Deadline Primer: New York Islanders

With the trade deadline now just days away, we continue to take a closer look at each team. Where do they stand, what do they need to do, and what assets do they have to fill those needs?

The New York Islanders entered this season with renewed hope and optimism. Fresh off the team’s first playoff series victory since 1993, the Islanders were poised to challenge the Metropolitan Division titans for division supremacy. Instead, the Islanders fell flat and are only now making up for their slow start. It took a coaching change to spark the Islanders, and it might have been too little too late. The team currently sits one point out of a wildcard spot and faces a tough decision. Do they acquire help at the deadline to make a playoff push, or do they stand pat?

Record

29-22-10, 5th in the MetropolitanDivision

Deadline Status

Unknown

Deadline Cap Space

$6,953,607 with 45/50 contracts per CapFriendly

Draft Picks

2017: NYI 1st, NYI 2nd, NYI 3rd, NYI 5th, NYI 7th
2018:
 NYI 1st, NYI 2nd, NYI 3rd, NYI 4th, NYI 5th, NYI 6th, NYI 7th

Trade Chips

The Islanders are not working with much. They only have five draft picks this year, and only a couple of worthwhile prospects covered by other teams. Because the Islanders don’t look like they will acquire any rentals, they’ll have to part with players and prospects to receive any assets in return. Prospects Josh Ho-Sang and Mathew Barzal will garner the most attention, but it may be unwise for the Islanders to reduce their already slim prospect pipeline during a year where the Metropolitan Division is dominating the NHL.

The other major chip is Jaroslav Halak. Since being sent down to the AHL Bridgeport Sound Tigers, Halak has posted excellent stats, earning a 1.96 GAA and a .932 SV% in 17 games. The NHL goaltender market is almost non-existent—especially after the Ben Bishop trade—but there might be a GM out there willing to take a chance on a Halak resurgence.

Three Players To Watch For: G Jaroslav Halak, F Mathew Barzal, F Joshua Ho-Sang

Team Needs

The team needs top-six forwards. Losing Frans Nielsen and Kyle Okposo in the offseason has affected the Islanders and they have not been able to replace the departing players’ production. Moreover, with John Tavares an unrestricted free agent after next season, the Islanders will need to show him that they are willing to invest in the short-term future.

The Isles have been linked to Matt Duchene, but may not have the asset pool available to pull the trigger. The Tampa Bay Lightning’s Tyler Johnson might be a more suitable target, but his availability would depend on whether Tampa Bay plans to make a playoff run this season.

Who Has The Most 2017 Draft Picks?

With the NHL Trade Deadline in full swing, 2017 draft picks become key assets in acquiring players for a post-season run. The more draft picks a team has, the more it can offer in return. Moreover, draft picks that pan out early offer GMs cost-certainty by tying productive players to cheap contracts. A team cannot succeed in the NHL under the salary cap without some cheap talented prospects.

The Carolina Hurricanes leads the league in 2017 draft picks with ten, followed closely by the Philadelphia Flyers with nine. Technically Philadelphia has 10, but its 7th round pick—acquired from NJ—is conditional on either being a 2017 or 2018 pick. Given how GMs believe that teams will improve every year, this post assumes that the New Jersey Devils chooses that Philadelphia receives New Jersey’s 2018 pick instead.

On the other end of the spectrum, the Ottawa Senators has a league-least four draft picks. That may hamstring Ottawa’s ability to acquire players at the deadline because they cannot afford to lose any more picks this year. Another surprising tally is the Arizona Coyotes with six picks. The Coyotes will most likely pick up a few more before the trade deadline passes, but seven may not be enough for a lottery team with a modern analytical GM.

Teams
10  Carolina Hurricanes
9   Philadelphia Flyers
9   Chicago Blackhawks
9   Detroit Red Wings
9   New Jersey Devils
8   Buffalo Sabres
8   Edmonton Oilers
8   San Jose Sharks
8   Tampa Bay Lightning
8   Winnipeg Jets
7   Arizona Coyotes
7   Colorado Avalanche
7   Columbus Blue Jackets
7   Dallas Stars
7   Los Angeles Kings
7   Nashville Predators
7   Pittsburgh Penguins
7   Toronto Maple Leafs
6   Boston Bruins
6   Calgary Flames
6   Florida Panthers
6   Minnesota Wild
6   Montreal Canadiens
6   New York Rangers
6   St. Louis Blues
5   Anaheim Ducks
5   New York Islanders
5   Vancouver Canucks
5   Washington Capitals
4   Ottawa Senators

Injury Updates: Marner, Bozak, Penguins

Injury notes around the NHL this morning:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs forward Mitch Marner will not play tonight against the Montreal Canadiens, reports Sportsnet’s Chris Johnston. Marner suffered an upper-body injury against the Columbus Blue Jackets last week, and will miss his fifth straight game. The rookie forward skated with the team this morning as a defenseman, so media had an inkling that he would not dress tonight. Coach Mike Babcock told media—in apparent disagreement with the team’s medical staff—that Marner “looked like the best player out there to me, I don’t know why he’s not in tonight.”
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs may also be without forward Tyler Bozak tonight. The team announced that Bozak will be a game-time decision after missing the morning skate, reports the Toronto Sun’s Lance Hornby, but the team declined to specify what ails Bozak. Forward Ben Smith would replace Bozak, centering James van Riemsdyk and Connor Brown. Smith currently has 2G and 2A in 34 games for the Maple Leafs, and averaging under 12 minutes a night.
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins announced that defenseman Kris Letang will miss tonight’s Stadium Series game against the Philadelphia Flyers. Coach Mike Sullivan called Letang day-to-day. Furthermore defenseman Justin Schultz will be a game time decision. If both Schultz and Letang miss tonight’s game, newly acquired defenseman Ron Hainsey should be expected to shoulder a large load. The Penguins are already missing Olli Maatta and Trevor Daley, so Ian Cole would become the top defenseman outside Hainsey. Tonight’s game takes place at Heinz Field, home of the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Deadline Primer: Toronto Maple Leafs

With the trade deadline less than a week away, we continue to take a closer look at each team. Where do they stand, what do they need to do, and what assets do they have to fill those needs?

The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of the most interesting teams at this year’s trade deadline. Unexpectedly competing for a playoff spot and ripe with young talent, the Maple Leafs would stand to benefit in the short-term with an addition or two at the trade deadline. The team’s reliance on rookie scoring may not be sustainable in the playoffs, and most front offices would worry that the team does not have enough veteran experience to right the shift if the team suffers a playoff setback.

The Maple Leafs, however, do not have the typical front office. President Brendan Shanahan and GM Lou Lamoriello are both notoriously shrewd and notoriously tight-lipped. All season the tandem preached that the Maple Leafs will not stray from its rebuilding plan, despite experiencing success so early in the process. So while the Maple Leafs may not make a big splash at the deadline and mortgage their future, they could bring in veteran help at low cost to lead their young players through the playoffs.

Record

26-20-12, 3rd in the Atlantic Division

Deadline Status

Likely staying pat despite early rebuilding successes.

Deadline Cap Space

$4.4MM – but with up to $17.8MM using LTIR relief, 49/50 contracts per CapFriendly.

Draft Picks

2017: TOR 1st, 2 of TOR 2nd, SJ 2nd, and OTT 2nd*, TOR 4th, TOR 5th**, TOR 6th, TOR 7th
2018: TOR 1st, TOR 2nd, SJ 2nd, SJ 3rd, TOR 4th, TOR 5th, TOR 6th, ARI 6th***, TOR 7th, ANA 7th
——————
* Toronto traded away the middle pick of the three 2nd round picks it owns in 2017.
** If Columbus Blue Jackets forward Scott Harrington gets claimed through waivers, Columbus receives Toronto’s 5th round pick
*** Leafs receive this pick if the Arizona Coyotes re-signs or trades Peter Holland.

Trade Chips

Cap space is probably the biggest trade chip the Maple Leafs own. Using LTIR relief, the Maple Leafs can exceed the cap by $17.8MM. That means that they can take burdensome contracts in exchange for draft picks and prospects. The only limitation is how much ownership wants to pay buried players. Right now the Maple Leafs have $8.3MM tied up in three AHL players—Brooks Laich, Milan Michalek, and Colin Greening—and its unclear whether ownership is comfortable adding to that number.

The next potential trade chip are the Maple Leafs “B” prospects. Prospects like Nikita Soshnikov, Nikita Zaitsev, and Frank Corrado all get overshadowed by the strong play of Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, and William Nylander, but hold their own on a surprisingly deep Maple Leafs team. The Leafs have received unprecedented production from its prospects. so now might be the time to sell high on players unlikely to crack the roster logjam next year

Finally, the Maple Leafs are known for trading away depth players that take playing time away from young prospects. This year forward Ben Smith and defensemen Roman Polak and Matt Hunwick could be moved to contenders in exchange for 2nd or 3rd draft picks.

Four Players To Watch: Ben Smith, D Roman Polak, D Matt Hunwick, F Frank Corrado

Team Needs

1) Defense: Despite offering Roman Polak and Matt Hunwick to buying teams, the Maple Leafs still need to upgrade their defense. Rather than veteran minute-eaters, however, the Maple Leafs need a top-notch defender to ease the burden off of Morgan Rielly. The most obvious name available is St. Louis Blues defenseman Kevin Shattenkirk, but St. Louis’s asking price may be too high for a rental. The Maple Leafs would need Shattenkirk to agree to an extension before parting with any substantial assets.

2) Experience – The Maple Leafs started the season as the 2nd youngest team in the NHL, and potentially got younger as prospects Josh Leivo and Alexey Marchenko have stuck in the lineup. Not to say that youth is detrimental, but having experienced players in the lineup can smooth over the inevitable bumps in the road. That is why playoff-bound teams fight to acquire playoff veterans at the deadline. The Maple Leafs could benefit from a veteran insurance policy in case the surprising rookie production dries up.

Overall, it is likely that the Maple Leafs make a minor move or two at the deadline, depending on what presents itself. Toronto is in a position to trade for veteran help, almost-ready NHL prospects, and anything in between. They do not have any major assets to offload, and are not looking to make a big splash at the deadline.

Morning Snapshots: Blue Jackets, Senators, Rangers

News and notes from around the NHL this morning:

  • The Columbus Blue Jackets announced yesterday that forward Matt Calvert is week-to-week with a strained oblique muscle. Calvert hasn’t had a large impact production-wise, scoring 9G and 2A in 51 games, but is a valuable part of the team’s penalty kill and fourth line energy unit. In his stead is Finnish prospect Markus Hannikainen, who has 12G and 8A in 36 games for the AHL Cleveland Monsters. He’s appeared in 7 games for Columbus so far, scoring 1 goal in the process. This is only Hannikainen’s second season in North America, so its taken him some time to adjust from the Finnish leagues.
  • The Ottawa Senators have recalled forwards Mike Blunden and Phil Varone this morning, the team announced. The team simultaneously reassigned forwards Casey Bailey and Max McCormick. Blunden has bounced between the AHL and NHL for 10 seasons now, and currently has 12G and 10A in 47 games for the AHL Binghamton Senators. Varone—acquired from Buffalo last season—has 13G and 25A in 48 games with Binghamton, but has yet to register a point in 4 games for Ottawa. The Sens hope that his AHL production will transition to NHL points. Bailey did not impress in his two-game stint with the Senators, going pointless and averaging under 10 minutes a game. McCormick fared even worse, registering zero points and averaging less than 6 minutes in the same two games.
  • New York Rangers defenseman Kevin Klein‘s back issues are more severe than initially thought, reports New York Post’s Brett Cyrgalis. Klein originally suffered back pain while warming up before Thursday’s 2-1 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs, and pulled out of that game. He did not attend Friday’s practice, and coach Alain Vigneault now says that Klein will miss the Rangers’ back-to-back games this weekend. Klein acts as a depth defenseman for the Rangers, scoring 3G and 11A in 52 games while averaging under 18 minutes a night. With the Rangers comfortably in a playoff spot, its prudent to rest veteran players for the upcoming post-season grind.

Evening Snapshots: Callahan, Conacher, Kerdiles

News and notes from around the NHL this evening:

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning will be without Ryan Callahan indefinitely, reports Bryan Burns of TampaBayLightning.com. Callahan suffered a hip injury in January but was expected to return last week. There is now no new date for his return as Callahan gets ready for a second procedure to try and fix the issue. GM Steve Yzerman intimated that Callahan will miss the remainder of the season and some of the playoffs, should the Lightning go on a run. The veteran winger has 2G and 2A in 18 games so far. The Lightning—should they put Callahan on LTIR—would be able to exceed the cap by Callahan’s $5.8MM cap hit if they want to load up on trade deadline rentals. They are only 4 points out of a wild card spot with 22 games left to play.
  • Continuing with the Tampa Bay Lightning, the team called up forward Cory Conacher, reports Joe Smith of the Tampa Bay Times. Conacher is currently 9th overall in AHL scoring, and fresh off a two-goal performance last night with the Syracuse Crunch. So far Conacher hasn’t had a proper chance to translate his AHL success to the NHL, but has 1G and 1A in seven games with the big club. Joe Smith speculates that Conacher was recalled just in case Jonathan Drouin cannot play tonight. Lightning Insider Erik Erlendsson reported that Drouin did not practice with the team today.
  • Anaheim Ducks forward Nicolas Kerdiles is set to make his NHL debut tonight against the Boston Bruins, reports Curtis Zupke of the Los Angeles Times. The Ducks drafted Kerdiles 36th overall in 2012, but the Texas native placed in the NCAA for the next two years. He’s played only ten games with the AHL San Diego Gulls this season after suffering his second concussion, but he’s managed to record 4G and 5A those ten games. Early reports have him skating with Rickard Rakell and Corey Perry.

Evening Snapshots: Ducks, Miller, Red Wings

News and notes from around the NHL this evening:

  • The Anaheim Ducks reassigned forward Corey Tropp back down to the AHL San Diego Gulls today. The Gulls leader in both points and assists (37P and 25A) failed to make an impact in his only game with the Ducks, going pointless while playing under ten minutes last night against the Arizona Coyotes. The Ducks did not specify why Tropp was reassigned, but his AHL scoring touch should have him back up with the big club at some point in the future.
  • ESPN’s Pierre LeBrun reported (video link) that Vancouver Canucks goaltender Ryan Miller has a modified No-Trade Clause that restricts trades to all but five NHL teams. Three of those teams are the San Jose Sharks, Los Angeles Kings, and the Anaheim Ducks. It’s clear that Miller wants to stay out west, but players have been known to waive NTCs for the right situation. Miller was last traded at the deadline by the Buffalo Sabres to the St. Louis Blues in 2014 for a planned playoff run. Those plans were cut short when the Blues fell in the first round to the then-defending Stanley Cup Champions Chicago Blackhawks. Miller is an unrestricted free agent at the end of this season.
  • TSN’s Bob McKenzie reported today (video link) that interest in Detroit Red Wings defenseman Brendan Smith is heating up. McKenzie said that the Red Wings “are getting lots of calls” on the young defenseman. He noted that the interest doesn’t necessarily parley into a surefire trade. The Red Wings will have to weigh the cost of a possible extension against any trade offer. Smith becomes an unrestricted free agent after this season, and has 2G and 3A in 32 games so far. He’s a likely trade deadline candidate if the Red Wings cannot come to terms with him in the next week.

Evening Snapshots: Kings, Maple Leafs, Avalanche

News and notes from around the NHL this evening:

  • The Los Angeles Kings seem content to go with goaltender Peter Budaj during the playoff run stretch, reports LA Kings Insider Jon Rosen. Kings head coach Darryl Sutter articulated that the upcoming deadline had no effect on injured goaltender Jonathan Quick‘s recovery timeline—the organization will not start Quick earlier than planned just to see if they need to add something at the deadline. This implies that the Kings will not seek additional goaltending help. Overall, the Kings have to be satisfies with Budaj’s performance so far. He’s gone 26-19-3 with a .916 SV% and a 2.14 GAA, and a league-leading 7 shutouts. Budaj, however, has lost 5 of his last six, though peeled off five straight wins—with three shutouts—before that.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs forward Brooks Laich indicated to media today that he would like to go to a playoff contender if the Maple Leafs do not plan to use him this season. Laich has spent the entire season in the AHL with the Toronto Marlies, and has seen other forwards—Josh Leivo and Frederik Gauthier—receive callups to the big league. Part of the reason that Laich remains in the AHL is that the Leafs have been relatively injury-free this year. The organization has had little need for AHL replacements, and as a result veteran players like Laich get left behind. While one cannot blame an organization for wanting to test out its younger prospects, Laich’s feelings are sure to gather sympathy with the front office. The Maple Leafs have already traded away rarely-used forward Peter Holland, and could do the same to Brooks Laich.
  • Colorado Avalanche defenseman Nikita Zadorov is out for the remainder of the season, the team announced today. Zadorov hurt his ankle today in practice after tangling up with forward Mikko Rantanen. The 21 year-old defensive prospect has 0G and 10A for the Avalanche while averaging just over 19 minutes a night. With Colorado mired in last place—the next worst team is 12 points ahead of them—there is no reason to rush Zadorov back.

Could Corey Perry and Ryan Getzlaf Test Free Agency This Year?

On January 4th, 2017, legal professor and noted sports law scholar Nathaniel Grow wrote about a relatively obscure section of California labor law that purportedly gave Major League Baseball’s Mike Trout the ability to become a free agent in 2017 despite a contract extending until 2020. The law in question—California Labor Code § 2855—does not limit itself to baseball, and would apply to the NHL as well. The potential for players to become free agents after seven years would temporarily upend the NHL as elite franchise players hit the market years earlier than expected.

Section 2855 of the California Labor Code—more commonly known as the De Havilland Law—prevents the enforcement of an exclusive personal service contract after seven years, regardless of contract length. That means that after the seventh year of a contract, an employee may opt-out without repercussion. Personal service contracts include athletic contracts, so any California-employed NHL player with a contract longer than seven years could use the De Havilland law to enter into free agency after seven years.

Read more

Morning Snapshots: Bruins, Penguins, Leafs, Lightning

News and notes from around the NHL this morning:

  • The Boston Bruins recalled forward Peter Cehlarik from the AHL Providence Bruins this morning, reports the Providence Journal’s Mark Divver. Cehlarik was sent down during the Bruins’ bye week to get more ice time. He didn’t actually play in any games, but practiced with the team and worked on his game. The Slovak prospect has impressed in his short stint with the Bruins, recording 2 assists in his second NHL game. Cehlarik currently has 18G and 15A in 40 AHL games.
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins have reassigned forward Josh Archibald to the AHL Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins this morning, reports the Post-Gazette’s Dave Molinari. Archibald scored two goals in his season debut with the Penguins on February 11th, but followed it up the next night with no points and only 8 minutes played. The small forward returns to the AHL where he has 11G and 11A in 48 games.
  • Sportsnet’s Chris Johnston speculates that Toronto Maple Leaf forward Mitch Marner is out tonight against the Ottawa Senators. The Leafs expect prospect Nikita Soshnikov to play tonight, implying that Marner is out of the lineup. Marner suffered a shoulder injury Wednesday against the Columbus Blue Jackets, and is listed as day-to-day. Soshnikov is coming off an upper-body injury himself, and looks to make the most of his return.
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning have recalled Cory Conacher, reports the Tampa Bay Times Joe Smith. Conacher is lighting up the AHL right now, with 10G and 32A in 41 games. He’s been less productive at the NHL level, recording only 1G and 1A in 7 games. Smith speculates that the recall acts as insurance in case Lightning forward Tyler Johnson cannot play. Johnson missed the last two games with a lower-body injury.