games under his belt including one during the 2019-20 season, but those days are likely behind him at this point in his long professional career.
- The Detroit Red Wings have loaned Albert Johansson to the SHL, giving him a chance to continue developing in Sweden. The 20-year-old defenseman scored 19 points in 44 games last season, his second full year with Farjestads. Selected 60th overall in 2019, he signed his entry-level deal last summer but it slid this season. That won’t be the case next year, meaning he will be scheduled for restricted free agency in 2024.
Boston Bruins Sign Jesper Froden
The Boston Bruins have dipped their toes into the European free agent market, signing Jesper Froden to a one-year contract. The deal will be worth $842,500 for the 2021-22 season, leaving Froden as an unrestricted free agent again next summer. GM Don Sweeney released a statement on the signing:
The Bruins are very pleased to be adding Jesper to our organization. We have tracked Jesper’s growth in the SHL where he has proven to be highly productive, competitive, and a smart, two-way player. Jesper is very excited to join a competitive team with the opportunity to compete for a roster spot.
Froden, 26, spent the last two seasons in the SHL, scoring 40 points in 52 games this season with Skelleftea AIK. His 22 goals were good for third in the league, while he was 10th overall in points.
Undrafted, Froden is another undersized forward that will try his hand at the North American game. There’s certainly no guarantee he makes the Boston roster, but it’s another lottery ticket that the Bruins organization can use to fill out the depth chart.
Five Key Stories: 6/7/21 – 6/13/21
With the number of teams still playing down to four, the busy offseason draws closer. While the biggest stories are still a few weeks away, there was still some notable news around the league over the past seven days.
Larsen Promoted: The first domino in the head coaching searches around the league has fallen. The Blue Jackets have their new bench boss and it’s someone they’ve had all along as the team promoted assistant Brad Larsen to the top role, handing him a three-year deal. The 43-year-old has been with Columbus since 2014-15 so he will be quite familiar with the current roster and will now be tasked with helping them get through what appears to be a pending rebuild with prized defenseman Seth Jones indicating recently that he’s not interested in signing a contract extension.
Kadri Suspension Upheld…Again: After being suspended for eight games for a hit in the first round of the playoffs, Avalanche center Nazem Kadri decided to try his luck with the appeal process. The first went to NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman and the eight-game ban was upheld. The next step was to independent arbitrator Shyam Das who also upheld the suspension. A big part of the decision was Kadri’s prior suspension history and the fact that Justin Faulk sustained an injury on the play.
Rask Needs Surgery, Wants To Stay With Bruins: Bruins goaltender Tuukka Rask was dealing with lingering hip trouble all season long and now that the season is over for Boston, he’s set to undergo surgery to repair a torn labrum. That procedure will keep him sidelined through the first half of next season. The 34-year-old is also set to become an unrestricted free agent this month and this news certainly doesn’t help his leverage. However, he has also made it clear that he only wants to play for Boston so he’s not in a situation where he will want to shop himself to the highest bidder. If the Bruins are okay with Jeremy Swayman as the starter for the first half of the season, it’s possible that they could bring Rask back to have their playoff tandem back together in the second half.
Shero To Minnesota: Former Penguins and Devils GM Ray Shero has found his next team as the Wild announced that they’ve hired him as a senior advisor to GM Bill Guerin. It’s not the first time the two have worked together as Shero acquired Guerin while with Pittsburgh and then hired him as a development coach after his retirement. Shero will replace Jack Ferreira who spent the past three seasons in an advisory role and has worked in an NHL front office since 1980-81.
Latest On Eichel: It hasn’t been a great offseason for Jack Eichel. The Sabres star bemoaned the “disconnect” between him and management in his end-of-season media availability and wants a surgery to repair a neck injury that the team won’t sign off on. Now, there are reports that Buffalo would also like to move on from the 24-year-old and have a fresh start. Top centers rarely become available and while he carries a $10MM cap hit through 2025-26, there still should be considerable interest although the standoff over his neck certainly isn’t going to help his value.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Columbus Blue Jackets Sign Gregory Hofmann
The Columbus Blue Jackets have officially signed Gregory Hofmann to a one-year contract after reports emerged last month that he was heading to North America. The deal will carry a cap hit of $900K according to CapFriendly and leaves Hofmann an unrestricted free agent after the 2021-22 season.
Acquired from the Carolina Hurricanes in February, Hofmann is already 28, but his draft rights never expired thanks to a lack of transfer agreement between the NHL and Switzerland’s National League. He had been picked 103rd overall way back in 2011 by the Hurricanes, but never signed, playing the last ten years overseas instead. Now, after his latest outstanding campaign for Zug EV, in which he recorded 41 points in 36 games, Hofmann is finally ready to test himself in North America.
Even if you’ve never watched a second of Swiss hockey, you’ve probably still seen Hofmann on the international stage. He has represented his country twice at the World Juniors, four times at the World Championships and once at the Olympics in 2018. In this most recent IIHF tournament, he scored six goals in eight games, tied for third behind Andrew Mangiapane and Liam Kirk. Offense is where he will make his money in the NHL, should he make it that far, as Hofmann is one of the most consistent scoring threats in Switzerland. In 2018-19 he reached a career-high of 30 goals in just 50 games, leading the entire league. No goal was more important than his final tally this season though, which clinched the league title for Zug.
On the surface, this is a move that has a chance to pay off quickly for the Blue Jackets. Hofmann has the potential to be a real contributor at the NHL level, especially on the powerplay, helping the team cure some of their goal-scoring ails. Still, there have been too many cases of European players coming and failing in North America to guarantee anything for the 5’10” forward, even if he has shown well against NHL talent internationally in the past.
Dougie Hamilton Given Permission To Speak With Other Teams
Of those players set to reach unrestricted free agency this summer, Dougie Hamilton stands as one of the best. The Carolina Hurricanes defenseman is one of the league’s best offensive weapons from the back end, while also posting some of the NHL’s best possession numbers year in, year out. For some, he could be considered the top free agent available in 2021 and now he’ll get an early start on the market.
Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet reports that Hamilton has been given permission from the Hurricanes to speak to other teams, opening up the potential for a sign-and-trade. Remember, only the Hurricanes (and Seattle Kraken) can sign Hamilton to an eight-year contract, meaning an acquiring team could maximize his term by working through Carolina before free agency opens. Of course, sign-and-trades are discussed a lot more than they actually happen, as the player being moved has to watch his new team give up several assets. Hamilton could just wait a few weeks and sign with that team for nothing more than money, though he then would only be eligible for a seven-year deal.
As Friedman notes though, this also could be a simple way for the Hurricanes to prove to Hamilton that their offer is competitive. Let the 27-year-old defenseman check out the market value on his services, before returning to Carolina to eventually re-sign. There have been cases like this in the past, most notably Steven Stamkos of the Tampa Bay Lightning. In 2016, Stamkos took meetings with several teams around the league before re-signing with the Lightning for eight years. Hurricanes fans will hope that scenario plays out with Hamilton, who has done nothing but produce since arriving in Carolina three years ago.
Over those three seasons, Hamilton has recorded 121 points in 184 games, including 42 goals, most among NHL defensemen. He finished 14th in Norris voting in 2018-19, seventh last season and very well could be even higher than that this time around. In 2020-21, he recorded 42 points in 55 games, once again posting outstanding possession numbers. Hamilton and Jaccob Slavin have developed an incredibly strong partnership, allowing each to use their best attributes effectively.
Of course, there are some who believe Hamilton is a little one-dimensional and would struggle without the support of the more defensive-minded Slavin. That belief could shrink his market, though it would not be surprising if more analytical-leaning front offices are falling over themselves to get a meeting with the defenseman. Either way, he’s now allowed to talk to whoever he wants.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images