Buffalo Sabres goaltender Alex Lyon strained a lower-body muscle during yesterday’s morning skate and will be re-evaluated in a week, head coach Lindy Ruff announced today. According to Ruff, there is a chance Lyon, who leads Sabres goaltenders in games played this season, will not be fit to return in time for the start of the Stanley Cup playoffs.
Lyon’s injury throws into question who will start in net for the first game of the Sabres’ long-awaited return to the playoffs. As previously mentioned, Lyon has played the most for the team among its goalies this season, with 36 games compared to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen‘s 34.
Luukkonen has outperformed Lyon by a slim margin in terms of the box score statistics this season, posting a .909 save percentage and 2.53 goals-against average. Lyon has a .907 save percentage and 2.74 goals against average this season, slightly lower than Luukkonen on both counts. But Lyon has the advantage in terms of goals saved above expected, as tracked by Natural Stat Trick.
Since the calendar flipped to 2026, things have been headed more in the direction of Luukkonen. He’s played in 21 games compared to Lyon’s 15 in the new year, and has a .910 save percentage compared to Lyon’s .906 in that span. It could be that, even not factoring in Lyon’s injury, Ruff was already more likely to begin the team’s playoff run with Luukkonen in the crease, rather than Lyon. Today’s injury news has only furthered that likelihood.
It is worth mentioning, though, that the one area where Lyon has a clear advantage over Luukkonen is an important one: playoff experience. Luukkonen hasn’t backstopped a team on a playoff run since his days in the OHL with the Sudbury Wolves, which was back in the 2018-19 season. Lyon, on the other hand, has a more extensive, and more recent, track record in the postseason. He put up a .944 save percentage in 11 playoff games in 2017-18 with the Lehigh Valley Phantoms, and backstopped the Chicago Wolves to a Calder Cup championship in 2021-22, posting a .923 save percentage on their run.
Lyon has even won a playoff game in the NHL. He was the starter for the Panthers in the first three games of their run in the 2023 playoffs, winning the second game of the series in Boston. While he eventually lost the starting role to star Sergei Bobrovsky, he nonetheless got valuable playoff experience, something Luukkonen doesn’t yet have. Whether that will factor into Ruff’s decision-making later this month remains to be seen, but what is clear is that Lyon’s injury means Luukkonen is overwhelmingly likely to be the one in the crease when the Sabres begin their first playoff trip in over a decade.