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Coyotes-Sabres: Lottery Odds On The Line

March 21, 2018 at 6:14 pm CDT | by Zach Leach 10 Comments

Normally, this time of year brings match-ups with major playoff implications as teams jockey for position atop conferences and divisions or fight for the final wild card spots. Instead, all eyes will be on the KeyBank Center tonight as the puck is about to drop on a battle of the league’s two worst teams, the 31st-place Buffalo Sabres hosting the 29th-place Arizona Coyotes. Both teams will have just nine games remaining after tonight’s result and the loser (winner?) may very well end up with the worst record in the league and the best lottery odds for the top pick in the 2018 NHL Draft and the right to draft wunderkind defender Rasmus Dahlin.

It’s a strange time for two of the league’s least-successful to go head-to-head, as the argument is that the worse team tonight is actually the beneficiary, but both teams are playing some of their best hockey of late. The Coyotes, dead in the water at the midway point and on pace for a measly 46 points this season, have had a resurgence in the second half. The team is 12-5-2 since February 8th, with wins over divisional foes in playoff spots in the Anaheim Ducks, Los Angeles Kings, and San Jose Sharks. They have already far surpassed 46 points, hitting 59 on the year with their sixth win in their last ten games on Monday night. Not only that, but Arizona has actually climbed out of the basement of the league, something most did not expect. Filling that bottom-feeder role now are the Sabres, but Buffalo too has been hot, with six wins in their last 11 games. It’s the first time all season that Buffalo has had less losses than not in a ten-game span, and that’s included wins over three of the league’s best teams – the Tampa Bay Lightning, Boston Bruins, and Toronto Maple Leafs.

Neither team looks ready to lose tonight, but one has to and it could be the blow that knocks them out of their winning ways. Buffalo faces a tough stretch to close out the year, with road games in Tampa, Florida, Nashville, New York and twice in Toronto. The rest of their contests are home against division rivals. Tonight could be the last time the Sabres are favored by anyone to win in 2017-18. Meanwhile, Arizona is about to be run the gauntlet. Tonight’s game in Buffalo begins a road trip that goes through Carolina, Florida, Tampa, Vegas, and L.A. before they return home to face the playoff-hungry Blues and Ducks in two of their final four games. The one bright spot left on the Coyotes schedule is a trip to Vancouver on April 5th. With neither team facing a very winnable schedule, tonight’s result really could determine who ends up with the best lottery odds when the season ends.

Speaking of the Canucks, they’re not to be forgotten in this equation either. Vancouver has lost seven straight and now sit in 30th, with as many points as Arizona but with one fewer game left to play. However, the Canucks face Chicago tomorrow night and Edmonton twice, as well as the Coyotes, in this final stretch and seem more likely to pick up some extra points as the season winds down.

Yet, like Buffalo and Arizona, Vancouver likely won’t mind finishing last either. The prize, Dahlin, would be a major addition to any team, but especially to any of these three struggling franchises. Buffalo, currently in the best position to win the lottery, is sorely lacking in high-end defensive prospects outside of players already on the roster like Rasmus Ristolainen and Brendan Guhle. Dahlin would be an upgrade not just to any of their current prospect blue liners, but quite possibly their veterans as well. Vancouver continues to wait for Olli Juolevi to be NHL-ready and have a long-term project player in Jack Rathbone, but Dahlin would look awfully nice alongside Chris Tanev and Troy Stecher next season and beyond. Finally, there’s Arizona, where many have projected Dahlin to land all season. It could be the perfect spot, as fellow countryman and talented defender Oliver Ekman-Larsson could mentor Dahlin just long enough before the Coyotes to trade him before he hits free agency in 2019. Like Buffalo, Arizona lacks difference-makers on the back end in the pipeline and could desperately use Dahlin. He could be a fit for a long time with Jakob Chychrun. 

Who will end up with Dahlin? It may not be Buffalo or Arizona. It could be Vancouver, or it could be any of the other 12 teams who miss the playoffs, but win the lottery. However, the top odds and the race for the worst record in the league weigh heavily on tonight’s result. Stay tuned.

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Buffalo Sabres| Prospects| Schedule| Utah Mammoth| Vancouver Canucks Chris Tanev| Jakob Chychrun| Oliver Ekman-Larsson| Olli Juolevi

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View Comments (10)

Comments

  1. Kenleyfornia74

    7 years ago

    I remember this game 3 years ago decided a huge part of who gets screwed and not end up with McDavid or Eichel

    Reply
  2. dugdog83

    7 years ago

    They need to at least tie.

    Go Detroit!

    Reply
  3. pawtucket

    7 years ago

    Vancouver will finish last and pick 4th.
    As is tradition in this town.

    Reply
    • ChuckyVee

      7 years ago

      Never have truer words been written.

      Reply
  4. Jimmykinglive

    7 years ago

    I would love to see Dahlin go to Vancouver

    Reply
  5. Hockeysense93

    7 years ago

    Just as long as Edmonton doesn’t get him! Being a Flames fan…I would even agree with that haha

    Reply
  6. crosseyedlemon

    7 years ago

    I suspect there are inmates on death row that would rather get the injection that be subjected to the torture of watching a Sabres/Coyotes game.

    Reply
  7. Hockeysense93

    7 years ago

    I don’t like the Canucks…but watching that kid play a lot in the west would be a lot of fun in its own right. The Canucks need more help then Arizona for the future lol

    Reply
  8. Hockeysense93

    7 years ago

    I call you on that one Crossey lol. The Coyotes are actually fun to watch right now with lots of confidence. Raanta is a stud when he’s healthy. This team could actually be pretty scary next year…

    Reply
    • crosseyedlemon

      7 years ago

      If the Coyotes have lots of confidence it’s probably because they know they are going to get the choice tee-off times on the golf course while other teams have to wait until the playoffs end.

      Reply

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