PHR Live Chat: 9/4/24
PHR’s Josh Erickson is hosting his weekly live chat today at 2:00 pm Central. You can use this link to join the conversation and get your questions in.
Maple Leafs Sign Steven Lorentz To PTO
Sep. 4: The Maple Leafs have officially invited Lorentz to camp on a PTO, per a team announcement Wednesday.
Sep. 3: Free agent center Steven Lorentz is expected to join the Maple Leafs on a professional tryout, Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet reports.
Lorentz, 28, remains unsigned over two months into free agency after playing a depth role in the Panthers’ Stanley Cup win last June. He suited up in 16 of their 24 playoff games, scoring twice and adding an assist while averaging a meager 7:07 per game.
The Ontario native played a more limited role in the regular season when he was a frequent healthy scratch. The depth pivot saw some spot duty on the penalty kill and had only one goal and two assists in 38 games.
It was Lorentz’s first and only season in Florida. The Panthers acquired him from the Sharks in a trade last summer that sent scoring winger Anthony Duclair to the Bay Area. He’s coming off a two-year, $2.1MM deal he signed with San Jose in 2022 after being acquired from the Hurricanes in the Brent Burns trade, potentially making Toronto his fourth team in the past four years.
The 6’4″, 205-lb forward will look to prove valuable in a depth role for the Leafs during training camp in hopes of a deal, likely a league-minimum one with a one-way structure. He hasn’t been assigned to the minors since before the COVID-19 pandemic, suiting up with Carolina’s AHL affiliate (then in Charlotte) from 2017 to 2020.
The Leafs aren’t teeming with salary cap space, but they have room for a potential league-minimum pickup like Lorentz. They have $1.275MM in projected space with two open roster spots, per PuckPedia.
In 230 NHL games over the past four seasons, Lorentz has 21 goals, 22 assists, 43 points, and a -26 rating, averaging 10:47 per game. He can play both center and left-wing and has posted a respectable 48.7% win rate in the dot through nearly 1,100 faceoffs.
Lorentz will compete with more veteran depth pieces like Alex Steeves and prospects like Easton Cowan and Fraser Minten for a spot on Toronto’s opening night roster.
Blackhawks Notes: Nazar, Levshunov, Hall
Blackhawks forward prospect Frank Nazar knows what he needs to do in training camp to lock down a roster spot and keep it through his rookie season. The 20-year-old spoke recently to Scott Powers of The Athletic, who detailed the 2022 first-round pick’s chances of sticking with the big club in his first professional season.
“Definitely just the pace of the play, being able to keep up with all those guys for 82 games a year and not just the last three and then just being able to make plays really quickly under pressure and be able to get good at those things, and I think I’d be in a good spot,” Nazar said. “That’s how it’s been my whole life is earning where I got, and it’s just another time where I got to earn my spot on a team and show guys I deserve to be there and just put in all that work, and I know everything’s going to work out.”
The diminutive Detroit-born forward was a force for the University of Michigan last season, recording 41 points in 41 games after an injury limited him to 13 appearances in his freshman campaign. Checking in at 5’9″ and 174 lbs, Nazar recorded eight points in seven games to help guide the USA to a gold medal at this year’s World Junior Championship. He scored a goal in three appearances with the Blackhawks to end last season after his campaign at Michigan drew to a close.
There’s more from Chicagoland:
- The consensus opinion is that 2024 second-overall pick Artyom Levshunov will likely start this season with the AHL’s Rockford IceHogs. NHL.com’s Dan Rosen concurred with that sentiment in a mailbag article today but thinks the Blackhawks will at least leave the door open for Levshunov to land a nine-game trial with an exceptionally strong training camp. There’s no reason to rush Levshunov into NHL minutes after just one collegiate season at Michigan State, especially after the team added T.J. Brodie and Alec Martinez to its blue line in free agency.
- Rosen also lists winger Taylor Hall as one of the top bounce-back candidates to watch this season. The trade acquisition from the Bruins had just four points in 10 games last season before an ACL tear ended his season. But unlike last year, when he was virtually guaranteed playing time alongside rookie phenom Connor Bedard, he’ll now have to fight UFA signings Tyler Bertuzzi and Teuvo Teräväinen for top-line minutes.
Canucks Considering Antti Raanta On PTO
The Canucks are keeping an eye on free agent netminder Antti Raanta for a potential professional tryout agreement, Iain MacIntyre of Sportsnet reported yesterday.
Vancouver has been a name to watch on the goalie market in recent weeks after a report from CHEK’s Rick Dhaliwal indicated that Thatcher Demko‘s knee injury sustained during last season’s playoffs was healing slower than hoped. Dhaliwal said yesterday that Demko has at least returned to skating, which is undoubtedly a positive sign of his potential availability for opening night.
The Canucks won’t be out of the woods until they know for sure, though, and their options behind Demko between the pipes are minimal. They’re expected to let 23-year-old Latvian Arturs Silovs be the full-time backup this season after he went 5-5 in 10 postseason games to relieve the injured Demko and veteran Casey DeSmith. However, he only has nine games of NHL experience. 25-year-old Jiří Patera, signed to be their third-string netminder earlier this summer, has eight.
Unsurprisingly, that lack of experience has led the Canucks to explore veteran options to help fill the gap, especially during training camp when Demko is unlikely to be fully cleared. They’ve already been linked to Kevin Lankinen, the top name left on the UFA market, but details are scarce on whether they’re considering offering him a PTO or a guaranteed deal.
Raanta, 35, is almost certainly a Plan B if Lankinen doesn’t pan out. Once a premier tandem option, the Finn fell off the map entirely last season after struggling to a .872 SV% in 24 games behind a stout Hurricanes defense. He ended up on waivers in March, went unclaimed, and became a UFA this summer after completing the one-year, $1.5MM deal he signed to stay in Carolina last summer.
Raanta is also a high-risk pickup due to his significant injury history. He hasn’t made more than 30 appearances in a season since 2019-20 despite his play warranting it multiple times, and he’s only been healthy enough to start most of his team’s games once in his 11-year career.
Dominik Kubalík Signs In Switzerland
Unrestricted free agent winger Dominik Kubalík has agreed to join HC Ambrì-Piotta of the Swiss National League for this season, according to a team announcement. Should he land a deal stateside before Dec. 15, his contract has an NHL opt-out clause.
Kubalík, 29, played for Ambrì-Piotta for two seasons before coming to the NHL. He recorded 89 points in 78 games there across the 2017-18 and 2018-19 campaigns, playing a pivotal role in helping them avoid relegation to the second-tier Swiss League in 2018. The following season, he was named the National League’s MVP and led the circuit in scoring before landing an NHL deal the following summer.
Kubalík heads overseas following an incredibly disappointing 2023-24 season with the Senators. After four consecutive seasons of 30-plus points with the Blackhawks and Red Wings, he produced just 11 goals and four assists for 15 points in 74 games in Ottawa while averaging a career-low 12:07 per game with a -30 rating, tied with Jakob Chychrun for the worst on the team.
The Kings selected Kubalík with the 191st pick in 2013 and sent his rights to the Blackhawks nearly six years later, never signing him to an entry-level contract. He joined Chicago for the 2019-20 season, breaking out for 30 goals and 46 points in 68 games and finishing third in Calder Trophy voting.
After two more years of decent middle-six production in the Windy City, he signed a two-year, $5MM deal in Detroit as a UFA in 2022 after going non-tendered by the Hawks. He posted 20 goals and 45 points in 81 games for the Wings in 2022-23, his best production since his rookie season, but he was traded to the Sens last summer in the Alex DeBrincat deal.
For now, Kubalík hits pause on his NHL career after making 357 appearances with three teams, averaging 21 goals, 19 assists and 40 points per 82 games. He’s also coming off a strong showing at the 2024 World Championship, where he had five goals and three assists in 10 games for Czechia as he won his first gold medal on the international stage.
Canadiens Notes: Caufield, Hutson, Laine
Cole Caufield played with Johnny Gaudreau for the USA at this year’s World Championship. That’s just part of the reason that the star Canadiens winger is changing his jersey from No. 22 to No. 13 to honor him following his death last week, he said in a touching message on his personal Instagram account Tuesday night.
“Getting to play with your hero is something that most people only dream of,” Caufield said. “I was lucky enough to be Johnny’s teammate this past summer and it didn’t take long to realize how great of a person he was. He was the most welcoming, genuine, and funniest guy I have ever met. He was someone everyone gravitated towards and I took every chance I could to be around him. Not only was he an amazing hockey player and teammate, but he was down to earth and truly cared about every person he encountered.”
“I wore #13 at a point in my career because of Johnny and now I will be wearing it again to honor him,” he continued. “He paved the way for smaller players and proved we had a future in this game at the highest level. I will forever be grateful to him for inspiring me and others.” Caufield wore No. 13 while in the U.S. National Development Team Program from 2017 to 2019.
Here’s more on the Canadiens:
- Watch for Lane Hutson to break through the Canadiens’ logjam of young defensemen during training camp, opines NHL.com’s Dan Rosen. The diminutive 20-year-old is a dark horse to make the opening night roster if he can “prove his size won’t be a detriment” when given a long look with the team’s veterans later this month, Rosen writes. Hutson turned pro at the tail end of last season after playing a starring role on Boston University’s blue line for two years, recording two assists in his first two NHL games – both against the Red Wings in April – while averaging nearly 23 minutes per night.
- New Canadiens winger Patrik Laine is also among Rosen’s top candidates for a rebound campaign this year after being significantly affected by injuries in 2023-24, he wrote in the same mailbag. He shares the opinion many others, including Montreal’s front office, has – that the 2016 second-overall pick can return to being a 40-goal threat if given the runway and health. The latter has seemingly been a bit of a curse for the Habs over the past few years, though. They lost nearly 400 man games to injury last season and lost a league-leading 600 in 2022-23, per NHL Injury Viz.
Leon Draisaitl Signs Eight-Year Extension With Oilers
1:09 p.m.: A whopping $104MM of Draisaitl’s $112MM total compensation will be paid via signing bonuses, PuckPedia reports. His base salary will be $1MM per season. He’ll earn $15.5MM in signing bonuses annually from 2025-26 through 2027-28. That figure drops to $13MM in 2028-29, then $11.5MM in 2029-30, then $11MM annually for the final three years of the deal.
9:16 a.m.: Superstar Oilers center Leon Draisaitl has signed an eight-year, $112MM extension to keep him in Edmonton through the 2032-33 season, the team announced. He’s now the NHL’s highest-paid player with an average annual value of $14MM, as initially reported by Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman.
Draisaitl has a full no-movement clause for the life of the contract, per Pierre LeBrun of TSN and The Athletic. He adds the deal carries a front-loaded structure, although the specific salary breakdown has yet to be reported.
The 28-year-old Draisaitl also lands the second-largest contract by total value in NHL history, trailing only Alex Ovechkin‘s 13-year, $124MM deal with the Capitals signed under the previous Collective Bargaining Agreement in 2008.
“This is a historic day for the Edmonton Oilers,” general manager Stan Bowman said in a team press release. “Leon’s commitment to our team, our city and Oilers fans everywhere cannot be overstated. His desire to help bring a Stanley Cup title home to Edmonton is central to everything he does both on and off the ice.”
While it was widely expected Draisaitl would sign a max-term extension to stay in Edmonton, few thought he’d be the first player to land a $14MM AAV. There was no guarantee he’d eclipse Auston Matthews‘ $13.25MM AAV to become the new highest-paid player in the league, let alone shatter it. However, since Bowman took the GM’s office in July, extension discussions have been reportedly smooth, which, in hindsight, should have been a strong indication that the Oilers were willing to shell out record-breaking cash to keep the German star in Edmonton.
Unlike his other generational teammate, Connor McDavid, Draisaitl wasn’t an impact piece immediately upon arriving in the NHL. The 2014 third-overall pick had just two goals and nine points in 37 games during his post-draft year. He developed into a high-end top-six piece over the coming years, routinely hitting over 20 goals and 70 points, but hadn’t quite captured the aura of a superstar.
That all changed in 2018-19. While the Oilers missed the playoffs for the 12th time in 13 years, it was a proper breakout campaign for Draisaitl, who led the team in goals (50) and finished second behind McDavid in points with 105. Since that season, Edmonton has made the playoffs every year, and Draisaitl has recorded or been on pace for over 100 points in an 82-game year. A two-time year-end All-Star, Draisaitl also took home the Art Ross, Hart, and Pearson awards/trophies during the 2019-20 season after leading the league with 67 assists and 110 points in 71 games.
The Cologne-born pivot is also one of the most prolific playoff performers in league history. His 108 points in 74 postseason games work out to 1.46 P/GP, which is fourth all-time among players with at least 50 games of playoff experience. Only Wayne Gretzky (1.84), Mario Lemieux (1.61), and McDavid (1.58) have produced more on a nightly basis when the games matter most. It’s especially impressive when considering Draisaitl has played through injuries for a good chunk of the past three postseasons.
For the rest of the league, they now have certainty that the best available potential 2025 unrestricted free agent won’t hit the open market. There’s a chance he could have landed even more money per season with the salary cap expected to rise to at least $92MM for 2025-26, but the total value likely would have been smaller with a seven-year maximum.
Even after declining to match the rich offer sheets levied by the Blues for Philip Broberg and Dylan Holloway last month, Bowman and the Oilers now find themselves in a seriously precarious salary cap situation for 2025-26. They already have a projected cap hit of $77.4MM, per PuckPedia, leaving them $14.6MM to re-sign pending RFA defenseman Evan Bouchard and fill at least three other roster spots (assuming a $92MM upper limit). 38.9% of next season’s spending is already dedicated solely to Draisaitl, McDavid, and Darnell Nurse.
As such, the Oilers’ directive to win a championship in the Draisaitl/McDavid era is clearer than it’s ever been in 2024-25. After falling one game short of their first Stanley Cup in over 30 years a few months ago, they’ll need to retrace their steps and find their way back to the Cup Final.
They’ll be able to score their way there after reloading offensively by adding names like Viktor Arvidsson and Jeff Skinner in free agency. However, question marks will remain on defense outside of their star pairing of Bouchard and Mattias Ekholm. There isn’t a ton of stability behind them, and while trade acquisition Ty Emberson should be a cost-effective replacement for Cody Ceci, declining play from Nurse is a significant concern.
Draisaitl will play out 2023-24 under his previous contract, earning $8MM in actual salary in the final season of the eight-year, $68MM deal he signed coming off his entry-level contract in 2017.
Image courtesy of USA Today Sports.
Brad Marchand Underwent Multiple Offseason Surgeries, Expected To Be Ready For Season
Bruins captain Brad Marchand underwent a trio of surgeries this summer, he told reporters at an informal skate Tuesday (via Ty Anderson of 98.5 The Sports Hub). The winger may be slightly limited to start training camp later this month but expects to be ready for opening night, per Scott McLaughlin of WEEI.
The first procedure Marchand had done was to repair a torn tendon in his elbow that plagued him for the entirety of the 2023-24 campaign, he said. He also underwent abdominal and groin surgeries to repair injuries he sustained late in the regular season.
Those injuries barely cost Marchand any playing time. For the second time in his career, he played in all 82 regular-season games, but he missed two playoff games with what the team called an upper-body injury. That one was presumably addressed with abdominal surgery.
Marchand slowed offensively in 2023-24, but whether that was because of his injuries or age remains to be seen. The 15-year veteran is entering his age-36 season and posted 67 points (0.82 per game) last year, his lowest per-game rate since 2015-16. He still managed to finish second on the team in scoring behind David Pastrňák and helped lead the Bruins to their first playoff series win since 2021 in his first season as captain following Patrice Bergeron‘s retirement.
He’ll reprise his top-six role this season, but likely not on a line with Pastrňák with free-agent signing Elias Lindholm down the middle. Marchand said he expects to start the year back on the team’s second line, centered by Charlie Coyle (via Conor Ryan of The Boston Globe).
It’s an important campaign for Marchand as he kicks off the final year of the eight-year, $49MM extension he signed back in 2016. General manager Don Sweeney said in May that signing Marchand to an extension was one of his top priorities this summer, but it hasn’t happened yet.
Flames Listening To Offers For Rasmus Andersson, Nazem Kadri, MacKenzie Weegar
After selling off a good chunk of their core over the last 12 months, the Flames are still fully in retool mode. General manager Craig Conroy continues to listen to trade inquiries regarding defensemen Rasmus Andersson and MacKenzie Weegar, as well as center Nazem Kadri, David Pagnotta of The Fourth Period reports.
Calgary has been exploring the market for Kadri as far back as June, Pagnotta said. They’ve been less aggressive regarding Andersson and Weegar. Julian McKenzie of The Athletic said last month that it would take a huge offer to pry Andersson away from the Flames, and there haven’t been many recent trade winds blowing in Weegar’s direction until now.
All three have control over their destinies to some degree. Kadri has a full no-movement clause through 2026, Weegar has a full no-trade clause, while Andersson has the most negligible influence with a six-team no-trade list.
Andersson could have the highest trade value if Conroy wants to kickstart a complete teardown in Calgary. The right-shot defenseman is entirely in his prime, turns 28 in October, and has two seasons left on his contract at a highly affordable $4.55MM cap hit. The Swede has put up 138 points in 239 games over the past three seasons, a 47-point pace over 82 games. After beginning his career in a bottom-pairing role, he’s routinely shouldered over 22 minutes per game in recent years with decent possession metrics.
Kadri’s contract could be a bit of an albatross in trade talks. He has five years left on the seven-year, $49MM pact he signed in Calgary in free agency in 2022, and few teams for which a Kadri pickup makes sense can stomach an incoming $7MM cap hit.
But if he can keep up last season’s pace, he’s worth the price of admission. While it was clear his 87-point platform campaign with the Avalanche in 2021-22 would be a one-hit wonder given his long history as a middle-of-the-lineup talent, he’s still produced above his previous career averages since joining the Flames. Last season was a strong one for Kadri, who led Calgary in scoring by a significant margin with 75 points in 82 games. He’s also displayed durability as he enters his mid-30s, playing in all 164 regular-season contests over the past two years.
He would be willing to waive his NMC “for the right environment,” Pagnotta said, which would likely be a return to the Eastern Conference. Kadri spent the first 10 years of his NHL career with the Maple Leafs before they traded him to Colorado in 2019.
Weegar is the best player of the three and sits as Calgary’s undisputed No. 1 defenseman after exploding for a career-high 20 goals and 52 points last season. Despite that production and continued team-best possession metrics, he’s flown under the radar after receiving outside Norris Trophy consideration during some lesser offensive performance while with the Panthers a few years back.
He has six more years left on his deal at a $6.25MM cap hit, a strong value proposition for a bonafide top-pairing defender. While a right shot, he can also play the left side comfortably. He’s also incredibly involved physically – his 194 hits were second on the Flames last year behind Martin Pospisil‘s 238. The Blues had some outside interest in Weegar around the draft, Pagnotta said, but a trade was never close.
Torey Krug To Undergo Ankle Surgery, Out For Season
Blues defenseman Torey Krug will undergo surgery to address pre-arthritic changes in his left ankle and will miss the entire 2024-25 season, general manager Doug Armstrong announced today. The team’s press release didn’t say when Krug will have the surgery performed.
It’s not an unexpected development. The team said season-ending surgery was a possibility in July when they announced that team doctors had detected pre-arthritic conditions in his ankle.
At the time, the team said Krug would “work to rehabilitate the injury through non-surgical interventions over the course of the next six to eight weeks” before determining whether surgery would be necessary. With those interventions failing, the 33-year-old will sit out the campaign.
Krug’s left ankle injury is a “cumulative result of a bone fracture suffered earlier in his playing career,” the Blues said earlier this summer. They didn’t state specifics, but it’s most likely the left ankle fracture he sustained in the second round of the 2018 playoffs while with the Bruins. It cost him the final game of their series loss against the Lightning, and he also missed the first 11 games of the 2018-19 season while recovering from the fracture.
The defender is now over halfway through the seven-year, $45.5MM contract he signed in St. Louis as an unrestricted free agent in 2020. He has three seasons remaining on the deal, which carries a $6.5MM cap hit.
While not a stark overpayment, especially as the salary cap begins to rise, Krug hasn’t met expectations with the Blues. Injuries are nothing new for the defender, who’s never played a full 82 games in a season, and he’s missed at least five games in all of his four seasons in St. Louis thus far. Last year’s 77 appearances were his most in seven years.
Krug was signed mainly to fill the void left on the St. Louis blue line by former captain Alex Pietrangelo, who left for the Golden Knights in free agency in 2020 just one year after leading the Blues to their first Stanley Cup in franchise history. At no point in his career has Krug been the all-around defender that Pietrangelo was, though, and that’s been reflected in his subpar possession numbers since heading west to Missouri.
In 255 games as a Blue, Krug has 22 goals, 124 assists and 146 points with a -23 rating while averaging 20:54 per game, slightly more usage than he saw during his nine years in Boston. With him on the ice at even strength, the Blues have controlled 49.0% of shot attempts and 47.7% of expected goals, per Hockey Reference.
Krug was only the Blues’ third most-used defenseman last season. His 21:58 average time on ice checked in behind Colton Parayko (23:52) and Nick Leddy (22:22).
Fresh offer-sheet acquisition Philip Broberg will likely get the first chance to replace the majority of Krug’s minutes. The 2019 eighth-overall pick by the Oilers, who the Blues signed to a two-year, $9.16MM contract last month that Edmonton declined to match, had 38 points in 49 games with the AHL’s Bakersfield Condors last season.
The skilled puck-mover has only seen limited NHL minutes in Edmonton, and thrusting him into top-four minutes out of the gate is a significant gamble for a Blues team with playoff aspirations. But doing so would make his pricey $4.58MM cap hit much more palatable.
They also have a solid backup option for Broberg in 26-year-old Scott Perunovich, whose development has been delayed by a series of significant injuries. Nonetheless, he’s still got a fair bit of offensive upside and had 17 assists in 54 contests for the Blues last year while averaging just 15:16 per game.
Cap-wise, the Blues will have ample flexibility this season with the option to place Krug on long-term injured reserve at any time. They have over $2MM in projected cap space with an open roster spot though, per PuckPedia, so that won’t be necessary to begin the season. They’ll keep him on standard injured reserve for as long as possible to accumulate cap space throughout the season.
Image courtesy of USA Today Sports.