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Confirmed: Orlov Signs One-Year Deal With Capitals

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The Washington Capitals and Dmitry Orlov agreed to a one-year deal worth $2.57MM. Orlov was a restricted free agent this summer, and while his contract will keep him as an RFA next summer, he is arbitration-eligible. The signing wraps up the Capitals’ obligations right before training camp opens.

Orlov is currently playing on Team Russia’s blueline in the World Cup of Hockey and averaging around 20 minutes a game. Last season he scored 8G and 21A in 82 games for the Capitals, but remains a bottom-pairing defenseman because of a stacked Capitals’ blueline.

The signing leaves Washington with approximately $880K in salary cap space to start the season. The Caps have little wiggle room to add, however, and will have to manipulate the cap creatively in order to make space at the trade deadline. The deal itself seems team friendly, but if Orlov continues to progress he is in line for a healthy raise next year.

Breaking Down Bovada’s 2016-17 Projections

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Over the past two weeks, Las Vegas odds-maker Bovada has provided hockey fans with a pretty clear picture of how they think the 2016-17 will play out. With both Stanley Cup odds and regular season point total over/unders now released, you can see just about everything that the folks in Vegas expect to occur before they finally have their own team in the mix. Below are the projected final standings for each conference, as well as a breakdown of the potential story lines and playoff match-ups if Bovada does indeed prove to have their predictions correct:

Eastern Conference

  1. Washington Capitals (Metro): 107.5 pts, 10/1 Cup odds
  2. Tampa Bay Lightning (Atlantic): 106.5 pts, 10/1 Cup odds
  3. Pittsburgh Penguins (Metro): 103.5 pts, 9/1 Cup odds
  4. Florida Panthers (Atlantic): 98.5 pts, 16/1 Cup odds
  5. Montreal Canadiens (Atlantic): 96.5 pts, 25/1 Cup odds
  6. New York Islanders (Metro): 95.5 pts, 25/1 Cup odds
  7. New York Rangers (Metro): 95.5 pts, 25/1 Cup odds
  8. Boston Bruins (Atlantic): 92.5 pts, 25/1 Cup odds
  9. Detroit Red Wings (Atlantic): 90.5 pts, 25/1 Cup odds
  10. Philadelphia Flyers (Metro): 89.5 pts, 33/1 Cup odds
  11. Columbus Blue Jackets (Metro): 84.5 pts, 66/1 Cup odds
  12. Buffalo Sabres (Atlantic): 83.5 pts, 50/1 Cup odds
  13. New Jersey Devils (Metro): 82.5 pts, 50/1 Cup odds
  14. Ottawa Senators (Atlantic): 80.5 pts, 50/1 Cup odds
  15. Toronto Maple Leafs (Atlantic): 80.5 pts, 50/1 Cup odds
  16. Carolina Hurricanes (Metro): 78.5 pts, 66/1 Cup odds

In what can be considered a testament to the top four teams in the East, Bovada essentially doesn’t care where the Canadiens, Islanders, Rangers, Bruins, and Red Wings finish in the regular season, as they all have the same low odds of reaching the Stanley Cup if they have to go through the Capitals, Lightning, Penguins, and Panthers. At least Montreal can be proud that a Canadian team is finally back in the postseason. As it looks now, these final standings would result in first round series between Boston and Washington (likely not the Caps preferred opponent), the Rangers and Tampa Bay (Rangers lose the alphabetical tie-breaker), the Islanders and Pittsburgh in the Metropolitan match-up, and Montreal and Florida in the Atlantic match-up. Wins by the top seeds would then see a battle for the panhandle state between the Lightning and Panthers and a 2016 re-match between the Capitals and defending champion Penguins. On the outside looking in are the Detroit Red Wings, whose postseason streak will finally be snapped, and sadly in the final year of Joe Louis Arena to boot. They are joined by another 2015-16 playoff team, the Philadelphia Flyers, whose drop from 96 points last year to a projected 89.5 points seems harsh. However, the Flyers dropping out of the running early does set up a great “Subway series” between the Rangers and Islanders for playoff positioning and a repeat of last year’s race between Original Sixers Boston and Detroit for the final playoff spot, two events that hockey fans would love to see. The odds-makers clearly hate the Blue Jackets as a playoff team, as their Stanley Cup odds are worse than all but one of the teams who finish behind them in the standings. That one team, the Carolina Hurricanes, is slated to finish last in the East, tied for the worst odds at the Cup, after just narrowly missing the playoffs last year and injecting top-end prospects into their roster this season. Keep that in mind, you gamblers out there.

Western Conference

  1. Chicago Blackhawks (Central): 102.5 pts, 9/1 Cup odds
  2. Dallas Stars (Central): Off the board, 12/1 Cup odds
  3. St. Louis Blues (Central): 101.5 pts, 14/1 Cup odds
  4. San Jose Sharks (Pacific): 100.5 pts, 14/1 Cup odds
  5. Los Angeles Kings (Pacific): 99.5 pts, 16/1 Cup odds
  6. Anaheim Ducks (Pacific): 98.5 pts, 16/1 Cup odds
  7. Nashville Predators (Central): 98.5 pts, 16/1 Cup odds
  8. Minnesota Wild (Central): 94.5 pts, 25/1 Cup odds

  9. Edmonton Oilers (Pacific): 87.5 pts, 33/1 Cup odds

  10. Calgary Flames (Pacific): 87.5 pts, 50/1 Cup odds
  11. Winnipeg Jets (Central): 87.5 pts, 50/1 Cup odds
  12. Colorado Avalanche (Central): 86.5 pts, 50/1 Cup odds
  13. Arizona Coyotes (Pacific): 76.5 pts, 66/1 Cup odds
  14. Vancouver Canucks (Pacific): 76.5 pts, 66/1 Cup odds

Since the Stars are currently off the over/under table until Tyler Seguin’s injury is sorted out, their position was an estimate. Their Cup odds were set at 12/1, and since their goal tending last spring (still unchanged) did not inspire much hope about their postseason play, their odds being greater than that of the Blues has to be a reflection of their better chances of  being the top seed in the conference. If this Western Conference configuration looks familiar, that is because it contains the exact eight playoff teams as 2015-16. In fact, other than the Oilers (somehow), Bovada appears to not consider any other team in the West to be a legitimate playoff contender. There is also heavy favoritism in seeding, teams, and odds toward the Central. Within the playoff picture, it looks like another tight race at the top of each division, as seven teams battle for position and the Wild sit contently in the eight spot. As currently constituted, these standings would produce first round playoff match-ups between the Wild and Blackhawks, the Predators and Sharks (again), the Blues and Stars (again) for the Central, and the Ducks and Kings for the Pacific. Should the top seeds all advance, it would set up showdowns between Chicago and Dallas in a barn-burner, and San Jose and L.A. in a great rivalry throw-down. If all goes according to plan, there are some excellent series in the West coming next spring, and Bovada’s projection may not be far off. None of the bottom six in the conference look like contenders, and the Canucks seem likely to fulfill their destiny as the worst team in the NHL in 2016-17. Let the Nolan Patrick sweepstakes begin!

2016-17 NHL Over/Unders

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After giving us their opening Stanley Cup odds last week, Las Vegas odds-maker Bovada was back at it again today, releasing their over/under for each NHL team’s total points in the upcoming season. Not included on the list (below) are the Dallas Stars, who were left off the board by the odds-makers until more information is available regarding the injury to Tyler Seguin. The Stars are an unpredictable pick at this point regardless, as both Seguin and Jamie Benn are banged up, Valeri Nichushkin is suddenly gone, and the defense is still a risk following the departure of three starters.

While the points projections generally mirror the Stanley Cup odds, Bovada has certainly predicted some interesting scenarios. Despite having the highest Cup odds in the East, the Penguins are again expected to finish behind the Capitals in the Metropolitan Division. On second thought though, a slow start to the regular season for the defending champs would not be much of a surprise, nor would another postseason collapse for Washington. Elsewhere in the division, the Islanders and Rangers are projected to be in a dead heat for that final divisional seed, with the loser slipping into a wild card spot. Staying in the East, they see the Canadiens and a healthy Carey Price skyrocketing from their 82 point finish a year ago to 96.5 points in 2016-17, with the Detroit Red Wings and Ottawa Senators taking a corresponding dip in the standings. Out West, the battles atop each division promise to be similarly tight as they were last season, but the projected jump by Calgary and Edmonton of 10+ points from bottom dwellers to playoff contenders may be a story to watch. The good news for Vancouver Canucks fans is that they’re expected to finish with more points this season than last. The bad news? It will be good enough for last place in the league.

The easiest over to take out of this group is likely the St. Louis Blues. Although they lost captain David Backes and have to see if Jake Allen can handle his bigger workload in net, the Blues are set at 101.5 points, a mark they have beaten easily in each of the past three seasons. The Ottawa Senators are another good over, as they have hardly changed their roster this summer and finished with 85 points last year and more than that the two years prior. Their 80.5 line seems unwarranted unless you believe the rest of the Atlantic Division is in for a big year. That seems unlikely, especially when it comes to the aforementioned Canadiens, who are an easy under. Yes, the loss of Price for much of 2015-16 hurt the Canadiens, but they also had a lot of trouble scoring goals as well. The effects of the trade-off between P.K. Subban and Lars Eller for Shea Weber, Andrew Shaw, and Alexander Radulov have yet to be seen, but one would think that it’s not enough to justify a 14 or 15 point increase in points. The Oilers, somewhat obviously, are also a good choice for an under. If this many seasons of “this is the year” followed by a lottery pick haven’t tempered your expectations of Edmonton yet, nothing will. Even if they do finally improve in 2016-17, will it really be to a high-80’s point total? Doubtful.

Washington Capitals      107.5 points

Tampa Bay Lightning     106.5 points

Pittsburgh Penguins       103.5 points

Chicago Blackhawks       102.5 points

St. Louis Blues                 101.5 points

San Jose Sharks              100.5 points

Los Angeles Kings            99.5 points

Anaheim Ducks                98.5 points

Florida Panthers              98.5 points

Nashville Predators         98.5 points

Montreal Canadiens        96.5 points

New York Islanders         95.5 points

New York Rangers           95.5 points

Minnesota Wild                94.5 points

Boston Bruins                   92.5 points

Detroit Red Wings           90.5 points

Philadelphia Flyers         89.5 points

Calgary Flames                87.5 points

Edmonton Oilers             87.5 points

Winnipeg Jets                  87.5 points

Colorado Avalanche        86.5 points

Columbus Blue Jackets   84.5 points

Buffalo Sabres                  83.5 points

New Jersey Devils           82.5 points

Ottawa Senators              80.5 points

Toronto Maple Leafs      80.5 points

Carolina Hurricanes       78.5 points

Arizona Coyotes              76.5 points 

Vancouver Canucks        76.5 points

Wingels’ Roster Spot In Jeopardy

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Kevin Kurz of CSN Bay Area writes today that after a disappointing 2015-16 season, Tommy Wingels is no longer a guarantee to be on the San Jose Sharks roster to start the season. The gritty forward put up just 18 points last year after back-to-back 30+ point seasons. That level of output might not be enough this year to take a roster spot from one of the Sharks’ up-and-coming young players.

A 6th-round pick of the Sharks out of Miami (Ohio) in 2008, there were never any great expectations of Wingels. He was a high-energy guy who played a tough game and had the ability to dig the puck out of the corner and occasionally contribute a goal or two. His first few seasons in San Jose showed just that, as he put up mediocre numbers, but carved out a role for himself as a reliable bottom-six player. Then, in 2013-14 Wingels game took a huge leap forward. He scored 38 points for the Sharks that season, the second highest point total of his entire hockey career, going all the way back to juniors. Excited with his progress, San Jose signed Wingels to a three-year extension worth $7.425MM. Wingels was able to replicate his success the next year as well, with 36 points in 75 games, making the contract look like a bargain. He also became a key part of the power play, contributing four goals with his crash-the-net style. Although his once-stout defensive game struggled a bit, his newfound offensive skill and new role on the team made the change to his game an acceptable one.

However, 2015-16 told a very different story. Wingels came out flat last season, showing no sign of the point production of the past two seasons nor the two-way ability he was originally known for. Although he tried to remain an offensive presence while also turning up his physicality, it only resulted in a -10 rating and a career-high in penalty minutes. As the year dragged on for Wingels without much success, he began seeing less and less time under new coach Peter DeBoer. He ended up playing in only 68 games with his lowest average time on ice since his rookie season.

Now, Wingels has a tough road ahead of him to get back into favor with the Sharks and their fans. DeBoer has watched his team go all the way to the Stanley Cup with Wingels playing a limited role, and may decide that he can do without the forwards physical play if it means a promising young player doesn’t make the team. As it stands, the addition of Mikkel Boedker and the development of Joonas Donskoi and Chris Tierney have all but locked up the top nine in San Jose. It will be in Wingels’ best interests to come to camp with his regular high compete level and be satisfied with securing a fourth line role where his toughness and intensity can be put to good use. If DeBoer decides that he’s willing to pay nearly $2.5MM for an energy liner, than Wingels will keep his job and be on the road to redemption in 2016-17. If not, the majority of Wingels time in San Jose this season could be spent wearing a Barracudas jersey instead of a Sharks jersey.

North America Injury Notes

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The young and talented Team North America is set to face Group B leader Sweden today, but they will do so without their starting goaltender. Penguins playoff hero Matt Murray was injured in the team’s last World Cup game against Russia and is currently being treated as day-to-day. The injury is to his thumb on his blocker hand, which makes it difficult for him to grip the stick and handle the puck. With NHL training camp right around the corner, the team, as well as the Pittsburgh brass, feels that those essential skills are worth a few days of rest and rehab.

For their final round robin game, which will determine whether they move on to the semifinals or head home, North America will go to Ducks goalie John Gibson, with Jets youngster Connor Hellebuyck backing him up. Gibson, in fact, has more pro experience than Murray and may be a better option for North America going forward. Murray has allowed five goals through two games with an .886 save percentage, so a fresh face starting in net might provide a boost for the team.

North America has other injury concerns as well:

  • Blue Jackets defenseman Ryan Murray is also dealing with an injury. While the exact details have not been disclosed, the young blue liner has developed a bit of an “injury-prone” reputation early in his hockey career. Although coach Todd McLellan expects Murray to play and has confirmed that he will at least skate in warm-ups, his status is a game time decision.
  • If Murray cannot play, North America will be forced to dress 13 forwards and five defenseman, with the Panthers’ Aaron Ekblad having already left the team with a neck injury. Rangers forward J.T. Miller would be pressed into action, and the defense would have to rely on some heavy minutes from each of their five members.

Two Prospects Sign Their Deals With The Devils

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The New Jersey Devils have inked two of their prospects to entry-level contracts, according to GM and Executive Vice President Ray Shero.

Forward Blake Speers and defenseman Colton White were both selected in the 2015 NHL Entry Draft from the OHL’s Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds. Speers was selected 67th overall, while White was chosen 97th.

Speers scored 74 points in 68 games last season, and added another 10 points in 12 playoff games. Elite Prospects describes him as such:

Has slick hands and good overall puckhandling skills. Great passing ability and a very accurate shot. Plays a puck possession game; not diminutive in size, per say, but does need to get stronger. Not afraid to battle along the boards, but his size does show through against bigger opponents. Has all the tools to be a successful contributor when played in the right role.

White posted 35 points in 68 games, and another 3 in the playoffs.

Speers was named captain of the Greyhounds last season, and White serves as an assistant captain. Both men are expected to return to Sault Ste. Marie for one more season of junior before making their professional debuts in the 2017-18 season.

Provided neither player makes the Devils this season, the three-year contracts will not count against the 50-contract limit and will expire following the 2019-20 season.

Blue Jackets’ Clarkson Fails Physical

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Columbus Blue Jackets forward David Clarkson will not start training camp with the team after failing his physical due to a back injury, as per the team’s president of hockey operations John Davidson.

According to Rob Mixer, who does social media for the Blue Jackets, Davidson said “every time he tries to work out, it’s bothersome”.

Shortly after it was announced, the Blue Jackets tweeted out that Clarkson’s contract is insured.

That wasn’t the case for Nathan Horton, who was a big-name free agent signing by Columbus in 2013. Horton was subsequently diagnosed with a degenerative back injury, ending his playing career. Because the small market Blue Jackets weren’t willing to spend $5.3MM per year until 2020 on a player who will never play another NHL game, they traded him to Toronto for Clarkson. Clarkson was struggling to live up to expectations after signing with his hometown team for $5.25MM per season, also through 2020. The Maple Leafs were willing to eat the Horton contract to move Clarkson.

Clarkson has 4 points in 26 games with the Blue Jackets since he was acquired shortly before the 2015 trade deadline. He has just 30 points in 144 games since signing a seven-year, $36.75MM contract with the Leafs in 2013.

The Blue Jackets have $3.81MM in cap space, but will get relief by placing Clarkson on long-term injured reserve at the start of the season, should he not be able to play.

Capitals And Orlov Expected To Agree To Terms

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Update: Orlov and the Capitals have agreed to a one-year deal worth $2.57MM. Orlov will remain a RFA next year, but he will be arbitration-eligible.

According to Isabelle Khurshudyan of the Washington Post, defenseman Dmitry Orlov and the Washington Capitals are close to getting a new contract signed.

Citing multiple sources, Khurshudyan is expecting a one-year contract worth “something in the neighborhood of $2.6 million”.

The Capitals have approximately $3.45MM in cap space for the upcoming season, according to Cap Friendly. Orlov made $2.25MM in 2015-16, his most successful campaign in the NHL.

However, Orlov is looking for a bigger role this season after averaging just 17 minutes-per-game thus far in his career. Earlier this off-season, coach Barry Trotz said he’s looking for Orlov to play top-four minutes this season with John Carlson or Matt Niskanen at even strength, and to contribute at both special teams disciplines.

More to come.

World Cup Notes: USA Loss, Clinching Scenarios, Price

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Hours before being eliminated from the World Cup at the hands of their bitter rivals, Team USA forward T.J. Oshie told reporters, “If it comes down to 100 per cent skill, I think they win; 100 per cent grit, I think we win.”

During the first intermission, with Canada up 3-1, smiling Team Canada forward Joe Thornton told Sportsnet, “We have a good mixture of skill and grit on our team.”

While Canada entered the tournament as the favorite thanks to their stacked roster of elite NHLers, the USA entered as underdogs with a roster designed to defeat Canada. Highly skilled forwards like Phil Kessel, Tyler Johnson, and Kyle Okposo were left at home; so were elite offensive defensemen like Keith Yandle, Justin Faulk, and Kevin Shattenkirk. In their places went Justin Abdelkader, Brandon Dubinsky, David Backes, Jack Johnson, and Erik Johnson. Two of those were healthy scratched last night, while the other three combined for six hits, 4 PIM, and a -3 rating.

According to Sportsnet’s Luke Fox, a reporter asked coach John Tortorella after the game if he would “change the makeup” of the team in hindsight, and he received a short answer.

“No.”

NHL MVP and American assistant captain Patrick Kane told reporters “I’ll never say a bad thing about [Tortorella]. He’s just a great coach, and we didn’t show up for him.”

Puck Daddy’s Greg Wyshnyski was a little harsher, calling the game “60 minutes of apathetic Americans flinging shots and Canadians poking a dead carcass with a stick.”

It’s time for USA Hockey to adapt to the new style of international game. They need look no further than the reason behind Team North America’s success in this tournament: fast and skilled. While the Americans didn’t have the choice of taking Johnny Gaudreau, Jack Eichel, Auston Matthews, Dylan Larkin, or Brandon Saad, one has to wonder how many of those would have made the cut of a team based on grinding and physical play. That needs to change, if the Americans want to have a chance to beat the Canadians at future tournaments.

This edition of Team USA was designed to beat Canada; it turns out the only team they’ve been able to beat is themselves.

  • The clinching scenarios for tonight’s games are as follows: North America can clinch a berth in the semi-finals with a regulation win over Sweden, or be eliminated if they lose by five goals or more. Finland will be eliminated if North America gets at least one point. Sweden can clinch Group B if they earn at least one point versus the North Americans tonight. Meanwhile in Group A, with the eliminated Americans and Czechs set to play a meaningless game, the winner of Canada and Europe will clinch the Group.
  • Incredible stat from Tom Gulitti’s game recap over at the World Cup website: Ryan McDonagh’s goal in the first period ended Carey Price’s international shutout streak at 228.41. That dates back to Canada’s semi-final win over Latvia at the 2014 Sochi Olympics. Price proceeded to shutout the Americans in the semi-finals, Sweden in the finals, and the Czechs in the World Cup opener.

Traverse City NHL Prospects Tournament Round-Up

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The 18th annual NHL Prospects Tournament in Traverse City, Michigan took place this weekend, with games kicking off on Friday afternoon and finishing up tonight. The tourney featured eight teams, split into two divisions of four teams each playing in a round robin, followed by a series of  games today between corresponding finishers in each division.

The field included the Columbus Blue Jackets, Chicago Blackhawks, St. Louis Blues, and host Detroit Red Wings in the “Gordie Howe Division” and the Carolina Hurricanes, Minnesota Wild, Dallas Stars, and New York Rangers in the “Ted Lindsay Division”. Each team came in locked and loaded with their top prospects, as teams got the opportunity to evaluate their young talent and the players looked to impress and make a push for a shot at an NHL role.

Playing in the 7th-place game this afternoon were the Wild and Blackhawks. Minnesota went 0-3 in divisional play, while Chicago was able to pick up one win en route to a 1-2 record. However, when the teams met head-to-head, the Wild were able to finally get a “W” with a 2-1 result. The 5th-place game featured the Blues and Stars, with Dallas taking it by a convincing 5-3 score. The Stars just missed out on finishing second in their division, losing earlier in the tournament in overtime to the Rangers to fall to 1-1-1. They proved to be too much for the 1-2 St. Louis squad though and can be satisfied with a 5th-place finish.

The 3rd-place game that ended earlier tonight was between the top prospects for the Rangers and Blue Jackets, two teams who played well in the divisional round with 2-0-1 and 2-1 records respectively. The Jackets came out on top in the end, with a 6-4 win, continuing a strong offensive performance in the tournament. However, they did see their two-year championship run in Traverse City come to an end. While the Rangers couldn’t find victory, they have to be happy with the strong play of free agent phenomenon Jimmy Vesey. Finally, the tournament finale came down to the hometown Red Wings and a stacked Hurricanes team. Carolina had dominated their opponents all weekend and came into the 1st-place game undefeated and nearly unstoppable, and their luck did not change. Led by 2016 1st-rounders Julien Gauthier and Jake Bean, the Hurricanes took the title by a score of 6-4 over the 2-1 Detroit team and the best efforts of Tyler Bertuzzi.

The teams will all now head home and re-group, as they get ready for training camp and a handful of the tournament’s best players prepare for their first taste of NHL action.

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