With the regular season now upon us, the bulk of the heavy lifting has been done from a roster perspective. Most unrestricted free agents have found new homes, the arbitration period has come and gone, and the trade market has cooled. Accordingly, it’s a good time to take a look at what each team accomplished over the offseason. Next up is a look at the Florida Panthers.
The Panthers are poised to make history as they aim for their third consecutive Stanley Cup title this season. They are only the third team during the salary cap era to repeat as champions and hope to become the first to three-peat. It’s within the realm of possibility for the Panthers to make history, as they are bringing back almost all the key components of last year’s roster after Bill Zito orchestrated a masterclass by locking up key free agents below market value. While some might say it’s easier to attract players to a city with advantageous tax benefits, players hadn’t been eager to sign with the Panthers in the 25 years before 2022, which reflects the culture of winning that the team has fostered in Florida.
Draft
4-112 – LW Mads Kongsbak Klyvø, Frölunda HC (J20 Sweden)
4-128 – LW Shea Busch, Everett (WHL)
5-129 – RW Shamar Moses, North Bay (OHL)
6-192 – RW Arvid Drott, Djurgårdens IF (J20 Sweden)
7-197 – D Brendan Dunphy, Wenatchee (WHL)
7-224 – G Yegor Midlak, Spartak Moscow Jr. (MHL)
The Panthers didn’t get to pick until the fourth round of the draft, and with their first pick, they selected what they hope will be a power forward in Klyvø. The native of Frederikshavn, Denmark, is an above-average skater and is difficult to move off the puck thanks to a stride that relies on a low center of gravity. He doesn’t have high-end skill, but he could develop into a net front presence as well as a relentless forechecker.
Also in the fourth round, the Panthers selected another potential power forward in Busch. The North Vancouver, British Columbia native is strong on his skates and tough to knock off the puck. He has all the tools to become a net-front presence and has an underrated touch around the net.
In the fifth round, the Panthers chose to pick another forward in Moses. Moses is a savvy late-draft choice because he is the type of high-reward player who could develop into a skilled NHL player if his growth continues to progress nicely. Moses has good hands, solid vision, and a terrific shot, but whether he can carry these talents beyond the OHL remains uncertain. If he can, the Panthers might have found a steal.
In the sixth round, the Panthers selected another power forward in Drott, who may not stand out in any one area but has a well-rounded game. Drott willingly takes the puck to the net to create scoring opportunities and uses his solid frame to set picks, giving his teammates chances to score. He battles along the boards and in the defensive zone to gain puck possession and is likely to be popular with his teammates because of his selfless style of play.
Trade Acquisitions
G Daniil Tarasov (from Columbus)
The Panthers acquired Tarasov from the Blue Jackets in exchange for a 2025 fifth-round pick. It was a worthwhile gamble for Florida as they aimed to add depth behind Sergei Bobrovsky. Not long ago, many believed Tarasov was a future starter for the Blue Jackets, but after moving to North America, he was used sparingly, which slowed his development. Tarasov dressed in 21 games over his first two NHL seasons and never managed a prolonged, solid stretch of play. In the 2023-24 season, Tarasov found some consistency, posting an 8-11-3 record with a .908 SV% and 3.18 GAA. While his traditional stats weren’t remarkable, his underlying numbers told a different story—he posted a goals saved above expected of 0.0 in 24 games. Tarasov was likely a non-tender candidate in Columbus and is essentially playing for his NHL career this season. He will look to prove himself in Florida behind a much stronger team, which he hasn’t experienced during his brief NHL career.
UFA Signings
G Brandon Bussi (one year, $775K)*
F Nolan Foote (one year, $775K)*
F Noah Gregor (one year, $775K)*
F Luke Kunin (one year, $775K)
F Tomas Nosek (one year, $775K)^
D Jeff Petry (one year, $775K)
F Jack Studnicka (one year, $775K)*
*-denotes two-way contract
^-denotes re-signing
The Panthers faced the formidable challenge of starting the offseason with three key players from their championship roster about to become unrestricted free agents. General manager Bill Zito worked hard to secure long-term contracts for Brad Marchand, Aaron Ekblad, and Sam Bennett, leaving him with little to worry about on July 1st. Nonetheless, he still pursued inexpensive depth options, aiming to strengthen the lower end of his roster with the remaining cap space.
Petry was signed to play bottom-pairing minutes for league minimum, and he represents a worthwhile gamble given his resume. At 37, he is no longer a top-four defenseman, but given his role with Florida, he doesn’t need to be. In Detroit, Petry was averaging nearly 19 minutes per game, which was excessive considering his age and skill set. However, with the Panthers, it appears Petry will settle into roughly 14-15 minutes per game, which is more reasonable. He isn’t going to control play like he once did, but he should be a steady presence on the bottom pair, and if he isn’t, the Panthers can easily move on and look for another option.
Bringing back Nosek was an obvious choice for the Panthers, given the low cost and minimal maintenance required. Nosek is a straightforward forward who won’t score much but is steady and dependable on the fourth line. He is expected to play around 10 minutes a night once he recovers, but it seems likely that he will miss the first few months of the season. Versatile, Nosek can also fill in on the wing, but he shouldn’t be moved up the lineup and, unless injuries occur, he probably won’t be.
Kunin’s signing offers another affordable option who can play in the bottom six. The 27-year-old, surprisingly in his ninth NHL season, continues to find opportunities in the league but did take a significant pay cut for the upcoming season after earning over $2.75MM in each of the previous three years. Kunin hits hard and has no trouble reaching the front of the net, which will be valuable in Florida, where he will play alongside skilled depth players who can pass the puck to that area. While Kunin won’t produce much offense, he can contribute on the forecheck and serve as a leader in the Panthers’ dressing room. They could certainly improve by finding a more skilled option than Kunin, but given where the team stands, his signing aligns with their current needs.
RFA Re-Signings
D Mike Benning (one year, $775K)*
D Toby Bjornfot (one year, $775K)*
F Mackie Samoskevich (one year, $775K)
F Wilmer Skoog (one year, $775K)*
G Daniil Tarasov (one year, $1.05MM)
*-denotes two-way contract
The Panthers didn’t have much work to do this summer on the RFA front since most of the deals they signed were two-way contracts with cap hits at the NHL minimum. The exceptions were Samoskevich and Tarasov, who both signed one-way contract extensions.
After finishing 11th in Calder Trophy voting for rookie of the year, Samoskevich was probably hoping to secure a contract above the NHL minimum. However, with his 10.2(c) status, he lacked significant leverage in negotiations. He chose a guaranteed one-way salary instead of a two-way qualifying offer, which would have provided a higher NHL salary but only a fraction of the league minimum if demoted to the AHL. While this is a bit of a setback for a player who had a strong rookie season, it opens the door for the 22-year-old to earn significantly more next summer when he has more rights as a restricted free agent. Hopefully, the Panthers will also have more room under the salary cap by then. Samoskevich scored 15 goals and 16 assists in 72 games last season and has already had a strong start this year. If he can improve on last year’s production, he might be looking at a multi-year deal with a salary five times (or more) his current $775K rate.
Departures
G Brandon Bussi (claimed off waivers by Carolina)
F Rasmus Asplund (signed in Switzerland)
G Evan Cormier (signed with AHL Charlotte)
G Kaapo Kahkonen (signed with Montreal, one year $1.15MM)
D Matt Kiersted (signed with Minnesota, two years $1.55MM)*
F William Lockwood (unsigned free agent)
D Jaycob Megna (signed with Vegas, two years $1.6MM)
F Jesse Puljujärvi (signed in Switzerland)
D Nate Schmidt (signed with Utah, three years $10.5MM)
F Justin Sourdif (traded to Washington)
F Nico Sturm (signed with Minnesota, two years $4MM)
G Vitek Vanecek (signed with Utah, one year $1.5MM)
*-denotes two-way contract
The most significant loss for the Panthers came in the form of defenseman Schmidt, who turned a solid season in Florida into a multi-year deal at $3.5MM per year. The Panthers couldn’t have asked for more from Schmidt, who arrived after a buyout and was excellent in a third-pairing role. The 34-year-old remains a decent playmaker, responsible with the puck, and capable of defending the zone, especially against entries and plays on the rush. As long as he isn’t asked to play too much in Utah, his signing should be a win for them. It did create a hole for Florida, but that’s what happens when depth players outplay their contracts and need to go elsewhere to get paid.
Sturm was another depth loss for the Panthers, but he likely wasn’t part of their long-term plans after he was acquired at last year’s Trade Deadline. Sturm remains a solid faceoff man who can still skate and get in on the forecheck. He will never produce much offense, topping 20 points just twice in his seven-year NHL career, but he battles hard for the Wild and lays the body fairly often. The Panthers shouldn’t have trouble replacing his production, and if they can’t find a suitable replacement, they should be able to acquire a depth player midseason to fill the gap.
Finally, the Panthers decided to let goaltender Vanecek go in favour of Tarasov, who will serve as the backup for now. It’s uncertain if Tarasov can handle the role, but Vanecek wasn’t exactly a reliable option either, posting modest numbers over the last two seasons with three different teams. Vanecek’s underlying numbers last year were probably worse than his traditional stats, as he recorded a -8.5 goals saved above expected in 25 games, indicating he was a below-average choice in limited duty. Suppose the Panthers need to find a goaltender later in the season. In that case, they should have no shortage of backup options, as players like Alex Nedeljkovic and possibly Vanecek will be available at a low cost.
Salary Cap Outlook
The Panthers are technically over the salary cap this season by about $6.1MM, but have Tkachuk and Barkov on LTIR for now. Tkachuk will return at some point this season, while Barkov could be out for at least seven months or more, which means he might return for the playoffs. The LTIR placements give the Panthers roughly $2.267MM in cap space (all figures via PuckPedia), allowing them to navigate injuries and call-ups and possibly make a midseason addition to their lineup. It’s not a ton of room for Florida, but their roster is pretty set as it is.
Next summer, the Panthers will have over $18MM available in cap space with 15 players signed, which means they will need to do some work. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is a UFA and should demand a significant deal, which could use up half of the available cap space.
Key Questions
Can they win a third straight Stanley Cup?
It would be silly to dismiss the Panthers this season, considering they’ve won back-to-back titles and reached three consecutive Stanley Cup Finals. However, the odds are against them in several ways this year. The injuries to their top players are difficult to overlook (we’ll address them later), and at some point, fatigue will likely catch up with them. Many forwards will need to play beyond their usual roles, which will be hard on their bodies, especially against more formidable opponents than they’re used to. Add to that the fact that many Panthers players have played a lot of hockey over the past three years, creating numerous challenges they must overcome to win another championship.
How will they navigate Barkov’s injury?
How do you navigate losing one of the best players in the world for an entire season? The Tampa Bay Lightning achieved this in 2021 for two-thirds of a season (a pandemic-shortened season) and made it work. But just because it worked elsewhere doesn’t mean it will work here. Florida will need the likes of Sam Reinhart, Carter Verhaeghe, Anton Lundell, and Eetu Luostarinen to elevate their games to the next level and take on a heavier workload, as the team may need to adjust lines to address holes created.
When will Matthew Tkachuk return?
Tkachuk is expected to be out until December, although GM Bill Zito’s timeline seems more like his best guess. Tkachuk is sidelined with a torn adductor muscle and a sports hernia on the same side he injured during the 4 Nations Face-Off. His absence isn’t definite, but it seems unlikely to extend past January, given that the 2026 Olympics are approaching. Tkachuk is expected to return in the latter half of the season. Although the Panthers will face challenges with him and Barkov out for an extended period, they should have sufficient depth to remain competitive in the standings.
Photo by Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
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