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Shane Wright Not A Lock To Go First Overall To Montreal

May 28, 2022 at 8:47 am CDT | by Zach Leach 20 Comments

As soon as the Montreal Canadiens emerged victorious from the 2022 NHL Draft Lottery, many were quick to crown center Shane Wright as the next Habs star – but is the first overall pick truly a foregone conclusion? Wright is the consensus top player in the draft, but is not quite the homerun prospect that leads some draft classes. The Athletic’s Corey Pronman and Max Bultman sat down with Montreal beat writers Arpon Basu and Marc Antoine Godin on The Athletic Hockey Show and the group did not reach the same consensus that Wright will absolutely be selected first overall. Of course, Wright is certainly the favorite; the Kingston Frontenacs captain does everything well and plays a mature, two-way, team-first game that is always attractive in a young player. Wright recorded 94 points in 63 games in the OHL this season even after not playing last season during the league’s closure. Wright’s development and ability are not in question and, though every team wants a franchise center, Montreal does have an immediate need of a top-six center and Wright could be ready to go. With all that being said, the group discussed that Wright did not exactly shatter scoring expectations this season and his inconsistent effort at times has drawn criticism. It begs the question that if Wright is not an elite offense talent and doesn’t possess an elite work ethic, is there more upside elsewhere on the board?

Another center option could be USNTDP standout Logan Cooley, and while he won’t play in the NHL next season as he heads to the University of Minnesota, there is also some belief that Wright could also return to junior next year due to his lost season in 2020-21. Cooley is also a two-way pivot with a well-rounded game and a minority of pundits feel he does have more offensive potential than Wright. The group also mentioned that a future top-pair defenseman is a need for the Canadiens and Simon Nemec or David Jiricek could meet that description. However, neither appears to be in the mix for first overall and the Habs are almost certainly not going to trade down from No. 1 in a draft hosted in Montreal. As such, the group lands on upstart winger Juraj Slafkovsky as the most likely alternative to Wright as the Canadiens’ top choice. Though wingers are largely considered to be less valuable than centers, Slafkovsky’s draft stock has skyrocketed this season to a point where it would not be as great a shock to see him surpass Wright. The big Slovakian forward is arguably the more dynamic offensive player and even more he has proven it at a number of levels this year. Slafkovsky recorded 10 points in 31 games plus seven points in 18 playoff games with TPS in the Liiga, Finland’s top pro league. He added 18 points in 11 games with their U-20 team. Yet it is internationally where he really shined; Slafkovsky was named MVP of the Olympic tournament with seven goals in seven games for Slovakia and then recorded nine points in eight games at the World Championship (where Habs GM Kent Hughes was reportedly scouting him.)

Hughes and company also present an interesting twist in the decision at No. 1. Hughes and Director of Hockey Operations Jeff Gorton are both new to Montreal, as are head coach Martin St. Louis and highly valued advisor Vincent Lecavalier. Not only are they playing catch-up on draft analysis, but they are also bringing new and potentially contrary viewpoints from the existing scouting and analytics staffs for the Canadiens. The group opined that the odds of all of these key decision makers being in agreement on the pick is unlikely, and if Wright is not the top option for Hughes or Gorton then that certainly opens up the conversation. It is worth noting that Hughes, Gorton, and St. Louis all have close ties to USA Hockey, which could be a boost for Cooley, while their scouting department is majority European, which could benefit Slafkovsky.

At the end of the day, Wright remains the heavy favorite to be selected first overall, as he has all season. However, it is not the guarantee that it is in some seasons or that many expected it to be this year – and it worth knowing that other options exist. With the 2022 NHL Draft being held in Montreal, the drama around the Canadiens’ top pick will be entertaining at the very least and the reaction should they take Slafkovsky or Cooley instead of Wright will be fascinating. Montreal is in difficult shape with an expensive, veteran lineup that did not produce this season and certainly cannot afford to miss on this pick.

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Jeff Gorton| Montreal Canadiens Juraj Slafkovsky| Shane Wright

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View Comments (20)

Comments

  1. 66TheNumberOfTheBest

    3 years ago

    “Montreal does have an immediate need of a top-six center”

    I don’t imagine that Christian Dvorak is blocking any #1 overall picks.

    Canadian juniors tend to get overhyped. He’s not Nolan Patrick 2.0, right?

    Would any of the top 5 be top 5 in a good draft? Doesn’t seem like it.

    Reply
    • Wilf is no longer Kesler

      3 years ago

      Back in reality, you are simply guessing and have no idea how any of these kids will play at the pro level.

      Reply
    • 66TheNumberOfTheBest

      3 years ago

      You mean, just like the scouts who scout them, the GM’s who pick them and the media who cover them…?

      Appreciate you chiming in with garden variety Appeal to Authority, though.

      Reply
    • Wilf is no longer Kesler

      3 years ago

      Yes, just like them. Please keep posting. Your guesses are amusing.

      Reply
    • Jimmykinglive

      3 years ago

      Using Patrick as a comparison seems to be blind Pittsburgh bias because he’s not inherently worse than what was projected, he’s just made of glass. And the scouts are really guessing. They’re trained and have experience evaluating talent

      Reply
  2. Johnny Z

    3 years ago

    Wright is the Wright choice for the Habs! Center is their biggest need and Wright is the obvious choice. This is a contrived controversy!

    2
    Reply
  3. Gbear

    3 years ago

    Habs fans should at least be relieved that the brain trust that passed over Brady Tkachuk is no longer in charge.

    2
    Reply
  4. mattc68

    3 years ago

    People have been talking about Shane Wright since he was granted exceptional status for the OHL draft back in 2019. I think the fact that he was so dominant back when he was 15 got everyone so excited that they don’t see that he’s not as dominant as an 18 year old as they expected. Obviously he’s a great player. As a Kracken fan I would be thrilled to have him drop to 4. But if I’m picking first I’m taking Slafkovsky.

    1
    Reply
  5. They’re too dumb to play with themselves

    3 years ago

    he should of paid better attention in french class

    1
    Reply
    • windmill_noise_causes_cancer

      3 years ago

      You should have* paid better attention in English class.

      10
      Reply
    • They’re too dumb to play with themselves

      3 years ago

      zing

      1
      Reply
    • Wilf is no longer Kesler

      3 years ago

      It was an excellent zing. Watching you pretend to know everything about everything while not even knowing basic English is rather amusing.

      Reply
  6. itsmeheyhi

    3 years ago

    If they really believe in Suzuki and Dvorak as the franchise 1-2 punch then taking Wright makes no sense. It would be a risky move still because Wright/Suzuki is potentially much better. And Dvorak would be a nice 3C.

    1
    Reply
  7. W H Twittle

    3 years ago

    Slafkovsky has played very well against the French national team. With his size … no problem playing against men. But the French national team, with respect, may be a notch down from the Tampa Bolts?
    Another Pulijarvi maybe? Cooley? Another Plekanec? Wright? Not sure, but better than Pulijarvi or Plekanec I am guessing…

    Reply
    • mattc68

      3 years ago

      He has looked great in the Olympics, granted the Olympics did not have the world’s best players. More importantly he has looked great as an 18 year old playing against men in the Liiga which is one of the best leagues in the world.

      Reply
  8. Karlander

    3 years ago

    Wright is overrated. Lafrenierre 2.0. Montreal won’t get 20 goals out of Wright till 2025.

    Reply
    • Wilf is no longer Kesler

      3 years ago

      How do you know this?

      Reply
  9. wreckage

    3 years ago

    Obviously the Habs will select the guy with a questionable past who requests that he doesn’t be selected.

    Reply
  10. manos

    3 years ago

    The Habs are historically awful in drafting in the first round (at least during the Timmins era). Whomever they choose, rest assured it will be a mistake.

    Reply
  11. Habsfan 3

    3 years ago

    I’m just hoping they finish last or at least bottom 3 again and win the lottery again next season. A C. Bedard – N. Suzuki – S. Wright – Dvorak/Evans/Poeling center line sure sounds good to me. The problem will be signing scoring UFA wingers or trading for some to surround this great C line and if Primeau can help them win the Calder Cup this year and build his confidence back up along with the great young Ds they already have in the system……I’m hyper about the potential of what we could have in 3-4 years.

    Reply

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