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Offseason Checklist 2023

Offseason Checklist: Columbus Blue Jackets

April 25, 2023 at 9:00 pm CDT | by Brian La Rose 2 Comments

The offseason has arrived for half of the league’s teams that aren’t taking part in the playoffs.  It’s time to examine what they will need to accomplish over the coming months.  Next up is a look at Columbus.

Last season, the Blue Jackets were more competitive than a lot of people expected and GM Jarmo Kekalainen responded by making a big splash on the free agent market, inking Johnny Gaudreau to a seven-year deal.  In doing so, expectations shifted.  However, things certainly didn’t go according to plan as they finished last in the Eastern Conference so changes are on the horizon for them in the coming months.

Find A New Coach

Not surprisingly, after the summer they had and how things went this season, Brad Larsen’s tenure as head coach came to an end as he was let go after two years as the bench boss.  The team posted a 62-86-16 record with him at the helm.  At the time he was promoted after serving as an assistant to John Tortorella, Larsen felt like a logical choice in the sense that the team was beginning a rebuild.  Are they going to take a step back again now?

That’s a question that Kekalainen is going to have to ponder.  This team has ample cap space (nearly $20MM per CapFriendly) this summer which could give them some key additions to try to win now.  If that’s the direction they’re going to go, then a veteran bench boss with a track record of short-term success is likely what they’re going to want to look for.  After all, adding Gaudreau on the richest free agent deal in franchise history only to turn around and rebuild again a year later would be a bit of a surprising turnaround.

On the other hand, with how they struggled this season, it would be surprising to see Columbus push for playoff contention in 2023-24.  Accordingly, another first-time coach with an eye on prospect development might be the better way to go.  While this number is certainly exacerbated by injuries and late-season recalls, Columbus used 30 players that are 25 or younger this season.  Most of them will still be in the organization next year and with a lot of future core pieces in the group, a longer-term build might be the better long-term play.  Who they hire as their next head coach might signal which way they’re leaning on the roster front.  Whichever way they go, it’s likely they won’t make a move right away as they’ll likely want to speak to some assistants that are on teams still in the playoffs.

Bring In New Goalie Coach

Generally, a team needing a goalie coach wouldn’t typically get much more than a passing mention here.  However, with how poorly Elvis Merzlikins played this season, finding the right hire to replace Manny Legace is going to be quite critical.

To put into context how much Merzlikins struggled, there were 62 goalies that played 20 games or more in 2022-23.  He was 62nd in GAA (4.23) and 61st in SV% (.876).  The good news is that he can really go up from there but he has a long way to go to even get back to being league average.

The 29-year-old has four years left on his contract which carries a $5.4MM AAV.  Right now, that deal would be difficult to trade with how he performed this season and Daniil Tarasov isn’t ready to take over as the full-fledged starter just yet; he has just 21 career NHL appearances under his belt.  Accordingly, the new goalie coach will be a key addition as if he can help Merzlikins turn things around, it would go a long way toward helping them get back in the playoff picture sooner than later.

Add Center Help

Locking down a true top center has been a challenge for Columbus in recent years with their best candidate, Pierre-Luc Dubois, eventually being traded to Winnipeg for Patrik Laine and Jack Roslovic.  The end result is that Columbus was using Boone Jenner as their top middleman this season.  Jenner is a quality player, no doubt, but he is not a true top-liner.  Roslovic, meanwhile, was inconsistent throughout the season and he is likely to be in trade speculation this summer.

The good news for the Blue Jackets is that they have young centers in the system in Cole Sillinger and Kent Johnson.  They’re certainly hoping that one of them will be able to emerge as a top-liner down the road.  And, who knows, they could land one in the draft as they’re able to hold down a top-three spot.  But any of those players are still likely a couple of years away from really emerging as reliable top-six options.  If they intend to try to get back into the playoff picture before then, they’re going to have to add a center or two.

It will be interesting to see if the Blue Jackets decide to continue their late-season experiment with playing Laine down the middle next year.  If he can hold his own in that role, that would take some pressure off Jenner and at least get them a short-term stopgap.  They’re also likely to add Dmitry Voronkov for next season although he won’t be ready to play in the top six right away either.  But even with those, more help is needed, especially if Laine isn’t able to play there full-time.

Landing a true number one pivot will be difficult for Columbus this summer as frankly, there aren’t likely to be any available.  Instead, Kekalainen will have to settle for adding a second-line option.  They’ve been speculatively linked to Philadelphia’s Kevin Hayes and perhaps that’s the type of move they should be targeting, adding a player that can help but whose cap hit is high enough that the other team can’t command a significant return.  Depending on the player, Columbus could be compensated for taking on the deal.  If they want to use their cap space this summer, that’s one creative way to try to fill a need without losing much of consequence.

Creative Spending

Speaking of that cap space, the Blue Jackets will be one of only a handful of teams with significant room under the cap this summer.  They currently project to have around $18MM per CapFriendly with only a handful of roster spots to fill.  Notably, there aren’t any free agents of note to deal with either that will cut into that amount by a significant amount.

Granted, Columbus is typically a budget team, not a cap team so it remains to be seen how much of that roughly $18MM will actually be at their disposal.  But at a minimum, a good chunk of it should be spendable for Kekalainen.

If they want to try to make another splash in free agency, the money should be there.  But that might not be the best move for them, especially with the market not being as strong as last year and the center options not exactly being top-notch.  Instead, if they can pick up an unwanted short-term contract or two and pick up draft picks or prospects for doing so, that’s a scenario that would be the best of both worlds, helping them build for the future while helping them now as well.  Cap space is an asset that few teams will have so it’s important that the Blue Jackets use it wisely and get creative if they need to.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Columbus Blue Jackets| Offseason Checklist 2023 Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

2 comments

Offseason Checklist: Anaheim Ducks

April 22, 2023 at 10:36 am CDT | by Brian La Rose 5 Comments

The offseason has arrived for half of the league’s teams that aren’t taking part in the playoffs.  It’s time to examine what they will need to accomplish over the coming months.  First up is a look at Anaheim.

After a 2021-22 campaign where things didn’t go well, there was hope that the Ducks would take a step forward with their young core continuing to improve.  While some of those players did show improvement, it didn’t lead to much success on the ice with some changes already happening.  Here’s a look at what’s on the horizon for Anaheim this summer beyond what’s expected to be an exciting draft lottery for them next month with the top odds in the proceedings.

Hire New Coaches

It didn’t take long after the regular season for the Ducks to part ways with Dallas Eakins, a move that many anticipated with the way the year went and the fact his contract came to an end.  Anaheim allowed 4.09 goals per game this season, the highest goals-allowed average since the mid-90s which played a big role in them finishing last.  That dropped Eakins’ record with Anaheim to 100-147-44 over four seasons which helped lead to the coaching change.

As is typically the case in a situation like this, GM Pat Verbeek is faced with two options.  The first is to look for a first-time coach with an eye on being more development-focused to take the team through the rest of their rebuild and perhaps beyond.  The other is looking for more of a win-now option to try to coax shorter-term success.  That type of hire would need to coincide with the team becoming bigger spenders in free agency this summer which doesn’t seem likely.  A first-time or relatively inexperienced bench boss seems like the probable outcome here.

Meanwhile, an NHL head coach isn’t the only vacancy they’ll be looking to fill as for the second straight season, Verbeek will be searching for an AHL bench boss while it’s the third time in a row the franchise has been seeking one.  A year ago, he fired Joel Bouchard who had been on the job for just a single season while Roy Sommer opted to retire after one season with the team.  They’ll certainly be hoping that the third time will be the charm on that front.

Sign Key RFAs

Anaheim finished this season near the bottom in spending among all NHL teams.  That probably won’t be the case in 2023-24 as they have three key restricted free agents to deal with this summer in winger Troy Terry, center Trevor Zegras, and defenseman Jamie Drysdale.

Terry is an example of a bridge contract going as well as possible.  Three years ago, he had a total of 81 games under his belt with all of 28 points.  Now, he has established himself over the last two seasons as a reliable key scorer, reaching the 60-point mark in each of them, giving him a much better platform to his first year of arbitration eligibility.  There aren’t a lot of comparables for players that were role players for a few seasons before emerging as top-line threats but it wouldn’t be surprising to see Terry’s next deal wind up above the $7MM mark on a long-term agreement that buys out several UFA seasons.  He won’t be on a heavily team-friendly contract anymore.

As for Zegras, he has positioned himself to try to bypass the bridge deal altogether.  While he has had plenty of highlight-worthy plays, he isn’t just good at those as he has also emerged as a legitimate top-six center.  Zegras has surpassed the 60-point mark in back-to-back years as well while playing the more premium position down the middle.  We’ve seen post-ELC centers around his point total signing around the $8MM mark over the last couple of years so it stands to reason that a long-term deal for Zegras should be near that point as well.  Notably, he still has five RFA years remaining; most players coming off their entry-level agreements typically have four years left.

While Zegras should avoid a bridge agreement, the same can’t be said about Drysdale.  Injuries limited the 21-year-old to just eight games this season and his rookie campaign saw him suit up just 24 times.  Accordingly, he doesn’t even have a year and a half of NHL contests under his belt which would make a long-term agreement that much more difficult.  Drysdale figures to be a key cog in Anaheim’s future plans but more time is needed to see how he’s going to develop.  A short-term second agreement makes sense all around and he, too, has five RFA years remaining.

Qualify Or Cut

A couple of years ago, it looked like winger Max Comtois was going to be a big part of Anaheim’s future.  He was coming off a 33-point season in 55 games, showing signs of becoming a capable power forward along the way.  Even so, then-GM Bob Murray opted for caution, giving him a two-year bridge deal.

It’s safe to say that decision worked out for Anaheim as the 24-year-old has struggled considerably since then.  This season, Comtois potted just nine goals and ten assists in 64 games with his playing time dipping to a career low while also spending time as a healthy scratch.

Accordingly, at a time when he was supposed to be cementing his case for a long-term agreement, his performance has called into question his future with the team.  Comtois is owed a qualifying offer of $2.45MM this summer.  Two years ago, it would have seemed unthinkable that the Ducks might want to consider not tendering it but now, it’s something Verbeek will have to consider.

It was previously reported that Comtois was available at the trade deadline with there not being much interest at the time so on the surface, a non-tender might make sense.  But is it worth giving him one last look with the hopes that a new coach can help him return to the form of 2021-22 and avoid the potential of him taking that step in another uniform?  They have a couple of months to make that choice.

Goalie Decision

The future of John Gibson has been in question for the last few seasons.  Here’s a player who was signed to be Anaheim’s long-term franchise goaltender but since that deal kicked in, things just haven’t gone very well for him and while playing for a rebuilding franchise doesn’t help, Gibson has certainly struggled as well.

Over the four years that he has played on this deal, Gibson has a 3.32 GAA and a SV% of .902.  He also has led the league in losses in three of those four seasons.  Suffice it to say, he hasn’t provided a great return on his $6.4MM AAV.  On top of that, the 29-year-old has four years left on that agreement.

Generally speaking, an underachieving player with four years left on his deal wouldn’t have much value on the trade market but are there teams convinced that in a different system and working with a different goalie coach, they can turn him around?  It’s possible, especially in a year when the free agent market isn’t exactly booming with plentiful high-end options.

If that’s the case, is the time right for Verbeek and the Ducks to explore a move?  Would Gibson himself be open to a move?  With the way things are currently trending, it’s definitely a possibility.  His value likely isn’t super high with his recent struggles and the remaining term on his contract but if a decent swap presents itself, it wouldn’t be shocking to see them make a move.

If that happens, Anaheim will have to look to add a veteran replacement, either as part of the trade or in a separate acquisition or signing.  Lukas Dostal is viewed as their goalie of the future but has just 23 NHL appearances under his belt.  Gibson was supposed to be his playing partner for a while to allow Dostal to get acclimated to being a full-time NHL player and if he’s no longer going to be part of the equation, they’ll need another veteran to fill that role, even in a summer where Verbeek will be looking to add young core pieces.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Anaheim Ducks| Offseason Checklist 2023 Pro Hockey Rumors Originals

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