Can The Maple Leafs Turn Things Around?

The Maple Leafs have faced a tough start to the season, hovering around the .500 mark while adopting a high-risk style of hockey. After 20 games, they’re 9-9-2 and have only six wins in regulation, placing them seventh in the Atlantic Division. Toronto’s offense has been among the league’s best at 3.50 goals per game, managing to outscore its issues at times, but its defense has been nearly nonexistent and ranks at the bottom of the league. The Maple Leafs are going through a bit of an identity crisis as we reach the quarter mark of the season, and with injuries starting to pile up, it’s understandable to wonder if they can turn things around.

Several lingering issues remain for the Maple Leafs, some new and others dating back to last season and beyond. Toronto’s defense has struggled to start this season, after finishing eighth in the league in goals against last year. However, the blame can’t be placed solely on their defensive efforts, as this isn’t a new problem; it’s been around since last season, though masked by elite goaltending. Toronto’s shot and goal metrics have been trending downward for a while now, and this could be a case of the Maple Leafs regressing back towards the mean.

Speaking of goaltending, Toronto’s netminders have struggled this year after being a strength last season, thanks to the excellent play of Anthony Stolarz and Joseph Woll. This season, Stolarz has had a tough start, posting a 3.51 GAA and a .884 SV%. As for Woll, he just returned against the Blackhawks this past Saturday. The Maple Leafs’ defensive issues could be addressed mainly with even average NHL goaltending. Still, it’s challenging to imagine Toronto getting the same level of goaltending as last season, which might continue to expose defensive vulnerabilities.

The Maple Leafs have spent many games this season trading high-quality chances with their opponents. While this approach works when their goaltending is elite, it becomes less effective when their netminder is below replacement level. The game on Nov. 15 against Chicago is a prime example, as Woll returned to the lineup and stopped 29 of 32 shots, four of which were of the high-danger variety. Playing loosely worked for a while against the Blackhawks, as the Maple Leafs held a 19-9 edge in high-danger chances, but they surrendered the lead in the third period for the second time in a week, ending up on the wrong side of a 3-2 score. There were positives to take from the game, including dominance in high-danger chances at five-on-five as Toronto had 16 to Chicago’s six, per Natural Stat Trick.

Defensive lapses are not the only issue facing this team right now, as injuries to key players have accumulated, forcing many of Toronto’s depth players to perform beyond their usual roles. Having Max Domi as a second-line center is not ideal and clearly contributes to Toronto’s recent decline. Domi is a good passer and has solid offensive skills, but he is not a top-nine center, let alone a second liner. Ideally, Domi would play on the wing on the third line, but injuries are testing the Maple Leafs’ depth, and someone has to move up when players go down.

Defensively, the loss of Brandon Carlo and Chris Tanev has pushed Philippe Myers into the lineup. No disrespect to the 28-year-old, but he is not a top-six NHLer, as recent performances – including the game against Chicago – have shown. Myers wasn’t signed to be a top-six Maple Leafs defender, but circumstances are what they are, and sometimes depth players need to step up when injuries mount. The recent waiver claim of Troy Stecher will likely send Myers back to the press box as a healthy scratch, but it’s hardly fair to expect Stecher to be the solution either. The Maple Leafs need to get healthy on defense (and at forward and in net) if they want any chance of making the playoffs, which leads us to a thought on the minds of Maple Leafs fans everywhere.

On the same night the Maple Leafs lost to the Blackhawks, Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet reported that the Maple Leafs are looking for roster-for-roster trades. It makes sense for Toronto to explore this, especially since they don’t have a first-round pick until 2028 and lack significant prospect capital unless they consider trading Easton Cowan, which they aren’t considering. The Maple Leafs reportedly tried to acquire defenseman Rasmus Andersson last season from the Calgary Flames, as well as forward Brayden Schenn from the St. Louis Blues. TSN’s Darren Dreger doesn’t see a fit for Toronto and Andersson, given how little trade capital the Maple Leafs have, and the Flames might not want to do business with their former general manager.

General manager Brad Treliving has a few players they can consider trading, such as Max Domi, Nicholas Robertson, or even Carlo, but who and what he chooses to move will depend on what he sees as a need. It’s fair to say the Maple Leafs need a defenseman, but they could also benefit from an impact forward to slot into their top six. Toronto didn’t adequately replace Mitch Marner, and although their offense is rolling, they still have a gap on their top two lines. They don’t need to acquire a player of Marner’s caliber, but they certainly need a reliable performer who can push some of Toronto’s depth players down the lineup to their proper spots.

Right now, things don’t look good for Toronto this season, and the team clearly lacks confidence, as shown by their on-ice behavior whenever they give up a goal. There aren’t many signs that the team is about to turn things around, but there are reasons to stay hopeful. If Toronto can get healthy, that will give them a boost. With Woll back and Stolarz not far from returning, their goaltending should improve soon. If they can make one or two small trades for immediate help, that should help the depth players find their proper roles, making the team stronger overall. None of this is sure to happen, and Toronto could keep slipping, but the season isn’t over yet—even if it doesn’t look promising.