The offseason has arrived with the draft now complete and free agency fast approaching. Accordingly, it’s time to look at what each team needs to accomplish this summer. We wrap up our series with a look at the Stanley Cup-winning Panthers.
Late in the regular season, things weren’t looking great for Florida. The team was banged up and underachieving, slipping to third in the Atlantic Division, finishing just one point ahead of Ottawa who occupied the first Wild Card spot in the East. However, they once again showed that they were a team built for the playoffs, taking care of business to win the Cup for the second straight year. Now, GM Bill Zito has some work to do in the coming days to keep his team intact as much as possible.
Bridge For Samoskevich
While Florida has several pending unrestricted free agents (that we’ll look at in more detail shortly), they have one restricted free agent of some significance in winger Mackie Samoskevich. The 22-year-old is coming off his first full NHL season and needs a new contract although he qualifies as a 10.2 (c) player and is therefore not eligible for an offer sheet. That helps take the pressure off as there won’t be an inflationary offer coming in that could mess up the rest of their plans.
The 22-year-old played in 72 games with the Panthers this season, notching a solid 15 goals and 16 assists despite only averaging 13:19 per game. However, he was used only sparingly in the playoffs, dressing for just four outings, only one of those coming after the first round. With just seven other regular season games to his name from 2023-24, this is a profile that screams bridge contract.
If the Panthers want to leave as much flexibility as possible for next season, a one-year deal might only check in around the $1.25MM range. Alternatively, a two-year pact would likely push the AAV closer to $1.5MM per season. With no true pressure points, this is a case that could drag on a bit but there’s value in getting something done sooner rather than later so they know how much they have to spend on their core free agents.
Keep Key Free Agents
One of Florida’s ‘big three’ potential unrestricted free agents is off the market with the team announcing on Friday that center and Conn Smythe Trophy winner Sam Bennett had signed an eight-year, $64MM contract to remain with the Panthers. That leaves them with $11MM in cap space, per PuckPedia, and two key players to try to keep, defenseman Aaron Ekblad and winger Brad Marchand.
Ekblad has been a fixture on the back end for the Panthers since they made him the first overall selection back in 2014. He has been a full-time NHL player ever since and ranks second to only Aleksander Barkov for games played in franchise history. Between missing a few games due to injury and a 20-game late-season suspension for a violation of the NHL/NHLPA Performance Enhancing Substances Program, Ekblad is coming off a quieter year by his standards but he still had 33 points in 56 games while logging 23:31 per night of ice time. He’s still capable of playing on the top pairing and being an all-situations player for several more years. But with a lot of mileage already, is Florida willing to give him a max-term deal? Meanwhile, Ekblad appears to be in a position to command something around the $7.5MM he made on his expiring eight-year contract as the top right-shot option on a market largely bereft of impactful players on that side which gives him a lot of leverage in talks.
As for Marchand, this was not a situation that either side would be in. When he was acquired at the trade deadline, the expectation was that he’d be a good secondary contributor and then probably move on. But Marchand wound up being an instrumental part of their Cup run, chipping in with 10 goals and 10 assists in 23 games despite primarily playing in Florida’s third line. Coming off a 51-point regular season, his stock is now quite high as well to the point where a raise on the $6.125MM he made on his set-to-expire contract is now doable, something that seemed very unlikely just a few months ago.
Zito has made it clear he wants to keep both of these players but the math simply doesn’t work. One is an option but if they want to keep Ekblad and Marchand in the fold, they’re going to have to get creative and also move a player or two out. Less than 72 hours away from the start of free agency, he’ll have to move fast.
Goalie Work
There’s work to do on a few fronts between the pipes for Florida this summer. None of them necessarily qualify as significantly pressing but will require action at some point.
The first involves starting extension talks with Sergei Bobrovsky. When Florida dealt Spencer Knight in the Seth Jones deal (leading some to believe Jones would replace Ekblad on the back end long-term), their in-house replacement for Bobrovsky went away. Now, instead of potentially handing him the crease in 2026-27, working out a new deal for the 36-year-old seems like the route they’re going to try to take as a short-term solution. It’s fair to say that the price tag won’t come close to the $10MM he’s making now but a two-year pact around the $6MM or so range would buy Zito a little more time to find a longer-term replacement. The sooner they get that deal secured, the more confidence they can have about taking on money for 2026-27. But it’s not necessarily something that has to be done over the next few months.
Florida got ahead of what was the next item on this list when they acquired goaltender Daniil Tarasov from Columbus earlier this week. It’s expected he’ll take the place of Vitek Vanecek, who was acquired at the deadline to take Knight’s vacated spot, as Bobrovsky’s backup next season. Now, they need to get him under contract. He’s owed a qualifying offer of $1.26MM but the offer also carries arbitration rights, something they’d likely prefer to avoid. With that in mind, it’s likely that they’d like to get something done soon or close enough where they could non-tender him and then sign him after that, a strategy that teams have started to employ more often in recent years.
The other thing they need to do is land a veteran third-stringer. That was Chris Driedger’s role for most of the year before he was traded for Kaapo Kahkonen who played a big role in AHL Charlotte getting to the Calder Cup Finals. They have prospect Cooper Black signed for one more year and he did quite well with the Checkers, albeit in limited action. They’ll likely want to give him more action next season so a veteran who can split starts and also be called up to be the backup in a pinch in the NHL is the type of player they’ll likely want. There will be several of those available so they’ll just have to ensure that they’re able to get a deal done with one of them.
Add Defensive Depth
At the moment, the Panthers only have five NHL blueliners under contract for next season. One of those is Uvis Balinskis who was largely a regular during the regular season but was a healthy scratch 18 times in the playoffs. Ekblad returning would make a big difference and shift the focus toward adding some injury insurance and depth above all else.
Nate Schmidt was one of the players signed last year to serve that depth role and he fared quite well to the point where he’ll either have to take a below-market deal to remain with the Panthers or move on. At this point, the goal should be to try to find someone who can fill that type of role on the third pairing (16-17 minutes a night) for around that price tag to, again, maximize their spending room on their top players. An extra one of those players would also be handy in an ideal world.
Internally, Tobias Bjornfot is someone who has been a depth defender but as a pending RFA with arbitration rights and 134 career NHL games, he’s a non-tender candidate to avoid any risk of a higher-than-desired award. He’s the only reserve list defender with some NHL experience although Mike Benning has shown some promise and could be in the mix for a recall at some point. With that in mind, a veteran defender who could start with the Checkers and be injury insurance would also be useful.
Photo courtesy of Timothy T. Ludwig-Imagn Images.
There are a lot of idiot Panther fans who don’t know hockey and think it’s cool to disparage Ekblad. He’s had some injury issues, but he’s really good as seen throughout the playoffs. The math just won’t work to re-sign Ekblad and Marchand unless they both take deals like Tavares did. I think Nosek also needs a new contract.
It’s the beginning of the end for the Panthers, In a salary cap NHL, Ironically the worst thing a team can do, Is win.
Not really, their core players are 29ish in their primes for another 5 years, and will get some cap flexibility next year.
Go ahead, Put all your money on Florida for next season. Lol.
Florida can lose pretty much anyone and come back even stronger. They’ve lost Weegar, Huberdeau, Montour without ill effects and all of them have been key players.
Unlike other Cup winners, they are not burdened by big contracts. They still don’t have anyone making more than 10m! Compare that to Edmonton or Toronto.
Add to that the fact that players tend to perform better with Florida than elsewhere and you will see that they can win more cups before their window finally closes.
Their key player is Bob. As long as he does well in the playoffs, they are the favorites to win again.
One option that would allow them to keep all of the big 3 UFA’s is for one of them to take a cheaper one year deal and then sign an extension in January. The cap going way up in 2026 will allow them plenty of room fit all 3 players.