Guerin: Wild Will Be Cautious With Kirill Kaprizov’s Return

The Wild have been without superstar winger Kirill Kaprizov since the holiday break with a lower-body issue. It’s caused him to miss four games and will hold him out for at least one more, although general manager Bill Guerin says they’ll keep him sidelined for as long as the team needs to in order to allow him to fully recover.

“The thing is that we don’t want him to come back and push through,” Guerin told Michael Russo of The Athletic on Thursday. “He could, but it could make something worse.”

As Guerin relayed, the Wild have already been burned once this season by a player returning too soon into their recovery from a groin problem – which Kaprizov is speculated to have, but Guerin wouldn’t confirm. Depth winger Jakub Lauko sustained a groin injury against the Jets on Nov. 25 and returned to the lineup after missing six games, but reaggravated the muscle issue less than a week later and remains on injured reserve without a return date on the horizon.

“We need [Kaprizov] for the long haul,” Guerin continued. “We don’t just need him for a couple games in January. We need him to get healthy and feel better, so we’re trying to do the right thing and just look at it from the long point of view.”

Before his injury, Kaprizov was tracking to finish in the top 10 in Hart Trophy voting for the second time in his career. The dynamic-as-ever 27-year-old remains fifth in the league with 1.47 points per game after notching 23 goals and 27 assists for 50 points through 34 games.

Twenty of those 23 goals have come at even strength, still tied with the Oilers’ Leon Draisaitl for the league lead. His +21 rating is also still second among forwards behind the Golden Knights’ Jack Eichel (+23) despite his absence.

The Wild have gone 3-1-0 in their star scorer’s absence, including an impressive 4-3 road shootout win over the Eastern Conference-leading Capitals last night. Any points they can compile in the short term with Kaprizov and top-four defensemen Jacob Middleton and Jared Spurgeon out of the lineup are crucial to their chances of holding onto the top-three placing in the Central Division that they’ve held for most of the year.

With all the injury-related drama surrounding Minnesota recently, they’re still in quite a good place in the standings. Their 52 points and .667 points percentage are both third in the Western Conference and second in the Central. Dom Luszczyszyn of The Athletic’s projection model still projects them to finish with 105 points, narrowly edging out the Avalanche and Stars to hold onto second place in the division, even factoring in the expected length of their injured players’ absences.

A good portion of Minnesota’s success in the interim must be awarded to the resurgent play of netminder Filip Gustavsson, whose .924 SV% ranks third in the league among qualified netminders after a trying 2023-24 season. That includes a .937 mark in his three starts since the holiday break.

He’ll need to keep that up with the Wild’s offense clicking at a middling 2.95 goals per game, which is only good enough for 20th in the league despite Kaprizov only missing 12.8% of their schedule thus far. Marco Rossi has been Minnesota’s top scorer since the break in Kaprizov’s absence, notching three goals and a pair of assists in his four outings.