Capitals, Predators Undecided On Deadline Strategy

Both the Capitals and Predators remain within striking distance of a playoff spot two weeks away from the trade deadline. However, the pair of former and current Barry Trotz-staffed teams aren’t exactly underperforming their already mediocre expectations. As such, stretches of inconsistent play for both teams have them undecided on whether to sell off their pending UFAs, Pierre LeBrun reports for The Athletic on Friday.

The Capitals and Predators are ninth in their respective conferences and have no teams to leapfrog to get into the last Wild Card spot. Nashville has a greater chance of making it in – they’re tied with the eighth-place Blues at 62 points but have played one more game than their Central Division rivals. Washington is five points behind the Lightning and has three games in hand, still giving them a decent shot to make up ground over the next two weeks despite a -30 goal differential that ranks seventh in the Metropolitan Division.

As LeBrun reports, it’ll be a waiting game for each front office as they hold off for as long as possible before deciding whether or not to acquire assets or make a run for the postseason. Two of the Capitals’ next four games are against key divisional and Wild Card rivals in Detroit and Philadelphia – a pair of wins there, plus a victory over the division-worst Senators, put them in a favorable position to make it a battle down the stretch for captain Alex Ovechkin to make his return to playoff hockey.

Nashville’s next three games all come against bottom-feeder teams before an all-too-important clash with the Wild, another Wild Card challenger, to close out the month. The Blues have a much more difficult schedule to close out February, facing three teams in playoff position in Detroit, Winnipeg and Edmonton – all on the road.

Joel Edmundson, Anthony Mantha and Max Pacioretty would be the primary trade targets from Washington, and LeBrun reports GM Brian MacLellan is willing to retain salary if they opt to sell. All three of their retention slots are open. Edmundson, in particular, would be a doable add for any contender – the Capitals already have him at half his original cap hit after a retained salary trade from the Canadiens. They could further slash his cap hit to $875K if they retain half in a second deal. He has a 10-team no-trade clause as part of his deal, however.

Pacioretty fully controls his destiny with a no-movement clause. However, at age 35 and coming off back-to-back Achilles tendon injuries, he’d likely want a chance at a Stanley Cup elsewhere if Washington decides to sell. The six-time 30-goal scorer has just one marker in 20 games this season.

The 29-year-old Mantha is having somewhat of a resurgence under first-year head coach Spencer Carbery with 18 goals in 51 games, his highest goal total since back-to-back 20-goal campaigns with the Red Wings five years ago. The Capitals can reduce his cap hit as low as $2.85MM without involving a third party.

Nashville’s pending UFAs carry a little less prestige and trade value – even once-renowned power-play quarterback Tyson Barrie has been a healthy scratch at times this season and is having his worst offensive campaign in over a decade. 26-year-old center Thomas Novak is an interesting proposition for contenders if he becomes available, especially in a thin market at just $800K against the cap. He has 29 points in 46 games this season, tied for fifth on the team while averaging 14:19 per game.

The shiny object in Trotz’s arsenal is starting netminder Juuse Saros. While he carries term on his deal, his name has been popping up in trade talks more frequently, and it’ll only appear more if Nashville falters and enters sell mode.

Unlike Washington, the Predators don’t have the ability to retain the salary of multiple players. Two of their three slots are taken up by Mattias Ekholm and Ryan Johansen, each through at least 2025. They’re also carrying significant dead cap in the form of the buyouts of Matt Duchene and Kyle Turris through 2028.